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CIFOR / GOFC-GOLD side event at UNFCCC COP 18, Doha


Step-wise progress for REDD+ monitoring


                     Martin Herold
                  28. November 2012



                                      THINKING beyond the canopy
Framework for national REDD+ monitoring




National forest monitoring (i.e. carbon)




National GHG inventory (IPCC GPG)




 Past                    Current           Future
Variability in country forest monitoring capacities




                 Capacity gap for REDD+ monitoring   Romijn et al., ESP 2012
Success factors for improving capacities




                      Level of importance
Framework for national REDD+ monitoring


                       National
        REDD+          strategy and
                       implementation




National forest monitoring (i.e. carbon)




National GHG inventory (IPCC GPG)




 Past                    Current                      Future

                            REDD+ Phase 1   Phase 2       Phase 3
National forest monitoring systems

1. An national forest monitoring systems should:
     ● Provide estimates on GHG emissions and removals
        from all forest land
     ● Provide data for policy assessment and includes multi-
        sector involvement;
     ● Be linked to monitoring of other forest values;
2. Take advantage of existing national forest monitoring and
   inventory systems
3. Monitoring/sampling strategies may need to be adapted for
   measuring and monitoring forest changes and associated
   carbon emissions using IPCC GPG
4. Stepwise progress and continuous improvement cycles:
     ● Uncertainty, omission of C-pools & gases, scale
GOFC-GOLD REDD+ Sourcebook
      http://www.gofcgold.wur.nl/redd




    A sourcebook of methods and procedures for
monitoring and reporting anthropogenic greenhouse
gas emissions and removals caused by deforestation,
     gains and losses of carbon stocks in forests
         remaining forests, and forestation

    Latest version published for COP-18 in Doha
Framework for national REDD+ monitoring


                       National
        REDD+          strategy and
                       implementation




National forest monitoring (i.e. carbon)




National GHG inventory (IPCC GPG)




                           Reference level (stepwise improvement)



 Past                    Current                                    Future

                            REDD+ Phase 1            Phase 2            Phase 3
Developing REDD+ reference levels

• REL first key “number” to be provided by REDD+ countries
• Historical data and understanding forest change patterns
  and underlying causes are important
   – to take national circumstances into account,
   – to construct scenarios that deviate from historical trends
• The availability of data including those of drivers is uncertain
  in many REDD+ countries
   – Stepwise approach as starting point to match available
     data and their quality with the choice of reference level
     methods, its uncertainties and country circumstances
Overview of a step-wise approach for RELs
                                                  Source: Herold et al., 2012, CIFOR policy brief




• Availability & quality of data should determine the methods to develop
  reference levels
Framework for national REDD+ monitoring


                       National
        REDD+          strategy and          Local REDD+ monitoring
                       implementation
                                                MRV of REDD+ actions
                                                          (national)

National forest monitoring (i.e. carbon)




National GHG inventory (IPCC GPG)




                           Reference level (stepwise improvement)



 Past                    Current                                    Future

                            REDD+ Phase 1            Phase 2            Phase 3
Planning and implementation for REDD+ MRV

1. Define initial priorities for capacity development:
     ● understanding the national REDD+
       implementation strategies and policies
     ● identifying high priority areas to focus MRV
       activities (and demonstrations) using a
       stratified national approach
2. Early actions will need to deal with partial MRV but
   leakage need to be assessed nationally
3. Link with evolving benefit sharing mechanisms
4. Synergy of national and local monitoring
     ● Role of local communities and experts in
       REDD+ implementation
International                 Source: Pratihast et al., 2013,
                                                                 Carbon Management
                                   reporting


                                      National-
                                     level MRV

•   National priorities and                        •   REDD+ participation and
    strategies for local REDD+                         safeguards
    implementation                                 •   Local data collection as input
•   National datasets and                              to national monitoring (forest
    streams for local use                              inventory, regular and near-
•   Capacity development and                           real time tracking of forest
    revenue stream (for MRV)                           change events)
•   MRV guidance & standards                       •   Performance reporting (long-
•   National data infrastructure                       term) for local implementation
    and quality control of local                       activities
    measurements                                   •   Independent data sources for
•   Monitoring of leakage                              validation purposes



                                      Local
                                    monitoring
Framework for national REDD+ monitoring


                       National




                                                                         REDD+ performance (national)
        REDD+          strategy and          Local REDD+ monitoring
                       implementation




                                                                         International verification
                                                MRV of REDD+ actions
                                                          (national)

National forest monitoring (i.e. carbon)




National GHG inventory (IPCC GPG)




                           Reference level (stepwise improvement)



 Past                    Current                                    Future

                            REDD+ Phase 1            Phase 2            Phase 3
International verification and performance

1. International verification anticipated for
   participation in results-based schemes
2. Cover emissions and removals estimates, and
   consistency with reference levels
3. Could also include NFMSs, consultation,
   safeguards and wider forest values.
4. Use a facilitative and non-confrontational
   approach and should be valuable for increasing
   policy effectiveness and sharing experiences
5. Interim performance reporting can catalyse
   progress on MRV and broader REDD+ agenda
Concluding remarks

1. National forest monitoring capacities vary
2. Continuous/cyclic improvements important
   to encourage broad participation and step-
   wise progress (i.e. along REDD+ phases)
3. Experiences on how to improve capacities
4. Sustained support on the national and
   from the international level
5. Linking data and estimates to financial
   incentives and benefit sharing
Additional background materials and reading

