Can Fracking Solve SA’s Electricity Crisis?
And at what cost?
By David Lipschitz
My Power Station Technology
26th August 2014
Phone: 021 551 9935; 074 119 3246
Email: david@mypowerstation.biz; Skype: MyPowerStation
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 1
South African Govt Announces
“Intention to Frack. Launches EIA”
March 2011
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 2
Agenda
1. A Biblical View: setting the scene
1. Re-eh: to see
2. What do we see?
3. What does the SA government see?
4. What is fracking: the fracker’s view
5. What does fracking do: the land owner’s
view (note land owner used in the widest
sense; we are all landowners)
6. What do we need in a modern economy
7. Discussion (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 3
The Old Testament: Re’eh
• “See, I set before you this day a blessing and a
curse”
• This happens in Deuteronomy Chapter 11 vs
26 just after the Shmah (the Jewish Mantra)
‫ראה‬
‫אנכי‬
‫לפניכם‬
‫היום‬
‫ברכה‬
‫וקללה‬
• Anochi: a higher self; our conscience
– Ani: I
• KaL: easy, light, simple
• KLaLa: An extra L becomes heavy, a curse
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 4
The Old Testament: Part 2
• Genesis Ch 1 vs 28 & Ch 9 vs 1
– “And He blessed them, be fruitful and multiply
and replenish the earth”
– Replenish
• Fill up – with people?
• Leave as you found it, or make it better than you found
it?
• Satiate?
– Jeremiah 31 vs 25: G-d replenishes the soul
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 5
The Old Testament: Protect the
Environment
• Bal Tashchit
– Deuteronomy Ch 20: 19-20
– Don’t waste / destroy
– When you lay siege and battle against a city for a
long time in order to capture it, you must not
destroy its trees, wielding an ax against them. You
may eat of them, but you must not cut them
down.
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 6
Re-eh: To See: The Video
• First video: Choose Life: Its our sacred duty
• Our Parashah: Re’eh
• Everything we do effects everything
everywhere
• Watch 3 mins 25 seconds
• http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Sacred_Duty
• http://youtu.be/Y9RxmTGHZgE
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 7
What do we see?
• Electricity Crisis in South Africa
• We need electricity now
• Fracking: 12 years to get going
– No pipeline infrastructure in South Africa
– Can SA finish large scale electricity projects?
• Coal: 5 years? R158 billion?
– Actual 7 years +
– Actual: R260 billion +
• RE cost reductions 75% decrease in 6 years
• No learning in Coal, Nuclear, Gas
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 8
RE = Renewable
Energy
What does the government see?
They have the IRP
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 9
IRP: Rooftop PV Scenario
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 10
54608 PV
27830 Gas
IRP: Big Gas Scenario
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 11
15900 PV
68200 Gas
IRP: CO2 Emission Trajectories
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 12
IRP: c/kWh (Eskom Pricing)
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 13
IRP: Big Gas: Still Shortages!!!
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 14
Fracking
• The Marketing
• Exxon-Mobil Fracking Marketing Video
• “It’s all good! It’s a time tested technology,
used in 1 million wells, so it must be ok!”
• “We need it!”
• “It’s safe! It doesn’t harm the environment!”
• “We follow the rules!”
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 15
Fracking is safe? NIMBY
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 16
NIMBY: Not In My Back Yard
Fracking
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 17
Fracking
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 18
Fracking
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 19
http://landscapearchitecturemag.files.wordpress.com/2013/06/f1-fracking1.jpg
Fracking
• Presentation 3: Fracking is ok. There are no
reports of ground water contamination!
• From DailyResourceHunter.com web site
(video version of presentation)
• Also at Slide Share
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 20
Fracking Reality
• Presentation 4: The good and the bad, our
first balanced presentation
• By Ted Badami on Slideshare
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 21
The Fracked Landscape
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 22
http://kininline.blogspot.com/2011/04/fracking-frightening.html
The Karoo Today(Karoo National Park)
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 23
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karoo#mediaviewer/File:Karoo_national_park.jpg
Fracking Gone Wrong
Fracking waste: Missouri River, North Dakota
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 24
Fracking Reality : Animation
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 25
Fracking Chemicals
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 26
From: www.FracFocus.Org
Fracking Drinks?
