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OOrrggaanniizzaattiioonnaall 
DDeecciissiioonn mmaakkiinngg 
MMooddeellss 
U.KALPANADEVI 
MBA
 Organizational decision making: 
the process of responding to a problem by 
searching for and selecting a solution or 
course of action that will create value for 
organizational stakeholders 
Types: 
 Programmed Decision 
 Non-Programmed Decision
Decision Making - Types 
Programmed Decision 
– Routine, virtually automatic decision making that 
follows established rules or guidelines. 
Non-Programmed Decision 
– Nonroutine decision made in response to unusual or 
novel opportunities and threats. 
– The are no rules to follow since the decision is new.
Individual Decision Making 
 Rational approach – ideal method for 
how managers should make decisions 
 Bounded rationality perspective – how 
decisions are made under severe time and 
resource constraints
Steps in the Rational Approach
Limitations for the Rational 
Decision Making Model 
 requires a great deal of time 
 requires great deal of information 
 assumes rational, measurable criteria are available and 
agreed upon 
 assumes accurate, stable and complete knowledge of all 
the alternatives, preferences, goals and consequences 
 assumes a rational, reasonable, non – political world
Bounded Rationality Perspective 
 There is a limit to how rational managers 
can be—time and resource constraints 
– Nonprogrammed decisions 
 Constraints and Tradeoffs 
– Constraints impinge the decision maker 
 The Role of Intuition 
– Experience and judgment rather than logic
Constraints and Tradeoffs 
During Nonprogrammed Decision Making
Organizational Decision Making 
Management Science Approach 
Carnegie Model 
Incremental Decision Model 
Garbage Can Model 
Unstructured model
Management Science Approach 
 Similar to rational individual approach 
– Structured 
 Based on technology
Management Science Approach 
 Use of statistics to identify relevant 
variables 
 Remove human element 
 Very successful for military problems 
 Good tool for decisions where variables 
can be indentified and measured 
 A drawback of management science is that 
quantitative data are not rich and lack tacit 
knowledge
The Carnegie Model 
 Introduces a set of more realistic assumptions 
about the decision-making process 
– Satisficing: limited information searches to identify 
problems and alternative solutions 
– Bounded rationality: a limited capacity to process 
information 
– Organizational coalitions: solution chosen is a result 
of compromise, bargaining, and accommodation 
between coalitions
Carnegie Model
Differences Between the Rational 
and Carnegie Models 
Rational model Carnegie model 
Information is available Limited information is available 
Decision making is costless Decision making is costly 
Possible alternatives are 
generated 
Limited range of alternatives are 
generated 
Solution is chosen by unanimous 
agreement 
Solution is chosen by bargaining 
and compromise 
Soln chosen is best for the orgn Soln chosen is satisficing for the 
orgn
Incremental Decision Process 
Model 
 Focuses on sequence of events from 
problem discovery to solution
Organisational Decision Making models
Garbage Can Model 
Garbage Can 
Model - 
a theory that 
contends 
that decisions in 
organizations are 
random and 
unsystematic 
Problems 
Solutions 
Choice 
opportunities 
Participants
Garbage Can Model 
 Pattern or flow of multiple decisions 
 Think of the whole organization 
 Explain decision making in high 
uncertainty - organized anarchy: 
– Problematic preferences 
– Unclear, poorly understood technology 
– Turnover 
 Streams of events instead of defined 
problems and solutions
Consequences of the 
Garbage Can Model 
1. Solutions may be proposed even when 
problems do not exist 
2. Choices are made without solving 
problems 
3. Problems may persist without being 
solved 
4. A few problems are solved
Garbage Can Model
Unstructured Decision Making 
Model 
 Takes place when uncertainty is high 
 Unprogrammed decisions 
 Not a sequential process 
 Involves unpredictable decisions
Contingency Decision-Making 
 Two dimensions 
– Problem consensus 
– Technical knowledge about solutions
Organisational Decision Making models
Design Essentials 
 Most decisions are not made in a logical manner 
 Individuals make decisions, but organizational 
decisions are not made by a single individual 
 Conflict exists when problems are not agreed on 
 The garbage can model has become a description of 
decision-making 
 Organizations operate in high-velocity environments 
 Allowing biases to cloud decision making can have 
negative consequences
THANK YOU FOR 
YOUR 
ATTENTION

