27 - jul - 2010
GUIDELINES??????
WHY & HOW
DR
Mohammad AL- SALEH
Endocrinologist -Diabetologist
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
‫كان‬‫اكتشاف‬‫العص‬ ‫في‬ ‫الطبية‬ ِ‫ت‬‫االكتشافا‬ َ‫م‬‫أعظ‬ ‫األنسولين‬‫الحديث‬ ‫ر‬
‫أهمها‬ ‫من‬ ً‫ا‬‫واحد‬ ‫شك‬ ‫أدنى‬ ‫بال‬ ‫كان‬ ‫ه‬َّ‫ن‬‫لك‬.
‫فراغ‬ ‫من‬ َّ‫يتأت‬ ْ‫م‬‫ل‬ ً‫ا‬‫ويقين‬.
‫ع‬ ‫ين‬ ‫داح‬‫د‬‫الب‬ ‫دات‬‫د‬ ‫م‬ ‫ده‬‫د‬‫ب‬ ‫داث‬‫د‬‫ل‬ ُ‫د‬‫د‬‫ال‬ ِ‫ب‬‫د‬‫د‬‫العم‬ ‫دن‬‫د‬‫م‬ ‫م‬‫ت‬‫دنوا‬‫د‬ َ‫ا‬‫در‬‫د‬‫َم‬ ‫دان‬‫د‬‫ك‬ ‫دد‬‫د‬‫لق‬‫دى‬‫د‬‫ل‬
ِ‫ع‬ ‫في‬ ‫الكبير‬ ‫ُّث‬‫د‬‫التق‬ َ‫ا‬‫وَمر‬ ‫َّر‬‫ك‬ُّ‫س‬‫ال‬ ‫وداء‬ ‫البنكرياس‬‫م‬‫ب‬‫كحقد‬ ‫م‬ُّ‫ص‬‫ال‬ ‫دد‬‫الغ‬ ِ‫م‬ْ‫ل‬
‫لد‬ ‫والتدي‬ ‫الكيميداء‬ ‫علدم‬ ‫في‬ ‫رات‬ُّ‫وللتطو‬ ‫العلمي‬ ‫البحث‬ ‫حقول‬ ‫من‬‫إلدى‬ ‫ادت‬
‫ا‬ َ‫ا‬‫وَمددر‬ ‫م‬ ‫ودليدد‬ ‫م‬‫ددريم‬ ‫م‬‫ب‬‫بشددك‬ ‫الدددث‬ ‫َّر‬‫ك‬‫دد‬ ‫ابتبددارات‬ ‫إنجدداا‬‫فددي‬ ‫ر‬ُّ‫لتطددو‬
‫األبرى‬ ‫المجاالت‬.
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
2007 2025
Total population 6.6 billion 7.9 billion
Adult population (20-79 years) 4.1 billion 5.2 billion
DIABETES (20-79 years)
Comparative prevalence 6.0 % 7.3 %
Number of people with diabetes 246 million 380 million
IGT (20-79 years)
Comparative prevalence 7.5 % 8.0 %
Number of people with IGT 308 million 418 million
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
“I’m going to
increase the
dose of those
tablets you
aren’t taking”
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
practitioners are often left without a clear
pathway of therapy to follow.
We developed the following consensus approach
to the management of hyperglycemia in the adult
to help guide health care providers in choosing
the most appropriate interventions for their
patients with type 2 diabetes.
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
clinical judgement, that is, our collective knowledge and clinical
experience, which takes into account benefits, risks, and costs in the
treatment of diabetes.
As in all clinical decision making, an evidence-based review of the
literature must also be supplemented by value judgements, where the
benefits of treatment are weighed against risks and costs in a subjective
fashion.
the clinical trials that address the effectiveness and safety of the different
modalities of therapy
sources
The epidemic of type 2 diabetes and the recognition that achieving
specific glycemic goals can substantially reduce morbidity have made the
effective treatment of hyperglycemia a top priority
therapies directed at other coincident features, such as dyslipidemia,
hypertension, hypercoagulability, obesity, and insulin resistance, have
also been a major focus of research and therapy
Maintaining glycemic levels as close to the nondiabetic range as possible
has been demonstrated to have a powerful beneficial effect on diabetes-
specific microvascular complications, including retinopathy,
nephropathy, and neuropathy, in the setting of type 1 diabetes in type 2
diabetes, more intensive treatment strategies have likewise been
demonstrated to reduce microvascular complications
Why Guidelines are Issued:
The Angelic version
practitioners are often left without a clear pathway
of therapy to follow.
