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Process Oriented Analysis and Validation of Multi Agent Based Simulations 1st Edition Nicolas Denz
Process Oriented Analysis and Validation of Multi Agent
Based Simulations 1st Edition Nicolas Denz Digital
Instant Download
Author(s): Nicolas Denz
ISBN(s): 9783832587741, 3832587748
Edition: 1
File Details: PDF, 10.41 MB
Year: 2014
Language: english
Agent Technology
Theory and Application
Daniel Moldt (Ed.)
Nicolas Denz
Process-Oriented Analysis
and Validation of
Multi-Agent-Based Simulations
Process Oriented Analysis and Validation of Multi Agent Based Simulations 1st Edition Nicolas Denz
Agent Technology
Theory and Application
Band 7
Agent Technology
Theory and Application
Band 7
Daniel Moldt (Ed.)
Nicolas Denz
Process-Oriented Analysis
and Validation of Multi-
Agent-Based Simulations
Logos Verlag Berlin
λογος
Agent Technology. Theory and Application
Daniel Moldt (Ed.)
Universität Hamburg
Fachbereich für Informatik
Vogt-Kölln-Str. 30
D-22527 Hamburg
moldt@informatik.uni-hamburg.de
Bildquelle: Modifiziert nach L. Cabac, N. Knaak, D. Moldt, and H. Rlke: Ana-
lysis of Multi-Agent Interactions with Process Mining Techniques, S. 17. In:
Proceedings of the 4th German Conference on Multiagent System Technology
(MATES 2006 in Erfurt), S. 12-23, Springer, September 2006.
Bibliografische Information der Deutschen Nationalbibliothek
Die Deutsche Nationalbibliothek verzeichnet diese Publikation in der
Deutschen Nationalbibliografie; detaillierte bibliografische Daten sind
im Internet über http://dnb.d-nb.de abrufbar.
c Copyright Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH 2015
Alle Rechte vorbehalten.
ISBN 978-3-8325-3874-3
ISSN 1614-676X
Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH
Comeniushof, Gubener Str. 47,
10243 Berlin
Tel.: +49 (0)30 / 42 85 10 90
Fax: +49 (0)30 / 42 85 10 92
http://www.logos-verlag.de
Gutachter
Prof. Dr.-Ing. Bernd Page (Erstgutachter)
Modellbildung und Simulation
Fachbereich Informatik
MIN-Fakultät
Universität Hamburg (Deutschland)
Dr. Daniel Moldt
Theoretische Grundlagen der Informatik
Fachbereich Informatik
MIN-Fakultät
Universität Hamburg (Deutschland)
3
Process Oriented Analysis and Validation of Multi Agent Based Simulations 1st Edition Nicolas Denz
Abstract
In multi-agent-based simulation (MABS) the behavior of individual actors is modelled in large
detail. The analysis and validation of such models is rated as dicult in the literature and
requires support by innovative methods, techniques, and tools. Problems include the complexity
of the models, the amount and often qualitative representation of the simulation results, and
the typical dichotomy between microscopic modeling and macroscopic observation perspectives.
In recent years, the application of data mining techniques has been increasingly propagated
in this context. Data mining might, to some degree, bear the potential to integrate aspects
of automated, formal validation on the one hand and explorative, qualitative analysis on the
other hand. A promising approach is found in the eld of process mining. Due to its rooting
in business process analysis, process mining shares several process- and organization-oriented
analysis perspectives and use cases with agent-based modeling.
On the basis of detailed literature research and practical experiences from case studies, this
thesis proposes a conceptual framework for the systematic application of process mining to
the analysis and validation of MABS. As a foundation, agent-oriented analysis perspectives
and simulation-specic use cases are identied and embellished with methods, techniques, and
further results from the literature.
Additionally, a partial formalization of the identied analysis perspectives is sketched by uti-
lizing the concept of process dimensions by Rembert and Ellis as well as the MAS architecture
Mulan by Rölke. With a view to future tool support the use cases are broadly related to
concepts of scientic workow and data ow modeling. Furthermore, simulation-specic re-
quirements and limitations for the application of process mining techniques are identied as
guidelines.
Beyond the conceptual work, process mining is practically applied in two case studies re-
lated to dierent modeling and simulation approaches. The rst case study integrates process
mining into the model-driven approach of Petri net-based agent-oriented software engineering
(PAOSE). On the one hand, process mining techniques are practically applied to the analysis of
agent interactions. On the other hand, more general implications of combining process mining
with reference net-based agent modeling are sketched.
The second case study starts from a more code-centric MABS for the quantitative analysis of
dierent logistic strategies for city courier services. In this context, the practical utility and
applicability of dierent process mining techniques within a large simulation study is evaluated.
Focus is put on exploratory validation and the reconstruction of modularized agent behavior.
5
Process Oriented Analysis and Validation of Multi Agent Based Simulations 1st Edition Nicolas Denz
Kurzfassung
In der agentenbasierten Simulation wird das Verhalten individueller Akteure detailliert im Mo-
dell abgebildet. Die Analyse und Validierung dieser Modelle gilt in der Literatur als schwierig
und bedarf der Unterstützung durch innovative Methoden, Techniken und Werkzeuge. Prob-
leme liegen in der Komplexität der Modelle, im Umfang und der oft qualitativen Darstellungs-
form der Ergebnisse sowie in der typischen Dichotomie zwischen mikroskopischer Modellierungs-
und makroskopischer Beobachtungssicht begründet.
In den letzten Jahren wurde in diesem Zusammenhang zunehmend der Einsatz von Techniken
aus dem Data Mining propagiert. Diese bergen in gewisser Weise das Potenzial, Aspekte der
automatisierten, formalen Validierung mit denen der explorativen, qualitativen Analyse zu vere-
inen. Einen vielversprechenden Ansatz bietet das sogenannte Process Mining, welches aufgrund
seiner Nähe zur Geschäftsprozessmodellierung mit der agentenbasierten Modellierung vergleich-
bare prozess- und organisationsorientierte Modellsichten (Perspektiven) und Anwendungsfälle
aufweist.
Ziel der vorliegenden Arbeit ist es, auf Basis umfangreicher Literaturrecherche und in Fallstu-
dien gesammelter Erfahrungen ein konzeptionelles Rahmenwerk für den systematischen Ein-
satz von Process Mining zur Analyse und Validierung agentenbasierter Simulationsmodelle
vorzuschlagen. Als Grundlage werden agentenspezische Analyseperspektiven und simulation-
sspezische Anwendungsfälle identiziert und durch Methoden, Techniken und weitere Ergeb-
nisse aus der Literatur ausgestaltet.
Darüber hinaus wird ansatzweise eine Teilformalisierung der Analyseperspektiven unter Ver-
wendung des Prozessdimensionen-Konzepts nach Rembert und Ellis sowie der auf Referen-
znetzen basierenden Architektur Mulan nach Rölke angestrebt. Die Anwendungsfälle wer-
den mit Blick auf eine mögliche Werkzeugunterstützung mit Konzepten der wissenschaftlichen
Workow- und Datenussmodellierung in Beziehung gesetzt und durch die Identikation sim-
ulationsspezischer Anwendungsrichtlinien für das Process Mining ergänzt.
Neben der konzeptionellen Arbeit wird der Einsatz von Process Mining praktisch in unter-
schiedlichen Modellierungs- und Simulationsansätzen erprobt. Die erste Fallstudie integriert
Process Mining konzeptionell und technisch in den modellgetriebenen Ansatz der Petrinetz-
basierten agentenorientierten Softwareentwicklung (PAOSE). Dabei wird einerseits der praktis-
che Einsatz von Process Mining-Techniken zur Interaktionsanalyse von Agenten beschrieben.
Andererseits zeigt die Studie generelle Implikationen der Kombination von Process Mining und
Referenznetz-basierter Agentenmodellierung auf.
Ausgangspunkt der zweiten Fallstudie ist eine eher Code-zentrierte agentenbasierte Simulation
zur quantitativen Analyse verschiedener Logistikstrategien für Stadtkurierdienste. Im Rahmen
dieser Fallstudie werden Process Mining-Techniken im Hinblick auf Anwendbarkeit und Nutzen
für eine groÿe Simulationsstudie untersucht. Dabei steht die explorative Validierung und die
Rekonstruktion modularisierten Agentenverhaltens im Vordergrund.
7
Process Oriented Analysis and Validation of Multi Agent Based Simulations 1st Edition Nicolas Denz
Acknowledgement
I would like to thank my supervisors Prof. Dr.-Ing. Bernd Page and Dr. Daniel Moldt for their
support, patience, and inspiration during the long years of work on this thesis. I appreciate
the close cooperation with a number of colleagues and (former) students including Dr. Ralf
Bachmann, Dr. Lawrence Cabac, Rainer Czogalla, Nils Erik Flick, Dr. Björn Gehlsen, Johannes
Haan, Dr. Frank Heitmann, Sven Kruse, Ruth Meyer, Florian Plähn, Thomas Sandu, and Felix
Simmendinger, who all made valuable contributions to the presented work.
Further thanks go to my former colleagues at the University of Hamburg's Department of In-
formatics including (but not limited to) Dr. Marcel Christ, Prof. Dr. Andreas Fleischer, Dr. Jo-
hannes Göbel, Dr. Philip Joschko, Arne Koors, Dr. Matthias Mayer, Prof. Dr.-Ing. Matthias
Riebisch, Prof. Dr. Volker Wohlgemuth, and Dr. Claudia Wyrwoll. I would also like to thank
my co-workers at ifu Hamburg GmbH for their patience with my 'second job' and especially
Dr. Dorli Harms for proofreading parts of this thesis.
Finally I want to thank my family for their love, support, patience, and belief in me. You know
who you are. Love to Kim and Simon, you are my soulmates.
9
Process Oriented Analysis and Validation of Multi Agent Based Simulations 1st Edition Nicolas Denz
Contents
1. Introduction 15
1.1. Motivation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
1.2. Objectives and Contributions of the Thesis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
1.2.1. Research Questions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
1.2.2. Conceptual Framework . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
1.2.3. Techniques, Tools, and Case Studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
1.3. Outline of the Thesis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
I. Foundations and State of the Art 25
2. Modeling and Simulation 27
2.1. Basic System Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
2.1.1. Complexity and Emergence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
2.1.2. Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
2.2. Computer Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
2.2.1. Classication of Simulation Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
2.2.2. World Views of Discrete Event Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
2.3. Modeling Techniques . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
2.3.1. UML 2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
2.3.2. Petri Nets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
2.3.3. Workow Modeling and Patterns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48
2.4. Experimentation, Analysis, and Validation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
2.4.1. Experimentation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
2.4.2. Output Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
2.4.3. Validation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53
3. Agent-Based Simulation 59
3.1. Agents and Multi-Agent Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59
3.1.1. Agents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59
3.1.2. Agent Architectures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62
3.1.3. Multi-Agent Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63
3.2. The Agent-Based Simulation World View . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64
3.2.1. Relations between Agents and Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64
3.2.2. Components of Agent-Based Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65
3.2.3. Coparison with other Simulation World Views . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69
3.3. Modeling Techniques for Agent-Based Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71
3.3.1. Declarative Modeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71
3.3.2. UML-Based Modeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74
11
Contents
3.3.3. Petri Nets and Mulan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79
3.4. Implementation of Agent-Based Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88
3.4.1. JADE Agent Platform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89
3.4.2. MadKit Agent Platform and Simulation Framework . . . . . . . . . . . 90
3.4.3. SeSAm Simulation System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90
3.4.4. FAMOS and DESMO-J . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91
3.4.5. Capa Agent Platform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94
3.5. The Problem of Analysis and Validation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95
4. Data Mining and Process Mining 97
4.1. Data Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97
4.1.1. The KDD Process . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98
4.1.2. Classication of Data Mining Techniques . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99
4.1.3. Model Validity in Data Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102
4.1.4. Exemplary Data Mining Techniques . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106
4.1.5. Tools for Data Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112
4.2. Process Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118
4.2.1. Denitions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118
4.2.2. Classication of Process Mining Techniques . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119
4.2.3. Control Flow Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128
4.2.4. Organizational Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 148
4.2.5. Further Perspectives and Tasks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153
4.2.6. Tools and Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164
5. Related Work 169
5.1. Analysis and Validation of MABS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 169
5.1.1. Methodologies for MABS Validation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 169
5.1.2. Techniques . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 178
5.2. Data Mining in Multi-Agent Systems and Simulations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 186
5.2.1. Relations between Data Mining and MAS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 186
5.2.2. Data Mining in MABS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187
5.2.3. Data Mining in Other Simulation World-Views . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 196
5.2.4. Data Mining in MAS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 197
5.3. Process Mining in Software Engineering and Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . 200
5.3.1. Process Mining in Software Engineering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 200
5.3.2. Mining Message Sequence Graphs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 202
5.3.3. Web Service and Interaction Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 203
5.3.4. Process Mining for Agents and Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 209
5.4. Scientic Workows for Simulation and Process Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 216
5.4.1. Scientic Workow Support for Process Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 216
5.4.2. Scientic Workow Support for Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 217
12
Contents
II. Concepts, Tools, and Case Studies 221
6. Conceptual Framework 223
6.1. Motivation and Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 223
6.2. Analysis Perspectives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 225
6.2.1. Decision Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 227
6.2.2. Internal Control Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 229
6.2.3. Structural Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 231
6.2.4. External Control Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 235
6.2.5. Adaptivity Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 238
6.2.6. Level-Encompassing Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 242
6.2.7. Domain-Specic Perspectives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 246
6.3. Use Cases within the Model Building Cycle . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 248
6.3.1. Real System Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 249
6.3.2. Exploratory Analysis of Model Behavior . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 252
6.3.3. Validation and Verication . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 254
6.3.4. Optimization and Calibration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 258
6.3.5. Design of Adaptive Agents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 260
6.3.6. Analysis of the Model Building Cycle . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263
6.4. Simulation-specic Requirements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 266
6.4.1. Robustness and Degree of Generalization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 267
6.4.2. Relevant Control Flow Constructs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 268
6.4.3. Usability of Mining Techniques for Simulation Practitioners . . . . . . . 268
6.4.4. Handling of Multiple Stochastic Simulation Runs . . . . . . . . . . . . . 269
6.5. Summary and Contributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 271
7. Process Mining in PAOSE 273
7.1. Process Mining and the Mulan Framework . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 273
7.1.1. Introduction and Motivation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 273
7.1.2. Analysis Perspectives and Mulan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 274
7.1.3. Support for Analysis Use Cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 281
7.2. Reconstruction of Basic Interaction Protocols . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289
7.2.1. Basic Interaction Mining Chain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 290
7.2.2. Message Aggregation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 291
7.2.3. Conversation Clustering and Role Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 293
7.2.4. Control Flow Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 296
7.2.5. Results and Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 300
7.3. Reconstruction of Higher Order Protocols . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 304
7.3.1. Extended Interaction Mining Chain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 306
7.3.2. Log Segmentation and Role Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 307
7.3.3. Control Flow Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 308
7.3.4. Multiple Instantiation and Cardinalities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 310
7.3.5. Result Representation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 311
7.4. Tool Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 312
7.4.1. Mulan Snier Tool . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 313
7.4.2. Analysis Framework and Mining Chains . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 313
7.5. Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 318
13
Contents
8. Process Mining in a Discrete Event Simulation Study 321
8.1. Courier Service Study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 321
8.1.1. Problem Description . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 322
8.1.2. Agent-Based Courier Service Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 322
8.1.3. Implementation with FAMOS and DESMO-J . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 328
8.1.4. Data Collection and Result Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 330
8.1.5. Validation and Calibration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 331
8.1.6. Results and Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 338
8.2. Application of Process Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 341
8.2.1. Objectives and Methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 341
8.2.2. Analysis Tasks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 342
8.2.3. Evaluation Criteria . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 343
8.2.4. Data Collection and Preprocessing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 344
8.2.5. Perspectives and Algorithms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 348
8.3. Process Mining Experiments and Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 350
8.3.1. External Control Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 350
8.3.2. Internal Control Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 368
8.3.3. Decision Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 377
8.3.4. Summary and Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 379
8.4. Integration into an Experimentation Environment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 384
8.4.1. Motivation and Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 384
8.4.2. Design and Implementation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 385
8.4.3. Scientic Workows with KNIME and ProM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 387
9. Summary, Discussion, and Outlook 389
9.1. Summary of Contributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 389
9.2. Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 390
9.2.1. Attainment of Research Goals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 391
9.2.2. Comparison to Related Work . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 397
9.3. Outlook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 403
14
1. Introduction
Multi-agent systems (MAS) are a promising theoretical concept to approach practical challenges
related to the exibility, adaptivity, and distribution of computer systems. The agent metaphor
combines an object-oriented encapsulation of program state and control ow with ideas on the
mechanics of [...] decision making (Davis et al., 1989) rooted in articial intelligence, sociology,
and economics.
1 One common example of MAS are teams of real or simulated robots competing
in the robot soccer league Robo Cup
2 (see e.g. Nair et al., 2004).
Accordingly, agent-based abstractions are used in several subelds of computer science; e.g. soft-
ware engineering, distributed systems, and robotics. (Page and Kreutzer, 2005, pp. 339). Inde-
pendent from the application context, a major problem is posed by the need to analyze and
understand the behavior of agent-based systems, and in particular to assess their validity. This
term, which will be dened precisely later, means in short that a system fullls its intended
functions in an appropriate way.
An agent-based simulation model should, for instance, represent the microscopic agent-level as
well as the macroscopic system-level of the corresponding original system in detail to allow for
reliable conclusions about reality. The increasing application of agent technology in domains
with high safety or real-time requirements (e.g. manufacturing control) calls for particularly
powerful validation techniques. The call for appropriate methods and tools to support the
analysis and validation of agent-based systems has been uttered in early publications on agent-
based software engineering already (e.g. Gasser and Huhns, 1989) and apparently not been
answered suciently (see e.g. Guessoum et al., 2004, pp. 440). Therefore, the aim of this thesis
is to shed light on innovative techniques to validate agent-based models.
1.1. Motivation
For a number of reasons, the analysis and validation of MAS poses severe problems that are
inherent to the approach. The distributed system state and high sensitivity of ABS [agent-based
simulations] often results in an unmanageable and unpredictable global behaviour. (Knaak, 2007,
p. 29, see also Klügl, 2008, Sec. 2.2). Minor deviations in the system's initial conditions might
give rise to strong deviations in behavioral trajectories (Rand et al., 2003, p. 2)
3. Due to
the microscopic modelling perspective, global [system] properties are not inuenced directly (Knaak,
2007, pp. 29-30), but only by specifying the behavior of individual agents. Since relations be-
tween microscopic causes and macroscopic eects are generally hard to determine in distributed
1
A paragraph with similar content also forms the introduction to our pre-publication (Cabac et al., 2006c).
2
http://robocup.org, last visit 2012-11-17
3
page numbers relate to the version of the article downloadable at http://masi.cscs.lsa.umich.edu/
sluce/publications/sluce-abs.pdf (last visit 2012-10-06)
15
1. Introduction
systems, this situation often complicates tasks like calibration and optimization (Klügl, 2000,
p. 205).
Certain uses of the agent metaphor even prohibit an a-priori specication of the system's
behavior as in traditional software engineering: Innovative elds such as social simulation,
swarm intelligence (Kennedy, 2001) or the engineering of self-organizing systems (Potgieter,
2004) explicitly strive to investigate or benet from self-organizing or emergent eects observed
in certain MAS (David et al., 2002, p. 91). For the analysis and validation of MAS several
approaches reaching from formal to simulation-based techniques have been proposed.
