![NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019
• WMO Hydrological Observing System (WHOS)
• Global Runoff Data Centre (GRDC)
• International Data Centre on Hydrology of Lakes and Reservoirs
(HYDROLARE)
• IGRAC Global Groundwater Information System (GGIS)
• Consortium of Universities for the Advancement of Hydrologic
Science (CUHASI)
• Group on Earth Observations System of Systems (GEO SS) Portal
[27 resources]
Water Data, Tools and Models](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/4-190408120739/85/Session-1-1-4-Applying-Climate-Services-for-NAP-development-and-implementation-26-320.jpg)
Session 1.1.4. Applying Climate Services for NAP development and implementation
- 1. www.gwp.org Applying Climate Services for NAP development and implementation – the case of water Frederik Pischke, Senior Network Specialist, International Climate Hydrology, GWP seconded to WMO
- 2. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 We work in 183+ countries With structured Country Water Partnerships in 60+ countries Central America South America Carribeans West Africa East Africa Central Africa South Africa Central & Eastern Europe Central Asia & Caucasus Mediterranean South Asia China South-East Asia 3,000+ partner orgs from 183 countries ; 60 Country Water Partnerships across 13 RWPs
- 3. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 The Global Water Partnership: We bring the “stakes” together • Emergence of a new global development agenda – with synergies • Risk of fragmentation: Can we mobilize collaboration beyond water? • Technology changes, data revolution and new approaches to learning/innovation • 3000+ partners in over 183 countries x 60 country platforms • Flexible, adaptable network that delivers monitorable results • Implementation knowledge on IWRM and beyond – including innovation and pilots Our Assets New Opportunities
- 4. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 Society is primarily impacted by climate change through changes in the hydrological cycle Runoff Landslides Rainfall Water- related diseases Evapotrans- piration Glaciation Wave heights Sea levels Floods Erosion Storm frequency Drought Source: Ligtvoet W. et al. (2018), The Geography of Future Water Challenges, The Hague: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
- 5. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019
- 6. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 Energy and drought – vulnerabilities Source: Vogt, J.V., Naumann, G., Masante, D., Spinoni, J., Cammalleri, C., Erian, W., Pischke, F., Pulwarty, R., Barbosa, P. (2018) Drought Risk Assessment. A conceptual Framework. Publications Office of the EU, Luxembourg, JRC113937 Vulnerability map based on the ratio between power sources dependent and non-dependent from fresh waters.
- 7. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 Main climate hazards identified in the NDC adaptation component 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Floods Droughts Higher temperatures Sea level rise Storms Decreased precipitation Changes in precipitation timing Vector-/ water-bourne diseases Increased precipitation intensity Desertification/ land degredation Ocean acidification Costal erosion Saltwater intrusion 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Water Agriculture Health Ecosystems Infrascructure Forestry Energy Disaster risk reduction Food security Coastal protection Fisheries Adaptation action areas prioritized in NDCs UNFCCC, 2016; 137 countries
- 8. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 NDCs and Water 89% of NDCs prioritize Water as key to Adaptation – specific priorities vary vastly
- 9. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019
- 10. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 Water affected sector Economic systems Hydropower and thermal power Irrigation Industry Municipal water Navigation Rural livelihoods Subsistence farming and pastoralism Fisheries Settlement and supply Ecosystems Aquatic biodiversity Ecosystem goods and services Catchment land quality Climate Services for Water
- 11. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 Water affected sector Examples of relevant hydro-met-climate information Economic systems Hydropower and thermal power - Weather (air temperature, precipitation, wind, solar radiation, humidity, atmospheric pressure) - Weather statistics (historic time series, summary statistics) - Water quantity, Runoff - Water quality - Soil moisture - Groundwater information - Quantitative precipitation forecasting (QPF) - Hydroclimatic extremes (floods and droughts) - Climate forecasts - Decadal climate predictions - Climate change projections - Changes in precipitation, seasonal forecasts Irrigation Industry Municipal water Navigation Rural livelihoods Subsistence farming and pastoralism Fisheries Settlement and supply Ecosystems Aquatic biodiversity Ecosystem goods and services Catchment land quality Climate Services for Water
- 12. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 Water affected sector Examples of relevant hydro-met-climate information Examples of application of hydro-climate services Economic systems Hydropower and thermal power - Weather (air temperature, precipitation, wind, solar radiation, humidity, atmospheric pressure) - Weather statistics (historic time series, summary statistics) - Water quantity, Runoff - Water quality - Soil moisture - Groundwater information - Quantitative precipitation forecasting (QPF) - Hydroclimatic extremes (floods and droughts) - Climate forecasts - Decadal climate predictions - Climate change projections - Changes in precipitation, seasonal forecasts - Water allocation - Irrigation scheduling - Flood and drought estimation - Hydropower generation - Siting, mix of energy sources - Pollution control - Demand scheduling - Floodplain mapping/zoning - Reservoir operations - Risk management measures - Water-management regulations and laws - Design and placement of infrastructure Irrigation Industry Municipal water Navigation Rural livelihoods Subsistence farming and pastoralism Fisheries Settlement and supply Ecosystems Aquatic biodiversity Ecosystem goods and services Catchment land quality Climate Services for Water
