Save the planet, or save the NHS?
Professor John Middleton Hon FFPH, FRCP,
President, Association of Schools of Public Health in the European
Region
What is ASPHER ?
The Association of Schools of Public Health in the European
Region (ASPHER) is the key independent European
organisation dedicated to strengthening the role of public
health by improving education and training of public health
professionals for both practice and research.
We have 120 member schools of public health in Europe and
associates globally.
We are developing our partnerships with sister public health
organisations in America, Africa, Asia, Australasia and the
Arab world
Public health is :
The science and art of promoting health, preventing disease and
prolonging life through the organised efforts of society
Acheson 1988, after Winslow 1927, WHO 1948
What is public health?
The public’s health
And
The public system, services and profession
What is public health?
Public health practice is population-based
It emphasises collective responsibility for health, health protection and
disease prevention
It recognises the key role of the state, linked to a concern for the underlying
socio-economic and wider determinants of health, as well as disease
Public health practice also emphasises partnership working with all those
who contribute to the health of the population.
Good Public Health Practice UK Faculty of Public Health 2016
What is public health?
Three domains of public health :
Health protection
Health improvement
Health care related public health
UK Faculty of Public Health, 2016
A medical specialty…
but a multidisciplinary profession, service and system
UK Faculty of public
Health
Careers in public
health
Multidisciplinary public health
• 19th Century: early Ukpublic
health practitioners were
multi-disciplinary: John Snow
(Surgeon/Anaesthetist),
Florence Nightingale (Nurse);
Edwin Chadwick (Lawyer);
Joseph Bazalgette (Engineer);
Mary Seacole (nurse)
Louis Pasteur,
Chemist
“ Medicine is a social
science and politics is
nothing else but
medicine on a large
scale.
“Medicine as a social science, as the
science of human beings, has the
obligation to point out problems and
to attempt their theoretical solution;
the politician, the practical
anthropologist, must find the means
for their actual solution”
Rudolf Virchow
it's not who your
doctor is, it's who
you vote for, that
most affects your
health
Strategic
alliances:
A ‘one
health’
approach
13
05/04/2022
The public’s health: global burden
of disease, corporate anti-health
interest,
Globally, mortality rates have decreased across all age groups over the
past five decades, with the largest improvements occurring among
children younger than 5 years. However, at the national level,
considerable heterogeneity remains in terms of both level and rate of
changes in age-specific mortality; increases in mortality for certain age
groups occurred in some locations.
Countries have saved more lives over the past decade, especially among
children under age 5, but persistent health problems, such as obesity,
conflict, and mental illness, comprise a “triad of troubles,” and prevent
people from living long, healthy lives.
Total deaths in children younger than 5 years decreased from 1970 to
2016, and slower decreases occurred at ages 5–24 years. By contrast,
numbers of adult deaths increased in each 5-year age bracket above the
age of 25 years.
Global burden of disease study, 2019
Global burden of disease 2019
Global burden of disease 2021
Burden of disease attributable to 20 leading risk factors in 2010
expressed as a percentage of global disability-adjusted life-years
Global Burden of Disease Group. www.thelancet.com 2012 380 2245
Diet ≈ 40%
These 10 Corporations Control Almost Everything We Eat
http://www.bmj.com/content/358/bmj.j4443?sso=
20
05/04/2022
Violence, conflict and public health
The epidemiology of violence
Evidence-based violence prevention: a life course
approach
Asset based community development
Primary, secondary &tertiary prevention role of the
public health community as primary preventers of violent conflict,
through healthy public policies and tackling major social inequalities in
health; and as early reactors, mitigaters and responders to violence.
New public mental health approaches
A role for public health in conflict resolution with
aid agencies, political scientists, theologians and international lawyers
A role for public health educational bodies
A leadership and partnership role for public
health
www.fph.org.uk/uploads/Violence%20report.pdf
Areas of action for the public health
community in preventing violence
Interconnectedness:
conflict over natural
resources: oil, water
Interconnectness: Loss of agricultural land through global
warming, crop failure, food riots, Arab Spring, Syrian war
24
05/04/2022
Planetary health: environment, loss of
biodiversity, food and ecosystems balance,
climate change
A role for our climate
change special
interest group
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
27
05/04/2022
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Coccolithophore (diatom): Produces 50% of the
world’s oxygen
Algal blooms photosynthesising off
south west coast of Wales
Climate
breakdown
is here
now!- 1 fire
• Climate breakdown is
here now!- 2 floods
Indonesia
floods
Climate
breakdown is here
now!- 2 floods
Climate
breakdown
is here
now!- 3
marine life
extinction
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
05/04/2022 37
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Infodemics:
misappropriating
personal information
to sway opinion and
behaviour – in this
example in elections
Infodemics: misappropriating
social media - to sway opinion
and behaviour – in this example
in vaccine hesitancy
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
43
05/04/2022
The COVID-19 pandemic
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Selected
European
countries ,
with Peru (hi)
and New
Zealand (low)
for
comparators
05/04/2022 46
05/04/2022 47
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Public mask wearing
mandated early on-
Czechia, Slovakia,
Slovenia, Poland
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
The pandemic is over?
