Mdg report 2013(1)

Empowered lives.
Resilient nations.
Progress Report │ Zambia │ 2013Progress Report │ Zambia │ 2013
Millennium Development GoalsMillennium Development Goals

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Millennium Development Goals
Progress Report │ Zambia │ 2013
Millennium Development Goals
Progress Report │ Zambia 2013
Empowered lives.
Resilient nations.

MDG Progress Report 2013
Indicator
MDG 1:
Eradicate
Extreme
Poverty and
Hunger
MDG 2:
Achieve
Universal
Primary
Education
MDG 3:
Promote
Gender
Equality
MDG 4:
Reduce
Child
Mortality
Goal
Target 1.A: Halve, between 1990 and
2015, the proportion of people living
in extreme poverty
Target 1.B: Achieve full and produc-
tive employment and decent work
for all, including women and young
people
Target 1.C: Halve, between 1990 and
2015, the proportion of people who
suffer from hunger
Target 2.A: Ensure that by 2015, chil-
dren everywhere, boys and girls alike,
will be able to complete a full course
of primary schooling
Target 3.A:
Eliminate gender disparity in primary
and secondary education, preferably
by 2005, and in all levels of education
no later than 2015
Target 4.A: Reduce by two-thirds,
between 1990 and 2015, the under-
five mortality rate
Proportion of population
in extreme poverty (%)
Poverty Gap Ratio (%)
Gini Coefficient
Employment to population ratio
Proportion of employed people
living below the poverty line (%)
Prevalence of underweight
children U-5 (%)
Primary school net
enrolment rate (%)
Pupils reaching Grade 7 (%)
Literacy rates:
15-24-year-olds (%)
Ratio of girls to boys
in primary education
in secondary education
in tertiary education
Ratio of literate women to men
15-24-year-olds
Share of women
in wage employment (%)
Proportion of seats held by
women in parliament (%)
U-5 mortality rate
(deaths per 1,000 live births)
Infant mortality rate
One-year-olds
immunized against measles (%)
Target
Status at a Glance
To help direct the
focus, this report di-
vides the MDG targets
into three categories:
Targets which
have been or will
be met by 2015
Targets which
requires acceler-
ated interventions
to be met
Targets which
will not be met
without signifi-
cant reforms and
investments
2

42.3 (2010)1
28.0 (2010)2
0.65 (2010)3
86.9 (2010)4
66.4 (2006)5
13.3 (2010)6
93.7 (2010)7
90.9 (2010)8
89 (2010)9
0.99 (2010)10
0.89 (2010)11
0.75 (2010)12
0.87 (2010)13
0.36 (2010)14
11 (2012)15
138 (2010)16
76 (2010)17
94 (2010)18
Status at a Glance
2015 Target Will Target be Achieved under the Present Trend?Current Data
3
29
31.1
0.34
12.5
100
100
100
1
1
1
1
30
63.6
35.7
100
Significant reforms and investments needed
Yes
Yes
Acceleration required
Yes
Yes

4
Indicator
MDG 5:
Improve
Maternal
Health
MDG 6:
Combat
HIV&AIDS,
Malaria and
other Diseases
MDG 7:
Ensure
Environmental
Sustainability
MDG 8:
Develop a
Global
Partnership for
Development
Goal
Target 5.A: Reduce by three-quar-
ters, between 1990 and 2015, the
maternal mortality ratio
Target 6.A: Have halted, by 2015,
and begun to reverse the spread of
HIV&AIDS
Target 6.B: Achieve, by 2010,
universal access to treatment for
HIV&AIDS for all those who need it
Target 6.C: Have halted, by 2015,
and begun to reverse, the incidence
of malaria and other major diseases
Target 7.A: Integrate the principles
of sustainable development into
country policies and programmes
and reverse the loss of environmen-
tal resources
Target 7.C: Halve, by 2015, the pro-
portion of the population without
sustainable access to safe drinking
water and basic sanitation
Target 8.A: Develop further an
open, rule-based, predictable, non-
discriminatory trading and financial
system
Target 8.B: Address the special
needs of the least developed
countries
Target 8.F: In cooperation with
the private sector, make available
the benefits of new technologies,
especially ICT
Maternal mortality ratio
Proportion of births attended by skilled
health personnel (%)
HIV prevalence rate (%)
Proportion of 15-24-year-olds with
comprehensive, correct knowledge of
HIV&AIDS (%)
Ratio of school attendance of orphans to
non-orphans 10-14-year-olds (%)
Proportion of population with advanced
HIV infection with access to ARVs (%)
New malaria cases per 1,000 population
Malaria fatality rate per 1,000
population
Households with ITNs (%)
Land covered by forests (%)
Land protected to maintain biological
diversity (%)
Carbon dioxide emissions per capita (MT
per capita)
Proportion of population using solid fuels
(%)
Proportion of population without access
to an improved water source (%)
to improved sanitation facilities (%)
Official development assistance
($ millions)
Foreign direct investment ($ millions)
Access to markets in developed countries
Debt sustainability (% of GDP)
Fixed telephones per 100 people
Mobile phones per 100 people
Target

Status at a Glance
5
483 (2010)19
46.5 (2007)20
14.3 (2007)21
48 (2007)22
92 (2009)23
79 (2007)24
330 (2010)25
34 (2010)26
64.3 (2010)27
49.9 (2010)28
41 (2007)29
17.4 (2007)30
82.9 (2010)31
36.9 (2010)32
67.3 (2010)33
480.16 (2011)34
1729.3 (2010)35
11.6 (2011)36
0.8 (2011)37
62.5(2011)38
2015 Target Will Target be Achieved under the Present Trend?Current Data
Yes
Yes
Yes
162.3
< 15.6
100
80
≤ 255
11
25.5
13

Table of Contents
2 Status at a Glance
6 Table of Contents
8 Foreword
9 Acronyms
10 Executive Summary
13 A Cautionary Note on Data
16 MDG 1 │ End Poverty and Hunger
22 MDG 2 │ Universal Education
26 MDG 3 │ Gender Equality
30 MDG 4 │ Child Health
34 MDG 5 │ Maternal Health
38 MDG 6 │ Combat HIV&AIDS and Malaria
44 MDG 7 │ Environmental Sustainability
52 MDG 8 │ Global Partnership
56 Conclusion
60 Notes
16 Table 1: Progress in MDG 1 Indicators (Poverty)
18 Table 2: Progress in MDG 1 Indicator (Hunger)
22 Table 3: Progress in MDG 2 Indicators (Universal education)
26 Table 4: Progress in MDG 3 Indicators (Gender equality)
27 Table 5: Ratio of Women to Men in Tertiary Education by Institution
30 Table 6: Progress in MDG 4 Indicators (Child health)
34 Table 7: Progress in MDG 5 Indicators (Maternal health)
38 Table 8: Progress in MDG 6 Indicators (HIV&AIDS)
40 Table 9: Progress in MDG 6 Indicators (Malaria)
44 Table 10: Progress in MDG 7 Indicators (Environment)
46 Table 11: Progress in MDG 7 Indicators (Water and sanitation)
52 Table 12: Official Development Assistance to Zambia (2006-2010)
TABLES
6

Table of Contents
16 Figure 1: Population in Extreme Poverty
16 Figure 2: Poverty Gap Ratio (depth of poverty)
17 Figure 3: Extreme Poverty by Province (2010)
18 Figure 4: Underweight Children under Five
18 Figure 5: Underweight by Province (2010)
22 Figure 6: Primary School Net Enrolment
22 Figure 7: Pupils Reaching Grade 7
23 Figure 8: Literacy Rates (15-24-year-olds)
23 Figure 9: Completion Rates Grades 9 and 12
26 Figure 10: Ratio of Girls to Boys in Primary, Secondary and Tertiary Schools
26 Figure 11: Ratio of Girls to Boys in Primary School by Province
30 Figure 12: U-5 Mortality Rate
30 Figure 13: Infant Mortality Rate
30 Figure 14: One-Year-Olds Measles Immunized
31 Figure 15: Full Immunization Coverage by Province (2008-2010)
34 Figure 16: Maternal Mortality Ratio
34 Figure 17: Births Attended by Skilled Personnel
35 Figure 18: Supervised Deliveries by Province (average 2008-2010)
38 Figure 19: HIV Prevalence Rate
38 Figure 20: Universal Treatment
39 Figure 21: HIV Prevalence by Province 2007 (2001/02)
39 Figure 22: New HIV Infections among Adults (≥ 15 years)
39 Figure 23: Adults (≥ 15 years) who have Received VCT, and Know Their Results
39 Figure 24: Mothers Needing and Accessing PMTCT
40 Figure 25: New Malaria Cases
40 Figure 26: Households with ITNs
41 Figure 27: Malaria Incidence by Province
44 Figure 28: Land Covered by Forest
44 Figure 29: Use of Solid Fuels
44 Figure 30: Land Protected for Biodiversity
45 Figure 31: Main Sources of Energy for Cooking (2010)
46 Figure 32: Access to Improved Water
46 Figure 33: Access to Improved Sanitation
47 Figure 34: Access to improved Water by Province (2006 and 2010)
47 Figure 35: Proportion of Population using Pit Latrines and Flush Toilets by Province
53 Figure 36: FDI into Zambia (2000-2011)
53 Figure 37: Direct Employment Created by FDI by Sector
54 Figure 38: Phone and Internet Connectivity
FIGURES
7

Foreword
The 2013 Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) Report for Zambia tracks achievements on the 8
goals and 39 indicators in the context of the country’s development. The report is an essential tool
for Zambia’s leaders, citizens and partners for reviewing the progress of national policies and pro-
grammes that address each of the 8 goals. In some of the areas, as highlighted in the report, we see
significant achievements. In others, progress remains slow.
By emphasizing‘triggers for acceleration’, government and UNDP, as co-authors of the report, exam-
ine what has been tried and tested. This includes looking at lessons learnt for what could‘light a fire’
under relevant policies and institutions in order to either increase the momentum or get back on
track towards achieving the targets by 2015.
For those targets that have been reached, we have moved the bar up by looking at the next set of
challenges. For example, while it is highly commendable that the target for primary school enrol-
ment is close to being met, no country can develop on primary education alone. Zambia now has
to improve access, quality, relevance and completion of secondary and tertiary education. Similarly,
the country has reduced its HIV prevalence rate to below the target, and did so by 2007.Yet, another
challenge is the rate of new HIV infections. This report is therefore not limited to global targets only,
but sets new targets according to Zambia’s realities – in response to the national commitment and
impetus to go even further.
Concerns remain in those areas where Zambia is not on track to achieve its MDG targets. In a country
endowed with natural resources, the outlook for MDG 7 (environmental sustainability) is worrying
due to the degradation of land, forests, water and wildlife. Similarly, for MDG 1 (reducing poverty
and hunger): Zambia has grown economically at an average of 6.5 percent for the past six years, yet
cannot show a significant reduction in poverty, inequality and malnutrition in the rural and peri-
urban areas most in need of this. Accordingly, national priorities and policies will have to be reset
and institutions realigned to gain ground in these areas.
Given the relatively short time remaining, the private sector and civil society will have to play an
even greater role in supporting the acceleration initiative, as well as providing feedback on govern-
ment’s efforts towards achieving the MDGs by 2015.
We wish to thank all those who contributed to this report, by providing data, substantiation and
comments to help us tighten the analysis, including government partners, particularly the Minis-
try of Finance’s Monitoring and Evaluation Department and the Central Statistical Office; the many
readers across government ministries and NGOs; and the UN agencies, particularly WHO, UNICEF,
UNFPA, UNAIDS and ILO. We look forward to this report being actively used in the national develop-
ment dialogue and policy-making process.
Honourable Alexander Chikwanda, MP
Minister of Finance
Kanni Wignaraja
United Nations Resident Coordinator/
UNDP Resident Representative
8

Foreword │ Acronyms
Acronyms
AIDS Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome
ART Antiretroviral Therapy
ARVs Antiretrovirals
CFCs Chlorofluorocarbons
CSO Central Statistical Office
FDI Foreign Direct Investment
FISP Farmers Input Support Programme
GDP Gross Domestic Product
GNI Gross National Income
HIV Human Immunodeficiency Virus
ICT Information and Communications Technology
IMF International Monetary Fund
IRS Indoor Residual Spraying
ITNs Insecticide-Treated Mosquito Nets
LCMS Living Conditions Monitoring Survey
MDG Millennium Development Goal
MDGR Millennium Development Goals Report
MOE Ministry of Education
MOH Ministry of Health
MT Metric Tons
ODP Ozone Depletion Potential
OECD Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
ODA Official Development Agency
PAGE Programme for the Advancement of Girls’Education
PMTCT Prevention of Mother to Child Transmission
PPP Purchasing Power Parity
REDD Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation
SADC Southern African Development Community
SIM (Cellular Phone) Subscriber Identity Module
SNDP Sixth National Development Plan
TB Tuberculosis
TEVETA Technical Education, Vocational and Entrepreneurship Training Authority
U-5 Under 5 years of age
UN United Nations
UNDP United Nations Development Programme
UNGASS United Nations General Assembly
UNICEF United Nations Children’s Fund
UNESCO United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization
VCT Voluntary Counselling and Testing
WHO World Health Organization
WTO World Trade Organization
ZDHS Zambia Demographic and Health Survey
ZICTA Zambia Information and Communications Technology Authority
9