Formal verication is based on representations using formalisms such as Petri nets or modal
logic. Due to their conciseness, formal methods are increasingly applied in agent-oriented
software-engineering. However, as noted in (Cabac et al., 2006b, Sec. 1) only simple and often
practically irrelevant classes of MAS (Edmonds and Bryson, 2004) can be analyzed with formal
methods alone.
The simulation-based approach relies on the empirical observation of operational MAS and
an a-posteriori analysis of the observed behavior. The empirical analysis of MAS and agent
behavior is an important means for validation, often outperforming the application of formal
methods (see e.g. Cohen, 1995 and Guessoum et al., 2004). According to Uhrmacher (2000,
p. 39) the development of software agents is [...] mainly an experimental process
4. However,
as cited in (Cabac et al., 2006b, Sec. 1) the observation of even simple multi-agent systems might
produce large and complex amounts of data (Sanchez and Lucas, 2002), the interpretation of which
requires complex, computer-supported analysis techniques.
The literature provides complementary approaches for analyzing and validating MAS based
on empirical observations: While conrmatory techniques such as statistical hypothesis tests
or model-based trace-analysis (e.g. Howard et al., 2003) allow for the falsication of a-priori
specications or hypotheses, exploratory techniques serve to investigate and better understand
previously unknown aspects of MAS behavior (e.g. Botía et al., 2004).
Due to the experimental character of MAS development (Uhrmacher, 2000, p. 39), exploratory
analysis techniques seem well-suited to foster analysis and validation tasks. Several MAS
development tools support exploratory analysis by means of powerful visualization techniques
(e.g. Ndumu and Nwana, 1999). To overcome inherent drawbacks of visualization (e.g. in
handling large amounts of high-dimensional data) the additional use of data mining (DM) in
MAS analysis and validation has increasingly been proposed in the last years (e.g. Remondino
and Correndo, 2005).
5
The notion of data mining will be introduced later in detail. For the moment it is used as an
umbrella term for computer supported methods from machine learning and exploratory statis-
tics that automatically generate models from large amounts of data. In MAS analysis, data
mining is in particular suited to nd implicit interaction patterns and relations between pro-
cesses at multiple levels of a system. Such patterns can serve as meaningful high-level system
descriptions supporting data-intensive analysis tasks such as validation (see also Remondino
and Correndo, 2005). This has some tradition in simulation analysis where simulation out-
put is aggregated to more abstract meta models used in result interpretation, validation, and
optimization (e.g. Barton and Szczerbicka, 2000).
4
All literal citations from German sources were translated by the author of this thesis.
5
see also Cabac et al. (2006b, Sec. 1)
16
Other documents randomly have
different content
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and generous crop to come, waits for Time, the fellow-worker with
Reason and Virtue, and that ripeness whereby Nature yields the
proper fruit.
VII. ‘So much for this. Now do you not think that some of the Greeks
are right in copying the Egyptian law which enacts that a pregnant
woman who has been condemned to death should be kept in
custody until she has borne a child?’ ‘Certainly’, they said. I went on:
‘Next, suppose a person not pregnant with children, but able, if time
be given, to bring into the light of the sun some secret
action or design, either by denouncing a hidden evil, or by
becoming the promoter of a salutary policy or the inventor of some
needful expedient, is it not the better course to let punishment wait
on convenience rather than to inflict it too soon? It seems to me to
be so.’ ‘And to us’, said Patrocleas. ‘And rightly,’ said I, ‘for consider
that if Dionysius had paid the penalty at the beginning of his reign,
no Greek settler would have been left in Sicily, because the
Carthaginians would have devastated it. So neither Apollonia, nor
Anactorium, nor the Leucadian peninsula would have been occupied
by Greeks if Periander had been punished without such a
long interval. I think that Cassander also had a respite in
order that Thebes might be re-established. Most of the foreigners
who helped to seize this temple crossed over with Timoleon into
Sicily; and when they had conquered the Carthaginians, and put an
end to the tyrannies, met deservedly miserable deaths themselves.
Surely Heaven uses some bad men to punish others, like
executioners, and afterwards crushes them, and this has been the
case, I think, with most tyrants. For as the gall of the
hyaena, the refuse of the seal, and other products of
disgusting animals, have their specific use in disease, so there are
some who need the sharp tooth of chastisement; on whom the God
inflicts a bitter and implacable tyrant, or a harsh rough ruler, and
only removes this torment when he has relieved and purged their
ailment. Such a medicine was Phalaris to the Agrigentines, and
Marius to the Romans. To the Sicyonians the God declared in plain
terms that their state needed beadles with whips, because they had
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taken by force from the men of Cleonae a boy named Teletias, who
was to be crowned at the Pythian games, as being their own citizen,
and torn him in pieces. The Sicyonians got Orthagoras for
a tyrant, and after him Myron and Cleisthenes, who put an
end to their bad ways, while the Cleonaeans, who never found such
a remedy, have come to nothing. Listen to Homer,[215]
who says
somewhere
So sprung from meaner sire a nobler son,
Skilled in all art and excellence.
Yet that son of Copreus has left us no brilliant or signal achievement,
while the posterity of Sisyphus and Autolycus and Phlegyas burst
into flower of glory and virtue in the persons of great kings. Pericles
at Athens came of a house which was under a curse. Pompey the
Great, at Rome, was the son of Strabo, whose corpse the Romans
cast out and trampled in their hatred. What is there
strange then if God acts like the farmer, who does not cut
down the thistle till he has picked the asparagus, or like the Libyans
who do not burn the dry stalks before they have collected the gum;
who spares to destroy a bad and rough-grown root of a noble race
of kings till the due fruit has issued from it? For it were better for the
Phocians that Iphitus should lose tens of thousands of cattle and
horses, or that even more gold should leave Delphi, and silver too,
than that Ulysses should never have been born, or Asclepius, or the
other brave men and mighty benefactors who have come
of bad and vicious lines.
VIII. ‘But do you not all think it better that punishments should fall
in the fitting time and manner than hastily and at once? There is the
case of Callippus, who was slain by his friends with the very dagger
which he had used to slay Dion in the guise of a friend. Again, there
is Mitys[216]
of Argos, killed in a party quarrel, whose brazen statue in
the market-place fell on the murderer during a public performance
and killed him. And I think you know all about Bessus the Paeonian,
Patrocleas, and Ariston of Oeta, the commander of foreign troops?’
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B
‘Indeed I do not,’ he replied, ‘but I want to hear.’ ‘Ariston,’ I
said, ‘with the consent of the tyrants, took down the
ornaments of Eriphyle, deposited here, and carried them off to his
wife for a present. Then his son, enraged with his mother for some
reason, set fire to the house, and burnt up all who were within it.
Bessus, it appears, slew his own father, and for a long time escaped
detection. Afterwards, having come to some friends for supper, he
put his spear through a swallows’ nest and brought it down, and
destroyed the young birds. All present exclaimed, as well they might:
“Man, what has possessed you to do such a monstrous
thing?” To which he replied: “Have they not been telling
lies against me this long time, shrieking that I have killed my
father?” Astonished at such a speech, they informed the king, an
inquiry was held, and Bessus suffered.
IX. ‘So far’, I said, ‘we have been speaking, as was agreed, upon the
assumption that some respite is really granted to wicked men. For
what remains, you must suppose that you are listening to Hesiod,[217]
laying down, not with Plato[218]
that punishment is
“suffering which waits on wrongdoing”, but that it is a
contemporary growth, springing up with sin, from the same place
and the same root,
Bad counsel to the counsellor is worst,
and
Who plots ’gainst others, plots his heart away.
The corn-beetle is said to carry in herself an antidote compounded
on a principle of opposites, but wickedness as it grows breeds its
own pain and punishment, and suffers the penalty, not by and by,
but in the very moment of insolence. In the body, every criminal who
is punished[219]
carries forth his own cross; but vice
fabricates for herself, out of herself, all the instruments of
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her chastisement; she manufactures a terrible life, piteous and
shameful, with terrors and cruel pains, with regrets and troubles
unceasing. But there are persons just like children, who see
evildoers on the stage crowned and caparisoned, as often happens,
in gold and purple, and dancing heartily; and gape and gaze, as
though these men were happy indeed; until they are seen goaded
and lashed, and fire issuing out of those gay and costly robes. Most
bad men are wrapped as in a vesture of great houses, and
eminent offices and powers; and so it is unperceived that
they are being punished, until, before you can think, they are
stabbed or hurled down a rock, which is not to be called
punishment, but the end or consummation of punishment. For as
Herodicus of Selymbria, who fell into a hopeless decline, and, for the
first time in human history, combined gymnastics with medicine,
made death, in Plato’s[220]
words, “a long affair for himself”, and for
similar invalids, so has it been with bad men. They thought to
escape the blow at the time; the penalty comes, not after more
time, but over more time, and is lengthened, not retarded. They
were not punished after they came to old age, but became
old under punishment. I speak of length of time in a sense
relative to ourselves, since to the Gods any span of human life is as
nothing. “Now”, instead of “thirty years ago”, for the torture or
hanging of a criminal, is as though we were to speak of “afternoon”
not “morning”; the rather that he is confined in life, a prison where
is no change of place, no escape, yet many feastings the while, and
business affairs, and gifts, and bounties, and amusements, just as
men play dice or draughts in jail, with the rope hanging over their
heads.
X. ‘Yet where are we to stop? Are we to say that prisoners
awaiting execution are not under punishment until the axe
shall fall? Nor he who has drunk the hemlock, and is walking about
while he waits to feel the heaviness in the legs which precedes the
chill and stiffness of approaching insensibility? Yet we must say so, if
we think that the last moment of the punishment is the punishment,
and leave out of account the sufferings of the intervening time, the
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fears, and forebodings, and movements of remorse, in
which every sinner is involved. This would be like saying
that a fish when he has swallowed the hook has not been caught
until he has been roasted by the cook, or at least sliced up, before
our eyes. Every man is in the grasp of Justice when he has done a
wrong, he has nibbled away the sweets of Injustice which are the
bait; but he has the hook of conscience sticking there and, as it pays
him out,[221]
Like spear-struck thunny makes the ocean boil.
For the forwardness and the audacity of vice of which we hear are
strong and ready till the crimes are committed, then
passion fails them like a dying breeze, and leaves them
weak and abject, a prey to every fear and superstition. Thus the
dream of Clytaemnestra in Stesichorus[222]
is fashioned true to the
reality of what happens. It was like this:
She thought a serpent came on her, his crest
Dabbled with gore, and, lo, from out it peered,
Child of the race of Pleisthenes, the King.
For phantoms of dreams, and visions of midday, and oracles, and
thunderbolts, and whatever has the appearance of being caused by
a God, bring storms and terrors upon those who are in such a mood.
So it is told that Apollodorus, in his sleep, saw himself
being flayed by Scythians and then boiled, and that his
heart murmured out of the cauldron the words, “I am the cause of
this to thee.” And, again, he saw his daughters all on fire, and
running around him with their bodies burning. Then Hipparchus, son
of Pisistratus, a little before his death, saw Aphrodite throwing blood
at his face out of a sort of bowl. The friends of Ptolemy
“Thunderbolt”[223]
beheld him called to justice by Seleucus before a
jury of vultures and wolves, and dealing out large helpings
of flesh to his enemies. Pausanias had wickedly sent for
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Cleonice at Byzantium, a maiden of free birth, that he might enjoy
her person in the night, then, as she approached, he killed her out
of some panic or suspicion; and he would often see her in his
dreams, saying to him:
To judgement go; man’s lust works woe to man.
When the phantom never ceased to trouble him, he sailed, as it
appears, to Heracleia, where is the Place of Summons of Souls, and
with soothing rites and libations set himself to call up the soul of the
girl; she appeared to him and told him that he “will cease from his
troubles when he reaches Lacedaemon”; and, directly he got there,
he died.[224]
XI. ‘Then, if nothing remains for the soul after death, but
death is a limit beyond which is neither grace nor
punishment, we should rather say that bad men who are punished
quickly, and who die off, are used gently and indulgently by Heaven.
For if it could be held that there is no other evil for the bad while life
and time last, yet even so, when injustice is tried and proved an
unfruitful, thankless business, which yields no return for many and
great struggles, the mere sense of these upsets the soul. You will
remember the story of Lysimachus, how, under great
stress of thirst, he surrendered himself and his power to
the Getae, and, when now their prisoner, said as he drank: “Wretch
that I am, for so brief a pleasure to have lost so great a kingdom!”
And yet to resist the physical compulsion of appetite is very hard.
But when a man, by grasping at money, or in envy of political
reputation and power, or for the pleasure of some union, has
wrought a lawless dreadful deed, and afterwards, when the thirst or
frenzy of passion has left him, sees, as time goes on, the
disgrace and terror of iniquity becoming permanent, with
nothing useful, or necessary, or delightful gained, then is it not
natural that he should often reckon up and feel how hollow is the
glory, how ignoble and thankless the pleasure, for which he has
upset all that is greatest and noblest in human codes of right, and
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filled his own life with shame and confusion? Simonides[225]
used to
say in jest that he found the chest of silver always full, but that of
gratitude empty; and so bad men, when they look into the
wickedness within them, find that, through the pleasure which has a
short-lived return, it is left void of hope, but filled to the
brim with fears and pains and joyless memory, with
suspicion of the future, and distrust of the present. So Ino on the
stage,[226]
when she is repenting of what she has done:
Say, maidens, how may I start clear, and dwell
Here in the house of Athamas, as though
I had done nothing of the deeds I did?
Such thoughts we may suppose that the soul of every bad man
rakes up within itself, while it calculates how it may escape
from the memory of its misdoings, and cast out
conscience, and become pure, and lead another life as from the
beginning. There is no confidence, nothing free from caprice,
nothing permanent or solid, in the designs of wickedness, unless,
save the mark! we are to call wicked-doers philosophers of a sort!
But where love of wealth or pleasure, as of great prizes, and envy
undiluted, are lodged by the side of hate and ill-temper, there, if you
look deep, you will find superstition seated, and softness to meet
toil, and cowardice to meet death, and a rapid shifting of impulses,
and a vain-gloriousness which comes of arrogance. They fear those
who censure them, and equally fear those who praise, as
being victims whom they have deceived, and who are the
bitterest enemies of the bad, just because they praise so heartily
those whom they take to be good. For hardness in vice, as in bad
steel, is unsound, its rigidity is soon broken. Hence more and more,
as time goes on, they discover their own condition; they are vexed
and discontented, and spurn their own life away. We see that a bad
man, when he has restored a pledge, or gone bail for an
acquaintance, or given a patriotic subscription or a contribution
which brings him glory and credit, is immediately seized with
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repentance, and grieves at what he has done, so shifty and
unsettled is his judgement. We see others when applauded
in the theatre at once groaning inwardly, as ambition subsides into
greed of money. And did not, think you, those who sacrificed men to
get a tyranny, or to advance a conspiracy, as Apollodorus did, or who
robbed their friends of money, as Glaucus the son of Epicydes did,
repent, and hate themselves, and suffer pain at what had been
done? For my own part, if I may be allowed to say so, I think that
the doers of unholy deeds need no God nor man to punish them;
their own life is sufficient, when ruined by vice, and thrown into all
disorder.
XII. ‘But keep an eye on the discussion,’ I said, ‘for it may be
running out beyond our limits.’ ‘Perhaps it is,’ said Timon, ‘if we look
on, and consider the length of what remains to be said. For now I
am going to call up the final difficulty, as a champion who has been
standing out, since those which came forward first have pretty well
had their round out. Turn to the charge so boldly thrown at the Gods
by Euripides,[227]
The parents’ trips upon their offspring turned,
and take it that we too who have so far been silent adopt his
arraignment. If, on the one hand, the doers paid the penalty
themselves, then there is no need to punish those who did
no wrong, seeing that justice does not allow even the
doers to be punished twice for the same offences. If, on the other,
the Gods, out of indolence, have allowed the punishment to drop, as
against the wicked, and then exact it late in the day from the
guiltless, the set-off of tardiness against injustice is all wrong. You
will remember the story of what happened to Aesop in this place;
how he came with gold from Croesus, to sacrifice to the God
magnificently, and make a distribution among the Delphians, four
minae apiece. There was some angry difference, it appears, between
him and the brotherhood; so he performed the sacrifice,
but sent the money back to Sardis, judging the men
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unworthy of the bounty. They worked up a charge of sacrilege
against him, thrust him down from the rock called Hyampeia, and
killed him. Then, in his wrath at this, the God brought sterility on
their land, and every form of strange disease; so that they went
round the Assemblies of the Greeks asking by repeated proclamation
that any who chose to come forward should punish them on Aesop’s
behalf. In the third generation, Iadmon,[228]
a Samian, came, no
blood relation of Aesop, but a descendant of those who had bought
him at Samos; and to him they paid certain penalties, and
were set free from their troubles. From that time the
punishment of sacrilegious criminals was transferred to Nauplia from
Hyampeia. Not even those most devoted to Alexander, among whom
we reckon ourselves, commend him for throwing the city of
Branchidae into ruins, and putting its inhabitants to the sword,
because of the treacherous surrender by their forefathers of the
temple at Miletus. Then Agathocles, tyrant of Syracuse, derided with
open laughter the Corcyraeans who asked “why he plundered their
island?” “Because, of course,” he said, “your fathers sheltered
Ulysses.” And, in like manner, when the Ithacans complained of his
soldiers taking their sheep, “Why, your king”, he said,
“came to us, and blinded the shepherd too!”[229]
Now is it
not even more monstrous of Apollo to destroy the Pheneatae[230]
of
the present day, by blocking the pit which took their water, and
deluging all their land, because, a thousand years ago, as the story
goes, Hercules snatched away the prophetic tripod and brought it to
Pheneus? And what of his promise to the Sybarites of release from
their troubles when they should have propitiated the wrath of the
Leucadian Hera “by three destructions”? Again, it is not long since
the Locrians have ceased to send those maidens to Troy,
Who with no trailing robes, feet bared, as slaves,
At early dawn must sweep Athene’s fane,
No veils, though grievous eld were drawing near,[231]
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because of the misbehaviour of Ajax. Where do you find the
reasonableness and justice here? Certainly we do not praise the
Thracians, because they still brand their own wives to avenge
Orpheus, or the Barbarians living about the Eridanus for wearing
black, in mourning for Phaethon as they say. It would have been still
more ridiculous, I think, if the men living when Phaethon perished
thought nothing about it, and then those born five
generations or ten generations after the sad occurrence
began to change into mourning clothes for him! Yet there is nothing
but stupidity in that, nothing terrible or beyond cure; but the angers
of the Gods pass underground at the time, like certain rivers, then
afterwards breakout to injure quite different persons, and bring the
direst ruin at the last. What reason is there in that?’
