Longevity
HDE/ENT 117
UC

University
of C alifornia

Longevity
HDE 117/ENT 117
Selected Topics
on Mortality
Selected Topics on Mortality
Probability
Long intervals:
What is probability of male surviving from 50 to 90?
40p50

= l90/l50
= 0.104/0.901
= 0.115 (=1-of-8.7)
Selected Topics on Mortality
Elimination of Mortality

Elimination
to age x

e0 (years)

increase

0
20
40
60
80

79.9
80.1
80.5
81.6
86.1

.0
.2
.6
1.7
6.2
100% Survival to Age 50
Original:
Hypothetical:

79.2 years
81.4 years

Difference = 2.2 years
100% Survival to Age 60
Original:
Hypothetical:

79.2 years
82.8 years

Difference = 3.6 years
100% Survival to Age 70
Original:
Hypothetical:

79.2 years
85.3years

Difference = 6.1 years
100% Survival to Age 80
Original:
Hypothetical:

79.2 years
89.0 years

Difference = 9.8 years
UC

University
of C alifornia

Model #1:
Life Table Identity
C aptive L ife Span
Captive life span

free ranging in wild
capture

death

Q uestion:

estimate
life table properties
PERC ENT

40
30

40%
a

Population Age
Distribution

30%

b

25%

20
5%

10
0

d

0

b

1

2

3

Age
Time-to-Death
Distribution

PERC ENT

40
30
20
10
0

0

1

Time-to-Death

2

3
PERC ENT

40
30
20
10
0

40%

b

30%
a

25%

c

b

a

a

Black Box of Unknown Ages
d
b
c
0-1

1-2

5%
a

2-3

3-4

2-3

3-4

Age

PERC ENT

40
30
20
10
0

0-1

1-2

Time-to-Death
PERC ENT

40
30
20

40%

b

30%
a

25%

c

b

a

a

10
0

d

0-1

Black Box
c

5%
a

2-3

1-2

b

3-4

2-3

3-4

Age

PERC ENT

40
30
20
10
0

0-1

1-2

Time-to-Death
PERC ENT

40
30
20

b
c

10
0

d

0-1

b

Black Box
c
1-2

b

2-3

3-4

2-3

3-4

Age

PERC ENT

40

a

30
20
10
0

a
a
a

0-1

1-2

Time-to-Death
PERC ENT

40
30

b

20

c

10
0

b

Black Box
d
0-1

1-2

c

b

2-3

3-4

2-3

3-4

Age

PERC ENT

40

a

30
20
10
0

a
a
a

0-1

1-2

Time-to-Death
PERC ENT

40
30
20

c

10
0

Black Box
d
0-1

1-2

c

2-3

3-4

2-3

3-4

Age

PERC ENT

40

a

30
20
10
0

a
a

b
b

a

b

0-1

1-2

Time-to-Death
PERC ENT

40
30
20

c

10
0

Black Box
0-1

c

2-3

1-2

d

3-4

2-3

3-4

Age

PERC ENT

40

a

30
20
10
0

a
a

b
b

a

b

0-1

1-2

Time-to-Death
PERC ENT

40
30
20
10
0

Black Box
0-1

1-2

d

2-3

3-4

Age

PERC ENT

40

a

30
20
10
0

a
a

b
c
b
c

a

b

0-1

1-2

Time-to-Death

2-3

3-4
PERC ENT

40
30
20
10
0

Black Box
0-1

1-2

d

2-3

3-4

Age

PERC ENT

40

a

30
20
10
0

a
a

b
c
b
c

a

b

0-1

1-2

Time-to-Death

2-3

3-4
PERC ENT

40
30
20

40%

b

30%
a

25%

c

b

a

d

c

b

a

0-1

1-2

2-3

3-4

a

10
0

5%

Age

PERC ENT

40

40%
a

30
20
10
0

a
a

30%
b

25%
c

b
c

a

b

0-1

1-2

Time-to-Death

5%
d

2-3

3-4
Life Table Identity

d x*

cx
Longevity set 4 fall_2013 (1)
Longevity set 4 fall_2013 (1)
Sex Mortality
Differentials
R IS K Y B E H AV I O R
Major Factors Determining Gender Gap:
1. Constitutional endowment
2. Reproductive biology
3. Behavioral predisposition
Note: susceptibility and probability
are different concepts

Donner Party Mortality
(1846-1847)
Out of 90 individuals in the Donner party
32-of-55 males or 58% died whereas 10of-32 females or 29% of females died.
Source: S. McCurdy, Western J. Medicine
160, 338-342 (1994)
U.S. 2000
.4

Death Rate

.3

Male
Female

.2

.1

0

0

25

50

Age

75

100
U.S. M ale and F emale Mortality Ratio (2000)

Ratio (male:female)

