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Social media in C2:
Proof-of-principle experiment
Tim Grant, Fred Geugies, Peter Jongejan
r̅
Overview
• Goals:
– To describe proof-of-principle experiment to test
extended framework for C2 using social media (SM)
• Outline:
– Relevant theory
– Proof-of-principle experiment:
• Design
• Performance
• Results & analysis
– Conclusions & further research
Baden-Baden, 15 May 13
Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment
2
Theory (1)
Baden-Baden, 15 May 13
Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment
3
Citizen1 Citizenn
Building
situation
awareness
(a) Integration,
aggregation and
validation of
citizen generated
content
Early warning;
Instructions
(b) Citizen
Communication
Sender
Citizen
Organizations
Organizations Citizen Receiver
Reuter, Marx & Pipek, 2011
(c) Self Help
Communities
“Run uphill to escape tsunami”
Organization
(d) Inter-
organizational
Crisis
Management
Inter-organizational
communication
Theory (2)
Baden-Baden, 15 May 13
Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment
4
Receiver
Organization Citizen
Sender Citizen White et al (2009)
Starbird & Pane (2010)
Starbird & Stamberger (2010)
Bajpal & Jaiswal (2010)
Latonero & Shklovski (2010)
Tapia et al (2011)
Wiedenhöfer et al (2011)
Thomson et al (2012)
Starbird Muzny & Palen (2012)
Denis et al (2012)
Terpstra et al (2012)
Zielinski & Bügel (2012)
Manso & Manso (2012)
Addams-Moring (2007)
Vieweg et al (2008)
Liu et al (2008)
Sutton et al (2008)
Hughes et al (2008)
Hughes & Palen (2009)
Kavanaugh et al (2010)
Sutton (2010)
Perng et al (2012)
Kavanaugh et al (2012)
Organization Montells et al (2006)
Reuter et al (2009)
Manso & Manso (2012) (intra-org only)
Valtonen et al (2004)
Addams-Moring et al (2005)
Eysink Smeets & Sillem (2005)
Wood (2005)
Zimmerman (2005)
Sillem & Wiersma (2006)
Seddign et al (2006)
Latonero & Shklovski (2010)
Kelley et al (2011)
Wiedenhöfer et al (2011)
Denis et al (2012)
Nilsson et al (2012)
Sutto et al (2012)
Manso & Manso (2012)
Theory (3)
Baden-Baden, 15 May 13
Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment
5
Mintzberg, 1980
C-level (CEO, CFO, CIO)
(i.e. policy makers)
Back-office
First responders / onsite /
employees in the field
(front-office)
(Process Under Control)
Controllers / commanders
(line-managers)
(Controlling Process)
Theory (4)
Baden-Baden, 15 May 13
Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment
6
Receiver
Organisations Citizens
CP PUC
Sender Citizens (N/A) (a) Citizen-generated
content
(c) Self-help
Organisations PUC Observations
(SITREPs)
On-site / self-
synchronisation
(could be seen as (d)
intra-organisational
coordination)
(b) Citizen
communications
CP (d) Inter-
organisational
coordination
Instructions
(Op Orders / plans)
(N/A)
Jongejan & Grant, 2012
Theory (5)
Baden-Baden, 15 May 13
Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment
7
observations
instructions
outputs
inputs
Controlling Process
Process Under Control
Environment
Organization
Citizens
Focus of
our research
Past
research
Proof-of-principle (1)
• Proof-of-principle:
– “Realization of idea, concept, or theory to
demonstrate feasibility or potential for use”
– Characteristics:
• Small prima facie experiment
• Raises technology readiness level (TRL):
– TRL 2: Technology concept formulated (Jongejan & Grant, 2012)
– TRL 3: Analytical & experimental proof of concept
– “Faster, better, cheaper” = new vs. old:
• Condition A: legacy C2 technology (e-mail, paper maps)
