Tom Capper — SMX Munich - Google's Defence Against the AI Onslaught

GOOGLE’S DEFENCE
AGAINST THE
AI ONSLAUGHT

@THCapper | @getSTAT
#smx
getstat.com/smxm

ON THE AGENDA TODAY:
• Google’s dominance and inherent weakness
• Current and most recent competitive threats
• Google’s best means of defence
• What you might be seeing more of
@THCapper

GOOGLE’S DOMINANCE
& INHERENT WEAKNESS
@THCapper

@THCapper
GOOGLE WASN’T
ALWAYS SO
DOMINANT.
Yahoo! anyone?

@THCapper
ONE TOOL — A WEB
SEARCH ENGINE — TO
RULE THEM ALL.
(Even if it shouldn’t.)

@THCapper
Authority needed
Product search

@THCapper
Don’t need 10 blue links
Authority needed
Product search

@THCapper
Don’t need 10 blue links
Is a true navigational search
Authority needed
Product search

SERP FEATURES ARE GOOGLE
ADMITTING THAT WEB SEARCH ISN’T
THE ANSWER.

CURRENT & MOST
RECENT COMPETITIVE
THREATS
@THCapper

@THCapper
EACH USE CASE CAN
BE SOLVED BY A
GOOGLE COMPETITOR.
Google is threatened from
multiple sides.

GOOGLE IS HYPER-FOCUSED ON
THE PRODUCT REVIEW VERTICAL.

@THCapper
Amazon (retail)
Amazon (voice search)

THE YEAR OF VOICE SEARCH
DID NOT COME.
@THCapper

THE YEAR OF VOICE SEARCH
DID NOT COME.
But these queries matter.
@THCapper

@THCapper
LOSS LEADERS
In retail, these are products
sold at a loss to entice more
in-store tra
ffi
c.

@THCapper
THESE QUERIES ARE
LOSS LEADERS FOR
THE ONE ON TOP.

GOOGLE’S LOSS LEADERS ARE
THREATENED FROM MANY
ANGLES.
@THCapper

@THCapper
Amazon (retail)
Tiktok

@THCapper
Amazon (retail)
Tiktok
Apple?

(THIS COULD BE A SERP FEATURE.)
App Clip Card App Clip

FOR MICROSOFT, SEARCH AS A
WHOLE CAN BE A LOSS LEADER.
It can’t be for Google.
@THCapper

SOMETIMES IT’S HARD TO TAKE
CHATGPT SERIOUSLY.

TOOLS LIKE CHATGPT ARE NOT
INTENDED FOR INFORMATION
RETRIEVAL.
They’re text generators better at producing
fi
ction than facts.
@THCapper

OTHER TIMES, IT’S BETTER THAN
A GOOGLE RESULT.

GOOGLE SEES AI AS
A DOUBLE THREAT.
It’s both a competitor and a pollutant.
@THCapper

@THCapper
AI chatbot
AI content

GOOGLE’S AI INTOLERANCE
• Their guidelines have long forbidden AI content.
@THCapper

Surely there were always reasonable uses cases for AI-written content?

• The Helpful Content Update (HCU) explicitly
targeted AI content.
@THCapper

• The Helpful Content Update (HCU) explicitly
targeted AI content.
• And the anecdotal evidence of crackdowns is
mounting.
@THCapper

If a free tool can do this, think of what Google can do.

GOOGLE
AI
CONTENT AI
COMPETITORS

BEST MEANS OF
DEFENCE
@THCapper

GOOGLE NEEDS TO GET BETTER AT
QUICK ANSWERS.
This is its biggest weakness against chat AI.
@THCapper

GOOGLE’S LAMDA:
IF YOU CAN’T BEAT ’EM, JOIN ’EM.
@THCapper

(IT LOOKS LIKE A SERP FEATURE.)
@THCapper

GOOGLE NEEDS TO PROTECT ITS
AUTHORITY AND TRUST.
These are its two greatest strengths.
@THCapper

@THCapper
AI ANSWERS TO
THESE QUERIES
COULD DAMAGE
TRUST IN GOOGLE.

THERE ARE TWO KINDS OF
GOOGLE ALGORITHM UPDATES.
The speci
fi
c kind and the vague kind.
@THCapper

SPECIFIC
• E.g. CWV, Mobilegeddon.
• Google is trying to change our
behaviour.
• “X is now a ranking factor.”
• Slow, uneventful rollouts.
@THCapper

SPECIFIC
behaviour.
@THCapper
VAGUE
• E.g. Core updates.
• Google is telling us to expect
a
fl
ux.
• “Just make good content.”
• Tumultuous, unannounced
rollouts.

SPECIFIC
behaviour.
@THCapper
VAGUE
• E.g. Core updates.
• Google is telling us to expect
a
fl
ux.
• “Just make good content.”
• Tumultuous, unannounced
rollouts.
MANIPULATE
YOU
COMPETITIVE
ADVANTAGE

HOW DOES GOOGLE KEEP AI
POLLUTION OUT OF SEARCH?
@THCapper

HOW DOES GOOGLE KEEP AI
POLLUTION OUT OF SEARCH?
With algorithm updates that manipulate you.
@THCapper

GOOGLE SOUNDING VAGUE:
“How can you ensure you’re creating content that will
be successful with our new update? By following our
long-standing advice and guidelines to create content
for people, not for search engines.”
@THCapper

SOME SPECIFICS:
“Are you using extensive automation to produce
content on many topics?
…
Does your content promise to answer a question that
actually has no answer?”
@THCapper

A PROBABLE OVERREACH:
“Any content — no just unhelpful content — on sites
determined to have relatively high amounts of
unhelpful content overall is less likely to perform well
in Search.”
@THCapper