We developed the following consensus approach to
the management of hyperglycemia in the adult to
help guide health care providers in choosing the
most appropriate interventions for their patients with
type 2 diabetes.
Guidelines help doctors to offer the best, safest and
most cost-effective treatment to their patients.
They are issued as a service to humanity
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
Is the ADA/EASD algorithm for
the management of type 2
diabetes (January 2009)
based on evidence or opinion?
A critical analysis
G. Schernthaner & A. H. Barnett & D. J.
Betteridge & R. Carmena & A. Ceriello &
B. Charbonnel &M. Hanefeld & R. Lehmann & M. T.
Malecki & R. Nesto & V. Pirags &
A. Scheen & J. Seufert & A. Sjohölm & A.
Tsatsoulis & R. DeFronzo
According to Nathan et al., glucose-lowering efficacy
is the principal factor by which drugs should be
differentiated.
Their algorithm states that ‘The over-arching
principle in selecting a particular intervention will be
its ability to achieve and maintain glycaemic goals
Glucose-lowering effects
Summary: glucose-lowering effects and a re-
evaluation of the ADA/EASD algorithm
• In the short term (<1 year), the glucose-lowering efficacy of
monotherapy with metformin,sulfonylureas or thiazolidinediones (and
probably glinides and incretin-based therapies) is similar and may not
be a compelling factor on which to base treatment choice. As such,
other advantages/disadvantages of these agents (e.g. hypoglycaemia
risk, weight gain) should be afforded greater importance within the
limits of approved indications .
• More consideration should be given to long-term glucose control,
including use of individual therapies or combinations with more
sustained glucose-lowering effects.
• Metformin and sulfonylureas, recommended by Nathan et al. as Tier 1
agents, are inexpensive and improve short-term glycaemic control, but
sulfonylureas in particular are associated with progressive treatment
failure and may not be the most appropriate choice over the long term.
• The optimal approach to add-on (or indeed initial) insulin therapy
remains unclear and should not be restricted solely to consideration of
basal insulin therapy.
Summary: other pathophysiological and clinical
effects and a re-evaluation of the ADA/EASD
algorithm
• In the absence of primary endpoint outcomes data, consideration of
the impact of individual glucose lowering drugs on cardiovascular risk
factors/markers and measures of atherosclerosis progression is
Warranted.
• As the progressive decline in beta cell function is a key factor
limiting long-term glycaemic control, more consideration should be
given to drugs with beta cell-preserving properties (preferably
alongside clinical evidence for durable glycaemic control).
• The complex benefit−safety profiles of individual glucose-lowering
agents highlight the need for individualised therapy in the
pathophysiologically complex and heterogeneous type 2 diabetes
population
Summary: cardiovascular benefit−risk relations and a
re-evaluation of the ADA/EASD algorithm
• Due to the high risk of macrovascular events in type
2 diabetes and absence of any well-established
macrovascular benefit for glucose-lowering as such,
more consideration should be given to the
macrovascular benefit−risk profiles of individual
glucose-lowering therapies. At present, there is good
evidence of benefit for metformin (as initial therapy)
in primary prevention and for pioglitazone (as part of
guideline-driven therapy) in secondary prevention.
• Special emphasis on metformin/sulfonylurea as the
combination of choice is questionable in the absence
of any outcomes data and considering evidence of a
potential adverse impact on outcomes.
The Satanic version
Guidelines are a statement of
authority
They assert the right of competing
organizations to legislate for the
diabetes community
Guidelines are a Statement of Authority
Do you doubt this assertion?
Then ask yourself this question:
Are guidelines judged according to their scientific quality?
or according to the status of the
organization that issued them?