- 13. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 Source:
- 14. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019
- 15. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 Source: Vogt, J.V., Naumann, G., Masante, D., Spinoni, J., Cammalleri, C., Erian, W., Pischke, F., Pulwarty, R., Barbosa, P. (2018) Drought Risk Assessment. A conceptual Framework. Publications Office of the EU, Luxembourg, JRC113937 Percentage of areas in which drought severity is projected to increase from 1981-10 to 2071-00 From inside to outside circles: SPI-12 RCP4.5, SPI-12 RCP8.5, SPEI-12 RCP4.5, SPEI-12 RCP8.5 Red: Increase in drought severity Blue: Decrease Grey: Projected change is uncertain Drought severity future trends
- 16. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 www.droughtmanagement.info Focus on strengthening three Pillars: 1) Monitoring and Early Warning Systems 2) Vulnerability and Impact Assessment 3) Drought mitigation and preparedness www.floodmanagement.info Focus on Project Preparation; Build up strength on End-to-End Early Warning Systems Drought and Flood Management HelpDesks Global expertise turned into direct Advisory to close gaps at national level
- 17. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 Synergies of Partners APFM IDMP Over 30 expert partner organizations in each programme Technical Support Unit by WMO and GWP
- 18. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019
- 19. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 • Balance political, technical and financial feasibility • Success depends on stakeholder ownership, gender equality, ensure inclusion of vulnerable groups • Build embedded in-country capacity, knowledge • Lack of funding for water-related projects not a shortage of finance – understand requireements, improve coordination Our experience • Data + information + MSP Hydro-climate services • Balance top-down (climate models) and bottom-up (vulnerability assessment). Communicate uncertainty • Make the economic case, communicate, addressing real-world problems with practical solutions
- 20. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 • Spending on water-related climate projects a small proportion of climate finance flows • Appetite-Design gap • Lack of well-prepared project • Limited understanding of funding requirement • Varying levels of capacity for project preparation • Country ownership? • Lack of clearly identified climate rationale • What are the climate change induced risks and vulnerabilities? • What is the additionality of the proposed interventions due to climate change? What about implementation and financing?
- 21. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 Technical Workshop on Project Preparation for Transformational Climate Resilience Water Project Concepts in Asia workshop Partnership for Climate Resilient Water Project Development
- 22. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 What next for applying Climate Services for NAP development and implementation :Mobilizing: • Voice & capacity of national met & hydrological Services • Relationships on the ground for application Implementing: • Standard setting: Authoritative guidance and methods • Leverage climate action: Connecting hydrology and climatology (knowledge & institutions actions) – Hydro-Climate Services Learning • Know what & know how: Technical expertise from data to hydro-climate services/products, water management and adaptation • Data: building access NMHS and Multi- Stakeholder Platforms Action beyond water
- 23. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 Join the Partnership! Go to PARTNER at: www.gwp.org And visit our online library for water reources management: www.gwptoolbox.org
- 24. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019
- 25. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019
- 26. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 • WMO Hydrological Observing System (WHOS) • Global Runoff Data Centre (GRDC) • International Data Centre on Hydrology of Lakes and Reservoirs (HYDROLARE) • IGRAC Global Groundwater Information System (GGIS) • Consortium of Universities for the Advancement of Hydrologic Science (CUHASI) • Group on Earth Observations System of Systems (GEO SS) Portal [27 resources] Water Data, Tools and Models
- 27. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 • What are the climate change induced risks and vulnerabilities? • What is happening / will happen due to climate change? • What is the additionality of the proposed interventions due to climate change? Climate Rationale:Elements of a strong climate rationale • Draws on credible science providing evidence of climate change impacts and vulnerabilities • Presents a set of optimal measures to address climate change risks • Aims for simplicity in approach, methodology and presentation of data and results Climate rationale
- 28. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 • What are the climate change induced risks and vulnerabilities? • What is happening / will happen due to climate change? • What is the additionality of the proposed interventions due to climate change? Climate Rationale:Elements of a strong climate rationale • Draws on credible science providing evidence of climate change impacts and vulnerabilities • Presents a set of optimal measures to address climate change risks • Aims for simplicity in approach, methodology and presentation of data and results Climate rationale
- 29. NAP Expo Session: Integrating Climate Risk Information into Adaptation Planning www.gwp.org08 April 2019 Climate Rationale and the Project Intervention CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE IMPACT VULNERABILITY INTERVENTION PARADIGM SHIFT