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Central bank forecasting: A survey. (2024). Sekkel, Rodrigo ; Binder, Carola.
In: Journal of Economic Surveys.
RePEc:bla:jecsur:v:38:y:2024:i:2:p:342-364.

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  1. Inflation Forecast Targeting Revisited. (2025). Müller, Gernot ; Enders, Zeno ; Conrad, Christian ; Mller, Gernot.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12006.

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  151. Szyszko, M., & Tura, K. (2015). Can inflation forecast and monetary policy path be really useful? The case of the Czech republic. Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, 10(3), 9–26.

  152. Tien, P.-L., Sinclair, T. M., & Gamber, E. N. (2021). Do Fed forecast errors matter? Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 83(3), 686–712.

  153. Tillmann, P. (2011). Strategic forecasting on the FOMC. European Journal of Political Economy, 27(3), 547–553.

  154. Tillmann, P. (2012). Reputation and forecast revisions: Evidence from the FOMC. manuscript, Justus-LiebigU niversity Giessen.
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  155. Tsuchiya, Y. (2021). The value added of the bank of Japan’s range forecasts. Journal of Forecasting, 40(5), 817–833.
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  156. Tulip, P. (2009). Has the economy become more predictable? Changes in greenbook forecast accuracy. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 41(6), 1217–1231.

  157. Tulip, P., & Wallace, S. (2012). Estimates of uncertainty around the RBA’s forecasts. Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper, (7).
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  158. Wallis, K. (2003). Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts, and the bank of England’s fan charts. International Journal of Forecasting, 19, 165–175.

  159. Weber, A. (2009). The role of forecasting for central banks. Keynote address at the conference on "Forecasting and monetary policy".
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Cocites

Documents in RePEc which have cited the same bibliography

  1. Combining shrinkage and sparsity in conjugate vector autoregressive models. (2021). onorante, luca ; Huber, Florian ; Hauzenberger, Niko.
    In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
    RePEc:wly:japmet:v:36:y:2021:i:3:p:304-327.

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  2. Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them. (2021). Rossi, Barbara.
    In: Economics Working Papers.
    RePEc:upf:upfgen:1711.

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  3. Expecting the unexpected: economic growth under stress. (2021). Ruiz, Esther ; Rodriguez Caballero, Carlos ; Gonzalez-Rivera, Gloria ; Rodriguez-Caballero, Vladimir.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:ucr:wpaper:202106.

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  4. What Does Below, but Close to, 2 Percent Mean? Assessing the ECBs Reaction Function with Real-Time Data. (2021). Kilponen, Juha ; Jalasjoki, Pirkka ; Haavio, Markus ; Paloviita, Maritta.
    In: International Journal of Central Banking.
    RePEc:ijc:ijcjou:y:2021:q:2:a:4.

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  5. New York FED Staff Nowcasts and Reality: What Can We Learn about the Future, the Present, and the Past?. (2021). Siliverstovs, Boriss.
    In: Econometrics.
    RePEc:gam:jecnmx:v:9:y:2021:i:1:p:11-:d:511974.

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  6. Forecasting tourism recovery amid COVID-19. (2021). Wen, Long ; Zhang, Hanyuan ; Song, Haiyan ; Liu, Chang.
    In: Annals of Tourism Research.
    RePEc:eee:anture:v:87:y:2021:i:c:s0160738321000116.

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  7. Expecting the unexpected: economic growth under stress. (2021). Rodriguez Caballero, Carlos ; Gonzalez-Rivera, Gloria ; Gonzalezrivera, Gloria ; Ortega, Esther Ruiz.
    In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
    RePEc:cte:wsrepe:32148.

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  8. Holding the Economy by the Tail: Analysis of Short- and Long-run Macroeconomic Risks. (2021). Libich, Jan ; Franta, Michal.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:cnb:wpaper:2021/3.

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  9. The bias and efficiency of the ECB inflation projections: a State dependent analysis. (2021). Jalasjoki, Pirkka ; Paloviita, Maritta ; Granziera, Eleonora.
    In: Research Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:bof:bofrdp:2021_007.

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  10. The Bias and Efficiency of the ECB Inflation Projections: a State Dependent Analysis. (2021). Jalasjoki, Pirkka ; Paloviita, Maritta ; Granziera, Eleonora.
    In: Working Paper.
    RePEc:bno:worpap:2021_1.

