Swing Trading System by AlgorithmicTrading.net
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The document summarizes the performance of an automated trading system called the Swing Trader, which trades S&P 500 Emini Futures (ES) and Ten Year Note (TY). It provides details on the walk-forward and back-tested performance from 2003 to 2017, including total profit, number of trades, maximum drawdown, average monthly and annual returns. It also outlines two pricing options - an outright lease or profit share plan - and includes various disclaimers about hypothetical and back-tested performance.
Swing Trading System by AlgorithmicTrading.net
- 1. 1 The Swing Trader Our Swing Trader portfolio trades the S&P 500 Emini Futures (ES) and Ten Year Note (TY). This is a 100% automated trading system which can be auto-executed with best efforts by multiple NFA Registered Brokers. It can also be installed and loaded onto the Tradestation platform. Walk-Forward Performance Summary The following data covers the walk-forward (out-of-sample) period covering 10/15/15-8/1/17. Trading futures involves substantial risk of loss and is not appropriate for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. The Swing Trader Unit Size $15,000 Period Covered 10/1/15- 8/1/17 (walk- forward) Total P/L $ $18,610 Number of Trades 181 Percent Profitable 75.69% Maximum Drawdown* -$6,779 Maximum Drawdown Duration 9/9/16- 11/14/16 Average Per Month 5.64% Average Per Year 67.67% * Losses could exceed maximum drawdown. This is measured from peak-to-valley, closing trade to closing trade. CFTC RULE 4.41: Results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.
- 2. 2 Back-Tested Performance Summary The following data covers the back-tested (in-sample) period covering 10/1/03-9/30/15. Trading futures involves substantial risk of loss and is not appropriate for all investors. The Swing Trader Unit Size $15,000 Period Covered 10/1/03-9/30/15 (back-tested*) Number of Trades 1244 Percent Profitable 78% Maximum Drawdown* -$6,521 Maximum Drawdown Duration 9/9/16-11/14/16 Average Per Month 6.30% Average Per Year 75.57% *CFTC RULE 4.41: Results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.
- 3. 3 Monthly Performance These results assume the ES and TY were all traded evenly across a strategy exactly as our alerts described. Trades beginning in October 2015 are considered Walk-Forward/Out-of-Sample, while trades prior to October 2015 are considered back-tested. Profit/Loss given are based on a $15,000 account trading 1 unit on the Swing Trader. This data is Non-Compounded. Swing Trader Monthly Performance (as of 8/1/17) CFTC RULE 4.41: Results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown. Gains presented do not include the license fee charged by AlgorithmicTrading.net for the use of it’s algorithms. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN; IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT TRADING RESULTS.
- 4. 4 Pricing Options Option #1: Outright Lease With Option #1, our we charge a one-time setup fee based on the number of contracts you wish to trade and a maintenance fee of 5% of profits generated billed monthly based on a high-water mark. Option #2: Profit Share Plan With Option #2, we charge a much smaller one time setup fee based on the number of contracts you wish to trade. In addition, we bill you for 20% of the profits made using our algorithms. This is done using a high-water mark, based on the net liquidating value of the account at the completion of each month. Note: Per our disclaimer, AlgorithmicTrading.net is a third party trading system developer (not a registered CTA). The profit share plan is considered a payment for the use of our algorithms.
- 5. 5 Disclaimer Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results. Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site. • Profits are not reinvested. We do not show compounded returns. All results posted assume $15,000 is traded throughout the entire period analyzed (1 contract on each algorithm). • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you initially invested $15,000 (the per unit trade size). • One time setup fee, maintenance fee/profit share is not included in results posted unless otherwise noted. • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our analysis looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest dollar amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") on a closing trade to closing trade basis. While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here. Trading is risky There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Third part trading system developer AlgorithmicTrading.net provides trading algorithms based on a computerized system, which is also available for use on a personal computer. All customers receive the same signals within any given algorithm package. All advice is impersonal and not tailored to any individual’s unique situation. AlgorithmicTrading.net, and it’s principles, are not required to register with the NFA as a CTA and are publicly claiming this exemption. Information posted online or distributed through email has NOT been reviewed by any government agencies. Carefully consider this prior to purchasing or leasing our algorithms.