XIII. At the first check, I, in terror lest he should go back to the
beginning and introduce more and greater cases of
anomaly, at once proceeded to ask him: ‘Come,’ I said, ‘do
you take all these things for true?’ ‘Suppose that they are not all
true, but that some are, do you not think that the same perplexity
comes in?’ ‘Perhaps’, said I, ‘it is as with persons in a violent fever,
who feel the same heat, or nearly the same, whether they are
wrapped in one cloak or in many, yet we must give some relief by
removing the excess. If you will not allow this, drop the point
(though to my thinking, most of the instances look like myths and
inventions); but call to mind the recent Theoxenia, and that “fair
portion” which is set aside and assigned by proclamation to
the descendants of Pindar, and how impressive that
seemed and how pleasant. Who could fail to find pleasure in that
graceful honour, so Greek and so frankly of the old world, unless he
be one whose
Black heart of adamant
Was wrought in chilly fire,
in Pindar’s[232]
own words? Then I pass over’, I said, ‘the similar
proclamation made at Sparta, in the words,
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After the Lesbian bard,[233]
in honoured memory of old Terpander, for the case is the same. But
I appeal to you, who claim, as I understand, precedence among the
Boeotians as Opheltiadae, and among the Phocians
because of Daiphantus; and who stood by me formerly,
when, speaking in support of the claim of the Lycormae and
Satilaeans through their ancestor to receive the honour and wear
the crown due to the Heraclidae, I argued that those sprung of
Hercules had the strongest right to be confirmed in the honours and
prizes, because their ancestor received no worthy prize or return for
his good deeds to the Greeks.’ ‘And a noble contention it was,’ he
said, ‘and worthy indeed of Philosophy!’ ‘Then pray drop’, I said, ‘that
vehement tone in your arraignment, and do not make it any
grievance that some born of bad or vicious ancestors are punished;
or else never rejoice or applaud in the other case, when noble birth
is honoured. For if the gratitude due to virtue is to be kept
active for the benefit of the family, it is logical and right
also that the punishment for crimes should never be exhausted or
fail, but should run a parallel course, so that payment should follow
deserts under either head. Any one who finds pleasure in seeing
honour done to the descendants of Cimon at Athens, but makes it a
grievance that those of Lachares or Ariston are banished, is too soft
and too careless, or, as I would rather say, is quarrelsome and
captious in all his attitude to Heaven. He challenges, if the children
of an unjust and evil man appear to prosper, and he challenges if the
families of the bad are abased or extinguished; he blames
the God equally if the children of a good father are in
trouble, or of a bad one.
XIV. ‘There,’ I said, ‘let all this serve for so many dykes or barriers
against those bitter and aggressive assailants! Now, let us go back,
and pick up the end of the thread in this dark place with its windings
and wanderings; I mean our argument about the God. Let us guide
ourselves with quiet caution towards what is likely and reasonable,
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since certainty and truth are beyond us, even as to our own actions.
For instance, why do we order the children of persons who have
died of consumption or dropsy to sit with both feet dipped
into water until the corpse is consumed? The idea seems
to be that, if this is done, the disease does not shift its seat or
approach them. Or again, why is it that, if one goat have taken the
herb eryngium[234]
into her mouth, the whole flock halts until the
goatherd comes and takes it out? And there are other occult
properties, with ways, whether of contact or of dissemination, by
which they pass, with incredible speed and over incredible intervals,
through one to another. Yet we find intervals of time wonderful, but
not those of place; although it is really more wonderful
that a disease which began in Aethiopia[235]
infected
Athens, where Pericles died and Thucydides took it, than that, when
Delphians and Sybarites had been wicked, the punishment circled
round to attack their children. There is correspondence of forces
from last to first, and there are connecting links, the cause of which,
unknown, it may be, to us, produces in silence its proper effect.[236]
XV. ‘Not but that the public visitations of cities by the wrath of
Heaven can be readily accounted for on the score of
justice. A city is a thing one and continuous, like an animal,
which does not cease to be itself in the changes due to growth, nor
become, as time goes on, different from what it was; it is always
consentaneous and at one with itself, and awaits all the
consequences, whether censure or gratitude, of what it does or did,
so long as the association, which makes it one and complex,
preserves its unity. To divide it, according to time, into many cities,
or, rather, into an infinite number of them, is like making many men
out of one, because he is now elderly, was formerly younger, and,
still further back, was a boy. Or rather, the whole idea is
like those tricks of Epicharmus out of which the “Increasing
Fallacy” of the Sophists sprang. The man who formerly received the
loan does not own it now, for he has become a different person. The
man who was asked to dinner yesterday, comes an unbidden guest
to-day, for he is some one else. Yet the stages of growth produce
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greater variations in each one of ourselves than they do in cities as
wholes. Any one who had seen Athens thirty years ago would
recognize it to-day; manners, movements, amusements, business,
popular gratitude, and resentments, all quite as of old. Whereas a
man would hardly be recognized in figure by friend or relation who
should meet him after an interval, while the changes in character so
easily produced by anything—a word, an exertion, a
feeling, a law—produce an effect of strangeness and
novelty even to one always in his company. Yet he is spoken of as
one man from birth to the end; and we insist that a city, which
remains the same in exactly the same sense, is liable for the
reproaches incurred by ancestors, by the same title as it claims their
reputation and power. Otherwise we shall have everything, before
we know it, in the river of Heraclitus,[237]
which he says a man
cannot enter twice, because Nature disturbs and alters all things in
her own changes.
XVI. ‘But if a city is a thing one and continuous, I take it that a
family also depends from a single origin which assures a
certain pervading force of association. An offspring is never
separated from its begetter, as is a piece of man’s handicraft; it has
been made out of him, not by him; thus it has in itself some
permanent portion of him, and whether it be punished or honoured,
receives what is its due. If it were not that I might seem to trifle, I
would say that graver injustice was done to the statue of Cassander
when it was melted down by the Athenians, and to the corpse of
Dionysius when it was thrust out beyond the frontier by the
Syracusans, than to the descendants of those men in the
punishments which they received. For there is nothing of the nature
of Cassander in the statue, and the soul of Dionysius has
quitted the corpse; whereas in Nisaeus, and Apollocrates,
and Antipater and Philip, and similarly in the other sons of bad men,
the determining part of their parents is inborn in them, and is there;
it is not quiescent or inactive, since by it they live and are nourished,
are directed, and think. There is nothing strange or remarkable if,
being of them, they have what was theirs. In a word, as in Medicine,
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what is serviceable is also just. It is ridiculous to talk of the
injustice of cauterizing the thumb when the pain is in the
hip, or scarifying the region of the stomach for a tumour inside the
liver, or of oiling the ends of the horns of cattle, if there is softening
of the hoofs. So it is with punishments; to think that there is any
other justice than what heals the mischief, or to be indignant if the
treatment be applied to one set of persons through another set (as
in opening a vein to relieve weak eyes) is to see nothing beyond the
range of sense, to fail to remember that a schoolmaster
who chastises one boy teaches a lesson to many boys, and
that a general who executes one man in ten, brings all to their duty.
And thus not only one part through another part, but also soul
through soul receives certain dispositions, be they of deterioration or
amendment, in a truer sense than body through body. In the case of
body, the affection arising must be the same, and the alteration
produced must be the same; whereas soul is led by its own
imaginings in the way of assurance or fear, and so becomes
permanently worse or else better.’
XVII. While I was still speaking, Olympicus broke in: ‘It seems to
me’, he said, ‘that your argument relies on a great
fundamental assumption—the permanence of the soul.’
‘Subject to your consent, it does,’ I replied, ‘or rather to your consent
already given; for, from the initial supposition that God dispenses to
us according to our deserts, the discussion has proceeded to its
present stage.’ ‘Then’, he said, ‘you think that, because the Gods
survey and administer all our affairs, it follows that our souls are
either wholly imperishable, or, permanent for a certain time after
death.’ ‘Oh no! good friend,’ I said, ‘but the God is so petty, so
important a trifler, that, dealing with men like us, who have nothing
in us divine or like him in any way, or persistent, or solid, but who
wither away altogether “like leaves”, as Homer[238]
said, and perish
within a short span, he makes us of so great account! That
would be like the gardens of Adonis which women nurse
and tend in crockery pots; souls of a day springing up within a
pampered flesh wherein no strong living root finds room, and then
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at once snuffed out on the first pretext. But, if you will, let the other
Gods be, and look at our own God here. Knowing that the souls of
those who die perish at once, like mists or smoke-wreaths exhaled
from the bodies, does he, think you, require men to bring so many
propitiations for the departed, and such great honours to
the dead, deceiving and tricking his believers? For myself, I
will never give up the permanence of the soul, unless some one like
Hercules shall come, and remove the tripod of the Pythia, and lay
waste the place of the oracles. But in our own time so long as many
such prophecies are given as once were delivered to Corax the
Naxian, it is nothing less than impious to condemn the soul to
death.’ Here Patrocleas asked: ‘But what was the prophecy delivered,
and who was this Corax? The fact and the name are equally strange
to me.’ ‘Not at all,’ I said, ‘the fault is mine for using a by-
name instead of the real one. The man who killed
Archilochus in battle was called Calondas, it appears; Corax was a
by-name given to him. Turned out, at first, by the Pythia, as having
slain a man sacred to the Muses, then, having put in a plea of
justification, accompanied by prayers and supplications, he was
ordered to go to the “dwelling of Tettix” and propitiate the soul of
Archilochus. This place was Taenarus; for thither, they say, Tettix the
Cretan went with an expedition, and there he founded a city, and
dwelt near the “Place of the Passage of Souls”. So, when
the Spartans had been ordered to propitiate the soul of
Pausanias, the “Conductors of Souls” were sent for out of Italy, and,
after having done sacrifice, ousted the ghost from the temple.
XVIII. ‘Thus’, I continued, ‘the argument which assures the
Providence of God and also the permanence of the human soul, is
one only; it is impossible to remove either and to keep the other. But
if the soul exists after death, it becomes more probable that a
requital is made to it in full both of honours and of
punishments. Like an athlete, it is engaged in a contest
during life; the contest done, it then receives in its own self all its
due. However, what rewards or what chastisements it there receives
in its own self, are nothing to us that are alive, they are disbelieved
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or are unmarked. But those which pass through children or family
are manifest to those who are here, and turn away many bad men
and pull them up short. But to prove that there is no more
disgraceful and grievous punishment than for a man to see his own
descendants suffering on his account; and that when the soul of an
offender against piety or law looks after death, and sees, not the
overthrow of statues or memorials effaced, but sons or
friends or kinsmen involved in great misfortunes, all
because of itself, and paying its penalties, it could not be content,
no, not for all the honours which are given to Zeus, to become a
second time unjust and profligate, I can tell you a story which I have
lately heard; yet I hesitate lest it may appear to you a myth, so I
confine myself to showing the probability.’ ‘On no account!’ said
Olympicus, ‘give us the whole of that story too.’ As the others made
the same petition, ‘Let me make good’, said I, ‘the probability of the
view, then we will start the myth, if myth indeed it be.
XIX. ‘Now Bion says that it would be more ridiculous if God
were to punish the sons of wicked men, than for a doctor
to drug a descendant or a son for the disease of a grandfather or a
father. But the cases are dissimilar in one respect, though closely
alike in another. The treatment of one person does not relieve
another from disease; no patient with eye disease or fever was ever
the better for seeing an ointment or a plaster applied to another.
The punishments of the wicked are exhibited to all, because the
effect of the reasonable operation of justice is to restrain some
through the punishment of others. But the point of resemblance
between the parallel adduced by Bion and our problem he
failed to observe; it is this: when a man has fallen into a
sickness which is bad but not incurable, and afterwards through
intemperance and self-indulgence has surrendered his body to the
malady and has died of it, then, if there be a son, not evidently
diseased but only with a tendency to the same disease, a physician,
or relative, or trainer, or a kind master who has learnt the state of
the case, will put him upon a strict diet and remove made dishes
and drinks and women, and use regular courses of physic, and
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harden his body by exercises, and will thus disperse and expel the
symptoms, and not allow the little seed of a great trouble
to reach any size. Is not that the tone which we adopt,
entreating sons of fathers or mothers with a tendency to diseases to
pay attention to themselves, and to watch out, and not be careless,
but to get rid at once of the first beginnings in the system, taking
them in time while they are easy to move and loosely seated?’ ‘It is
indeed’, they said. ‘Then we are doing nothing out of place, but a
necessary act, one which is useful and not ludicrous, when we
introduce the sons of epileptic or bilious or gouty sires to gymnastic
exercise, diet, and drugs, not when they are suffering from
a disease but in order that they may not take it; for a body
which proceeds out of a vitiated body deserves no punishment but
rather medical care and watching; if any one in his cowardice and
softness chooses to miscall that punishment, because it removes
pleasures and applies the sharp prick of pain and trial, we have
nothing more to say to him. Now then, does a body, the issue of a
faulty body, deserve treatment and care, and yet we must endure to
see the likeness of a kinsman’s vice springing up within a
young character, and making its growth there, and to wait
until it be spread over his system and manifest itself in his passions,
And show the evil fruit
Of mind awry,
as Pindar[239]
says?
XX. ‘Or is the God in this to be less wise than Hesiod,[240]
who
exhorts and charges:
Ne’er after gloomy burial, of life
Sow thou the seed, but fresh from heavenly feasts,
meaning that the act of generation admits not only of vice and
virtue, but also of grief and joy and the rest, and therefore he would
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bring men cheerful and pleasant and open-hearted to the task? But
the other matter does not come out of Hesiod, nor is it the effect of
human wisdom, but of the God, to see through likenesses
and differences of temperament, before they stand
revealed by a plunge through the passions into great crimes. For the
cubs of bears while still tiny, and the young of wolves and apes,
show at once the character of their kind, there is no disguise or
pretence; but the nature of man is plunged at once into customs and
rules and laws, and often conceals the bad points and imitates the
good, so that the inborn stain of vice is entirely effaced and
removed, or else is undetected for a long time; it assumes a sheath
or cloke of cleverness, which we fail to see through. We
perceive the wickedness with an effort each time that the
blow or prick of the several misdoings touches us. In a word, we
think that men become unjust when they commit an injustice,
become intemperate when they do a violence, become cowardly
when they run away. It is as though we should think that the
scorpion grows a sting when he strikes, or vipers their venom when
they bite, which would be simple indeed! Take any single bad man,
he does not become bad when he appears bad; he has the vice from
the first, but it comes out as he gets opportunity and power, the
thief, of thieving, the born tyrant, of forcing the laws. But God, by
his own nature, apprehends soul better than body; and we
may be sure that he is neither ignorant of the disposition
and nature of each, nor waits to punish violence of the hands, or
insolence of the tongue, or profligacy of the body. For he has himself
suffered no wrong; is not angry with the robber because he has met
with violence, does not hate the profligate because he has been
assaulted; but, as a remedial measure, he often chastises the man
whose tendency is to adulterous crime, or to greed, or to injustice,
thus destroying vice before it has taken hold, as he might an
epilepsy.
XXI. ‘Yet we were indignant a little while ago, that the wicked are
punished so late and so slowly. And now we complain
because God sometimes cuts short the habit and
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disposition before any wrong is done, not knowing that the thing to
come is often worse and more alarming than the thing done, what is
hidden than what is apparent, and unable to calculate the reasons
why it is better to leave some alone even after they have committed
an offence, and to be beforehand with others who are still
meditating one; exactly as drugs are of no use for certain persons
when sick, but are of service to others who are not actually sick, but
are in a state still more dangerous. So it is not always a
case of
The parents trip upon their offspring turned
By Heav’n’s high hand.[241]
If a good son be born of a bad sire, as a healthy child of a sickly
parent, he is relieved from the penalty of race, saved by adoption
out of vice. But the young man who throws back to the likeness of a
tainted race ought, surely, to take to the debts on his inheritance,
that is, to the punishment due to wickedness. Antigonus was not
punished because of Demetrius, nor—to go back to the heroes of old
—Phyleus for Augeas, nor Nestor for Neleus. These all
came of bad sires, but were good. But where natural
disposition has embraced and adopted the family failing, in those
cases Justice pursues and visits to the uttermost the likeness in vice.
For as warts and spots and moles of parents disappear in their
children, but return on the persons of grandchildren; as again a
Greek woman had borne a black child, and when charged with
adultery, discovered that she was of Ethiopian parentage in the
fourth degree; and as, yet again, out of the sons of Nisibeus, lately
dead, who was reported to be related to the “Sown Men” of Thebes,
one reproduced the mark of a spear on his body—family
likeness re-emerging from the depths, after such long
intervals—, even so it is often the case that characteristics and
affections of the soul are concealed and submerged in the early
generations, but afterwards break out again in later individuals, and
Nature restores the familiar type, for vice or for virtue.’
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XXII. When I had spoken thus I remained silent. Olympicus laughed
quietly, and said: ‘We are not applauding you, lest we should seem
to be letting you off the myth, as though the demonstration of your
view were sufficient without it; when we have heard it, we will give
judgement.’ So I went on to tell them: ‘Thespesius of Soli, a kinsman
and friend of that Protogenes who has been with us here, after an
early life of great profligacy, quickly ran through his
fortune, changed his ways perforce, and took to the
pursuit of wealth; when he had the usual experience of the
profligates who do not keep their wives when they have them, but
cast them away and try wrongfully to get their favours when united
to other men. He stopped at nothing disgraceful if it led to
enjoyment or gain, and in a short time got together an
inconsiderable fortune and a mighty reputation for evil. What hit him
hardest was an answer delivered to him by the oracle of
Amphilochus. It appears that he had sent to ask the God
“whether he will do better the rest of his life?”[242]
The answer was
that he “will live better when he has died”. And sure enough this, in
a way, so fell out not long afterwards. He fell over from a high place,
upon his head; there was no wound, but he appeared to die of the
mere blow, and on the third day, at the very time of the funeral,
revived. He quickly recovered his strength, and came to himself, and
the change of life which followed was incredible. For the Cilicians
know of no man more fair in all business relations, or more holy in
religious duties, so formidable a foe or so faithful a friend.
Hence those who were brought into contact with him were
very curious to hear the cause of the difference, thinking that a
character so completely remodelled must have been the result of no
trifling experience. And so it truly was, according to the story related
by him to Protogenes, and other equally considerate friends. For,
when sentience left his body, he felt affected by a change, as a
helmsman might do when first plunged overboard into the depth of
the sea; then, recovering a little, he seemed to himself to breathe all
over and to look around, while his soul opened like one great eye.
But he saw nothing of what he had been seeing before,
only stars of vast size, at infinite distances from one
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another, each emitting a ray of marvellous colour and of a tonic
force, so that the soul, riding smoothly on the light, as though over a
calm sea, was carried easily and quickly in every direction. Passing
over most of the sights he saw, he said that the souls of those who
die make a flame-like bubble where the air parts as they rise from
below, then the bubble quickly bursts, and they emerge
with human form but light in bulk, with a movement which
is not the same for all. Some bound forth with marvellous agility, and
dart upwards in a straight line, while others whirl round together like
spindles, now with an upward tendency, now a downward, borne on
by a mingled confused agitation, which after a very long time, and
then with difficulty, is reduced to calm. Most of them he did not
recognize, but seeing two or three persons of his acquaintance, he
tried to approach them and speak. They would not hear him, and
appeared not to be themselves, but to be distraught and
scared out of their senses, shunning all sight or touch,
while they roamed about, first by themselves; then they would meet
and embrace others in like case, and whirl round in random
indefinite figures of every sort, uttering unmeaning sounds, like cries
of battle mingled with those of lamentation and terror. Others above,
on the extremity of the firmament, were cheerful to behold, often
drawing near to one another in kindness, and turning away from
those other turbid souls; and they would signify, as it seemed, their
annoyance by out drawing close together, but joy and
affability by opening and dispersing. There he saw, he said,
the soul of a kinsman, but not very certainly, for the man had died
while he was himself a child. However, the soul drew towards him,
and said, “Hail Thespesius!” He was surprised at this, and said that
his name was not Thespesius, but Aridaeus. “Formerly so,” was the
reply, “but from now Thespesius. For you are not really dead, but, by
some appointment of Heaven, have come hither with your sentient
part, the rest of your soul is left within the body, as a light anchor.
