Population Statistics 2013 -2045



       Prepared October 2011
Data Sources
• U.S. Census Bureau and International
  Data Base (IDB)
  – http://www.census.gov/population/international/data/idb/informati
    onGateway.php


• Internet data from Internet World Stats
  – http://www.internetworldstats.com/
Global Snapshot
Projected Population by Region
Global Composition
Comparison
             2013 Population                 2045 Population
                                   Latin
             Northern             America    Northern
                      Oceania
   Latin     America              and the    America Oceania
  America               0%                             0%
               5%                Caribbean     5%
  and the
 Caribbean                          8%
    9%                  Africa
                                                           Africa
                         16%
                                                            23%
                                    Europe
    Europe
                                      8%
     10%




                        Asia
                        60%                     Asia
                                                56%
Top 10 Countries
• Fragmentation – an increasing long tail of population
           Top 10 Countries in 2013                                          Top 10 Countries in 2045

  2013 Population          2045 Population                           2013 Population         2045 Population


       China                                   1,350                 India                               1,221
                                               1,334                                                                   1,617

        India                                1,221                  China                                      1,350
                                                       1,617                                                   1,334
                          317                                      United            317
United States
                            408                                    States              408

   Indonesia          251                                         Nigeria       175
                       310                                                            365

       Brazil        208                                        Indonesia           251
                      258                                                            310

    Pakistan         193            Top 10                       Pakistan        193                 Top 10
                       281                                                         281
                                    comprise                                                         comprise
      Nigeria        175            58.5% of total                  Brazil       208                 44.6% of total
                           365                                                    258
                                    pop. in 2013                                                     pop. in 2045
 Bangladesh         164                                           Ethiopia     97
                     243                                                            246

      Russia        137                                        Bangladesh       164
                    113                                                          243

       Japan        127                                        Philippines     106
                    111                                                         164
Fastest Growing Countries

  Fastest Growing Countries 2013-2045
                                                                             Percent
    Rank   Country             2013 Population        2045 Population        Change
           TotalEarth                 7,078,013,296          9,158,369,026             29.39%
     1     Uganda                       37,181,372            109,752,448          195.18%
     2     Niger                        17,709,091             49,107,372          177.30%
     3     Ethiopia                     96,838,456            245,655,374          153.68%
     4     Burkina Faso                 17,812,961             42,447,641          138.30%
     5     Zambia                       14,746,280             34,040,289          130.84%
     6     Burundi                      10,888,321             24,728,707          127.11%
     7     Angola                       18,565,269             41,279,851          122.35%
     8     Madagascar                   23,259,610             51,343,658          120.74%
     9     Mozambique                   24,096,669             52,585,367          118.23%
     10    Sierra Leone                  5,612,685             12,160,141          116.65%



                          Africa
                          Dominates
Fastest Declining Countries
  Fastest Declining Countries 2013-2045

    Rank   Country                     2013 Population        2045 Population           Percent Change
           Earth                              7,078,013,296          9,158,369,026              29.39%
     1     Cook Islands                              10,447                     5,640          -46.01%
     2     Saint Pierre and Miquelon                  5,774                     3,791          -34.34%
     3     Moldova                                3,619,925              2,431,772             -32.82%
     4     Bulgaria                               6,981,642              4,981,125             -28.65%
     5     Estonia                                1,266,375                920,750             -27.29%
     6     Latvia                                 2,178,443              1,638,192             -24.80%
     7     Micronesia                               106,104                 79,963             -24.64%
     8     Ukraine                               44,573,205             35,054,324             -21.36%
     9     Tonga                                    106,322                 87,100             -18.08%
     10    Russia                              137,410,006             112,920,157             -17.82%




                      Eastern Europe
                      Dominates
Median Age
• Median age will increase by 6.6 years globally from 2013 to 2045
• Asia’s median age will increase by 9.5 years
• Latin America’s will increase by 10 years

                                                 47.6
                                          41.2                                 39.8
                                   39.5                          38.5                        39.3
         36.1                                                           37.6
                                                                                      33.7
  29.5                        30                          28.5
                       24.5
                19.5




