Learning from entrepreneurial experts
     for incubation: Effectuation

            Dutch Incubator Symposium
                     Maastricht
                     22.02.2013


                        Dr. René Mauer
            RWTH Aachen LS WIN: mauer@win.rwth-aachen.de
        Effectuation Intelligence: mauer@effectuation-intelligence.de


                    ©                                                   1
Who’s talking?
         René Mauer

         • PhD at RWTH Aachen on effectuation and unplanned behavior
           in general

         • 2006-2008 project manager of the RWTH Aachen center for
           entrepreneurship

         • Co-owner of family business, founder of tech start-up

         • Active researcher in the field of effectuation (Aachen is leading
           research hub on effectuation in German-speaking countries)

         • Partner of the international expert network Effectuation
           Intelligence that puts the entrepreneurial method to practice




                 --- 2 ---   ©
What makes entrepreneurs successful?


                           Visions?
                           Talent and gifts?
                           Circumstances?
                           Luck?




                  ©                            3
(c) M.Faschingbauer 2010   ©   4
Management




Goal orientation

              ©
Management




Expected return

             ©
Management




Risk management

            ©
Management




 Positioning

               ©
Effectuation – What‘s that?


                                       Effectuation
                                        State-of-the-art entrepreneurship
                                        research
                                        Elements of expertise by experienced
                                        entrepreneurs
                                        Method for coping with uncertainty
                                        Observable, teachable, learnable
 Saras D. Sarasvathy, Darden School     Based on four principles that are tied into
 of Business, University of Virginia
                                        a process
                                        Flips the assumptions of classic
                                        management upside down


                                 ©                                           9
Management         Effectuation




Goal orientation   Means orientation

              ©
Management        Effectuation




Expected return   Affordable loss

             ©
Management         Effectuation




Risk management   Leveraging contingencies

            ©
Management          Effectuation




 Positioning       Self-selecting partners

               ©
Approaching the future entrepreneurially:
Shaping instead of predicting


          Management logic                             Effectuation logic
    What we can predict, we can control.          What we can control, we do not need to predict.




          What should we do?                                What can we do?
 (based on pre-existing and reliable knowledge)           (based on individual means)




                                  ©                                                         14
Classic management




                                       gather
       analyse       decide   plan   resources   act


Idea




                 ©
Entrepreneurial expertise
                  (Effectuation)

                        Means and resources increase


              Alternatives                                     New
                                                              means

  What are     What can          Whom do          Who joins
the means?     I do now?         I talk to?         In?
                                                              New
                                                              goals
 Means
                                 Ideas become more precise




                        ©
Typical reactions at this point


   I finally know how to explain my
   chaotic style!                       Interesting that it took so long for
                                        researchers to find out what I have
                                        known as an entrepreneur/incubation
                                        manager for a long time.

   Great! Finally a method that not
   only asks me to write business
   plans.                                Oh no, I think I stick with the method
                                         that lets me write business plans.




                         What is effectuation good for?


                           ©                                                   17
When does effectuation add value?



                          Existing      New
                          products    products

           Existing
           market



             New                       „Suicide
            market                    quadrant“



                             Ansoff matrix


                      ©                           18
Life cycle of innovative projects
(e.g. new companies, markets, products,    )




                            knowledge



                           Uncertainty

                                                  t
                             Classic management

           Effectuation




                     ©                                19
What makes entrepreneurs successful?


                       Visions?
                       Talent and gifts?
                       Circumstances?
                       Luck?
                       A good mix of EFFECTUATION and
                       management?




