The Emergence Of Clinical
Depressions In The Human Life
Cycle
Professor Ian M Goodyer
Department of Psychiatry
University of Cambridge
•  The Scope and Characteristics of the Problem.
•  Depression Severity and Psychotic Experiences.
•  Mathematical approaches to phenotypes.
•  Discovering Biomarkers.
•  The Maturing brain.
This Lecture
Depressed mood
Irritability/anger
Pervasive anhedonia
Weight/appetite disturbance
Sleep disturbance
Psychomotor disturbance
Fatigue, lack of energy, tiredness
Negative Self-perceptions
Executive Cognitive disturbance
Suicide
Descriptive Psychopathology
Unipolar Major Depression
	
  =	
  1	
  
	
  =	
  1	
  mood + 4 (or
more) others
A Symptoms (1 only) B Symptoms (>=4)+
High	
  Reliability	
  but	
  Low	
  Validity	
  
The Emergence Of The Depressions:
The Correlates of Age
Prevalence Of Youth Diagnostic
Depressions In The First 2 Decades Of Life
•  <1%	
  in	
  Pre-­‐pubertal	
  Children:	
  	
  B=G.	
  
•  3%-­‐6%	
  in	
  post-­‐pubertal	
  adolescents:	
  G	
  >B	
  2:1.	
  
•  ~70%	
  -­‐>	
  premorbid	
  non	
  specific	
  difficulMes.	
  
•  Higher	
  symptoms	
  -­‐>	
  more	
  severity	
  -­‐>	
  lower	
  T	
  response.	
  
•  Clinical	
  typology	
  is	
  top	
  down	
  and	
  heterogeneous.	
  
•  High	
  reliability	
  but	
  low	
  validity.	
  
Common mental illnesses are emergent between 10 and 30 years.
Endophenotypes likely to be formed by the first two decades of life.
In contrast activation processes may occur proximal to illness emergence
Developmental Epidemiology of disease
The Emergence Of The Depressions:
Illness Severity	
  
Depressed mood
Irritability/anger
Pervasive anhedonia
Weight/appetite disturbance
Sleep disturbance
Psychomotor disturbance
Fatigue, lack of energy, tiredness
Negative Self-perceptions
Executive Cognitive disturbance
Suicide
Descriptive Psychopathology
Unipolar Major Depression
	
  =	
  1	
  
	
  =	
  1	
  mood + 4 (or
more) others
A Symptoms (1 only) B Symptoms (>=4)+
How	
  many	
  possible	
  permuta2ons	
  are	
  there	
  ?	
  >1,000	
  
How	
  many	
  occur	
  -­‐	
  	
  not	
  known	
  
High	
  Reliability	
  BUT	
  low	
  validity	
  	
  
Latent Trait for depression
Low High
Item Location
One Item at
medium strength
on the trait
Item Discrimination
between persons in different regions
on the latent continuum
p (guess)
Item Response Theory:
A mathematical approach that accounts for
location, discrimination and chance
IndividualVariation
:	
  
	
  	
  	
  
	
  
-3 0 +3
Latent trait for depression
Common variance between items reveals the latent trait
Unique variance of the item reveals its singular importance
Tears hopelesness insomnia retardation anhedonia
Latent Trait for Depression:
Construct Validity
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  1	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
variaMon	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  0	
  
Unique	
  variance	
  for	
  each	
  item	
  	
  
	
   	
  Behaviour	
  in	
  the	
  adolescent	
  populaMon	
  	
  
Common	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  Uncommon 	
  	
  
 	
  
•  The	
  y-­‐axis	
  is	
  the	
  probability	
  that	
  the	
  SMFQ	
  symptom	
  is	
  endorsed.	
  	
  
•  All	
  items	
  funcMon	
  at	
  more	
  or	
  less	
  the	
  same	
  level	
  on	
  the	
  latent	
  trait.	
  	
  
•  All	
  items	
  are	
  located	
  towards	
  the	
  more	
  severe	
  end—to	
  the	
  right	
  of	
  the	
  figures.	
  
