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Dr. Animesh Gupta
MD, FDM, FAGE
Associate Professor
Dept. of Community Medicine, NMCH, Jamuhar.
1
Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪A study design is a specific plan or protocol for
conducting the study,which allows the investigator
to translate the conceptual hypothesis into an
operational one
Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods) 2
TYPES
3
QUANTITATIVE QUALITATIVE
Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪Quantitative research is used to quantify the problem by
way of generating numerical data which can be
transformed into useable statistics. It can generalize
results fromsample to population.
▪Qualitative research is exploratory research. It is used to
gain an understanding of underlying reasons,opinions etc.
and provides insight into the problem.
4Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪Descriptive
▪Analytic
▪Experimental
▪Study of the occurrence and
distribution of disease
▪Further studies to determine the
validity of a hypothesis concerning
the occurrence of disease.
▪Deliberate manipulation of the cause
is predictably followed by an
alteration in the effect not due to
chance
5Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
OBSERVATIONAL STUDIES
DESCRIPTIVE STUDY ANALYTICAL STUDIES
✓ TIME
✓ PLACE
✓ PERSON
➢ CROSS SECTIONAL STUDY
➢ CASE-CONTROL STUDY
➢ COHORT STUDY
EXPEREMENTAL STUDIES
➢ RANDOMIZED CONTROLLED TRIAL (RCT)
6Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods) 7
8
Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪1st phase of an epidemiological investigation
▪ Relatively inexpensive and less time-consuming than
analytic studies, they describe,
▪Patterns of disease occurrence, in terms of,
▪When is the disease occuring – time distribution
▪Where is it occuring – place distribution
▪Who is getting a disease – person distribution
9Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪ Defining the population to be studied
▪ Defining the disease under study
▪ Describing the disease by
✓ Time
✓ Place
✓ Person
▪ Measurement of disease
▪ Comparing with known indices
▪ Formulation of etiological hypothesis
10Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
DESCRIPTIVE Health and disease in the community
What? Who? When? Where?
What are the
health problems
of the
community?
What are the
attributes of
these illnesses?
How many
people
are affected?
What are the
attributes of
affected
persons?
Over what
period of time?
Where do the
affected
people
live, work or
spend leisure
time?
11Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪Detailed presentation of a single case.
▪Generally report a new or unique finding
✓e.g.previous undescribed disease
✓e.g.unexpected link between diseases
✓e.g.unexpected new therapeutic effect
✓e.g.adverse events
Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪Experience of a group of patients with a similar diagnosis
▪Cases may be identified from a single or multiple sources
▪Generally report on new/unique condition
▪Advantages
• Useful for hypothesis generation
• Informative for very rare disease established risk factors
Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪Case Report → One case of unusual findings
▪Case Series → Multiple cases of findings
14Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪Data collected at a singlepoint in time
▪An“observational”design that surveys exposures and
disease status at a single point in time (a cross-section of
the population)
▪Measures prevalence
▪A “Snapshot”
Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods) 15
16
Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪Ancient Roman Military
unit, A band of
warriors.
▪Persons banded
together.
▪Its a group of people
who share a common
characteristic or
experience. [Latin]
▪E.g. age, birth date,
17Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪ Longitudinal
▪ Prospective studies
▪ Forward looking study
▪ Incidence study
▪ Starts with people free of disease
▪ Assesses exposure at “baseline”
▪ Assesses disease status at “follow-up”
18Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
STUDY DESIGN
To examine a relation between a factor and the disease:
❑ All subjects are free from the disease at the beginnning
❑ Subjects are categorised on the basis of presence or
absence of exposure to the risk factor
❑ Subjects are then followed over time to determine who
develops the disease
19Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
People
without
the
disease
Exposed
Not
Exposed
Disease
No
Disease
Disease
No Disease
20Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪Selection of study subjects
▪Obtaining data on exposure
▪Selection of comparison group
▪Follow up
▪Analysis
21Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪Calculation of incidence rates among exposed and non
exposed groups
▪Estimation of risk
22Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
INCIDENCE RATES OF OUTCOME
a b a+b
c d c+d
a+c b+d TOTAL
EXPOSURE
STATUS
DISEASE STATUS
TOTAL
STUDY COHORT
COMPARISON COHORT
YES
NO
YES NO
❑ Incidence among exposed = a/ (a+b)
❑ Incidence among non exposed = c/ (c+d)
23Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
RELATIVE RISK
❑ It is the ratio of the incidence of disease in exposed
compared to incidence in non exposed
❑ RR=
incidence among exposed
incidence among non exposed
24Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
INTERPRETATION
▪If RR=1.0, then there is no association between the
exposure and the disease
▪If RR>1.0, then there is positive association between the
agent and disease
▪If RR<1.0, then there is negative association, which means a
curative effect of the agent on the risk of disease. Eg:
immunisation lowers the risk of disease.
25Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
26
Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪ Also knowns as “retrospective study”
▪ From effect to cause
▪ The case control method has three distinct features:
▪ Both exposure and out come have occurred before the start of
the study.
▪ The study proceeds backwards from effect to cause.
▪ It uses a control or comparison group to support or refute
an inference.
27Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
28Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
1. Selection of cases and controls
2. Matching
3. Measurement of exposure
4. Analysis & interpretation
29Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪ Matching (matching is the process of selecting controls who
are similar to the cases in certain key characteristics – eg.
age,sex,race)
▪ Individual matching (matched pair)
▪ for each case, a control is selected who is similar to the case for
a given variable
▪ Group matching (frequency matching)
▪ proportion of controls with a given characteristic (variable) is
identical to proportion of cases with the same characteristic
30Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
Cases Controls
Risk factor + a b
Risk factor -- c d
31Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪Odds = is the ratio of the probability that an event will
happen to the probability that it will not happen
32Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪Odds of exposure among diseased = a/c
▪Odds of exposure among non-diseased = b/d
▪Exposure Odds ratio = a/c ÷ b/d
▪Odds ratio = ad/bc
33Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
Case-control study
Individuals with
particular disease (cases)
Individuals without
particular disease (controls)
-------------------------------
Individuals exposed to
particular factor
Individuals unexposed to
particular factor
Cohort study
Presence
or
Absence
of disease
Factor
present
or
absent
34Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
35
Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪ In the 18th century, Scottish surgeon
named James Lind began to unravel
the secrets of scurvy.
▪ While working as naval surgeon (after
eight weeks at sea), he encountered a
cases of scurvy among sailors, and then
he decided to test his idea that the
putrefaction of the body caused by the
disease could be prevented with
acids.
▪ On May 20, he divided the 12 sick
sailors into 6 pairs, and provided each
of them with a different supplement in
their diet.
October 4, 1716 – July 13, 1794
Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods) 36
▪Experimental study
▪Basic steps
1. Drawing up a protocol
2. Selecting reference & experimental populations
3. Randomization
4. Manipulation or intervention
5. Follow-up
6. Assessment of outcome
37Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪ Aims and objectives of study
▪ Questions to be answered
▪ Criteria for the selection of study and control groups
▪ Size of the sample
▪ Procedures for allocation of subjects into study and control groups
▪ Treatments to be applied-when and where and how to what kind of
patients
▪ Standardization of working procedures and schedules as well as
responsibilities of parties involved in trial
▪ Evaluation of outcome of the study
38Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
a) Reference or target population
• Is the one to which the findings of the trial ,if found
successful are expected to be applicable.(e.g. drug,
vaccine)
• Can be broad as mankind, or geographically limited or
limited to persons in specific age, sex, occupatinal or social
groups(whole city, school children, industrial workers etc)
39Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
b) Experimental or study population
-Derived from the reference population
-Participants of the experimental study
-Randomly chosen
-Chose a stable population (avoid losses to
follow-up)
40Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
1. Must give “informed consent” i.e. they must agree to
participate in trial after been fully informed about
purpose ,procedures and possible dangers of trial
2. Representatives of population to which they belong .
3. Qualified or eligible for the trial
41Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪Participants are allocated into “study” and “control”
groups.