Executive Summary
The 2013 Millennium Development Goals Re-
port for Zambia provides an opportunity for the
country to reflect upon and assess its progress
towards achieving the eight Millennium Devel-
opment Goals (MDGs). With the 2015 deadline
approaching, Zambia’s progress on many of the
MDG targets is encouraging. Nonetheless, the
country is still confronted by challenges that
hold back key policy and institutional reforms,
and consequently the overall pace of implemen-
tation. Issues of policy direction and consistency,
as well as institutional capacities to deliver, must
therefore underpin efforts to both accelerate
and widen progress.
In this regard, particular attention must be paid
to lessons learnt as well as interventions re-
quired to fast-track the attainment of the MDGs
in Zambia. This year’s report has therefore iden-
tified selected ‘triggers for acceleration’ that will
help gain ground as well as sustain progress
achieved so far for the MDGs. These triggers
have been identified based on available data
and trend analysis, a review of ongoing national
policies and programmes, and lessons learnt at
both national and global level.
It is important to point out that many targets
have seen movement in the right direction.
Gains have been made for HIV and TB preva-
lence, underweight children, and gender equal-
ity in primary school. In some areas, however,
the pace of improvement has been slow. Yet
with political commitment and the right policy
and investment choices, the pace can be accel-
erated dramatically before 2015. Other targets
have seen some reversal, including those for im-
proved sanitation, some areas of environmental
sustainability, and gender equality in political
representation. Here, there is a need for special
measures.
Finally, MDG targets per se do not take into con-
sideration some of the underlying causes of lack
of progress. These causal factors, which drive
poverty, inequality, unsustainability and non-
inclusive development, are the cornerstones
of the United Nations Millennium Declaration,
which set out the foundation for the MDGs. If
these factors are not addressed, achieving the
MDG targets becomes a hollow victory.
MDG 1:
Extreme poverty is decreasing
but at a very slow pace
Extreme poverty has reduced from 58 percent
in 1991 to 42.3 percent in 2010. However, Zam-
bia is still far from reaching the MDG goal of 29
percent by 2015. Yet, the past twenty years have
seen improvements, and the depth of poverty
in urban areas has diminished: Copperbelt Prov-
ince has already reached its MDG target, and Lu-
saka Province is very close to doing the same. In
contrast, the rural provinces of Luapula,Western,
Eastern and Northern remain very distant from
their goals. Deliberate efforts to bring these out-
lying provinces back on track will be needed.
Zambia, with a Gini coefficient of 0.65, is among
the most unequal countries of the world today.
Specific attention to these growing disparities
must be high on the agenda of policy makers.
MDG 2:
Universal primary education
is within reach
Zambia has made steady progress on primary
school enrolment, which has increased from 80
percent in 1990 to 93 7 percent in 2010. The im-
provement can be linked to the boost in primary
education infrastructure and the introduction
of free education. Similarly, progress has been
made in improving primary school completion
rates. The proportion of pupils reaching Grade
7 has increased from 64 percent in 1990 to 90.9
percent in 2010. Disaggregation by sex shows
that the improvement was higher for girls. How-
ever, concerns remain on the quality of educa-
tion received, as well as the enrolment and com-
pletion rates in secondary school subsequently.
MDG 3:
Gender equality
and the empowerment of women
require special measures
The good news is that Zambia is on track to
achieve gender parity in primary school enrol-
ment as well as in literacy among 15-24-year-
olds.The Programme for Advancement of Girls’
Education introduced in 1994 has provided
effective advocacy and support in this regard.
10

Executive Summary
However, accelerated intervention is required
if gender parity is to be achieved in secondary
and tertiary education. In addition, the country
has moved backwards on women’s participation
in government in both local councils (6 percent)
and parliament (11 percent). Zambia will have to
introduce special measures to even come close
to the MDG target of 30 percent women in par-
liament – or the AU/SADC target of 50 percent.
MDG 4:
Child mortality remains high
Child mortality has declined by almost 30 per-
cent since 1992, but is still unacceptable high.
Themortalityrateofchildrenunderfivedropped
from 190.7 deaths per 1,000 live births in 1992
to 137.6 per 1000 live births in 2010. Similarly,
the mortality rate for infants (death before first
birthday) reduced from 107.2 deaths per 1,000
live births in 1992 to 76.2 deaths per 1,000 live
births in 2010. Progress in reducing child mortal-
ity has been brought about by increases in im-
munization coverage, exclusive breast-feeding,
vitamin and mineral supplementation, and ma-
laria prevention and treatment. These and other
interventions must be sustained and acceler-
ated if this goal is to be met by 2015.
MDG 5:
Improving maternal health
requires renewed emphasis
Thirty-eight mothers die each month due to
complications of pregnancy or childbirth. Al-
though maternal mortality in Zambia has been
falling, the decline is insufficient to reach the
2015 target of 162.3 deaths per 100,000 live
births. The number of women dying during
pregnancy and childbirth has decreased from
649 per 100,000 live births in 1997 to 483 in
2010. Interventions that have been successful,
and need to be scaled up, include improved use
of contraception for birth spacing, prevention of
early marriages, improved referral systems and
provision of and access to emergency obstetric
care, and the deployment of more trained mid-
wives and birth attendants. Investing in moth-
ers’education and nutritional status has a direct
impact on the health and well-being of children
and households.
MDGs Explained
The Millennium Development Goals are
based on the Millennium Declaration,
signed by 189 countries - including
147 heads of State and Government -
in September 2000, and from further
agreement by member states at the
2005 World Summit.
To assess progress on the commitment
made in the Millennium Declaration
over the period from 1990 to 2015,
relevant targets and indicators were
agreed upon. The goals and their targets
are interrelated and should be seen as
a whole. They represent a partnership
between the developed countries and
the developing countries“to create
an environment - at the national and
global levels alike - which is conducive
to development and the elimination of
poverty”.1
The official list of MDG indicators can
be found on http://mdgs.un.org/unsd/
mdg/host.aspx?Content=indicators/of-
ficiallist.htm.
Kindly note that certain targets and
indicators are not included in this report
due to unavailability of data in Zambia.
11

MDG 6:
Gains on HIV&AIDS, malaria
and other major diseases
must not be lost
The number of Zambians infected with HIV
has dropped to 14.3 percent of the population.
Zambia has therefore already achieved and sur-
passed the MDG target for HIV prevalence of
15.6 percent. However, prevalence rates in Lu-
saka, Copperbelt, Southern and Western Prov-
inces remain higher than 14.3 percent. This is
of particular concern in Lusaka due to its high
population. In addition, HIV incidence (new in-
fections) remains high throughout Zambia, and
is alarmingly on the rise among young people.
Therefore, the focus must be redirected to pre-
vention, including intensifying prevention of
mother-to-child transmission, male circumci-
sion, voluntary counselling and testing, and ART
as a preventative measure. The fact that HIV in-
cidence is consistently higher in women than in
men demonstrates that the underlying causes
of income and gender inequality need to be ad-
dressed as well. Concerns are also raised with
regards to the sustainability of the response,
as cooperating partners fund approximately 87
percent of HIV&AIDS interventions.39
The move
to a sustainable model of domestic financing for
HIV&AIDS is a necessary national priority.
Zambia made significant gains in malaria con-
trol and prevention up until 2009. However, the
drop-off in resources in the health sector has re-
sulted in a reversal of these gains in recent years.
With malaria, one cannot take a time-out. Given
the weather patterns and eco-systems in Zam-
bia, continuous attention is required to combat
malaria. The malaria fatality rate is of particular
concern in this regard, as it remains over three
times the target. Today, three children die every
day of malaria.The distribution and effective use
of ITNs and indoor residual spraying must con-
tinue.
While there has been a concerted effort to treat
TB and other infectious diseases, of growing
concern in Zambia today is non-communicable
diseases. Mortality and loss of productivity due
to heart disease, diabetes and hypertension are
on the rise, and constitute the next big health
challenge the country faces.
MDG 7:
Gaining lost ground
on environmental sustainability
Land covered by forests in Zambia reduced from
59.8 percent in 1990 to 49.9 percent in 2010.This
decline stems from over-exploitation through
logging for wood fuel and encroachment for
agriculture and settlements. There have been
recent efforts to stem this tide, including a na-
tional tree planting campaign and a temporary
ban on timber export, as well as integrated land
use assessment and reclassification of protected
areas. These efforts will help regenerate both
flora and fauna and protect the eco-systems and
biodiversity under threat in Zambia. As it takes
time for trees and species to mature, this is a leg-
acy for generations to come, and this MDG will
underpin the issue of sustainability for a post-
2015 vision for Zambia.
Zambia has observed improvements in the pro-
vision of clean water:The proportion of the pop-
ulation without access to an improved water
source has decreased from 51 percent in 1990 to
36.9 percent in 2010.
However, the proportion of the population with-
out access to improved sanitation facilities is not
getting any better. On the contrary, it worsened
from 26 percent in 1991 to 67.3 percent in 2010.
Zambia is therefore well off track to achieve the
MDG target of 13 percent by 2015. This disturb-
ing trend is partly explained by the increase
in informal human settlements without basic
sanitation facilities, the high cost of sanitation
infrastructure and the low returns to these in-
vestments for the private sector, especially in ru-
ral areas, partly by a methodology change. The
need for public engagement and state action
in this area is of paramount importance. Mas-
sive sanitation infrastructure investments and
social campaigns on healthy sanitary behaviour
can turn around this trend. Poor sanitation is the
breeding ground for day-to-day ill health, low
productivity and large epidemics that destroy
communities.
12

Executive Summary
MDG 8:
An evolving global partnership
for development
as Zambia transitions
to a middle-income country
Zambia has implemented reforms since the
1990s that have seen the development of a fairly
open, rule-based, predictable and non-discrim-
inatory trading and financial system. These re-
forms have among other things seen the coun-
try obtain debt relief. This coupled with a global
rise in copper prices has increased the country’s
fiscal space.
Zambia has also graduated from a low-income
to a lower middle-income country, which means
the country now has less access to concessional
lending and overseas development assistance.
The latter is therefore expected to remain below
5 percent of GDP in the remaining years to 2015.
Instead, Zambia is turning more and more to in-
ternational financial markets.
In addition, the country has succeeded in at-
tracting increasing inflows of foreign direct in-
vestment (FDI), peaking at $1.73 billion in 2010,
although inflows have fallen since then. Most of
the FDI in 2010 went into the mining sector, and
copper remains the main source of export earn-
ings, accounting for about 65 percent of total
exports. Yet, non-traditional exports are grow-
ing as well. In fact, Zambia’s external trade has
grown extensively since the early 1990s in re-
sponse to globalization, with many more prod-
ucts being exported today.
A Cautionary Note on Data
This report has to the extent possible
used official national data provided by
the Central Statistical Office. However,
when necessary, and in order to provide
a more complete picture of develop-
ments, it has included data from other
sources as well.
The report demonstrates that if Zambia
improved its collection of timely data
along with the consistency of data
collection and compilation methodolo-
gies, it would enable policy design and
implementation as well as the accurate
monitoring of MDG progress. For many
indicators, there is a lack of consensus
amongst state actors on the methodolo-
gies used. For instance, there are three
different data sets on the production of
copper, provided by the Central Statisti-
cal Office, the Bank of Zambia, and the
Ministry of Mines, Energy and Water
Development.
Old data does not facilitate timely and
relevant policy-making and implemen-
tation, and can provide an outdated and
at times irrelevant story. It therefore te-
naciously advocates for timely, publicly
available and robust data, disaggregat-
ed to the extent possible. This data must
be made available in the public domain
for more people to access and engage
on it. In doing so, the public would be
allowed to contribute their voice to the
policy choices made to accelerate prog-
ress on the MDGs for Zambia.
13

0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Percentage
Povertygap ratio Target
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Percentage
Extreme poverty Target
Target 1.A
Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people living in extreme poverty
Indicators
• Proportion of population living in extreme poverty (percent)
• Poverty Gap Ratio (incidence x depth of poverty) (percent)
Table 1: Progress in Indicators
16
Eradicate extreme poverty and hungerMDG 1MDG 1
Status
Extreme Poverty: The current pace of poverty
reduction in Zambia is too slow for the country
to achieve MDG target 1.A. The proportion of
people living in extreme poverty has decreased
from 58 percent in 1991 to 42.3 percent in 2010.
This took 19 years. In addition, the pace has
slowed down in recent years. Extreme poverty
has reduced by only 0 5 percentage points in
the 4 years from 2006 to 2010. Yet, it will have to
decline by 13.3 percentage points in the 5 years
from 2010 and 2015 to attain the MDG target.
Specific accelerators are therefore required in
the form of policy changes and targeted rural
investments.
Extreme poverty in Zambia is concentrated in
rural areas. In fact it is four times higher in ru-
ral areas (57.7 percent) than in urban ones (13.1
percent). Typical rural provinces such as Luapula
(64.9 percent), Western (64.0 percent) and East-
ern (58 7 percent) are therefore the worst af-
fected (see Figure 3). Rural poverty is due to lim-
ited access to physical and social infrastructures,
such as roads, electricity and medical facilities,
which impede development.
Whereas rural areas still have to travel 17.2 per-
centage points between 2010 and 2015 to reach
National
Rural
Urban
National
Rural
Urban
1996
53
79
44
51.3
55.6
37.9
2004
53
53
34
53
56
42
2006
51
67
20
34
45
13
2015 Target
29.0
40.5
16.0
31.1
34.8
23.2
1991
58
81
32
62.2
69.7
46.4
1993
61
84
24
1998
58
71
36
2002
46
52
32
Proportion of population living in extreme poverty (%)
Poverty Gap Ratio (incidence x depth of poverty) (%)
2010
42.3
57.7
13.1
28.0
37.9
9.3
Will target 1.A be
achieved under the
present trend?
Significant reforms
and investments
required
Figure 1: Population in Extreme Poverty
Figure 2: Poverty Gap Ratio (depth of poverty)
Although the propor-
tion of Zambian living in
extreme poverty has de-
clined in the past decade,
the proportion of rural
Zambians in extreme
poverty has increased.
Sources: CSO Poverty Trends Report 1996-2006 and LCMS 2010

