One Size Doesn’t Fit All
How data can support tailored approaches in Public
Health
Presenter: Emily Conant
Data Scientist
emily@nexleaf.org
WhoWe are
• Nonprofit technology company working to
solve global challenges
• Mission to preserve human life and protect
our planet
• We build low-cost sensors, web-based
dashboards and provide custom data
analytics
• We work from the bottom-up to help
design the best solutions for those who
need it most
3
3 billion people rely on fires inside their
homes to cook, provide light, and heating
Black Carbon and Health
• Harmful by-product of incomplete combustion
• Type of particular matter (PM2.5) with small
diameter
• Roughly 4 million premature deaths each year
related to indoor air pollution
• Causes noncommunicable diseases such as
COPD, cancer, stroke, and heart disease
• Nearly half of premature deaths in children
under five due to pneumonia are caused by
indoor air pollution
Black Carbon and Climate
• Short Lived Climate Pollutant (SLP)
• Lasts in atmosphere a few days to weeks
• Climate forcing agent
• When deposited onto ice and snow, it reduces
surface albedo
• Second largest contributor to climate change
• Emissions are increasing rapidly in developing
countries
Introduction to Clean Cooking
• What is an improved cookstove (ICS)?
• Any stove designed to displace
traditional cooking
• More efficient, uses less fuel, emits less
• Cooking on an ICS can mitigate harmful
impacts of black carbon
• Many organizations have been working
to encourage adoption of clean cooking
over the last few decades
Our Reach for Clean Cooking
Nigeria
● 50 households
● RUWES and CCAC
● 5 clean cooking
solutions
● 3 fuels: biomass,
LPG, ethanol
Tanzania
● 30 households
● A2EI
● Electric pressure
cookers
India
● 5 states
● Over 500 households
● LPG, induction, biomass
● Leads:TataTrusts, Sambodhi, CARE
Implementation: SEWA, Dharma Life,Teri
Bangladesh
● 35 households
● CPI
● LPG, biomass
Our Approach
Device Mobile
App
Dashboard
Qualitative vs. Self-reported Data
• Surveys are not always reliable
• Self-reported data can over- or under-
estimate measurements
• This can lead to drastically different
conclusions
• Furthermore leading to different actions
taken
• If we don’t make the proper conclusions
and don’t carry out appropriate actions,
how can we make a difference?
Household Cooking Behavior
Deployment A
Household 1
Household 2
TCS – Traditional Cook Stove
ICS – Improved Biomass
TCS – Traditional Cook Stove
ICS – Improved Biomass
TheValue of Actionable Data
Stove
1
Stove
2
Context Matters
• Stove performance can vary in
different regions
• GroupA shows unsuccessful uptake
of clean cooking
• Group B shows successful uptake of
clean cooking with same stove
model
• Group 2 shows sustained adoption
over time
Stairway to Scale Model
10
100
1,000
Verify
adoption &
durability
Verify
sustained
adoption
10,000
Verify air
quality
impact
Verify
health
impact
• Four-step clean cook stove
evaluation process
• Iterative process, adoption first
• Identify solutions worth scaling
• Prevent equipment abandonment
and waste
• Displace traditional cookstoves
• Demonstrate impact
Nigeria Pilot Study
• RUWES (RuralWomen for Energy Security) and
CCAC (Climate and Clean Air Coalition)
• 94% of population uses wood, charcoal and
kerosene
• 64,000 deaths each year due to indoor air pollution
• Investigated 5 different solutions
• Observed 50 households
• 100 StoveTrace trek devices installed
Biomass vs. Clean Fuel Stoves
Biomass vs. Clean Fuel StovesAdoption
Cookstove Stacking
• Sensor data shows us that everybody
stacks
• They cook on both their improved
and traditional cookstoves
• Households did not displaceTCS
• We cook using many different
devices, why shouldn’t they?
• Future projects should consider a
clean stack solution
Qualitative survey
• Following pilot, a survey was conducted
among 50 households
• General stove feedback/pros and cons
• Willingness to take out a loan to buy stove
• Fuel cost/availability
• Food preparation/preferences
• Household structure
• Community influence
Survey results
• Usage does not translate to willingness to
pay
• Fuel cost was a barrier toward adoption
• Lowest adoption ICS models were unable
to accommodate larger pots
• Households using Ethanol A and Ethanol B
reported less variety in food items cooked
• Households reported that they cook on
TCS and ICS at the same time
Stove Model % of HH that
would take out
loan (Survey)
Average
adoption rate
(Sensor data)
BiomassA 50% 62%
Biomass B 50% 66%
Ethanol A 30% 7%
Ethanol B 0% 14%
LPG 90% 27%
Distribution Does not Equal Success
Biomass B Households
LPG households
Ethanol A Households
Biomass A Households
Ethanol B Households
Total
TCS
ICS
Total
TCS
ICS
Total
TCS
ICS
Total
TCS
ICS
Total
TCS
ICS
{
{
{
{
{
One Size Doesn't Fit All: How data can support tailored approaches in public health
Thank you!
