Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize,
and experience in the labor market?
(with Magdalena Smyk and Lucas van der Velde)
Karolina Goraus
PhD Candidate
Faculty of Economic Sciences
University of Warsaw
AIEL Conference
17 September 2015
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Table of contents
1 Motivation and insights from literature
2 Data and methodology
3 Results
4 Conclusions
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Motivation and insights from literature
Motivation
Women’s empowerment on the labor market has impact on:
investment in children human capital and health (Attanasio et al. 2002,
Doss 2006, Schady et al. 2006, Schady et al. 2009, Rubalcava et al. 2009,
Luke and Munschi 2011)
the empowerment of future generations of women (Fortin 2005, Farre and
Vella 2013)
overall economic development (Klasen 2000, Klasen et al. 2009, Duflo
2008)
Trends in the world
Gender inequalities in activity rates are universally decreasing around the world,
both in advanced and developing countries (World Development Report, World
Bank, 2012).
Situation in transition countries
Transition economies are the exception where the situation over the last 20
years in same cases stagnated, and in some even worsened.
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Motivation and insights from literature
Gender difference in activity rates in EU-15 and transition countries
Data: Eurostat
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Motivation and insights from literature
Goals and expectations I
Challenges in accurate measurement of progress in gender equality on the
labour market:
1 labor market outcomes of women that are more similar to men can reflect
less discrimination, but can also be fully or partially related to differences
in characteristics
2 positive (or negative) changes might be underestimated because they
affect only some generations, while the outcomes are often measured for
the whole labour force
3 it is difficult to disentangle the impact of women’s preferences from some
external factors influencing their decisions
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Motivation and insights from literature
Goals and expectations II
Contribution
1 controlling for individual characteristics when comparing women and men
2 implementing decomposition techniques to extract the cohort effects for
analysed changes of selected measures
3 constructing the measures that have a potential to reflect the willingness
and possibilities of women to work, as well as their attitudes towards equal
positions of women and men on the labour market
Analysed indicators
Willingness to work
Access to jobs
Preference for equal access to jobs
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Data and methodology
1 Motivation and insights from literature
2 Data and methodology
3 Results
4 Conclusions
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Data and methodology
Data
European Union Labor Force Survey (EU LFS)
compiled by the Eurostat on the basis of Member States LFS
available not only for the post-accession years, but also covers the longest
possible pre-accession period
World Values Surveys (WVS)
collected within a global research project concentrated on people’s values
and beliefs
contains very rich information concerning gender equality
not collected regularly for all the selected countries
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Data and methodology
Transition countries EU LFS Western Europe countries EU LFS
Bulgaria 2000-2012 Austria 1995-2012
Czech Republic 1998-2012 Belgium 1992-2012
Estonia 1997-2012 Denmark 1992-2012
Hungary 1997-2012 Finland 1995-2012
Latvia 1998-2012 France 1993-2012
Lithuania 1998-2012 Germany 2002-2012
Poland 1997-2012 Greece 1992-2012
Romania 1997-2012 Ireland 1992-2012
Slovakia 1998-2012 Italy 1992-2012
Slovenia 1996-2012 Luxembourg 1992-2012
Netherlands 1996-2012
Portugal 1992-2012
Spain 1992-2012
Sweden 1995-2012
United Kingdom 1992-2012
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Data and methodology
Transition WVS Western Europe WVS
countries countries
Bulgaria 1997,2005 Austria
Czech Republic 1991 Belgium
Estonia 1996, 2011 Denmark
Hungary 1982,1998,2009 Finland 1981,1996,2005
Latvia 1996 France 2006
Lithuania 1997 Germany 1997,2006,2013
Poland 1989,1997,2005, 2012 Greece
Romania 1998,2005,2012 Ireland
Slovakia 1990,1998 Italy 2005
Slovenia 1995,2005,2011 Luxembourg
Netherlands 2006,2012
Portugal
Spain
Sweden 1981,1996,1999,2006,2011
United Kingdom 1998,2005
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Data and methodology
Analysed indicators I
Willingness to work
1 measure of probability of being active
P(active = 1|gender) = α+β1age+β2edum+β3eduh+β4relation+β5kid+β6urban
2 measure of relative disadvantage of each women in activity on the labor
market (difference between the probability of men with the same set of
characteristics to be active, and her probability to be active)
Access to jobs
The same procedure, but we restrict the sample to those individuals who
are (1) wage-employed or (2) actively searching for a job.