• Condition B: social media in C2 (Twitter, CrowdMap)
Baden-Baden, 15 May 13
Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment
8
Wikipedia, 2013
Mankins, 1995
Proof-of-principle (2)
• Experiment design:
– Scenario:
• Transporting food by truck from Port Sudan to Darfur
– Simulated organization:
• CP: NGO HQ in Europe
• PUCs in Sudan: Truck convoy, fuel supplier, & NGO rep
• Command Post Exercise (CPX); rest hand-simulated
– Human subjects:
• Officer-cadets:
– Early 20’s; 3rd
/4th
year; digital natives; selected on availability
– Trained in network-enabled (military) C2
Baden-Baden, 15 May 13
Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment
9
Proof-of-principle (3)
Baden-Baden, 15 May 13
Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment
10
NGO HQ in Europe
(CP)
Truck convoy
(PUC1)
Diesel fuel supplier
(PUC2)
Rep in Khartoum
(PUC3)
Geugies, 2012
Email: up & down hierarchy
(Condition A)
SM: across hierarchy (“network-centric” / “self-synchronisation” / ”empowered”)
(and up & down hierarchy if so addressed using @)
(Condition B)
Proof-of-principle (4)
Baden-Baden, 15 May 13
Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment
11
Geugies, 2012
Proof-of-principle (5)
Baden-Baden, 15 May 13
Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment
12
Twitter (comms)
CrowdMap (SA)
Geugies, 2012
Proof-of-principle (6)
Baden-Baden, 15 May 13
Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment
13
Geugies, 2012
Proof-of-principle (7)
• Results (1/2) – N.B. triangulation:
– (Subjective) Questionnaires:
• Positive:
– Benefit (3); self-synchronization (1); overview (1)
• Negative:
– Security (1); information overload (1); need clear jargon (1)
– (Objective) Predicted vs actual (simulated) times:
Baden-Baden, 15 May 13
Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment
14
Geugies, 2012
Condition A (email) Condition B (SM)
Predicted time 5 days 5 hours 4 days 8 hours
Actual time 5 days 5 hours 4 days 6½ hours
Proof-of-principle (8)
• Results (2/2):
– (Objective) Numbers of messages:
Baden-Baden, 15 May 13
Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment
15
Geugies, 2012
Actor Messages sent Messages received
Condition A Condition B Condition A Condition B
CP (NGO HQ) 24 5 (intent 1) 27 23
PUC1 (trucks) 26 37 32 23
PUC2 (fuel) 10 11 17 18
PUC3 (rep) 4 8 8 9
Totals: 64 61 84 73
Conclusions & limitations
• Conclusions:
– Proof of principle supports theoretical framework
– SM technology aligned to network-centric “business model”:
• Facilitates self-synchronization / empowerment
• Limitations:
– No replication
– Same subjects ran Condition A followed by Condition B:
• Countered learning effect by extra event in Condition B
• Anticipated learning by predicting shorter makespan, Condition B
– Hence, claiming only proof of principle:
• IF use SM technology AND users trained in network-enabled C2
Baden-Baden, 15 May 13
Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment
16
Further research
• Contribution:
– Further research into social media in C2 is justified
• Possible further research:
– Raising TRL: Concept Development & Experimentation (CDE)
– Socio-organizational issues:
• Harnessing wisdom of the crowd
• Roles for volunteers
• Recruiting & training digital natives
– Fit with other technologies:
• Bring Your Own Device
• App stores (for crisis response & management)
• Natural language processing (speech to text; extract geo info)
– Peter and I seek collaborators!
Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 17
Any questions?
