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© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential
Chicago New York London Dubai New Delhi Bangalore SingaporeSan Francisco
www.absolutdata.com
April 30, 2014
XXIII ANNUAL MARKET RESEARCH SEMINAR
Re-engineering Classification Methodologies for
an Enriching Customer Experience
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 2
Quiz! Who am I?
 Am I a Bipede? (Yes/No)
 Do I possess opposable thumbs? (Yes/No)
 Am I a Herbivore? (Always/Sometimes/Never)
 Can I climb trees? (Yes/No)
 Can I fly? (Yes/No)
Yes
Sometimes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Are you a …CHIMP HUMAN ??
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 3
 Am I a Bipede? (Yes/No)
 Do I possess opposable thumbs? (Yes/No)
 Am I a Herbivore? (Always/Sometimes/Never)
 Can I climb trees? (Yes/No)
 Can I fly? (Yes/No)
Quiz! Who am I?
Irrelevant /
Ambiguous Questions
Incorrect
Classification
Incorrect
Scale
CHIMP HUMAN
Yes
Sometimes
Yes
Yes
Yes
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 4
A US based social
networking site, which
provides unique web-
based product offerings
to its customers; based
on their behavior and
how they perceive
themselves.
Our Client
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 5
A look into Client’s existing classification approach
Online survey (quiz)
on website sign up
Identify customer
segments
User persona distribution
in identified segments
Online Quiz
Administer 8 questions with statements for each of the 12 pre-defined
segments. Response captured in ‘select all’ that apply format
 Tedious questionnaire
 Captures dichotomous response
Classification
Approach
User
Segments
Classification based on highest tally of responses for each segment
 Unbreakable ties in classification
 Unable to sharply capture every facet of user’s personality
 Not a proprietary classification approach
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 6
Revise the data collection
instrument
Improve classification
methodology
Administer a quiz with a shorter set of questions
Probable rescaling of quiz questions
Classify the respondents accurately into their
primary, secondary and tertiary segments
Identify the best typing tool based on statistical
evidence as well as strategic input
The study objectives were, therefore, two-fold:-
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 7
Administer survey
Analyze Data and Redesign quiz
to be hosted on website
Develop classification algorithm
to accurately identify user
segments
 A sample of 2000 collected, split equally between males
and females
 Data captured on both ranking and select all scale
 Introduced attitudinal and behavioral questions to
capture enriched data
 Algorithm to derive segments from new set of questions
 Identify respondent segments based on existing
approach to be taken as benchmark
 Identify new set of questions for accurate classification
and shorten the length of quiz
Our approach to address these objectives:-
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 8
Shortening the quiz
Revisit the quiz originally used and
redesign it to a shorter version
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 9
 Deriving 4 most predictive questions from the original quiz
 A shorter quiz (with only 72 statements from original 144 statements)
Arriving at a subset of original
eight questions
Using descriptive statistics (cross-tabulations)
Incorporating client inputs to identify priority as
per business sense
Identifying relevant questions to be retained
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 10
Low accuracy of segments
identification from subset of 4
identified questions…
 Build a robust classification approach
based on statistical evidence
 Provide a Proprietary Approach to the
Client
Deterministic to Probabilistic Classification
Approach
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 11
 Improved classification using 6 questions capturing every facet of user’s
personality
 Reduced chances of ties as in Deterministic approach
 A proprietary method with set of coefficients defining user segments
Build algorithm using
predictive approach for
segment identification
Multinomial Logistic Regression (MNL)
 Multiple iterations using different set of variables to
maximize prediction accuracy
Introducing new attitudinal and behavioral
questions
 Factoring the new questions to find the most
representative statements
Probabilistic classification approach
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 12
 Improve prediction accuracy achieved in
probabilistic approach
Need to further improve prediction
accuracy to match with original
segment classification…
Rescaling Quiz Responses and
Questions
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 13
Richer insights from the same data
 Distribution of percentages as per
classification
Improved prediction accuracy
Rescaling
Change “Select any 3” response in original quiz
to “Rank top 3” response
Change data captured on “5 point agreement
scale” to “Select all that apply” response
Questions Responses
Improved prediction accuracy
User friendly experience
 Answering the quiz is much easier
Rescaling
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 14
 Build a robust and accurate user
classification in line with business
objectives
Probabilistic model predicted segments not ALL
aligned with user responses…
Apply Business Rules