Let this be a sign to you now and hereafter; the souls of the dead
make no shadow, and their eyes do not blink.”[243]
When
Thespesius heard this, he drew himself together in deeper
thought, and as he gazed, he saw a sort of dim and shadowy line
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which wavered as he moved, while the others were transparent
within, all set around with brightness, yet not all equally. Some were
like the full moon at her purest, and emitted one smooth,
continuous, uniform colour; over others there ran scales, so to call
them, or slender weals; others were quite dappled and strange to
look upon, branded with black spots like those on serpents; others
again showed open blunted scars. Then the kinsman of
Thespesius (for nothing forbids us to designate the souls in
this way by the names of men) began to explain it all to him, as
thus: “Adrasteia, daughter of Zeus and Necessity, has been
appointed to punish all crimes in the highest place; no criminal has
there ever yet been, so small or so great, as to pass unseen or to
escape by his might. But there are three modes of punishment, and
each mode has its proper guardian minister. Some men are
punished, at once in the body and through their body, and these
swift Retribution handles; her method is a gentle one, and
passes over many crimes which ask for expiation. Those
whose cure is a heavier matter are passed after death to Justice by
the daemon. The wholly incurable Justice rejects; and these the
third, and the fiercest, of the satellites of Adrasteia, whose name is
Erinnys, chases, as they wander and try to escape in all directions;
and it is pitiful and cruel how she brings them all to nothing and
plunges them into the gulf which is beyond speech or sight. As to
the other two modes of justification,” he went on, “that
which is wrought by Retribution during life resembles the
usage of barbarian countries. For as in Persia they pluck off and
scourge the robes and the hats of men under punishment, while
their owners implore them to stop, so punishments through money
or upon the person get no close grip, they do not fasten on the vice
itself, but are mostly for appearance and appeal to the senses. But
whoever makes his way here from earth unchastened and unpurged,
Justice firmly seizes him, with his soul naked and manifest, having
no place into which to skulk, that he may hide and veil his
wickedness, but eyed from all sides, and by all, and all
over. And first she shows him to good parents, if such he has, or to
ancestors, a contemptible and unworthy sight. If these are all bad,
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he sees them punished and is seen by them, and so is justified
during a long time, while each of his passions is dislodged by pains
and toils, which as much exceed in greatness and intensity those
which are through the flesh, as a day dream may be clearer than
that which comes in sleep. Scars and weals left by particular
passions[244]
are more persistent in some men than in
others. And look”, he said, “at those motley colours upon
the souls, which come from every source. There is the dusky, dirty
red, which is the smear made by meanness and greed; the fiery
blood-red of cruelty and harshness. Where you see the bluish grey,
there intemperance in pleasures has been rubbed away, and a heavy
work it was; malice and envying have been there to inject that violet
beneath the skin, as cuttle-fishes their ink. For down on earth vice
brings out the colours, while the soul is turned about by the passions
and turns the body, but here, when these have been smoothed
away, the final result of purgation, and chastisement is this, that the
soul becomes radiant all over and of one hue. But as long
as the colours are in it, there are certain reversions to
passion, with throbbings and a pulsation which in some is faint and
easily passes off, in others makes vigorous resistance. Of these
souls, some, being chastised again and again, attain their fitting
habit and disposition; others are transferred into the bodies of
beasts by masterful ignorance and the passionate love of pleasure;
[245]
for ignorance, through weakness of the reasoning part and
inactivity of the speculative, inclines on its practical side towards
generation; while the love of pleasure, requiring an instrument for
intemperance, craves to unite the desires with their
satisfaction, and to have share in corporeal excitement,
since here is nothing save a sort of ineffectual shadow, and a dream
of pleasure without its fulfilment.” Having said this, he began to lead
him on, moving rapidly yet covering, as it seemed, a space of infinite
extent with unfaltering ease, borne upwards on the rays of light, as
though by wings, until he reached a great chasm which yawned
downwards. There he was deserted by the supporting force, and
saw the other souls in the same case. Packing together, like birds,
and borne down and around, they circled about the chasm, which
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they did not venture to cross outright. You might see it
within, resembling the caves of Bacchus, dressed in wood
and greenery, and gay with blossoms of flowers of every sort; and it
exhaled a mild and gentle breeze which wafted odours of marvellous
delight, and produced such an atmosphere as wine throws off for its
votaries; for the souls feasted on the fragrant smells and were
relaxed into mutual kindliness. All around a bacchic humour
prevailed, and laughter, and every joy which the Muses can give
where men sport and are merry. By this way, he said, Dionysus went
up to the Gods, and afterwards brought Semele; it is called
“the Place of Lethe”. Here he did not allow Thespesius to
linger, even though he would, but kept drawing him away by force,
explaining to him as he did so that the sentient mind becomes
wasted and sodden by pleasure, while the irrational and corporeal
part is watered and pampered and suggests recollection of the body,
and, from that recollection, a yearning and desire which makes for
generation (genesis), so named because it is a leaning towards earth
(Ge-neusis)[246]
when the soul is weighed down by moisture. Having
travelled another journey as long as the first, he seemed to be
gazing into a mighty bowl, with rivers discharging into it,
one whiter than foam of the sea, or snowflakes, another
with the purple flush of the rainbow, others tinged with different
hues. From a distance each showed its proper ray, but as he drew
near the rim became invisible, and the colouring was dulled, and the
more brilliant hues deserted the bowl, leaving only the whiteness.
And there he saw three daemons seated close together in a triangle,
mingling the streams in certain measures. Now the soul-conductor of
Thespesius told him that thus far Orpheus advanced, when he was
questing for the soul of his wife, and, from not rightly
remembering, put out an untrue account among men,
namely that “there was an oracle at Delphi, held by Apollo and Night
in common, whereas Night has nothing in common with Apollo.
Really,” he said, “this oracle is shared by Night and the moon, having
nowhere an earthly bound, or a single habitation, but roaming over
men everywhere in dreams and phantoms. From here it is that
dreams, which are mingled, as you see, with what is deceitful and
D
E
F
embroidered, get so much simplicity and truth as they scatter
abroad. The oracle of Apollo”, he continued, “you have not
seen, nor will you ever be able to see it, for the earthly
element of the soul does not mount upwards or allow that; it is
attached closely to the body and bends downwards.” And as he
spoke, he led him on, and he tried to show him the light coming, as
he said, from the tripod, resting on Parnassus between the breasts
of Themis. Earnestly desiring to see, he saw nothing for the
brightness. But he heard, as he passed, a woman’s shrill voice
chanting in verse many things, among them the time of his own
death. The daemon told him that the voice was that of the Sibyl,[247]
who was singing about things to be, as she was carried round on the
face of the moon. He desired to hear more, but was thrust
off by the whirling of the moon to the opposite side, as
though caught in the eddies, and only heard scraps, one of which
was about Mount Vesuvius and the future destruction by fire of
Dicaearcheia, and a fragment of song about the emperor of that day,
how that
so good a man
Shall die upon his bed, and end his reign.[248]
After that, they turned to the sight of those under punishment. At
first they met only with repulsive and piteous spectacles. Afterwards,
when Thespesius found friends and relations and intimates, whom
he could never have conceived of as punished, enduring sore
sufferings and penalties both ignominious and painful, and
pitying themselves to him and weeping aloud; and at last
saw his own father emerging from a certain pit, all over brands and
scars, reaching out his hand towards his son and not permitted to be
silent, but compelled by the warders to confess his infamous conduct
to some strangers who had come with gold—how he had poisoned
them, and had escaped detection there on earth, but had been
convicted here, how he had already suffered part, and was now led
to suffer the remainder—, then he did not dare to supplicate or to
567
B
C
D
entreat for his father, so great was his consternation and
horror. Wishing to turn about and flee, he saw no longer
that gracious and familiar guide, but was thrust forward by others of
terrible visage, because it was necessary that he should go through
it all. There he beheld the shadows of those who had been
notoriously wicked, and who had been punished on the spot, not
savagely handled as were the former ones, because[249]
their trouble
was in the irrational seat of the passions. But those who
had passed through life under a veil or cloak of the
appearance of virtue, were compelled by others, who stood around,
laboriously and painfully to turn their soul inside out, writhing and
bending themselves back unnaturally, as the scolopendrae[250]
of the
sea, when they have gorged the hook, turn themselves inside out.
Others they would flay, and fold the skin back, to show how scarred
and mottled they were beneath it, because the vice was seated in
the rational and directing part. Other souls he said that he saw
intertwined like vipers, by twos or threes or more together, gnawing
one another out of spite and rancour for what they had suffered in
life, or done. And there were lakes lying side by side, one
of boiling gold, one of lead, exceeding cold, and one of
iron, which was rough. Over these stood daemons, as it might be
smiths, with tongs, picking up by turns the souls of those whose
wickedness came of greed and grasping, and plunging them in.
When they had become all fiery and transparent in the burning gold,
they were thrust into the bath of lead; and when frozen till they
became hard as hailstones, they were shifted on to the iron, and
there they became hideously black, and were broken up
and crushed, so hard and brittle were they, and their
shapes were changed. Then they were conveyed, just as they were,
back to the gold, enduring dire pains in the transition. Most pitiful of
all, he said, was the case of those who seemed already quit of
Justice and then were seized up anew. These were the souls whose
penalty had come round to any descendants or children. For
whenever any one of these last came up and met them, he would
fall upon them in anger, and shout aloud, and show the marks of his
sufferings, reviling and pursuing, while the parent soul sought to flee
E
F
568
and hide itself, but could not; for the torturers would run
swiftly after and bring them to Justice, and force them
through all from the beginning, while they bewailed themselves
because they knew the punishment before them. And there were
some, he said, to whom a number of their offspring were attached,
clinging to them just like bees or bats, and jibbering in wrathful
recollection of what they had suffered on account of their parents.
Last of all, while he was looking at the souls returning to a second
birth—how they were violently bent and transformed into animals of
every sort by the executioners of this task, who used
certain implements and blows, here squeezing together the
limbs entire, here twisting them aside, here planing them away and
getting rid of them altogether, to fit into other characters and other
lives—, there appeared among these the soul of Nero, already in
torment, and pierced with red-hot nails. For it the executioners had
prepared the form of a viper, as Pindar describes it, wherein the
beast is to be conceived, and live, after having devoured its own
mother. And then, he said, there shone out a great light, and from
the light came a voice commanding them to shift Nero to some other
milder species, and to fashion a beast to sing around marshes and
pools, for that he had paid the penalty of his crimes; and moreover
some benefit was due to him from the Gods, because he had freed
the best and most God-loving race, that of Hellas. Up to
this point, Thespesius had been, he said, a spectator. But
as he was about to return, he suffered a horrible fear. For a woman
of marvellous form and stature seized hold of him: “Come here,
fellow!” she said, “that thou mayest have a better memory of these
things.” Then she brought near him a rod, such as painters use, red-
hot, but another woman prevented her. He, sucked up by a sudden
violent wind, as out of a blow-pipe, fell on to his own body, and just
opened his eyes on the edge of the tomb.’
FROM THE DIALOGUE ‘ON THE SOUL’
A FRAGMENT
[Preserved by Stobaeus, Florileg. 119.[251]
]
I. When Timon had spoken thus, Patrocleas replied: ‘Your argument
is as forcible as it is ancient, yet there are difficulties. For if the
doctrine of immortality is so very old, how is it that the fear of death
is “oldest of terrors”[252]
? Unless, of course, it is this which has
engendered all other terrors. For there is nothing “fresh or new” in
our mourning for the dead, or in the use of those sad sinister forms
of speech, “Poor man!” “Unfortunate man!”’
II. ‘But there’, said Timon, ‘we shall find a confusion of ideas
between what perishes and what does not. Now when we speak of
the dead as having “passed away” and being “gone”, there is clearly
no suggestion of anything actually harsh, only of a change or
transition of some sort. Where that change takes place for those
who undergo it, and whether it be for worse or better, let us
consider by looking into the other words used. Our actual word for
death[253]
, in the first place, does not appear to point to a movement
downward, or beneath the earth, but rather to a mounting upward
towards God of that which passes. Thus we may reasonably suppose
that the soul darts out and runs upward, as though a bent spring
had been released, when the body breathes it out, and itself draws
an upward vital breath. Next, look at the opposite of death, which is
generation; this word, on the contrary, expresses a tendency
downward, an inclination to earth[254]
of that which at the time of
death again speeds upward. Hence, too, we call our natal day by a
name which means a beginning of evils and of great troubles.[255]
Perhaps we shall see the same thing even more clearly from another
set of words. A man when he dies is said to be “released”, and death
called a “release”—if you ask the question “from what?”, a release
from body[256]
—for body is called dĕmas, because the soul is kept in
bondage in it, contrary to nature, nothing being forcibly detained in
a place which is natural to it. A further play upon this “bondage” and
“force” gives the word “life”, as Homer,[257]
I think, uses Hesperus for
the feminine “evening”, and so, in contrast to “life”, the dead is said
to come to his rest, released from a great and unnatural stress. So
with the change and reconstitution of the soul into the Whole; we
say that it has perished when it has made its way thither; while here
it does not know this unless at the actual approach of death, when it
undergoes such an experience as those do who are initiated into
great mysteries. Thus death and initiation closely correspond, word
to word,[258]
and thing to thing. At first there are wanderings, and
laborious circuits, and journeyings through the dark, full of
misgivings where there is no consummation; then, before the very
end, come terrors of every kind, shivers, and trembling, and sweat,
and amazement. After this, a wonderful light meets the wanderer;
he is admitted into pure meadow lands, where are voices, and
dances, and the majesty of holy sounds and sacred visions. Here the
newly initiate, all rites completed, is at large; he walks at large like
the dedicated victim with a crown on his head, and joins in high
revelry; he converses with pure and holy men, and surveys the
uninitiate unpurified crowd here below in the dirt and darkness,
trampled by its own feet and packed together; through fear of death
remaining in its ills, because it does not believe in the blessings
which are beyond. For that the conjunction of soul with body, and its
imprisonment, are against nature, you may clearly see from this.’
III. ‘From what?’ said Patrocleas. ‘From the fact that of all our
experiences sleep is the most agreeable. First, it always extinguishes
any perception of pain, because its pleasure is mingled with so much
that is familiar, secondly, it overpowers all other appetites, even the
most vehement. For even those who are devoted to the body
become disinclined for pleasure when sleep comes on, and when
they slumber reject loving embraces. Why dwell on this? When sleep
takes possession, it excludes even the pleasure which comes from
learning, and discussion, and philosophic thought, as though a
smooth deep stream swept the soul along. All pleasure, perhaps, is
by its essence and nature a respite from pain, but of sleep this is
absolutely true. For, though nothing exciting or delightful should
approach from without, yet we feel pleasure in a sound sleep; sleep
seems to remove a condition of toil and hardness. And that condition
is no other than that which binds soul to body. In sleep the soul is
separated, and speeds upward, and is gathered unto itself after
having been strained to fit the body, and dispersed among the
senses. Yet some assert that, on the contrary, sleep immingles soul
with body. They are wrong. The body bears its witness the other
way, by its lack of sensation, its coldness, and heaviness, and pallor
proving that the soul leaves it in death, and shifts its quarters in
sleep. This produces the pleasure; it is a release and respite for the
soul, as though it laid down a burthen which it must again resume
and shoulder. For when it dies it runs away from the body for good;
when it is asleep, it plays truant. Therefore death is sometimes
accompanied by pains, sleep always by pleasure; in the former case
the bond is snapped altogether, in the latter it gives, and is
slackened, and becomes easier, as the senses are loosened like
parting knots, and the strain which ties soul to body is gone.’
IV. ‘Then how is it’, said Patrocleas, ‘that we do not feel discomfort
or pain from being awake?’ ‘How is it’, said Timon, ‘that when the
hair is cut, the head feels lightness and relief, yet there was no
sense of oppression at all while the hair was long? Or that men
released from bonds feel pleasure, yet there is no pain when the
chains are on? Or why is there a stir of applause when light is
brought suddenly into a banquet, yet its absence did not appear to
cause pain or trouble to the eye? There is one cause, my friend, in
all these cases; that gradual habituation made the unnatural familiar
to the sense, so that it felt absolutely no distress then, but felt
pleasure when there was release and a restoration to nature. The
strangeness is seen at once when the proper condition comes, the
presence of what pained and pressed by contrast with the pleasure.
It is exactly so with the soul: during its association with mortal
passions, and parts, and organs, that which is unnatural and strange
produces no apparent pressure because of that long familiarity; yet
when discharged from the activities of the body, it feels ease, and
relief, and pleasure. By them it is distressed, and about these it toils,
and from these it craves leisure and rest. For all that concerns its
own natural activities—observation, reasoning, memory, speculation
—it is unwearied and insatiable. Satiety is nothing but a weariness of
pleasure, when soul feels with body. To its own pleasures soul never
cries “Enough”; but while it is involved in body, it is in the plight of
Ulysses.[259]
As he clung to the fig-tree, and hugged it, not from love
of the tree, but fearing Charybdis down below, so soul clings to body
and embraces it, from no goodwill to it or gratitude, but in horror of
the uncertainty of death,
For life the gods conceal from mortal men,
says the wise Hesiod.[260]
They have not strained soul to body by
fleshy bonds, one bond they have contrived and one encompassing
device, the uncertainty of what comes after death, and our slowness
to believe; since, “if the soul were persuaded”, as Heraclitus[261]
says,
“of all the things which await men when they have died, no force
would keep it back.”’
ON SUPERSTITION
INTRODUCTION
The drift of Plutarch’s remarkable Treatise on Superstition is well
given in the opening words of Bacon’s famous Essay: ‘It were better
to have no opinion of God at all than such an opinion as is unworthy
of him. For the one is unbelief, the other is contumely, and certainly
superstition is the reproach of the Deity.’ The word—the same which,
in its adjective, St. Paul applies, almost in a good sense, to the
Athenians of his day[262]
—is correctly defined by Theophrastus, in his
‘character’ of the superstitious man, as timidity with regard to the
supernatural, and this timidity at once passes into cowardice. There
is in this treatise a fighting spirit and a directness of attack unusual
in Plutarch, who mostly speaks with academic balance about
conflicting schools of thought. Thus it has been suggested that one
or other of his writings against the Epicureans may be intended to
supply the required study ‘On Atheism’. There are many passages in
the Lives and also in the Moralia where the author is seen to
mediate between credulity and scepticism, superstition and atheism;
usually showing a tendency to ‘the more benign extreme’; there is
more to be lost by an undue hardening of the intellect than by a
wise hospitality to beliefs and ideas which lie beyond strict proof.
Here the attack is one-sided and uncompromising. At the end of the
treatise true piety is exhibited as a middle path between superstition
and atheism. This is not to be understood of a quantitative excess or
defect. Piety in excess may induce a habit which deserves the name
of superstition, such as has been the fair butt of satirists in all ages,
and of humorists like Theophrastus. But Plutarch is thinking not of
excess, but of perversion, a piety directed to wrong powers, or to
powers conceived of in the wrong way. There is a striking instance in
the Life of Pelopidas (c. 21), when some of the prophets invited that
great soldier to obey the warning of a dream by slaying his daughter,
for which there were ancient precedents. ‘But some on the other
side urged, that such a barbarous and impious oblation could not be
pleasing to any superior beings; that Typhons and Giants did not
preside over the world, but the general father of Gods and men; that
it was absurd to imagine any Divinities or powers delighted in
slaughter or sacrifices of men; or, if there were any such, they were
to be neglected, as weak and unable to assist; such unreasonable
and cruel desires could only proceed from, and live in, weak and
depraved minds.’
The situation is saved by the good sense of the augur Theocritus,
the same who plays a quaint and gallant part in the enterprise
described in The Genius of Socrates; and a chestnut colt takes the
place of the daughter. And there is no doubt on which side of the
argument Plutarch’s sympathies lie.
