Models of Wikipedia Dynamics Ed H. Chi (joint work with  Bongwon Suh, Gregorio Convertino, Peter Pirolli) Area Manager Augmented Social Cognition Area Intelligent Systems Laboratory
Total Edits Changes Intelligent Systems Laboratory
Total Active Editors Intelligent Systems Laboratory
Logistic Model  (k=carrying capacity) Intelligent Systems Laboratory A hypothetical logistic Lotka-Volterra population growth model bounded by a limit K.  P = population size r = growth rate K = carrying capacity
Logistic Growth Model Intelligent Systems Laboratory
A Revised Logistic Growth Model Intelligent Systems Laboratory
Deeper Analysis based on Editor Classes
Edit Activities by Editor Class Intelligent Systems Laboratory
Edit Activities by Editor Class Intelligent Systems Laboratory
Resistance (Revert Ratio) Intelligent Systems Laboratory
Population shift Intelligent Systems Laboratory
Population Shifts (log scale) Intelligent Systems Laboratory
Population Shift (%) Intelligent Systems Laboratory
Admin Changes and Protection Measures
Admin changes Intelligent Systems Laboratory
User Blocks Intelligent Systems Laboratory
Page Protection Intelligent Systems Laboratory
Pages Survived vs. Deleted  (in thousands) Intelligent Systems Laboratory
Key takeaways Wikipedia can be viewed as an in-vivo, unprecedented experiment on knowledge co-creation. Editing activity changing Moved from exponential growth to logistic growth Population dynamic changing Revert resistance different for lower class editors Middle class being squeezed Pyramid structure important? Protection measures correlate with activity

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Models of Wikipedia Dynamics