                  ©                                     20
Some local research: Early-stage technology ventures
(Aachen, 2011)
                  -80%             -60%             -40%            -20%              0%               20%              40%                60%            80%
                                                                                       3%
                   -4%
                    4%             -31%
                                     31%                 -22%
                                                         22%                 -23%
                                                                             23%      3%         14%      1%                                     Pan

                                                                                         3%
                            -7%
                            7%            -24%
                                            24%            -17%
                                                             17%             -23%
                                                                               23%     6%           17%       3%                             Calypso
                                                                                       2% 2%
                                  -8%
                                  8%         -20%
                                             20%             -18%
                                                             18%             -19%
                                                                             19%                       30%              1%                   Methone
Gestation
   Reifungs-                                                                                 3%
geschwindigkeit
  speed                                     4%
                                           -4%      19%
                                                    -19%         12%
                                                                -12%          -19%
                                                                                19%    8%                 27%                8%                  Greip
                                                                                                 4%
                                  -8%
                                   8%        -19%
                                             19%             -22%
                                                            22%               -16%
                                                                              16%          11%            17%        1%                          Atlas


                                                 -3%
                                                  3%     -22%
                                                          22%          -8%
                                                                        8%     15%
                                                                               -15%    6% 6%                   36%                5%             Mimas
                                                                                          1%
                                                       -6% -13%
                                                        6% 13%        -8%
                                                                       8%      -15%
                                                                                15%    10%                     39%                  9%           Narvi

                                        -7%
                                        7%        -14%
                                                   14%      -13%
                                                             13%              -23%
                                                                             23%           12%    6%           22%        3%                     Bestla

                    Effectuation                                                                                                                  Causation


                         Investition      Interaktion      Reaktion          Aktion        Aktion            Reaktion        Interaktion    Investition


                                                           ©
Some local research: Early-stage technology ventures
(Euregio, 2012)
     Causation   Effectuation


                                Big Picture: Expectations met!




     Causation   Effectuation


                                Looking closely: Back and forth!




                         ©
Conclusion

   - Effectuation is the entrepreneurial method, specified
     in 4 principles

   - Depending on the degree of uncertainty it can be the
     toolbox of choice

   - Ventures following the principles show quicker
     gestation than others

   - Incubators might want to consider spending energy on
     teaching the effectual mindset and process



                      ©
(c) M.Faschingbauer 2010   ©   24
Thank you very much!                   Literature:

Internet:                              Faschingbauer, M. (2010):
                                       Effectuation
                                       Wie erfahrene Unternehmer
German language platform:              denken, entscheiden und
„EFFECTUATION Forschung & Praxis“      handeln. Schäffer-Poeschel
 www.effectuation.de|.at|.ch           (Fachbuch Praxis)

Dutch language platform:
www.effectuation.nl                    Blekman, T. (2011):
                                       Corporate Effectuation – Vanaf
International expert network:          nu is ondernemer-schap echt te
„Effectuation Intelligence“            leren!
www.effectuation-intelligence.biz
www.effectuation-intellingence.nl
                                       Sarasvathy, S.D. (2008):
                                       Effectuation
Global platform:                       Elements of Entrepreneurial
„Society for Effectual Action (SEA)“   Expertise. Edward-Elgar
www.effectuation.org                   (Science)



                                ©                                    25

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Rene Mauer op DIA-symposium 22-2-2013