1. Ontological
2. Territorial
3. Imperial
There are 3 types of guideline:
The Ontological Guideline:
“I think, therefore I exist”
René Descartes
“We issue guidelines, therefore
we are important”
Any professional organisation
The Territorial Guideline
The IDF will
define the
metabolic
syndrome
and
diabetes
No, EASD and
ADA will!
The Imperial Guideline
Reclassifies previously unconsidered biological
variation as disease.
Guidelines Extend Disease
PRE - PRE - PRE - PRE………………
Examples:
Hypertension: “Prehypertension”
Diabetes: “Prediabetes”
Cardiology: The NSTEMI
Hepatology: Fatty liver to NAFLD
Nephrology: Reduced GFR of ageing
becomes CKD!
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
“All individuals with a Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) <60
mL/min/1.73 m2 for 3 months are classified as having chronic
kidney disease, irrespective of the presence or absence of
kidney damage..
Nephrology: Reduced GFR of ageing becomes CKD!
Guidelines do not set out to reduce the
boundaries of disease
They set out to increase it
Consensus
“When people can’t agree about
something, they reach a consensus”
Margaret Thatcher
“What the majority of people sitting around a table
would prefer to believe”
Edwin Gale
The Therapeutic Imperative
By extending the boundaries of disease, guidelines
also extend the boundaries of treatment…
Guidelines try to
define the ideal
therapy rather than
the optimal
therapy
Guidelines
generally ignore
adverse
events
Physicians overestimate the benefit of
interventions upon survival
UKPDS Physicians
Case 1 Before 5.1 6.9 yrs
After 5.9 11.5 yrs
Case 2 Before 9.3 11.8 yrs
After 9.4 19 yrs
Case 3 Before 10.7 9.8 yrs
After 10.9 17 yrs
Patel et al, Diabetic Med (2009) 26:453-4
Least worst diabetes management?
“When one admits that nothing is certain,
one must, I think, also add that some things are
much more nearly certain than others”
Bertrand Russell
Some
more certain
conclusions
1.Glucose control strongly influences
the risk of microvascular
complications, but the benefits
diminish with age.
2.Glucose control is more valuable in
primary than secondary prevention
of vascular outcomes
Some
more certain
conclusions
1. Some therapies (e.g. metformin) may be more
effective for CVD than others with similar
glucose-lowering properties
2. Glucose targets below HbA1c 8% represent a
good therapeutic compromise in most older
patients.
3. But we should treat biological age, not
chronological age.
1. More therapeutic effort should be directed
to those with HbA1c levels >8%
2. But we should acknowledge that the
limitations to good glucose control are
more behavioral than pharmacological …
Some
more certain
conclusions
“One size fits all” recommendations
may be OK for populations.
But each person who comes to us is
unique
“People do not have outcomes. A
person is an outcome”
Some
more certain
conclusions
There are two type of Diabetologist:
Type 1 and Type 2
Type 1 diabetologists treat diabetes
Type 2 diabetologists treat people who
have diabetes
Millions
Decisions About Intensity of Glycemic Control Should
Depend on Age and Functional Status
Huang ES, Zhang Q, Gandra N, Chin MH, Meltzer DO: The effect of comorbid
illness and functional status on the expected benefits of intensive glucose
control in older patients with type 2 diabetes: a decision analysis. Ann Intern Med
149:11-19, 2008
Decisions about intensive glycemic control in older adults should consider
life expectancy, which can be assessed based on age and functional
status. Older adults with limited life expectancy are unlikely to benefit from
intensive control compared with moderate control.
Conclusions
Results.
The potential benefits of intensive glycemic control were relatively small (51-116
quality-adjusted life-days gained) and appeared to depend on age and the
presence of functional disability. When life expectancy was < 5 years, intensive
control produced little benefit, even under optimistic assumptions.