-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
National
Urban
Rural
Copperbelt
Lusaka
Central
Southern
Northwestern
Northern
Eastern
Western
Luapula
Percentage
Extreme poverty(2010) Distance totarget
17
MDG 1 │ End Poverty and Hunger
The top 10% of Zambi-
ans share more than half
of total national income.
The bottom 60% share
less than 14% of total
income (LCMS 2010).
Figure 3: Extreme Poverty by Province (2010)
Target achieved
the MDG target, urban areas have, on average,
attained it. Urban provinces such as Lusaka (11.5
percent) and Copperbelt (18.3 percent) record-
ed the lowest rates of extreme poverty in 2010
(see Figure 3). This is because Zambia’s strong
economic growth has been concentrated to an
expansion of industrial and service sector activi-
ties in urban areas primarily. In fact, over 80 per-
cent of Zambia’s real GDP in 2010 was generated
in urban areas, according to the Central Statisti-
cal Office. These trends suggest that in the past
decade poverty has mainly reduced through mi-
gration from the economically depressed, rural
areas to the low-cost peri-urban areas closer to
the economic opportunities in the cities.
Poverty Gap Ratio: This indicator shows how
far below the poverty line the poor are. The wid-
er the poverty gap ratio, the more the resources
required for poverty reduction programmes.
Zambia has reached its goal for the poverty
gap ratio, although this disguises differences
between urban and rural areas, as the latter is
still to reach its goal (see Table 1). As poverty re-
mains deeper and wider in rural provinces such
as Western, Luapula, Eastern and Northern Prov-
inces, these areas need targeted poverty reduc-
tion programmes.
Obstacles to Poverty Reduction
Higher poverty amongst female-headed
households: Poverty afflicts men and women
differently. In 2010, extreme poverty was higher
in female-headed (60.4 percent) than male-
headed (57.1 percent) households.40
The loss of
a male spouse, typically via death or divorce, re-
sults in less labour capacity and income, which
makes female-headed households vulnerable to
poverty and food insecurity.
Low labour productivity – in particular in ag-
riculture, which provides work for most people
in rural areas, has negative implications for in-
clusive growth. Despite the sector absorbing
around two-thirds of the labour force, it only
accounts for 6.7 percent of Zambia’s real GDP.41
Lack of reliable electricity, coupled with the fact
that electricity access is very low and unequal,
further exacerbates the problem of low produc-
tivity. According to the 2010 Living Conditions
Monitoring Survey, only 22 percent of Zambian
households are connected to electricity.
High population growth rate: Zambia has one
of the fastest growing populations in sub-Saha-
ran Africa. The growth rate reached 2.8 percent
per annum during 2000-2010, up from 2.4 per-
cent during 1990-2000. This has not been ac-
companied by the requisite social and economic
development planning and investment, in effect
weakening the link between economic growth
and poverty reduction. A rapidly growing pop-
ulation puts pressure on public expenditure,
thereby straining vital public services, particu-
larly education and health. Matching population
growth with appropriate planning is fundamen-
tal to raising the low quality of Zambia’s human
capital and to speed up poverty reduction.
Low growth elasticity: The significant eco-
nomic growth rate over the last decade has not
translated into poverty reduction because of the
low growth elasticity of poverty in Zambia. The
absolute value of elasticity was less than 1.0 dur-
ing 2000-2007.42
This means there is a weak con-
nection between growth sectors of the Zambian
economy and those which employ the poor.
Wide income inequality: The responsiveness
of poverty to economic growth is weakened by
income inequality, which reduces the growth
gains that accrue to the poor. Zambia’s Gini co-
efficient, which measures income inequality, has
worsened, from 0.60 in 2006 to 0.65 in 2010, and
mostly in rural areas. Most economic activities
are concentrated in urban areas, while the rest
of the country is fairly underdeveloped and de-
pendent on subsistence farming. Thus, econom-
ic growth must be accompanied by progressive
redistribution of income in favour of the poor.
Source: LCMS 2010

0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Percentage
UnderweightU-5 children Target
-4
0
4
8
12
16
20
National
Urban
Rural
Western
Lusaka
Luapula
Northern
Eastern
Northwestern
Central
Southerm
Copperbelt
Percentage
UnderweightU-5 children(2010)
Distance totarget
18
Target 1.C
Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people who suffer from hunger
Indicator
Prevalence of underweight children under five years of age (percent)
Table 2: Progress in Indicator
Will target 1.C be
achieved under the
present trend?
Acceleration
required
Figure 4: Underweight Children under FiveStatus
Underweight children: The proportion of un-
derweight children under five years of age de-
clined from 25.1 percent in 1992 to 13.3 percent
in 2010, with both rural and urban areas record-
ing significant improvements. In fact, in rural
areas, the 2015 target has been reached, while
in urban areas, a further reduction of just 0.4
percentage points is required. MDG target 1.C is
therefore likely to be met. According to the 2010
Living Conditions Monitoring Survey, only three
provinces (Copperbelt, Southern and Central)
have not yet met the target on underweight U-5
children (see Figure 5), which calls for further
investments in child nutrition programmes in
these provinces. In addition, the incidence of
stunting (caused by chronic malnutrition) de-
clined from 54.2 percent in 2006 to 46.7 percent
in 2010.43
These improvements are mainly due to
government intensifying programmes for breast
feeding, nutritional supplements and immuni-
zation during this period.
Nutrition: There is a direct correlation between
nutritional levels of the population, especially
among young women and children, and food
prices (food inflation). Poor people spend most
of their income on food and have little capacity
to adapt to rising prices. To cope, they limit their
consumption of more nutritious but expensive
foods. In Zambia, the annual food inflation rate
decreased from 180 percent in 1992 to -0.2 per-
cent in 2006. In the same period, the proportion
of underweight children almost halved, from
25.1 percent in 1992 to 13.3 percent in 2006.
National
Rural
Urban
1996
25
27
19
2004
20
22
16
2007
14.6
15.3
12.8
2015 Target
12.5
14.5
10.4
1992
25.1
29.0
20.8
2002
28.1
30.1
23.4
2010*
13.3
14.2
10.8
Prevalence of underweight U-5 children (%)
Figure 5: Underweight by Province (2010)
Zambia is an exporter
of foodstuffs, including
maize, yet almost half
of Zambian children are
stunted in growth.
Sources: ZDHS 1992, 2001-2002, 2006 and 2007, LCMS 1996, 2004, 2006 and 2010
Target achieved
Source: LCMS 2010

19
MDG 1 │ End Poverty and Hunger
Despite Zambia’s impressive macroeconomic performance
over the last decade, it has had little impact on extreme pover-
ty, as acknowledged by the country’s Sixth National Develop-
ment Plan (2011-2015). Ensuring that economic growth is ac-
companied by rapid poverty reduction is therefore a key focus
of both government and its development partners. As extreme
poverty and inequality is particularly pronounced in rural ar-
eas, the analysis below focuses on how to accelerate reduction
of poverty and inequality in rural Zambia, largely drawing on
international experiences outlined in the global MDG Report
2012: Assessing Progress in Africa toward the Millennium De-
velopment Goals.
Rural areas have suffered chronic lack of investment in infra-
structure and services – both hard (roads, energy and ICT) and
soft (skills, health and markets). Specific policies to promote in-
clusive growth, with a particular focus on agriculture and the in-
formal sector, have the potential to improve the growth elastic-
ity of poverty. Countries such as China, Brazil and Ethiopia have
succeeded in reducing rural poverty through implementing a
wide range of pro-poor programmes to improve agricultural
technologies, expand agricultural extension services, commer-
cialize smallholder agriculture, develop rural infrastructure and
to enhance access to social protection especially through pro-
grammes for productive safety nets and provision of credit.
Policies to mitigate and sustainably manage high population
growth and to promote social protection are also vital. Global
evidence suggests that successful national employment strate-
gies, which expand the number of jobs and labour productivity
in growth sectors, have focused on widening access to credit,
machineryandotherequipmenttofacilitatevalue-additionpro-
duction, on easing the business environment, boosting physical
and institutional infrastructure, and on improving working con-
ditions. The large increase in the minimum wage in Zambia in
2012 will work towards minimizing inequality in the formal sec-
tor. However, 90 percent of the workforce is in the informal sec-
tor.44
Therefore, it is key to implement policies and instruments
that target the informal sector and the non-working poor.
Food security requires short- and long-term strategies and in-
terventions. In the short term, these should focus on improv-
ing nutritional outcomes, for example by linking comprehen-
sive national nutritional programmes to health services, on
promoting home visits by health workers, and on facilitating
distribution of therapeutic food supplements to vulnerable
groups, especially children and women. Long-term interven-
tions, which recognize and respond to the impact of climate
change through the promotion of sustainable agricultural
practices, should be institutionalized. These should, amongst
other things, promote better use of fertilizer and wider access
to drought and disease-resistant seed. Encouraging all-season
farming and easier access to market and insurance information
via mobile phone technologies are other long-term interven-
tions to consider.
Learning from both the Zambian experience, as well as what
has worked globally, the primary accelerators suggested to re-
duce extreme poverty and hunger in Zambia are as follows:
Promote long-term planning of and investment in sus-(1)
tainable energy and equitable access to energy, espe-
cially amongst the poor. On-grid rural electrification ef-
forts could be supplemented by off-grid interventions
such as mini-hydro, natural gas and solar energy, where
cost-effective and available. Such interventions can be
implemented within a short period to avoid beneficiaries
having to wait for the power grid to be extended to rural
areas, which often are costly to reach and maintain.
Allow for greater private sector participation in the maize(2)
market, to promote agricultural diversification, and hence
more income opportunities for the rural poor.
Review the Farmers Input Support Programme in a trans-(3)
parent manner to assess its direct benefits to small-scale
farmers and poor households. If correctly targeted, this
input subsidy programme could potentially have a more
immediate impact on hunger and income deprivation
among the poorest rural households, especially if it was
combined with cash transfers.
Ensure access to cheaper credit and insurance, skills up-(4)
grading and appropriate technology to enable scale-up
and improvement of small-scale agricultural and labour
productivity.
Intensify investments in rural and peri-urban economic(5)
and social infrastructure, with priority given to feeder
roads, secondary schools, clinics, water and sanitation.
Provide public transportation that connects rural com-(6)
munities to markets, to enable cheaper transportation of
goods and services, and hence cheaper food for poorer
households.
Implement legislative and regulatory instruments that(7)
will promote the introduction of protein- and vitamin-rich
foods into the staple diet, and teach young mothers to
optimize provision and preparation of low-cost nutritional
foods for infants and children.
MDG 1 TRIGGERS FOR ACCELERATION: Combating poverty and hunger in rural areas

0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Percentage
Primaryschool netenrolment Target
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Percentage
PupilsreachingGrade 7 Target
Target 2.A
Ensure that, by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to complete a
full course of primary schooling
Indicators
• Net enrolment in primary schools (percent)
• Proportion of pupils reaching Grade 7 (percent)
• Literacy rates for 15-24-year-olds (percent)
22
Achieve universal primary education
Will target 2.A be
achieved under the
present trend?
Acceleration
required
Total
Girls
Boys
Total
Girls
Boys
2001
76.6
75.3
77.8
2004
85.1
84.6
85.6
82
75
95
70
66
75
2005
95.6
95.8
95.3
81
73
88
2015 Target
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
1990
80
69
71
64
57
71
74.9
71.2
78.9
2000
71.1
69.6
72.7
70
66
75
2002
77.7
76.4
78.8
2003
81.3
82.4
81.3
73
66
80
75
70
75
Primary school net enrolment (%)
Pupils reaching Grade 7 (%)
2006
97
98
96
83
79
91
Literacy rates for 15-24-year-olds (%)
2009
102*
104.6*
103.6*
91.7
87.7
98.7
2010
93.7#
93.9#
93.1#
90.9
89.6
90.8
88.7
86.5
91.2
Total
Girls
Boys
*
Enrolment rates cannot exceed 100 percent, however these figures are based on demographic data, which does not include
factors such as migration within Zambia. #
Enrolment rates for 2010 are based on the actual size of the population according to
the 2010 census, while enrolment rates for 2001-2009 are based on population projections in the 2000 census.
Figure 6: Primary School Net Enrolment Figure 7: Pupils Reaching Grade 7
Status
Primary school net enrolment: Zambia has
made steady progress on primary school enrol-
ment, which has increased from 80 percent in
1990 to 93.7 percent in 2010. The improvement
is linked to several factors such as development
of education infrastructure and introduction of
free education.
Grade 7 completion:45
Zambia has also made
progress in boosting primary school completion
rates. The proportion of pupils reaching Grade
MDG 2MDG 2
Almost all children
in Zambia complete
primary school, but less
than 40% pass their final
exams in secondary
school – and only 19% of
girls do so (MOE).
Sources: MOE, except literacy rates (1990, 2000 and 2010) from CSO census reports

