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Criticality Benchmark
Analysis of Water-Reflected
Uranium Oxyfluoride Slabs

Margaret A. Marshall
John D. Bess
Idaho National Laboratory


ANS Winter Meeting
November 18, 2009

                              1
Outline

Purpose of evaluation
Background
Evaluation process
 ¤ Uncertainty analysis
 ¤ Bias analysis
Results and Conclusions

                           2
Purpose of Evaluation
ANSI Standard 8.1
  ¤ “Subcritical Limits for Uranium-235
    Systems” by Hugh Clark
     Used “Critical Parameters of Proton-
      Moderated and Proton-Reflected Slab of U235”
      by J.K Fox et. al.
International Criticality Safety
 Benchmark Evaluation Project
 (ICSBEP)
Validation & Verification, Criticality
 Safety, and Cross Section Data

                                                     3
Experiment Background

Performed:
  ¤ 1955-56
  ¤ Oak Ridge National
    Laboratory Critical
    Experiments
    Facility.
Purpose: minimum
 critical thickness
 for infinite slab of
 UO2F2                    Critical Experiments Facility Oak Ridge
                          National Laboratory, 1956
                          Callihan, A.D., “Critical Experiments and Nuclear Safety At
                          Oak Ridge National Laboratory.” ORNL-2087 (1956)



                                                                                        4
The Experiment

Materials
  ¤ UO2F2 Solution
  ¤ Lucite Box
  ¤ Water Reflected &
    Moderated
Slab Thickness
 Varied, Critical
 Height Measured

                                     5
                        Chris White (INL)
Water Reflector




 Lucite Box and Lucite Insert



  Uranium Oxyfluoride Solution


    Lucite Inserts




                                               6
                                 Chris White (INL)
The Experiment
Issues
 ¤ Slab thickness
   variation due to
   hydrostatic
   pressure
                      Extrapolation to Minimum Critical Thickness

Results              J.K Fox, L.W. Gilley, and J.H. Marable, “Critical Paramters of
                      Proton-Moderated and Proton-Reflected Slabs of U235”, Nucl. Sci.
                      Eng., 3, 694 (1958)


 ¤ Experimental data allows for
   extrapolation to minimum slab
   thickness for infinite height
                                                                                         7
Benchmark Process

Report Sections
Section 1 – Experiment
Section 2 – Uncertainty
Section 3 – Biases
Section 4 – Sample Calculations


                                   8
Uncertainty Assessment

Perturbation of      Parameters
 Parameters            ¤ Solution &
Difficulties            Reflector
                         Height
  ¤ Determining the
    1σ uncertainty     ¤ Dimensions
  ¤ “Never-Ending”     ¤ Material
    (always coming       Properties
    up with more
    uncertainties)

                                      9
Uncertainty Analysis Results
     Experiment           105        109       110       111        112
      Case 
                           1          2         3        4           5
    Parameter 
U total Weight Fraction    0.00062   0.00020   0.00018    0.00018   0.00018
      Specific Gravity     0.00114   0.00107   0.00106    0.00107   0.00106
         Temperature       0.00005   0.00005   0.00005    0.00005   0.00005
          Enrichment       0.00013   0.00023   0.00022    0.00020   0.00019
     U234 Enrichment       0.00211   0.00215   0.00221    0.00203   0.00207
            Impurities     0.00023   0.00020   0.00018    0.00022   0.00024
       Compounds in
           Solution        0.00073   0.00065   0.00077    0.00070   0.00060
       Lucite Density      0.00021   0.00020   0.00023    0.00020   0.00018
      Solution Height      0.00177   0.00055   0.00019    0.00054   0.00015
     Reflector Height      0.00005   0.00005   0.00005    0.00005   0.00005
      Slab Thickness       0.00155   0.00080   0.00159    0.00161   0.00081
          Box Length       0.00002   0.00002   0.00007    0.00002   0.00002
     Lucite Thickness      0.00078   0.00074   0.00075    0.00072   0.00075
                                                                       10
                  Total    0.00360   0.00281   0.00315    0.00306   0.00268
Bias Assessment