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  11. Expecting the unexpected: economic growth under stress. (2021). Ruiz, Esther ; Rodriguez Caballero, Carlos ; Gonzalez-Rivera, Gloria ; Ortega, Esther Ruiz ; Rodriguez-Caballero, Carlos Vladimir.
    In: CREATES Research Papers.
    RePEc:aah:create:2021-06.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  12. Nowcasting Finnish GDP growth using financial variables: a MIDAS approach. (2020). Laine, Olli-Matti ; Lindblad, Annika.
    In: BoF Economics Review.
    RePEc:zbw:bofecr:42020.

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  13. Does the price of crude oil help predict the conditional distribution of aggregate equity return?. (2020). Nonejad, Nima.
    In: Empirical Economics.
    RePEc:spr:empeco:v:58:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s00181-019-01643-2.

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  14. Do Expert Experience and Characteristics Affect Inflation Forecasts?. (2020). Saadon, Yossi ; El-Shagi, Makram ; Benchimol, Jonathan.
    In: CFDS Discussion Paper Series.
    RePEc:fds:dpaper:202006.

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  15. Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them. (2020). Rossi, Barbara.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:14472.

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  16. Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them. (2020). Rossi, Barbara.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bge:wpaper:1162.

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  17. Consumers’ approach to the credibility of the inflation forecasts published by central banks: A new methodological solution. (2019). Tura-Gawron, Karolina.
    In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
    RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:62:y:2019:i:c:s0164070417305827.

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  18. DSGE forecasts of the lost recovery. (2019). Giannoni, Marc ; Del Negro, Marco ; Li, Pearl ; Cai, Michael ; Moszkowski, Erica ; Gupta, Abhi.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:4:p:1770-1789.

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  19. Financial nowcasts and their usefulness in macroeconomic forecasting. (2019). Zaman, Saeed ; Knotek, Edward.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:4:p:1708-1724.

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  20. An analysis of the Eurosystem/ECB projections. (2019). Lambrias, Kyriacos ; Kontogeorgos, Georgios.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20192291.

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  21. On the consistency of central banks´ interest rate forecasts. (2019). Frenkel, Michael ; Jung, Jin-Kyu ; Rlke, Jan-Christoph.
    In: Economics Bulletin.
    RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-18-00828.

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  22. The Evolution of Forecast Density Combinations in Economics. (2018). van Dijk, Herman ; Ravazzolo, Francesco ; Mitchell, James ; Aastveit, Knut Are.
    In: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:tin:wpaper:20180069.

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  23. Media based sentiment indices as an alternative measure of consumer confidence. (2018). Reid, Monique ; Odendaal, Nicolaas Johannes.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:sza:wpaper:wpapers310.

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  24. Improving Underlying Scenarios for Aggregate Forecasts: A Multi-level Combination Approach. (2018). Cobb, Marcus.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:88593.

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  25. UK Regional Nowcasting using a Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive Model. (2018). Mitchell, James ; McIntyre, Stuart ; Koop, Gary.
    In: Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:nsr:escoed:escoe-dp-2018-07.

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  26. Gold and crude oil prices after the great moderation. (2018). Sephton, Peter ; Mann, Janelle.
    In: Energy Economics.
    RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:71:y:2018:i:c:p:273-281.

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  27. On the formation of inflation expectations in turbulent times: The case of the euro area. (2018). Paloviita, Maritta ; Łyziak, Tomasz.
    In: Economic Modelling.
    RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:72:y:2018:i:c:p:132-139.

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  28. The first twenty years of the European Central Bank: monetary policy. (2018). Smets, Frank ; Hartmann, Philipp.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20182219.

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  29. The first twenty years of the European Central Bank: monetary policy. (2018). Smets, Frank ; Hartmann, Philipp.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:13411.

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  30. The European Central Bank’s Monetary Policy during Its First 20 Years. (2018). Smets, Frank ; Hartman, Philipp.
    In: Brookings Papers on Economic Activity.
    RePEc:bin:bpeajo:v:49:y:2018:i:2018-02:p:1-146.

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  31. Model uncertainty in macroeconomics: On the implications of financial frictions. (2017). Wieland, Volker ; Quintana, Jorge ; Lieberknecht, Philipp ; Binder, Michael.
    In: IMFS Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:zbw:imfswp:114.