0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Percentage
Literacyrates(15-24-year-olds) Target
23
MDG 2 │ Universal Education
Figure 8: Literacy Rates (15-24-year-olds)7 has increased from 64 percent in 1990 to 90.9
percent in 2010. Disaggregation by sex shows
that the improvement in the same period was
higher for girls (32.6 percentage points) than for
boys (19.8 percentage points). This was partly
on account of the Programme for Advancement
of Girls’ Education and the re-entry policy. The
latter may by now be showing a positive, albeit
minor, impact.
Similarly, the completion rate for Grade 9 (basic
school) increased from 35.3 percent in 2002 to
53.2 percent in 2010 (see Figure 9), while that for
Grade 12 (secondary school) increased from 14.4
percent in 2002 to 31.7 percent in 2010. In both
instances,thecompletionratehasimprovedfast-
er for girls than for boys. In fact, girls have over-
taken boys in completing basic school. However,
this says little about the quality of this education
and its ability to make graduates ‘fit for work’.
Both Grades 9 and 12 have low pass rates.
Youth literacy: National youth literacy has im-
proved from 74.9 percent in 1990 to 88.7 per-
cent in 2010. It has increased faster for girls, by
15.3 percentage points in the same period, than
for boys, by 12.3 percentage points. (seeTable 3).
Illiteracy presents a real challenge to the attain-
ment of MDG target 2.A, and to the overall issue
of addressing the transition to employment and
increasing labour productivity. A focus on func-
tional literacy for young adults is required, with-
out which vocational and technical training and
skills upgrading efforts are undermined.
MDG 2 TRIGGERS FOR ACCELERATION:
Moving to secondary school and literacy targets
By improving its primary school enrolment and completion, Zambia has en-
countered a new challenge: How to ensure that its primary education is of
a quality high enough for pupils to progress through secondary education.
In addition, the country is faced with the issue of equal access for girls and
boys at secondary and tertiary levels of education.
To further improve the Grade 7 completion rate, government needs to(1)
secure greater balance between interventions that focus on improving
educational access and gender parity in enrolment, on the one hand,
and those that address retention and completion rates, on the other.
Although the completion rate for Grade 12 has been improving rapidly(2)
since 2009, primarily due to major improvements in school infrastruc-
ture, it is still very low. Enhancing this will require massive investments
in the construction of secondary and post-secondary educational facili-
ties, and higher recurrent budgets for the provision of books, lab and
computer equipment.
Quantitative improvements in education outcomes, while necessary,(3)
are not sufficient. Improved enrolment and progression rates should
be accompanied by quality teaching staff and upgraded school facili-
ties to improve the overall quality of education (including improving
the dwindling pass rates). The commitment by government in its 2013
national budget to provide more resources for the educational sector,
including for the recruitment of more teachers and retention incentives
for those to serve in rural areas, is encouraging.
To address illiteracy, government must work with its stakeholders and(4)
partners, including civil society organizations, private sector, academia
and parent-teacher associations in pursuing policies and programmes
that improve youth literacy rates, especially for females. Civil society has
experience in designing flexible programmes for specific community
groups, lobbying for the interests of vulnerable populations and moni-
toring performance.The private sector has a particular interest in an edu-
cated workforce and must be encouraged to offer more apprenticeship
programmes, as well as workplace literacy and skills development.
Average class sizes in
Zambia’s schools have
increased from 37 to
57 over the past two
decades (UNESCO).
Figure 9: Completion Rates Grades 9 and 12
Source: MOE Educational Statistical Bulletin 2010
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Percentage
Grade 9 total Grade 12 total
Grade 9 boys Grade 12 boys
Grade 9 girls Grade 12 girls

Target 3.A
Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education, preferably by 2005, and
in all levels of education no later than 2015
Indicators
• Ratio of girls to boys in primary, secondary and tertiary education
• Ratio of literate women to men (15-24-year-olds)
• Share of women in wage employment in non-agricultural sector (percent)
• Proportion of seats held by women in parliament (percent)
26
Promote gender equality
Will target 3.A be
achieved under the
present trend?
Acceleration
required
Status
Gender parity in education: The ratio of girls
to boys in primary education has increased from
0.90 in 1990 to 0.99 in 2010, which is very close
to the target of 1. In effect Zambia has attained
gender parity in primary school enrolment. The
Programme for Advancement of Girls’ Educa-
tion, introduced in 1994, and to a lesser degree
the re-entry policy, is considered a major driver
in this regard. Gender parity by province (see
Figure 11) shows that Lusaka and Copperbelt
Provinces have attained equality in primary edu-
cation. Being urban provinces, they have a high
number of schools places, and are less suscepti-
ble to traditions working against girls getting an
education. Amongst the rural provinces, Eastern
MDG 3MDG 3
Primary
Secondary
Tertiary
2000
0.70
12
2006
0.97
0.86
0.72
0.80
14
2007
0.96
0.89
0.77
0.80
14
2015 Target
1
1
1
1
30
1990
0.90
0.90
0.75
39
6.7*
1995
0.72
10#
2004
0.95
2005
0.96
0.86
0.74
0.80
34
12
Ratio of girls to boys in education
Ratio of literate women to men (15-24-year-olds)
2008
0.97
0.87
0.74
0.80
14
Share of women in wage employment in non-agricultural sector (%)
2009
0.96
0.88
0.74
0.80
14
2010
0.99
0.86
0.75
11.4^
Proportion of seats held by women in parliament (%)
*
1991, #
1997, ^
2012
Figure 10: Ratio of Girls to Boys
in Primary, Secondary and Tertiary Schools
Figure 11: Ratio of Girls to Boys
in Primary School by Province
Zambia lags behind
other SADC countries on
women representation
in government. Only 18
of its 158 members of
parliament are women. Sources: MOE Educational Statistical Bulletin 2010 and Zambia MDGR 2011
Source: MOE
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
National
Northern
Southern
Luapula
Western
Central
Northwestern
Eastern
Copperbelt
Lusaka
Ratioofgirlstoboys
2005 2010
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Ratioofgirlstoboys
Primary Secondary Tertiary Target

27
MDG 3 │ Gender Equality
(0.99) had the best gender parity, while North-
ern (0.93) had the worst.
Gender parity in secondary education has, how-
ever, fallen from 0.92 in 1990 to 0.86 in 2010
(see Table 4), primarily driven by a high drop-
out rate for girls. Girls are being socialized to
become wives, mothers and care-givers, which
results in more domestic responsibilities (chores
and care tasks), teenage pregnancies and early
marriages. Once in secondary school, girls are
also vulnerable to sexual harassment and vio-
lence and related diseases such as HIV&AIDS.
HIV&AIDS worsens gender-based differences in
access to land and other productive resources
such as labour, technology, credit and water.
These gender differences become more acute
when productive resources are eroded, making
female- and youth-headed households the most
vulnerable of the rural poor. Zambia has a rela-
tively high percentage of households headed
by girls of school-going age.46
HIV&AIDS has no
age boundaries, and the loss of adult labour has
forced families to withdraw older children from
school to take care of younger siblings and/or
help in food production.
Genderparityintertiaryeducationhasremained
almost unchanged from 2005 (0.74 percent) to
2009 (0.75 percent). Many young women do not
enrol in colleges and university, or find it diffi-
cult to continue attending classes after getting
married or becoming pregnant. However, within
some tertiary institutions, such as the Univer-
sity of Zambia, great improvements have been
made (see Table 5). The obvious exception is the
Copperbelt University, which had a ratio of fe-
males to males of 0.39 in 2011. This is likely to
be caused by this institution offering primarily
scientific and mathematical courses.
Women in parliament: Zambia has continued
to perform poorly with respect to political rep-
resentation of women in government. Women
made up 52 percent of the voting block in the
2011 general elections, yet they hold a low pro-
portion of seats in both local councils (6.3 per-
cent) and parliament (11.4 percent). In fact, Zam-
bia’s representation of women in parliament is
one of the lowest in Africa; far short of the MDG
target of 30 percent and the even more ambi-
tious target of 50 percent set by both the AU
and SADC (Zambia has signed the SADC Gender
Protocol for 50/50 representation). Experience
shows that countries, which have performed
well on female representation in politics, such as
Egypt, Rwanda, South Africa and Uganda, have
adopted legal frameworks that guarantee parlia-
mentary seats for women.47
In addition, political
parties have a strong role to play in accelerating
gender inclusiveness in politics at local, regional
and national levels.
Reaching for gender equality
in the economic, social and political spheres
Despite awareness-raising and other interventions to promote gender equal-
ity, Zambia has not focused sufficiently on addressing the underlying causes
of women’s economic, social and political marginalization. Waiting for the
pervasive cultural norms and discriminatory attitudes to change is a wait too
long. Zambia needs to actively advance policies and laws that reinforce gen-
der parity and equality in access to education, labour market, public services
and political representation. Many countries within the region and in other
parts of the world have shown that affirmative action initiatives are needed
to correct for age-old biases and behaviours in order to provide a level play-
ing field for girls and boys, women and men. Specific triggers include the
following:
A continued focus on specific initiatives that target the educational(1)
needs of under-served and under-privileged girls (and boys) in order to
increase their educational access.
Promoting women’s skills development to improve access to higher(2)
skilled and productive jobs, including in non-traditional work areas.
Provision of subsidized child care services, in particular made more eas-(3)
ily available to poorer women to enable them to participate in remu-
nerative economic activities.
Directly and aggressively address the issue of gender violence and early(4)
marriages through implementation of laws, advocacy and campaigns
that include traditional leadership, and through actual banning of hurt-
ful cultural practices.
A concerted effort to attain gender parity in secondary education would(5)
entail confronting the preference to educate boys rather than girls and
practices such as early marriages. Extensive advocacy, household in-
centives, school bursaries and more girls’ hostel facilities would make
a difference, as would continued efforts to reduce HIV prevalence and
incidence.
Minimum thresholds of male and female representation throughout(6)
the political cycle – from party lists to seats in parliament – could be
introduced to incentivize the change and ensure greater gender parity
in political representation at all levels.
Total
TEVETA
Institutions
Education
colleges
University
of Zambia
Copperbelt
University
Mulungushi
University
2003
0.79
1.04
0.29
0.24
2006
0.72
0.68
0.89
0.68
0.26
2007
0.77
0.69
0.96
0.69
0.46
1994
0.08
1995
0.36
0.18
2004
0.61
1.05
0.51
0.25
2005
0.74
0.59
1.27
0.60
0.25
2008
0.74
0.68
1.02
0.68
0.25
2009
0.74
0.81
0.90
0.76
0.32
0.60
2010
0.75
0.78
0.91
0.80
0.34
0.60
2011
0.75
0.80
0.80
0.83
0.39
0.50
2012
0.41
1.20
Table 5: Ratio of Women to Men in Tertiary Education by Institution
Source: MOE

0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Percentage
One-year-olds immunizedagainst measles Target
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Deathper1,000livebirths
Infantmortalityrate Target
0
50
100
150
200
250
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Deathsper1,000livebirths
U-5 mortalityrate Target
Target 4.A
Reduce by two-thirds, between 1990 and 2015, the under-five mortality rate
Indicators
• Under-five mortality rate (deaths per 1,000 live births)
• Infant mortality rate (deaths per 1,000 live births)
• Proportion of one-year-olds immunized against measles (percent)
30
Reduce child mortality
Figure 12: U-5 Mortality Rate Figure 13: Infant Mortality Rate
Status
Child mortality: The observed declines in child
mortalityratesinZambiaareinsufficienttoreach
MDG target 4.A. Under-five mortality dropped
from 190.7 deaths per 1,000 live births in 1992
to 137.6 deaths per 1,000 live births in 2010,
while infant mortality (death before a child’s first
birthday) reduced from 107.2 deaths per 1,000
live births in 1992 to 76.2 deaths per 1,000 live
births in 2010.
U-5 mortality rate (deaths per 1000 live births)
Infant mortality rate (deaths per 1,000 live births)
One-year-olds immunized against measles (%)
2002
168
95
84
2015 Target
63.6
35.7
100
1992
190.7
107.2
77
1996
197
109
86.5
2007
119
70
84.9
2010
137.6
76.2
94
MDG 4MDG 4
Will target 4.A be
achieved under the
present trend?
Significant reforms
and investments
required
Figure 14: One-Year-Olds Measles Immunized
Sources: Mortality rates from CSO (1992-2007 from ZDHS and 2010 from LCMS) and immunization from MOH
Child mortality has
declined by almost 30%
in the past two decades.
Yet, 1 in 8 children die
before they turn 5 years.