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt
ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt

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ueda2011 guidelines why and how-d.mohammed.ppt

  • 1. 27 - jul - 2010 GUIDELINES?????? WHY & HOW DR Mohammad AL- SALEH Endocrinologist -Diabetologist
  • 3. ‫كان‬‫اكتشاف‬‫العص‬ ‫في‬ ‫الطبية‬ ِ‫ت‬‫االكتشافا‬ َ‫م‬‫أعظ‬ ‫األنسولين‬‫الحديث‬ ‫ر‬ ‫أهمها‬ ‫من‬ ً‫ا‬‫واحد‬ ‫شك‬ ‫أدنى‬ ‫بال‬ ‫كان‬ ‫ه‬َّ‫ن‬‫لك‬. ‫فراغ‬ ‫من‬ َّ‫يتأت‬ ْ‫م‬‫ل‬ ً‫ا‬‫ويقين‬. ‫ع‬ ‫ين‬ ‫داح‬‫د‬‫الب‬ ‫دات‬‫د‬ ‫م‬ ‫ده‬‫د‬‫ب‬ ‫داث‬‫د‬‫ل‬ ُ‫د‬‫د‬‫ال‬ ِ‫ب‬‫د‬‫د‬‫العم‬ ‫دن‬‫د‬‫م‬ ‫م‬‫ت‬‫دنوا‬‫د‬ َ‫ا‬‫در‬‫د‬‫َم‬ ‫دان‬‫د‬‫ك‬ ‫دد‬‫د‬‫لق‬‫دى‬‫د‬‫ل‬ ِ‫ع‬ ‫في‬ ‫الكبير‬ ‫ُّث‬‫د‬‫التق‬ َ‫ا‬‫وَمر‬ ‫َّر‬‫ك‬ُّ‫س‬‫ال‬ ‫وداء‬ ‫البنكرياس‬‫م‬‫ب‬‫كحقد‬ ‫م‬ُّ‫ص‬‫ال‬ ‫دد‬‫الغ‬ ِ‫م‬ْ‫ل‬ ‫لد‬ ‫والتدي‬ ‫الكيميداء‬ ‫علدم‬ ‫في‬ ‫رات‬ُّ‫وللتطو‬ ‫العلمي‬ ‫البحث‬ ‫حقول‬ ‫من‬‫إلدى‬ ‫ادت‬ ‫ا‬ َ‫ا‬‫وَمددر‬ ‫م‬ ‫ودليدد‬ ‫م‬‫ددريم‬ ‫م‬‫ب‬‫بشددك‬ ‫الدددث‬ ‫َّر‬‫ك‬‫دد‬ ‫ابتبددارات‬ ‫إنجدداا‬‫فددي‬ ‫ر‬ُّ‫لتطددو‬ ‫األبرى‬ ‫المجاالت‬.
  • 9. 2007 2025 Total population 6.6 billion 7.9 billion Adult population (20-79 years) 4.1 billion 5.2 billion DIABETES (20-79 years) Comparative prevalence 6.0 % 7.3 % Number of people with diabetes 246 million 380 million IGT (20-79 years) Comparative prevalence 7.5 % 8.0 % Number of people with IGT 308 million 418 million
  • 19. “I’m going to increase the dose of those tablets you aren’t taking”
  • 24. practitioners are often left without a clear pathway of therapy to follow. We developed the following consensus approach to the management of hyperglycemia in the adult to help guide health care providers in choosing the most appropriate interventions for their patients with type 2 diabetes.