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  32. What Has Publishing Inflation Forecasts Accomplished? Central Banks And Their Competitors. (2017). Siklos, Pierre.
    In: LCERPA Working Papers.
    RePEc:wlu:lcerpa:0098.

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  33. Joint Forecast Combination of Macroeconomic Aggregates and Their Components. (2017). Cobb, Marcus.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:76556.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  34. Evidence for a Presource Curse? Oil discoveries, Elevated Expectations, and Growth Disappointments. (2017). Mihalyi, David ; Cust, James.
    In: OxCarre Working Papers.
    RePEc:oxf:oxcrwp:193.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  35. Forecasting GDP with global components: This time is different. (2017). Thorsrud, Leif ; Ravazzolo, Francesco ; Bjørnland, Hilde.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:1:p:153-173.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  36. Model Uncertainty in Macroeconomics: On the Implications of Financial Frictions. (2017). Wieland, Volker ; Quintana, Jorge ; Lieberknecht, Philipp ; Binder, Michael.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:12013.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  37. What does “below, but close to, two percent” mean? Assessing the ECB’s reaction function with real time data. (2017). Paloviita, Maritta ; Kilponen, Juha ; Jalasjoki, Pirkka ; Haavio, Markus.
    In: Research Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:bof:bofrdp:2017_029.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  38. Formation of inflation expectations in turbulent times : Can ECB manage inflation expectations of professional forecasters?. (2017). Paloviita, Maritta ; Łyziak, Tomasz.
    In: Research Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:bof:bofrdp:2017_013.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  39. Expectations Dispersion & Convergence towards Central Banks IR forecasts: Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru & United Kingdom, 2004-2014. (2016). Barrera-Chaupis, Carlos.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:85410.

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  40. Extracting the Information Shocks from the Bank of England Inflation Density Forecasts. (2016). Díaz, Carlos ; Vela, Carlos Diaz .
    In: Discussion Papers in Economics.
    RePEc:lec:leecon:16/13.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  41. Real-Time Forecasting for Monetary Policy Analysis: The Case of Sveriges Riksbank. (2016). Söderström, Ulf ; Laséen, Stefan ; Soderstrom, Ulf ; Laseen, Stefan ; Iversen, Jens ; Lundvall, Henrik.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:hhs:rbnkwp:0318.

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  42. Real-Time Forecasting for Monetary Policy Analysis: The Case of Sveriges Riksbank. (2016). Söderström, Ulf ; Laséen, Stefan ; Soderstrom, Ulf ; Iversen, Jens ; Lundvall, Henrik.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:11203.

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  43. Oil-price density forecasts of US GDP. (2016). Rothman, Philip ; Ravazzolo, Francesco ; Philip, Rothman ; Francesco, Ravazzolo.
    In: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics.
    RePEc:bpj:sndecm:v:20:y:2016:i:4:p:441-453:n:7.

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  44. Nowcasting using news topics Big Data versus big bank. (2016). Thorsrud, Leif.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bny:wpaper:0046.

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  45. Have long-term inflation expectations declined?. (2015). Nechio, Fernanda.
    In: FRBSF Economic Letter.
    RePEc:fip:fedfel:00051.

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  46. Measuring Inflation Forecast Uncertainty. (2015). Zaman, Saeed ; Knotek, Edward ; Clark, Todd.
    In: Economic Commentary.
    RePEc:fip:fedcec:00031.

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  47. Certainty and overconfidence in future preferences for food. (2015). Thunstrom, Linda ; Shogren, Jason ; Nordström, Jonas ; Nordstrom, Jonas.
    In: Journal of Economic Psychology.
    RePEc:eee:joepsy:v:51:y:2015:i:c:p:101-113.

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  48. Oil-Price Density Forecasts of U.S. GDP. (2015). Ravazzolo, Francesco ; Rothman, Philip.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bny:wpaper:0038.

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  49. Forecasting GDP with global components. This time is different. (2015). Thorsrud, Leif ; Ravazzolo, Francesco ; Bjørnland, Hilde.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bny:wpaper:0029.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  50. Medium-term forecasting of euro-area macroeconomic variables with DSGE and BVARX models. (2015). Pisani, Massimiliano ; Notarpietro, Alessandro ; Emiliozzi, Simone ; Burlon, Lorenzo.
    In: Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers).
    RePEc:bdi:opques:qef_257_15.

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