31
MDG 4 │ Child Health
Similarly, neonatal mortality (deaths during the
first 28 days after birth) has according to UNICEF
reduced from 43 deaths per 1,000 live births in
1990 to 27 deaths in 2012.48
The leading causes of death among children
are complications arising during pregnancy
and birth, and later, respiratory infections, diar-
rhoeal diseases, malaria, measles and malnutri-
tion, often in combination. Many countries have
therefore successfully reduced child mortality
by implementing the Integrated Management
of Childhood Illness (IMCI) strategy, a holistic
approach to child health developed by UNICEF
and WHO. Zambia has also adopted IMCI, but its
child mortality rates suggest an urgent need to
revise its child health interventions. The country
needs to improve the prevention and manage-
ment of diarrhoea, pneumonia, malaria and
HIV infection in children, including scaling up
of high-impact advocacy on the importance of
exclusive breastfeeding and appropriate feed-
ing of young children as well as hygiene, hand-
washing and unsafe drinking water.
Measles immunization: One effective interven-
tion has been the immunization against mea-
sles, with coverage growing from 77 percent of
all one-year-olds in 1992 to 94 percent in 2010.
Measles are part of the full immunization pack-
age in Zambia. Figure 15 shows that full immu-
nization coverage has varied across provinces.
Generally, urban provinces (Lusaka and Copper-
belt) are in the lead, while remote rural provinc-
es such as Northwestern and Western have the
lowest coverage. Although there has been an
improvement in the availability of logistics, vac-
cines and cold chain storage, driven by efficient
interventions such as the Expanded Programme
on Immunization and the National Vaccine Cold
Store, some facilities still get cut off during the
rainy season. In addition, aggressive social mo-
bilization will have to correct for the worsening
turn-out for immunization in urban provinces.
Government is also supporting the introduction
and expansion of new vaccines into Zambia in-
cluding pneumococcal, rotavirus and measles
second dose vaccines, as well as other new vac-
cines in the future.
Saving more children from birth to five years
Expand interventions that target the main causes of(1)
death in U-5 children as well as the most vulnerable
newborns, infants and children. This includes promot-
ing breast feeding and appropriate nutrition and en-
suring full immunization coverage, especially against
measles. In this regard, the bi-annual Child Health Week
has shown good results, but more resources must be
put into outreach activities to follow up on mothers de-
faulting on immunization programmes.
Empowering women and increasing awareness and(2)
education levels of young mothers will have a direct im-
pact on the lives, health and nutritional status of their
children.
Diarrhoea remains a dominant threat to the lives of(3)
infants and children in Zambia. Access to clean water
and improved sanitation facilities both in homes and
schools effectively addresses this threat.
Countries that have significantly reduced neonatal(4)
deaths have focused on having trained midwives at all
deliveries, increased pre-natal check-ups and nutrition-
al care, and maternity waiting homes near clinics to re-
duce travel distances, especially if complications set in.
Figure 15: Full Immunization Coverage by Province (2008-2010)
(sorted by average)
Source: MOH Annual Health Statistical Bulletin 2010
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
National
Nortwestern
Western
Luapula
Northern
Southern
Eastern
Copperbelt
Central
Lusaka
Percentage
2008 2009 2010

Figure 16: Maternal Mortality Ratio
Target 5.A
Reduce by three-quarters, between 1990 and 2015, the maternal mortality ratio
Indicators
• Maternal mortality ratio (deaths per 100,000 live births)
• Proportion of births attended by skilled health personnel (percent)
Target 5.B
Achieve, by 2015, universal access to reproductive health
Indicators
• Contraceptive prevalence rate (any modern method) (percent)
34
Improve maternal health
Status
Maternal mortality: Although maternal mor-
tality has declined in Zambia, the magnitude
of the problem is still unacceptably high. Ac-
cording to the Ministry of Health, 38 women die
every month on average during pregnancy and
childbirth. The maternal mortality ratio has im-
proved from 649 deaths per 100,000 live births
in 1996 to 483 deaths per 100,000 live births in
2010. This is a lot higher than the MDG target of
162.3 deaths per 100,000 live births by 2015.
MDG 5MDG 5
Will target 5.A and 5.B
be achieved under the
present trend?
Significant reforms
and investments
required
Figure 17: Births Attended by Skilled Personnel
Maternal Mortality Ratio (deaths per 100,000 live births)
Births Attended by Skilled Personnel (%)
Contraceptive Prevalence Rate (%)
2002
729
43.4
18.6
2015 Target
162.3
1992
50.5
7.0
1996
649
11.2
2007
591.2
46.5
24.6
2010*
483
44*
38 women die every
month in Zambia
during pregnancy and
childbirth
Sources: CSO, except *
MOH
The major direct causes of maternal mortality in
Zambia are complications arising during preg-
nancy and birth, such as haemorrhage, septicae-
mia (blood infection), obstructed labour, hyper-
tensive conditions, as well as unsafe abortions.
Zambia has sought to reduce maternal mortality
by ensuring universal access to family planning,
skilled attendance at birth, and basic and com-
prehensive emergency obstetric care. However,
maternal mortality is rooted in gender inequal-
ity, which manifests itself as poor education for
girls, early marriages, adolescent pregnancies
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Deathsper100,000livebirths
Maternal mortalityratio Target
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Percentage
Birthsattendedbyskilledpersonnel

35
MDG 5 │ Maternal Health
A mother’s health is a community’s wellbeing
Efforts to decrease maternal mortality cannot be undertaken
in isolation, as it is closely linked to other MDG indicators such
as mothers’education, nutrition and diseases such as HIV&AIDS
and tuberculosis. An aggressive effort to reduce maternal mor-
tality should include efforts by government and its partners to:
Scale up long-term methods of(1) family planning that are
encouraged and supported by families, health facilities
and local communities.
Continue expanding – and sustain – basic and compre-(2)
hensive emergency obstetric care, including improved
referral systems, for an immediate and direct impact on
mothers’lives at child birth.
Improve(3) pre-service training of midwives and the capac-
ity of other health care providers in emergency obstetric
care, and facilitate the return of retired nurses to fill the
gap until trained midwives have been deployed.
Continue sensitization of pregnant women, and their part-(4)
ners, on the importance of attending and seeking early
antenatal care.This includes scaling up safe motherhood
action groups to all districts to provide the needed sup-
port.
Construct(5) maternity waiting homes where there are
none, with priority given to districts with few health cen-
tres, where expectant mothers travel long distances.
Reduce the high number of(6) unsafe abortions, both by
preventing unplanned pregnancies, and by tackling bar-
riers that prevent women from accessing safe services.
Communityinterventionscouldincreaseawarenessabout
the moral and legal rights of women to access abortions
under certain circumstances.
Figure 18: Supervised Deliveries by Province (average 2008-2010)
and lack of access to sexual and reproductive
health information and services.
This is related to the problem of unsafe abor-
tions. According to the University Teaching
Hospital, unsafe abortions account for nearly
30 percent of all maternal deaths in Zambia,
with young women particularly at risk. Zambia
may have one of the most progressive abortion
laws in sub-Saharan Africa, but there are many
barriers to access safe services, including moral
prejudices against abortions, even amongst
healthcare providers. The result is that women,
and girls, go to great lengths to end pregnancies
in secret.
Assisted deliveries:This is one of the most criti-
cal interventions for ensuring safe motherhood.
It hastens the timely delivery of emergency
obstetric care as well as newborn care when
life-threatening complications arise. Figure 18
shows that supervised deliveries averaged over
60 percent over the period 2008 to 2010, which
partly explains the recent reduction in maternal
mortality. Several typically rural provinces such
as Northwestern, Eastern, Luapula and Northern
did well due to their high proportion of home
births assisted by trained traditional birth at-
tendants. As a temporary measure, traditional
birth attendants help to bridge the gap until
more midwives are trained.
The increase in rural health centres, which pro-
vide a hygienic environment for deliveries, has
had a positive impact on maternal health, as has
the increase in healthcare providers equipped
with in-service emergency and obstetric care
skills. Other factors include community sensiti-
zation on how institutional deliveries can save
both mothers’and babies’lives. Yet, many wom-
en still deliver at home, especially poor women
in rural areas with little education.These women
also have fewer and lower-quality antenatal
care visits. On average, Lusaka and Copperbelt
Provinces had the highest proportions of institu-
tional deliveries (see Figure 18) due to an easier
access to health centres. Northern Province had
the lowest proportion of institutional deliveries.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Zambia
Northern
Southern
Western
Central
Luapula
Lusaka
Copperbelt
Eastern
Northwestern
Percentage Institutional deliveries
Home birthsassistedbytrainedTraditional BirthAttendant

Target 6.A
Have halted, by 2015, and begun to reverse the spread of HIV&AIDS
Indicators
• HIV prevalence rate (percent)
• Proportion of 15-24-year-olds with comprehensive, correct knowledge of HIV&AIDS (percent)
• Ratio of school attendance of orphans to non-orphans (10-14 years)
Target 6.B
Achieve, by 2010, universal access to treatment for HIV&AIDS for all those who need it
Indicators
• Proportion of population with advanced HIV infection with access to ARVs (percent)
38
Reverse the spread of HIV&AIDS,
malaria and other major diseases
Figure 19: HIV Prevalence Rate Status
HIV prevalence and incidence: Zambia is likely
to achieve the 2015 target for the HIV prevalence
rate, as it fell to 14 3 percent in 2007. Although
the national MDG target has been met, this masks
great differences in HIV prevalence rates amongst
provinces (see Figure 21). Lusaka, Copperbelt
and Central Provinces are all above 15.6 percent.
Therefore extra attention must be paid to prov-
inces with high prevalence.
However, focus is increasingly shifting to reduc-
tion of new infections (the incidence rate). From
1990 to 2011, the rate of new infections more
than halved in the Zambian adult population (15
years and older), to 0.96 percent amongst males
and to 1.25 percent amongst females (see Figure
22). The increase from 1998 to 2002 was caused
by a range of factors, such as lack of awareness
and use of services, the window period of HIV
and scale-up of VCT. Although the incidence
rate amongst adults over 15 years of age is pro-
jected to continue falling from 2011 to 2015, by
MDG 6MDG 6
Will targets 6.A + 6.B
be achieved under the
present trend?
Yes
Figure 20: Universal Treatment
HIV prevalence rate (%)
Proportion of 15-24-year-olds with comprehensive,
correct knowledge of HIV&AIDS (%)
Ratio of school attendance of orphans
to non-orphans (10-14 years) (%)
Proportion of population with advanced
HIV infection on ART (%)
2002
15.6
31
79.1
2015 Target
15.6 or less
100
80
2000
71.8
2007
14.3
48
93
2009
40.2*
92*
2005
43.7*
23.5#
2008
74#
2011
77.6#
Sources: CSO, except *
Zambia Sexual Behaviour Survey 2009 and #
HIV&AIDS UNGASS Zambia Report 2012
HIV incidence has
stabilised in Zambia, yet
the absolute number
of new HIV infections
is increasing due to an
expanding population.
Large cities host a dispro-
portionate share of the
HIV epidemic in Africa,
and Zambia is no excep-
tion. HIV&AIDS is a major
health and social prob-
lem in large cities in the
form of high prevalence
and associated need for
treatment and care.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Percentage
HIVprevalence rate Target
0
20
40
60
80
100
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Percentage
Proportionofpeople withadvancedHIVon ART
Target

0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Percentage
Numberofmothers
Mothersneeding PMTCT
Motherson PMTCT
Percentage of mothers on PMTCT
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2008 2010 2011
Numberofadults
Men Women Total
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
Percentage
Men Women All adults
39
MDG 6 │ HIV&AIDS and Malaria
2.2 percent for men and 2.1 percent
for women, it is still much higher than
the death rate of 0.34 percent per year
amongst adults over 15 years of age.
A disease only wanes significantly if
there are fewer new infections than
deaths from the disease, and in the
case of Zambia this can only happen
once new infection rates are below 0.2
percent per annum.49
The key drivers of new infections in
Zambia are multiple and include con-
current sexual partners, low and incon-
sistent use of condoms, low rates of
medical male circumcision, poor cov-
erage of vulnerable and marginalized
groups such as sex workers, prisoners
and migrants, and mother-to-child
transmission.
Since the introduction of voluntary
medical male circumcision (VMMC) in
2007, over 167,000 VMMCs have been
performed in Zambia, of which 89 per-
cent took place in 2010 and 2011.50
Yet, the VMMC programme has fallen
short of its target of 150,000 circumci-
sions annually.
In this connection, it is encouraging
that the number of people accessing
Voluntary Counselling and Testing
(VCT) has been increasing steadily
over the years, from 511,266 in 2008
to 1,772,043 in 2011. However, more
women than men are utilizing VCT
in Zambia (see Figure 23). Behaviour
change for men in a highly male-driv-
en culture remains a significant chal-
lenge, as does the poor availability of
test kits.
Young people with knowledge of
HIV&AIDS: Comprehensive knowl-
edge of HIV&AIDS amongst young
people (15-24 years) is vital to improve
their health-seeking behaviour and
ability to access relevant health and
support services. The proportion of
young people with comprehensive
knowledge of HIV&AIDS has improved
from 31 percent in 2002 to 40.2 percent
in 2009. However, HIV prevalence re-
mains high amongst people with com-
prehensive knowledge of HIV&AIDS,51
suggesting that socio-economic and
gender inequalities as well as cultural
factors are important drivers of the
HIV epidemic. Research has indicated
that transactional sex (the exchange of
favours for sex) is common in Zambia,
even among young people.
School attendance of orphans: The
vulnerability of children orphaned by
the HIV&AIDS epidemic is immense, not
only to HIV infection, but also to pover-
ty, drugs and engaging in sex work and
other illegal activity. Effective mitigation
efforts include ensuring that they do no
end up on the streets and supporting
their education. The ratio of orphans to
non-orphans aged 10-14 years attend-
ing school has increased from 71.8 per-
cent in 2000 to 92 percent in 2009, close
to the 2015 target of 100 percent.
Universal access to HIV&AIDS treat-
ment: With free paediatric ARVs and an
adult ART policy, Zambia has made sig-
nificant progress towards achieving uni-
versal access to treatment for HIV&AIDS.
The treatment coverage increased from
23.5 percent in 2005 to 77.6 percent in
2011, equivalent to over 415,000 people
accessing ARVs in 2011. The rapid ex-
pansion has had a significant impact on
mortality among adults in Zambia, with
an estimated 50,000 lives saved in 2011.
However, treatment is mostly extended
to adults. In 2011, coverage reached 90
percent of adults in need of treatment,
but only 28.1 percent of children less
than 15 years. More females are access-
ing treatment compared to males, and
antiretroviral treatment coverage is
higher in urban areas than in rural ones.
Achieving universal access would also
have an effect on new infections, as effi-
cacious ART lowers the level of HIV virus
in the body and hence the transmission
risk.
Free services for prevention of mother-
to-child transmission (PMTCT) have re-
duced new infections among newborns.
The number of HIV-infected pregnant
women (delivering in health institu-
tions) who received antiretroviral drugs
to avert transmitting HIV to their babies
increased from 7 2 percent in 2004 to
84.5 in 2011 (see Figure 24).
Figure 24: Mothers Needing and Accessing
Prevention of Mother-To-Child Transmission
Source: HIV&AIDS UNGASS Zambia Report 2012
Figure 23: Adults (≥ 15 years) who have
Received VCT, and Know Their Results
Figure 22: New HIV Infections among Adults
(≥ 15 years) (projections from 2012 onwards)
Figure 21: HIV Prevalence 2007 (2001/02)
Source: ZDHS 2001-2002 and 2007
Northwestern
9% (7%)
Western
13% (15%)
Southern
18% (15%)
Central
15% (18%)
Lusaka
22% (21%)
Eastern
14% (10%)
Luapula
11% (13%)
Copperbelt
20%(17%)
Northern/
Muchinga
8% (7%)