•  The	
  probability	
  of	
  endorsing	
  any	
  item	
  is	
  very	
  low.	
  	
  
	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Sharp	
  et	
  al	
  (2006)	
  J	
  Abnorm	
  Child	
  Psychol	
  ;34(3):379-­‐91.	
  
-­‐3	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  0 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  +3 	
  	
  	
  -­‐3	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  0	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  +	
  3	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  -­‐3	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  0	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  +3	
  	
  	
  	
  -­‐3	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  0	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  +3	
  	
  
Latent	
  trait	
  for	
  depression	
  
1	
  
	
  
	
  
V
a
r
i
a
t	
  
i
o
n	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
0	
  
IRT For 657 Children 7-11 years for self reported
depressive symptoms across the latent trait
IRT Model gives 2 dimensions for depressive symptoms
Latent trait for depression and 2nd for maturation.
Atypical depressive items load on the 2nd only
IRT For 2,307 teens aged 11-18 years for
depressive symptoms across the latent traits
Cole D et al (2012 ) J Abnorm Psychol. 121(4):838-51
Summary
•  The magnitude of individual item response
for contributing to a clinical state vary with age.
•  The importance of items varies with sample type.
•  Metabolic effects during adolescence account
for weight gain and appetite increases.
•  Clinical diagnostic markers for primary care
and hospital practice are likely to be different.
Revealing	
  Structure	
  of	
  Clinical	
  
Phenotypes	
  
Using 33 item MFQ and 28 item RMAS
D: Depression.
A: anxiety.
W:Worrying.
S: Somatic symptoms.
G :General distress factor.
Sp1-3: Specific factors.
IRT : Hierarchical Bi-Factor Modeling
1159	
  respondents	
  aged	
  14	
  yrs.	
  
Sex	
  effects	
  tested	
  (ns)=	
  set	
  to	
  	
  zero.	
  
8%	
  Any	
  Dep;	
  6%	
  Any	
  Anx	
  by	
  14	
  yrs.	
  
Incl.	
  correlated	
  errors	
  >0.6	
  
considerably	
  improved	
  the	
  fit.	
  
NS	
  effects	
  of	
  instrument/method	
  
	
  	
  
Brodbeck et al (2011) BMC Psychiatry 11:191
Brodbeck et al (2014) J Affect Disord.52-154:299-305
Bifactor Model and DiagnosticTypologies
Distress	
  
Worry	
  
Hopeless	
  
SomaMc	
  
DSM	
  
Diagnoses	
  Currently	
  	
  &	
  3	
  years	
  later	
  	
  
Depressions and Psychotic Experience
Psychotic Experiences (PE) and Depression
•  PE are common in the general population (3%=5%).
•  PE and MDD are co-occurring.
•  Share the same risk factors.
•  Conceptual, clinical and causal links exist.
•  No clear cut validity for distinction in clinical typology.
•  Excluded from diagnostic criteria for MDD.
PsychoMc	
  Experiences	
  (PE),	
  Depressive	
  	
  
And	
  Anxiety	
  (D&A)	
  Symptoms	
  
Stochl	
  ,	
  J.,	
  et	
  al	
  (2015)	
  Psychological	
  Medicine,	
  45	
  :07,	
  1483-­‐1493	
  
Location Of Psychotic Experiences
Relative To Depressive And Anxiety Symptoms
Stochl	
  ,	
  J.,	
  et	
  al	
  (2015)	
  Psychological	
  Medicine,	
  45	
  :07,1483-­‐1493	
  
Summary
Bifactor models reveal a common general latent
trait that links behaviourally different items.
This is likely to account for covariance at the factor
level; comorbidity at the clinical level.
Need a much greater scientific understanding of
the behavioural repertoire in the ‘natural world’
First step in creating new valid clinical typologies.
Discovering Biomarkers in the Adolescent
Population:
“a biologic feature that can be used to measure the
presence or progress of disease or the effects of
treatment.”
 