  • 26. clinical judgement, that is, our collective knowledge and clinical experience, which takes into account benefits, risks, and costs in the treatment of diabetes. As in all clinical decision making, an evidence-based review of the literature must also be supplemented by value judgements, where the benefits of treatment are weighed against risks and costs in a subjective fashion. the clinical trials that address the effectiveness and safety of the different modalities of therapy sources
  • 27. The epidemic of type 2 diabetes and the recognition that achieving specific glycemic goals can substantially reduce morbidity have made the effective treatment of hyperglycemia a top priority therapies directed at other coincident features, such as dyslipidemia, hypertension, hypercoagulability, obesity, and insulin resistance, have also been a major focus of research and therapy Maintaining glycemic levels as close to the nondiabetic range as possible has been demonstrated to have a powerful beneficial effect on diabetes- specific microvascular complications, including retinopathy, nephropathy, and neuropathy, in the setting of type 1 diabetes in type 2 diabetes, more intensive treatment strategies have likewise been demonstrated to reduce microvascular complications
  • 28. Why Guidelines are Issued: The Angelic version practitioners are often left without a clear pathway of therapy to follow. We developed the following consensus approach to the management of hyperglycemia in the adult to help guide health care providers in choosing the most appropriate interventions for their patients with type 2 diabetes. Guidelines help doctors to offer the best, safest and most cost-effective treatment to their patients. They are issued as a service to humanity
  • 33. Is the ADA/EASD algorithm for the management of type 2 diabetes (January 2009) based on evidence or opinion? A critical analysis G. Schernthaner & A. H. Barnett & D. J. Betteridge & R. Carmena & A. Ceriello & B. Charbonnel &M. Hanefeld & R. Lehmann & M. T. Malecki & R. Nesto & V. Pirags & A. Scheen & J. Seufert & A. Sjohölm & A. Tsatsoulis & R. DeFronzo
  • 34. According to Nathan et al., glucose-lowering efficacy is the principal factor by which drugs should be differentiated. Their algorithm states that ‘The over-arching principle in selecting a particular intervention will be its ability to achieve and maintain glycaemic goals Glucose-lowering effects
  • 35. Summary: glucose-lowering effects and a re- evaluation of the ADA/EASD algorithm • In the short term (<1 year), the glucose-lowering efficacy of monotherapy with metformin,sulfonylureas or thiazolidinediones (and probably glinides and incretin-based therapies) is similar and may not be a compelling factor on which to base treatment choice. As such, other advantages/disadvantages of these agents (e.g. hypoglycaemia risk, weight gain) should be afforded greater importance within the limits of approved indications . • More consideration should be given to long-term glucose control, including use of individual therapies or combinations with more sustained glucose-lowering effects. • Metformin and sulfonylureas, recommended by Nathan et al. as Tier 1 agents, are inexpensive and improve short-term glycaemic control, but sulfonylureas in particular are associated with progressive treatment failure and may not be the most appropriate choice over the long term. • The optimal approach to add-on (or indeed initial) insulin therapy remains unclear and should not be restricted solely to consideration of basal insulin therapy.
  • 36. Summary: other pathophysiological and clinical effects and a re-evaluation of the ADA/EASD algorithm • In the absence of primary endpoint outcomes data, consideration of the impact of individual glucose lowering drugs on cardiovascular risk factors/markers and measures of atherosclerosis progression is Warranted. • As the progressive decline in beta cell function is a key factor limiting long-term glycaemic control, more consideration should be given to drugs with beta cell-preserving properties (preferably alongside clinical evidence for durable glycaemic control). • The complex benefit−safety profiles of individual glucose-lowering agents highlight the need for individualised therapy in the pathophysiologically complex and heterogeneous type 2 diabetes population
  • 37. Summary: cardiovascular benefit−risk relations and a re-evaluation of the ADA/EASD algorithm • Due to the high risk of macrovascular events in type 2 diabetes and absence of any well-established macrovascular benefit for glucose-lowering as such, more consideration should be given to the macrovascular benefit−risk profiles of individual glucose-lowering therapies. At present, there is good evidence of benefit for metformin (as initial therapy) in primary prevention and for pioglitazone (as part of guideline-driven therapy) in secondary prevention. • Special emphasis on metformin/sulfonylurea as the combination of choice is questionable in the absence of any outcomes data and considering evidence of a potential adverse impact on outcomes.
  • 38. The Satanic version Guidelines are a statement of authority They assert the right of competing organizations to legislate for the diabetes community
  • 39. Guidelines are a Statement of Authority Do you doubt this assertion? Then ask yourself this question: Are guidelines judged according to their scientific quality? or according to the status of the organization that issued them?
  • 40. 1. Ontological 2. Territorial 3. Imperial There are 3 types of guideline:
  • 41. The Ontological Guideline: “I think, therefore I exist” René Descartes “We issue guidelines, therefore we are important” Any professional organisation
  • 42. The Territorial Guideline The IDF will define the metabolic syndrome and diabetes No, EASD and ADA will!