Simplification    Simplifications
                    performed
 of model            ¤ No air
Find                ¤ Insert merged with
                       box in model
 corresponding
 Δkeff               ¤ No out of solution
                       supports
Done                ¤ Remove box above
                       reflector height
 systematically      ¤ Remove impurities
                       in solutions
                     ¤ Homogenize
                       supports


                                            11
Biases Analysis Results


                                            Remove
                     No         Insert                 Homo-            Total
                                           Box above
         No Air    Impuritie   Merged                 genized        Simplificati
Case                                        Reflector
                      s        with Box               Supports        on Bias b
                                              Height
             Δk          Δk          Δk         Δk       Δk              Δk
   1     -0.00009 0.00013 -0.00005          -0.00011     -- a         0.00024
   2      0.00006 0.00037 -0.00002           0.00011  0.00070         0.00100
   3      0.00005 0.00028 -0.00003           0.00011  0.00062         0.00114
   4     -0.00010 0.00028 -0.00009          -0.00016  0.00049         0.00081
   5      0.00003 0.00037 0.00014            0.00011  0.00051         0.00101
a Case 1 has no Lucite supports.
b Bias in k
           eff when all simplifications are made at the same time.




                                                                               12
Simple
Model




                             13
         Chris White (INL)
Additional Biases

Biases not
                                            Homogenized
 included in the                 Water
                                                Lucite
                               Replaces
 simplified model.      Case   Lucite Box
                                               Box in
                                              Reflector
  ¤ Replacing Lucite              Δk             Δk
    with water           1     -0.02016       -0.01787
                         2     -0.02213       -0.01960
  ¤ Homogenizing         3     -0.02112       -0.01875
                         4     -0.02135       -0.01897
    Lucite into water    5     -0.02234       -0.01991




                                                     14
Other Analysis
      Thermal Scattering Treatment
Thermal scattering                Benchm
 treatment adjusts    Case           ark
                                             Light
                                             Watera
                                                       Polyethyl
                                                         enea
                                                                     Solid
                                                                    Methanea
                                                                                   Free
                                                                                   Gasa
 the neutron cross-                  keff
 sections for the
 upscattering of          1         1.0000   -0.0004    -0.0070      -0.0350      0.0438

 thermal neutrons         2         1.0000   -0.0029    -0.0098      -0.0441      0.0450
 based on elemental
 bonds.                   3         1.0000   -0.0008    -0.0077      -0.0388      0.0451

Light water              4         1.0000   -0.0010    -0.0077      -0.0408      0.0438
 treatment was used
                          5         1.0000   -0.0031    -0.0098      -0.0462      0.0437
Effects of other             Average %
 treatments were               Deviation
                                             -0.16%     -0.84%        -4.10%      4.43%

 analyzed             a All
                          statistical uncertainties were 0.00005. Δk’s are reference to
                      the benchmark keff. ENDF/B.VII.0 library used.




                                                                                 15
Results

Detailed Model                 Simple Model
  Case    keff    uncertainty     Case    keff    uncertainty

   1     1.0000   ± 0.0036         1     1.0002   ± 0.0036
   2     1.0000   ± 0.0028         2     1.0010   ± 0.0028
   3     1.0000   ± 0.0032         3     1.0011   ± 0.0032
   4     1.0000   ± 0.0031         4     1.0008   ± 0.0031
   5     1.0000   ± 0.0027         5     1.0010   ± 0.0027




                                                             16
Sample Calculations

Run with ENDF/B-VI.8 and –VII.0
 libraries
                  ENDF/B-VI.8                  ENDF/B-VII.0
                                                    %
   Case                %                                      # of
           keff               # of σ    keff      Deviatio
                    Deviation                                    σ
                                                       n
    1     0.9943     -0.57%     1.69   0.9996     -0.04%      0.11
    2     0.9915     -0.85%     3.28   0.9971     -0.29%      1.10
    3     0.9936     -0.64%     2.16   0.9992     -0.08%      0.26
    4     0.9936     -0.64%     2.25   0.9990     -0.10%      0.34
    5     0.9914     -0.86%     3.49   0.9969     -0.31%      1.25