Gene-­‐Environment	
  PopulaMon	
  
Markers	
  For	
  The	
  Presence	
  of	
  
Depressions	
  
MulMlevel	
  Gene–environments	
  And	
  Symptoms	
  
A	
  Longitudinal	
  PerspecMve	
  	
  5HTTLPR	
  
ll	
  
Child	
  maltreatment	
  
Yes	
  	
  
Symptoms	
  
CogniMon	
  
Child	
  maltreatment	
  
No	
  
Symptoms	
  
CogniMon	
  	
  
ls	
  
Child	
  Maltreatment	
  
Yes	
  
Symptoms	
  
CogniMon	
  
Child	
  maltreatment	
  
No	
  
Symptoms	
  
CogniMon	
  
ss	
  
Child	
  Maltreatment	
  
No	
  
Symptoms	
  
CogniMon	
  
Chid	
  Maltreatment	
  
Yes	
  
Symptoms	
  
CogniMon	
  
MulMple	
  SEM	
  tests	
  the	
  effects	
  simultaneously	
  via	
  GLM	
  regression	
  whilst	
  
	
  controlling	
  the	
  covariance	
  for	
  each	
  equaMon.	
  	
  
 	
  
Moderation-mediation of Cognition and Symptoms
in 277 16-17 yr olds
Probabilistic Reversal
More errors (p=0.004) &
switching in SS (CA +ve)
(p=0.02).
Affective G-NG
SS/CA+ve ->more
commission errors on
the neutral task(p=0.01)
AGN Neutral
commission errors
(OR=1.82, p=0.006)
Anxiety
Depressive
Disorders
SS(CA+ve) ->higher mean depression
and anxiety scores at 14 yrs.
Longitudinal prediction from
cognition to symptoms at 18-19 years
A	
  
B	
  
C	
  
D	
  
Owens et al (2012) PLoS One. 7(11):e48482
Depression	
  	
  
Anxiety	
  
 
Psychoendocrine	
  PopulaMon	
  Markers	
  
Depressive	
  CogniMons	
  and	
  Clinical	
  
Disorders	
  	
  
	
  
Psychoendocrine Subgroups In 2 Distinct
Adolescent Community Populations in
Cambridge
Depression	
  symptoms	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
and	
  morning	
  cor2sol	
  level	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
from	
  3	
  assessments	
  over	
  2me	
  	
  
Low	
  D	
  scores	
  
Low	
  Cor2sol	
  
High	
  D	
  scores	
  
Low	
  Cor2sol	
  
Low	
  D	
  Scores	
  	
  
High	
  Cor2sol	
  
High	
  D	
  Scores	
  
High	
  Cor2sol	
  
Define	
  subgroups	
  using	
  latent	
  
class	
  analysis	
  	
  
Classes	
  created	
  from	
  a	
  discovery	
  sample	
  n=666	
  with	
  both	
  measures	
  at0,8	
  and	
  12	
  months	
  
Replicated	
  in	
  a	
  2nd	
  sample	
  ,	
  n=1198	
  with	
  D	
  measures	
  at	
  0,	
  18,36	
  months	
  but	
  Cort	
  at	
  only	
  
Clinical	
  Depression	
  Cases	
  	
  By	
  Class	
  	
  
0	
  
20	
  
40	
  
60	
  
80	
  
100	
  
120	
  
Class	
  1	
   Class	
  2	
   Class	
  3	
   Class	
  4	
  
Not	
  MD	
  (n=1,524)	
  
MD	
  (n=	
  207)	
  
•  Each	
  Sta2s2cally	
  derived	
  sub	
  type	
  or	
  class	
  has	
  a	
  %	
  of	
  depressed	
  cases	
  by	
  17	
  years	
  of	
  age.	
  
•  Theore2cally	
  these	
  depressed	
  cases	
  from	
  each	
  sub-­‐type	
  will	
  have	
  different	
  mechanisms	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Accoun2ng	
  for	
  the	
  emergence	
  of	
  depressions.	
  