Preference for equal access to jobs
Measure of women’s belief in equal participation: ”When jobs are scarce,
men should have more right to a job than women”
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Data and methodology
Deaton decomposition
allows to separate age, birth cohort and year effects
birth cohort is just the difference between current year and age, the
inclusion of the three variables in a regression results in perfect collinearity
→ year effects are assumed to be orthogonal to a time trend and to add
up to zero
new year variable constructed as follows:
dt = yeart − [(t − 1)year2 − (t − 1)year1]
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Results
1 Motivation and insights from literature
2 Data and methodology
3 Results
4 Conclusions
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Results
Women’s activity rates by age in transition countries
2000: 2010:
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Results
Women’s activity rates by age in EU15 countries
2000: 2010:
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Results
Women’s activity rates by age in 2010
Transition: EU15:
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Results
Gender differences in willingness to work: cohort effect in Western Europe
countries
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Results
Gender differences in willingness to work: cohort effect in Transition
countries
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Results
Gender differences in willingness to work: age effect in Western Europe
countries
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Results
Gender differences in willingness to work: age effect in Transition countries
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Results
Gender differences in access to jobs
cohort effect in Western Europe countries figure
cohort effect in Transition countries figure
age effect in Western Europe countries figure
age effect in Transition countries figure
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Results
Willingness to work - results summary
cohort effects
transition country -0.0558*
born between 1937-1941 0.245***
born between 1947-1951 0.180***
born between 1952-1956 0.147***
born between 1957-1961 0.111***
born between 1962-1966 0.0780***
born between 1967-1971 0.0513***
born between 1972-1976 0.0258
born between 1937-1941 * transition -0.241***
born between 1942-1946 * transition -0.213***
born between 1947-1951 * transition -0.179***
born between 1952-1956 * transition -0.150***
born between 1957-1961 * transition -0.115***
born between 1962-1966 * transition -0.0854***
born between 1967-1971 * transition -0.0566*
born between 1972-1976 * transition -0.0201
country fixed effects included
constant 0.0326
Observations 219
R-squared 0.864
Note: Reference cohort group: born between 1977-1981. Standard errors in parentheses.
*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Results
Willingness to work - results summary
age effects
transition country -0.0759***
age: 30-34 -0.0233*
age: 35-39 -0.0657***
age: 40-45 -0.106***
age: 45-49 -0.141***
age: 50-55 -0.175***
age: 30-34 * transition -0.00724
age: 35-39 * transition 0.0103
age: 40-45 * transition 0.0369*
age: 45-49 * transition 0.0627***
age: 50-55 * transition 0.0876***
country fixed effects included
constant 0.0617***
Observations 150
R-squared 0.854
Note: Reference age group: 25-29. Standard errors in parentheses.
*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Results
Preference for equal access to jobs
Table: Percentage of females who answered ”I agree with the statement: when job are
scarce, men should have more right to a job than women” - cohort patterns
1936- 1942- 1947- 1952- 1957- 1962- 1967- 1972- 1977-
1941 1946 1951 1956 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981
Transition 90s 41.70% 35.10% 36.20% 33.60% 25.10% 24.90% 19.90% 23.50% 16.40%
countries 2000s 33.70% 20.70% 25.00% 26.50% 22.80% 21.80% 18.70% 18.10% 18.10%
2010s 31.80% 32.10% 30.20% 24.40% 23.90% 23.70% 19.50% 21.80% 19.20%
Western 90s 25.40% 27.70% 20.50% 18.20% 14.70% 10.80% 9.10% 5.40% 6.40%
countries 2000s 21.20% 12.10% 14.20% 8.40% 9.50% 6.70% 9.00% 9.30% 6.70%
2010s 13.60% 12.70% 8.40% 7.90% 7.70% 4.30% 4.90% 3.70% 6.20%
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Conclusions
Conclusions
in EU-15 countries women born later enjoy a more equal position on the
labour market
women are participating more and their activity rates become more similar
to men with similar characteristics
women attitudes towards equal gender positions on the labour market
changed in line with the labour market participation and employment rates
the picture for transition economies is much more puzzling
younger cohorts are more empowered in their views concerning equality on
labour market
gender differences in probabilities to be active are among younger
generations similar or even bigger than among older generations
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Gender differences in access to jobs: cohort effect in Western Europe
countries
return
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Gender differences in access to jobs: cohort effect in Transition countries
return
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Gender differences in access to jobs: age effect in Western Europe
countries
return
Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?
Gender differences in access to jobs: age effect in Transition countries
return

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Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market?