                                                                     17
Current Efforts

Benchmark has been reviewed and
 improvements to the analysis are
 being included
  ¤ Reduction of uncertainty in Lucite
    thickness and 234U content
Revised benchmark to be presented
 before the ICSBEP technical working
 group May 2010 in Slovenia.
  ¤ To be included in the September 2010
    edition of the ICSBEP Handbook

                                           18
Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank
 the following individuals
  ¤ J. Blair Briggs – INL
  ¤ Clinton Gross – Paschal Solutions
  ¤ Denis Beller – UNLV




                                        19
Questions?




             20

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UO2F2 - ANSWM 2009

  • 1. Criticality Benchmark Analysis of Water-Reflected Uranium Oxyfluoride Slabs Margaret A. Marshall John D. Bess Idaho National Laboratory ANS Winter Meeting November 18, 2009 1
  • 2. Outline Purpose of evaluation Background Evaluation process ¤ Uncertainty analysis ¤ Bias analysis Results and Conclusions 2
  • 3. Purpose of Evaluation ANSI Standard 8.1 ¤ “Subcritical Limits for Uranium-235 Systems” by Hugh Clark Used “Critical Parameters of Proton- Moderated and Proton-Reflected Slab of U235” by J.K Fox et. al. International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) Validation & Verification, Criticality Safety, and Cross Section Data 3
  • 4. Experiment Background Performed: ¤ 1955-56 ¤ Oak Ridge National Laboratory Critical Experiments Facility. Purpose: minimum critical thickness for infinite slab of UO2F2 Critical Experiments Facility Oak Ridge National Laboratory, 1956 Callihan, A.D., “Critical Experiments and Nuclear Safety At Oak Ridge National Laboratory.” ORNL-2087 (1956) 4
  • 5. The Experiment Materials ¤ UO2F2 Solution ¤ Lucite Box ¤ Water Reflected & Moderated Slab Thickness Varied, Critical Height Measured 5 Chris White (INL)
  • 6. Water Reflector Lucite Box and Lucite Insert Uranium Oxyfluoride Solution Lucite Inserts 6 Chris White (INL)
  • 7. The Experiment Issues ¤ Slab thickness variation due to hydrostatic pressure Extrapolation to Minimum Critical Thickness Results J.K Fox, L.W. Gilley, and J.H. Marable, “Critical Paramters of Proton-Moderated and Proton-Reflected Slabs of U235”, Nucl. Sci. Eng., 3, 694 (1958) ¤ Experimental data allows for extrapolation to minimum slab thickness for infinite height 7
  • 8. Benchmark Process Report Sections Section 1 – Experiment Section 2 – Uncertainty Section 3 – Biases Section 4 – Sample Calculations 8
  • 9. Uncertainty Assessment Perturbation of Parameters Parameters ¤ Solution & Difficulties Reflector Height ¤ Determining the 1σ uncertainty ¤ Dimensions ¤ “Never-Ending” ¤ Material (always coming Properties up with more uncertainties) 9
  • 10. Uncertainty Analysis Results Experiment 105 109 110 111 112 Case  1 2 3 4 5 Parameter  U total Weight Fraction 0.00062 0.00020 0.00018 0.00018 0.00018 Specific Gravity 0.00114 0.00107 0.00106 0.00107 0.00106 Temperature 0.00005 0.00005 0.00005 0.00005 0.00005 Enrichment 0.00013 0.00023 0.00022 0.00020 0.00019 U234 Enrichment 0.00211 0.00215 0.00221 0.00203 0.00207 Impurities 0.00023 0.00020 0.00018 0.00022 0.00024 Compounds in Solution 0.00073 0.00065 0.00077 0.00070 0.00060 Lucite Density 0.00021 0.00020 0.00023 0.00020 0.00018 Solution Height 0.00177 0.00055 0.00019 0.00054 0.00015 Reflector Height 0.00005 0.00005 0.00005 0.00005 0.00005 Slab Thickness 0.00155 0.00080 0.00159 0.00161 0.00081 Box Length 0.00002 0.00002 0.00007 0.00002 0.00002 Lucite Thickness 0.00078 0.00074 0.00075 0.00072 0.00075 10 Total 0.00360 0.00281 0.00315 0.00306 0.00268