Owens M et al. PNAS 2014;111:3638-3643
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Low	
  D+C 	
   	
  High	
  C	
  only	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  High	
  D	
  only	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  High	
  D+C	
  
	
  	
  N=	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  539 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
   	
  	
  	
  475	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
   	
  	
  421 	
  	
  	
   	
   	
  	
  296	
  
The odds ratios for MD in each class by sex
Owens M et al. PNAS 2014;111:3638-3643
©2014 by National Academy of Sciences
The odds ratios for MD in each
class by sex. The reference group
is class 1 (n = 539). Adjusted for
cohort, age, and pubertal status.
LCA 4 classes and overgeneral memory (OGM)
Class 4 > OGM responses than all other classes (4>1, P < 0.01),( 4>2, P < 0.001)
and(4>3, P = 0.01). No sex × classes interaction (P = 0.83).
N=660	
  
Owens M et al. PNAS 2014;111:3638-3643
Summary
•  5HTTLPR ‘s’ carriers + child maltreatment at risk for
high anxiety and depressive symptoms .
•  Impaired bottom up emotion processing and/or
difficulties in top down ‘learning through uncertainty’.
•  Dual processing cognitive deficits hypothesis.
•  High depression/distress traits + high morning trait cortisol
defines a very high risk population sub type of adolescents.
•  Characterised by impairments in autobiographical memory
for both sexes and in boys only for clinical depressions.
•  Corticoid mediated cognitive hypothesis.
Timing	
  And	
  The	
  Developing	
  Human	
  Brain:	
  
	
  
ImplicaMons	
  Of	
  Timing	
  Of	
  Experiences	
  And	
  The	
  
Emergence	
  Of	
  Depression	
  	
  	
  
Brain development proceeds in stages that vary across regions.
Hippocampal volumes are 85% of adult values by adrenarche.
Comparatively occurs in all mammalian species.
Rates similar across species including the onset of puberty and higher-level cognition.
Gray Matter Changes
Cortical And Subcortical Brain Regions: 6-23 Years
Based on Data from Jay Giedd: published in Andersen and Teicher 2008 TINS
•  Meta-­‐analysis	
  of	
  23	
  studies:	
  GM	
  reducMon	
  in	
  bilateral	
  
rostral	
  ACC	
  .	
  	
  
•  ReducMon	
  in	
  rostral	
  ACC	
  the	
  most	
  consistent.	
  	
  
	
  
•  ReducMons	
  in	
  other	
  regions	
  within	
  fronto-­‐subcorMcal	
  
and	
  limbic	
  regions	
  was	
  less	
  consistent.	
  	
  
•  Related	
  posiMvely	
  to	
  illness	
  duraMon.	
  
•  Chronic/persistent	
  MDD	
  has	
  a	
  deleterious	
  and	
  perhaps	
  
focal	
  effect	
  on	
  brain	
  structure	
  
Grey Matter Reduction And Affective Disorders
Meta-Analysis Findings
•  X-­‐SecMonal	
  structural	
  neuroimaging.	
  
•  	
  109	
  MDD	
  36	
  healthy	
  controls	
  Case-­‐control	
  
comparison.	
  
•  F>M	
  (3:1)	
  ;	
  11-­‐17	
  years.	
  
	
  
•  GMV	
  in	
  ACC	
  and	
  across	
  the	
  whole-­‐brain.	
  
The Depressed But Still Developing Brain
Main effect of age on GMV: controls>MDD.
Age differences are dissimilar between MDD and controls.
Age & Symptom Correlates of GMV
in the ACC.
Hagan	
  et	
  al	
  2015	
  ,	
  Neuroimage:Clinical	
  
Opposite to ACC : MDD > CON.
MDD only: GMV in thalamus (not ACC) 1/symptoms.
Age and Depressive Symptom
GMV decreases in the Thalamus
Unpublished	
  Results	
  
•  Dissimilar	
  age-­‐related	
  	
  and	
  symptom-­‐sensiMve	
  parerns	
  of	
  	
  
	
  GMV	
  differences	
  compared	
  with	
  controls.	
  	