                  Africa        Asia       Europe            Latin      Northern
 Total Earth                                             America and    America       Oceania
                                                        the Caribbean

                              2013 Median Age       2045 Median Age
Median Age – under 25
• In 2013, there will be 80 countries with a
  median age of less than 25 years
  – These countries will comprise 23.4% of the
    world’s population in 2013
• In 2045, there will be 24 countries with a
  median age of less than 25 years
  – These countries will comprise 14.4% of the
    world’s population in 2045
Oldest and Youngest Countries
                Youngest                                 Oldest
                           2013 Median
   Country                     Age       Country                   2013 Median Age
   Uganda                      15.1      Monaco                          50.5
   Niger                       15.2      Japan                           45.8
   Mali                        16.5      Germany                         45.7
   Zambia                      16.5      Hong Kong                       44.5
   Ethiopia                    16.8      Italy                           44.2
   Mozambique                  16.9      Saint Pierre and Miquelon       43.9
   Mayotte                      17       Austria                         43.8
   Burundi                      17       Greece                          43.2
   Burkina Faso                17.1      San Marino                      43.1
   Chad                        17.1      Isle of Man                     43.1
   Congo (Brazzaville)         17.2      Slovenia                        43.1
   Malawi                      17.4      Finland                         42.9
   Sao Tome and Principe       17.7      Belgium                         42.8
   Benin                       17.7      Guernsey                        42.7
   Congo (Kinshasa)            17.8      Bermuda                         42.6
   Angola                      17.9      Sweden                          42.4
   Somalia                     17.9      Switzerland                     42.3
   Nigeria                      18       Bulgaria                        42.2
   Afghanistan                  18       Liechtenstein                    42
   Gaza Strip                  18.1      Croatia                         41.9
Average Life Expectancy
•    Average life expectancy will increase by 6.8 years globally from 2013 to
     2045
•    Life expectancy in Africa will increase by 10.8 years
•    Life expectancy in Asia will increase by 7.1 years


                                                        81.2            79.9          82.6          80.2
                                          77.6   76.4                          78.8          76.3
           74.6                                                  74.3
    67.8                 68.1      70.5
                  57.3




                    Africa            Asia        Europe            Latin      Northern
    Total Earth                                                 America and    America       Oceania
                                                               the Caribbean

