This document presents research on predicting user engagement with direct displays like knowledge panels using mouse cursor data. The researchers conducted a crowdsourcing study tracking users' mouse cursors during search tasks. They developed predictive models to determine when users notice, find useful, and perceive faster task completion from direct displays. Their models outperformed baselines in accuracy and other metrics, showing mouse cursor data can predict user engagement without explicit feedback. The researchers conclude this approach offers an efficient way to analyze interactions and optimize direct display placement and content.
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