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 27
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 28
http://www.treasurethekaroo.co.za/fracking-facts
Frack Pad
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 29
http://www.lowersusquehannariverkeeper.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/drill-site.jpg
Frack Pad
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 30
http://www.marcellus-shale.us/fracking.htm
Frack Traffic
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 31
http://protectingourwaters.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/towanda-truck-traffic.jpg
Fracking Waste Water
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 32
http://protectingourwaters.files.wordpress.com/2011/03/frack-waste-pit-susquehanna-county-from-a-front-window.jpg
Frack Gas Waste - Flaring
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 33
http://www.popularresistance.org/fracking-flares-in-north-dakota-bakken-shale-equal-1-million-cars/
Fracking Flaring at night
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 34
http://www.popularresistance.org/fracking-flares-in-north-dakota-bakken-shale-equal-1-million-cars/
Fracking Jobs
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 35
http://grist.org/news/ohio-fracking-boom-has-not-brought-jobs/
“The Ohio Department of Job and Family Services says that
employment in fracking related work was up last year. But total
jobs aren’t up. Why? Fracking is killing jobs in tourism and farming.”
Fracking Views
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 36
http://ecowatch.com/2012/06/04/fracking-coming-to-a-city-or-suburb-near-you/
Find a well
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 37
Where in the Karoo?
“Actually the Karoo Basin”
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 38
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karoo
Applications for Shale Gas
Exploration
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 39
http://www.treasurethekaroo.co.za/fracking-facts
The Karoo
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 40
http://karoospace.co.za/shop/the-illustrated-karoo-map/
South Africa Videos
• 05 Fracking, Jonathan Deal & The Fracking
Song : get involved (1 min 15 seconds; and
then 9 mins onwards (30 seconds))
• 06 Graaff-Reinett Our Story (3 mins)
• 07 South Africa from above (30 seconds)
– South Africa promoted as a pristine environment
and tourism destination
• 08 Unearthed Official Trailer (3 mins)
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 41
Fracking: “The 60 year lie”
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 42
Fracking Bans
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 43
“Breaking the Code of History”
• For fast growth, an economy needs:
• By David Murrin in “Breaking the Code of History” book
– Labour & Capital (Population Growth)
– Resources
– Electricity
– South Africa has the first two, but the 3rd is
decreasing
(c) My Power Station Technology 2013 44
South Africa
• Should be the richest country in the world!!
• Exporting
– Coal, Anthracite
– Minerals
• Gold, Uranium, Silver, Pyrite, Osmiridium, Manganese, Iron Ore, Ferrochromium,
Platinum, Vanadium, Iron, Titanium, Copper, Nickel, Fluorspar, Phosphate,
Diamonds, Zircon, Lead, Zinc, Alumino-Silicates, Antimony, Nickel, Vermiculite
– Jobs
• Importing
– Finished Goods
– Inflation
– Poor exchange rate
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 45
The future
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 46
The future
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 47
The future
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 48
The Future
• 09 The Five Winners
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 49
Re’eh
• ‫ראה‬
‫אנכי‬
‫לפניכם‬
‫היום‬
‫ברכה‬
‫וקללה‬
• “See I set before you blessing and curse”
• Please say this allowed now!
• Each of us has an opportunity to create
blessing and curse
• What will we choose?
