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Virtual University



V.S. Efimov
Center of Strategic Research and Development,
Siberian Federal University,
www.foresight.sfu-kras.ru
expert.sfu@gmail.com
The main questions:
2. What are the features of the situation of higher education in
   Russia and in the world?
3. Vision of the future of Russian universities.
4. What are new risks for high school?
5. Why do we need Virtual University?
6. How can we think about Virtual University?
7. Who and how will build a Virtual University?



                   In the report uses results of the project “The forecast and
                   scenarios for higher education in Russia until 2030 (Foresight
                   research)”
The forecast and scenarios for higher education
in Russia until 2030
                                                              Recommendations
                       • 730 experts                          for public
    The best           • 96 universities                      policy measures
    foreign            • 28 organizations
    practices
                                                    Road map
Contexts, trends, possible                          for development of
critical situations, the                            higher education of
                                THE BASELINE        the Russia
necessary management
decisions                      scenario of higher
                                  education
          The field of scenarios                    Organized register
          development of                            of documents that define
          higher education in                       the state policy
          Russia
Phase transition: the industrial phase and the
postindustrial society
                                              Post-industrial phase (XX-
  The industrial phase (XVIII-
                                                    XXI centuries)
         XX centuries)
                                                            The project
       The project "Enlightenment“                       «Enlightenment-2»
     (mass education, universal literacy)         (massive cognitive competences)


                                                     COGNITIVISATION
                                                    (knowledge economy and other)
          Industrialization
           (industrial production)

                                                    GLOBALISATION
       URBANIZATION                            (production of labor, markets, capital)
 (creation of cities and urban lifestyle)

                                                 DEMOGRAPHIC
     DEMOGRAPHIC                                 REVOLUTION-2
      REVOLUTION                            (reduce of mortality, increase of life
(hygiene, medicine, reducing of child                  expectancy)
             mortality)
ENLIGHTENMENT - 2

         ENLIGHTENMENT-1                    Social-anthropological projects
                                           “Creative Man”, “Mobile Man” and
       Social-anthropological                            other
      project's “Knowing Man”,
           “Industrial Man”                     Mass Baccalaureate
                                              (cognitive competences:
                                                navigation, research,
  Mass school, mass profession -               design, management)
   "teacher", universal literacy
                                             "Corporate Universities"
                                           (dotted engineering training)
 Mass engineering and technical
       education (HTEI,
       technical schools)               VIRTUAL (OPEN) UNIVERSITY:

                                        - free education
Universities, the Academy of Sciences
 (knowledge production, reproduction
                                        - networking and cloud R&D,
        of scientists and elite)        - all social groups
Situation in Russia
                    China, India
                                                             USA
Countries of                                         Japan
  Africa
                                                                        Enlightenment-2
                                                   ЕU
               Enlightenment-1
                                                             Russia

                                     SIMULATION OF THE EDUCATION



       KEY FACTORS AND CHALLENGES OF HIGHER EDUCATION IN RUSSIA
       •imitation and falsification in higher education and innovation
       •the absence of a clear socio-anthropological project, a framework for higher education
       •«Intellectual offshore» and «skill drain»
       •the gap between objectives, content, format and the interests of education, socio-economic
       life and business
       •domination of the educational bureaucracy, conservatism, research and education community
       •shortage of subjects in high school
The future of higher education - expert opinion
                                    Scenarios for the future of Russia: socio-economic
• Optimization of high                  situation and high school years, 2010-2030
  school to the needs
  of the
  "resource economy“
• Formation of a
  new perspective, in
  which higher
  education is the
  engine of development
  in country
• OBJECTIVE OF
  SCIENTIFIC AND
  EDUCATIONAL
  COMMUNITY
                          cognitive society                      local leadership
                          catching up modernization              raw future
The Future of higher education - group of experts
                      Socio-economic scenarios - a contribution to the situation in
                                           Russia, 2030



GROUP OF EXPERTS:
•«Innovators»
•«All the experts»
•«Conservatives»




                           Innovators                                      Conservatives

                     cognitive society                  local leadership
                     catching up modernization          raw future
Digital Revolution:
transition from "paper, direct" education to "digital,
distant" education