An admirable running commentary on Plutarch’s treatise is supplied
by the Discourse on Superstition of John Smith, the Cambridge
Platonist (1618-52), here printed as an Appendix to it. Like Bacon,
John Smith has written also a Discourse on Atheism, from which it
may be sufficient for the present purpose to quote the words of the
Son of Sirach appended as his conclusion:
‘O Lord, Father and God of my life, give me not a proud look, but
turn away from thy servants a Giant-like minde’ (Ecclus. 23, 4).
See, for this whole treatise, Dr. Oakesmith’s Chapter IX, pp. 179 foll.
164 E
F
165
B
ON SUPERSTITION
The stream of ignorance and of misconception about the
Gods passed, from the very first, into two channels; one
branch flowed, as it were, over stony places, and has produced
atheism in hard characters, the other over moist ground, and this
has produced superstition in the tender ones. Now any error of
judgement, especially on such matters, is a vicious thing, but if
passion be added it is more vicious. For all passion is ‘deceit
accompanied by inflammation’; and as dislocations are more serious
when there is also a wound, so are distortions of the soul
when there is passion. A man thinks that atoms and a void
are the first principles of the universe; the conception is a false one,
but does not produce ulceration or spasm, or tormenting pain.
Another conceives of wealth as the greatest good; this
falsity has poison in it, preys on his soul, deranges it,
allows him no sleep, fills him with stinging torments, thrusts him
down steep places, strangles him, takes away all confidence of
speech. Again, some think that virtue is a corporeal thing, and vice
also; this is a gross piece of ignorance perhaps, but not worthy of
lament or groans. But where there are such judgements and
conceptions as these:
Alas, poor Virtue! so thou art but words,
And as a thing I was pursuing thee[263]
—
dropping, he means, the injustice which makes money, and the
intemperance which is parent of all pleasure—, these it is worth our
while to pity and to resent also, because their presence in
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  • 6. Agent Technology Theory and Application Daniel Moldt (Ed.) Nicolas Denz Process-Oriented Analysis and Validation of Multi-Agent-Based Simulations
  • 8. Agent Technology Theory and Application Band 7
  • 9. Agent Technology Theory and Application Band 7 Daniel Moldt (Ed.)
  • 10. Nicolas Denz Process-Oriented Analysis and Validation of Multi- Agent-Based Simulations Logos Verlag Berlin λογος
  • 11. Agent Technology. Theory and Application Daniel Moldt (Ed.) Universität Hamburg Fachbereich für Informatik Vogt-Kölln-Str. 30 D-22527 Hamburg moldt@informatik.uni-hamburg.de Bildquelle: Modifiziert nach L. Cabac, N. Knaak, D. Moldt, and H. Rlke: Ana- lysis of Multi-Agent Interactions with Process Mining Techniques, S. 17. In: Proceedings of the 4th German Conference on Multiagent System Technology (MATES 2006 in Erfurt), S. 12-23, Springer, September 2006. Bibliografische Information der Deutschen Nationalbibliothek Die Deutsche Nationalbibliothek verzeichnet diese Publikation in der Deutschen Nationalbibliografie; detaillierte bibliografische Daten sind im Internet über http://dnb.d-nb.de abrufbar. c Copyright Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH 2015 Alle Rechte vorbehalten. ISBN 978-3-8325-3874-3 ISSN 1614-676X Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH Comeniushof, Gubener Str. 47, 10243 Berlin Tel.: +49 (0)30 / 42 85 10 90 Fax: +49 (0)30 / 42 85 10 92 http://www.logos-verlag.de
  • 12. Gutachter Prof. Dr.-Ing. Bernd Page (Erstgutachter) Modellbildung und Simulation Fachbereich Informatik MIN-Fakultät Universität Hamburg (Deutschland) Dr. Daniel Moldt Theoretische Grundlagen der Informatik Fachbereich Informatik MIN-Fakultät Universität Hamburg (Deutschland) 3
  • 14. Abstract In multi-agent-based simulation (MABS) the behavior of individual actors is modelled in large detail. The analysis and validation of such models is rated as dicult in the literature and requires support by innovative methods, techniques, and tools. Problems include the complexity of the models, the amount and often qualitative representation of the simulation results, and the typical dichotomy between microscopic modeling and macroscopic observation perspectives. In recent years, the application of data mining techniques has been increasingly propagated in this context. Data mining might, to some degree, bear the potential to integrate aspects of automated, formal validation on the one hand and explorative, qualitative analysis on the other hand. A promising approach is found in the eld of process mining. Due to its rooting in business process analysis, process mining shares several process- and organization-oriented analysis perspectives and use cases with agent-based modeling. On the basis of detailed literature research and practical experiences from case studies, this thesis proposes a conceptual framework for the systematic application of process mining to the analysis and validation of MABS. As a foundation, agent-oriented analysis perspectives and simulation-specic use cases are identied and embellished with methods, techniques, and further results from the literature. Additionally, a partial formalization of the identied analysis perspectives is sketched by uti- lizing the concept of process dimensions by Rembert and Ellis as well as the MAS architecture Mulan by Rölke. With a view to future tool support the use cases are broadly related to concepts of scientic workow and data ow modeling. Furthermore, simulation-specic re- quirements and limitations for the application of process mining techniques are identied as guidelines. Beyond the conceptual work, process mining is practically applied in two case studies re- lated to dierent modeling and simulation approaches. The rst case study integrates process mining into the model-driven approach of Petri net-based agent-oriented software engineering (PAOSE). On the one hand, process mining techniques are practically applied to the analysis of agent interactions. On the other hand, more general implications of combining process mining with reference net-based agent modeling are sketched. The second case study starts from a more code-centric MABS for the quantitative analysis of dierent logistic strategies for city courier services. In this context, the practical utility and applicability of dierent process mining techniques within a large simulation study is evaluated. Focus is put on exploratory validation and the reconstruction of modularized agent behavior. 5
  • 16. Kurzfassung In der agentenbasierten Simulation wird das Verhalten individueller Akteure detailliert im Mo- dell abgebildet. Die Analyse und Validierung dieser Modelle gilt in der Literatur als schwierig und bedarf der Unterstützung durch innovative Methoden, Techniken und Werkzeuge. Prob- leme liegen in der Komplexität der Modelle, im Umfang und der oft qualitativen Darstellungs- form der Ergebnisse sowie in der typischen Dichotomie zwischen mikroskopischer Modellierungs- und makroskopischer Beobachtungssicht begründet. In den letzten Jahren wurde in diesem Zusammenhang zunehmend der Einsatz von Techniken aus dem Data Mining propagiert. Diese bergen in gewisser Weise das Potenzial, Aspekte der automatisierten, formalen Validierung mit denen der explorativen, qualitativen Analyse zu vere- inen. Einen vielversprechenden Ansatz bietet das sogenannte Process Mining, welches aufgrund seiner Nähe zur Geschäftsprozessmodellierung mit der agentenbasierten Modellierung vergleich- bare prozess- und organisationsorientierte Modellsichten (Perspektiven) und Anwendungsfälle aufweist. Ziel der vorliegenden Arbeit ist es, auf Basis umfangreicher Literaturrecherche und in Fallstu- dien gesammelter Erfahrungen ein konzeptionelles Rahmenwerk für den systematischen Ein- satz von Process Mining zur Analyse und Validierung agentenbasierter Simulationsmodelle vorzuschlagen. Als Grundlage werden agentenspezische Analyseperspektiven und simulation- sspezische Anwendungsfälle identiziert und durch Methoden, Techniken und weitere Ergeb- nisse aus der Literatur ausgestaltet. Darüber hinaus wird ansatzweise eine Teilformalisierung der Analyseperspektiven unter Ver- wendung des Prozessdimensionen-Konzepts nach Rembert und Ellis sowie der auf Referen- znetzen basierenden Architektur Mulan nach Rölke angestrebt. Die Anwendungsfälle wer- den mit Blick auf eine mögliche Werkzeugunterstützung mit Konzepten der wissenschaftlichen Workow- und Datenussmodellierung in Beziehung gesetzt und durch die Identikation sim- ulationsspezischer Anwendungsrichtlinien für das Process Mining ergänzt. Neben der konzeptionellen Arbeit wird der Einsatz von Process Mining praktisch in unter- schiedlichen Modellierungs- und Simulationsansätzen erprobt. Die erste Fallstudie integriert Process Mining konzeptionell und technisch in den modellgetriebenen Ansatz der Petrinetz- basierten agentenorientierten Softwareentwicklung (PAOSE). Dabei wird einerseits der praktis- che Einsatz von Process Mining-Techniken zur Interaktionsanalyse von Agenten beschrieben. Andererseits zeigt die Studie generelle Implikationen der Kombination von Process Mining und Referenznetz-basierter Agentenmodellierung auf. Ausgangspunkt der zweiten Fallstudie ist eine eher Code-zentrierte agentenbasierte Simulation zur quantitativen Analyse verschiedener Logistikstrategien für Stadtkurierdienste. Im Rahmen dieser Fallstudie werden Process Mining-Techniken im Hinblick auf Anwendbarkeit und Nutzen für eine groÿe Simulationsstudie untersucht. Dabei steht die explorative Validierung und die Rekonstruktion modularisierten Agentenverhaltens im Vordergrund. 7
  • 18. Acknowledgement I would like to thank my supervisors Prof. Dr.-Ing. Bernd Page and Dr. Daniel Moldt for their support, patience, and inspiration during the long years of work on this thesis. I appreciate the close cooperation with a number of colleagues and (former) students including Dr. Ralf Bachmann, Dr. Lawrence Cabac, Rainer Czogalla, Nils Erik Flick, Dr. Björn Gehlsen, Johannes Haan, Dr. Frank Heitmann, Sven Kruse, Ruth Meyer, Florian Plähn, Thomas Sandu, and Felix Simmendinger, who all made valuable contributions to the presented work. Further thanks go to my former colleagues at the University of Hamburg's Department of In- formatics including (but not limited to) Dr. Marcel Christ, Prof. Dr. Andreas Fleischer, Dr. Jo- hannes Göbel, Dr. Philip Joschko, Arne Koors, Dr. Matthias Mayer, Prof. Dr.-Ing. Matthias Riebisch, Prof. Dr. Volker Wohlgemuth, and Dr. Claudia Wyrwoll. I would also like to thank my co-workers at ifu Hamburg GmbH for their patience with my 'second job' and especially Dr. Dorli Harms for proofreading parts of this thesis. Finally I want to thank my family for their love, support, patience, and belief in me. You know who you are. Love to Kim and Simon, you are my soulmates. 9
  • 20. Contents 1. Introduction 15 1.1. Motivation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 1.2. Objectives and Contributions of the Thesis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 1.2.1. Research Questions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 1.2.2. Conceptual Framework . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 1.2.3. Techniques, Tools, and Case Studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 1.3. Outline of the Thesis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 I. Foundations and State of the Art 25 2. Modeling and Simulation 27 2.1. Basic System Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 2.1.1. Complexity and Emergence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 2.1.2. Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 2.2. Computer Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 2.2.1. Classication of Simulation Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 2.2.2. World Views of Discrete Event Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 2.3. Modeling Techniques . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 2.3.1. UML 2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 2.3.2. Petri Nets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 2.3.3. Workow Modeling and Patterns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 2.4. Experimentation, Analysis, and Validation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 2.4.1. Experimentation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 2.4.2. Output Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 2.4.3. Validation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 3. Agent-Based Simulation 59 3.1. Agents and Multi-Agent Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 3.1.1. Agents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 3.1.2. Agent Architectures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 3.1.3. Multi-Agent Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 3.2. The Agent-Based Simulation World View . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 3.2.1. Relations between Agents and Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 3.2.2. Components of Agent-Based Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 3.2.3. Coparison with other Simulation World Views . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 3.3. Modeling Techniques for Agent-Based Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 3.3.1. Declarative Modeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 3.3.2. UML-Based Modeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 11
  • 21. Contents 3.3.3. Petri Nets and Mulan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 3.4. Implementation of Agent-Based Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88 3.4.1. JADE Agent Platform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 3.4.2. MadKit Agent Platform and Simulation Framework . . . . . . . . . . . 90 3.4.3. SeSAm Simulation System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90 3.4.4. FAMOS and DESMO-J . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 3.4.5. Capa Agent Platform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94 3.5. The Problem of Analysis and Validation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 4. Data Mining and Process Mining 97 4.1. Data Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 4.1.1. The KDD Process . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98 4.1.2. Classication of Data Mining Techniques . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 4.1.3. Model Validity in Data Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 4.1.4. Exemplary Data Mining Techniques . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 4.1.5. Tools for Data Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112 4.2. Process Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118 4.2.1. Denitions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118 4.2.2. Classication of Process Mining Techniques . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 4.2.3. Control Flow Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128 4.2.4. Organizational Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 148 4.2.5. Further Perspectives and Tasks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153 4.2.6. Tools and Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164 5. Related Work 169 5.1. Analysis and Validation of MABS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 169 5.1.1. Methodologies for MABS Validation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 169 5.1.2. Techniques . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 178 5.2. Data Mining in Multi-Agent Systems and Simulations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 186 5.2.1. Relations between Data Mining and MAS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 186 5.2.2. Data Mining in MABS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187 5.2.3. Data Mining in Other Simulation World-Views . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 196 5.2.4. Data Mining in MAS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 197 5.3. Process Mining in Software Engineering and Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . 200 5.3.1. Process Mining in Software Engineering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 200 5.3.2. Mining Message Sequence Graphs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 202 5.3.3. Web Service and Interaction Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 203 5.3.4. Process Mining for Agents and Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 209 5.4. Scientic Workows for Simulation and Process Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 216 5.4.1. Scientic Workow Support for Process Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 216 5.4.2. Scientic Workow Support for Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 217 12
  • 22. Contents II. Concepts, Tools, and Case Studies 221 6. Conceptual Framework 223 6.1. Motivation and Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 223 6.2. Analysis Perspectives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 225 6.2.1. Decision Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 227 6.2.2. Internal Control Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 229 6.2.3. Structural Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 231 6.2.4. External Control Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 235 6.2.5. Adaptivity Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 238 6.2.6. Level-Encompassing Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 242 6.2.7. Domain-Specic Perspectives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 246 6.3. Use Cases within the Model Building Cycle . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 248 6.3.1. Real System Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 249 6.3.2. Exploratory Analysis of Model Behavior . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 252 6.3.3. Validation and Verication . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 254 6.3.4. Optimization and Calibration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 258 6.3.5. Design of Adaptive Agents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 260 6.3.6. Analysis of the Model Building Cycle . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263 6.4. Simulation-specic Requirements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 266 6.4.1. Robustness and Degree of Generalization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 267 6.4.2. Relevant Control Flow Constructs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 268 6.4.3. Usability of Mining Techniques for Simulation Practitioners . . . . . . . 268 6.4.4. Handling of Multiple Stochastic Simulation Runs . . . . . . . . . . . . . 269 6.5. Summary and Contributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 271 7. Process Mining in PAOSE 273 7.1. Process Mining and the Mulan Framework . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 273 7.1.1. Introduction and Motivation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 273 7.1.2. Analysis Perspectives and Mulan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 274 7.1.3. Support for Analysis Use Cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 281 7.2. Reconstruction of Basic Interaction Protocols . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289 7.2.1. Basic Interaction Mining Chain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 290 7.2.2. Message Aggregation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 291 7.2.3. Conversation Clustering and Role Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 293 7.2.4. Control Flow Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 296 7.2.5. Results and Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 300 7.3. Reconstruction of Higher Order Protocols . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 304 7.3.1. Extended Interaction Mining Chain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 306 7.3.2. Log Segmentation and Role Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 307 7.3.3. Control Flow Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 308 7.3.4. Multiple Instantiation and Cardinalities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 310 7.3.5. Result Representation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 311 7.4. Tool Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 312 7.4.1. Mulan Snier Tool . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 313 7.4.2. Analysis Framework and Mining Chains . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 313 7.5. Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 318 13
  • 23. Contents 8. Process Mining in a Discrete Event Simulation Study 321 8.1. Courier Service Study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 321 8.1.1. Problem Description . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 322 8.1.2. Agent-Based Courier Service Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 322 8.1.3. Implementation with FAMOS and DESMO-J . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 328 8.1.4. Data Collection and Result Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 330 8.1.5. Validation and Calibration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 331 8.1.6. Results and Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 338 8.2. Application of Process Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 341 8.2.1. Objectives and Methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 341 8.2.2. Analysis Tasks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 342 8.2.3. Evaluation Criteria . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 343 8.2.4. Data Collection and Preprocessing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 344 8.2.5. Perspectives and Algorithms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 348 8.3. Process Mining Experiments and Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 350 8.3.1. External Control Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 350 8.3.2. Internal Control Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 368 8.3.3. Decision Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 377 8.3.4. Summary and Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 379 8.4. Integration into an Experimentation Environment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 384 8.4.1. Motivation and Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 384 8.4.2. Design and Implementation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 385 8.4.3. Scientic Workows with KNIME and ProM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 387 9. Summary, Discussion, and Outlook 389 9.1. Summary of Contributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 389 9.2. Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 390 9.2.1. Attainment of Research Goals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 391 9.2.2. Comparison to Related Work . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 397 9.3. Outlook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 403 14
