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Welcome to the New Renaissance
In 1966 Stewart Brand had a
?
 
 
 
Once a photograph of Earth from outer space is seen,  humanity will never be the same -astronomer Fred Hoyle
“ Once a photograph of the Earth, taken from outside, is available--once the sheer isolation of the Earth becomes known--a new idea as powerful as any in history will be let loose.”
From the moon, the Earth is so small and so fragile, and such a precious little spot in that Universe, that you can block it out with your thumb.  Then you realize that on that spot, that little blue and white thing, is everything that means anything to you - all of history and music and poetry and art and death and birth and love, tears, joy, games, all of it right there on that little spot that you can cover with your thumb.  And you realize from that perspective that you've changed forever, that there is something new there, that the relationship is no longer what it was. --Rusty Schweickart, astronaut
The First day we all pointed to our own countries. The third or fourth day we were pointing to our continents.  By the fifth day we were aware of only one Earth -Sultan bin Salman al-Saud, astronaut
Stewart Brand was on L.S.D. at the time
Shift Happens
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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“ We can’t solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them.”  -Albert Einstein
 
Shift Happens
 
In 1514
Nicolaus Copernicus proposed a theory
“ Finally we shall place the  Sun  himself at the  center of the Universe All this is suggested by the systematic procession of events and the harmony of the  whole Universe,  if only we face the facts, as they say,  ‘ with both eyes open.”
In 1613 Galileo Galilei confirmed the Copernican Universe
For these views, he twice faced the Inquisition
and in 1633 was placed under house arrest for the remainder of his life.
The Vatican eventually admitted their error and apologized for their mistake in 1992
1  2  4  8  16  32  64  128  256  512   1024 2048  4096  8192  16384  32768  65536  131072  262144 524288   1048576  2097152  4194304  8388608  16777216 33554432  67108864  134217728  268435456  536870912 1073741824  2147483648  4294967296  8589934592  17179869184  34359738368  68719476736  137438953472  274877906944  549755813888   1099511627776 2199023255552  4398046511104 8796093022208 17592186044416  35185372088832  70370744177664 140741488355328  281482976710656  562965953421312 1125931906842624  2251863813685248 4503727627370496 9007455254740992
In  1837  Charles Darwin developed his “theory of transmutation of species” In  1859  he published “On the Origin of Species by means of Natural Selection” in it he suggested that “light will be thrown on the origin of man and his history”
In  1925  in Tennessee,  John Scopes was convicted of teaching evolution.  In  2004 , almost 2/3rds of Americans favour teaching evolution and creationism
Almost 150 years later,  people are still debating Charles Darwin
The Truth What are they afraid of?
We must, however, acknowledge, as it seems to me, that  man  with all his noble qualities...still bears in his bodily frame the indelible stamp of his  lowly origin Charles Darwin wrote
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For 3 Million Years, humans lived in harmony with the Earth
Until a mere 10,000 years ago in the “Fertile Crescent” With the development of Agriculture which led to population growth and the need for more land
which led to more people which led to the need for more land
World Population 8000 BCE to Present a
 
 
You must face the fact that increasing food production doesn’t feed your hungry, it only fuels your population explosion -Daniel Quinn, Ishmael
Natural Resource Use x Technology =  Population x per capita consumption
A development policy without a population program is like mopping the floor with the water turned on -P. Bukman
 
1  2  4  8  16  32  64  128  256  512   1024 2048  4096  8192  16384  32768  65536  131072  262144 524288   1048576  2097152  4194304  8388608  16777216 33554432  67108864  134217728  268435456  536870912 1073741824  2147483648  4294967296  8589934592  17179869184  34359738368  68719476736  137438953472  274877906944  549755813888   1099511627776 2199023255552  4398046511104 8796093022208 17592186044416  35185372088832  70370744177664 140741488355328  281482976710656  562965953421312 1125931906842624  2251863813685248 4503727627370496 9007455254740992
Conclusion: Extra food leads to Extra Population
Do we need to expand to provide this sustenance ?
People know intuitively where leverage points are. Time after time I’ve done an analysis of a company, and I’ve figured out a leverage point. Then I’ve gone to the company and discovered that everyone is pushing it Jay Forrester, Systems Analyst: in the wrong direction
GROWTH
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“ Any intelligent fool can make things bigger, more complex, and more violent. It takes a touch of genius -- and a lot of courage--to move in the opposite direction”  -Albert Einstein
 