                                2013 Life expectancy       2045 Life expectancy
Life Expectancy – Over 80
• In 2013, there will be 36 countries with
  average life expectancies of 80 years or more
  – These countries will comprise 9.2% of the world’s
    population in 2013
• In 2045, there will be 116 countries with
  average life expectancies of 80 years or more
  – These countries will comprise 35.6% of the
    world’s population in 2045
Longest and Shortest Life Expectancies
        Shortest Life Expectancy                   Longest Life Expectancy
                               2013 Life                             2013 Life
   Country                    expectancy   Country                  expectancy
   Chad                          49.1      Monaco                      89.6
   South Africa                  49.5      Macau                       84.5
   Guinea-Bissau                 49.5      Japan                       84.2
   Swaziland                      50       Singapore                   84.1
   Afghanistan                   50.1      San Marino                  83.1
   Central African Republic      50.9      Andorra                     82.6
   Somalia                       51.2      Guernsey                    82.3
   Namibia                        52       Hong Kong                   82.2
   Gabon                         52.2      Italy                        82
   Lesotho                       52.3      Australia                    82
   Mozambique                    52.3      Liechtenstein               81.6
   Nigeria                       52.5      Canada                      81.6
   Malawi                        52.8      Jersey                      81.6
   Zambia                        52.8      Spain                       81.4
   Tanzania                      53.4      France                      81.4
   Mali                          53.5      Sweden                      81.3
   Uganda                        53.7      Switzerland                 81.3
   Zimbabwe                      53.9      Israel                      81.2
   Niger                         54.2      Iceland                     81.1
   Burkina Faso                  54.4      Anguilla                    81.1
Internet Penetration, 2011
Internet Distribution, 2011
Internet Users, 2011
Top Internet Countries, 2011
                            TOP 20 COUNTRIES WITH HIGHEST NUMBER OF INTERNET USERS
                #     Country or Region    Population,     Internet Users    Penetration    World
                                             2011 Est        Latest Data    (% Population) % Users
75% of the      1 China                      1,336,718,015      485,000,000        36.30%    23.00%
                2 United States                313,232,044      245,000,000        78.20%    11.60%
world’s         3 India                      1,189,172,906      100,000,000          8.40%    4.70%
Internet        4 Japan                        126,475,664       99,182,000        78.40%     4.70%
                5 Brazil                       203,429,773       75,982,000        37.40%     3.60%
users are       6 Germany                       81,471,834       65,125,000        79.90%     3.10%
in 20           7 Russia                       138,739,892       59,700,000        43.00%     2.80%
                8 United Kingdom                62,698,362       51,442,100        82.00%     2.40%
countries       9 France                        65,102,719       45,262,000        69.50%     2.10%
               10 Nigeria                      155,215,573       43,982,200        28.30%     2.10%
               11 Indonesia                    245,613,043       39,600,000        16.10%     1.90%
               12 Korea                         48,754,657       39,440,000        80.90%     1.90%
               13 Iran                          77,891,220       36,500,000        46.90%     1.70%
Internet       14 Turkey                        78,785,548       35,000,000        44.40%     1.70%
penetration    15 Mexico                       113,724,226       34,900,000        30.70%     1.70%
               16 Italy                         61,016,804       30,026,400        49.20%     1.40%
in those 20    17 Philippines                  101,833,938       29,700,000        29.20%     1.40%
countries      18 Spain                         46,754,784       29,093,984        62.20%     1.40%
combined       19 Vietnam                       90,549,390       29,268,606        32.30%     1.40%
               20 Argentina                     41,769,726       27,568,000        66.00%     1.30%
is only       TOP 20 Countries               4,578,950,118    1,601,772,290        35.00%    75.90%
35%           Rest of the World              2,351,105,036      508,993,520        21.60%    24.10%
              Total World - Users            6,930,055,154    2,110,765,810        30.50% 100.00%
              NOTES: (1) World Internet User Statistics were updated for June 30, 2011. (2) Additional data for individual countries and regions may be found by clicking each country
              name. (3) The most recent user information comes from data published byNielsen Online, International Telecommunications Union, Official country reports, and other
              trustworthy research sources. (6) Data from this site may be cited, giving due credit and establishing an active link back to Internet World Stats. Copyright © 2000 - 2011,
              Miniwatts Marketing Group. All rights reserved.
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Population data to 2045