Emily Conant ◦ Data Scientist ◦ emily@nexleaf.org
www.nexleaf.org

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One Size Doesn't Fit All: How data can support tailored approaches in public health

  • 1. One Size Doesn’t Fit All How data can support tailored approaches in Public Health Presenter: Emily Conant Data Scientist emily@nexleaf.org
  • 2. WhoWe are • Nonprofit technology company working to solve global challenges • Mission to preserve human life and protect our planet • We build low-cost sensors, web-based dashboards and provide custom data analytics • We work from the bottom-up to help design the best solutions for those who need it most
  • 3. 3 3 billion people rely on fires inside their homes to cook, provide light, and heating
  • 4. Black Carbon and Health • Harmful by-product of incomplete combustion • Type of particular matter (PM2.5) with small diameter • Roughly 4 million premature deaths each year related to indoor air pollution • Causes noncommunicable diseases such as COPD, cancer, stroke, and heart disease • Nearly half of premature deaths in children under five due to pneumonia are caused by indoor air pollution
  • 5. Black Carbon and Climate • Short Lived Climate Pollutant (SLP) • Lasts in atmosphere a few days to weeks • Climate forcing agent • When deposited onto ice and snow, it reduces surface albedo • Second largest contributor to climate change • Emissions are increasing rapidly in developing countries
  • 6. Introduction to Clean Cooking • What is an improved cookstove (ICS)? • Any stove designed to displace traditional cooking • More efficient, uses less fuel, emits less • Cooking on an ICS can mitigate harmful impacts of black carbon • Many organizations have been working to encourage adoption of clean cooking over the last few decades
  • 7. Our Reach for Clean Cooking Nigeria ● 50 households ● RUWES and CCAC ● 5 clean cooking solutions ● 3 fuels: biomass, LPG, ethanol Tanzania ● 30 households ● A2EI ● Electric pressure cookers India ● 5 states ● Over 500 households ● LPG, induction, biomass ● Leads:TataTrusts, Sambodhi, CARE Implementation: SEWA, Dharma Life,Teri Bangladesh ● 35 households ● CPI ● LPG, biomass
  • 9. Qualitative vs. Self-reported Data • Surveys are not always reliable • Self-reported data can over- or under- estimate measurements • This can lead to drastically different conclusions • Furthermore leading to different actions taken • If we don’t make the proper conclusions and don’t carry out appropriate actions, how can we make a difference?
  • 10. Household Cooking Behavior Deployment A Household 1 Household 2 TCS – Traditional Cook Stove ICS – Improved Biomass TCS – Traditional Cook Stove ICS – Improved Biomass
  • 11. TheValue of Actionable Data Stove 1 Stove 2
  • 12. Context Matters • Stove performance can vary in different regions • GroupA shows unsuccessful uptake of clean cooking • Group B shows successful uptake of clean cooking with same stove model • Group 2 shows sustained adoption over time
  • 13. Stairway to Scale Model 10 100 1,000 Verify adoption & durability Verify sustained adoption 10,000 Verify air quality impact Verify health impact • Four-step clean cook stove evaluation process • Iterative process, adoption first • Identify solutions worth scaling • Prevent equipment abandonment and waste • Displace traditional cookstoves • Demonstrate impact
  • 14. Nigeria Pilot Study • RUWES (RuralWomen for Energy Security) and CCAC (Climate and Clean Air Coalition) • 94% of population uses wood, charcoal and kerosene • 64,000 deaths each year due to indoor air pollution • Investigated 5 different solutions • Observed 50 households • 100 StoveTrace trek devices installed
  • 15. Biomass vs. Clean Fuel Stoves
  • 16. Biomass vs. Clean Fuel StovesAdoption
  • 17. Cookstove Stacking • Sensor data shows us that everybody stacks • They cook on both their improved and traditional cookstoves • Households did not displaceTCS • We cook using many different devices, why shouldn’t they? • Future projects should consider a clean stack solution
  • 18. Qualitative survey • Following pilot, a survey was conducted among 50 households • General stove feedback/pros and cons • Willingness to take out a loan to buy stove • Fuel cost/availability • Food preparation/preferences • Household structure • Community influence
  • 19. Survey results • Usage does not translate to willingness to pay • Fuel cost was a barrier toward adoption • Lowest adoption ICS models were unable to accommodate larger pots • Households using Ethanol A and Ethanol B reported less variety in food items cooked • Households reported that they cook on TCS and ICS at the same time Stove Model % of HH that would take out loan (Survey) Average adoption rate (Sensor data) BiomassA 50% 62% Biomass B 50% 66% Ethanol A 30% 7% Ethanol B 0% 14% LPG 90% 27%
  • 20. Distribution Does not Equal Success Biomass B Households LPG households Ethanol A Households Biomass A Households Ethanol B Households Total TCS ICS Total TCS ICS Total TCS ICS Total TCS ICS Total TCS ICS { { { { {
  • 22. Thank you! Emily Conant ◦ Data Scientist ◦ emily@nexleaf.org www.nexleaf.org