 
PLACES TO INTERVENE IN A SYSTEM (increasing effectiveness) 12. Constants, parameters, numbers  11. The size of buffers and other stabilizing stocks 10. The structure of material stocks and flows 09. The length of delays, relative to the rate of system changes 08. The strength of negative feedback loops 07 The gain around driving positive feedback loops 06. The structure of information flow 05. The rules of the system (incentives, punishment, constraints) 04.The power to add, change, evolve, or self-organize system structure 03.The goals of the system 02. The mindset or paradigm that the system arises out of. 01. The power to transcend paradigms
 
 
 
 
 
 
_____________ is the opium of the People Karl Marx:
Religion is the opium of the People
Television is the opium of the People
Film is the opium of the People
Video is the opium of the People
Celebrity is the opium of the People
POP QUIZ A. Religion is the opium of the People B. Television is the opium of the People C. Film is the opium of the People D. Video is the opium of the People E. Celebrity is the opium of the People F. All of the above
“ The twentieth century will be chiefly remembered by future generations not as an era of political conflicts or technical inventions, but as an age in which human society dared to think of the welfare of the whole human race as a practical objective.” - Arnold Toynbee
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A new renaissance requires a new way of thinking.  YES/NO  WE/THEM  BLACK/WHITE RIGHT/WRONG THE GOVERNMENT/LOYAL OPPOSITION doesn’t exist in nature. It is an invented way of thinking. How about an inclusive way? How about looking at inclusiveness symbiotic relationships working together non-exclusiveness Positive future
THESE ARE EXCITING TIMES
It must first start with admitting that our unsustainable present does not work.
Then it requires we examine the mindset required in the new system
SUSTAINABILITY
From here comes the goals
Earth had 4.6 billion years to develop a system that worked successfully and sustainably all the time
Our 10,000 year experiment has failed
It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent that survives. It is the one that is the most adaptable to change In the long history of humankind (and animal kind, too) those who learned to collaborate and improvise most effectively have prevailed Charles Darwin
Examine how co-operative societies work--they are called tribes
Examine how co-operative government works
Let us begin
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Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world. Indeed, it is the only thing that ever has.  -Margaret Mead
Change your thoughts and you change your world -Norman Vincent Peale
PASSION PERSUADES
If you believe you can or you can’t, you’re right -Henry Ford
Mahatma Gandhi We must be the change we wish to see in the World
If you don’t know where to start, START ANYWHERE
 
1  2  4  8  16  32  64  128  256  512  1024 2048  4096  8192  16384  32768  65536  131072  262144 524288  1048576  2097152  4194304  8388608  16777216 33554432  67108864  134217728  268435456  536870912 1073741824  2147483648  4294967296  8589934592  17179869184  34359738368  68719476736  137438953472  274877906944  549755813888  1099511627776 2199023255552  4398046511104 8796093022208 17592186044416  35185372088832  70370744177664 140741488355328  281482976710656  562965953421312 1125931906842624  2251863813685248 4503727627370496 9007455254740992
1  2  4  8  16  32  64  128  256  512  1024 2048  4096  8192  16384  32768  65536  131072  262144 524288  1048576  2097152  4194304  8388608  16777216 33554432  67108864  134217728  268435456  536870912 1073741824  2147483648  4294967296  8589934592  17179869184  34359738368  68719476736  137438953472  274877906944  549755813888  1099511627776 2199023255552  4398046511104 8796093022208 17592186044416  35185372088832  70370744177664 140741488355328  281482976710656  562965953421312 1125931906842624  2251863813685248 4503727627370496 9007455254740992