  • 1. Population Statistics 2013 -2045 Prepared October 2011
  • 2. Data Sources • U.S. Census Bureau and International Data Base (IDB) – http://www.census.gov/population/international/data/idb/informati onGateway.php • Internet data from Internet World Stats – http://www.internetworldstats.com/
  • 5. Global Composition Comparison 2013 Population 2045 Population Latin Northern America Northern Oceania Latin America and the America Oceania America 0% 0% 5% Caribbean 5% and the Caribbean 8% 9% Africa Africa 16% 23% Europe Europe 8% 10% Asia 60% Asia 56%
  • 6. Top 10 Countries • Fragmentation – an increasing long tail of population Top 10 Countries in 2013 Top 10 Countries in 2045 2013 Population 2045 Population 2013 Population 2045 Population China 1,350 India 1,221 1,334 1,617 India 1,221 China 1,350 1,617 1,334 317 United 317 United States 408 States 408 Indonesia 251 Nigeria 175 310 365 Brazil 208 Indonesia 251 258 310 Pakistan 193 Top 10 Pakistan 193 Top 10 281 281 comprise comprise Nigeria 175 58.5% of total Brazil 208 44.6% of total 365 258 pop. in 2013 pop. in 2045 Bangladesh 164 Ethiopia 97 243 246 Russia 137 Bangladesh 164 113 243 Japan 127 Philippines 106 111 164
  • 7. Fastest Growing Countries Fastest Growing Countries 2013-2045 Percent Rank Country 2013 Population 2045 Population Change TotalEarth 7,078,013,296 9,158,369,026 29.39% 1 Uganda 37,181,372 109,752,448 195.18% 2 Niger 17,709,091 49,107,372 177.30% 3 Ethiopia 96,838,456 245,655,374 153.68% 4 Burkina Faso 17,812,961 42,447,641 138.30% 5 Zambia 14,746,280 34,040,289 130.84% 6 Burundi 10,888,321 24,728,707 127.11% 7 Angola 18,565,269 41,279,851 122.35% 8 Madagascar 23,259,610 51,343,658 120.74% 9 Mozambique 24,096,669 52,585,367 118.23% 10 Sierra Leone 5,612,685 12,160,141 116.65% Africa Dominates
  • 8. Fastest Declining Countries Fastest Declining Countries 2013-2045 Rank Country 2013 Population 2045 Population Percent Change Earth 7,078,013,296 9,158,369,026 29.39% 1 Cook Islands 10,447 5,640 -46.01% 2 Saint Pierre and Miquelon 5,774 3,791 -34.34% 3 Moldova 3,619,925 2,431,772 -32.82% 4 Bulgaria 6,981,642 4,981,125 -28.65% 5 Estonia 1,266,375 920,750 -27.29% 6 Latvia 2,178,443 1,638,192 -24.80% 7 Micronesia 106,104 79,963 -24.64% 8 Ukraine 44,573,205 35,054,324 -21.36% 9 Tonga 106,322 87,100 -18.08% 10 Russia 137,410,006 112,920,157 -17.82% Eastern Europe Dominates
  • 9. Median Age • Median age will increase by 6.6 years globally from 2013 to 2045 • Asia’s median age will increase by 9.5 years • Latin America’s will increase by 10 years 47.6 41.2 39.8 39.5 38.5 39.3 36.1 37.6 33.7 29.5 30 28.5 24.5 19.5 Africa Asia Europe Latin Northern Total Earth America and America Oceania the Caribbean 2013 Median Age 2045 Median Age
  • 10. Median Age – under 25 • In 2013, there will be 80 countries with a median age of less than 25 years – These countries will comprise 23.4% of the world’s population in 2013 • In 2045, there will be 24 countries with a median age of less than 25 years – These countries will comprise 14.4% of the world’s population in 2045
  • 11. Oldest and Youngest Countries Youngest Oldest 2013 Median Country Age Country 2013 Median Age Uganda 15.1 Monaco 50.5 Niger 15.2 Japan 45.8 Mali 16.5 Germany 45.7 Zambia 16.5 Hong Kong 44.5 Ethiopia 16.8 Italy 44.2 Mozambique 16.9 Saint Pierre and Miquelon 43.9 Mayotte 17 Austria 43.8 Burundi 17 Greece 43.2 Burkina Faso 17.1 San Marino 43.1 Chad 17.1 Isle of Man 43.1 Congo (Brazzaville) 17.2 Slovenia 43.1 Malawi 17.4 Finland 42.9 Sao Tome and Principe 17.7 Belgium 42.8 Benin 17.7 Guernsey 42.7 Congo (Kinshasa) 17.8 Bermuda 42.6 Angola 17.9 Sweden 42.4 Somalia 17.9 Switzerland 42.3 Nigeria 18 Bulgaria 42.2 Afghanistan 18 Liechtenstein 42 Gaza Strip 18.1 Croatia 41.9