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Organisational Decision Making models

  • 2.  Organizational decision making: the process of responding to a problem by searching for and selecting a solution or course of action that will create value for organizational stakeholders Types:  Programmed Decision  Non-Programmed Decision
  • 3. Decision Making - Types Programmed Decision – Routine, virtually automatic decision making that follows established rules or guidelines. Non-Programmed Decision – Nonroutine decision made in response to unusual or novel opportunities and threats. – The are no rules to follow since the decision is new.
  • 4. Individual Decision Making  Rational approach – ideal method for how managers should make decisions  Bounded rationality perspective – how decisions are made under severe time and resource constraints
  • 5. Steps in the Rational Approach
  • 6. Limitations for the Rational Decision Making Model  requires a great deal of time  requires great deal of information  assumes rational, measurable criteria are available and agreed upon  assumes accurate, stable and complete knowledge of all the alternatives, preferences, goals and consequences  assumes a rational, reasonable, non – political world
  • 7. Bounded Rationality Perspective  There is a limit to how rational managers can be—time and resource constraints – Nonprogrammed decisions  Constraints and Tradeoffs – Constraints impinge the decision maker  The Role of Intuition – Experience and judgment rather than logic
  • 8. Constraints and Tradeoffs During Nonprogrammed Decision Making
  • 9. Organizational Decision Making Management Science Approach Carnegie Model Incremental Decision Model Garbage Can Model Unstructured model
  • 10. Management Science Approach  Similar to rational individual approach – Structured  Based on technology
  • 11. Management Science Approach  Use of statistics to identify relevant variables  Remove human element  Very successful for military problems  Good tool for decisions where variables can be indentified and measured  A drawback of management science is that quantitative data are not rich and lack tacit knowledge
  • 12. The Carnegie Model  Introduces a set of more realistic assumptions about the decision-making process – Satisficing: limited information searches to identify problems and alternative solutions – Bounded rationality: a limited capacity to process information – Organizational coalitions: solution chosen is a result of compromise, bargaining, and accommodation between coalitions
  • 14. Differences Between the Rational and Carnegie Models Rational model Carnegie model Information is available Limited information is available Decision making is costless Decision making is costly Possible alternatives are generated Limited range of alternatives are generated Solution is chosen by unanimous agreement Solution is chosen by bargaining and compromise Soln chosen is best for the orgn Soln chosen is satisficing for the orgn
  • 15. Incremental Decision Process Model  Focuses on sequence of events from problem discovery to solution
  • 17. Garbage Can Model Garbage Can Model - a theory that contends that decisions in organizations are random and unsystematic Problems Solutions Choice opportunities Participants
  • 18. Garbage Can Model  Pattern or flow of multiple decisions  Think of the whole organization  Explain decision making in high uncertainty - organized anarchy: – Problematic preferences – Unclear, poorly understood technology – Turnover  Streams of events instead of defined problems and solutions
  • 19. Consequences of the Garbage Can Model 1. Solutions may be proposed even when problems do not exist 2. Choices are made without solving problems 3. Problems may persist without being solved 4. A few problems are solved
  • 21. Unstructured Decision Making Model  Takes place when uncertainty is high  Unprogrammed decisions  Not a sequential process  Involves unpredictable decisions
  • 22. Contingency Decision-Making  Two dimensions – Problem consensus – Technical knowledge about solutions
  • 24. Design Essentials  Most decisions are not made in a logical manner  Individuals make decisions, but organizational decisions are not made by a single individual  Conflict exists when problems are not agreed on  The garbage can model has become a description of decision-making  Organizations operate in high-velocity environments  Allowing biases to cloud decision making can have negative consequences
  • 25. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION

Editor's Notes

  • #6: Creative devising, creative ideas, break throughs, brain storms, inspiration
  • #7: Assumes that adequate informn obtained in terms of quqlity, quqntitiy & accuracy Questionable proocess today
  • #8: Asssumes that mgrs posses intellectual capacity to evaluate all possible alternatives Bounded rationality- a limited capacity to process the informn
  • #13: Certain criteria to evaluate possible acceptable solutions Coaliations – temporary unions
  • #16: This model used to lessen the chances of making mistakes Course of actions takes place incrementally or slightly
  • #17: Mgrs limit by lack of informn & foresight More cautiously one step ata tym