AVERAGE RANK BARELY CHANGED.
GOOGLE WAS GENTLE (OR BLUFFING).
Average
rank
of
URLs
—
CrUX
data
6
7
8
9
10
May '21 August '21
8.74
7.59
8.99
8.8
8.59
8.4
Passes 3 Passes 1–2 Passes 0

MozCast
temperature
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
0
8
/
1
1
0
8
/
1
3
0
8
/
1
5
0
8
/
1
7
0
8
/
1
9
0
8
/
2
1
0
8
/
2
3
0
8
/
2
5
0
8
/
2
7
0
8
/
2
9
0
8
/
3
1
0
9
/
0
2
0
9
/
0
4
0
9
/
0
6
BEFORE & AFTER HELPFUL CONTENT UPDATE

30,000
60,000
90,000
120,000
150,000
180,000
0
8
/
1
1
0
8
/
1
3
0
8
/
1
5
0
8
/
1
7
0
8
/
1
9
0
8
/
2
1
0
8
/
2
3
0
8
/
2
5
0
8
/
2
7
0
8
/
2
9
0
8
/
3
1
0
9
/
0
2
0
9
/
0
4
0
9
/
0
6
WHITEHOUSE.GOV SERP VISIBILITY

PAGE-ONE HTTPS URLS: AUGUST 2014

PAGE-ONE HTTPS URLS: 2014–2022

HOW DOES GOOGLE ENSURE
BETTER SEARCH RESULTS THAN
APPLE & BING?
@THCapper

HOW DOES GOOGLE ENSURE
BETTER SEARCH RESULTS THAN
APPLE & BING?
With algorithm updates that give them a competitive
advantage.
@THCapper

Number
of
algorithm
updates
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
2
0
0
9
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
2
2
0
1
3
2
0
1
4
2
0
1
5
2
0
1
6
2
0
1
7
2
0
1
8
2
0
1
9
2
0
2
0
2
0
2
1
GOOGLE MAKES A LOT OF UPDATES
N/A N/A

@THCapper
“Just make good content.”
- GOOGLE

-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
A
u
g
'
1
8
M
a
r
'
1
9
J
u
n
'
1
9
S
e
p
'
1
9
J
a
n
'
2
0
M
a
y
'
2
0
D
e
c
'
2
0
J
u
n
'
2
1
J
u
l
'
2
1
N
o
v
'
2
1
REUTERS.COM VISIBILITY
IN MOZCAST CORPUS

-160
-120
-80
-40
0
40
80
120
A
u
g
'
1
8
M
a
r
'
1
9
J
u
n
'
1
9
S
e
p
'
1
9
J
a
n
'
2
0
M
a
y
'
2
0
D
e
c
'
2
0
J
u
n
'
2
1
J
u
l
'
2
1
N
o
v
'
2
1
M
a
y
'
2
2
WSJ.COM VISIBILITY
IN MOZCAST CORPUS

-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
A
u
g
'
1
8
M
a
r
'
1
9
J
u
n
'
1
9
S
e
p
'
1
9
J
a
n
'
2
0
M
a
y
'
2
0
D
e
c
'
2
0
J
u
n
'
2
1
J
u
l
'
2
1
N
o
v
'
2
1
M
a
y
'
2
2
CNBC.COM VISIBILITY
IN MOZCAST CORPUS

NOBODY IS IMMUNE TO
GOOGLE’S WILD RIDE.
@THCapper

Percent
of
sites
impacted
4%
8%
12%
16%
Number of core updates
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
10% OF SITES DODGED A CORE UPDATE

Percent
of
sites
impacted
4%
8%
12%
16%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
MOST SITES SHOULD CARE ABOUT
CORE UPDATES

Percent
of
sites
impacted
4%
8%
12%
16%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
~20%
~20% OF SITES ARE HIT BY MOST UPDATES

37
41
1,500
Mixed
All positive
All negative
THE VAST MAJORITY OF SITES SEE
GAINS & LOSSES AFTER CORE UPDATES

WHAT YOU’LL SEE
MORE OF
@THCapper

THREAT
AI CONTENT ERODES
GOOGLE’S AUTHORITY
ADVANTAGE.
@THCapper

THREAT
AI CONTENT ERODES
GOOGLE’S AUTHORITY
ADVANTAGE.
@THCapper
RESPONSE
MORE EMPHASIS ON
ATTRIBUTION.

THREAT
BING AND APPLE
CLOSE THE SEARCH
QUALITY GAP.
@THCapper

THREAT
BING AND APPLE
CLOSE THE SEARCH
QUALITY GAP.
@THCapper
RESPONSE
CONSTANT
ALGORITHM FLUX.

THREAT
QUICK ANSWERS.
@THCapper

THREAT
QUICK ANSWERS.
@THCapper
RESPONSE
COMPLEX SERPS.

SEO CHALLENGE
• Emphasis on attribution.
• Constant
fl
ux.
• Complex SERPs.
@THCapper
SEO STRATEGY

SEO CHALLENGE
• Constant
fl
ux.
• Complex SERPs.
@THCapper
SEO STRATEGY
• Focus on brand and authorship.

SEO CHALLENGE
• Constant
fl
ux.
• Complex SERPs.
@THCapper
SEO STRATEGY
• Play the long game.

SEO CHALLENGE
• Constant
fl
ux.
• Complex SERPs.
@THCapper
SEO STRATEGY
• Play the long game.
• Your site as a destination and
careful tracking.

Get the deck at
getstat.com/smxm

Tom Capper — SMX Munich - Google's Defence Against the AI Onslaught

More Related Content

Similar to Tom Capper — SMX Munich - Google's Defence Against the AI Onslaught (20)

More from Tom Capper (9)

Recently uploaded (20)

Tom Capper — SMX Munich - Google's Defence Against the AI Onslaught