![FUTURE VALUE OF A SINGLE AMOUNT (Power of Compounding)
7
- Suppose you deposit Rs 1000 today in a bank which pays 10 percent interest compounded
annually. How much will the deposit grow to after 8 years and 12 years.
- Compound and simple interest-
- Simple Interest-
Future value = PV[1+No. of years X interest rate]
(An investment of Rs 1000 if, invested at 12 percent simple interest rate, will in 5 years time will
become how much?)](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/timevalueofmoneyi-220328063239/85/Time-Value-of-Money-I-pdf-7-320.jpg)
![PRESENT VALUE OF A SINGLE AMOUNT
PV = FVn [1/ (1 + r)n]
n/r 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%
2 0.890 0.857 0.826 0.797 0.770
4 0.792 0.735 0.683 0.636 0.592
6 0.705 0.630 0.565 0.507 0.456
8 0.626 0.540 0.467 0.404 0.351
10 0.558 0.463 0.386 0.322 0.270
12 0.497 0.397 0.319 0.257 0.208](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/timevalueofmoneyi-220328063239/85/Time-Value-of-Money-I-pdf-9-320.jpg)
![FUTURE VALUE OF AN ANNUITY
An annuity is a series of periodic cash flows (payments and receipts ) of equal amounts (Ordinary or Deferred annuity & annuity due)
1 2 3 4 5
1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000
+
1,100
+
1,210
+
1,331
+
1,464
Rs.6,105
Future value of an annuity = A [(1+r)n-1]/r](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/timevalueofmoneyi-220328063239/85/Time-Value-of-Money-I-pdf-12-320.jpg)
![WHAT LIES IN STORE FOR YOU
Suppose you have decided to deposit Rs.30,000 per year in your Public Provident Fund Account
for 30 years. What will be the accumulated amount in your Public Provident Fund Account at the
end of 30 years if the interest rate is 08 percent ?
The accumulated sum will be :
Rs.30,000 (FVIFA8%,30yrs)
= Rs.30,000 (1.08)30 - 1
.08
= Rs.30,000 [ 113.283]
= Rs.33,98,490](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/timevalueofmoneyi-220328063239/85/Time-Value-of-Money-I-pdf-13-320.jpg)
![EQUATED MONTHLY INSTALMENT
Loan = 1,000,000, Interest = 1% p.m., Repayment period = 180 months
A x [1-1/(1.01)180]
0.01
A = Rs.12,002
1,000,000 =](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/timevalueofmoneyi-220328063239/85/Time-Value-of-Money-I-pdf-21-320.jpg)
Time Value of Money I.pdf
- 1. 1 THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY
- 2. OUTLINE • Why Time Value • Future Value of a Single Amount • Future Value of an Annuity • Present Value of a Single Amount • Present Value of an Annuity • Intra-year Compounding and Discounting
- 3. WHY TIME VALUE A rupee today is more valuable than a rupee a year hence. Why ? • Preference for current consumption over future consumption • Productivity of capital • Inflation Many financial problems involve cash flows occurring at different points of time. For evaluating such cash flows, an explicit consideration of time value of money is required (Tools of compounding & discounting are important which are very useful in finance – from valuing securities to analyzing projects, determining lease rentals, choosing the right financing instruments, setting up loan amortization schedule, valuing companies etc.)
- 4. TIME LINE Part A 0 1 2 3 4 5 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 Part B 0 1 2 3 4 5 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000
- 5. FUTURE VALUE OF A SINGLE AMOUNT (Compounding) Rs. First year: Principal at the beginning 1,000 Interest for the year (Rs.1,000 x 0.10) 100 Principal at the end 1,100 Second year: Principal at the beginning 1,100 Interest for the year (Rs.1,100 x 0.10) 110 Principal at the end 1,210 Third year: Principal at the beginning 1,210 Interest for the year (Rs.1,210 x 0.10) 121 Principal at the end 1,331 FORMULA FUTURE VALUE = PRESENT VALUE (1+r)n
- 6. VALUE OF FVIFr,n FOR VARIOUS COMBINATIONS OF r AND n n/r 6 % 8 % 10 % 12 % 14 % 2 1.124 1.166 1.210 1.254 1.300 4 1.262 1.361 1.464 1.574 1.689 6 1.419 1.587 1.772 1.974 2.195 8 1.594 1.851 2.144 2.476 2.853 10 1.791 2.518 2.594 3.106 3.707 12 2.012 2.518 3.138 3.896 4.817
- 7. FUTURE VALUE OF A SINGLE AMOUNT (Power of Compounding) 7 - Suppose you deposit Rs 1000 today in a bank which pays 10 percent interest compounded annually. How much will the deposit grow to after 8 years and 12 years. - Compound and simple interest- - Simple Interest- Future value = PV[1+No. of years X interest rate] (An investment of Rs 1000 if, invested at 12 percent simple interest rate, will in 5 years time will become how much?)
