Oxford workshop
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1. The workshop aims to discuss damage assessments of industrial sectors and lifelines from disasters to enhance cost-benefit analyses of risk mitigation measures. 2. The IDEA project seeks to develop standardized damage data collection procedures and an information system to facilitate multi-purpose data analysis following disasters. 3. The workshop will focus on businesses/insurance and infrastructure sectors, where knowledge is less structured. It will explore physical damage costs, business interruption impacts, and the need for fast recovery support of firms.
Oxford workshop
- 1. IDEA – Presentation of the project and objectives of the workshop Scira Menoni on behalf of the POLIMI Team: Francesco Ballio, Ouejdane Mejri, Marina Mendoza, Guido Minucci, Daniela Molinari, Giulia Pesaro Workshop Learning form disasters and mitigating risks for the future: the role of the industrial and lifelines sectors Oxford Brooks University - Oxford, 5-6 April 2016
- 2. The project: www.ideaproject.polimi.it Improving damage assessments to enhance cost-benefit analysis: challenging the call of the EU considering the quality of data on which most CB are actually carried out. A new entry for us: the VU Institute of the Netherlands
- 3. Post-disaster damage assessment: why? We will discuss more in depth the issue of multi-purpose damage data collection and analysis in another part of the workshop EVENT Physical event scenario: the features of the triggering phenomena DAMAGE DATA COLLECTION Sectors Time scale Spatial scale Physical damage Costs DAMAGE ASSESSMENT Physical damage Costs AccountingNeeds (compensation) Forensic Risk assessment Immediate resources for recovery Identifying risk mitigation measures for a resilient reconstruction and in similar areas (not affected now) Effective at the national level Effective at the regional/local level On what factors to intervene CB Analyses Multicriteria assessment
- 4. Post-disaster damage assessment: How? We have case four case studies but also a mixed partnership of research institions and civil protection organisations. Data ownership is still an issue. Not less than data coordination
- 5. IDEA project’s mian goals To show how data can be used for multiple purposes, including Cost- Benefit analysis of mitigation measures Develop a model of damage data collection and analysis adaptable to different countries and organisations (the crucial role of procedures) Develop and Information System that will provide data structure and facilitate the task of data input and will shift the effort of organisations on data analysis Needs assessment (compensation) Recovery Local officials/insurers Fair resources allocation Regional/national officers, insurance companies EU Solidarity Fund in case of activation Loss Accounting Recording the impact Local policy (city) Measuring trends International policy (UN, donors, EU Policy-DG ECHO) Disaster forensic Identify the cause Local expert teams Learning from the past National expert teams International expert temas (PDNA) Risk modelling Modelling future losses Local research/policy DRR and mitigation National research/policy (Regional, GEM) International initiatives (GEM, GAR), EU policy National policy (National Adminsitrations) Global users National users Local users Obje- ctives Moti- vation Database Database Database Standardized procedure to collect data for multiple purposes Collecting data regarding damages reported to the Emergency Control Room by municipalities and lifelines companies Triggering the Copernicus service and other offices to draw the map of inundated areas Direct damage surveys for residential buildings usig forms used in training Multi-sectoral damage analysis and second report to support the declaration of state of emergency Third report of damage and losses to multiple sectors to support both recovery and forensic analysis Use of the Advanced Damage Report to: - Monitor reconstruction and use of funds; - Decisions and plans for reconstruction based on forensic investigation of damage Direct damage surveys for industrial and commercial buildings integrated to self declarations First event report describing the hazard features and preliminary overview of damage
- 6. Objectives of this workshop Work on two sectors in particular: Businesses, including insurance, and Infrastructures regarding which we have in general less structured and «scientific» knowledge
- 7. Businesses: looking for answers for the following questions: What is the impact on economy of damage to economic activities? There are models to assess the impact on economy of businesses interruption (indirect damage) however there are less knwoledge regarding the chain: Physical damage to firms Direct repair costs Business interruption Other businesses interruption (lifelines but not only) Effects on the individual firm Effects on economic sectors and economy Lost revenue and other indirect costs Litigation costs tduration
- 8. Businesses A very large variability in vulnerability factors (what is the most crucial weak points physically and also systemically) in a firm, but also how those are related to the different types of stresses (earthquakes, floods) At the level of policies and interventions: fast recovery is crucial, so for example Treating firms as residential households Wrong Treating a flood like an earthquake in terms of recovery provisions Wrong
- 9. Utilities and infrastructures Despite of the Council Directive 2008/114/EC “On the identification and designation of European critical infrastructures and the assessment of the need to improve their protection”, and other relevant initiatives (World Bank, Sendai) including the OCSE Decision No. 6/13 on the Protection of energy networks from natural and man made disasters We still have very little empirical data and poor only anedoctical information on what actually happens in case of natural disasters
- 10. Role of Public-Private Partnership The reason why we know so little regarding damage to lifelines and critical infrastructures is certainly the lack of data, because of their fragmentation but also because of the lack of sharing culture Here is where PPP can really make a difference: the crucial role of the insurance sector, combining data from insurance with data collected by civil protection organisations and with the firms themselves.
- 11. Role of Public-Private Partnership It is also a matter of a more transparent and accountable way to use at the end public money Transparency regarding data that can be shared, of course not sensitive or private, however the definition of both is a matter of debate
- 12. Role of Public-Private Partnership So thank you very much for being here, this is really we hope a starting point for the discussion and also knowing each other for other opportunities for funding yes but primarily to be better prepared for the kind of extreme events we will discuss in this day and a half. I would like very much to thank the Oxford Brooks team, Ray Ogden, Nicholas Walliman, Shahrzad Amouzad and Martin Dolan.