4

MortalityRatio

m
q x ale
q xfe male

3

2

1

0

25

50

Age

75

100
Age- and sex- specific Mortality
U.S. 2000
0.0040

0.0035

Death Rate

0.0030

Men

0.0025

0.0020

0.0015

1-in-1000

Women

0.0010

1-in-2000

0.0005

0.0000
1

5

9

13

17

21

25

A G E (years)

29

33

37
U.S. 2000
4%

Frequency Distribution
of Deaths

Percentage

3%

Females

2%
Males

1%

0%

0

25

50

Age

75

100
Life Expectancy (years)

90

U.S. Life Expectancy
in 20th Century

80

female

70

male

60
50
40

30

1900

1910

1920

1930

1940

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000
Female Advantage (years)

U.S. Gender Gap
in 20th Century

8

6

4

2

0

1900

1910

1920

1930

1940

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000
Life Expectancy Gains (in weeks) per year

25

U.S. Population
20

15

3 months
10

5

0

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990
Widening of sex gap in e0 thru most of the 20th century
Often attributed to social & behavioral factors (e.g., smoking, heavy
drinking, violence, occupational hazards)

Recent narrowing of sex gap in most low mortality countries
Explanation generally focuses on behavioral and medical factors
Finland
USA
Canada
Australia
New Zealand
England & Wales

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Onset of Narrowing 1972-1981

1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000
Year
SO U R C E: Dana Glei
Austria
Germany, West (former)
Norway
Netherlands
Sweden
Denmark
Iceland

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Onset of Narrowing 1980-1987

1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000
Year
SO U R C E: Dana Glei
Hungary
France
Germany, East (former)
Czech Republic
Switzerland
Italy

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Onset of Narrowing 1991-1995

1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000
Year
SO U R C E: Dana Glei
Russia
Latvia
Lithuania
Slovakia
Spain
Japan
Belgium
Bulgaria

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Onset of Narrowing After 1996

1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000
Year
SO U R C E: Dana Glei
Biodemography
Experimental Biodemography

Multidisciplinary Paradigm
Demography

Anthropology
Hierarchical Paradigm
(nested hierarchies)
Demography
Anthropology
Hierarchical Paradigm
(nested hierarchies)
Demography
Anthropology

Primatology
Evolutionary Biology
Genetics
Molecular Biology
Interdisciplinary Research Q uestions

1.

Are there specific limits to lifespan?

2.

Do females outlive males under all circumstances?

3.

What is the relationship of healthspan to lifespan?

4.

How does reproduction affect longevity?
1.

E pistemology

2.

Paradigm* an entire constellation of beliefs, value and techniques
shared by the members of a given scientific community. Referred to as
normal science
--what is to be observed and scrutinized
--the kind of questions to be asked
--how these questions are structured
--how the results of investigation interpreted

3.

Disciplinary research:
--intra-disciplinary
--multidisciplinary
--interdisciplinary

scientific study of how (scientific) knowledge is acquired

*Kuhn, T.S., 1996. The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. The
University of Chicago Press, Chicago.
Biodemography an area of interdisciplinary research in which
principles of both biology and demography are integrated and
brought to bear on questions concerned with aging,
reproduction and health in humans but which include the use
model (non-human animal) systems.
Subdivisions:
Biological biodemography (mostly animal research)
--evolution
--ecology
--behavior
Biomedical biodemography (mostly human research)
--healthy aging
--geriatrics-related
A nimal Models in
Aging Research

(Modified from presentation of Steven Austad, Keck
Futures Conference, Newport Beach, CA October,
2007)
Biology of the F initude
Three Primitive Questions

1. Why do we live as long as we do?
2. Why do we age?
3. Why do we die?
G O A L:
To provide enough information about common aging research
models to help non-biologists assess their utility and relevance with
respect to alterations in human health span
O ver 90% of animal studies on the basic biology
of aging involves three species: worm, fly, and mouse

C. elegans
(the worm)

D. melanogaster
(the fly)

house mouse
(the mouse)

Size

1 mm

5 mm (1 mg)

35 g

Longevity

15-20 days

50-60 days

2-3 yrs

Reprod. length

6d

50 days

Maturation

3d

10 days

Reprod. rate

100 eggs/day

Species: Caenorhabditis elegans
Drosophila melanogaster
Mus musculus

30-50 eggs/day

10-12 mo
2 mo
40 pups/yr
Phylogeny
nematodes
reptiles
insects
birds

mouse

100 million years

humans
Conserved M echanisms
Conserved M echanisms
Similarities amount animal species
used in aging research
All are domesticated (altered from ancestral form)
All are short lived compared to non-domesticated relatives
Nematodes (roundworms)
Numerous in all habitats
Free living vs parasitic
All very similar in general structure
A dvantages of Worms for Aging Research
Small, can be reared and maintained in huge quantities
Short life cycle
Simple, transparent body completely described
Inbred strains (genetic uniformity)
Unparalleled ease of genetic manipulation
Excellent genome description
Massive information available on-line
C . E legans
Two sexes (males and hermaphrodites)
Naturally inbred; males rare
Constant somatic cell number=959
No somatic cell division
Senses: taste, smell, touch, temperature
Free-living; little known about ecology
C. elegans Cell Fate
C . elegans L ife C ycle