- 8. DOUBLING PERIOD (How long would it take to double the amount at a given rate of interest) Thumb Rule : Rule of 72 Doubling Period = 72 Interest rate Interest rate : 15 percent Doubling period = 72 = 4.8 years 15 A more accurate thumb rule : Rule of 69 Doubling period = 0.35 + 69 Interest rate Interest rate : 15 percent Doubling period = 0.35 + 69 = 4.95 years 15 Interest rate : 10 percent doubling period = 7.25 years 8
- 9. PRESENT VALUE OF A SINGLE AMOUNT PV = FVn [1/ (1 + r)n] n/r 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 2 0.890 0.857 0.826 0.797 0.770 4 0.792 0.735 0.683 0.636 0.592 6 0.705 0.630 0.565 0.507 0.456 8 0.626 0.540 0.467 0.404 0.351 10 0.558 0.463 0.386 0.322 0.270 12 0.497 0.397 0.319 0.257 0.208
- 10. PRESENT VALUE OF AN UNEVEN SERIES A1 A2 An PVn = + + …… + (1 + r) (1 + r)2 (1 + r)n n At = t =1 (1 + r)t Year Cash Flow PVIF12%,n Present Value of Rs. Individual Cash Flow 1 1,000 0.893 893 2 2,000 0.797 1,594 3 2,000 0.712 1,424 4 3,000 0.636 1,908 5 3,000 0.567 1,701 6 4,000 0.507 2,028 7 4,000 0.452 1,808 8 5,000 0.404 2,020 Present Value of the Cash Flow Stream 13,376
- 11. Future Value of an Annuity 11 Suppose X deposits Rs 1000 annually in a bank for 5 years and his deposits earn a compound interest @ the rate of 10 percent. What will be the value of this series of deposits (an annuity) at the end of 5 years? Assuming that each deposit occurs at the end of the year.
- 12. FUTURE VALUE OF AN ANNUITY An annuity is a series of periodic cash flows (payments and receipts ) of equal amounts (Ordinary or Deferred annuity & annuity due) 1 2 3 4 5 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 + 1,100 + 1,210 + 1,331 + 1,464 Rs.6,105 Future value of an annuity = A [(1+r)n-1]/r
- 13. WHAT LIES IN STORE FOR YOU Suppose you have decided to deposit Rs.30,000 per year in your Public Provident Fund Account for 30 years. What will be the accumulated amount in your Public Provident Fund Account at the end of 30 years if the interest rate is 08 percent ? The accumulated sum will be : Rs.30,000 (FVIFA8%,30yrs) = Rs.30,000 (1.08)30 - 1 .08 = Rs.30,000 [ 113.283] = Rs.33,98,490
- 14. HOW MUCH SHOULD YOU SAVE ANNUALLY You want to buy a house after 5 years when it is expected to cost Rs.2 million. How much should you save annually if your savings earn a compound return of 12 percent ? The future value interest factor for a 5 year annuity, given an interest rate of 12 percent, is : (1+0.12)5 - 1 FVIFA n=5, r =12% = = 6.353 0.12 The annual savings should be : Rs.2000,000 = Rs.3,14,812 6.353
- 15. ANNUAL DEPOSIT IN A SINKING FUND Futura Limited has an obligation to redeem Rs.500 million bonds 6 years hence. How much should the company deposit annually in a sinking fund account wherein it earns 14 percent interest to accumulate Rs.500 million in 6 years time ? The future value interest factor for a 5 year annuity, given an interest rate of 14 percent is : FVIFAn=6, r=14% = (1+0.14)6 – 1 = 8.536 0.14 The annual sinking fund deposit should be : Rs.500 million = Rs.58.575 million 8.536
- 16. FINDING THE INTEREST RATE A finance company advertises that it will pay a lump sum of Rs.8,000 at the end of 6 years to investors who deposit annually Rs.1,000 for 6 years. What interest rate is implicit in this offer? The interest rate may be calculated in two steps : 1. Find the FVIFAr,6 for this contract as follows : Rs.8,000 = Rs.1,000 x FVIFAr,6 FVIFAr,6 = Rs.8,000 = 8.000 Rs.1,000 2. Look at the FVIFAr,n table and read the row corresponding to 6 years until you find a value close to 8.000. Doing so, we find that FVIFA12%,6 is 8.115 . So, we conclude that the interest rate is slightly below 12 percent.
- 17. HOW LONG SHOULD YOU WAIT You want to take up a trip to the USA which costs Rs.10,00,000 and the cost is expected to remain unchanged in nominal terms. You can save annually Rs.50,000 to fulfill your desire. How long will you have to wait if, your savings earn an interest of 12 percent? The future value of an annuity of Rs.50,000 that earns 12 percent is equated to Rs.1,000,000. 50,000 x FVIFAn=?,12% = 1,000,000 50,000 x 1.12n – 1 = 1,000,000 0.12 1.12n - 1 = 1,000,000 x 0.12 = 2.4 50,000 1.12n = 2.4 + 1 = 3.4 n log 1.12 = log 3.4 n x 0.0492 = 0.5315 n = 0.5315 = 10.8 years 0.0492 You will have to wait for about 11 years.
