Predictive Analytics
The future of Social Media
David Uribe - Global VP/Creative Director at Asylum Marketing LLC
Co-founder & CMO at smartBeemo LLC
Miami Ad School Professor
@david_digital
Digital made everything measurable…
Then it became a
constant transformation
Now, we just cannot agree
on what success is…
Because we’re focused on numbers,
forgetting than numbers are the
consequence… not the cause.
Do we want to know/see numbers
or identify behaviors?
How do you measure
qualitative behaviors then?
BIG DATA
“Extremely large data sets that may be
analyzed computationally to reveal
patterns, trends, and associations,
especially relating to human behavior and
interactions.”1
1: Source: Google
What is the right method
to find those patterns?
We’re not even looking for them.
Client/Boss happy = Happy agency.
Digital Mktg 2015:
Data rich - Insights poor
Introducing:
Predictive Analytics
Intelligent Data vs Big Data
Data - Patterns - Actions
How do we find
valuable patterns?
Key: Mathematical Attribution
Value to qualitative data (behavioral metrics) and enter the equation.
To find patterns: Mix quantitative (n) data with
qualitative (b) data by attributing a value to what you
can’t directly measure / timeframe (t)
P = n * b (f) / t
Existing metric vs Creating a new metric
Welcome to the metrics revolution
Example I
The social voice of a brand model
Content Pillar A Content Pillar B Content Pillar C Content Pillar D
30% 30% 30% 10%
Timeframe
=
7+%
Sustained
Engagement
Example II
Dynamic Fluctuating Weighing System (DFWS)
Topic A: Product 33%
Topic B: Gym 33%
Topic C: Lifestyle 33%
Example III
smartBeemo’s scoring metric
Likes = 1
Comments = 3
Shares = 7
Now predict B*#ch!!
Fav = 1
Rep = 3
RT = 7
Example IV
View-ability engagement metric
VEM = topic (x3) * ER * ATS / Tribe
ER = L + C
Avg time spent = #”
Tribe = Targeted audience
"Predictive Analytics: The future of social media"
Predicting is better
than guessing
Science/Math rule the world
It’s time for scientific social media marketing
Predict influential content
Set the trend
$
Let’s not forget the essentials...
Content: SoMe Marketing has to be
Meet the Bee-mo Team
www.smartbeemo.com
Thank you!
david@smartbeemo.com
@david_digital

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"Predictive Analytics: The future of social media"