Target 6.C
Have halted, by 2015, and begun to reverse the incidence of malaria
and other major diseases
Indicators
• New malaria cases per 1,000 population
• Malaria fatality rate per 1,000 population
• Proportion of households with ITNs (pre- or post-treated) (percent)
40
Figure 25: New Malaria Cases Status
Malaria: Malaria is both preventable and cur-
able, but after some years of success in the anti-
malaria campaign, the reduced resources for
this effort have resulted in Zambia having an in-
crease in both new cases and deaths from 2009
to 2010. New cases increased from 255 per 1,000
population in 1990 to 330 in 2010. Similarly, the
fatality rate increased from 11 per 1,000 popula-
tion in 1990 to 34 in 2010 – despite the propor-
tion of household with insecticide-treated mos-
quito nets (ITNs) increasing from 9.3 percent in
2000 to 64.3 percent in 2010. This deterioration
in malaria indicators could also be attributed
to the malaria parasite’s resistance to the first-
line treatment drugs. Zambia has now adopted
Artemisinin-based combination therapies in line
with the recommendations of WHO. Other con-
tributing factors include inadequate availability
of malaria prevention drugs, inadequate regular
indoor residual spraying and human resource
and infrastructure constraints for diagnosis and
treatment in high malarial areas.
At provincial level, Eastern Province is the worst
affected, followed by Luapula and Northwest-
ern Provinces (see Figure 27). These provinces
receive relatively high rainfall, which in Eastern
Province is exacerbated by many permanent
small water bodies, producing ample breeding
spots for mosquitoes. In addition, these prov-
inces are all rural, with housing conducive to
malaria transmission but logistical challenges to
malaria control. Central Province had the lowest
New malaria cases
per 1,000 population
Malaria fatality rate
per 1,000 population
Proportion of households with ITNs
(pre- or post-treated) (percent)
2008
252
39
62.3
2015 Target
255 or less
11
2007
358
40
53.3
2009
246
29
2010
330
34
64.3
2003
425
2002
388
48
13.6
2004
383
33
2006
412
40
37.8
2000
316
9.3*
1990
255
11
Will target 6.C be
achieved under the
present trend?
Acceleration
required
Sources: MOH, except *
Netmark Baseline Survey on Insecticide Treated Materials in Zambia, May 2001
Figure 26: Households with ITNs
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Casesper1,000people
New malaria cases Target
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Percentage
ProportionofhouseholdswithITNs

41
MDG 6 │ HIV&AIDS and Malaria
incidence of malaria in 2010 due to its indoor re-
sidual spraying programme.
The lack of mass ITN distribution in 2009 led
to the national distribution target of 3 ITNs per
household not being met. In addition, the cor-
rect use of mosquito nets still remains low. This,
together with shortages of Rapid Diagnostic
Tests in many districts, contributed to the in-
crease in the malaria incidence in 2010.
Tuberculosis: Tuberculosis control efforts are
starting to bear fruit in Zambia. Since reaching
a peak of 545 new cases per 100,000 people in
2004, the notification rate has been falling stead-
ily to 372 new cases in 2011. Zambia has also
reached the WHO targets for both TB case de-
tection (70 percent) and treatment success rate
(85 percent). In 2011, Zambia’sTB case detection
rate was 73 percent and its treatment success
rate (the percentage of new, registered smear-
positive (infectious) cases that were cured or in
which a full course of treatment was completed)
reached 89 percent.52
While there has been a concerted effort to treat
TB and other infectious diseases, of growing
concern in Zambia today are non-communica-
ble diseases. Mortality and loss of productivity
due to heart disease, diabetes and hypertension
are on the rise, and represent the next big health
challenge in Zambia.
Breaking the cycle of transmission and new infections
Despite the reported challenges, Zambia is poised to attain MDG 6, as long as
the country consolidates its past gains for malaria prevention and control. In this
regard, government and its partners need to promote high-impact interven-
tions, which are targeted at breaking the transmission chain. They also have to
intensify their efforts towards achieving universal coverage for malaria testing,
treatment and preventive tools (ITNs/IRS). Specific triggers include:
Rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) allow for diagnosis of malaria by people with(1)
no knowledge of laboratory techniques, and in situations where labora-
tory equipment is not available. RDTs must be supplied sufficiently and
consistently. RDTs must be backed by training of staff and communities
in their correct use and by technical support to health facilities managing
malaria and Integrated Management of Childhood Illness (IMCI).
Improved coverage of indoor residual spraying (IRS) is required to ensure(2)
that all malaria-prone areas are sprayed frequently. One break in the cycle
and the incidence rate shoots up again. Continued advocacy campaigns
to convince all households of the importance of indoor residual spraying
must be supported through community leadership. This goes hand-in-
hand with the mass distribution of ITNs, and creating awareness of and
monitoring their appropriate use at community level.
To lower HIV prevalence and incidence, Zambia must scale up the pro-(3)
vision of Voluntary Counselling and Testing (VCT), as this serves as the
principle entry point for knowledge of own status, and hence ability to ac-
cess appropriate HIV&AIDS interventions. Door-to-door HIV testing cam-
paigns are well underway in urban areas, but need to be supported with
more resources in rural areas. Rapid HIV test kits must be more widely
applied, especially as government has encouraged couple VCT, self and
routine testing, and even universal testing as a policy.
Voluntary medical male circumcision (VMMC) is a proven method of pre-(4)
venting HIV transmission. To reach the national target of 150,000 circum-
cisions annually, government must focus on both service delivery and de-
mand generation as outlined in the male circumcision operational plan.
Both have hitherto been mainly driven by cooperating partners.
Prevention of Mother-to-Child Transmission (PMTCT) during pregnancy,(5)
labour, delivery and breastfeeding has a huge potential to significantly
reduce new HIV infections. Although the rate for PMTCT is high in Zambia,
the service is only extended to women who deliver in a health facility.
The easy access to ARVs has been a significant driver in reducing the(6)
prevalence rate as well as helping to break the transmission cycle. Donor-
driven programmes have hitherto ensured ARV supplies. Accordingly,
national plans for financing mechanisms for ARVs must be supported to
ensure coverage for all who need it, even in the remotest rural areas.
Refocusing these proven high-impact HIV&AIDS interventions, while enhanc-
ing synergies with relevant sectors for response coordination and mitigation
pillars (such as social protection, education, community development, local
government and empowerment schemes). is critical to maintain the gains at-
tained so far for HIV&AIDS.
Figure 27: Malaria Incidence by Province
(sorted by average)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
National
Central
Southern
Lusaka
Northern
Western
Copperbelt
Northwestern
Luapula
Eastern
Casesper1,000people
2008 2009 2010

Target 7.A
Integrate the principles of sustainable development into country policies and pro-
grammes and reverse the loss of environmental resources
Indicators
• Land covered by forest (percent)
• Land protected to maintain biological diversity (percent)
• Carbon dioxide emissions (MT per capita)
• Proportion of population using solid fuels (percent)
44
Ensure environmental sustainabilityMDG 7MDG 7
Will target 7.A be
achieved under the
present trend?
Significant reforms
and investments
required
Figure 28: Land Covered by Forest Figure 29: Land Protected for Biodiversity
Land Covered by Forest (%)i
Land Protected to maintain
biological diversity (%)i
Carbon dioxide emissions
(MT/Capita)iii
Consumption of ozone-
depleting CFCs (ODP MT)iv
Proportion of Population
using solid fuels (%)v
1996
59.1
39.2
0.2
30.4
85#
2015 Target1990
59.8*
38.8
0.31
34.6
89
1993
59.8
0.29
25.4
89
2001
59.6
39.6
0.18
11.8
2003
59.1
39.6
0.19
10.4
85
2006
0.2
6.6
83.7
2004
39.6
0.2
10
83.8
2005
59.6
41.5
0.2
9.5
2007
59.6
0.22
4.1
2008
41ii
21.9^
2.0
2009
41
17.4^
2010
49.9
41
82.9
Sources: i
Forestry Department, ii
http://www.eoearth.org/article/Protected_areas_of_Zambia, iii
Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Environmental Sciences Divi-
sion, United States, iv
http:// ozone.unep.org/data-reporting/data_access, v
Department of Energy, PS I, LCMS 1998, 2002-03, 2004, 2010
*
1992, #
1998, ^
Includes emissions from deforestation and land use change
Figure 30: Use of Solid Fuels
0
20
40
60
80
100
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Percentage
Proportionofland coveredbyforest
0
20
40
60
80
100
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Percentage
Land protectedtomaintainbiodiversity
0
20
40
60
80
100
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Percentage
Proportionofpopulationusingsolidfuels

45
MDG 7 │ Environmental Sustainability
Status
Environmental sustainability has a significant
bearing on whether or not a country will reach
many of its other MDGs, as it provides the foun-
dation for a greener, cleaner growth path. Zam-
bia’senvironmentalresourcesareunderpressure
by the need for economic growth, through the
exploitation of its natural resources. The country
currently faces challenges of de-forestation and
land degradation. The resulting negative impact
on agricultural productivity, biodiversity and
water purity is being keenly felt.
Deforestation: Land covered by forests re-
duced from 59.8 percent in 1990 to 49.9 percent
in 2010, driven by over-exploitation and con-
version of forests to other uses. In addition, the
quality of the remaining forest is getting poorer.
Many trees are cut by communities for wood
fuel, due to poor availability of other affordable
energy sources. In 2010, the vast majority (81.3
percent) of the rural population used firewood
for cooking, while over half of the urban popu-
lation used charcoal (see Figure 31). Charcoal
production is in fact the largest driver of defor-
estation in Zambia, followed by land clearing for
agriculture, settlements and firewood.53
Figure 31: Main Sources of Energy
for Cooking (2010)
Source: LCMS 2010
The proportion of protected land in Zambia
has remained relatively stable, albeit increas-
ing slightly. This category includes local and
national forests, 20 national parks and 36 game
management areas (GMAs), of which most are
fully or partly wooded, thereby providing a po-
tential pool of forest cover, if the protection can
be maintained. However, inadequate capacity
to enforce existing laws and policies has led to
Zambia is losing 250,000
to 300,000 hectares of
forest to deforestation
every year (Integrated
Land Use Assessment
2010); an area about the
size of Zanzibar. In 2010,
it had about 38 million
hectares of forest left.
the depletion of both woodland and wildlife in
many protected areas. Government has there-
fore recently banned timber exports and hunt-
ing of big cats and elephants, temporarily, to al-
low for integrated land use assessment, wildlife
census and forest valuations initiated in 2013.
Government has also increased the budget-
ary allocation to the forestry sector, and is cur-
rently implementing aTree Planting Programme
which aims at raising 25 million tree seedlings
in 2013/14. Combined with the implementation
of the plan for reclassification of protected are-
as, these efforts will help regenerate both fauna
and flora and protect the eco-systems and bio-
diversity that are under threat in Zambia.
Climate change: Zambia remains very vulner-
able to climate change due to its low capacity to
respond and adapt. The lack of a reliable data-
base makes it difficult to predict climate variabil-
ity and provide early warning of related disasters
such as floods, droughts and diseases. It also has
an impact on the capacity to develop responsive
and relevant policies and strategies, including a
national early warning system.
CO2
emissions: Zambia is a low emitter of
greenhouse gasses such as carbon dioxide (CO2
),
relative to both its population size and to other
countries. Carbon dioxide emissions were re-
ported to average 0.2 tons per capita from 1990
to 2007, but jumped to 21.9 and 17.4 in 2008
and 2009, respectively, after emissions from de-
forestation and land use change were included.
This indicates that deforestation and unsafe land
use practices are the largest contributors to car-
bon dioxide emissions in Zambia. Other factors
include industrialization, driven by the mining
sector. Zambia has also seen an increase in the
numberofvehicles,whichtrebledbetween2004
and 2011 to more than 380,000 newly registered
vehicles, according to the Ministry of Transport,
Works, Supply and Communications.
Ozone-depleting substances: The Montreal
Protocol of 1987 requires countries to phase
out chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and their transi-
tional replacements, hydrochlorofluorocarbons
(HCFCs). Zambia has ratified the protocol, and
has therefore implemented regulations to fully
phaseoutconsumptionandproductionofthese.
However, whereas the country’s consumption of
CFCs and most other ozone-depleting substanc-
es54
is close to having been eliminated, Zambia
is still consuming HCFCs, equivalent to 9.23 ODP
tons in 2011.55
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Fire wood Charcoal Electricity
2010
Percentage
Rural Urban