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 15
Business Rules
 Probabilistic model solutions triangulated with Deterministic approach
 Remove any sample bias in estimating probability coefficients
 Overall improved prediction accuracy
Build a mixed approach for
segment identification using
MNL coefficients and segment
tally scores
Calculate tally scores for respondent MNL
identified segments
If a predicted segment has low tally score
(below cutoff) it is replaced with next higher
tally score segment
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 16
Shorter version of quiz
Original quiz with 8 questions revised
to 6 questions
Proprietary classification tool
Coefficients for each user code
Classification distribution
amongst top 3 segments
top 3 segments with their weightings
identified
Final Deliverables (1/3)
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 17
Shorter version of quiz
Original quiz with 8 questions revised to
6 questions
Proprietary classification tool
Coefficients for each user code
Classification distribution
amongst top 3 segments
top 3 segments with their weightings
identified
Final Deliverables (2/3)
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 18
Shorter version of quiz
Original quiz with 8 questions revised to
6 questions
Proprietary classification tool
Coefficients for each user code
Classification distribution
amongst top 3 segments
top 3 segments with their weightings
identified
Final Deliverables (3/3)
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 19
85-95%
78-85%
70-78%
55-70%
Sub-set of original Quiz
Probabilistic Approach
Rescaling
Business Rules
Selecting four of the most predictive out of eight
questions
Added an attitudinal and behavioral question, and
moving from a tally approach to an MNL solution
Changing the scales to a ranking scale and a select
all scale for attitudinal & behavioral questions
Combining business sense with statistical
evidence
Prediction Accuracy
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 20
Implications on Indian MR Industry
Importance of asking relevant questions
(in tandem with business objective to avoid diluting the
business implications)
Developing the right questions
(to accurately convert business objectives into research
hypothesis)
Agency
Client
© Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 21
Implications for Customers
WIN
WIN
Enhanced experience for the customer
 The response time for the user is
considerably reduced with fewer
number of questions
 An appropriate scale allows the user to
respond effectively
Name
Designation
Phone:
Email:
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(MRSI- 2/3) Re-engineering Segmentation methodologies for an Enriching Customer Experience

  • 1. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential Chicago New York London Dubai New Delhi Bangalore SingaporeSan Francisco www.absolutdata.com April 30, 2014 XXIII ANNUAL MARKET RESEARCH SEMINAR Re-engineering Classification Methodologies for an Enriching Customer Experience
  • 2. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 2 Quiz! Who am I?  Am I a Bipede? (Yes/No)  Do I possess opposable thumbs? (Yes/No)  Am I a Herbivore? (Always/Sometimes/Never)  Can I climb trees? (Yes/No)  Can I fly? (Yes/No) Yes Sometimes Yes Yes Yes Are you a …CHIMP HUMAN ??
  • 3. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 3  Am I a Bipede? (Yes/No)  Do I possess opposable thumbs? (Yes/No)  Am I a Herbivore? (Always/Sometimes/Never)  Can I climb trees? (Yes/No)  Can I fly? (Yes/No) Quiz! Who am I? Irrelevant / Ambiguous Questions Incorrect Classification Incorrect Scale CHIMP HUMAN Yes Sometimes Yes Yes Yes
  • 4. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 4 A US based social networking site, which provides unique web- based product offerings to its customers; based on their behavior and how they perceive themselves. Our Client
  • 5. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 5 A look into Client’s existing classification approach Online survey (quiz) on website sign up Identify customer segments User persona distribution in identified segments Online Quiz Administer 8 questions with statements for each of the 12 pre-defined segments. Response captured in ‘select all’ that apply format  Tedious questionnaire  Captures dichotomous response Classification Approach User Segments Classification based on highest tally of responses for each segment  Unbreakable ties in classification  Unable to sharply capture every facet of user’s personality  Not a proprietary classification approach
  • 6. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 6 Revise the data collection instrument Improve classification methodology Administer a quiz with a shorter set of questions Probable rescaling of quiz questions Classify the respondents accurately into their primary, secondary and tertiary segments Identify the best typing tool based on statistical evidence as well as strategic input The study objectives were, therefore, two-fold:-
  • 7. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 7 Administer survey Analyze Data and Redesign quiz to be hosted on website Develop classification algorithm to accurately identify user segments  A sample of 2000 collected, split equally between males and females  Data captured on both ranking and select all scale  Introduced attitudinal and behavioral questions to capture enriched data  Algorithm to derive segments from new set of questions  Identify respondent segments based on existing approach to be taken as benchmark  Identify new set of questions for accurate classification and shorten the length of quiz Our approach to address these objectives:-