L2d

Egg

dauer
(days to months)

L1

L4

L3
L2

3 days
DEVELOPMENT

Adult

Death

approx 2 wks
aging
T he Dauer L arva
Formation due to food shortage, crowding, or high temperatures
Predominant stage in nature
Not feed, move little, stress resistant and long-lived
-
Worm Aging
Longevity has been increased often dramatically
methods (genes, chemical, diet restriction)

in worms by many

Greatest longevity increase up to 6-fold

Some aging mutants slowed down in all aspects of life

SOURCE: Garsin et al. (2003) Science 300, 1921
Worm Aging I I: Aging Phenotype

Little evidence of structural damage except to body wall muscle and cuticle
Reduced movement and feeding rate (pharyngeal pumping) with age
Class A constant movement; sinusoidal paths
Class B does not move unless prodded
Class C does not move even when prodded; twitches head/tail
Class D dead
T he fruit fly

Drosophila melanogaster (different family than medfly)
Small fly used for 100 years in study of genetics
Maintained in huge numbers in lab
Excellent demography
Vastly more physically and behaviorally complex than worm
--specialized organs for vision, hearing, excretion, circulation
--neurons: 302 in worm; >100,000 in fly
Minimal cell turnover in adult (no cancer)
Longevity set 4 fall_2013 (1)
Aspects of F ly Natural H istory

Originated in Equatorial Africa
Today: all continents except Antarctica
Eggs laid in ripe/rotting fruit
Hatching larvae feed on fruit
Adults feed on fruit and microorganisms
F ly Aging
Age is length of adult life (ignore larvae)

Lifespan extended 2-fold
Long-lived mutants resistant to multiple stressors (e.g.
heat, UV, chemicals)
Causes of death unknown
F ly Behaviors Useful for
Assessing H ealth
Spontaneous movement
Flight speed endurance
Negative geotaxis
Olfactory sensitivity
Various fertility measures
Stress resistance
Learning and memory
Cardiac function
Innate immune function
T he L aboratory Mouse
Dozens of inbred strains available

Most (70%) of published studies on aging relies on one
inbred strain (C57BL/6)
Lots of information about diseases and causes of death
By far most common cause of death is cancer
The Laboratory Mouse
Aging in L aboratory M ice
Caloric restriction extends life (20-40%) in many lab strains
Longevity mutants: more than a dozen; extend life up to 50%
Most of these studies rely on only one survival study
Longevity set 4 fall_2013 (1)
The Life Span Concepts
Life Span: Conceptual Issues
1. Life duration (broader concept than life span)

2. Individual (discrete functional entity)

3. Genesis (conception; fetal stage; birth; adulthood)

4. State of existence (normal; arrested metabolism)

5. Time of existence (normal plus period of arrest)

6. Extinction (death; fission; fusion)
The Life Span Concept:
Examples Where the Lines are Blurred
1. Amoeba

2. Hydra replacing all of cells every 10 days

3. Flatworm split into separate parts

4. Embryos dividing to form clones (e.g. identical twins)

5. Chimeras formed when embryos fuse

MAIN POINT: issues concerning level of individualism
birth and death processes, and the disappearance of
original individuals invalidate the classic definition of life span
for many organisms and/or for certain situations with humans
Quantum Nature of Death
Coma
Breath stoppage
Heart stoppage
Brain death
Cessation of growth/metabolism
Tissue degradation
Loss of DNA integrity

How can a person be deader than dead?
Death of immediate family members, extended family
Related Concepts
1.

Mortal

destined to die

2.

Immortal

3.

Eternal

life after death

4.

Infinity

endlessness

5.

Determinate

6.

Indeterminate

living forever

fixed growth or age
open-ended growth or life span
Longevity set 4 fall_2013 (1)
Longevity set 4 fall_2013 (1)
Longevity set 4 fall_2013 (1)
Life Span and Age

Two Types of Ages
1.

Chronological

2.

Physiological

Two Types of Chronological Ages
1.

Postnatal age from birth

2.

Total age from conception
Tree  of  Life  

Crown group

last is the smallest

the last common ancestor of all extant
members, and all of that ancestor's
descendants

A  B  C  D  

E    F      G  
Longevity set 4 fall_2013 (1)

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