Target 7.C
Halve, by 2015, the proportion of the population without sustainable access to safe
drinking water and basic sanitation
Indicators
• Proportion of population without access to an improved water source (percent)
• Proportion of population without access to an improved sanitation facility (percent)
46
Status
Safe drinkingwater:Zambiahasmadeprogress
in increasing access to improved drinking water
since 1990, but the rate of progress is too slow to
achieve the MDG target of 25.5 percent by 2015.
The proportion of the population without access
to an improved water source decreased from 51
percent in 1991 to 36.9 percent in 2010.
In order to improve progress on this target, gov-
ernment has undertaken national water reforms
and created commercial water and sewerage
utility companies in urban and peri-urban areas.
These companies have improved the quality of
service, but coverage and financial viability re-
main low, particularly because approximately 50
percent of their water is unaccounted for.
In rural areas, the National Rural Water Supply
and Sanitation Programme has sunk boreholes
since 2006, and as a result the proportion of the
rural population without access to an improved
water source has improved from 58.1 percent in
2006 to 48.6 percent in 2010 (see Figure 34).
The greatest provincial improvements are there-
fore also observed in rural provinces, with Luap-
ula Province in the lead, followed by Eastern and
North western Provinces.
Contrastingly, in urban areas, the proportion of
the population without access to an improved
to an improved water source (%)
to an improved sanitation facility (%)
2015 Target
25.5
13
2006
42
36.1
2010
36.9
67.3*
1998
48
36
1996
53
39
2002
46
36
2004
43.2
29.8
1993
53
25
1991
51
26
Source: CSO
* In 2010, the definition of improved sanitation changed, from including to excluding pit latrines without a slab.
Figure 32: Access to Improved Water
Figure 33: Access to Improved Sanitation
Will target 7.C be
achieved under the
present trend?
Significant reforms
and investments
required
Approximately 2 million
Zambians have no access
to sanitation facilities
– and defecate in the
open. It would require
less than 420,000 la-
trines to eliminate open
defecation in Zambia,
according to the global
Water and Sanitation
Programme.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Percentage
Proportionofpopulationwithoutaccesstoan
improvedwatersource
Target
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Percentage
Proportionofpopulationwithoutaccesstoan
improvedsanitationfacility
Target

47
watersourceworsenedfrom11.8percentin2006
to 15.3 percent in 2010. This increase is partly
attributed to rapid urbanization and growth of
slums and unplanned settlements in Lusaka, as
this is the only province which showed a decline
in access to safe drinking water between 2006
and 2010. It is however expected that govern-
ment’s agreement with the Millennium Chal-
lenge Corporation for a grant of $354.8 million
for the improvement of water supply, sanitation
and drainage in Lusaka will reverse some of this
decline.
Basic sanitation: The proportion of the popu-
lation without access to an improved sanitation
facility56
worsened from 26 percent in 1991 to
67.3 percent in 2010; however a significant part
of this decline may be explained by the fact that
definition of improved sanitation changed in
2010, from including to excluding pit latrines
without a slab. At this rate, Zambia is unlikely to
achieve the MDG target of 13 percent by 2015.
The decline is further explained by the increase
in human settlements without basic sanitation.
The typically used sanitation in Zambia are pit
latrines. A total of 73.1 percent of all households
used pit latrines with or without slab in 2010, but
only 19.5 percent of the national population had
access to pit latrines with slabs (and therefore to
improved sanitation). As shown in Figure 35,
Lusaka Province had the highest proportion of
people with access to pit latrines with slabs (45.4
percent), while Western Province had the lowest
(4 percent). In fact, 44 percent of all households
in Western Province have no access at all to sani-
tation facilities. Flush toilets are much less wide-
spread in Zambia. 13.1 percent of Zambians
have access to flush toilets, with the highest
proportion found in Copperbelt Province (40.1
percent) and the lowest in Luapula Province (1.5
percent). These figures reflect the fact that sani-
tation infrastructure is relatively expensive with
a low return on investment for the private sec-
tor, especially in rural areas.
Zambia loses $194 million, equivalent to 1.3 per-
centofGDP,everyyearduetopoorsanitation,ac-
cording to theWater and Sanitation Programme,
a multi-donor partnership administered by the
Figure 35: Proportion of Population using
Pit Latrines and Flush Toilets (stacked) by Province (2010)
World Bank. The loss is caused by deaths due
to diarrhoea ($167 million), loss of productivity
while sick ($1 million), healthcare ($10.6 million)
and time ($16 million). Bringing water and sani-
tation closer to its users, for example by moving
a well or borehole closer to communities or by
installing piped water supply in houses, yields
significant time savings, especially for women
and girls, releasing time for educational and
productive opportunities. Given that water is a
necessary prerequisite for many businesses, the
increased availability of this resource also drives
the start-up or expansion of small enterprises
and thus increases both disposable household
and national incomes.
Source: LCMS 2010
Figure 34: Proportion of Population with Access to
Improved Water by Province (2006 and 2010)
Source: LCMS 2010
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Lusaka
Copperbelt
Southern
Eastern
Central
Northwestern
Western
Luapula
Northern
Rural
Urban
Zambia
Percentage
2006 2010
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
National
Western
Eastern
Luapula
Northern
Northwestern
Central
Southern
Copperbelt
Lusaka
Percentage
Flushtoilet Pitlatrine withslab

48
Getting to a more sustainable development path
A sustainable development approach, based on sound long-term environmental manage-
ment, requires a level of institutional coordination among national authorities that is hard
to come by. It requires clear definition of roles and responsibilities, coupled with harmo-
nization of laws and policies, to ensure that Zambia’s natural resources are managed for
the benefit of both current and future generations.While public-private partnerships have
demonstrated their efficacy in other countries, a central oversight authority is vital. This
would entail equipping the Zambia Environmental Management Agency with the neces-
sary scope and capacity.
The adoption of the National Policy on Environment in 2011 by government is a good
move towards addressing environmental issues. The policy provides a framework for en-
vironmental protection and management of natural resources on a sustainable basis. It
is premised on the fact that a country can grow, create jobs and reduce poverty, without
doing undue damage to its environment. In fact, countries that have implemented sus-
tainable development strategies over a long period of time have demonstrated that wise
management of natural resources leads to a healthier and more prosperous country, with
a greener and cleaner growth trajectory for the benefit of all.
Zambia needs to consider a number of actions to trigger greater environmental sustain-
ability:
Implement policies that link environmental protection with creation of jobs and in-(1)
come for poorer communities, in the areas of forestry, logging, fishery and livestock
development.These are labour-intensive industries, where conservation can be com-
bined with sustainable livelihoods.
Involve the private sector and communities in the management of natural resources,(2)
with an emphasis on community-based natural resource management. Utilize inno-
vative public-private partnerships to re-generate and manage protected areas, bring-
ing in new financing to sustain this effort.

49
Revise the Wildlife, Lands and Forestry Acts to take an integrated ecosystems ap-(3)
proach encompassing sustainable land use and forest management, and the conser-
vation of waters, fisheries and wildlife.
Finalize the National Climate Change Response Strategy, which is currently being de-(4)
veloped, as it will provide a framework for coordinated implementation of existing
and future climate change initiatives, while providing a long-term vision for low-emis-
sion development. This includes Zambia’s entry into the global carbon markets, as
well as in the development of Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions necessary for
the country to access international climate funds, including the Green Climate Fund.
Continue efforts to develop a national REDD strategy to set Zambia on a path to low-(5)
emission development. An economic valuation of Zambia’s forests is a necessary part
of what is needed to make this happen.
Continue the adoption of the Sustainable Energy for All Initiative to address Zambia’s(6)
growing energy needs in a clean and sustainable way through renewable and clean
energy as well as optimal hydropower generation. Private sector and cooperating
partners must support government’s efforts in this regard, to help realize this ambi-
tious effort at moving to clean and sustainable energy for all.
Finance and implement the Lusaka Master Plan. Rapid urbanization is often accompa-(7)
nied by unplanned crowded settlements that contribute to the decline in the propor-
tion of the population with access to safe drinking water, basic sanitation and waste
disposal facilities.
Clean water and sanitation needs a larger budget allocation and incentives for private(8)
sector and communities to engage more in these areas of essential service delivery.
Significant investments are required in the provision of a wide range of appropriate
and affordable water and sanitation technologies to meet this MDG target.

Although Zambia has no official 2015 targets for MDG 8, it has observed gains in
almost all the indicators of this goal, including the following:
Indicators
• Official development assistance
• Foreign direct investment
• Market access
• Debt sustainability
• Communications and connectivity
52
Develop a global partnership
for developmentMDG 8MDG 8
Table 12: Official Development Assistance to Zambia (2006-2010)
$ millions
ODA
Budget support
Project support
Grants
Loans
Nominal GDP
ODA/GDP (%)
2008
799.50
192.49
396.79
669.33
133.10
14,334.61
5.6%
2006
554.34
101.29
298.67
447.62
107.38
11,930.94
4.6%
2007
648.83
149.28
308.56
514.61
136.52
13,756.96
4.7%
2009
756.13
210.39
372.35
645.50
112.57
12,768.76
5.9%
2010
480.16
219.42
220.38
394.29
111.53
16,075.31
3.0%
Source: Ministry of Finance
Status
Official development assistance: Official de-
velopment assistance (ODA) into Zambia peak-
ed at 5.9 percent of GDP in 2009 before falling to
3.0 percent in 2010 (see Table 12).The reduction
can be partly attributed to a temporary freeze of
some aid to the health and road sectors in 2009
as a result of corruption findings confirmed by
the Auditor General. Zambia’s recent graduation
to a lower middle-income country also means
that its access to concessionary loans and ODA
could diminish. However, the decline in tradi-
tional bilateral ODA has been somewhat off-set
bytheODAflowsfromtheMillenniumChallenge
Corporation, the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tu-
berculosis and Malaria, the President’s Emer-
gency Plan for AIDS Relief and others. Yet, the
overall trend strongly advocates for the country
to develop and implement innovative and sus-
tainable domestic financing mechanisms. In this
context, Zambia turned to national and global
financial markets to finance key developments,
and in 2012, the country successfully launched
its first sovereign bond for $750 million.
Foreigndirectinvestment: Zambia has increas-
ingly turned to foreign direct investment (FDI),
which has seen significant growth over the past
ten years. Although discrepancies exist between
FDI figures from different state actors, there is
no doubt that Zambia has seen a substantial
growth in FDI inflows in recent years. The Bank
of Zambia estimates that FDI grew fourteen-fold
between 2000 and 2010 (See Figure 36). The
increase was primarily due to an improved in-
vestment climate emanating from prudent eco-
nomic management by government during this
period. In 2011, FDI slowed to $1.1 billion, as in-
vestors held back, awaiting the outcome of the
general elections, which resulted in a change
of governing party. Competitive and stable in-
terest rates and exchange rate policies that at-
tract both domestic and foreign investment
and trade will be significant factors that define
continued robust FDI flows into Zambia, as the
country competes in an increasingly attractive
investment climate in Africa.
The substantial increase in FDI inflows has,
amongst other things, resulted in a much need-
ed increase in employment. The largest number
of jobs created by FDI inflows between 2007 and
2010 was in the manufacturing sector (9,313),
followed by agriculture (3,261), service (2,825)
and mining (1,978) - (see Figure 39). Whilst con-
siderable FDI inflows have gone into the mining
sector, this is a far more capital-intensive sector
than agriculture and manufacturing, which in

53
MDG 8 │ Global Partnership
Figure 37: Direct Employment Created by FDI by Sector (stacked)
Source: Ministry of Finance
Figure 36: FDI into Zambia (2000-2011)
Source: Bank of Zambia
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
$millions
Foreign directinvestment
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
Finance
Education
Energy
Realestate
Health
ICT
Transport
Construction
Tourism
Mining
Service
Agriculture
Manufacturing
Numberofjobs
2007 2008 2009 2010
Zambia remain largely labour-intensive. Gov-
ernment has also been creating jobs as well as
increasing wages in the public sector. Accord-
ingly, the rapidly increasing public wage bill
could consume well over half of government
revenues in the 2014 national budget. Increased
trade and investment financing in productive
sectors, together with progressive and well-ad-
ministered tax policies, could help enlarge the
revenue pie.
Access to markets: Since 1991, Zambia has
been removing barriers to trade and embracing
a multilateral trading system. The country has
removed foreign exchange controls, reduced
import duties, eliminated import and export
licence requirements, abolished export bans
and introduced a number of export incentives,
and removed price controls.57
Whilst there have
been some recent inconsistencies on some of
these policy directions, Zambia is now a more
open, non-discriminatory and rules based trad-
ing economy (Global MDG target 8.A). However,
it is imperative for continued economic growth
and expansion that Zambia continues to pro-
mote mutually beneficial international and re-
gional trading relations.
Additionally Zambia has played an active role in
addressing the special needs of least developed
countries (Global MDG target 8.B), especially
during the current WTO Doha Development
Agenda negotiations, where Zambia coordi-
nated the work of 50 Least Developed Coun-
tries. At a regional level, Zambia is a member of
the Southern African Development Community
(SADC) and the Common Market for Eastern and
Southern Africa (COMESA). Additionally, Zam-
bia is currently engaged in negotiations for an
economic partnership agreement with the EU
under the Eastern and Southern Africa (ESA)
configuration.
Zambia remains largely dependent on copper
exports, which currently account for about 65
percent of total exports earnings. Despite this,
Zambia has witnessed some economic diversi-
fication in the past decade, as non-traditional
exports have grown by an average of 20 percent
annually between 2002 and 2008.58
In 2011, the
value of non-traditional exports reached $1.8
billion. The volume of exports of goods and
services in Zambia grew by an average of 11
percent per year between 2001 and 2011, and is
estimated by the IMF to grow by an average of
14.3 percent between 2012 and 2017.
The World Bank has pointed out that Zambia’s
rankings on its Ease of Doing Business Index
2012 are relatively solid (84th out of 183 nations
worldwide and 7th out of 46 in sub-Saharan Afri-
ca). However, the country’s strong performance
masks a number of weaknesses. Zambia’s scores
for cross-border trading are among the lowest
in the world, an extraordinary liability for a land-
locked country. The high costs associated with
international trade present serious obstacles to
broad-based growth in both the urban and rural
sectors. For example, the effective premium on
imported fuel products diminishes the competi-
tiveness of manufacturing and the profitability
of Zambia’s large domestic transport industry,
while agricultural exports – already hampered
by weak transportation infrastructure – face ad-
ditional administrative expenses and time de-
lays that reduce farm incomes and discourage
investment in new productive technologies.59