  • 11. Bias Assessment Simplification  Simplifications performed of model ¤ No air Find ¤ Insert merged with box in model corresponding Δkeff ¤ No out of solution supports Done ¤ Remove box above reflector height systematically ¤ Remove impurities in solutions ¤ Homogenize supports 11
  • 12. Biases Analysis Results Remove No Insert Homo- Total Box above No Air Impuritie Merged genized Simplificati Case Reflector s with Box Supports on Bias b Height Δk Δk Δk Δk Δk Δk 1 -0.00009 0.00013 -0.00005 -0.00011 -- a 0.00024 2 0.00006 0.00037 -0.00002 0.00011 0.00070 0.00100 3 0.00005 0.00028 -0.00003 0.00011 0.00062 0.00114 4 -0.00010 0.00028 -0.00009 -0.00016 0.00049 0.00081 5 0.00003 0.00037 0.00014 0.00011 0.00051 0.00101 a Case 1 has no Lucite supports. b Bias in k eff when all simplifications are made at the same time. 12
  • 13. Simple Model 13 Chris White (INL)
  • 14. Additional Biases Biases not Homogenized included in the Water Lucite Replaces simplified model. Case Lucite Box Box in Reflector ¤ Replacing Lucite Δk Δk with water 1 -0.02016 -0.01787 2 -0.02213 -0.01960 ¤ Homogenizing 3 -0.02112 -0.01875 4 -0.02135 -0.01897 Lucite into water 5 -0.02234 -0.01991 14
  • 15. Other Analysis Thermal Scattering Treatment Thermal scattering Benchm treatment adjusts Case ark Light Watera Polyethyl enea Solid Methanea Free Gasa the neutron cross- keff sections for the upscattering of 1 1.0000 -0.0004 -0.0070 -0.0350 0.0438 thermal neutrons 2 1.0000 -0.0029 -0.0098 -0.0441 0.0450 based on elemental bonds. 3 1.0000 -0.0008 -0.0077 -0.0388 0.0451 Light water 4 1.0000 -0.0010 -0.0077 -0.0408 0.0438 treatment was used 5 1.0000 -0.0031 -0.0098 -0.0462 0.0437 Effects of other Average % treatments were Deviation -0.16% -0.84% -4.10% 4.43% analyzed a All statistical uncertainties were 0.00005. Δk’s are reference to the benchmark keff. ENDF/B.VII.0 library used. 15
  • 16. Results Detailed Model Simple Model Case keff uncertainty Case keff uncertainty 1 1.0000 ± 0.0036 1 1.0002 ± 0.0036 2 1.0000 ± 0.0028 2 1.0010 ± 0.0028 3 1.0000 ± 0.0032 3 1.0011 ± 0.0032 4 1.0000 ± 0.0031 4 1.0008 ± 0.0031 5 1.0000 ± 0.0027 5 1.0010 ± 0.0027 16
  • 17. Sample Calculations Run with ENDF/B-VI.8 and –VII.0 libraries ENDF/B-VI.8 ENDF/B-VII.0 % Case % # of keff # of σ keff Deviatio Deviation σ n 1 0.9943 -0.57% 1.69 0.9996 -0.04% 0.11 2 0.9915 -0.85% 3.28 0.9971 -0.29% 1.10 3 0.9936 -0.64% 2.16 0.9992 -0.08% 0.26 4 0.9936 -0.64% 2.25 0.9990 -0.10% 0.34 5 0.9914 -0.86% 3.49 0.9969 -0.31% 1.25 17
  • 18. Current Efforts Benchmark has been reviewed and improvements to the analysis are being included ¤ Reduction of uncertainty in Lucite thickness and 234U content Revised benchmark to be presented before the ICSBEP technical working group May 2010 in Slovenia. ¤ To be included in the September 2010 edition of the ICSBEP Handbook 18
  • 19. Acknowledgments The authors would like to thank the following individuals ¤ J. Blair Briggs – INL ¤ Clinton Gross – Paschal Solutions ¤ Denis Beller – UNLV 19