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Shifthappensppt

  • 1.  
  • 2. Welcome to the New Renaissance
  • 3. In 1966 Stewart Brand had a
  • 4. ?
  • 5.  
  • 6.  
  • 7.  
  • 8. Once a photograph of Earth from outer space is seen, humanity will never be the same -astronomer Fred Hoyle
  • 9. “ Once a photograph of the Earth, taken from outside, is available--once the sheer isolation of the Earth becomes known--a new idea as powerful as any in history will be let loose.”
  • 10. From the moon, the Earth is so small and so fragile, and such a precious little spot in that Universe, that you can block it out with your thumb. Then you realize that on that spot, that little blue and white thing, is everything that means anything to you - all of history and music and poetry and art and death and birth and love, tears, joy, games, all of it right there on that little spot that you can cover with your thumb. And you realize from that perspective that you've changed forever, that there is something new there, that the relationship is no longer what it was. --Rusty Schweickart, astronaut
  • 11. The First day we all pointed to our own countries. The third or fourth day we were pointing to our continents. By the fifth day we were aware of only one Earth -Sultan bin Salman al-Saud, astronaut
  • 12. Stewart Brand was on L.S.D. at the time
  • 14.  
  • 15.  
  • 16.  
  • 17.  
  • 18.  
  • 19.  
  • 20. 1
  • 21.  
  • 22.  
  • 23.  
  • 24.  
  • 25.  
  • 26.  
  • 27.  
  • 28. 1 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 2048 4096 8192 16384 32768 65536 131072 262144 524288 1048576 2097152 4194304 8388608 16777216 33554432 67108864 134217728 268435456 536870912 1073741824 2147483648 4294967296 8589934592 17179869184 34359738368 68719476736 137438953472 274877906944 549755813888 1099511627776 2199023255552 4398046511104 8796093022208 17592186044416 35185372088832 70370744177664 140741488355328 281482976710656 562965953421312 1125931906842624 2251863813685248 4503727627370496 9007455254740992
  • 29.  
  • 30.  
  • 31.  
  • 32.  
  • 33. “ We can’t solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them.” -Albert Einstein
  • 34.  
  • 36.  
  • 39. “ Finally we shall place the Sun himself at the center of the Universe All this is suggested by the systematic procession of events and the harmony of the whole Universe, if only we face the facts, as they say, ‘ with both eyes open.”
  • 40. In 1613 Galileo Galilei confirmed the Copernican Universe
  • 41. For these views, he twice faced the Inquisition
  • 42. and in 1633 was placed under house arrest for the remainder of his life.
  • 43. The Vatican eventually admitted their error and apologized for their mistake in 1992
  • 44. 1 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 2048 4096 8192 16384 32768 65536 131072 262144 524288 1048576 2097152 4194304 8388608 16777216 33554432 67108864 134217728 268435456 536870912 1073741824 2147483648 4294967296 8589934592 17179869184 34359738368 68719476736 137438953472 274877906944 549755813888 1099511627776 2199023255552 4398046511104 8796093022208 17592186044416 35185372088832 70370744177664 140741488355328 281482976710656 562965953421312 1125931906842624 2251863813685248 4503727627370496 9007455254740992
  • 45. In 1837 Charles Darwin developed his “theory of transmutation of species” In 1859 he published “On the Origin of Species by means of Natural Selection” in it he suggested that “light will be thrown on the origin of man and his history”
  • 46. In 1925 in Tennessee, John Scopes was convicted of teaching evolution. In 2004 , almost 2/3rds of Americans favour teaching evolution and creationism
  • 47. Almost 150 years later, people are still debating Charles Darwin
  • 48. The Truth What are they afraid of?
  • 49. We must, however, acknowledge, as it seems to me, that man with all his noble qualities...still bears in his bodily frame the indelible stamp of his lowly origin Charles Darwin wrote