  • 12. Average Life Expectancy • Average life expectancy will increase by 6.8 years globally from 2013 to 2045 • Life expectancy in Africa will increase by 10.8 years • Life expectancy in Asia will increase by 7.1 years 81.2 79.9 82.6 80.2 77.6 76.4 78.8 76.3 74.6 74.3 67.8 68.1 70.5 57.3 Africa Asia Europe Latin Northern Total Earth America and America Oceania the Caribbean 2013 Life expectancy 2045 Life expectancy
  • 13. Life Expectancy – Over 80 • In 2013, there will be 36 countries with average life expectancies of 80 years or more – These countries will comprise 9.2% of the world’s population in 2013 • In 2045, there will be 116 countries with average life expectancies of 80 years or more – These countries will comprise 35.6% of the world’s population in 2045
  • 14. Longest and Shortest Life Expectancies Shortest Life Expectancy Longest Life Expectancy 2013 Life 2013 Life Country expectancy Country expectancy Chad 49.1 Monaco 89.6 South Africa 49.5 Macau 84.5 Guinea-Bissau 49.5 Japan 84.2 Swaziland 50 Singapore 84.1 Afghanistan 50.1 San Marino 83.1 Central African Republic 50.9 Andorra 82.6 Somalia 51.2 Guernsey 82.3 Namibia 52 Hong Kong 82.2 Gabon 52.2 Italy 82 Lesotho 52.3 Australia 82 Mozambique 52.3 Liechtenstein 81.6 Nigeria 52.5 Canada 81.6 Malawi 52.8 Jersey 81.6 Zambia 52.8 Spain 81.4 Tanzania 53.4 France 81.4 Mali 53.5 Sweden 81.3 Uganda 53.7 Switzerland 81.3 Zimbabwe 53.9 Israel 81.2 Niger 54.2 Iceland 81.1 Burkina Faso 54.4 Anguilla 81.1
  • 18. Top Internet Countries, 2011 TOP 20 COUNTRIES WITH HIGHEST NUMBER OF INTERNET USERS # Country or Region Population, Internet Users Penetration World 2011 Est Latest Data (% Population) % Users 75% of the 1 China 1,336,718,015 485,000,000 36.30% 23.00% 2 United States 313,232,044 245,000,000 78.20% 11.60% world’s 3 India 1,189,172,906 100,000,000 8.40% 4.70% Internet 4 Japan 126,475,664 99,182,000 78.40% 4.70% 5 Brazil 203,429,773 75,982,000 37.40% 3.60% users are 6 Germany 81,471,834 65,125,000 79.90% 3.10% in 20 7 Russia 138,739,892 59,700,000 43.00% 2.80% 8 United Kingdom 62,698,362 51,442,100 82.00% 2.40% countries 9 France 65,102,719 45,262,000 69.50% 2.10% 10 Nigeria 155,215,573 43,982,200 28.30% 2.10% 11 Indonesia 245,613,043 39,600,000 16.10% 1.90% 12 Korea 48,754,657 39,440,000 80.90% 1.90% 13 Iran 77,891,220 36,500,000 46.90% 1.70% Internet 14 Turkey 78,785,548 35,000,000 44.40% 1.70% penetration 15 Mexico 113,724,226 34,900,000 30.70% 1.70% 16 Italy 61,016,804 30,026,400 49.20% 1.40% in those 20 17 Philippines 101,833,938 29,700,000 29.20% 1.40% countries 18 Spain 46,754,784 29,093,984 62.20% 1.40% combined 19 Vietnam 90,549,390 29,268,606 32.30% 1.40% 20 Argentina 41,769,726 27,568,000 66.00% 1.30% is only TOP 20 Countries 4,578,950,118 1,601,772,290 35.00% 75.90% 35% Rest of the World 2,351,105,036 508,993,520 21.60% 24.10% Total World - Users 6,930,055,154 2,110,765,810 30.50% 100.00% NOTES: (1) World Internet User Statistics were updated for June 30, 2011. (2) Additional data for individual countries and regions may be found by clicking each country name. (3) The most recent user information comes from data published byNielsen Online, International Telecommunications Union, Official country reports, and other trustworthy research sources. (6) Data from this site may be cited, giving due credit and establishing an active link back to Internet World Stats. Copyright © 2000 - 2011, Miniwatts Marketing Group. All rights reserved.