  • 1. Learning from entrepreneurial experts for incubation: Effectuation Dutch Incubator Symposium Maastricht 22.02.2013 Dr. René Mauer RWTH Aachen LS WIN: mauer@win.rwth-aachen.de Effectuation Intelligence: mauer@effectuation-intelligence.de © 1
  • 2. Who’s talking? René Mauer • PhD at RWTH Aachen on effectuation and unplanned behavior in general • 2006-2008 project manager of the RWTH Aachen center for entrepreneurship • Co-owner of family business, founder of tech start-up • Active researcher in the field of effectuation (Aachen is leading research hub on effectuation in German-speaking countries) • Partner of the international expert network Effectuation Intelligence that puts the entrepreneurial method to practice --- 2 --- ©
  • 3. What makes entrepreneurs successful? Visions? Talent and gifts? Circumstances? Luck? © 3
  • 9. Effectuation – What‘s that? Effectuation State-of-the-art entrepreneurship research Elements of expertise by experienced entrepreneurs Method for coping with uncertainty Observable, teachable, learnable Saras D. Sarasvathy, Darden School Based on four principles that are tied into of Business, University of Virginia a process Flips the assumptions of classic management upside down © 9
  • 10. Management Effectuation Goal orientation Means orientation ©
  • 11. Management Effectuation Expected return Affordable loss ©
  • 12. Management Effectuation Risk management Leveraging contingencies ©
  • 13. Management Effectuation Positioning Self-selecting partners ©
  • 14. Approaching the future entrepreneurially: Shaping instead of predicting Management logic Effectuation logic What we can predict, we can control. What we can control, we do not need to predict. What should we do? What can we do? (based on pre-existing and reliable knowledge) (based on individual means) © 14
  • 15. Classic management gather analyse decide plan resources act Idea ©
  • 16. Entrepreneurial expertise (Effectuation) Means and resources increase Alternatives New means What are What can Whom do Who joins the means? I do now? I talk to? In? New goals Means Ideas become more precise ©
  • 17. Typical reactions at this point I finally know how to explain my chaotic style! Interesting that it took so long for researchers to find out what I have known as an entrepreneur/incubation manager for a long time. Great! Finally a method that not only asks me to write business plans. Oh no, I think I stick with the method that lets me write business plans. What is effectuation good for? © 17
  • 18. When does effectuation add value? Existing New products products Existing market New „Suicide market quadrant“ Ansoff matrix © 18
  • 19. Life cycle of innovative projects (e.g. new companies, markets, products, ) knowledge Uncertainty t Classic management Effectuation © 19
  • 20. What makes entrepreneurs successful? Visions? Talent and gifts? Circumstances? Luck? A good mix of EFFECTUATION and management? © 20
  • 21. Some local research: Early-stage technology ventures (Aachen, 2011) -80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 3% -4% 4% -31% 31% -22% 22% -23% 23% 3% 14% 1% Pan 3% -7% 7% -24% 24% -17% 17% -23% 23% 6% 17% 3% Calypso 2% 2% -8% 8% -20% 20% -18% 18% -19% 19% 30% 1% Methone Gestation Reifungs- 3% geschwindigkeit speed 4% -4% 19% -19% 12% -12% -19% 19% 8% 27% 8% Greip 4% -8% 8% -19% 19% -22% 22% -16% 16% 11% 17% 1% Atlas -3% 3% -22% 22% -8% 8% 15% -15% 6% 6% 36% 5% Mimas 1% -6% -13% 6% 13% -8% 8% -15% 15% 10% 39% 9% Narvi -7% 7% -14% 14% -13% 13% -23% 23% 12% 6% 22% 3% Bestla Effectuation Causation Investition Interaktion Reaktion Aktion Aktion Reaktion Interaktion Investition ©
  • 22. Some local research: Early-stage technology ventures (Euregio, 2012) Causation Effectuation Big Picture: Expectations met! Causation Effectuation Looking closely: Back and forth! ©
  • 23. Conclusion - Effectuation is the entrepreneurial method, specified in 4 principles - Depending on the degree of uncertainty it can be the toolbox of choice - Ventures following the principles show quicker gestation than others - Incubators might want to consider spending energy on teaching the effectual mindset and process ©
  • 25. Thank you very much! Literature: Internet: Faschingbauer, M. (2010): Effectuation Wie erfahrene Unternehmer German language platform: denken, entscheiden und „EFFECTUATION Forschung & Praxis“ handeln. Schäffer-Poeschel www.effectuation.de|.at|.ch (Fachbuch Praxis) Dutch language platform: www.effectuation.nl Blekman, T. (2011): Corporate Effectuation – Vanaf International expert network: nu is ondernemer-schap echt te „Effectuation Intelligence“ leren! www.effectuation-intelligence.biz www.effectuation-intellingence.nl Sarasvathy, S.D. (2008): Effectuation Global platform: Elements of Entrepreneurial „Society for Effectual Action (SEA)“ Expertise. Edward-Elgar www.effectuation.org (Science) © 25