• Contribution of the Internet economy in Russia's GDP in 2015 will
  increase more than twice: from 1,6% percent of GDP in 2009 to
  3,7% of GDP in 2015 (Boston Consulting Group).
• The number of Internet users in Russia in 2011reached
  70 mln. people, growth during the year 5,4% (Ministry of
  Communications of the Russian Federation)
• In 2009 the world market for distance education
  was $27,1 billion. Forecast for 2014 - $49,6 billion in growth rate -
  12% per year (Ambient Insight).
• In 2007 77% of European universities were ready for of
  electronic learning, for 65% of high schools development of e-
  learning is a key priority (European Commission for Education and
  Culture)
                                                                          9
Russian law - implementation of the Federal Law from May 8,
2010, N 83-FL
The introduction “normative per capita”                   Funding for universities will be carried
                                                          out in accordance with the state task to
financing - implementation                                fulfill the basic types of work and
of elements of market selection in the                    rendering educational services.
                                                          Calculated base capitation - the
budget process                                            minimum value of the budget of
                                                          educational services to the
REPERCUSSION:                                             reference numbers of students taking the
                                                          next academic year.
       Deteriorating situation of the leading
       universities that receive funding per student is
       twice more than an average in Russia

       The complexity of budget planning. The state does not know how many students come to
       the leading and technical colleges, and, respectively, can not accurately plan for the
       education budget
       Weak regional universities would not be able to attract a stable government funding

       Significantly reduced range of fee-paying students at natural science and
       engineering areas



                                                                                                     10
Digital Revolution - Virtual University
                      INDUSTRIAL PHASE –                         POST-INDUSTRIAL PHASE -
                 A “PAPER, DIRECT EDUCATION”                  A "DIGITAL, DISTANT EDUCATION"

CONTENT OF      - knowledge, competencies, skills          - cognitive competences
EDUCATION       - scientific world picture                 - multiontologics, multiculturalism;
                - action based on the norm                 - self-determination, self-organization


FORMAT          "EDUCATIONAL CONVEYOR ":                   "INDIVIDUAL EDUCATIONAL
OF EDUCATION    - curriculum                               TRAJECTORY"
                - lectures and seminars,                   - open educational space
                - outside control                          - tutor, counseling, expert support,
                                                           - reflexive self-control



                MATERIAL UNIVERSITY                        VIRTUAL UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTIONAL
                - university building (Campus)             - an educational portal, e-library
FORMAT
                - administration (rector, dean's office)   - education network, an electronic office
                - government financing                     (chair)
                                                           - state and public financing
Structure of the virtual university
                                      Content         Participants     Institutions

                                    Multimedia         Children and      Educational
                                      content,        young people,     Portal, private
                   Education        educational        adults, older       office,
                                  space, individual      people         school office,
                                    educational                         management
Basic processes




                                    trajectories

                                      Network         Research and     R&D Portal,
                  Research and       projects,        project groups     E-library,
                  development       technology          (students,     project Office
                                     platforms          aspirants,
                                                        employees)

                      Public
                   discourse,
                      audit,
                   consulting,
                  enlightenment
                                                                                          12
Virtual University (Education) - a road map(layout)

               1.Approval of the concept                 1.Confirmation of program of
OBJECTIVES,      of virtual university                      development of VU
  indicators   2.Establishment of the                    2. Activities of VU
                 Directorate of VU
               1. Elaboration of the concept of VU     1. Elaboration of development program
               2. Elaboration of educational models       of VU
                  VU                                   2. create the regulatory framework of VU
               3. Creation of a package of technical   3. the creation and launch of the portal of
PROJECTS,         specifications for the preparation      VU
 activities       of content for of VU                 4. Preparation of digital content of VU
               4. Concept development and creation        («best lectures» and other)
                  of e-library VU                      5. conduct a marketing campaign of VU




                1.Market research                      1. The study of foreign markets
RESEARCH and    2.Realization series of                   VU
 development      workshops (games) to                 2. A series of design workshops
                  create Virtual University               of VU



               1.Formation of a VU working               1. Members agreement of
 SOLUTIONS
                 group                                      investment and
                                                            management in VU

