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DEC. 2015
SOME THOUGHTS ON
GOOGLE’S SEARCH BUSINESS
Danny Sullivan, Founding Editor
@dannysullivan
I’m not a financial analyst
(and no, I don’t have shares in Google)
@dannysullivan
I am a journalist who has
covered Google since it started
(you know, when it was just a search engine,
not abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz)
@dannysullivan
Google is much more than
SEARCH
(and Alphabet much more than Google)
@dannysullivan
But search remains biggest
(expensive “mesothelioma attorney”
and “structured settlement” search ads fuel
those auto-driving cars)
@dannysullivan
@dannysullivan
@dannysullivan
But … Cost Per Click
is dropping!
@dannysullivan
The Y-Y CPC Plunge!
@dannysullivan
CPCs are half the story
(or even less)
@dannysullivan
Growth of paid clicks is up
@dannysullivan
Ad revenues keep adding billions
@dannysullivan
CPCs can drop if you
sell more ads than before
@dannysullivan
Like turning all of
shopping into ads
May 2012
@dannysullivan
Or selling hotel bookings
@dannysullivan
@dannysullivan
Or insurance
@dannysullivan
@dannysullivan
Or mortgages
@dannysullivan
@dannysullivan
CPCs also combine ALL
ad types into one figure,
so that…
April 2015
@dannysullivan
Heck, we don’t even know…
@dannysullivan
Actual number of
paid clicks
@dannysullivan
Actual average CPC
@dannysullivan
CPC for
search vs. display vs. video
vs. above on mobile
@dannysullivan
But won’t apps kill Google?
@dannysullivan
“On the desktop, search is where it’s at.
That’s where the money is.
But on a mobile device,
search hasn’t happened.
Search is not where it’s at.
People are not searching on a mobile
device like they do on the desktop.”
-- Steve Jobs, April 2010
@dannysullivan
“When people want to find a place
to go to dinner, they're not searching;
they're going to Yelp.”
-- Steve Jobs, April 2010
@dannysullivan
We actually know very little
about how people search
on mobile
@dannysullivan
comScore doesn’t report
mobile search share,
only desktop
@dannysullivan
No one seems to track use of
Siri vs. Google Now
vs. Cortana vs.
actual searches in individual apps
@dannysullivan
@dannysullivan
Google Search 4th Most Popular App
@dannysullivan
Apps Haven’t Killed The Mobile Web
@dannysullivan
Google Search Is Strong In Both
@dannysullivan
Google’s now even
streaming apps
@dannysullivan
@dannysullivan
Google, like any company,
faces challenges
@dannysullivan
But for its biggest product:
SEARCH
the mojo remains
strong & forward-looking
Linkaways
IAB: US Internet Ad Revenues Up 19 Percent In First Half of 2015, Driven By Mobile, Social, Video
IAB: Search Was 50% Of US Digital Ad Spend In 2014, Desktop Still Bigger Than Mobile
Why Google’s Reported CPC Declines Can’t Tell The Story Of “A Mobile Advertising Problem”
Google Product Search To Become Google Shopping, Use Pay-To-Play Model
Google: YouTube Has Been The Cause Of Declining CPCs This Whole Time
Steve Jobs: ‘Search Hasn’t Happened On Mobile Devices’
Google Search Is 4th Most Popular App & Growing Faster Than Facebook [comScore]
Morgan Stanley: No, Apps Aren’t Winning. The Mobile Browser Is
Google App Streaming: A Big Move In Building “The Web Of Apps”

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Some Thoughts On Google's Search Business

Editor's Notes

  • #31: When people want to find a place to go to dinner, they're not searching; they're going to Yelp."