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PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS
SUBMITTED BY:
KUNAL KUMAR
What is Predictive Analytics
 It is used to make prediction about unknown future
events.
 It uses many techniques from data mining, machine
learning, statistics, artificial intelligence.
Why is predictive analytics important?
Process
Common Predictive Analytics Methods
 Regression
Regression models predict a number – for example, how much revenue a customer
will generate over the next year or the number of months before a component will fail on a
machine.
 Classification
Classification models predict class membership. For instance, if we try to classify
whether someone is likely to leave, whether he will respond to a thing, whether he’s a
good or bad credit risk, etc. Usually, the model results are in the form of 0 or 1, with 1
being the event we are targeting.
Methods of Regression
Linear Regression
 It is one of the most widely used modeling technique.
 In this technique, the dependent variable is continuous, independent
variable(s) can be continuous or discrete and nature of regression line is
linear.
 Linear Regression establishes a relationship between dependent
variable (Y) and one or more independent variables (X) using a best
fit straight line (regression line).
Equation
Y=a+bX
Y=the dependent variable
a=intercept
b=slope
x=the independent variable
EXAMPLE
X is independent data
Y is dependent data
Simple Linear Regression
Multiple Linear Regression
 Multiple regression is an extension of simple linear regression.
 It is used when we want to predict the value of a variable based on
the value of two or more other variables.
 We could use multiple regression to understand whether daily
cigarette consumption can be predicted based on smoking duration,
age when started smoking, smoker type, income and gender.
Equation
Example
y1= -1.30365 + 0.79291 *x1 + 0.75452 *x2
Sample data
Y vs y1
Y vs y1
Application
 Banking and Financial Services.
 Retail
 Government & Public Sector
 Manufacturing
 Health Care etc.
Thank You!!

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Predictive analytics

  • 2. What is Predictive Analytics  It is used to make prediction about unknown future events.  It uses many techniques from data mining, machine learning, statistics, artificial intelligence.
  • 3. Why is predictive analytics important?
  • 5. Common Predictive Analytics Methods  Regression Regression models predict a number – for example, how much revenue a customer will generate over the next year or the number of months before a component will fail on a machine.  Classification Classification models predict class membership. For instance, if we try to classify whether someone is likely to leave, whether he will respond to a thing, whether he’s a good or bad credit risk, etc. Usually, the model results are in the form of 0 or 1, with 1 being the event we are targeting.
  • 7. Linear Regression  It is one of the most widely used modeling technique.  In this technique, the dependent variable is continuous, independent variable(s) can be continuous or discrete and nature of regression line is linear.  Linear Regression establishes a relationship between dependent variable (Y) and one or more independent variables (X) using a best fit straight line (regression line).
  • 9. EXAMPLE X is independent data Y is dependent data Simple Linear Regression
  • 10. Multiple Linear Regression  Multiple regression is an extension of simple linear regression.  It is used when we want to predict the value of a variable based on the value of two or more other variables.  We could use multiple regression to understand whether daily cigarette consumption can be predicted based on smoking duration, age when started smoking, smoker type, income and gender.
  • 12. Example y1= -1.30365 + 0.79291 *x1 + 0.75452 *x2 Sample data Y vs y1 Y vs y1
  • 13. Application  Banking and Financial Services.  Retail  Government & Public Sector  Manufacturing  Health Care etc.

Editor's Notes

  • #9: Y=the dependent variable a=intercept b=slope X=independent variable
  • #10: Simple Linear Regression
  • #13: Y vs y1