Technological Surrogacy & Predictive Powers
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This document discusses technological surrogacy and predictive powers. It notes that algorithmic analytics can act as an expanded form of cognitive surrogacy, augmentation, assistance and support through data processing and algorithmic knowledge representation. However, this can also reinforce bias. The document also discusses grappling with complex challenges when employing algorithms, including issues like machine vision obstruction, weather degradation and payload sensitivity. It argues that predictive power comes with ethical duties to control for algorithmic bias through quality control and human oversight. The document stresses the importance of transparency around the data and algorithms used to help ensure explainable algorithms.
Technological Surrogacy & Predictive Powers
- 1. Dr. Lydia Kostopoulos Lkcyber.com @LKCYBER TECHNOLOGiCAL SURROGACY & PREDiCTiVE POWERS Prepared for the GCSP Leadership in International Security Course (February 2021) The International Security Implications of New Technologies Panel: Autonomy & Control – Technological Surrogacy & Predictive Powers
- 2. • Unpacking Algorithmic Analytics • Grappling with Complex Challenges OVERViEW
- 3. UNPACKING ALGORiTHmic ANALYTICS An expanded form of cognitive: • Surrogacy • Augmentation • Assistance • Support
- 7. GRAPLING WITH COMPLEX ChAllenges: On the ground Machine Vision Obstruction Weather Degradation Payload Sensitivity Anti-Drone Measures
- 8. Employing Algorithms Figure Source: The Adaptation Advantage (2020) Heather McGowan (Red and Green – presenter’s addition) Repetitive Ambiguous Discrete Complex TASK PROBLEM Cost & Complexity Known Predictable Value & Complexity Challenge the idea of what truly is predictable. Space for Human + Machine Teaming GRAPLING WITH COMPLEX ChAllenges:
- 9. Predictive ‘power’ comes with ethnical duties and considerations • Duty of Algorithmic Care • Intentionality about quality control with algorithmic bias • Understanding of opportunities, risks and liabilities • Human Oversight GRAPLING WITH COMPLEX ChAllenges:
- 10. Don’t forget the dAtA What data is (or is not) sourced and is (or is not) used matters
- 11. As we strive for explainable algorithms, we will need more transparency and ethical diligence throughout the algorithmic and data supply chain.
- 12. Dr. Lydia Kostopoulos Lkcyber.com @LKCYBER TECHNOLOGiCAL SURROGACY & PREDiCTiVE POWERS Prepared for the GCSP Leadership in International Security Course (February 2021) The International Security Implications of New Technologies Panel: Autonomy & Control – Technological Surrogacy & Predictive Powers Questions?