- 18. PRESENT VALUE OF AN ANNUITY 18 Suppose Ram expects to receive Rs 1000 annually for 3 years, each occurring at the end of the year. What is the present value of this stream of benefits if, the discount rate is 10 percent?
- 19. PRESENT VALUE OF AN ANNUITY 1 (1+r)n r Value of PVIFAr,n for Various Combinations of r and n n/r 6 % 8 % 10 % 12 % 14 % 2 1.833 1.783 1.737 1.690 1.647 4 3.465 3.312 3.170 3.037 2.914 6 4.917 4.623 4.355 4.111 3.889 8 6.210 5.747 5.335 4.968 4.639 10 7.360 6.710 6.145 5.650 5.216 12 8.384 7.536 6.814 6.194 5.660 1 - Present value of an annuity = A
- 20. LOAN AMORTISATION SCHEDULE Loan : 1,000,000 r = 15%,n = 5 years 1,000,000= A x PVAn =5, r =15% = A x 3.3522 A = 298,312 Year Beginning Annual Interest Principal Remaining Amount Instalment Repayment Balance (1) (2) (3) (2)-(3) = (4) (1)-(4) = (5) 1 1,000,000 298,312 150,000 148,312 851,688 2 851,688 298,312 127,753 170,559 681,129 3 681,129 298,312 102,169 196,143 484,986 4 484,986 298,312 72,748 225,564 259,422 5 259,422 298,312 38,913 259,399 23* a. Interest is calculated by multiplying the beginning loan balance by the interest rate. b. Principal repayment is equal to annual instalment minus interest. * Due to rounding off error a small balance is shown
- 21. EQUATED MONTHLY INSTALMENT Loan = 1,000,000, Interest = 1% p.m., Repayment period = 180 months A x [1-1/(1.01)180] 0.01 A = Rs.12,002 1,000,000 =
- 22. PRESENT VALUE OF A GROWING ANNUITY A cash flow that grows at a constant rate for a specified period of time is a growing annuity. The time line of a growing annuity is shown below: A(1 + g) A(1 + g)2 A(1 + g)n 0 1 2 3 n The present value of a growing annuity can be determined using the following formula : (1 + g)n (1 + r)n PV of a Growing Annuity = A (1 + g) r – g The above formula can be used when the growth rate is less than the discount rate (g < r) as well as when the growth rate is more than the discount rate (g > r). However, it does not work when the growth rate is equal to the discount rate (g = r) – in this case, the present value is simply equal to n A. 1 –
- 23. PRESENT VALUE OF A GROWING ANNUITY For example, suppose you have the right to harvest a teak plantation for the next 20 years over which you expect to get 100,000 cubic feet of teak per year. The current price per cubic foot of teak is Rs. 500, but it is expected to increase at a rate of 8 percent per year. The discount rate is 15 percent. The present value of the teak that you can harvest from the teak forest can be determined as follows: 1.0820 1 – 1.1520 PV of teak = Rs 500 x 100,000 (1.08) 0.15 – 0.08 = Rs.551,736,683
- 24. ANNUITY DUE A A … A A 0 1 2 n – 1 n A A A … A 0 1 2 n – 1 n Thus, Annuity due value = Ordinary annuity value (1 + r) This applies to both present and future values Ordinary annuity Annuity due
- 25. PRESENT VALUE OF PERPETUITY A Present value of perpetuity = r
- 26. SHORTER COMPOUNDING PERIOD Future value = Present value 1+ r mxn m Where, r = nominal annual interest rate m = number of times compounding is done in a year n = number of years over which compounding is done Example : Rs.5000, 12 percent, 4 times a year, 6 years 5000(1+ 0.12/4)4x6 = 5000 (1.03)24 = Rs.10,164
- 27. EFFECTIVE VERSUS NOMINAL RATE r = (1+k/m)m –1 r = effective rate of interest k = nominal rate of interest m = frequency of compounding per year Example : k = 8 percent, m=4 r = (1+.08/4)4 – 1 = 0.0824 = 8.24 percent Nominal and Effective Rates of Interest Effective Rate % Nominal Annual Semi-annual Quarterly Monthly Rate Compounding Compounding Compounding Compounding 8 8.00 8.16 8.24 8.30 12 12.00 12.36 12.55 12.68
- 28. EAR AND APR • Effectiveannual rate (EAR)reflectsthe total amount of interestthat will be earned at the end of the year. • It is also referred to as the effectiveannual yield (EAY)or the annual percentage yield (APY). • Annual percentage rate (APR) is the amount of simple interestearned without considering the effect of intra- year compounding.
- 29. THANK YOU! 29