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Macro 13
Macroeconomics
Lecture 13
Fiscal Policy
Deficits and Debt
Questions
Fiscal Policy
Taxes
Expenditures
Two Objectives
Unemployment
Inflation
P2
P3
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Modern Keynes Model
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
Unemployment
Inflation
Recession
Time Lags
Do you really know?
Congress approve
Effect lag
Take 1- 3 years
Counterproductive
Multiplier
May not be as large as
Keynes calculated
Multiplier
may not multiply
Automatic Stabilizers
Smooth out highs and lows
Taxes
Unemployment Insurance
Automatic Stabilizers
Job Unemployed Job
Taxes
Insurance
Taxes
Deficits and Debt
Government
Spending and
Revenue
Macro 13
Macro 13
Deficit
Spending greater
than revenue
Macro 13
Balanced Budget
Spending exactly
equals revenues
0.00%
0.75%
1.50%
2.25%
3.00%
3 month 6 month 12 month 2 year 5 year 10 year 30 year
TreasuryYields
Macro 13
Surplus
Revenue greater
than spending
Debt
Accumulated
deficits
Macro 13
Debt
$15 trillion
$45,455 per person
Macro 13
Why would you want
government to go into
debt?
Don’t have to pay
Future larger economy
Debt
Investment
Only if the return is
higher than the
interest rate
Debt
Investment
Only if the return is
higher than the
interest rate
How to reduce deficits
Higher taxes
Lower spending
Entitlements
Guaranteed benefits
1960 - 20%
2017 - 60%
Entitlements
Guaranteed benefits
1960 - 20%
2017 - 60%
Interest Expense
$240 billion
2.0% current rate
6.2% historical
1962-2017
Macro 13
Solution to Debt
Economic Growth

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Macro 13