  • 24. 1. Introduction Multi-agent systems (MAS) are a promising theoretical concept to approach practical challenges related to the exibility, adaptivity, and distribution of computer systems. The agent metaphor combines an object-oriented encapsulation of program state and control ow with ideas on the mechanics of [...] decision making (Davis et al., 1989) rooted in articial intelligence, sociology, and economics. 1 One common example of MAS are teams of real or simulated robots competing in the robot soccer league Robo Cup 2 (see e.g. Nair et al., 2004). Accordingly, agent-based abstractions are used in several subelds of computer science; e.g. soft- ware engineering, distributed systems, and robotics. (Page and Kreutzer, 2005, pp. 339). Inde- pendent from the application context, a major problem is posed by the need to analyze and understand the behavior of agent-based systems, and in particular to assess their validity. This term, which will be dened precisely later, means in short that a system fullls its intended functions in an appropriate way. An agent-based simulation model should, for instance, represent the microscopic agent-level as well as the macroscopic system-level of the corresponding original system in detail to allow for reliable conclusions about reality. The increasing application of agent technology in domains with high safety or real-time requirements (e.g. manufacturing control) calls for particularly powerful validation techniques. The call for appropriate methods and tools to support the analysis and validation of agent-based systems has been uttered in early publications on agent- based software engineering already (e.g. Gasser and Huhns, 1989) and apparently not been answered suciently (see e.g. Guessoum et al., 2004, pp. 440). Therefore, the aim of this thesis is to shed light on innovative techniques to validate agent-based models. 1.1. Motivation For a number of reasons, the analysis and validation of MAS poses severe problems that are inherent to the approach. The distributed system state and high sensitivity of ABS [agent-based simulations] often results in an unmanageable and unpredictable global behaviour. (Knaak, 2007, p. 29, see also Klügl, 2008, Sec. 2.2). Minor deviations in the system's initial conditions might give rise to strong deviations in behavioral trajectories (Rand et al., 2003, p. 2) 3. Due to the microscopic modelling perspective, global [system] properties are not inuenced directly (Knaak, 2007, pp. 29-30), but only by specifying the behavior of individual agents. Since relations be- tween microscopic causes and macroscopic eects are generally hard to determine in distributed 1 A paragraph with similar content also forms the introduction to our pre-publication (Cabac et al., 2006c). 2 http://robocup.org, last visit 2012-11-17 3 page numbers relate to the version of the article downloadable at http://masi.cscs.lsa.umich.edu/ sluce/publications/sluce-abs.pdf (last visit 2012-10-06) 15
  • 25. 1. Introduction systems, this situation often complicates tasks like calibration and optimization (Klügl, 2000, p. 205). Certain uses of the agent metaphor even prohibit an a-priori specication of the system's behavior as in traditional software engineering: Innovative elds such as social simulation, swarm intelligence (Kennedy, 2001) or the engineering of self-organizing systems (Potgieter, 2004) explicitly strive to investigate or benet from self-organizing or emergent eects observed in certain MAS (David et al., 2002, p. 91). For the analysis and validation of MAS several approaches reaching from formal to simulation-based techniques have been proposed. Formal verication is based on representations using formalisms such as Petri nets or modal logic. Due to their conciseness, formal methods are increasingly applied in agent-oriented software-engineering. However, as noted in (Cabac et al., 2006b, Sec. 1) only simple and often practically irrelevant classes of MAS (Edmonds and Bryson, 2004) can be analyzed with formal methods alone. The simulation-based approach relies on the empirical observation of operational MAS and an a-posteriori analysis of the observed behavior. The empirical analysis of MAS and agent behavior is an important means for validation, often outperforming the application of formal methods (see e.g. Cohen, 1995 and Guessoum et al., 2004). According to Uhrmacher (2000, p. 39) the development of software agents is [...] mainly an experimental process 4. However, as cited in (Cabac et al., 2006b, Sec. 1) the observation of even simple multi-agent systems might produce large and complex amounts of data (Sanchez and Lucas, 2002), the interpretation of which requires complex, computer-supported analysis techniques. The literature provides complementary approaches for analyzing and validating MAS based on empirical observations: While conrmatory techniques such as statistical hypothesis tests or model-based trace-analysis (e.g. Howard et al., 2003) allow for the falsication of a-priori specications or hypotheses, exploratory techniques serve to investigate and better understand previously unknown aspects of MAS behavior (e.g. Botía et al., 2004). Due to the experimental character of MAS development (Uhrmacher, 2000, p. 39), exploratory analysis techniques seem well-suited to foster analysis and validation tasks. Several MAS development tools support exploratory analysis by means of powerful visualization techniques (e.g. Ndumu and Nwana, 1999). To overcome inherent drawbacks of visualization (e.g. in handling large amounts of high-dimensional data) the additional use of data mining (DM) in MAS analysis and validation has increasingly been proposed in the last years (e.g. Remondino and Correndo, 2005). 5 The notion of data mining will be introduced later in detail. For the moment it is used as an umbrella term for computer supported methods from machine learning and exploratory statis- tics that automatically generate models from large amounts of data. In MAS analysis, data mining is in particular suited to nd implicit interaction patterns and relations between pro- cesses at multiple levels of a system. Such patterns can serve as meaningful high-level system descriptions supporting data-intensive analysis tasks such as validation (see also Remondino and Correndo, 2005). This has some tradition in simulation analysis where simulation out- put is aggregated to more abstract meta models used in result interpretation, validation, and optimization (e.g. Barton and Szczerbicka, 2000). 4 All literal citations from German sources were translated by the author of this thesis. 5 see also Cabac et al. (2006b, Sec. 1) 16
  • 26. Other documents randomly have different content
  • 27. E F 553 and generous crop to come, waits for Time, the fellow-worker with Reason and Virtue, and that ripeness whereby Nature yields the proper fruit. VII. ‘So much for this. Now do you not think that some of the Greeks are right in copying the Egyptian law which enacts that a pregnant woman who has been condemned to death should be kept in custody until she has borne a child?’ ‘Certainly’, they said. I went on: ‘Next, suppose a person not pregnant with children, but able, if time be given, to bring into the light of the sun some secret action or design, either by denouncing a hidden evil, or by becoming the promoter of a salutary policy or the inventor of some needful expedient, is it not the better course to let punishment wait on convenience rather than to inflict it too soon? It seems to me to be so.’ ‘And to us’, said Patrocleas. ‘And rightly,’ said I, ‘for consider that if Dionysius had paid the penalty at the beginning of his reign, no Greek settler would have been left in Sicily, because the Carthaginians would have devastated it. So neither Apollonia, nor Anactorium, nor the Leucadian peninsula would have been occupied by Greeks if Periander had been punished without such a long interval. I think that Cassander also had a respite in order that Thebes might be re-established. Most of the foreigners who helped to seize this temple crossed over with Timoleon into Sicily; and when they had conquered the Carthaginians, and put an end to the tyrannies, met deservedly miserable deaths themselves. Surely Heaven uses some bad men to punish others, like executioners, and afterwards crushes them, and this has been the case, I think, with most tyrants. For as the gall of the hyaena, the refuse of the seal, and other products of disgusting animals, have their specific use in disease, so there are some who need the sharp tooth of chastisement; on whom the God inflicts a bitter and implacable tyrant, or a harsh rough ruler, and only removes this torment when he has relieved and purged their ailment. Such a medicine was Phalaris to the Agrigentines, and Marius to the Romans. To the Sicyonians the God declared in plain terms that their state needed beadles with whips, because they had
  • 28. B C D taken by force from the men of Cleonae a boy named Teletias, who was to be crowned at the Pythian games, as being their own citizen, and torn him in pieces. The Sicyonians got Orthagoras for a tyrant, and after him Myron and Cleisthenes, who put an end to their bad ways, while the Cleonaeans, who never found such a remedy, have come to nothing. Listen to Homer,[215] who says somewhere So sprung from meaner sire a nobler son, Skilled in all art and excellence. Yet that son of Copreus has left us no brilliant or signal achievement, while the posterity of Sisyphus and Autolycus and Phlegyas burst into flower of glory and virtue in the persons of great kings. Pericles at Athens came of a house which was under a curse. Pompey the Great, at Rome, was the son of Strabo, whose corpse the Romans cast out and trampled in their hatred. What is there strange then if God acts like the farmer, who does not cut down the thistle till he has picked the asparagus, or like the Libyans who do not burn the dry stalks before they have collected the gum; who spares to destroy a bad and rough-grown root of a noble race of kings till the due fruit has issued from it? For it were better for the Phocians that Iphitus should lose tens of thousands of cattle and horses, or that even more gold should leave Delphi, and silver too, than that Ulysses should never have been born, or Asclepius, or the other brave men and mighty benefactors who have come of bad and vicious lines. VIII. ‘But do you not all think it better that punishments should fall in the fitting time and manner than hastily and at once? There is the case of Callippus, who was slain by his friends with the very dagger which he had used to slay Dion in the guise of a friend. Again, there is Mitys[216] of Argos, killed in a party quarrel, whose brazen statue in the market-place fell on the murderer during a public performance and killed him. And I think you know all about Bessus the Paeonian, Patrocleas, and Ariston of Oeta, the commander of foreign troops?’
  • 29. E F 554 B ‘Indeed I do not,’ he replied, ‘but I want to hear.’ ‘Ariston,’ I said, ‘with the consent of the tyrants, took down the ornaments of Eriphyle, deposited here, and carried them off to his wife for a present. Then his son, enraged with his mother for some reason, set fire to the house, and burnt up all who were within it. Bessus, it appears, slew his own father, and for a long time escaped detection. Afterwards, having come to some friends for supper, he put his spear through a swallows’ nest and brought it down, and destroyed the young birds. All present exclaimed, as well they might: “Man, what has possessed you to do such a monstrous thing?” To which he replied: “Have they not been telling lies against me this long time, shrieking that I have killed my father?” Astonished at such a speech, they informed the king, an inquiry was held, and Bessus suffered. IX. ‘So far’, I said, ‘we have been speaking, as was agreed, upon the assumption that some respite is really granted to wicked men. For what remains, you must suppose that you are listening to Hesiod,[217] laying down, not with Plato[218] that punishment is “suffering which waits on wrongdoing”, but that it is a contemporary growth, springing up with sin, from the same place and the same root, Bad counsel to the counsellor is worst, and Who plots ’gainst others, plots his heart away. The corn-beetle is said to carry in herself an antidote compounded on a principle of opposites, but wickedness as it grows breeds its own pain and punishment, and suffers the penalty, not by and by, but in the very moment of insolence. In the body, every criminal who is punished[219] carries forth his own cross; but vice fabricates for herself, out of herself, all the instruments of
  • 30. C D E her chastisement; she manufactures a terrible life, piteous and shameful, with terrors and cruel pains, with regrets and troubles unceasing. But there are persons just like children, who see evildoers on the stage crowned and caparisoned, as often happens, in gold and purple, and dancing heartily; and gape and gaze, as though these men were happy indeed; until they are seen goaded and lashed, and fire issuing out of those gay and costly robes. Most bad men are wrapped as in a vesture of great houses, and eminent offices and powers; and so it is unperceived that they are being punished, until, before you can think, they are stabbed or hurled down a rock, which is not to be called punishment, but the end or consummation of punishment. For as Herodicus of Selymbria, who fell into a hopeless decline, and, for the first time in human history, combined gymnastics with medicine, made death, in Plato’s[220] words, “a long affair for himself”, and for similar invalids, so has it been with bad men. They thought to escape the blow at the time; the penalty comes, not after more time, but over more time, and is lengthened, not retarded. They were not punished after they came to old age, but became old under punishment. I speak of length of time in a sense relative to ourselves, since to the Gods any span of human life is as nothing. “Now”, instead of “thirty years ago”, for the torture or hanging of a criminal, is as though we were to speak of “afternoon” not “morning”; the rather that he is confined in life, a prison where is no change of place, no escape, yet many feastings the while, and business affairs, and gifts, and bounties, and amusements, just as men play dice or draughts in jail, with the rope hanging over their heads. X. ‘Yet where are we to stop? Are we to say that prisoners awaiting execution are not under punishment until the axe shall fall? Nor he who has drunk the hemlock, and is walking about while he waits to feel the heaviness in the legs which precedes the chill and stiffness of approaching insensibility? Yet we must say so, if we think that the last moment of the punishment is the punishment, and leave out of account the sufferings of the intervening time, the
  • 31. F 555 B C fears, and forebodings, and movements of remorse, in which every sinner is involved. This would be like saying that a fish when he has swallowed the hook has not been caught until he has been roasted by the cook, or at least sliced up, before our eyes. Every man is in the grasp of Justice when he has done a wrong, he has nibbled away the sweets of Injustice which are the bait; but he has the hook of conscience sticking there and, as it pays him out,[221] Like spear-struck thunny makes the ocean boil. For the forwardness and the audacity of vice of which we hear are strong and ready till the crimes are committed, then passion fails them like a dying breeze, and leaves them weak and abject, a prey to every fear and superstition. Thus the dream of Clytaemnestra in Stesichorus[222] is fashioned true to the reality of what happens. It was like this: She thought a serpent came on her, his crest Dabbled with gore, and, lo, from out it peered, Child of the race of Pleisthenes, the King. For phantoms of dreams, and visions of midday, and oracles, and thunderbolts, and whatever has the appearance of being caused by a God, bring storms and terrors upon those who are in such a mood. So it is told that Apollodorus, in his sleep, saw himself being flayed by Scythians and then boiled, and that his heart murmured out of the cauldron the words, “I am the cause of this to thee.” And, again, he saw his daughters all on fire, and running around him with their bodies burning. Then Hipparchus, son of Pisistratus, a little before his death, saw Aphrodite throwing blood at his face out of a sort of bowl. The friends of Ptolemy “Thunderbolt”[223] beheld him called to justice by Seleucus before a jury of vultures and wolves, and dealing out large helpings of flesh to his enemies. Pausanias had wickedly sent for
  • 32. D E F Cleonice at Byzantium, a maiden of free birth, that he might enjoy her person in the night, then, as she approached, he killed her out of some panic or suspicion; and he would often see her in his dreams, saying to him: To judgement go; man’s lust works woe to man. When the phantom never ceased to trouble him, he sailed, as it appears, to Heracleia, where is the Place of Summons of Souls, and with soothing rites and libations set himself to call up the soul of the girl; she appeared to him and told him that he “will cease from his troubles when he reaches Lacedaemon”; and, directly he got there, he died.[224] XI. ‘Then, if nothing remains for the soul after death, but death is a limit beyond which is neither grace nor punishment, we should rather say that bad men who are punished quickly, and who die off, are used gently and indulgently by Heaven. For if it could be held that there is no other evil for the bad while life and time last, yet even so, when injustice is tried and proved an unfruitful, thankless business, which yields no return for many and great struggles, the mere sense of these upsets the soul. You will remember the story of Lysimachus, how, under great stress of thirst, he surrendered himself and his power to the Getae, and, when now their prisoner, said as he drank: “Wretch that I am, for so brief a pleasure to have lost so great a kingdom!” And yet to resist the physical compulsion of appetite is very hard. But when a man, by grasping at money, or in envy of political reputation and power, or for the pleasure of some union, has wrought a lawless dreadful deed, and afterwards, when the thirst or frenzy of passion has left him, sees, as time goes on, the disgrace and terror of iniquity becoming permanent, with nothing useful, or necessary, or delightful gained, then is it not natural that he should often reckon up and feel how hollow is the glory, how ignoble and thankless the pleasure, for which he has upset all that is greatest and noblest in human codes of right, and
  • 33. 556 B C filled his own life with shame and confusion? Simonides[225] used to say in jest that he found the chest of silver always full, but that of gratitude empty; and so bad men, when they look into the wickedness within them, find that, through the pleasure which has a short-lived return, it is left void of hope, but filled to the brim with fears and pains and joyless memory, with suspicion of the future, and distrust of the present. So Ino on the stage,[226] when she is repenting of what she has done: Say, maidens, how may I start clear, and dwell Here in the house of Athamas, as though I had done nothing of the deeds I did? Such thoughts we may suppose that the soul of every bad man rakes up within itself, while it calculates how it may escape from the memory of its misdoings, and cast out conscience, and become pure, and lead another life as from the beginning. There is no confidence, nothing free from caprice, nothing permanent or solid, in the designs of wickedness, unless, save the mark! we are to call wicked-doers philosophers of a sort! But where love of wealth or pleasure, as of great prizes, and envy undiluted, are lodged by the side of hate and ill-temper, there, if you look deep, you will find superstition seated, and softness to meet toil, and cowardice to meet death, and a rapid shifting of impulses, and a vain-gloriousness which comes of arrogance. They fear those who censure them, and equally fear those who praise, as being victims whom they have deceived, and who are the bitterest enemies of the bad, just because they praise so heartily those whom they take to be good. For hardness in vice, as in bad steel, is unsound, its rigidity is soon broken. Hence more and more, as time goes on, they discover their own condition; they are vexed and discontented, and spurn their own life away. We see that a bad man, when he has restored a pledge, or gone bail for an acquaintance, or given a patriotic subscription or a contribution which brings him glory and credit, is immediately seized with
  • 34. D E F 556 repentance, and grieves at what he has done, so shifty and unsettled is his judgement. We see others when applauded in the theatre at once groaning inwardly, as ambition subsides into greed of money. And did not, think you, those who sacrificed men to get a tyranny, or to advance a conspiracy, as Apollodorus did, or who robbed their friends of money, as Glaucus the son of Epicydes did, repent, and hate themselves, and suffer pain at what had been done? For my own part, if I may be allowed to say so, I think that the doers of unholy deeds need no God nor man to punish them; their own life is sufficient, when ruined by vice, and thrown into all disorder. XII. ‘But keep an eye on the discussion,’ I said, ‘for it may be running out beyond our limits.’ ‘Perhaps it is,’ said Timon, ‘if we look on, and consider the length of what remains to be said. For now I am going to call up the final difficulty, as a champion who has been standing out, since those which came forward first have pretty well had their round out. Turn to the charge so boldly thrown at the Gods by Euripides,[227] The parents’ trips upon their offspring turned, and take it that we too who have so far been silent adopt his arraignment. If, on the one hand, the doers paid the penalty themselves, then there is no need to punish those who did no wrong, seeing that justice does not allow even the doers to be punished twice for the same offences. If, on the other, the Gods, out of indolence, have allowed the punishment to drop, as against the wicked, and then exact it late in the day from the guiltless, the set-off of tardiness against injustice is all wrong. You will remember the story of what happened to Aesop in this place; how he came with gold from Croesus, to sacrifice to the God magnificently, and make a distribution among the Delphians, four minae apiece. There was some angry difference, it appears, between him and the brotherhood; so he performed the sacrifice, but sent the money back to Sardis, judging the men