  
•  The	
  thalamus	
  and	
  ACC	
  may	
  comprise	
  disMncMve	
  neural	
  markers	
  for	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  detecMng	
  these	
  effects	
  in	
  youth.	
  
•  CriMcal	
  to	
  disaggregate	
  antecedent	
  neural	
  vulnerabiliMes	
  for	
  MDD	
  	
  
	
  from	
  the	
  effects	
  of	
  MDD	
  on	
  the	
  developing	
  brain.	
  
Summary
The Depressed And Developing
Adolescent Brain
The Neural Maturation Gap:
Understanding The Importance Of Brain Development
Observation
Early consolidation of limbic-sub-cortical
reward processing networks.
Later consolidation of neocortical control
networks.
Spike in drug use, psychotic and mood
disorders in the neural maturation gap.
Hypothesis
Increased incidence of psychopathology in
adolescence associated with different
developmental rates for limbic and prefrontal
systems.
Proposed Mechanism
Variation in rate of myelination of long
distance cortico-cortical tracts predicts
developmental reconfiguration of large scale
brain networks.
Experience dependent synaptic plasticity and
pruning of inactive connections are other
plausible mechanisms.
IncidenceNeuraldevelopment
Limbic System
PFC
Drug use,
Psychosis,
Depressions
Faculty
Peter Jones
Ed Bullmore
Peter Fonagy
John Suckling
Tim Croudace
Paul Fletcher
Barbara Sahakian
Research Staff
Matt Owens
Michelle St Clair
Jeannette Brodbeck
Cindy Hagan
Kirstie Whittaker
Anne Laura van Harmelen
16 Graduate Assistants
4 Admin Staff
Thanks to all the participants and their families
NIHR UK
Wellcome Trust
MRC UK
Cambridge and Peterborough
NHS Foundation Trust

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T4 ian goodyer_escap_lecture depression