  • 8. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 8 Shortening the quiz Revisit the quiz originally used and redesign it to a shorter version
  • 9. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 9  Deriving 4 most predictive questions from the original quiz  A shorter quiz (with only 72 statements from original 144 statements) Arriving at a subset of original eight questions Using descriptive statistics (cross-tabulations) Incorporating client inputs to identify priority as per business sense Identifying relevant questions to be retained
  • 10. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 10 Low accuracy of segments identification from subset of 4 identified questions…  Build a robust classification approach based on statistical evidence  Provide a Proprietary Approach to the Client Deterministic to Probabilistic Classification Approach
  • 11. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 11  Improved classification using 6 questions capturing every facet of user’s personality  Reduced chances of ties as in Deterministic approach  A proprietary method with set of coefficients defining user segments Build algorithm using predictive approach for segment identification Multinomial Logistic Regression (MNL)  Multiple iterations using different set of variables to maximize prediction accuracy Introducing new attitudinal and behavioral questions  Factoring the new questions to find the most representative statements Probabilistic classification approach
  • 12. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 12  Improve prediction accuracy achieved in probabilistic approach Need to further improve prediction accuracy to match with original segment classification… Rescaling Quiz Responses and Questions
  • 13. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 13 Richer insights from the same data  Distribution of percentages as per classification Improved prediction accuracy Rescaling Change “Select any 3” response in original quiz to “Rank top 3” response Change data captured on “5 point agreement scale” to “Select all that apply” response Questions Responses Improved prediction accuracy User friendly experience  Answering the quiz is much easier Rescaling
  • 14. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 14  Build a robust and accurate user classification in line with business objectives Probabilistic model predicted segments not ALL aligned with user responses… Apply Business Rules
  • 15. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 15 Business Rules  Probabilistic model solutions triangulated with Deterministic approach  Remove any sample bias in estimating probability coefficients  Overall improved prediction accuracy Build a mixed approach for segment identification using MNL coefficients and segment tally scores Calculate tally scores for respondent MNL identified segments If a predicted segment has low tally score (below cutoff) it is replaced with next higher tally score segment
  • 16. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 16 Shorter version of quiz Original quiz with 8 questions revised to 6 questions Proprietary classification tool Coefficients for each user code Classification distribution amongst top 3 segments top 3 segments with their weightings identified Final Deliverables (1/3)
  • 17. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 17 Shorter version of quiz Original quiz with 8 questions revised to 6 questions Proprietary classification tool Coefficients for each user code Classification distribution amongst top 3 segments top 3 segments with their weightings identified Final Deliverables (2/3)
  • 18. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 18 Shorter version of quiz Original quiz with 8 questions revised to 6 questions Proprietary classification tool Coefficients for each user code Classification distribution amongst top 3 segments top 3 segments with their weightings identified Final Deliverables (3/3)
  • 19. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 19 85-95% 78-85% 70-78% 55-70% Sub-set of original Quiz Probabilistic Approach Rescaling Business Rules Selecting four of the most predictive out of eight questions Added an attitudinal and behavioral question, and moving from a tally approach to an MNL solution Changing the scales to a ranking scale and a select all scale for attitudinal & behavioral questions Combining business sense with statistical evidence Prediction Accuracy
  • 20. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 20 Implications on Indian MR Industry Importance of asking relevant questions (in tandem with business objective to avoid diluting the business implications) Developing the right questions (to accurately convert business objectives into research hypothesis) Agency Client
  • 21. © Absolutdata 2014 Proprietary and Confidential 21 Implications for Customers WIN WIN Enhanced experience for the customer  The response time for the user is considerably reduced with fewer number of questions  An appropriate scale allows the user to respond effectively

Editor's Notes

  • #3: Fishes have Fins and Sea Turtles have Flippers
  • #4: Fishes have Fins and Sea Turtles have Flippers