Tim Grant
Professor emeritus
Retired But Active Researcher (R-BAR)
tim.grant.work@gmail.com
+31 (0)638 193 749
Reserve slides
Theory (7)
Level Description
TRL 1 Basic principles observed and reported
TRL 2 Technology concept and/or application formulated
TRL 3 Analytical & experimental function and/or characteristic proof-of-concept
TRL 4 Component and/or breadboard validation in laboratory environment
TRL 5 Component and/or breadboard validation in relevant environment
TRL 6 System/subsystem model or prototype demonstration in relevant environment
TRL 7 System prototype demonstration in space [i.e. operational] environment
TRL 8 Actual system completed and flight-qualified through test & demonstration
TRL 9 Actual system flight-proven through successful mission operations
Baden-Baden, 15 May 13
Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment
20
Mankins, 1995 (ESA variant)
John Wayne 2.0
Baden-Baden, 15 May 13
Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment
21
Collignon, Volkskrant, 2013

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Social Media in Command & Control: A proof-of-principle experiment

  • 1. Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment Tim Grant, Fred Geugies, Peter Jongejan r̅
  • 2. Overview • Goals: – To describe proof-of-principle experiment to test extended framework for C2 using social media (SM) • Outline: – Relevant theory – Proof-of-principle experiment: • Design • Performance • Results & analysis – Conclusions & further research Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment 2
  • 3. Theory (1) Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment 3 Citizen1 Citizenn Building situation awareness (a) Integration, aggregation and validation of citizen generated content Early warning; Instructions (b) Citizen Communication Sender Citizen Organizations Organizations Citizen Receiver Reuter, Marx & Pipek, 2011 (c) Self Help Communities “Run uphill to escape tsunami” Organization (d) Inter- organizational Crisis Management Inter-organizational communication
  • 4. Theory (2) Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment 4 Receiver Organization Citizen Sender Citizen White et al (2009) Starbird & Pane (2010) Starbird & Stamberger (2010) Bajpal & Jaiswal (2010) Latonero & Shklovski (2010) Tapia et al (2011) Wiedenhöfer et al (2011) Thomson et al (2012) Starbird Muzny & Palen (2012) Denis et al (2012) Terpstra et al (2012) Zielinski & Bügel (2012) Manso & Manso (2012) Addams-Moring (2007) Vieweg et al (2008) Liu et al (2008) Sutton et al (2008) Hughes et al (2008) Hughes & Palen (2009) Kavanaugh et al (2010) Sutton (2010) Perng et al (2012) Kavanaugh et al (2012) Organization Montells et al (2006) Reuter et al (2009) Manso & Manso (2012) (intra-org only) Valtonen et al (2004) Addams-Moring et al (2005) Eysink Smeets & Sillem (2005) Wood (2005) Zimmerman (2005) Sillem & Wiersma (2006) Seddign et al (2006) Latonero & Shklovski (2010) Kelley et al (2011) Wiedenhöfer et al (2011) Denis et al (2012) Nilsson et al (2012) Sutto et al (2012) Manso & Manso (2012)
  • 5. Theory (3) Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment 5 Mintzberg, 1980 C-level (CEO, CFO, CIO) (i.e. policy makers) Back-office First responders / onsite / employees in the field (front-office) (Process Under Control) Controllers / commanders (line-managers) (Controlling Process)
  • 6. Theory (4) Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment 6 Receiver Organisations Citizens CP PUC Sender Citizens (N/A) (a) Citizen-generated content (c) Self-help Organisations PUC Observations (SITREPs) On-site / self- synchronisation (could be seen as (d) intra-organisational coordination) (b) Citizen communications CP (d) Inter- organisational coordination Instructions (Op Orders / plans) (N/A) Jongejan & Grant, 2012
  • 7. Theory (5) Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment 7 observations instructions outputs inputs Controlling Process Process Under Control Environment Organization Citizens Focus of our research Past research
  • 8. Proof-of-principle (1) • Proof-of-principle: – “Realization of idea, concept, or theory to demonstrate feasibility or potential for use” – Characteristics: • Small prima facie experiment • Raises technology readiness level (TRL): – TRL 2: Technology concept formulated (Jongejan & Grant, 2012) – TRL 3: Analytical & experimental proof of concept – “Faster, better, cheaper” = new vs. old: • Condition A: legacy C2 technology (e-mail, paper maps) • Condition B: social media in C2 (Twitter, CrowdMap) Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment 8 Wikipedia, 2013 Mankins, 1995