But….high levels of infection
High levels of infection in children
High levels of childrens admission
High levels of hospital activity, preventing other treatments
Still high levels of unvaccinated young adults
High levels of sickness absence in key sectors
Reduce isolation periods allowing second spike of omicron infections …
Next variant due March ?
Abandoned basic measures in plan B that are protective against Covid and other
respiratory pathogens :
‘Protections’ – not ‘restrictions’
05/04/2022 73
05/04/2022 74
ASPHER COVID-19 task force
Members in 30 countries
Actions:
• Reports on testing
• Masks
• Inequalities
• Second wave and winter planning
• How to count illness
• Basic terms of inequalities in health
• Herd immunity
• Five vaccination statements including the latest
Vaccine internationalism, vaccine passports and
vaccine diplomacy
https://www.aspher.org
/covid-19-task-
force.html
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Vaccine
Waiver
needed
now
Vaccinations: saving lives in millions
Vaccinations: saving lives in millions
https://www.forbes.co
m/sites/niallmccarthy/2
021/05/06/which-
companies-received-
the-most-covid-19-
vaccine-rd-funding-
infographic/?sh=eef64e
a4333d
Vaccinations: saving lives in millions
There is no place for intellectual property protection
during a humanitarian crisis
But there must be fair assessment of how industry
should be properly paid for their work and their
products and to protect and ensure investment for
future new life-saving products
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Planning for an outbreak of health
Planning for an outbreak of
health:
The public health system,
services and profession
https://epha.org/public-
health-must-be-
strengthened-for-a-
healthy-post-covid-world/
Global governance for health
John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health
John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health
Renew the mandate of the UN and
WHO in global health governance
The new Treaty for pandemic
preparedness
Governance
Transparency and information
sharing
Resources and capacity
New continental/WHO regional
structures with response capacity
Ceded authority to supranational
structures
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
John Middleton: Planning for an outbreak of health
Planning for an
outbreak of health:
The public’s health
What personal behaviours might we usefully
keep for a post pandemic future?
• Wash our hands more ?
• Where masks in closed spaces especially in winter
• Work at home when we can, not because we must
• Don’t go out when we have symptoms
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Save the planet  or save the NHS?
Build back health care
96
05/04/2022
The COVID-19 what went well UK ?
Initial efforts on social welfare/furlough/ increased universal credit/ hotels for
the homeless?
Vaccine development, commitment global collaboration of science and
Technology, commitments to shared intelligence, research and delivery ‘COVAX’
Vaccination policy and delivery ‘December 2020-April 2021’
Clinical research: rapid assessment of effective and ineffective treatments
including the Recovery Trial
Rapid set up of major prospective studies REACT, ONS community infection,
ZOE
Genetic sequencing of virus and development of Genomic Surveillance
97
05/04/2022
The COVID-19 what went (well) UK ?
Not ‘well’- but ‘heroic’, ‘admirable’, ‘selfless’, ‘professional’,
‘caring’, ‘compassionate’
NHS services response
Social care unsupported and unprotected
Local public health services – undervalued, unrecognized, snubbed
Community responses: volunteering, ‘mutual aid’, in food delivery,
in the vaccine delivery programme
National public health professional organisations working together
John Middleton [lecture title]
[date]
Upsides
of
lockdown
1 :
Decline in
air
pollution
Upsides in
lockdown 2:
interest in
more active
travel
‘Build back’ ?
Working practices and relationships ?
Reducing inequalities? Minorities?
Vulnerable groups? Women? Older
people?
John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health
https://www.health.org.uk/sites/default/files/upl
oad/publications/2020/Build-back-fairer-the-
COVID-19-Marmot-review.pdf
Build back
Fairer?
John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health
Build back
Fairer?
The richest billionaires could
give $139,300,000,000 away
and still be as rich as they
were in 2020. These
billionaires could end global
hunger for about $300 billion.
A fraction of their overall
wealth.
‘Build
back’?
‘Build back’ ?
‘Build back’ ?
‘Build back’ ?
‘Build back’ ?