  • 1. The Emergence Of Clinical Depressions In The Human Life Cycle Professor Ian M Goodyer Department of Psychiatry University of Cambridge
  • 2. •  The Scope and Characteristics of the Problem. •  Depression Severity and Psychotic Experiences. •  Mathematical approaches to phenotypes. •  Discovering Biomarkers. •  The Maturing brain. This Lecture
  • 3. Depressed mood Irritability/anger Pervasive anhedonia Weight/appetite disturbance Sleep disturbance Psychomotor disturbance Fatigue, lack of energy, tiredness Negative Self-perceptions Executive Cognitive disturbance Suicide Descriptive Psychopathology Unipolar Major Depression  =  1    =  1  mood + 4 (or more) others A Symptoms (1 only) B Symptoms (>=4)+ High  Reliability  but  Low  Validity  
  • 4. The Emergence Of The Depressions: The Correlates of Age
  • 5. Prevalence Of Youth Diagnostic Depressions In The First 2 Decades Of Life •  <1%  in  Pre-­‐pubertal  Children:    B=G.   •  3%-­‐6%  in  post-­‐pubertal  adolescents:  G  >B  2:1.   •  ~70%  -­‐>  premorbid  non  specific  difficulMes.   •  Higher  symptoms  -­‐>  more  severity  -­‐>  lower  T  response.   •  Clinical  typology  is  top  down  and  heterogeneous.   •  High  reliability  but  low  validity.  
  • 6. Common mental illnesses are emergent between 10 and 30 years. Endophenotypes likely to be formed by the first two decades of life. In contrast activation processes may occur proximal to illness emergence Developmental Epidemiology of disease
  • 7. The Emergence Of The Depressions: Illness Severity  
  • 8. Depressed mood Irritability/anger Pervasive anhedonia Weight/appetite disturbance Sleep disturbance Psychomotor disturbance Fatigue, lack of energy, tiredness Negative Self-perceptions Executive Cognitive disturbance Suicide Descriptive Psychopathology Unipolar Major Depression  =  1    =  1  mood + 4 (or more) others A Symptoms (1 only) B Symptoms (>=4)+ How  many  possible  permuta2ons  are  there  ?  >1,000   How  many  occur  -­‐    not  known   High  Reliability  BUT  low  validity    
  • 9. Latent Trait for depression Low High Item Location One Item at medium strength on the trait Item Discrimination between persons in different regions on the latent continuum p (guess) Item Response Theory: A mathematical approach that accounts for location, discrimination and chance IndividualVariation :          
  • 10. -3 0 +3 Latent trait for depression Common variance between items reveals the latent trait Unique variance of the item reveals its singular importance Tears hopelesness insomnia retardation anhedonia Latent Trait for Depression: Construct Validity                          1               variaMon                                        0   Unique  variance  for  each  item        Behaviour  in  the  adolescent  populaMon     Common                    Uncommon    
  • 11.     •  The  y-­‐axis  is  the  probability  that  the  SMFQ  symptom  is  endorsed.     •  All  items  funcMon  at  more  or  less  the  same  level  on  the  latent  trait.     •  All  items  are  located  towards  the  more  severe  end—to  the  right  of  the  figures.   •  The  probability  of  endorsing  any  item  is  very  low.                        Sharp  et  al  (2006)  J  Abnorm  Child  Psychol  ;34(3):379-­‐91.   -­‐3                            0                      +3      -­‐3                                0                                +  3          -­‐3                                        0                                +3        -­‐3                                      0                                      +3     Latent  trait  for  depression   1       V a r i a t   i o n         0   IRT For 657 Children 7-11 years for self reported depressive symptoms across the latent trait
  • 12. IRT Model gives 2 dimensions for depressive symptoms Latent trait for depression and 2nd for maturation. Atypical depressive items load on the 2nd only IRT For 2,307 teens aged 11-18 years for depressive symptoms across the latent traits Cole D et al (2012 ) J Abnorm Psychol. 121(4):838-51
  • 13. Summary •  The magnitude of individual item response for contributing to a clinical state vary with age. •  The importance of items varies with sample type. •  Metabolic effects during adolescence account for weight gain and appetite increases. •  Clinical diagnostic markers for primary care and hospital practice are likely to be different.