  • 9. Proof-of-principle (2) • Experiment design: – Scenario: • Transporting food by truck from Port Sudan to Darfur – Simulated organization: • CP: NGO HQ in Europe • PUCs in Sudan: Truck convoy, fuel supplier, & NGO rep • Command Post Exercise (CPX); rest hand-simulated – Human subjects: • Officer-cadets: – Early 20’s; 3rd /4th year; digital natives; selected on availability – Trained in network-enabled (military) C2 Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment 9
  • 10. Proof-of-principle (3) Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment 10 NGO HQ in Europe (CP) Truck convoy (PUC1) Diesel fuel supplier (PUC2) Rep in Khartoum (PUC3) Geugies, 2012 Email: up & down hierarchy (Condition A) SM: across hierarchy (“network-centric” / “self-synchronisation” / ”empowered”) (and up & down hierarchy if so addressed using @) (Condition B)
  • 11. Proof-of-principle (4) Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment 11 Geugies, 2012
  • 12. Proof-of-principle (5) Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment 12 Twitter (comms) CrowdMap (SA) Geugies, 2012
  • 13. Proof-of-principle (6) Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment 13 Geugies, 2012
  • 14. Proof-of-principle (7) • Results (1/2) – N.B. triangulation: – (Subjective) Questionnaires: • Positive: – Benefit (3); self-synchronization (1); overview (1) • Negative: – Security (1); information overload (1); need clear jargon (1) – (Objective) Predicted vs actual (simulated) times: Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment 14 Geugies, 2012 Condition A (email) Condition B (SM) Predicted time 5 days 5 hours 4 days 8 hours Actual time 5 days 5 hours 4 days 6½ hours
  • 15. Proof-of-principle (8) • Results (2/2): – (Objective) Numbers of messages: Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment 15 Geugies, 2012 Actor Messages sent Messages received Condition A Condition B Condition A Condition B CP (NGO HQ) 24 5 (intent 1) 27 23 PUC1 (trucks) 26 37 32 23 PUC2 (fuel) 10 11 17 18 PUC3 (rep) 4 8 8 9 Totals: 64 61 84 73
  • 16. Conclusions & limitations • Conclusions: – Proof of principle supports theoretical framework – SM technology aligned to network-centric “business model”: • Facilitates self-synchronization / empowerment • Limitations: – No replication – Same subjects ran Condition A followed by Condition B: • Countered learning effect by extra event in Condition B • Anticipated learning by predicting shorter makespan, Condition B – Hence, claiming only proof of principle: • IF use SM technology AND users trained in network-enabled C2 Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment 16
  • 17. Further research • Contribution: – Further research into social media in C2 is justified • Possible further research: – Raising TRL: Concept Development & Experimentation (CDE) – Socio-organizational issues: • Harnessing wisdom of the crowd • Roles for volunteers • Recruiting & training digital natives – Fit with other technologies: • Bring Your Own Device • App stores (for crisis response & management) • Natural language processing (speech to text; extract geo info) – Peter and I seek collaborators! Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 17
  • 18. Any questions? Tim Grant Professor emeritus Retired But Active Researcher (R-BAR) tim.grant.work@gmail.com +31 (0)638 193 749
  • 20. Theory (7) Level Description TRL 1 Basic principles observed and reported TRL 2 Technology concept and/or application formulated TRL 3 Analytical & experimental function and/or characteristic proof-of-concept TRL 4 Component and/or breadboard validation in laboratory environment TRL 5 Component and/or breadboard validation in relevant environment TRL 6 System/subsystem model or prototype demonstration in relevant environment TRL 7 System prototype demonstration in space [i.e. operational] environment TRL 8 Actual system completed and flight-qualified through test & demonstration TRL 9 Actual system flight-proven through successful mission operations Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment 20 Mankins, 1995 (ESA variant)
  • 21. John Wayne 2.0 Baden-Baden, 15 May 13 Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle experiment 21 Collignon, Volkskrant, 2013

Editor's Notes

  • #2: © Tim Grant, 2013 ISCRAM 2013, 15 May 13 Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle
  • #3: Social media in C2: Proof-of-principle ISCRAM 2013, 15 May 13 © Tim Grant, 2013