To what austerity, poverty and
unfairness? Environmental squalor and
health and wealth for some?
Plan for an outbreak of health….
William Beveridge designed a welfare state
for the UK in the deepest point of the
Second World War.
‘We should regard want,
idleness , ignorance, squalor
and disease as enemies of us
all. That is the meaning of a
social conscience; that we
refuse to make our separate
peace with evil.’
Science knows no country,
because knowledge belongs to
humanity, and is the torch which
illuminates the world.
Louis Pasteur
Thank you
John Middleton,
President
Association of Schools of Public Health
In the European Region
John.middleton@aspher.org

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Save the planet or save the NHS?

  • 1. Save the planet, or save the NHS? Professor John Middleton Hon FFPH, FRCP, President, Association of Schools of Public Health in the European Region
  • 2. What is ASPHER ? The Association of Schools of Public Health in the European Region (ASPHER) is the key independent European organisation dedicated to strengthening the role of public health by improving education and training of public health professionals for both practice and research. We have 120 member schools of public health in Europe and associates globally. We are developing our partnerships with sister public health organisations in America, Africa, Asia, Australasia and the Arab world
  • 3. Public health is : The science and art of promoting health, preventing disease and prolonging life through the organised efforts of society Acheson 1988, after Winslow 1927, WHO 1948
  • 4. What is public health? The public’s health And The public system, services and profession
  • 5. What is public health? Public health practice is population-based It emphasises collective responsibility for health, health protection and disease prevention It recognises the key role of the state, linked to a concern for the underlying socio-economic and wider determinants of health, as well as disease Public health practice also emphasises partnership working with all those who contribute to the health of the population. Good Public Health Practice UK Faculty of Public Health 2016
  • 6. What is public health? Three domains of public health : Health protection Health improvement Health care related public health UK Faculty of Public Health, 2016
  • 7. A medical specialty… but a multidisciplinary profession, service and system UK Faculty of public Health Careers in public health
  • 8. Multidisciplinary public health • 19th Century: early Ukpublic health practitioners were multi-disciplinary: John Snow (Surgeon/Anaesthetist), Florence Nightingale (Nurse); Edwin Chadwick (Lawyer); Joseph Bazalgette (Engineer); Mary Seacole (nurse)
  • 10. “ Medicine is a social science and politics is nothing else but medicine on a large scale. “Medicine as a social science, as the science of human beings, has the obligation to point out problems and to attempt their theoretical solution; the politician, the practical anthropologist, must find the means for their actual solution” Rudolf Virchow
  • 11. it's not who your doctor is, it's who you vote for, that most affects your health
  • 13. 13 05/04/2022 The public’s health: global burden of disease, corporate anti-health interest,
  • 14. Globally, mortality rates have decreased across all age groups over the past five decades, with the largest improvements occurring among children younger than 5 years. However, at the national level, considerable heterogeneity remains in terms of both level and rate of changes in age-specific mortality; increases in mortality for certain age groups occurred in some locations. Countries have saved more lives over the past decade, especially among children under age 5, but persistent health problems, such as obesity, conflict, and mental illness, comprise a “triad of troubles,” and prevent people from living long, healthy lives. Total deaths in children younger than 5 years decreased from 1970 to 2016, and slower decreases occurred at ages 5–24 years. By contrast, numbers of adult deaths increased in each 5-year age bracket above the age of 25 years. Global burden of disease study, 2019
  • 15. Global burden of disease 2019
  • 16. Global burden of disease 2021
  • 17. Burden of disease attributable to 20 leading risk factors in 2010 expressed as a percentage of global disability-adjusted life-years Global Burden of Disease Group. www.thelancet.com 2012 380 2245 Diet ≈ 40%
  • 18. These 10 Corporations Control Almost Everything We Eat
  • 21. The epidemiology of violence Evidence-based violence prevention: a life course approach Asset based community development Primary, secondary &tertiary prevention role of the public health community as primary preventers of violent conflict, through healthy public policies and tackling major social inequalities in health; and as early reactors, mitigaters and responders to violence. New public mental health approaches A role for public health in conflict resolution with aid agencies, political scientists, theologians and international lawyers A role for public health educational bodies A leadership and partnership role for public health www.fph.org.uk/uploads/Violence%20report.pdf Areas of action for the public health community in preventing violence
  • 23. Interconnectness: Loss of agricultural land through global warming, crop failure, food riots, Arab Spring, Syrian war
  • 24. 24 05/04/2022 Planetary health: environment, loss of biodiversity, food and ecosystems balance, climate change