  • 50. 1 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 2048 4096 8192 16384 32768 65536 131072 262144 524288 1048576 2097152 4194304 8388608 16777216 33554432 67108864 134217728 268435456 536870912 1073741824 2147483648 4294967296 8589934592 17179869184 34359738368 68719476736 137438953472 274877906944 549755813888 1099511627776 2199023255552 4398046511104 8796093022208 17592186044416 35185372088832 70370744177664 140741488355328 281482976710656 562965953421312 1125931906842624 2251863813685248 4503727627370496 9007455254740992
  • 51. For 3 Million Years, humans lived in harmony with the Earth
  • 52. Until a mere 10,000 years ago in the “Fertile Crescent” With the development of Agriculture which led to population growth and the need for more land
  • 53. which led to more people which led to the need for more land
  • 54. World Population 8000 BCE to Present a
  • 55.  
  • 56.  
  • 57. You must face the fact that increasing food production doesn’t feed your hungry, it only fuels your population explosion -Daniel Quinn, Ishmael
  • 58. Natural Resource Use x Technology = Population x per capita consumption
  • 59. A development policy without a population program is like mopping the floor with the water turned on -P. Bukman
  • 60.  
  • 61. 1 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 2048 4096 8192 16384 32768 65536 131072 262144 524288 1048576 2097152 4194304 8388608 16777216 33554432 67108864 134217728 268435456 536870912 1073741824 2147483648 4294967296 8589934592 17179869184 34359738368 68719476736 137438953472 274877906944 549755813888 1099511627776 2199023255552 4398046511104 8796093022208 17592186044416 35185372088832 70370744177664 140741488355328 281482976710656 562965953421312 1125931906842624 2251863813685248 4503727627370496 9007455254740992
  • 62. Conclusion: Extra food leads to Extra Population
  • 63. Do we need to expand to provide this sustenance ?
  • 64. People know intuitively where leverage points are. Time after time I’ve done an analysis of a company, and I’ve figured out a leverage point. Then I’ve gone to the company and discovered that everyone is pushing it Jay Forrester, Systems Analyst: in the wrong direction
  • 66. 1 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 2048 4096 8192 16384 32768 65536 131072 262144 524288 1048576 2097152 4194304 8388608 16777216 33554432 67108864 134217728 268435456 536870912 1073741824 2147483648 4294967296 8589934592 17179869184 34359738368 68719476736 137438953472 274877906944 549755813888 1099511627776 2199023255552 4398046511104 8796093022208 17592186044416 35185372088832 70370744177664 140741488355328 281482976710656 562965953421312 1125931906842624 2251863813685248 4503727627370496 9007455254740992
  • 67.  
  • 68.  
  • 69.  
  • 70.  
  • 71.  
  • 72. “ Any intelligent fool can make things bigger, more complex, and more violent. It takes a touch of genius -- and a lot of courage--to move in the opposite direction” -Albert Einstein
  • 73.  
  • 74.  
  • 75. PLACES TO INTERVENE IN A SYSTEM (increasing effectiveness) 12. Constants, parameters, numbers 11. The size of buffers and other stabilizing stocks 10. The structure of material stocks and flows 09. The length of delays, relative to the rate of system changes 08. The strength of negative feedback loops 07 The gain around driving positive feedback loops 06. The structure of information flow 05. The rules of the system (incentives, punishment, constraints) 04.The power to add, change, evolve, or self-organize system structure 03.The goals of the system 02. The mindset or paradigm that the system arises out of. 01. The power to transcend paradigms
  • 76.  
  • 77.  
  • 78.  
  • 79.  
  • 80.  
  • 81.  
  • 82. _____________ is the opium of the People Karl Marx:
  • 83. Religion is the opium of the People
  • 84. Television is the opium of the People
  • 85. Film is the opium of the People
  • 86. Video is the opium of the People
  • 87. Celebrity is the opium of the People
  • 88. POP QUIZ A. Religion is the opium of the People B. Television is the opium of the People C. Film is the opium of the People D. Video is the opium of the People E. Celebrity is the opium of the People F. All of the above