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 50
The future
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 51
Buying and Producing Electricity
Graph in Rand per kwh ex VAT
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 52
David Lipschitz
• BSc (Honours) MBA M.Inst.D
• My Power Station Technology: Energy Expert, Software Developer
• Grid-Tied Photovoltaics Course: Feb 2009, Phoenix, AZ, USA
• NABCEP Level 1 Certification
– North American Board of Certified Energy Practitioners
• Additional related technical training
• Spoke at / Chaired Various Energy Conferences and Panel Discussions
• Presented in Parliament re. Climate Change Hearings
• Presented to Parliament re. IRP2010 Hearings
• Presented at Powering Africa Strategy Summit in November 2011 & 2013
• Contact Details:
– 021 813 9895 (Office)
– 074 119 3246 (Cell/Mobile/iPhone)
– david@mypowerstation.biz
– Mypowerstation (Skype)
– http://www.linkedin.com/in/davidlipschitz (LinkedIn)
(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 53

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Re-eh and fracking

  • 1. Can Fracking Solve SA’s Electricity Crisis? And at what cost? By David Lipschitz My Power Station Technology 26th August 2014 Phone: 021 551 9935; 074 119 3246 Email: david@mypowerstation.biz; Skype: MyPowerStation (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 1
  • 2. South African Govt Announces “Intention to Frack. Launches EIA” March 2011 (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 2
  • 3. Agenda 1. A Biblical View: setting the scene 1. Re-eh: to see 2. What do we see? 3. What does the SA government see? 4. What is fracking: the fracker’s view 5. What does fracking do: the land owner’s view (note land owner used in the widest sense; we are all landowners) 6. What do we need in a modern economy 7. Discussion (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 3
  • 4. The Old Testament: Re’eh • “See, I set before you this day a blessing and a curse” • This happens in Deuteronomy Chapter 11 vs 26 just after the Shmah (the Jewish Mantra) ‫ראה‬ ‫אנכי‬ ‫לפניכם‬ ‫היום‬ ‫ברכה‬ ‫וקללה‬ • Anochi: a higher self; our conscience – Ani: I • KaL: easy, light, simple • KLaLa: An extra L becomes heavy, a curse (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 4
  • 5. The Old Testament: Part 2 • Genesis Ch 1 vs 28 & Ch 9 vs 1 – “And He blessed them, be fruitful and multiply and replenish the earth” – Replenish • Fill up – with people? • Leave as you found it, or make it better than you found it? • Satiate? – Jeremiah 31 vs 25: G-d replenishes the soul (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 5
  • 6. The Old Testament: Protect the Environment • Bal Tashchit – Deuteronomy Ch 20: 19-20 – Don’t waste / destroy – When you lay siege and battle against a city for a long time in order to capture it, you must not destroy its trees, wielding an ax against them. You may eat of them, but you must not cut them down. (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 6
  • 7. Re-eh: To See: The Video • First video: Choose Life: Its our sacred duty • Our Parashah: Re’eh • Everything we do effects everything everywhere • Watch 3 mins 25 seconds • http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Sacred_Duty • http://youtu.be/Y9RxmTGHZgE (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 7
  • 8. What do we see? • Electricity Crisis in South Africa • We need electricity now • Fracking: 12 years to get going – No pipeline infrastructure in South Africa – Can SA finish large scale electricity projects? • Coal: 5 years? R158 billion? – Actual 7 years + – Actual: R260 billion + • RE cost reductions 75% decrease in 6 years • No learning in Coal, Nuclear, Gas (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 8 RE = Renewable Energy
  • 9. What does the government see? They have the IRP (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 9
  • 10. IRP: Rooftop PV Scenario (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 10 54608 PV 27830 Gas
  • 11. IRP: Big Gas Scenario (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 11 15900 PV 68200 Gas
  • 12. IRP: CO2 Emission Trajectories (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 12
  • 13. IRP: c/kWh (Eskom Pricing) (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 13
  • 14. IRP: Big Gas: Still Shortages!!! (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 14
  • 15. Fracking • The Marketing • Exxon-Mobil Fracking Marketing Video • “It’s all good! It’s a time tested technology, used in 1 million wells, so it must be ok!” • “We need it!” • “It’s safe! It doesn’t harm the environment!” • “We follow the rules!” (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 15
  • 16. Fracking is safe? NIMBY (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 16 NIMBY: Not In My Back Yard
  • 17. Fracking (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 17
  • 18. Fracking (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 18
  • 19. Fracking (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 19 http://landscapearchitecturemag.files.wordpress.com/2013/06/f1-fracking1.jpg
  • 20. Fracking • Presentation 3: Fracking is ok. There are no reports of ground water contamination! • From DailyResourceHunter.com web site (video version of presentation) • Also at Slide Share (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 20
  • 21. Fracking Reality • Presentation 4: The good and the bad, our first balanced presentation • By Ted Badami on Slideshare (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 21
  • 22. The Fracked Landscape (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 22 http://kininline.blogspot.com/2011/04/fracking-frightening.html
  • 23. The Karoo Today(Karoo National Park) (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 23 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karoo#mediaviewer/File:Karoo_national_park.jpg
  • 24. Fracking Gone Wrong Fracking waste: Missouri River, North Dakota (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 24
  • 25. Fracking Reality : Animation (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 25
  • 26. Fracking Chemicals (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 26 From: www.FracFocus.Org
  • 27. Fracking Drinks? (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 27
  • 28. (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 28 http://www.treasurethekaroo.co.za/fracking-facts
  • 29. Frack Pad (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 29 http://www.lowersusquehannariverkeeper.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/drill-site.jpg
  • 30. Frack Pad (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 30 http://www.marcellus-shale.us/fracking.htm
  • 31. Frack Traffic (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 31 http://protectingourwaters.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/towanda-truck-traffic.jpg
  • 32. Fracking Waste Water (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 32 http://protectingourwaters.files.wordpress.com/2011/03/frack-waste-pit-susquehanna-county-from-a-front-window.jpg
  • 33. Frack Gas Waste - Flaring (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 33 http://www.popularresistance.org/fracking-flares-in-north-dakota-bakken-shale-equal-1-million-cars/
  • 34. Fracking Flaring at night (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 34 http://www.popularresistance.org/fracking-flares-in-north-dakota-bakken-shale-equal-1-million-cars/
  • 35. Fracking Jobs (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 35 http://grist.org/news/ohio-fracking-boom-has-not-brought-jobs/ “The Ohio Department of Job and Family Services says that employment in fracking related work was up last year. But total jobs aren’t up. Why? Fracking is killing jobs in tourism and farming.”