  • 14. Revealing  Structure  of  Clinical   Phenotypes  
  • 15. Using 33 item MFQ and 28 item RMAS D: Depression. A: anxiety. W:Worrying. S: Somatic symptoms. G :General distress factor. Sp1-3: Specific factors. IRT : Hierarchical Bi-Factor Modeling 1159  respondents  aged  14  yrs.   Sex  effects  tested  (ns)=  set  to    zero.   8%  Any  Dep;  6%  Any  Anx  by  14  yrs.   Incl.  correlated  errors  >0.6   considerably  improved  the  fit.   NS  effects  of  instrument/method       Brodbeck et al (2011) BMC Psychiatry 11:191
  • 16. Brodbeck et al (2014) J Affect Disord.52-154:299-305 Bifactor Model and DiagnosticTypologies Distress   Worry   Hopeless   SomaMc   DSM   Diagnoses  Currently    &  3  years  later    
  • 18. Psychotic Experiences (PE) and Depression •  PE are common in the general population (3%=5%). •  PE and MDD are co-occurring. •  Share the same risk factors. •  Conceptual, clinical and causal links exist. •  No clear cut validity for distinction in clinical typology. •  Excluded from diagnostic criteria for MDD.
  • 19. PsychoMc  Experiences  (PE),  Depressive     And  Anxiety  (D&A)  Symptoms   Stochl  ,  J.,  et  al  (2015)  Psychological  Medicine,  45  :07,  1483-­‐1493  
  • 20. Location Of Psychotic Experiences Relative To Depressive And Anxiety Symptoms Stochl  ,  J.,  et  al  (2015)  Psychological  Medicine,  45  :07,1483-­‐1493  
  • 21. Summary Bifactor models reveal a common general latent trait that links behaviourally different items. This is likely to account for covariance at the factor level; comorbidity at the clinical level. Need a much greater scientific understanding of the behavioural repertoire in the ‘natural world’ First step in creating new valid clinical typologies.
  • 22. Discovering Biomarkers in the Adolescent Population: “a biologic feature that can be used to measure the presence or progress of disease or the effects of treatment.”
  • 23.   Gene-­‐Environment  PopulaMon   Markers  For  The  Presence  of   Depressions  
  • 24. MulMlevel  Gene–environments  And  Symptoms   A  Longitudinal  PerspecMve    5HTTLPR   ll   Child  maltreatment   Yes     Symptoms   CogniMon   Child  maltreatment   No   Symptoms   CogniMon     ls   Child  Maltreatment   Yes   Symptoms   CogniMon   Child  maltreatment   No   Symptoms   CogniMon   ss   Child  Maltreatment   No   Symptoms   CogniMon   Chid  Maltreatment   Yes   Symptoms   CogniMon   MulMple  SEM  tests  the  effects  simultaneously  via  GLM  regression  whilst    controlling  the  covariance  for  each  equaMon.    
  • 25.     Moderation-mediation of Cognition and Symptoms in 277 16-17 yr olds Probabilistic Reversal More errors (p=0.004) & switching in SS (CA +ve) (p=0.02). Affective G-NG SS/CA+ve ->more commission errors on the neutral task(p=0.01) AGN Neutral commission errors (OR=1.82, p=0.006) Anxiety Depressive Disorders SS(CA+ve) ->higher mean depression and anxiety scores at 14 yrs. Longitudinal prediction from cognition to symptoms at 18-19 years A   B   C   D   Owens et al (2012) PLoS One. 7(11):e48482 Depression     Anxiety  
  • 26.   Psychoendocrine  PopulaMon  Markers   Depressive  CogniMons  and  Clinical   Disorders      
  • 27. Psychoendocrine Subgroups In 2 Distinct Adolescent Community Populations in Cambridge Depression  symptoms                                     and  morning  cor2sol  level                                                                   from  3  assessments  over  2me     Low  D  scores   Low  Cor2sol   High  D  scores   Low  Cor2sol   Low  D  Scores     High  Cor2sol   High  D  Scores   High  Cor2sol   Define  subgroups  using  latent   class  analysis     Classes  created  from  a  discovery  sample  n=666  with  both  measures  at0,8  and  12  months   Replicated  in  a  2nd  sample  ,  n=1198  with  D  measures  at  0,  18,36  months  but  Cort  at  only  
  • 28. Clinical  Depression  Cases    By  Class     0   20   40   60   80   100   120   Class  1   Class  2   Class  3   Class  4   Not  MD  (n=1,524)   MD  (n=  207)   •  Each  Sta2s2cally  derived  sub  type  or  class  has  a  %  of  depressed  cases  by  17  years  of  age.   •  Theore2cally  these  depressed  cases  from  each  sub-­‐type  will  have  different  mechanisms              Accoun2ng  for  the  emergence  of  depressions.   Owens M et al. PNAS 2014;111:3638-3643                      Low  D+C    High  C  only                High  D  only                  High  D+C      N=                      539                    475                                421            296  