                     2012-2013                                     2014-2015                         2016-2017
                                                                                                                 13
Creation virtual university
     Government of                  Ministry           Ministry of          Science
      Krasnoyarsk               of Investment         Education and        Foundation
         region                 and Innovation          Science             of region

                                                                                                           Goals and
                                                                      • Concept of VU
                                                                                                     objectives of the
                                                                      • Road map for creating VU
                                                                                                         Krasnoyarsk
                                                                      • Program of development
                                                                                                              region’s
                                                                        of VU
                                                                                                        development
                                                                      •…

                                                                                                   ROAD MAPS




   
    
 
                 Experts


     
Research and                                 Universities
project groups             Students, users




                                                                                                                         14
Future - is competition of collective
intelligence, living in communication-
knowledge environment, based on
different cultural and
language platforms

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Virtual university

  • 1. Virtual University V.S. Efimov Center of Strategic Research and Development, Siberian Federal University, www.foresight.sfu-kras.ru expert.sfu@gmail.com
  • 2. The main questions: 2. What are the features of the situation of higher education in Russia and in the world? 3. Vision of the future of Russian universities. 4. What are new risks for high school? 5. Why do we need Virtual University? 6. How can we think about Virtual University? 7. Who and how will build a Virtual University? In the report uses results of the project “The forecast and scenarios for higher education in Russia until 2030 (Foresight research)”
  • 3. The forecast and scenarios for higher education in Russia until 2030 Recommendations • 730 experts for public The best • 96 universities policy measures foreign • 28 organizations practices Road map Contexts, trends, possible for development of critical situations, the higher education of THE BASELINE the Russia necessary management decisions scenario of higher education The field of scenarios Organized register development of of documents that define higher education in the state policy Russia
  • 4. Phase transition: the industrial phase and the postindustrial society Post-industrial phase (XX- The industrial phase (XVIII- XXI centuries) XX centuries) The project The project "Enlightenment“ «Enlightenment-2» (mass education, universal literacy) (massive cognitive competences) COGNITIVISATION (knowledge economy and other) Industrialization (industrial production) GLOBALISATION URBANIZATION (production of labor, markets, capital) (creation of cities and urban lifestyle) DEMOGRAPHIC DEMOGRAPHIC REVOLUTION-2 REVOLUTION (reduce of mortality, increase of life (hygiene, medicine, reducing of child expectancy) mortality)
  • 5. ENLIGHTENMENT - 2 ENLIGHTENMENT-1 Social-anthropological projects “Creative Man”, “Mobile Man” and Social-anthropological other project's “Knowing Man”, “Industrial Man” Mass Baccalaureate (cognitive competences: navigation, research, Mass school, mass profession - design, management) "teacher", universal literacy "Corporate Universities" (dotted engineering training) Mass engineering and technical education (HTEI, technical schools) VIRTUAL (OPEN) UNIVERSITY: - free education Universities, the Academy of Sciences (knowledge production, reproduction - networking and cloud R&D, of scientists and elite) - all social groups
  • 6. Situation in Russia China, India USA Countries of Japan Africa Enlightenment-2 ЕU Enlightenment-1 Russia SIMULATION OF THE EDUCATION KEY FACTORS AND CHALLENGES OF HIGHER EDUCATION IN RUSSIA •imitation and falsification in higher education and innovation •the absence of a clear socio-anthropological project, a framework for higher education •«Intellectual offshore» and «skill drain» •the gap between objectives, content, format and the interests of education, socio-economic life and business •domination of the educational bureaucracy, conservatism, research and education community •shortage of subjects in high school