54
There are over
8 million mobile phones
in Zambia – just over 1
million people have a
flush toilet.
Figure 38: Phone and Internet
Connectivity*
Source: ZICTA
Debt sustainability: As a result of the Heavily
Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) debt relief and
prudent debt management in its aftermath,
Zambia’s current stock of public debt is at fairly
low levels. The WTO estimates that external
public debt in Zambia fell from 179 percent of
GDP in 2002 to less than 10 percent of GDP in
2007, and the IMF puts it at 11.6 percent of GDP
in 2011.60
Even though the issuing of the $750 million sov-
ereign bond increased the stock of net external
debtto13.3percentofGDPin2012,TheIMFrates
Zambia as being at‘low risk of debt distress’. The
internationally acceptable bench mark for debt
in developing countries is 40 percent of GDP.
The low debt stock, combined with rising cop-
per prices and a nearly six-fold increase in FDI
inflows between 2003 and 2007, has enabled
the country to increase its international reserves
and allowed for greater fiscal space. The IMF,
however, emphasizes the need for the country
to develop a comprehensive debt management
strategy coupled by strong national project ap-
praisal capability to guide the country on the
type and quantity of debt it should contract in
order to ensure debt sustainability.
Communications: As in the rest of Africa, the
substantial cellular phone penetration in Zam-
bia has made fixed telephone lines more or less
obsolete. The number of fixed lines has there-
fore not changed much since 2000 (see Figure
38). The number of cellular subscribers, on the
other hand, has grown from 50,000 in 2000 to
over 8 million in 2012, having already exceeded
ZICTA’s projection for 2015 of 300 per 1,000 in-
habitants. Mobile phones are more widespread
in urban areas, where many people have active
SIM cards to more than one of the three current
cellular service providers (Airtel, MTN and Zam-
tel). This makes it difficult to pinpoint the exact
number of physical subscribers.
The importance of cellular phones cannot be
exaggerated. The World Bank estimates that
increased cellular phone penetration between
1990 and 2005 increased per capita economic
growth in Africa by nearly 1 percent.61
In Zam-
bia, cellular phones, especially in rural areas,
have increased access to otherwise unavailable
services, providing the rural population with
access to markets, knowledge/skills and public
dialogue. For example, the ZNFU4455 commod-
ity pricing platform, an initiative implemented
by the Zambia National Farmers Union with sup-
port from the International Fund for Agricultural
Development, provides small-scale farmers with
up-to-date information on commodity prices
and buyers. Another initiative, Project Mwana,
implemented by the Ministry of Health with the
support of UNICEF and its collaborating part-
ners, reduces delays in transmitting HIV results
for newborn babies to rural health facilities via
SMS message.
Internet connectivity has equally grown in many
parts of the country, although it is difficult to tell
by how much, as most people connect via their
mobile phones or SIM-card dongles on their
computers.
Although mobile phone coverage and to a less-
er degree internet coverage have grown rapidly
in past years, Zambia remains behind relative
to both global and regional averages. Based on
World Bank estimates, in 2011, countries such
as Libya (156), Seychelles (146), Botswana (143),
South Africa (127), Gabon (117) and Morocco
(113) all had more than 100 mobile subscrip-
tions per 100 inhabitants, while Zambia had 61
subscriptions.62
* It is doubtful that the figures for internet connectivity
capture the full extent of the recent expansion in SIM-card
based internet
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Numberper100people
Mobile phones Fixedphones Internet

55
MDG 8 │ Global Partnership
Global partnerships for technology, new financing and innovation
Zambia has fared fairly well on MDG 8. However the
absence of specific 2015 targets for this goal makes it
rather complicated to attach any conclusive analysis
on the country’s progress towards 2015. In this re-
gard, it is important to suggest that, although there
are only three years to go before 2015, the country
develops targets for this important goal.
Suggested triggers for acceleration focus on increas-
ing Zambia’s participation and competitiveness in
regional and global markets, and on establishing a
firmly grounded and consistent set of economic poli-
cies for inclusive growth, and include:
Implement a national debt management strate-(1)
gy coupled with strong national project apprais-
al capabilities to guide the country on the type
and quantity of debt that it should contract. It
is advisable that debt is contracted through the
national budget and not through sub-national
entities. This would ensure that debt is geared
towards long-term investments in human de-
velopment, job creation and industrial develop-
ment in accordance with national plans.
Pursue the national vision of transforming Zam-(2)
bia from a land-locked to a land-linked country,
through innovative initiatives that induce the
private sector to invest in Zambia as a hub of
logistics and transport in the region. Whilst the
road network remains important, there are ar-
guably great gains especially in terms of savings
relating to less road maintenance and traffic
accidents if haulage is moved from road to rail.
The recent investments in revising Zambia’s rail
system are therefore welcome.
Develop an ambitious industrial development(3)
strategy that recognizes that while the mining
industryremainsanimportantanchorofgrowth,
industrial diversification will drive medium- to
long-term economic development of Zambia.
The development strategy should aim to har-
ness the positive spill-over of linking resource
extraction with infrastructure development that
improves transport and energy grids nationally
and regionally in order to avoid enclave devel-
opment. Linkages to a more diversified agricul-
tural production base will provide the much dis-
cussed value-addition and job creation through
industrial expansion.
Expanded innovation hubs and business incu-(4)
bators, with the support of government and
the private sector, have been engines of new
service sector growth poles in many countries,
promoting both local and foreign investment
in the process. Increased competition in the ICT
industry, combined with effective regulation to
ensure business efficiencies and wider coverage
at lower costs, would be a facilitator for such a
strategy.
Develop a regulatory framework to increase ac-(5)
cess to current and alternative financial instru-
ments such as blended packages of ODA and
investments, hedging and futures instruments,
insurance and climate financing. Addressing the
underlying structural issues that keep business
costs and interest rates high must be addressed
to ensure investment financing does not taper
off. Incentives to attract a higher level of remit-
tances to the country, currently at levels way
below the regional average, would supplement
household income and development financing.
Address illicit financial flows to narrow the fund-(6)
ing gap for accelerated attainment of the MDGs.
According to a recent estimate,63
Zambia lost at
least $17 3 billion (in real 2010 prices) on this ac-
count in the period 1970-2010, averaging 9 per-
cent of GDP annually. An amount far higher than
Zambia’s total debt stock of $3.7 billion in 2010.
The main components of capital flight in Zam-
bia are ‘leakages’ from the Balance of Payments
(capital that should have entered the country
but is unaccounted for), trade mis‐invoicing
(mainly manipulation of transfer prices of trade
between companies of the same multinational
group based in different tax jurisdictions), and
to a lesser extent unrecorded remittances. Na-
tional efforts at strengthening tax administra-
tion and collection, including audit capacities,
and closing loopholes in existing legislation,
especially in relation to multinational corpora-
tions, are critical.

56
Conclusion
This MDG report, the fifth of its series, has reflected on Zambia’s progress towards the achievement
of its MDG targets.The report has reviewed 39 MDG indicators, of which Zambia has 2015 targets for
23 of them. Of these 23, the analysis shows that 7 are on track to be achieved or have been achieved,
another 7 can be achieved with acceleration, and 9 would require significant reforms and invest-
ments to be met by 2015.
The report shows that particular focus must be paid to the areas of secondary education (MDG 2),
reducing child and maternal mortality (MDGs 4 and 5), and ensuring environmental sustainability
(MDG 7). Although improvements have been registered in these goals, they remain insufficient to
achieve the 2015 targets. In addition, improvements on these targets are closely linked to eradicat-
ing extreme poverty and hunger (MDG 1), which has remained stubbornly resistant to significant
change in Zambia.
Zambia has made significant progress in reversing the spread of HIV&AIDS, malaria and other major
diseases (MDG 6), as long as the country consolidates its past gains in malaria prevention and con-
trol. However, while Zambia has reached its target for HIV prevalence, its HIV incidence remains very
high. This emphasizes the need to address significant income and gender inequalities (MDG 3).
Overall, the report notes the country’s remarkable progress over the past decades in achieving cer-
tain targets – but emphasizes the need to sustain these gains, while greater policy focus and invest-
ments are required to improve progress on other targets. It is worth remembering that progress
does not necessarily follow a linear trajectory. Initial gains, which can be achieved fairly rapidly, must
be supported by a longer and harder push to consolidate them. These efforts require increased re-
sources as well as institutional, policy and legal reforms.
However, by leveraging on both global and local knowledge and experience, the report has identi-
fied specific ‘triggers of acceleration’which would assist in fast-tracking progress towards attaining
more of the MDGs, if not by 2015, then soon after. Zambia is part of the global move to define
a development framework beyond 2015, as efforts to further human development will continue
unabated.

60
1
Living Conditions Monitoring Survey
2010, Zambia, Central Statistical Office
2
3
4
Calculated from 2010 Census of Popula-
tion and Housing data
5
2011 Decent Work Country Profile Re-
port, International Labour Office, Zambia
6
7
2010 Educational Statistical Bulletins,
Ministry of Education
8
Ministry of Education
9
2010 Census of Population and Housing
10
11
2010 Census of Population and Hous-
ing,
12
Ministry of Education,
13
14
15
2007, WWW: Parliament.gov zm, 2012
16
ing,
17
ing,
18
2010 Annual Health Statistical Bulletin,
Ministry of Health
19
20
2007 Zambia Demographic and Health
Survey
21
Survey
22
Survey
23
Survey
24
2007 Zambia Demographic and health
Survey
25
Ministry of Health
26
Ministry of Health
27
Ministry of Health
28
International Energy Agency (IEA
Statistics @OECD/IEA, www.iea.org/stats/
index.asp)
29
Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis
Center, Environmental Science Division,
Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Tennes-
see, United States
30
Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis
Center, Environmental Science Division,
Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Tennes-
see, United States
31
32
33
34
2012 Ministry of Finance
35
2012 Investor perception Report,
Central Statistical Office, Bank of Zambia,
Zambia Development Agency
36
IMF Country Report No 12/200: Zambia
Staff Report for 2012 Article IV Consulta-
tions of 16 July 2012.
37
2012 Zambia Information Communica-
tion Authority
38
2012 Zambia Information Communica-
tion Authority
39
National AIDS Spending Assessment
(NASA) 2006
40
41
National Accounts Statistics 2011, Cen-
tral Statistical Office
42
MDG Report 2012: Assessing Progress
in Africa toward the Millennium Develop-
ment Goals, United Nations
43
44
Zambia Labour Force Survey 2012,
preliminary estimates
45
Pupils reaching Grade 7: The total
number of pupils (regardless of age) in
Grade 7 (regardless of whether or not
passing exams at end of Grade 7), minus
the number of repeaters in Grade 7,
divided by the total number of children of
official Grade 7-age (13 years in Zambia).
46
47
MDG Report 2012: Assessing Progress
in Africa toward the Millennium Develop-
ment Goals, United Nations
48
Levels and trends in Child Mortality,
UNICEF, 2012
49
Zambia Country Report. Monitoring the
Declaration of Commitment on HIV and
AIDS and the Universal Access, National
AIDS Council, submitted to the UN Gen-
eral Assembly Special Session (UNGASS)
on HIV and AIDS, 2012
50
eral Assembly Special Session (UNGASS)
on HIV and AIDS, 2012
51
eral Assembly Special Session on HIV and
AIDS, 2012
52
Global Tuberculosis Control Report,
World Health Organization, 2012
53
Preliminary study on the drivers of
deforestation and potential for REDD+ in
Zambia 2012
54
Ozone-depleting substances include
CFCs, halons, other fully halogenated
CFCs, carbon-tetrachloride, methyl chlo-
roform, HCFCs, HBFCs, bromochlorometh-
ane and methyl bromide.
55
http://ozone.unep.org/data-reporting/
data_access/
56
Improved sanitation facilities include
flush/pour-flush toilets or latrines con-
nected to a sewer, septic tank or pit;
aqua privy systems; ventilated improved
pit latrines; pit latrines with a slab or
platform of any material which covers the
pit entirely, except for the drop hole; and
composting toilets/latrines.
57
Trade Policy Review – Zambia, World
Trade Organization, 2009
58
Trade Policy Review – Zambia, World
Bank, 2009
59
Zambia Poverty Assessment: Stagnant
Poverty and Inequality in an Natural
Resource-Based Economy, World Bank,
December 2012
60
IMF Country Report No. 12/200, Zambia,
International Monetary Fund, 2012
61
Africa’s Infrastructure – A Time for Trans-
formation, Agence Française de Dévelop-
pement and the World Bank. 2010
62
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/
IT.CEL SETS.P2
63
Capital Flight from Sub-Saharan African
Countries: Updated estimates, 1970-2010.
PERI Research Report, Boyce, James K.,
and Léonce Ndikumana, 2012
Notes

For further information, please contact:
Ministry of Finance
Monitoring and Evaluation Department
Lusaka, Zambia
Tel: +260 211 250 886
United Nations Development Programme
Strategy and Policy Unit
Un House
Lusaka, Zambia
Tel: +260 211 250 800
Empowered lives.
Resilient nations.

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