  • 43. The Imperial Guideline Reclassifies previously unconsidered biological variation as disease. Guidelines Extend Disease PRE - PRE - PRE - PRE………………
  • 44. Examples: Hypertension: “Prehypertension” Diabetes: “Prediabetes” Cardiology: The NSTEMI Hepatology: Fatty liver to NAFLD Nephrology: Reduced GFR of ageing becomes CKD!
  • 47. “All individuals with a Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 for 3 months are classified as having chronic kidney disease, irrespective of the presence or absence of kidney damage.. Nephrology: Reduced GFR of ageing becomes CKD! Guidelines do not set out to reduce the boundaries of disease They set out to increase it
  • 48. Consensus “When people can’t agree about something, they reach a consensus” Margaret Thatcher “What the majority of people sitting around a table would prefer to believe” Edwin Gale
  • 49. The Therapeutic Imperative By extending the boundaries of disease, guidelines also extend the boundaries of treatment…
  • 50. Guidelines try to define the ideal therapy rather than the optimal therapy Guidelines generally ignore adverse events
  • 51. Physicians overestimate the benefit of interventions upon survival UKPDS Physicians Case 1 Before 5.1 6.9 yrs After 5.9 11.5 yrs Case 2 Before 9.3 11.8 yrs After 9.4 19 yrs Case 3 Before 10.7 9.8 yrs After 10.9 17 yrs Patel et al, Diabetic Med (2009) 26:453-4
  • 52. Least worst diabetes management? “When one admits that nothing is certain, one must, I think, also add that some things are much more nearly certain than others” Bertrand Russell
  • 53. Some more certain conclusions 1.Glucose control strongly influences the risk of microvascular complications, but the benefits diminish with age. 2.Glucose control is more valuable in primary than secondary prevention of vascular outcomes
  • 54. Some more certain conclusions 1. Some therapies (e.g. metformin) may be more effective for CVD than others with similar glucose-lowering properties 2. Glucose targets below HbA1c 8% represent a good therapeutic compromise in most older patients. 3. But we should treat biological age, not chronological age.
  • 55. 1. More therapeutic effort should be directed to those with HbA1c levels >8% 2. But we should acknowledge that the limitations to good glucose control are more behavioral than pharmacological … Some more certain conclusions
  • 56. “One size fits all” recommendations may be OK for populations. But each person who comes to us is unique “People do not have outcomes. A person is an outcome” Some more certain conclusions
  • 57. There are two type of Diabetologist: Type 1 and Type 2 Type 1 diabetologists treat diabetes Type 2 diabetologists treat people who have diabetes
  • 59. Decisions About Intensity of Glycemic Control Should Depend on Age and Functional Status Huang ES, Zhang Q, Gandra N, Chin MH, Meltzer DO: The effect of comorbid illness and functional status on the expected benefits of intensive glucose control in older patients with type 2 diabetes: a decision analysis. Ann Intern Med 149:11-19, 2008 Decisions about intensive glycemic control in older adults should consider life expectancy, which can be assessed based on age and functional status. Older adults with limited life expectancy are unlikely to benefit from intensive control compared with moderate control. Conclusions Results. The potential benefits of intensive glycemic control were relatively small (51-116 quality-adjusted life-days gained) and appeared to depend on age and the presence of functional disability. When life expectancy was < 5 years, intensive control produced little benefit, even under optimistic assumptions.

Editor's Notes

  • #8: The worldwide estimate is expected to increase to some 380 million, or 7.1% of the adult population, by 2025. The largest increases will take place in the regions dominated by developing economies.
  • #10: Comparative prevalence The comparative prevalence has been calculated by assuming that every country and region has the same age profile (the age profile of the world population has been used). This removes the differences of age between countries and regions, and makes this figure ideal for making comparisons. The comparative prevalence should not be used for assessing the proportion of people within a country or region who have diabetes.
  • #59: The 40-59 year age group currently has the greatest number of persons with diabetes with some 113 million, of which more than 70% live in developing countries. By 2025, because of the ageing of the world’s population, there will be 166 million with diabetes aged 40-59, over 80% of which will be in newly developed or developing countries. There will be almost as many in the 60-79 age group, some 164 million.