  • 7. The future of higher education - expert opinion Scenarios for the future of Russia: socio-economic • Optimization of high situation and high school years, 2010-2030 school to the needs of the "resource economy“ • Formation of a new perspective, in which higher education is the engine of development in country • OBJECTIVE OF SCIENTIFIC AND EDUCATIONAL COMMUNITY cognitive society local leadership catching up modernization raw future
  • 8. The Future of higher education - group of experts Socio-economic scenarios - a contribution to the situation in Russia, 2030 GROUP OF EXPERTS: •«Innovators» •«All the experts» •«Conservatives» Innovators Conservatives cognitive society local leadership catching up modernization raw future
  • 9. Digital Revolution: transition from "paper, direct" education to "digital, distant" education • Contribution of the Internet economy in Russia's GDP in 2015 will increase more than twice: from 1,6% percent of GDP in 2009 to 3,7% of GDP in 2015 (Boston Consulting Group). • The number of Internet users in Russia in 2011reached 70 mln. people, growth during the year 5,4% (Ministry of Communications of the Russian Federation) • In 2009 the world market for distance education was $27,1 billion. Forecast for 2014 - $49,6 billion in growth rate - 12% per year (Ambient Insight). • In 2007 77% of European universities were ready for of electronic learning, for 65% of high schools development of e- learning is a key priority (European Commission for Education and Culture) 9
  • 10. Russian law - implementation of the Federal Law from May 8, 2010, N 83-FL The introduction “normative per capita” Funding for universities will be carried out in accordance with the state task to financing - implementation fulfill the basic types of work and of elements of market selection in the rendering educational services. Calculated base capitation - the budget process minimum value of the budget of educational services to the REPERCUSSION: reference numbers of students taking the next academic year. Deteriorating situation of the leading universities that receive funding per student is twice more than an average in Russia The complexity of budget planning. The state does not know how many students come to the leading and technical colleges, and, respectively, can not accurately plan for the education budget Weak regional universities would not be able to attract a stable government funding Significantly reduced range of fee-paying students at natural science and engineering areas 10
  • 11. Digital Revolution - Virtual University INDUSTRIAL PHASE – POST-INDUSTRIAL PHASE - A “PAPER, DIRECT EDUCATION” A "DIGITAL, DISTANT EDUCATION" CONTENT OF - knowledge, competencies, skills - cognitive competences EDUCATION - scientific world picture - multiontologics, multiculturalism; - action based on the norm - self-determination, self-organization FORMAT "EDUCATIONAL CONVEYOR ": "INDIVIDUAL EDUCATIONAL OF EDUCATION - curriculum TRAJECTORY" - lectures and seminars, - open educational space - outside control - tutor, counseling, expert support, - reflexive self-control MATERIAL UNIVERSITY VIRTUAL UNIVERSITY INSTITUTIONAL - university building (Campus) - an educational portal, e-library FORMAT - administration (rector, dean's office) - education network, an electronic office - government financing (chair) - state and public financing
  • 12. Structure of the virtual university Content Participants Institutions Multimedia Children and Educational content, young people, Portal, private Education educational adults, older office, space, individual people school office, educational management Basic processes trajectories Network Research and R&D Portal, Research and projects, project groups E-library, development technology (students, project Office platforms aspirants, employees) Public discourse, audit, consulting, enlightenment 12
  • 13. Virtual University (Education) - a road map(layout) 1.Approval of the concept 1.Confirmation of program of OBJECTIVES, of virtual university development of VU indicators 2.Establishment of the 2. Activities of VU Directorate of VU 1. Elaboration of the concept of VU 1. Elaboration of development program 2. Elaboration of educational models of VU VU 2. create the regulatory framework of VU 3. Creation of a package of technical 3. the creation and launch of the portal of PROJECTS, specifications for the preparation VU activities of content for of VU 4. Preparation of digital content of VU 4. Concept development and creation («best lectures» and other) of e-library VU 5. conduct a marketing campaign of VU 1.Market research 1. The study of foreign markets RESEARCH and 2.Realization series of VU development workshops (games) to 2. A series of design workshops create Virtual University of VU 1.Formation of a VU working 1. Members agreement of SOLUTIONS group investment and management in VU 2012-2013 2014-2015 2016-2017 13
  • 14. Creation virtual university Government of Ministry Ministry of Science Krasnoyarsk of Investment Education and Foundation region and Innovation Science of region Goals and • Concept of VU objectives of the • Road map for creating VU Krasnoyarsk • Program of development region’s of VU development •… ROAD MAPS     Experts   Research and Universities project groups Students, users 14
  • 15. Future - is competition of collective intelligence, living in communication- knowledge environment, based on different cultural and language platforms