  • 29. The odds ratios for MD in each class by sex Owens M et al. PNAS 2014;111:3638-3643 ©2014 by National Academy of Sciences The odds ratios for MD in each class by sex. The reference group is class 1 (n = 539). Adjusted for cohort, age, and pubertal status.
  • 30. LCA 4 classes and overgeneral memory (OGM) Class 4 > OGM responses than all other classes (4>1, P < 0.01),( 4>2, P < 0.001) and(4>3, P = 0.01). No sex × classes interaction (P = 0.83). N=660   Owens M et al. PNAS 2014;111:3638-3643
  • 31. Summary •  5HTTLPR ‘s’ carriers + child maltreatment at risk for high anxiety and depressive symptoms . •  Impaired bottom up emotion processing and/or difficulties in top down ‘learning through uncertainty’. •  Dual processing cognitive deficits hypothesis. •  High depression/distress traits + high morning trait cortisol defines a very high risk population sub type of adolescents. •  Characterised by impairments in autobiographical memory for both sexes and in boys only for clinical depressions. •  Corticoid mediated cognitive hypothesis.
  • 32. Timing  And  The  Developing  Human  Brain:     ImplicaMons  Of  Timing  Of  Experiences  And  The   Emergence  Of  Depression      
  • 33. Brain development proceeds in stages that vary across regions. Hippocampal volumes are 85% of adult values by adrenarche. Comparatively occurs in all mammalian species. Rates similar across species including the onset of puberty and higher-level cognition. Gray Matter Changes Cortical And Subcortical Brain Regions: 6-23 Years Based on Data from Jay Giedd: published in Andersen and Teicher 2008 TINS
  • 34. •  Meta-­‐analysis  of  23  studies:  GM  reducMon  in  bilateral   rostral  ACC  .     •  ReducMon  in  rostral  ACC  the  most  consistent.       •  ReducMons  in  other  regions  within  fronto-­‐subcorMcal   and  limbic  regions  was  less  consistent.     •  Related  posiMvely  to  illness  duraMon.   •  Chronic/persistent  MDD  has  a  deleterious  and  perhaps   focal  effect  on  brain  structure   Grey Matter Reduction And Affective Disorders Meta-Analysis Findings
  • 35. •  X-­‐SecMonal  structural  neuroimaging.   •   109  MDD  36  healthy  controls  Case-­‐control   comparison.   •  F>M  (3:1)  ;  11-­‐17  years.     •  GMV  in  ACC  and  across  the  whole-­‐brain.   The Depressed But Still Developing Brain
  • 36. Main effect of age on GMV: controls>MDD. Age differences are dissimilar between MDD and controls. Age & Symptom Correlates of GMV in the ACC. Hagan  et  al  2015  ,  Neuroimage:Clinical  
  • 37. Opposite to ACC : MDD > CON. MDD only: GMV in thalamus (not ACC) 1/symptoms. Age and Depressive Symptom GMV decreases in the Thalamus Unpublished  Results  
  • 38. •  Dissimilar  age-­‐related    and  symptom-­‐sensiMve  parerns  of      GMV  differences  compared  with  controls.     •  The  thalamus  and  ACC  may  comprise  disMncMve  neural  markers  for              detecMng  these  effects  in  youth.   •  CriMcal  to  disaggregate  antecedent  neural  vulnerabiliMes  for  MDD      from  the  effects  of  MDD  on  the  developing  brain.   Summary The Depressed And Developing Adolescent Brain
  • 39. The Neural Maturation Gap: Understanding The Importance Of Brain Development Observation Early consolidation of limbic-sub-cortical reward processing networks. Later consolidation of neocortical control networks. Spike in drug use, psychotic and mood disorders in the neural maturation gap. Hypothesis Increased incidence of psychopathology in adolescence associated with different developmental rates for limbic and prefrontal systems. Proposed Mechanism Variation in rate of myelination of long distance cortico-cortical tracts predicts developmental reconfiguration of large scale brain networks. Experience dependent synaptic plasticity and pruning of inactive connections are other plausible mechanisms. IncidenceNeuraldevelopment Limbic System PFC Drug use, Psychosis, Depressions
  • 40. Faculty Peter Jones Ed Bullmore Peter Fonagy John Suckling Tim Croudace Paul Fletcher Barbara Sahakian Research Staff Matt Owens Michelle St Clair Jeannette Brodbeck Cindy Hagan Kirstie Whittaker Anne Laura van Harmelen 16 Graduate Assistants 4 Admin Staff
  • 41. Thanks to all the participants and their families NIHR UK Wellcome Trust MRC UK Cambridge and Peterborough NHS Foundation Trust