   New report on capacity development in national forest monitoring:
    experiences for REDD+: http://www.cifor.org/online-
    library/browse/view-publication/publication/3944.html
   An updated version of the GOFC-GOLD Sourcebook:
    http://www.gofcgold.wur.nl/redd/index.php
   Hosonuma et al, Assessment of deforestation and forest degradation
    drivers, ERL http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/7/4/044009
   Romijn et al, Assessing capacities of non-Annex I countries for
    national forest, ESP
   Pratihast, A. K., et al. (2013). Linking community-based and national
    REDD+ monitoring, Carbon Management
   De Sy et al, Synergies of multiple remote sensing data sources for
    REDD+ monitoring. COSUST

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Step-wise progress for REDD+ monitoring

  • 1. CIFOR / GOFC-GOLD side event at UNFCCC COP 18, Doha Step-wise progress for REDD+ monitoring Martin Herold 28. November 2012 THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 2. Framework for national REDD+ monitoring National forest monitoring (i.e. carbon) National GHG inventory (IPCC GPG) Past Current Future
  • 3. Variability in country forest monitoring capacities Capacity gap for REDD+ monitoring Romijn et al., ESP 2012
  • 4. Success factors for improving capacities Level of importance
  • 5. Framework for national REDD+ monitoring National REDD+ strategy and implementation National forest monitoring (i.e. carbon) National GHG inventory (IPCC GPG) Past Current Future REDD+ Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3
  • 6. National forest monitoring systems 1. An national forest monitoring systems should: ● Provide estimates on GHG emissions and removals from all forest land ● Provide data for policy assessment and includes multi- sector involvement; ● Be linked to monitoring of other forest values; 2. Take advantage of existing national forest monitoring and inventory systems 3. Monitoring/sampling strategies may need to be adapted for measuring and monitoring forest changes and associated carbon emissions using IPCC GPG 4. Stepwise progress and continuous improvement cycles: ● Uncertainty, omission of C-pools & gases, scale
  • 7. GOFC-GOLD REDD+ Sourcebook http://www.gofcgold.wur.nl/redd A sourcebook of methods and procedures for monitoring and reporting anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and removals caused by deforestation, gains and losses of carbon stocks in forests remaining forests, and forestation Latest version published for COP-18 in Doha
  • 8. Framework for national REDD+ monitoring National REDD+ strategy and implementation National forest monitoring (i.e. carbon) National GHG inventory (IPCC GPG) Reference level (stepwise improvement) Past Current Future REDD+ Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3
  • 9. Developing REDD+ reference levels • REL first key “number” to be provided by REDD+ countries • Historical data and understanding forest change patterns and underlying causes are important – to take national circumstances into account, – to construct scenarios that deviate from historical trends • The availability of data including those of drivers is uncertain in many REDD+ countries – Stepwise approach as starting point to match available data and their quality with the choice of reference level methods, its uncertainties and country circumstances
  • 10. Overview of a step-wise approach for RELs Source: Herold et al., 2012, CIFOR policy brief • Availability & quality of data should determine the methods to develop reference levels
  • 11. Framework for national REDD+ monitoring National REDD+ strategy and Local REDD+ monitoring implementation MRV of REDD+ actions (national) National forest monitoring (i.e. carbon) National GHG inventory (IPCC GPG) Reference level (stepwise improvement) Past Current Future REDD+ Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3
  • 12. Planning and implementation for REDD+ MRV 1. Define initial priorities for capacity development: ● understanding the national REDD+ implementation strategies and policies ● identifying high priority areas to focus MRV activities (and demonstrations) using a stratified national approach 2. Early actions will need to deal with partial MRV but leakage need to be assessed nationally 3. Link with evolving benefit sharing mechanisms 4. Synergy of national and local monitoring ● Role of local communities and experts in REDD+ implementation
  • 13. International Source: Pratihast et al., 2013, Carbon Management reporting National- level MRV • National priorities and • REDD+ participation and strategies for local REDD+ safeguards implementation • Local data collection as input • National datasets and to national monitoring (forest streams for local use inventory, regular and near- • Capacity development and real time tracking of forest revenue stream (for MRV) change events) • MRV guidance & standards • Performance reporting (long- • National data infrastructure term) for local implementation and quality control of local activities measurements • Independent data sources for • Monitoring of leakage validation purposes Local monitoring
  • 14. Framework for national REDD+ monitoring National REDD+ performance (national) REDD+ strategy and Local REDD+ monitoring implementation International verification MRV of REDD+ actions (national) National forest monitoring (i.e. carbon) National GHG inventory (IPCC GPG) Reference level (stepwise improvement) Past Current Future REDD+ Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3
  • 15. International verification and performance 1. International verification anticipated for participation in results-based schemes 2. Cover emissions and removals estimates, and consistency with reference levels 3. Could also include NFMSs, consultation, safeguards and wider forest values. 4. Use a facilitative and non-confrontational approach and should be valuable for increasing policy effectiveness and sharing experiences 5. Interim performance reporting can catalyse progress on MRV and broader REDD+ agenda
  • 16. Concluding remarks 1. National forest monitoring capacities vary 2. Continuous/cyclic improvements important to encourage broad participation and step- wise progress (i.e. along REDD+ phases) 3. Experiences on how to improve capacities 4. Sustained support on the national and from the international level 5. Linking data and estimates to financial incentives and benefit sharing
  • 17. Additional background materials and reading  New report on capacity development in national forest monitoring: experiences for REDD+: http://www.cifor.org/online- library/browse/view-publication/publication/3944.html  An updated version of the GOFC-GOLD Sourcebook: http://www.gofcgold.wur.nl/redd/index.php  Hosonuma et al, Assessment of deforestation and forest degradation drivers, ERL http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/7/4/044009  Romijn et al, Assessing capacities of non-Annex I countries for national forest, ESP  Pratihast, A. K., et al. (2013). Linking community-based and national REDD+ monitoring, Carbon Management  De Sy et al, Synergies of multiple remote sensing data sources for REDD+ monitoring. COSUST