  • 25. A role for our climate change special interest group
  • 30. Coccolithophore (diatom): Produces 50% of the world’s oxygen Algal blooms photosynthesising off south west coast of Wales
  • 32. • Climate breakdown is here now!- 2 floods Indonesia floods Climate breakdown is here now!- 2 floods
  • 35. John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health
  • 39. Infodemics: misappropriating personal information to sway opinion and behaviour – in this example in elections
  • 40. Infodemics: misappropriating social media - to sway opinion and behaviour – in this example in vaccine hesitancy
  • 45. Selected European countries , with Peru (hi) and New Zealand (low) for comparators
  • 49. Public mask wearing mandated early on- Czechia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Poland
  • 72. The pandemic is over? But….high levels of infection High levels of infection in children High levels of childrens admission High levels of hospital activity, preventing other treatments Still high levels of unvaccinated young adults High levels of sickness absence in key sectors Reduce isolation periods allowing second spike of omicron infections … Next variant due March ? Abandoned basic measures in plan B that are protective against Covid and other respiratory pathogens : ‘Protections’ – not ‘restrictions’
  • 74. 05/04/2022 74 ASPHER COVID-19 task force Members in 30 countries Actions: • Reports on testing • Masks • Inequalities • Second wave and winter planning • How to count illness • Basic terms of inequalities in health • Herd immunity • Five vaccination statements including the latest Vaccine internationalism, vaccine passports and vaccine diplomacy https://www.aspher.org /covid-19-task- force.html
  • 80. Vaccinations: saving lives in millions There is no place for intellectual property protection during a humanitarian crisis But there must be fair assessment of how industry should be properly paid for their work and their products and to protect and ensure investment for future new life-saving products
  • 82. Planning for an outbreak of health
  • 83. Planning for an outbreak of health: The public health system, services and profession
  • 85. John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health
  • 86. John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health Renew the mandate of the UN and WHO in global health governance The new Treaty for pandemic preparedness Governance Transparency and information sharing Resources and capacity New continental/WHO regional structures with response capacity Ceded authority to supranational structures
  • 89. John Middleton: Planning for an outbreak of health Planning for an outbreak of health: The public’s health
  • 90. What personal behaviours might we usefully keep for a post pandemic future? • Wash our hands more ? • Where masks in closed spaces especially in winter • Work at home when we can, not because we must • Don’t go out when we have symptoms
  • 96. 96 05/04/2022 The COVID-19 what went well UK ? Initial efforts on social welfare/furlough/ increased universal credit/ hotels for the homeless? Vaccine development, commitment global collaboration of science and Technology, commitments to shared intelligence, research and delivery ‘COVAX’ Vaccination policy and delivery ‘December 2020-April 2021’ Clinical research: rapid assessment of effective and ineffective treatments including the Recovery Trial Rapid set up of major prospective studies REACT, ONS community infection, ZOE Genetic sequencing of virus and development of Genomic Surveillance
  • 97. 97 05/04/2022 The COVID-19 what went (well) UK ? Not ‘well’- but ‘heroic’, ‘admirable’, ‘selfless’, ‘professional’, ‘caring’, ‘compassionate’ NHS services response Social care unsupported and unprotected Local public health services – undervalued, unrecognized, snubbed Community responses: volunteering, ‘mutual aid’, in food delivery, in the vaccine delivery programme National public health professional organisations working together
  • 98. John Middleton [lecture title] [date] Upsides of lockdown 1 : Decline in air pollution
  • 99. Upsides in lockdown 2: interest in more active travel
  • 100. ‘Build back’ ? Working practices and relationships ? Reducing inequalities? Minorities? Vulnerable groups? Women? Older people?
  • 101. John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health https://www.health.org.uk/sites/default/files/upl oad/publications/2020/Build-back-fairer-the- COVID-19-Marmot-review.pdf Build back Fairer?
  • 102. John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health Build back Fairer? The richest billionaires could give $139,300,000,000 away and still be as rich as they were in 2020. These billionaires could end global hunger for about $300 billion. A fraction of their overall wealth.
  • 107. ‘Build back’ ? To what austerity, poverty and unfairness? Environmental squalor and health and wealth for some? Plan for an outbreak of health….
  • 108. William Beveridge designed a welfare state for the UK in the deepest point of the Second World War. ‘We should regard want, idleness , ignorance, squalor and disease as enemies of us all. That is the meaning of a social conscience; that we refuse to make our separate peace with evil.’
  • 109. Science knows no country, because knowledge belongs to humanity, and is the torch which illuminates the world. Louis Pasteur
  • 110. Thank you John Middleton, President Association of Schools of Public Health In the European Region John.middleton@aspher.org