IRJET- Depression Prediction System using Different Methods

International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 06 Issue: 11 | Nov 2019 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
© 2019, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.34 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 2088
Depression Prediction System Using Different Methods
Mrunal Kulkarni1, Prof. Arti R.Wadhekar2
1M.Tech. Student (Department of Electronics and Telecommunication Engineering, Deogiri Institute of
Engineering and Management Studies, Aurangabad, Maharashtra, India)
2Assistant Professor (Department of Electronics and Telecommunication Engineering, Deogiri Institute of
Engineering and Management Studies, Aurangabad, Maharashtra, India)
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Abstract - This Paper is focused on the basic survey of the
methods which are used to predict depression in humans.
Depression is a mental disorder which may lead to suicide if
not cured at early curable stages. So it is very important to
predict depression as soon as possible. Many people in the
world are suffering from depression in their day to day life.
Depression is of different types and can be predicted by
different ways. In this paper, study about all the techniques
which are used to predict depression and their relative study
about techniques, methods, algorithms used to predict
depression is done. Depression is a mental disorderwhich may
lead to suicide if not cured at early curable stages. So it is very
important to predict depression as soon as possible. Many
people in the world are suffering from depression in their day
to day life. Depression is of differenttypesandcanbepredicted
by different ways. So to predict depression, this system is
developed which includes different techniques for diagnosing
depression disorder. In this project three parts have designed,
i.e., question and answer part, EEG signal processing and
diagnosing part and sentiment analysis part. The system can
predict the depression of the user using three different ways.
Machine learning algorithms like Naïve Bayes and Neural
Network are used here for classification of data. So the system
tell us whether the person is depressed or not.
Key Words: Artificial Intelligence, EEG, Sentiment
Analysis, NN, Python, Random Forest, Naive Bayes.
1. INTRODUCTION
Depression is a very serious disorderanditisverynecessary
to predict it at very early curable stage. Human Brain is a
most complex part of the body. So it is very difficult to
understand it’s complexity. Depression is found as a Mental
disorder, so to predict depression is a very complex part.
Psychiatrist says that diagnosis and cure of Depression is
done mostly by using Questions and Answers and by
applying various Psychometric tests and theory and by
observing patient’s response to it. But Now a days, research
says that there are also other methods using which we can
predict depression. This methods are DepressionPrediction
using EEG signal Processing, Depression Prediction using
Text analysis which includes sentiment analysis, etc. This
methods mostly belongs to Artificial Intelligence, Machine
learning algorithms in it. Following are some key points
which everyone should know before learning these
Depression prediction methods.
1.1 Artificial Intelligence (AI)
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is an area of computersciencethat
emphasizes the creation of intelligent machines that work
and react like humans .A machine with the ability to perform
cognitive functions such as perceiving, learning, reasoning
and solve problems are deemed to hold an Artificial
Intelligence (AI). AI represents simulated intelligence in
machines .It is a subset of Data Science. Artificial Intelligence
exists when a machinehas acognitiveability .TheAIincludes
human level concerning reasoning, speech and vision.AI is
used to avoid repetitive task. AI can repeat a task
continuously.AI is used in all industries, from marketing to
supplychain,finance,foodproduct,socialmediaapplications,
etc.
1.2 Machine Learning(ML)
Machine Learning (ML) is a data analytics technique that
teaches computers to do what comes naturally to humans
and animals, i.e., learn from experience. ML algorithms use
computational methods to ‘learn’ information directly from
data without relying on a predetermined equation as a
model. The algorithms adaptively improve their
performance as the number of samplesavailableforlearning
increases. ML is used when:
 Hand written rules and equations are too complex
as in face recognition and speech recognition.
 The rules of a task are constantly changing as in
fraud detection from transaction records.
 The nature of data keep changing and program
needs to adapt as in automated trading ,energy
demand forecastingand predictingshoppingtrends.
1.3 Deep Learning
Deep Learning imitates the way our brain works, i.e., learn
from experiences. It uses concepts of neural networks to
solve complex problems. Deep learning works as follows:
 Deep Learning is based on basic unit of brain called
brain cell or a neuron. Inspired from a neuron, an
artificial neuron or perceptron was developed.
 A biological neuron has dendrites which areusedto
receive inputs.