  • 35. B C D unworthy of the bounty. They worked up a charge of sacrilege against him, thrust him down from the rock called Hyampeia, and killed him. Then, in his wrath at this, the God brought sterility on their land, and every form of strange disease; so that they went round the Assemblies of the Greeks asking by repeated proclamation that any who chose to come forward should punish them on Aesop’s behalf. In the third generation, Iadmon,[228] a Samian, came, no blood relation of Aesop, but a descendant of those who had bought him at Samos; and to him they paid certain penalties, and were set free from their troubles. From that time the punishment of sacrilegious criminals was transferred to Nauplia from Hyampeia. Not even those most devoted to Alexander, among whom we reckon ourselves, commend him for throwing the city of Branchidae into ruins, and putting its inhabitants to the sword, because of the treacherous surrender by their forefathers of the temple at Miletus. Then Agathocles, tyrant of Syracuse, derided with open laughter the Corcyraeans who asked “why he plundered their island?” “Because, of course,” he said, “your fathers sheltered Ulysses.” And, in like manner, when the Ithacans complained of his soldiers taking their sheep, “Why, your king”, he said, “came to us, and blinded the shepherd too!”[229] Now is it not even more monstrous of Apollo to destroy the Pheneatae[230] of the present day, by blocking the pit which took their water, and deluging all their land, because, a thousand years ago, as the story goes, Hercules snatched away the prophetic tripod and brought it to Pheneus? And what of his promise to the Sybarites of release from their troubles when they should have propitiated the wrath of the Leucadian Hera “by three destructions”? Again, it is not long since the Locrians have ceased to send those maidens to Troy, Who with no trailing robes, feet bared, as slaves, At early dawn must sweep Athene’s fane, No veils, though grievous eld were drawing near,[231]
  • 36. E F 558 because of the misbehaviour of Ajax. Where do you find the reasonableness and justice here? Certainly we do not praise the Thracians, because they still brand their own wives to avenge Orpheus, or the Barbarians living about the Eridanus for wearing black, in mourning for Phaethon as they say. It would have been still more ridiculous, I think, if the men living when Phaethon perished thought nothing about it, and then those born five generations or ten generations after the sad occurrence began to change into mourning clothes for him! Yet there is nothing but stupidity in that, nothing terrible or beyond cure; but the angers of the Gods pass underground at the time, like certain rivers, then afterwards breakout to injure quite different persons, and bring the direst ruin at the last. What reason is there in that?’ XIII. At the first check, I, in terror lest he should go back to the beginning and introduce more and greater cases of anomaly, at once proceeded to ask him: ‘Come,’ I said, ‘do you take all these things for true?’ ‘Suppose that they are not all true, but that some are, do you not think that the same perplexity comes in?’ ‘Perhaps’, said I, ‘it is as with persons in a violent fever, who feel the same heat, or nearly the same, whether they are wrapped in one cloak or in many, yet we must give some relief by removing the excess. If you will not allow this, drop the point (though to my thinking, most of the instances look like myths and inventions); but call to mind the recent Theoxenia, and that “fair portion” which is set aside and assigned by proclamation to the descendants of Pindar, and how impressive that seemed and how pleasant. Who could fail to find pleasure in that graceful honour, so Greek and so frankly of the old world, unless he be one whose Black heart of adamant Was wrought in chilly fire, in Pindar’s[232] own words? Then I pass over’, I said, ‘the similar proclamation made at Sparta, in the words,
  • 37. B C D After the Lesbian bard,[233] in honoured memory of old Terpander, for the case is the same. But I appeal to you, who claim, as I understand, precedence among the Boeotians as Opheltiadae, and among the Phocians because of Daiphantus; and who stood by me formerly, when, speaking in support of the claim of the Lycormae and Satilaeans through their ancestor to receive the honour and wear the crown due to the Heraclidae, I argued that those sprung of Hercules had the strongest right to be confirmed in the honours and prizes, because their ancestor received no worthy prize or return for his good deeds to the Greeks.’ ‘And a noble contention it was,’ he said, ‘and worthy indeed of Philosophy!’ ‘Then pray drop’, I said, ‘that vehement tone in your arraignment, and do not make it any grievance that some born of bad or vicious ancestors are punished; or else never rejoice or applaud in the other case, when noble birth is honoured. For if the gratitude due to virtue is to be kept active for the benefit of the family, it is logical and right also that the punishment for crimes should never be exhausted or fail, but should run a parallel course, so that payment should follow deserts under either head. Any one who finds pleasure in seeing honour done to the descendants of Cimon at Athens, but makes it a grievance that those of Lachares or Ariston are banished, is too soft and too careless, or, as I would rather say, is quarrelsome and captious in all his attitude to Heaven. He challenges, if the children of an unjust and evil man appear to prosper, and he challenges if the families of the bad are abased or extinguished; he blames the God equally if the children of a good father are in trouble, or of a bad one. XIV. ‘There,’ I said, ‘let all this serve for so many dykes or barriers against those bitter and aggressive assailants! Now, let us go back, and pick up the end of the thread in this dark place with its windings and wanderings; I mean our argument about the God. Let us guide ourselves with quiet caution towards what is likely and reasonable,
  • 38. E F 559 B since certainty and truth are beyond us, even as to our own actions. For instance, why do we order the children of persons who have died of consumption or dropsy to sit with both feet dipped into water until the corpse is consumed? The idea seems to be that, if this is done, the disease does not shift its seat or approach them. Or again, why is it that, if one goat have taken the herb eryngium[234] into her mouth, the whole flock halts until the goatherd comes and takes it out? And there are other occult properties, with ways, whether of contact or of dissemination, by which they pass, with incredible speed and over incredible intervals, through one to another. Yet we find intervals of time wonderful, but not those of place; although it is really more wonderful that a disease which began in Aethiopia[235] infected Athens, where Pericles died and Thucydides took it, than that, when Delphians and Sybarites had been wicked, the punishment circled round to attack their children. There is correspondence of forces from last to first, and there are connecting links, the cause of which, unknown, it may be, to us, produces in silence its proper effect.[236] XV. ‘Not but that the public visitations of cities by the wrath of Heaven can be readily accounted for on the score of justice. A city is a thing one and continuous, like an animal, which does not cease to be itself in the changes due to growth, nor become, as time goes on, different from what it was; it is always consentaneous and at one with itself, and awaits all the consequences, whether censure or gratitude, of what it does or did, so long as the association, which makes it one and complex, preserves its unity. To divide it, according to time, into many cities, or, rather, into an infinite number of them, is like making many men out of one, because he is now elderly, was formerly younger, and, still further back, was a boy. Or rather, the whole idea is like those tricks of Epicharmus out of which the “Increasing Fallacy” of the Sophists sprang. The man who formerly received the loan does not own it now, for he has become a different person. The man who was asked to dinner yesterday, comes an unbidden guest to-day, for he is some one else. Yet the stages of growth produce
  • 39. C D E greater variations in each one of ourselves than they do in cities as wholes. Any one who had seen Athens thirty years ago would recognize it to-day; manners, movements, amusements, business, popular gratitude, and resentments, all quite as of old. Whereas a man would hardly be recognized in figure by friend or relation who should meet him after an interval, while the changes in character so easily produced by anything—a word, an exertion, a feeling, a law—produce an effect of strangeness and novelty even to one always in his company. Yet he is spoken of as one man from birth to the end; and we insist that a city, which remains the same in exactly the same sense, is liable for the reproaches incurred by ancestors, by the same title as it claims their reputation and power. Otherwise we shall have everything, before we know it, in the river of Heraclitus,[237] which he says a man cannot enter twice, because Nature disturbs and alters all things in her own changes. XVI. ‘But if a city is a thing one and continuous, I take it that a family also depends from a single origin which assures a certain pervading force of association. An offspring is never separated from its begetter, as is a piece of man’s handicraft; it has been made out of him, not by him; thus it has in itself some permanent portion of him, and whether it be punished or honoured, receives what is its due. If it were not that I might seem to trifle, I would say that graver injustice was done to the statue of Cassander when it was melted down by the Athenians, and to the corpse of Dionysius when it was thrust out beyond the frontier by the Syracusans, than to the descendants of those men in the punishments which they received. For there is nothing of the nature of Cassander in the statue, and the soul of Dionysius has quitted the corpse; whereas in Nisaeus, and Apollocrates, and Antipater and Philip, and similarly in the other sons of bad men, the determining part of their parents is inborn in them, and is there; it is not quiescent or inactive, since by it they live and are nourished, are directed, and think. There is nothing strange or remarkable if, being of them, they have what was theirs. In a word, as in Medicine,
  • 40. F 560 B C what is serviceable is also just. It is ridiculous to talk of the injustice of cauterizing the thumb when the pain is in the hip, or scarifying the region of the stomach for a tumour inside the liver, or of oiling the ends of the horns of cattle, if there is softening of the hoofs. So it is with punishments; to think that there is any other justice than what heals the mischief, or to be indignant if the treatment be applied to one set of persons through another set (as in opening a vein to relieve weak eyes) is to see nothing beyond the range of sense, to fail to remember that a schoolmaster who chastises one boy teaches a lesson to many boys, and that a general who executes one man in ten, brings all to their duty. And thus not only one part through another part, but also soul through soul receives certain dispositions, be they of deterioration or amendment, in a truer sense than body through body. In the case of body, the affection arising must be the same, and the alteration produced must be the same; whereas soul is led by its own imaginings in the way of assurance or fear, and so becomes permanently worse or else better.’ XVII. While I was still speaking, Olympicus broke in: ‘It seems to me’, he said, ‘that your argument relies on a great fundamental assumption—the permanence of the soul.’ ‘Subject to your consent, it does,’ I replied, ‘or rather to your consent already given; for, from the initial supposition that God dispenses to us according to our deserts, the discussion has proceeded to its present stage.’ ‘Then’, he said, ‘you think that, because the Gods survey and administer all our affairs, it follows that our souls are either wholly imperishable, or, permanent for a certain time after death.’ ‘Oh no! good friend,’ I said, ‘but the God is so petty, so important a trifler, that, dealing with men like us, who have nothing in us divine or like him in any way, or persistent, or solid, but who wither away altogether “like leaves”, as Homer[238] said, and perish within a short span, he makes us of so great account! That would be like the gardens of Adonis which women nurse and tend in crockery pots; souls of a day springing up within a pampered flesh wherein no strong living root finds room, and then
  • 41. D E F 561 at once snuffed out on the first pretext. But, if you will, let the other Gods be, and look at our own God here. Knowing that the souls of those who die perish at once, like mists or smoke-wreaths exhaled from the bodies, does he, think you, require men to bring so many propitiations for the departed, and such great honours to the dead, deceiving and tricking his believers? For myself, I will never give up the permanence of the soul, unless some one like Hercules shall come, and remove the tripod of the Pythia, and lay waste the place of the oracles. But in our own time so long as many such prophecies are given as once were delivered to Corax the Naxian, it is nothing less than impious to condemn the soul to death.’ Here Patrocleas asked: ‘But what was the prophecy delivered, and who was this Corax? The fact and the name are equally strange to me.’ ‘Not at all,’ I said, ‘the fault is mine for using a by- name instead of the real one. The man who killed Archilochus in battle was called Calondas, it appears; Corax was a by-name given to him. Turned out, at first, by the Pythia, as having slain a man sacred to the Muses, then, having put in a plea of justification, accompanied by prayers and supplications, he was ordered to go to the “dwelling of Tettix” and propitiate the soul of Archilochus. This place was Taenarus; for thither, they say, Tettix the Cretan went with an expedition, and there he founded a city, and dwelt near the “Place of the Passage of Souls”. So, when the Spartans had been ordered to propitiate the soul of Pausanias, the “Conductors of Souls” were sent for out of Italy, and, after having done sacrifice, ousted the ghost from the temple. XVIII. ‘Thus’, I continued, ‘the argument which assures the Providence of God and also the permanence of the human soul, is one only; it is impossible to remove either and to keep the other. But if the soul exists after death, it becomes more probable that a requital is made to it in full both of honours and of punishments. Like an athlete, it is engaged in a contest during life; the contest done, it then receives in its own self all its due. However, what rewards or what chastisements it there receives in its own self, are nothing to us that are alive, they are disbelieved
  • 42. B C D or are unmarked. But those which pass through children or family are manifest to those who are here, and turn away many bad men and pull them up short. But to prove that there is no more disgraceful and grievous punishment than for a man to see his own descendants suffering on his account; and that when the soul of an offender against piety or law looks after death, and sees, not the overthrow of statues or memorials effaced, but sons or friends or kinsmen involved in great misfortunes, all because of itself, and paying its penalties, it could not be content, no, not for all the honours which are given to Zeus, to become a second time unjust and profligate, I can tell you a story which I have lately heard; yet I hesitate lest it may appear to you a myth, so I confine myself to showing the probability.’ ‘On no account!’ said Olympicus, ‘give us the whole of that story too.’ As the others made the same petition, ‘Let me make good’, said I, ‘the probability of the view, then we will start the myth, if myth indeed it be. XIX. ‘Now Bion says that it would be more ridiculous if God were to punish the sons of wicked men, than for a doctor to drug a descendant or a son for the disease of a grandfather or a father. But the cases are dissimilar in one respect, though closely alike in another. The treatment of one person does not relieve another from disease; no patient with eye disease or fever was ever the better for seeing an ointment or a plaster applied to another. The punishments of the wicked are exhibited to all, because the effect of the reasonable operation of justice is to restrain some through the punishment of others. But the point of resemblance between the parallel adduced by Bion and our problem he failed to observe; it is this: when a man has fallen into a sickness which is bad but not incurable, and afterwards through intemperance and self-indulgence has surrendered his body to the malady and has died of it, then, if there be a son, not evidently diseased but only with a tendency to the same disease, a physician, or relative, or trainer, or a kind master who has learnt the state of the case, will put him upon a strict diet and remove made dishes and drinks and women, and use regular courses of physic, and
  • 43. E F 562 harden his body by exercises, and will thus disperse and expel the symptoms, and not allow the little seed of a great trouble to reach any size. Is not that the tone which we adopt, entreating sons of fathers or mothers with a tendency to diseases to pay attention to themselves, and to watch out, and not be careless, but to get rid at once of the first beginnings in the system, taking them in time while they are easy to move and loosely seated?’ ‘It is indeed’, they said. ‘Then we are doing nothing out of place, but a necessary act, one which is useful and not ludicrous, when we introduce the sons of epileptic or bilious or gouty sires to gymnastic exercise, diet, and drugs, not when they are suffering from a disease but in order that they may not take it; for a body which proceeds out of a vitiated body deserves no punishment but rather medical care and watching; if any one in his cowardice and softness chooses to miscall that punishment, because it removes pleasures and applies the sharp prick of pain and trial, we have nothing more to say to him. Now then, does a body, the issue of a faulty body, deserve treatment and care, and yet we must endure to see the likeness of a kinsman’s vice springing up within a young character, and making its growth there, and to wait until it be spread over his system and manifest itself in his passions, And show the evil fruit Of mind awry, as Pindar[239] says? XX. ‘Or is the God in this to be less wise than Hesiod,[240] who exhorts and charges: Ne’er after gloomy burial, of life Sow thou the seed, but fresh from heavenly feasts, meaning that the act of generation admits not only of vice and virtue, but also of grief and joy and the rest, and therefore he would
  • 44. B C D E bring men cheerful and pleasant and open-hearted to the task? But the other matter does not come out of Hesiod, nor is it the effect of human wisdom, but of the God, to see through likenesses and differences of temperament, before they stand revealed by a plunge through the passions into great crimes. For the cubs of bears while still tiny, and the young of wolves and apes, show at once the character of their kind, there is no disguise or pretence; but the nature of man is plunged at once into customs and rules and laws, and often conceals the bad points and imitates the good, so that the inborn stain of vice is entirely effaced and removed, or else is undetected for a long time; it assumes a sheath or cloke of cleverness, which we fail to see through. We perceive the wickedness with an effort each time that the blow or prick of the several misdoings touches us. In a word, we think that men become unjust when they commit an injustice, become intemperate when they do a violence, become cowardly when they run away. It is as though we should think that the scorpion grows a sting when he strikes, or vipers their venom when they bite, which would be simple indeed! Take any single bad man, he does not become bad when he appears bad; he has the vice from the first, but it comes out as he gets opportunity and power, the thief, of thieving, the born tyrant, of forcing the laws. But God, by his own nature, apprehends soul better than body; and we may be sure that he is neither ignorant of the disposition and nature of each, nor waits to punish violence of the hands, or insolence of the tongue, or profligacy of the body. For he has himself suffered no wrong; is not angry with the robber because he has met with violence, does not hate the profligate because he has been assaulted; but, as a remedial measure, he often chastises the man whose tendency is to adulterous crime, or to greed, or to injustice, thus destroying vice before it has taken hold, as he might an epilepsy. XXI. ‘Yet we were indignant a little while ago, that the wicked are punished so late and so slowly. And now we complain because God sometimes cuts short the habit and
  • 45. F 563 B disposition before any wrong is done, not knowing that the thing to come is often worse and more alarming than the thing done, what is hidden than what is apparent, and unable to calculate the reasons why it is better to leave some alone even after they have committed an offence, and to be beforehand with others who are still meditating one; exactly as drugs are of no use for certain persons when sick, but are of service to others who are not actually sick, but are in a state still more dangerous. So it is not always a case of The parents trip upon their offspring turned By Heav’n’s high hand.[241] If a good son be born of a bad sire, as a healthy child of a sickly parent, he is relieved from the penalty of race, saved by adoption out of vice. But the young man who throws back to the likeness of a tainted race ought, surely, to take to the debts on his inheritance, that is, to the punishment due to wickedness. Antigonus was not punished because of Demetrius, nor—to go back to the heroes of old —Phyleus for Augeas, nor Nestor for Neleus. These all came of bad sires, but were good. But where natural disposition has embraced and adopted the family failing, in those cases Justice pursues and visits to the uttermost the likeness in vice. For as warts and spots and moles of parents disappear in their children, but return on the persons of grandchildren; as again a Greek woman had borne a black child, and when charged with adultery, discovered that she was of Ethiopian parentage in the fourth degree; and as, yet again, out of the sons of Nisibeus, lately dead, who was reported to be related to the “Sown Men” of Thebes, one reproduced the mark of a spear on his body—family likeness re-emerging from the depths, after such long intervals—, even so it is often the case that characteristics and affections of the soul are concealed and submerged in the early generations, but afterwards break out again in later individuals, and Nature restores the familiar type, for vice or for virtue.’