  • 89. “ The twentieth century will be chiefly remembered by future generations not as an era of political conflicts or technical inventions, but as an age in which human society dared to think of the welfare of the whole human race as a practical objective.” - Arnold Toynbee
  • 90. 1 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 2048 4096 8192 16384 32768 65536 131072 262144 524288 1048576 2097152 4194304 8388608 16777216 33554432 67108864 134217728 268435456 536870912 1073741824 2147483648 4294967296 8589934592 17179869184 34359738368 68719476736 137438953472 274877906944 549755813888 1099511627776 2199023255552 4398046511104 8796093022208 17592186044416 35185372088832 70370744177664 140741488355328 281482976710656 562965953421312 1125931906842624 2251863813685248 4503727627370496 9007455254740992
  • 91. A new renaissance requires a new way of thinking. YES/NO WE/THEM BLACK/WHITE RIGHT/WRONG THE GOVERNMENT/LOYAL OPPOSITION doesn’t exist in nature. It is an invented way of thinking. How about an inclusive way? How about looking at inclusiveness symbiotic relationships working together non-exclusiveness Positive future
  • 93. It must first start with admitting that our unsustainable present does not work.
  • 94. Then it requires we examine the mindset required in the new system
  • 96. From here comes the goals
  • 97. Earth had 4.6 billion years to develop a system that worked successfully and sustainably all the time
  • 98. Our 10,000 year experiment has failed
  • 99. It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent that survives. It is the one that is the most adaptable to change In the long history of humankind (and animal kind, too) those who learned to collaborate and improvise most effectively have prevailed Charles Darwin
  • 100. Examine how co-operative societies work--they are called tribes
  • 101. Examine how co-operative government works
  • 103. 1 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 2048 4096 8192 16384 32768 65536 131072 262144 524288 1048576 2097152 4194304 8388608 16777216 33554432 67108864 134217728 268435456 536870912 1073741824 2147483648 4294967296 8589934592 17179869184 34359738368 68719476736 137438953472 274877906944 549755813888 1099511627776 2199023255552 4398046511104 8796093022208 17592186044416 35185372088832 70370744177664 140741488355328 281482976710656 562965953421312 1125931906842624 2251863813685248 4503727627370496 9007455254740992
  • 104. Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world. Indeed, it is the only thing that ever has. -Margaret Mead
  • 105. Change your thoughts and you change your world -Norman Vincent Peale
  • 107. If you believe you can or you can’t, you’re right -Henry Ford
  • 108. Mahatma Gandhi We must be the change we wish to see in the World
  • 109. If you don’t know where to start, START ANYWHERE
  • 110.  
  • 111. 1 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 2048 4096 8192 16384 32768 65536 131072 262144 524288 1048576 2097152 4194304 8388608 16777216 33554432 67108864 134217728 268435456 536870912 1073741824 2147483648 4294967296 8589934592 17179869184 34359738368 68719476736 137438953472 274877906944 549755813888 1099511627776 2199023255552 4398046511104 8796093022208 17592186044416 35185372088832 70370744177664 140741488355328 281482976710656 562965953421312 1125931906842624 2251863813685248 4503727627370496 9007455254740992
  • 112. 1 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 2048 4096 8192 16384 32768 65536 131072 262144 524288 1048576 2097152 4194304 8388608 16777216 33554432 67108864 134217728 268435456 536870912 1073741824 2147483648 4294967296 8589934592 17179869184 34359738368 68719476736 137438953472 274877906944 549755813888 1099511627776 2199023255552 4398046511104 8796093022208 17592186044416 35185372088832 70370744177664 140741488355328 281482976710656 562965953421312 1125931906842624 2251863813685248 4503727627370496 9007455254740992