▪Eliminate “bias” and allow comparability
▪Investigator has no control over allocation
▪Individual has equal chance of being in either of the groups
42Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods) 43
▪ Deliberate application or withdrawal or reduction of the
suspected causal factor to the experimental group(drug,
vaccine, dietary component or habit)
▪ Creates an independent variable (drug or vaccine) effect of
which determined by final outcome that is dependent
variable (incidence of disease, survival time, recovery
period)
44Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪Examination of both groups till final assessment of the
outcome
▪Attrition : Losses to follow-up due to death, migration or
loss of interest
(difficult to generalize the results of study to reference
population)
45Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
▪ POSITIVE RESULTS
Benefits of the experimental
measure such as reduced
incidence or severity of
disease, cost to health service
or other appropriate outcomes
▪ NEGATIVE RESULTS
Severity and frequency of side-
effects and complication if any
including death
Incidence of positive and negative results are compared in both
groups and differences if any are tested for statistical significance
46Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods) 47
Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods) 48
Objective Study type
Prevalence Cross Sectional
Incidence Cohort Study
Causal association Case control
Cohort Study
Prognosis Cohort Study
Natural history of disease Cohort
Treatment effect RCT
Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods) 49
Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
50

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Study Design (Epidemilogical method)

  • 1. Dr. Animesh Gupta MD, FDM, FAGE Associate Professor Dept. of Community Medicine, NMCH, Jamuhar. 1 Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 2. ▪A study design is a specific plan or protocol for conducting the study,which allows the investigator to translate the conceptual hypothesis into an operational one Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods) 2
  • 3. TYPES 3 QUANTITATIVE QUALITATIVE Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 4. ▪Quantitative research is used to quantify the problem by way of generating numerical data which can be transformed into useable statistics. It can generalize results fromsample to population. ▪Qualitative research is exploratory research. It is used to gain an understanding of underlying reasons,opinions etc. and provides insight into the problem. 4Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 5. ▪Descriptive ▪Analytic ▪Experimental ▪Study of the occurrence and distribution of disease ▪Further studies to determine the validity of a hypothesis concerning the occurrence of disease. ▪Deliberate manipulation of the cause is predictably followed by an alteration in the effect not due to chance 5Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 6. OBSERVATIONAL STUDIES DESCRIPTIVE STUDY ANALYTICAL STUDIES ✓ TIME ✓ PLACE ✓ PERSON ➢ CROSS SECTIONAL STUDY ➢ CASE-CONTROL STUDY ➢ COHORT STUDY EXPEREMENTAL STUDIES ➢ RANDOMIZED CONTROLLED TRIAL (RCT) 6Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 7. Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods) 7
  • 8. 8 Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 9. ▪1st phase of an epidemiological investigation ▪ Relatively inexpensive and less time-consuming than analytic studies, they describe, ▪Patterns of disease occurrence, in terms of, ▪When is the disease occuring – time distribution ▪Where is it occuring – place distribution ▪Who is getting a disease – person distribution 9Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 10. ▪ Defining the population to be studied ▪ Defining the disease under study ▪ Describing the disease by ✓ Time ✓ Place ✓ Person ▪ Measurement of disease ▪ Comparing with known indices ▪ Formulation of etiological hypothesis 10Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 11. DESCRIPTIVE Health and disease in the community What? Who? When? Where? What are the health problems of the community? What are the attributes of these illnesses? How many people are affected? What are the attributes of affected persons? Over what period of time? Where do the affected people live, work or spend leisure time? 11Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 12. ▪Detailed presentation of a single case. ▪Generally report a new or unique finding ✓e.g.previous undescribed disease ✓e.g.unexpected link between diseases ✓e.g.unexpected new therapeutic effect ✓e.g.adverse events Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 13. ▪Experience of a group of patients with a similar diagnosis ▪Cases may be identified from a single or multiple sources ▪Generally report on new/unique condition ▪Advantages • Useful for hypothesis generation • Informative for very rare disease established risk factors Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 14. ▪Case Report → One case of unusual findings ▪Case Series → Multiple cases of findings 14Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 15. ▪Data collected at a singlepoint in time ▪An“observational”design that surveys exposures and disease status at a single point in time (a cross-section of the population) ▪Measures prevalence ▪A “Snapshot” Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods) 15
  • 16. 16 Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 17. ▪Ancient Roman Military unit, A band of warriors. ▪Persons banded together. ▪Its a group of people who share a common characteristic or experience. [Latin] ▪E.g. age, birth date, 17Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 18. ▪ Longitudinal ▪ Prospective studies ▪ Forward looking study ▪ Incidence study ▪ Starts with people free of disease ▪ Assesses exposure at “baseline” ▪ Assesses disease status at “follow-up” 18Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 19. STUDY DESIGN To examine a relation between a factor and the disease: ❑ All subjects are free from the disease at the beginnning ❑ Subjects are categorised on the basis of presence or absence of exposure to the risk factor ❑ Subjects are then followed over time to determine who develops the disease 19Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 21. ▪Selection of study subjects ▪Obtaining data on exposure ▪Selection of comparison group ▪Follow up ▪Analysis 21Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 22. ▪Calculation of incidence rates among exposed and non exposed groups ▪Estimation of risk 22Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 23. INCIDENCE RATES OF OUTCOME a b a+b c d c+d a+c b+d TOTAL EXPOSURE STATUS DISEASE STATUS TOTAL STUDY COHORT COMPARISON COHORT YES NO YES NO ❑ Incidence among exposed = a/ (a+b) ❑ Incidence among non exposed = c/ (c+d) 23Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 24. RELATIVE RISK ❑ It is the ratio of the incidence of disease in exposed compared to incidence in non exposed ❑ RR= incidence among exposed incidence among non exposed 24Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 25. INTERPRETATION ▪If RR=1.0, then there is no association between the exposure and the disease ▪If RR>1.0, then there is positive association between the agent and disease ▪If RR<1.0, then there is negative association, which means a curative effect of the agent on the risk of disease. Eg: immunisation lowers the risk of disease. 25Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 26. 26 Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 27. ▪ Also knowns as “retrospective study” ▪ From effect to cause ▪ The case control method has three distinct features: ▪ Both exposure and out come have occurred before the start of the study. ▪ The study proceeds backwards from effect to cause. ▪ It uses a control or comparison group to support or refute an inference. 27Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 28. 28Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 29. 1. Selection of cases and controls 2. Matching 3. Measurement of exposure 4. Analysis & interpretation 29Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 30. ▪ Matching (matching is the process of selecting controls who are similar to the cases in certain key characteristics – eg. age,sex,race) ▪ Individual matching (matched pair) ▪ for each case, a control is selected who is similar to the case for a given variable ▪ Group matching (frequency matching) ▪ proportion of controls with a given characteristic (variable) is identical to proportion of cases with the same characteristic 30Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 31. Cases Controls Risk factor + a b Risk factor -- c d 31Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 32. ▪Odds = is the ratio of the probability that an event will happen to the probability that it will not happen 32Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 33. ▪Odds of exposure among diseased = a/c ▪Odds of exposure among non-diseased = b/d ▪Exposure Odds ratio = a/c ÷ b/d ▪Odds ratio = ad/bc 33Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 34. Case-control study Individuals with particular disease (cases) Individuals without particular disease (controls) ------------------------------- Individuals exposed to particular factor Individuals unexposed to particular factor Cohort study Presence or Absence of disease Factor present or absent 34Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 35. 35 Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 36. ▪ In the 18th century, Scottish surgeon named James Lind began to unravel the secrets of scurvy. ▪ While working as naval surgeon (after eight weeks at sea), he encountered a cases of scurvy among sailors, and then he decided to test his idea that the putrefaction of the body caused by the disease could be prevented with acids. ▪ On May 20, he divided the 12 sick sailors into 6 pairs, and provided each of them with a different supplement in their diet. October 4, 1716 – July 13, 1794 Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods) 36
  • 37. ▪Experimental study ▪Basic steps 1. Drawing up a protocol 2. Selecting reference & experimental populations 3. Randomization 4. Manipulation or intervention 5. Follow-up 6. Assessment of outcome 37Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 38. ▪ Aims and objectives of study ▪ Questions to be answered ▪ Criteria for the selection of study and control groups ▪ Size of the sample ▪ Procedures for allocation of subjects into study and control groups ▪ Treatments to be applied-when and where and how to what kind of patients ▪ Standardization of working procedures and schedules as well as responsibilities of parties involved in trial ▪ Evaluation of outcome of the study 38Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 39. a) Reference or target population • Is the one to which the findings of the trial ,if found successful are expected to be applicable.(e.g. drug, vaccine) • Can be broad as mankind, or geographically limited or limited to persons in specific age, sex, occupatinal or social groups(whole city, school children, industrial workers etc) 39Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 40. b) Experimental or study population -Derived from the reference population -Participants of the experimental study -Randomly chosen -Chose a stable population (avoid losses to follow-up) 40Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 41. 1. Must give “informed consent” i.e. they must agree to participate in trial after been fully informed about purpose ,procedures and possible dangers of trial 2. Representatives of population to which they belong . 3. Qualified or eligible for the trial 41Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 42. ▪Participants are allocated into “study” and “control” groups. ▪Eliminate “bias” and allow comparability ▪Investigator has no control over allocation ▪Individual has equal chance of being in either of the groups 42Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 43. Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods) 43
  • 44. ▪ Deliberate application or withdrawal or reduction of the suspected causal factor to the experimental group(drug, vaccine, dietary component or habit) ▪ Creates an independent variable (drug or vaccine) effect of which determined by final outcome that is dependent variable (incidence of disease, survival time, recovery period) 44Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 45. ▪Examination of both groups till final assessment of the outcome ▪Attrition : Losses to follow-up due to death, migration or loss of interest (difficult to generalize the results of study to reference population) 45Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 46. ▪ POSITIVE RESULTS Benefits of the experimental measure such as reduced incidence or severity of disease, cost to health service or other appropriate outcomes ▪ NEGATIVE RESULTS Severity and frequency of side- effects and complication if any including death Incidence of positive and negative results are compared in both groups and differences if any are tested for statistical significance 46Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods)
  • 47. Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods) 47
  • 48. Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods) 48
  • 49. Objective Study type Prevalence Cross Sectional Incidence Cohort Study Causal association Case control Cohort Study Prognosis Cohort Study Natural history of disease Cohort Treatment effect RCT Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods) 49
  • 50. Dr. Animesh Gupta Study Design (Epidemiological Methods) 50