  • 46. C D E F XXII. When I had spoken thus I remained silent. Olympicus laughed quietly, and said: ‘We are not applauding you, lest we should seem to be letting you off the myth, as though the demonstration of your view were sufficient without it; when we have heard it, we will give judgement.’ So I went on to tell them: ‘Thespesius of Soli, a kinsman and friend of that Protogenes who has been with us here, after an early life of great profligacy, quickly ran through his fortune, changed his ways perforce, and took to the pursuit of wealth; when he had the usual experience of the profligates who do not keep their wives when they have them, but cast them away and try wrongfully to get their favours when united to other men. He stopped at nothing disgraceful if it led to enjoyment or gain, and in a short time got together an inconsiderable fortune and a mighty reputation for evil. What hit him hardest was an answer delivered to him by the oracle of Amphilochus. It appears that he had sent to ask the God “whether he will do better the rest of his life?”[242] The answer was that he “will live better when he has died”. And sure enough this, in a way, so fell out not long afterwards. He fell over from a high place, upon his head; there was no wound, but he appeared to die of the mere blow, and on the third day, at the very time of the funeral, revived. He quickly recovered his strength, and came to himself, and the change of life which followed was incredible. For the Cilicians know of no man more fair in all business relations, or more holy in religious duties, so formidable a foe or so faithful a friend. Hence those who were brought into contact with him were very curious to hear the cause of the difference, thinking that a character so completely remodelled must have been the result of no trifling experience. And so it truly was, according to the story related by him to Protogenes, and other equally considerate friends. For, when sentience left his body, he felt affected by a change, as a helmsman might do when first plunged overboard into the depth of the sea; then, recovering a little, he seemed to himself to breathe all over and to look around, while his soul opened like one great eye. But he saw nothing of what he had been seeing before, only stars of vast size, at infinite distances from one
  • 47. 564 B C D another, each emitting a ray of marvellous colour and of a tonic force, so that the soul, riding smoothly on the light, as though over a calm sea, was carried easily and quickly in every direction. Passing over most of the sights he saw, he said that the souls of those who die make a flame-like bubble where the air parts as they rise from below, then the bubble quickly bursts, and they emerge with human form but light in bulk, with a movement which is not the same for all. Some bound forth with marvellous agility, and dart upwards in a straight line, while others whirl round together like spindles, now with an upward tendency, now a downward, borne on by a mingled confused agitation, which after a very long time, and then with difficulty, is reduced to calm. Most of them he did not recognize, but seeing two or three persons of his acquaintance, he tried to approach them and speak. They would not hear him, and appeared not to be themselves, but to be distraught and scared out of their senses, shunning all sight or touch, while they roamed about, first by themselves; then they would meet and embrace others in like case, and whirl round in random indefinite figures of every sort, uttering unmeaning sounds, like cries of battle mingled with those of lamentation and terror. Others above, on the extremity of the firmament, were cheerful to behold, often drawing near to one another in kindness, and turning away from those other turbid souls; and they would signify, as it seemed, their annoyance by out drawing close together, but joy and affability by opening and dispersing. There he saw, he said, the soul of a kinsman, but not very certainly, for the man had died while he was himself a child. However, the soul drew towards him, and said, “Hail Thespesius!” He was surprised at this, and said that his name was not Thespesius, but Aridaeus. “Formerly so,” was the reply, “but from now Thespesius. For you are not really dead, but, by some appointment of Heaven, have come hither with your sentient part, the rest of your soul is left within the body, as a light anchor. Let this be a sign to you now and hereafter; the souls of the dead make no shadow, and their eyes do not blink.”[243] When Thespesius heard this, he drew himself together in deeper thought, and as he gazed, he saw a sort of dim and shadowy line
  • 48. E F 565 B which wavered as he moved, while the others were transparent within, all set around with brightness, yet not all equally. Some were like the full moon at her purest, and emitted one smooth, continuous, uniform colour; over others there ran scales, so to call them, or slender weals; others were quite dappled and strange to look upon, branded with black spots like those on serpents; others again showed open blunted scars. Then the kinsman of Thespesius (for nothing forbids us to designate the souls in this way by the names of men) began to explain it all to him, as thus: “Adrasteia, daughter of Zeus and Necessity, has been appointed to punish all crimes in the highest place; no criminal has there ever yet been, so small or so great, as to pass unseen or to escape by his might. But there are three modes of punishment, and each mode has its proper guardian minister. Some men are punished, at once in the body and through their body, and these swift Retribution handles; her method is a gentle one, and passes over many crimes which ask for expiation. Those whose cure is a heavier matter are passed after death to Justice by the daemon. The wholly incurable Justice rejects; and these the third, and the fiercest, of the satellites of Adrasteia, whose name is Erinnys, chases, as they wander and try to escape in all directions; and it is pitiful and cruel how she brings them all to nothing and plunges them into the gulf which is beyond speech or sight. As to the other two modes of justification,” he went on, “that which is wrought by Retribution during life resembles the usage of barbarian countries. For as in Persia they pluck off and scourge the robes and the hats of men under punishment, while their owners implore them to stop, so punishments through money or upon the person get no close grip, they do not fasten on the vice itself, but are mostly for appearance and appeal to the senses. But whoever makes his way here from earth unchastened and unpurged, Justice firmly seizes him, with his soul naked and manifest, having no place into which to skulk, that he may hide and veil his wickedness, but eyed from all sides, and by all, and all over. And first she shows him to good parents, if such he has, or to ancestors, a contemptible and unworthy sight. If these are all bad,
  • 49. C D E he sees them punished and is seen by them, and so is justified during a long time, while each of his passions is dislodged by pains and toils, which as much exceed in greatness and intensity those which are through the flesh, as a day dream may be clearer than that which comes in sleep. Scars and weals left by particular passions[244] are more persistent in some men than in others. And look”, he said, “at those motley colours upon the souls, which come from every source. There is the dusky, dirty red, which is the smear made by meanness and greed; the fiery blood-red of cruelty and harshness. Where you see the bluish grey, there intemperance in pleasures has been rubbed away, and a heavy work it was; malice and envying have been there to inject that violet beneath the skin, as cuttle-fishes their ink. For down on earth vice brings out the colours, while the soul is turned about by the passions and turns the body, but here, when these have been smoothed away, the final result of purgation, and chastisement is this, that the soul becomes radiant all over and of one hue. But as long as the colours are in it, there are certain reversions to passion, with throbbings and a pulsation which in some is faint and easily passes off, in others makes vigorous resistance. Of these souls, some, being chastised again and again, attain their fitting habit and disposition; others are transferred into the bodies of beasts by masterful ignorance and the passionate love of pleasure; [245] for ignorance, through weakness of the reasoning part and inactivity of the speculative, inclines on its practical side towards generation; while the love of pleasure, requiring an instrument for intemperance, craves to unite the desires with their satisfaction, and to have share in corporeal excitement, since here is nothing save a sort of ineffectual shadow, and a dream of pleasure without its fulfilment.” Having said this, he began to lead him on, moving rapidly yet covering, as it seemed, a space of infinite extent with unfaltering ease, borne upwards on the rays of light, as though by wings, until he reached a great chasm which yawned downwards. There he was deserted by the supporting force, and saw the other souls in the same case. Packing together, like birds, and borne down and around, they circled about the chasm, which
  • 50. F 566 B C they did not venture to cross outright. You might see it within, resembling the caves of Bacchus, dressed in wood and greenery, and gay with blossoms of flowers of every sort; and it exhaled a mild and gentle breeze which wafted odours of marvellous delight, and produced such an atmosphere as wine throws off for its votaries; for the souls feasted on the fragrant smells and were relaxed into mutual kindliness. All around a bacchic humour prevailed, and laughter, and every joy which the Muses can give where men sport and are merry. By this way, he said, Dionysus went up to the Gods, and afterwards brought Semele; it is called “the Place of Lethe”. Here he did not allow Thespesius to linger, even though he would, but kept drawing him away by force, explaining to him as he did so that the sentient mind becomes wasted and sodden by pleasure, while the irrational and corporeal part is watered and pampered and suggests recollection of the body, and, from that recollection, a yearning and desire which makes for generation (genesis), so named because it is a leaning towards earth (Ge-neusis)[246] when the soul is weighed down by moisture. Having travelled another journey as long as the first, he seemed to be gazing into a mighty bowl, with rivers discharging into it, one whiter than foam of the sea, or snowflakes, another with the purple flush of the rainbow, others tinged with different hues. From a distance each showed its proper ray, but as he drew near the rim became invisible, and the colouring was dulled, and the more brilliant hues deserted the bowl, leaving only the whiteness. And there he saw three daemons seated close together in a triangle, mingling the streams in certain measures. Now the soul-conductor of Thespesius told him that thus far Orpheus advanced, when he was questing for the soul of his wife, and, from not rightly remembering, put out an untrue account among men, namely that “there was an oracle at Delphi, held by Apollo and Night in common, whereas Night has nothing in common with Apollo. Really,” he said, “this oracle is shared by Night and the moon, having nowhere an earthly bound, or a single habitation, but roaming over men everywhere in dreams and phantoms. From here it is that dreams, which are mingled, as you see, with what is deceitful and
  • 51. D E F embroidered, get so much simplicity and truth as they scatter abroad. The oracle of Apollo”, he continued, “you have not seen, nor will you ever be able to see it, for the earthly element of the soul does not mount upwards or allow that; it is attached closely to the body and bends downwards.” And as he spoke, he led him on, and he tried to show him the light coming, as he said, from the tripod, resting on Parnassus between the breasts of Themis. Earnestly desiring to see, he saw nothing for the brightness. But he heard, as he passed, a woman’s shrill voice chanting in verse many things, among them the time of his own death. The daemon told him that the voice was that of the Sibyl,[247] who was singing about things to be, as she was carried round on the face of the moon. He desired to hear more, but was thrust off by the whirling of the moon to the opposite side, as though caught in the eddies, and only heard scraps, one of which was about Mount Vesuvius and the future destruction by fire of Dicaearcheia, and a fragment of song about the emperor of that day, how that so good a man Shall die upon his bed, and end his reign.[248] After that, they turned to the sight of those under punishment. At first they met only with repulsive and piteous spectacles. Afterwards, when Thespesius found friends and relations and intimates, whom he could never have conceived of as punished, enduring sore sufferings and penalties both ignominious and painful, and pitying themselves to him and weeping aloud; and at last saw his own father emerging from a certain pit, all over brands and scars, reaching out his hand towards his son and not permitted to be silent, but compelled by the warders to confess his infamous conduct to some strangers who had come with gold—how he had poisoned them, and had escaped detection there on earth, but had been convicted here, how he had already suffered part, and was now led to suffer the remainder—, then he did not dare to supplicate or to
  • 52. 567 B C D entreat for his father, so great was his consternation and horror. Wishing to turn about and flee, he saw no longer that gracious and familiar guide, but was thrust forward by others of terrible visage, because it was necessary that he should go through it all. There he beheld the shadows of those who had been notoriously wicked, and who had been punished on the spot, not savagely handled as were the former ones, because[249] their trouble was in the irrational seat of the passions. But those who had passed through life under a veil or cloak of the appearance of virtue, were compelled by others, who stood around, laboriously and painfully to turn their soul inside out, writhing and bending themselves back unnaturally, as the scolopendrae[250] of the sea, when they have gorged the hook, turn themselves inside out. Others they would flay, and fold the skin back, to show how scarred and mottled they were beneath it, because the vice was seated in the rational and directing part. Other souls he said that he saw intertwined like vipers, by twos or threes or more together, gnawing one another out of spite and rancour for what they had suffered in life, or done. And there were lakes lying side by side, one of boiling gold, one of lead, exceeding cold, and one of iron, which was rough. Over these stood daemons, as it might be smiths, with tongs, picking up by turns the souls of those whose wickedness came of greed and grasping, and plunging them in. When they had become all fiery and transparent in the burning gold, they were thrust into the bath of lead; and when frozen till they became hard as hailstones, they were shifted on to the iron, and there they became hideously black, and were broken up and crushed, so hard and brittle were they, and their shapes were changed. Then they were conveyed, just as they were, back to the gold, enduring dire pains in the transition. Most pitiful of all, he said, was the case of those who seemed already quit of Justice and then were seized up anew. These were the souls whose penalty had come round to any descendants or children. For whenever any one of these last came up and met them, he would fall upon them in anger, and shout aloud, and show the marks of his sufferings, reviling and pursuing, while the parent soul sought to flee
  • 53. E F 568 and hide itself, but could not; for the torturers would run swiftly after and bring them to Justice, and force them through all from the beginning, while they bewailed themselves because they knew the punishment before them. And there were some, he said, to whom a number of their offspring were attached, clinging to them just like bees or bats, and jibbering in wrathful recollection of what they had suffered on account of their parents. Last of all, while he was looking at the souls returning to a second birth—how they were violently bent and transformed into animals of every sort by the executioners of this task, who used certain implements and blows, here squeezing together the limbs entire, here twisting them aside, here planing them away and getting rid of them altogether, to fit into other characters and other lives—, there appeared among these the soul of Nero, already in torment, and pierced with red-hot nails. For it the executioners had prepared the form of a viper, as Pindar describes it, wherein the beast is to be conceived, and live, after having devoured its own mother. And then, he said, there shone out a great light, and from the light came a voice commanding them to shift Nero to some other milder species, and to fashion a beast to sing around marshes and pools, for that he had paid the penalty of his crimes; and moreover some benefit was due to him from the Gods, because he had freed the best and most God-loving race, that of Hellas. Up to this point, Thespesius had been, he said, a spectator. But as he was about to return, he suffered a horrible fear. For a woman of marvellous form and stature seized hold of him: “Come here, fellow!” she said, “that thou mayest have a better memory of these things.” Then she brought near him a rod, such as painters use, red- hot, but another woman prevented her. He, sucked up by a sudden violent wind, as out of a blow-pipe, fell on to his own body, and just opened his eyes on the edge of the tomb.’
  • 54. FROM THE DIALOGUE ‘ON THE SOUL’ A FRAGMENT [Preserved by Stobaeus, Florileg. 119.[251] ] I. When Timon had spoken thus, Patrocleas replied: ‘Your argument is as forcible as it is ancient, yet there are difficulties. For if the doctrine of immortality is so very old, how is it that the fear of death is “oldest of terrors”[252] ? Unless, of course, it is this which has engendered all other terrors. For there is nothing “fresh or new” in our mourning for the dead, or in the use of those sad sinister forms of speech, “Poor man!” “Unfortunate man!”’ II. ‘But there’, said Timon, ‘we shall find a confusion of ideas between what perishes and what does not. Now when we speak of the dead as having “passed away” and being “gone”, there is clearly no suggestion of anything actually harsh, only of a change or transition of some sort. Where that change takes place for those who undergo it, and whether it be for worse or better, let us consider by looking into the other words used. Our actual word for death[253] , in the first place, does not appear to point to a movement downward, or beneath the earth, but rather to a mounting upward towards God of that which passes. Thus we may reasonably suppose that the soul darts out and runs upward, as though a bent spring had been released, when the body breathes it out, and itself draws an upward vital breath. Next, look at the opposite of death, which is generation; this word, on the contrary, expresses a tendency downward, an inclination to earth[254] of that which at the time of death again speeds upward. Hence, too, we call our natal day by a
  • 55. name which means a beginning of evils and of great troubles.[255] Perhaps we shall see the same thing even more clearly from another set of words. A man when he dies is said to be “released”, and death called a “release”—if you ask the question “from what?”, a release from body[256] —for body is called dĕmas, because the soul is kept in bondage in it, contrary to nature, nothing being forcibly detained in a place which is natural to it. A further play upon this “bondage” and “force” gives the word “life”, as Homer,[257] I think, uses Hesperus for the feminine “evening”, and so, in contrast to “life”, the dead is said to come to his rest, released from a great and unnatural stress. So with the change and reconstitution of the soul into the Whole; we say that it has perished when it has made its way thither; while here it does not know this unless at the actual approach of death, when it undergoes such an experience as those do who are initiated into great mysteries. Thus death and initiation closely correspond, word to word,[258] and thing to thing. At first there are wanderings, and laborious circuits, and journeyings through the dark, full of misgivings where there is no consummation; then, before the very end, come terrors of every kind, shivers, and trembling, and sweat, and amazement. After this, a wonderful light meets the wanderer; he is admitted into pure meadow lands, where are voices, and dances, and the majesty of holy sounds and sacred visions. Here the newly initiate, all rites completed, is at large; he walks at large like the dedicated victim with a crown on his head, and joins in high revelry; he converses with pure and holy men, and surveys the uninitiate unpurified crowd here below in the dirt and darkness, trampled by its own feet and packed together; through fear of death remaining in its ills, because it does not believe in the blessings which are beyond. For that the conjunction of soul with body, and its imprisonment, are against nature, you may clearly see from this.’ III. ‘From what?’ said Patrocleas. ‘From the fact that of all our experiences sleep is the most agreeable. First, it always extinguishes any perception of pain, because its pleasure is mingled with so much that is familiar, secondly, it overpowers all other appetites, even the most vehement. For even those who are devoted to the body
  • 56. become disinclined for pleasure when sleep comes on, and when they slumber reject loving embraces. Why dwell on this? When sleep takes possession, it excludes even the pleasure which comes from learning, and discussion, and philosophic thought, as though a smooth deep stream swept the soul along. All pleasure, perhaps, is by its essence and nature a respite from pain, but of sleep this is absolutely true. For, though nothing exciting or delightful should approach from without, yet we feel pleasure in a sound sleep; sleep seems to remove a condition of toil and hardness. And that condition is no other than that which binds soul to body. In sleep the soul is separated, and speeds upward, and is gathered unto itself after having been strained to fit the body, and dispersed among the senses. Yet some assert that, on the contrary, sleep immingles soul with body. They are wrong. The body bears its witness the other way, by its lack of sensation, its coldness, and heaviness, and pallor proving that the soul leaves it in death, and shifts its quarters in sleep. This produces the pleasure; it is a release and respite for the soul, as though it laid down a burthen which it must again resume and shoulder. For when it dies it runs away from the body for good; when it is asleep, it plays truant. Therefore death is sometimes accompanied by pains, sleep always by pleasure; in the former case the bond is snapped altogether, in the latter it gives, and is slackened, and becomes easier, as the senses are loosened like parting knots, and the strain which ties soul to body is gone.’ IV. ‘Then how is it’, said Patrocleas, ‘that we do not feel discomfort or pain from being awake?’ ‘How is it’, said Timon, ‘that when the hair is cut, the head feels lightness and relief, yet there was no sense of oppression at all while the hair was long? Or that men released from bonds feel pleasure, yet there is no pain when the chains are on? Or why is there a stir of applause when light is brought suddenly into a banquet, yet its absence did not appear to cause pain or trouble to the eye? There is one cause, my friend, in all these cases; that gradual habituation made the unnatural familiar to the sense, so that it felt absolutely no distress then, but felt pleasure when there was release and a restoration to nature. The
  • 57. strangeness is seen at once when the proper condition comes, the presence of what pained and pressed by contrast with the pleasure. It is exactly so with the soul: during its association with mortal passions, and parts, and organs, that which is unnatural and strange produces no apparent pressure because of that long familiarity; yet when discharged from the activities of the body, it feels ease, and relief, and pleasure. By them it is distressed, and about these it toils, and from these it craves leisure and rest. For all that concerns its own natural activities—observation, reasoning, memory, speculation —it is unwearied and insatiable. Satiety is nothing but a weariness of pleasure, when soul feels with body. To its own pleasures soul never cries “Enough”; but while it is involved in body, it is in the plight of Ulysses.[259] As he clung to the fig-tree, and hugged it, not from love of the tree, but fearing Charybdis down below, so soul clings to body and embraces it, from no goodwill to it or gratitude, but in horror of the uncertainty of death, For life the gods conceal from mortal men, says the wise Hesiod.[260] They have not strained soul to body by fleshy bonds, one bond they have contrived and one encompassing device, the uncertainty of what comes after death, and our slowness to believe; since, “if the soul were persuaded”, as Heraclitus[261] says, “of all the things which await men when they have died, no force would keep it back.”’
  • 59. INTRODUCTION The drift of Plutarch’s remarkable Treatise on Superstition is well given in the opening words of Bacon’s famous Essay: ‘It were better to have no opinion of God at all than such an opinion as is unworthy of him. For the one is unbelief, the other is contumely, and certainly superstition is the reproach of the Deity.’ The word—the same which, in its adjective, St. Paul applies, almost in a good sense, to the Athenians of his day[262] —is correctly defined by Theophrastus, in his ‘character’ of the superstitious man, as timidity with regard to the supernatural, and this timidity at once passes into cowardice. There is in this treatise a fighting spirit and a directness of attack unusual in Plutarch, who mostly speaks with academic balance about conflicting schools of thought. Thus it has been suggested that one or other of his writings against the Epicureans may be intended to supply the required study ‘On Atheism’. There are many passages in the Lives and also in the Moralia where the author is seen to mediate between credulity and scepticism, superstition and atheism; usually showing a tendency to ‘the more benign extreme’; there is more to be lost by an undue hardening of the intellect than by a wise hospitality to beliefs and ideas which lie beyond strict proof. Here the attack is one-sided and uncompromising. At the end of the treatise true piety is exhibited as a middle path between superstition and atheism. This is not to be understood of a quantitative excess or defect. Piety in excess may induce a habit which deserves the name of superstition, such as has been the fair butt of satirists in all ages, and of humorists like Theophrastus. But Plutarch is thinking not of excess, but of perversion, a piety directed to wrong powers, or to powers conceived of in the wrong way. There is a striking instance in the Life of Pelopidas (c. 21), when some of the prophets invited that great soldier to obey the warning of a dream by slaying his daughter, for which there were ancient precedents. ‘But some on the other
  • 60. side urged, that such a barbarous and impious oblation could not be pleasing to any superior beings; that Typhons and Giants did not preside over the world, but the general father of Gods and men; that it was absurd to imagine any Divinities or powers delighted in slaughter or sacrifices of men; or, if there were any such, they were to be neglected, as weak and unable to assist; such unreasonable and cruel desires could only proceed from, and live in, weak and depraved minds.’ The situation is saved by the good sense of the augur Theocritus, the same who plays a quaint and gallant part in the enterprise described in The Genius of Socrates; and a chestnut colt takes the place of the daughter. And there is no doubt on which side of the argument Plutarch’s sympathies lie. An admirable running commentary on Plutarch’s treatise is supplied by the Discourse on Superstition of John Smith, the Cambridge Platonist (1618-52), here printed as an Appendix to it. Like Bacon, John Smith has written also a Discourse on Atheism, from which it may be sufficient for the present purpose to quote the words of the Son of Sirach appended as his conclusion: ‘O Lord, Father and God of my life, give me not a proud look, but turn away from thy servants a Giant-like minde’ (Ecclus. 23, 4). See, for this whole treatise, Dr. Oakesmith’s Chapter IX, pp. 179 foll.
  • 61. 164 E F 165 B ON SUPERSTITION The stream of ignorance and of misconception about the Gods passed, from the very first, into two channels; one branch flowed, as it were, over stony places, and has produced atheism in hard characters, the other over moist ground, and this has produced superstition in the tender ones. Now any error of judgement, especially on such matters, is a vicious thing, but if passion be added it is more vicious. For all passion is ‘deceit accompanied by inflammation’; and as dislocations are more serious when there is also a wound, so are distortions of the soul when there is passion. A man thinks that atoms and a void are the first principles of the universe; the conception is a false one, but does not produce ulceration or spasm, or tormenting pain. Another conceives of wealth as the greatest good; this falsity has poison in it, preys on his soul, deranges it, allows him no sleep, fills him with stinging torments, thrusts him down steep places, strangles him, takes away all confidence of speech. Again, some think that virtue is a corporeal thing, and vice also; this is a gross piece of ignorance perhaps, but not worthy of lament or groans. But where there are such judgements and conceptions as these: Alas, poor Virtue! so thou art but words, And as a thing I was pursuing thee[263] — dropping, he means, the injustice which makes money, and the intemperance which is parent of all pleasure—, these it is worth our while to pity and to resent also, because their presence in
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