 Similarly, a perceptron receive multiple inputs,
applies various transformations and functions and
provides an output.
 Just like how our brain contains multiple connected
neurons called neural network, we can also have a
network of artificial neurons called perceptrons to
form a deep neural network.
 An Artificial Neuron or a Perceptron models a
neuron which has a set of inputs, each of which is
assigned some specific weight. The neuron then
computes some function on these weighted inputs
and gives output.
1.4 Artificial Neural Network (ANN)
An Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is a computational
model based on the structure and functions of biological
neural networks. ANN is an information processing model
that is inspired by the way biological nervous systems such
as brain process information.Informationthatflowsthrough
the network affects the structure of ANN because a neural
network changes or learns, in a sense-based on that input
and output.ANN are considered nonlinear statistical data
modelling tools where the complex relationships between
inputs and outputs are modelled or patterns are found.
Advantages of ANN are:
 Actually Learn from observing data sets.
 ANN used as a random function approximationtool.
 ANN takes data samples rather than entiredata sets
to arrive at solutions, which saves both time and
money.
1.5 Electroencephalography
Electroencephalography is a medical imagingtechnique
that reads scalp electrical activity generated by brain
structures. The electroencephalogram (EEG) is defined as
electrical activity of an alternating type recorded from the
scalp surface after being picked up by metal electrodes and
conductive media [1]. The EEG measured directly from the
cortical surfaceiscalledelectrocardiogramwhilewhenusing
depth probes it is called electrogram.EEGmeasuredfrom the
head surface is considered. Thus electroencephalographic
reading is a completely non-invasive procedure that can be
applied repeatedly to patients, normal adults, and children
with virtually no risk or limitation.
2. LITERATURE SURVEY
In this work, mainly three techniques are used to find
depression, viz., Q&A, EEG signal processing and Sentiment
analysis using twitter comments. Various research paper
were studied, few among them have described below.
Another technique to predict depression is by analyzing EEG
signal, i.e. using EEG signal processing. Mallikarjun H. M. and
Dr. H. N. Suresh in their paper, “Depression Level Prediction
using EEG signal processing”[1], obtained
Electroencephalogram Gram (EEG) signals from publicly
available database and are processed in MATLAB. It is useful
in classifyingsubjects withthedisordersusingclassifiertools
present in it. For classification purpose, the features are
extracted from frequency bands (alpha, delta and
theta).Initially EEG signals were read using EDF browser
software and the signals were loaded into MATLAB to getlog
Power Spectral DensityfromEEGbands.Theresultsobtained
from MATLAB are fed into neural network pattern
recognition tool and ANFIS tool box which is integrated in
MATLAB. These are powerful tool are used for data
classification.Relevantextractedfeaturesparameterssuchas
mean, standard deviation, entropy are used as inputs to the
ANFIS and nprtool.
Fig -2.1: EEG signal processing for classification of
disorders
Renu Gautam and Mrs. Shimi S.L in their paper, “Features
Extraction and Depression Level Prediction by Using EEG
Signals”[2],classified the depressionlevel ofthepaitentsfrom
urban and rural area. Firstly EEG data file(.edf) is converted
into .wav file and further pre-processing is done in MATLAB.
For the clasification, two machine learning algorithms are
used ,i.e., K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) and Regression Tree
(RT).
B. Hosseinifard, M. H. Moradi and R. Rostami in their paper,
"Classifying depression patients and normal subjects using
machine learning techniques”[3],described their work to
developed asystemwhichcanclassifydepressiveandnormal
paitents using support vector machine(SVM) and logistic
regression(LR) machine learning techniques for
classification.For featureextraction, geneticsalgorithm(GA)
is used and results are obtained.
M. M. Aldarwish and H. F. Ahmad in their paper, "Predicting
Depression Levels Using Social Media Posts”[4] described
their work to develop a webapplication which takes social
media posts and questionnaire test as a input and predict
outputas various depressionlevel. Naïve bayesclassification
algorithm is used to increase accuracy.
Question and Answer (Q & A) Analysis or psychometric test
using questions aregenerallyreferredbypsychiatrists.There