  • 1. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? (with Magdalena Smyk and Lucas van der Velde) Karolina Goraus PhD Candidate Faculty of Economic Sciences University of Warsaw AIEL Conference 17 September 2015
  • 2. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Table of contents 1 Motivation and insights from literature 2 Data and methodology 3 Results 4 Conclusions
  • 3. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Motivation and insights from literature Motivation Women’s empowerment on the labor market has impact on: investment in children human capital and health (Attanasio et al. 2002, Doss 2006, Schady et al. 2006, Schady et al. 2009, Rubalcava et al. 2009, Luke and Munschi 2011) the empowerment of future generations of women (Fortin 2005, Farre and Vella 2013) overall economic development (Klasen 2000, Klasen et al. 2009, Duflo 2008) Trends in the world Gender inequalities in activity rates are universally decreasing around the world, both in advanced and developing countries (World Development Report, World Bank, 2012). Situation in transition countries Transition economies are the exception where the situation over the last 20 years in same cases stagnated, and in some even worsened.
  • 4. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Motivation and insights from literature Gender difference in activity rates in EU-15 and transition countries Data: Eurostat
  • 5. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Motivation and insights from literature Goals and expectations I Challenges in accurate measurement of progress in gender equality on the labour market: 1 labor market outcomes of women that are more similar to men can reflect less discrimination, but can also be fully or partially related to differences in characteristics 2 positive (or negative) changes might be underestimated because they affect only some generations, while the outcomes are often measured for the whole labour force 3 it is difficult to disentangle the impact of women’s preferences from some external factors influencing their decisions
  • 6. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Motivation and insights from literature Goals and expectations II Contribution 1 controlling for individual characteristics when comparing women and men 2 implementing decomposition techniques to extract the cohort effects for analysed changes of selected measures 3 constructing the measures that have a potential to reflect the willingness and possibilities of women to work, as well as their attitudes towards equal positions of women and men on the labour market Analysed indicators Willingness to work Access to jobs Preference for equal access to jobs
  • 7. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Data and methodology 1 Motivation and insights from literature 2 Data and methodology 3 Results 4 Conclusions
  • 8. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Data and methodology Data European Union Labor Force Survey (EU LFS) compiled by the Eurostat on the basis of Member States LFS available not only for the post-accession years, but also covers the longest possible pre-accession period World Values Surveys (WVS) collected within a global research project concentrated on people’s values and beliefs contains very rich information concerning gender equality not collected regularly for all the selected countries
  • 9. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Data and methodology Transition countries EU LFS Western Europe countries EU LFS Bulgaria 2000-2012 Austria 1995-2012 Czech Republic 1998-2012 Belgium 1992-2012 Estonia 1997-2012 Denmark 1992-2012 Hungary 1997-2012 Finland 1995-2012 Latvia 1998-2012 France 1993-2012 Lithuania 1998-2012 Germany 2002-2012 Poland 1997-2012 Greece 1992-2012 Romania 1997-2012 Ireland 1992-2012 Slovakia 1998-2012 Italy 1992-2012 Slovenia 1996-2012 Luxembourg 1992-2012 Netherlands 1996-2012 Portugal 1992-2012 Spain 1992-2012 Sweden 1995-2012 United Kingdom 1992-2012
  • 10. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Data and methodology Transition WVS Western Europe WVS countries countries Bulgaria 1997,2005 Austria Czech Republic 1991 Belgium Estonia 1996, 2011 Denmark Hungary 1982,1998,2009 Finland 1981,1996,2005 Latvia 1996 France 2006 Lithuania 1997 Germany 1997,2006,2013 Poland 1989,1997,2005, 2012 Greece Romania 1998,2005,2012 Ireland Slovakia 1990,1998 Italy 2005 Slovenia 1995,2005,2011 Luxembourg Netherlands 2006,2012 Portugal Spain Sweden 1981,1996,1999,2006,2011 United Kingdom 1998,2005
  • 11. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Data and methodology Analysed indicators I Willingness to work 1 measure of probability of being active P(active = 1|gender) = α+β1age+β2edum+β3eduh+β4relation+β5kid+β6urban 2 measure of relative disadvantage of each women in activity on the labor market (difference between the probability of men with the same set of characteristics to be active, and her probability to be active) Access to jobs The same procedure, but we restrict the sample to those individuals who are (1) wage-employed or (2) actively searching for a job. Preference for equal access to jobs Measure of women’s belief in equal participation: ”When jobs are scarce, men should have more right to a job than women”