  • 36. Fracking Views (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 36 http://ecowatch.com/2012/06/04/fracking-coming-to-a-city-or-suburb-near-you/
  • 37. Find a well (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 37
  • 38. Where in the Karoo? “Actually the Karoo Basin” (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 38 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karoo
  • 39. Applications for Shale Gas Exploration (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 39 http://www.treasurethekaroo.co.za/fracking-facts
  • 40. The Karoo (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 40 http://karoospace.co.za/shop/the-illustrated-karoo-map/
  • 41. South Africa Videos • 05 Fracking, Jonathan Deal & The Fracking Song : get involved (1 min 15 seconds; and then 9 mins onwards (30 seconds)) • 06 Graaff-Reinett Our Story (3 mins) • 07 South Africa from above (30 seconds) – South Africa promoted as a pristine environment and tourism destination • 08 Unearthed Official Trailer (3 mins) (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 41
  • 42. Fracking: “The 60 year lie” (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 42
  • 43. Fracking Bans (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 43
  • 44. “Breaking the Code of History” • For fast growth, an economy needs: • By David Murrin in “Breaking the Code of History” book – Labour & Capital (Population Growth) – Resources – Electricity – South Africa has the first two, but the 3rd is decreasing (c) My Power Station Technology 2013 44
  • 45. South Africa • Should be the richest country in the world!! • Exporting – Coal, Anthracite – Minerals • Gold, Uranium, Silver, Pyrite, Osmiridium, Manganese, Iron Ore, Ferrochromium, Platinum, Vanadium, Iron, Titanium, Copper, Nickel, Fluorspar, Phosphate, Diamonds, Zircon, Lead, Zinc, Alumino-Silicates, Antimony, Nickel, Vermiculite – Jobs • Importing – Finished Goods – Inflation – Poor exchange rate (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 45
  • 46. The future (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 46
  • 47. The future (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 47
  • 48. The future (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 48
  • 49. The Future • 09 The Five Winners (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 49
  • 50. Re’eh • ‫ראה‬ ‫אנכי‬ ‫לפניכם‬ ‫היום‬ ‫ברכה‬ ‫וקללה‬ • “See I set before you blessing and curse” • Please say this allowed now! • Each of us has an opportunity to create blessing and curse • What will we choose? (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 50
  • 51. The future (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 51
  • 52. Buying and Producing Electricity Graph in Rand per kwh ex VAT (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 52
  • 53. David Lipschitz • BSc (Honours) MBA M.Inst.D • My Power Station Technology: Energy Expert, Software Developer • Grid-Tied Photovoltaics Course: Feb 2009, Phoenix, AZ, USA • NABCEP Level 1 Certification – North American Board of Certified Energy Practitioners • Additional related technical training • Spoke at / Chaired Various Energy Conferences and Panel Discussions • Presented in Parliament re. Climate Change Hearings • Presented to Parliament re. IRP2010 Hearings • Presented at Powering Africa Strategy Summit in November 2011 & 2013 • Contact Details: – 021 813 9895 (Office) – 074 119 3246 (Cell/Mobile/iPhone) – david@mypowerstation.biz – Mypowerstation (Skype) – http://www.linkedin.com/in/davidlipschitz (LinkedIn) (c) My Power Station Technology 2014 53