are some standard questionnaires used by doctors to
determine the levels of anxiety and depression that a person
is experiencing. One of the most commonly used test is
Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS).TheHADSisa
fourteen item scale that generates ordinal data. Seven of the
items relate to anxiety and seven relate to depression. The
item on the questionnaire consists of questions like ‘I feel
tense or wound up’, ‘worrying thoughtsgothroughmymind’,
‘I have lost interests in my appearance ’, etc. Each item on
questionnaire is scored from 0-3 and this means that a
person can score between 0 and 21 for either anxiety or
depression [5]. The other most commonly used test by
psychiatrist isBECK’sDepressionInventory(BDI).Thistestis
used for measuring the severity of depression. In its current
version BDI –II is designed for individuals aged 13 and over,
and is composed of items relating to symptomsofdepression
such as hopelessness and irritability, cognitions such as guilt
or feelings of being punished, as well as physical symptoms
such as fatigue, weight loss, and lack of interest in sex.
Different Machine Learning Techniques and Algorithms [6]:
There are different machine learning techniques and
algorithms which are depending on the type of data used for
classification. Some machine learning techniques are
supervised learning, unsupervised machine learning, semi-
supervised learning, reinforcement learning. Supervised
learning concerned with classified data, i.e. data with label,
while unsupervised learning unlabeled data. Semi-
supervised learning techniques concernedwithbothlabeled
and unlabeled data. Reinforcement learning doesn’t require
any data to predict output.
Based on these techniques there are algorithms used for
classification and training purpose. Examples of Supervised
learning algorithms are decisiontrees,rule-basedclassifiers,
naïve bayesian classification, k-nearestneighborsclassifiers,
neural network, support vector machine. Some of the
unsupervised learning algorithms are k-means clustering,
hidden markov model, Gaussian mixture model.
 Naïve Bayesian: To calculate the probability that an
event will occur, given that another event has already
occurred, Bayes Theorem is used. To calculate the
probability of hypothesis(h) being true, given our prior
knowledge(d), we use Bayes’s Theorem as follows:
P(h|d)= (P(d|h) P(h)) / P(d)
where: P(h|d) = Posterior probability. Theprobabilityof
hypothesis h being true, given the data d, whereP(h|d)=
P(d1| h) P(d2| h)….P(dn| h) P(d)
P(d|h) = Likelihood. The probability of data d given that
the hypothesis h was true.
P(h) = Class prior probability. The probability of
hypothesis h being true (irrespective of the data)
P(d) = Predictor prior probability. Probability of the
data (irrespective of the hypothesis).
This algorithm is called ‘naive’ because it assumes that
all the variables are independent of each other, which is
a naive assumption to make in real-world examples.
 Support Vector Machines (SVM): SVM is binary
classification algorithm. Given a set of points of 2 types
in N dimensional place, SVM generates a (N — 1)
dimensional hyperplane to separate those points into 2
groups. Say you have some points of 2 types in a paper
which are linearly separable. SVM will find a straight
line which separates those points into 2 types and
situated as far as possible from all those points.
Fig-2.2: SVM Algorithm
3. SYSTEM DESIGN AND DEVELOPMENT
From above survey, different techniques to predict
depression were studied. Here we are proposinga system to
predict depression by taking reference of above survey. One
website is to be developed using python language which
consist of some of above techniques to measure depression.
On primary basis, Q & A analysis using BECK’s depression
inventory, EEG signal processing andsentimentanalysis will
be added on the website. The main aim to develop the
system is that anyone can measure depression including
doctors at any time.
Fig- 3.1 Block Diagram

Above figure 3.1 shows the overall flow of the system. The
system is nothing, but the website designed to develop the
depressionpredictionsystemusingdifferenttechniques. The
system consists of two parts, the Front End and Backend.
3.1 Front end part:
This part consists of Headline followed by HTML pages. The
First page is login page consist of user id and password of
the user and if the user is new then there is another option
called new user which generates the registration form. All
the data is stored using mySQL database system. Thesecond
page consists of three options which are nothing but the
techniques used to predict depression, i.e.,byusing Question
and Answer test (psychometric test) which has
questionnaire and user have to give the answers. These
answers are stored in SQL database. After calculatingscores,
the final score will be displayed and result, i.e., user is
depressed or not will be declared.
Another option to predict depression is using EEG
(Electroencephalogram) signal of the user. The EEG signal is
recorded using mindwave neurosky kit or Neuro Compact
Portable Neuromax -32 channel Digital EEG Machine and
values from that graph is calculated and this file is given to
the system which has trained using machine learning
algorithm. So, result will be displayed.
Fig- 3.2 EEG Machine
The third option is sentiment analysis using twitter data of
the user. In this part the users comment on social media like
twitter are captured and the comment is classified as
depressed or non-depressed.
3.2 Back-end part:
In this part all the backend operations like programming,
training and testing of the system using one or more
machine learning algorithms are done. There are three
different back-end sections for three different parts of the
systems.
Q&A part:
Here the psychometric testistakenbysystem whichconsists
of different questions based on BECK’s inventory for
psychometric tests.
EEG Signal Processing and Analysis:
In this part, EEG signal processing is done. The system is
trained using the database of the depressed EEG signals and
non-depressed EEG signals. This is done by using machine
learning algorithm, i.e. Neural Network Algorithm. The
algorithm is used to classify the database as depressed and
non-depressed. After that for testing is done by giving user’s
EEG data.
There are 3 phases in the systemofEEGsignal processing for
depression measurement:
1. Preprocessing
2. Creating Neural Network
3. Training phase
4. Testing phase
Sentiment Analysis using Twitter Comments:
In this part, sentiment analysis is done using social media
comments from user. It is done by using two algorithms
individually, i.e., NaïveBayes andRandomForestalgorithms.
The algorithm for this part is given as follows:
1. Prepare raw tweet data
2. Print length of tweet data
3. Print length of labels
4. Preparing tweets & their labels
5. Print length of tweets
6. Transform labels from 1, 0, -1 to ‘Not Depression’,
’Neutral’, ’Depression’.
7. Frequency count
8. Apply naïve bayes model.
4. RESULT AND ANALYSIS
In this part, the webpages are displayed after running the
system through the link in the program. Various results of
each part are given as follows. The results includes main
page which shows three parts to predict depression, output
1 which shows output of Q & A part and output 3 shows
output of twitter part, output 4 shows output of EEG signal
processing part.