  • 12. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Data and methodology Deaton decomposition allows to separate age, birth cohort and year effects birth cohort is just the difference between current year and age, the inclusion of the three variables in a regression results in perfect collinearity → year effects are assumed to be orthogonal to a time trend and to add up to zero new year variable constructed as follows: dt = yeart − [(t − 1)year2 − (t − 1)year1]
  • 13. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Results 1 Motivation and insights from literature 2 Data and methodology 3 Results 4 Conclusions
  • 14. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Results Women’s activity rates by age in transition countries 2000: 2010:
  • 15. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Results Women’s activity rates by age in EU15 countries 2000: 2010:
  • 16. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Results Women’s activity rates by age in 2010 Transition: EU15:
  • 17. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Results Gender differences in willingness to work: cohort effect in Western Europe countries
  • 18. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Results Gender differences in willingness to work: cohort effect in Transition countries
  • 19. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Results Gender differences in willingness to work: age effect in Western Europe countries
  • 20. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Results Gender differences in willingness to work: age effect in Transition countries
  • 21. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Results Gender differences in access to jobs cohort effect in Western Europe countries figure cohort effect in Transition countries figure age effect in Western Europe countries figure age effect in Transition countries figure
  • 22. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Results Willingness to work - results summary cohort effects transition country -0.0558* born between 1937-1941 0.245*** born between 1947-1951 0.180*** born between 1952-1956 0.147*** born between 1957-1961 0.111*** born between 1962-1966 0.0780*** born between 1967-1971 0.0513*** born between 1972-1976 0.0258 born between 1937-1941 * transition -0.241*** born between 1942-1946 * transition -0.213*** born between 1947-1951 * transition -0.179*** born between 1952-1956 * transition -0.150*** born between 1957-1961 * transition -0.115*** born between 1962-1966 * transition -0.0854*** born between 1967-1971 * transition -0.0566* born between 1972-1976 * transition -0.0201 country fixed effects included constant 0.0326 Observations 219 R-squared 0.864 Note: Reference cohort group: born between 1977-1981. Standard errors in parentheses. *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
  • 23. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Results Willingness to work - results summary age effects transition country -0.0759*** age: 30-34 -0.0233* age: 35-39 -0.0657*** age: 40-45 -0.106*** age: 45-49 -0.141*** age: 50-55 -0.175*** age: 30-34 * transition -0.00724 age: 35-39 * transition 0.0103 age: 40-45 * transition 0.0369* age: 45-49 * transition 0.0627*** age: 50-55 * transition 0.0876*** country fixed effects included constant 0.0617*** Observations 150 R-squared 0.854 Note: Reference age group: 25-29. Standard errors in parentheses. *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
  • 24. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Results Preference for equal access to jobs Table: Percentage of females who answered ”I agree with the statement: when job are scarce, men should have more right to a job than women” - cohort patterns 1936- 1942- 1947- 1952- 1957- 1962- 1967- 1972- 1977- 1941 1946 1951 1956 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 Transition 90s 41.70% 35.10% 36.20% 33.60% 25.10% 24.90% 19.90% 23.50% 16.40% countries 2000s 33.70% 20.70% 25.00% 26.50% 22.80% 21.80% 18.70% 18.10% 18.10% 2010s 31.80% 32.10% 30.20% 24.40% 23.90% 23.70% 19.50% 21.80% 19.20% Western 90s 25.40% 27.70% 20.50% 18.20% 14.70% 10.80% 9.10% 5.40% 6.40% countries 2000s 21.20% 12.10% 14.20% 8.40% 9.50% 6.70% 9.00% 9.30% 6.70% 2010s 13.60% 12.70% 8.40% 7.90% 7.70% 4.30% 4.90% 3.70% 6.20%
  • 25. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Conclusions Conclusions in EU-15 countries women born later enjoy a more equal position on the labour market women are participating more and their activity rates become more similar to men with similar characteristics women attitudes towards equal gender positions on the labour market changed in line with the labour market participation and employment rates the picture for transition economies is much more puzzling younger cohorts are more empowered in their views concerning equality on labour market gender differences in probabilities to be active are among younger generations similar or even bigger than among older generations
  • 26. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Gender differences in access to jobs: cohort effect in Western Europe countries return
  • 27. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Gender differences in access to jobs: cohort effect in Transition countries return
  • 28. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Gender differences in access to jobs: age effect in Western Europe countries return
  • 29. Women in transition and today: what do they want, realize, and experience in the labor market? Gender differences in access to jobs: age effect in Transition countries return