Fig- 4.1 Main Page
Fig- 4.2 Q&A page
Fig- 4.3 Result of Q&A part
Fig- 4.4 Twitter Page with comment
Fig- 4.5 Twitter Page with Final Result
Fig- 4.6 Brain waves of depressed people
Table 4.1 Power Spectral Density of the Data
In analysis part, performance of the machine learning
algorithms is evaluated. For evaluation,F1scoreispredicted
as a measure of accuracy of training algorithm of random
forest and naïve bayes. As compare to accuracy on the basis
of F1 score on train data of random forest(RF) and naïve
bayes(NB) algorithm, accuracy of RF is greator than NB as
shown in chart 4.3.Evaluation performance of neural
network (NN)algorithm is shown in chart 4.4.

Chart 4.1: Evaluation of Random forest
Chart 4.2: Evaluation of Naïve Bayes
Chart 4.3: Comparison Between Accuracy of Random
Forest(RF) And Naïve Bayes(NB)
Chart 4.4: Evaluation of Neural Network (NN)
5. CONCLSION AND FUTURE SCOPE
This project gives the effective system to diagnose the
depression. While developing this system, various
technologies and machine learning concepts and
programming languages have been studied. Also, the
functioning of EEG machine has been studied. This system
gives access remotely without going to psychiatrists and
save the bills of hospitals for EEG checkup. This system
would prove to be cost efficient, time savingandyetproduce
the results with high accuracy and quality.
Future Scope:
 Can be used in hospitals
 Can be used in schools and colleges and other
organizations to maintain the records of students
and employee’s mental health checkup by adding
questionnaire based on students and employee’s
life.
 Can be used by psychiatrists to diagnose by using
more than one technique.
 Can be used to detect mental health in government
programs like to detect depression among farmers
by adding some more questionnaire based on
farmer’s lifestyle.
REFERENCES
1] H. M. Mallikarjun and H. N. Suresh, "Depression level
prediction using EEG signal processing," 2014 International
Conference on Contemporary Computing and Informatics
(IC3I), Mysore, 2014, pp. 928-933.
doi:10.1109/IC3I.2014.7019674
http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/stamp/stamp.jsp?tp=&arnumber
=7019674&isnumber=7019573
2] Renu Gautam and Mrs. Shimi S.L, “ Features Extraction
and Depression Level Prediction by Using EEG Signals”
International Research Journal of Engineering and
Technology (IRJET) Volume: 04 Issue: 05 , May -2017, e-
ISSN: 2395 -0056 , p-ISSN: 2395-0072.
https://www.irjet.net/archives/V4/i5/IRJET-V4I5526.pdf
3] B. Hosseinifard, M. H. Moradi and R. Rostami, "Classifying
depression patients and normal subjects using machine
learning techniques," 2011 19th Iranian Conference on
Electrical Engineering, Tehran, 2011, pp. 1-1.
=5956021&isnumber=5955412
4] M. M. Aldarwish and H. F. Ahmad, "Predicting Depression
Levels Using Social Media Posts," 2017 IEEE 13th

International Symposium on Autonomous Decentralized
System (ISADS), Bangkok, 2017, pp. 277-280.
doi:10.1109/ISADS.2017.41
=7940253&isnumber=7931239

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