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Tackling the Decline in HIV Resources:
       Lessons Learned from HAPSAT

Itamar Katz, PhD, MPhil
Wendy Wong, BS
John Osika, MD,MPH,MHMPP,CCST,FFPH


December 2011


      Abt Associates Inc.
      In collaboration with:
      I Aga Khan Foundation I Bitrán y Asociados
      I BRAC University I Broad Branch Associates
      I Deloitte Consulting, LLP I Forum One Communications
      I RTI International I Training Resources Group
      I Tulane University’s School of Public Health
Health Systems 20/20


 Health Systems 20/20 is the USAID
  flagship project for strengthening health
  systems worldwide
   55 countries, US$125 million
 Health Systems 20/20 developed the
  HIV/AIDS Program Sustainability Analysis
  Tool (HAPSAT) in 2008



                                              2
Outline

   Decline in financial resources
   Sustainability analysis
   HAPSAT-Plus
   Three lessons learned
   Capacity building
   Summary
HIV Funding: Donor and
               Estimated Need
               25
                                                                                    22 22
 Billion US$




                           Estimated need                                        21       21 21
                                                                                                20 20
               20                                                             19
                           HIV donor funding                             18
                                                                    17
               15


               10
                                                    8     8     7
                                               5
                5                  4     4
                               3
                      1    2
                0
                    2002       2005             2008              2011          2014     2017     2020
Source: UNAIDS and Kaiser Foundation, 2011; Schwartländer, et al, 2011
Figures are rounded                                                                                      4
Sustainability Analysis




What goals can be
achieved with the current
and potential capacity of
the program?
Sustainability Analysis: Example

               $250

                             $200
               $200

                                                     $150
 Million US$




               $150


               $100
                                                                             $80

                $50


                $-
                      Cost of scaling up to Cost of scaling up based   Available funding
                       Universal Access      on past performance
HIV/AIDS Program Sustainability
 Tool (HAPSAT) is …

 Sustainability study/tool

 Provides evidence for decision-making and
  target setting

 Comprehensive and flexible costing approach




                                                7
Evolution of HAPSAT


 Original HAPSAT:
   Gap analysis
   Recommendations for efficiency
 The “plus” in HAPSAT-Plus:
   Recommendations also on prioritization
   Based on stakeholder priorities
   HAPSAT 2.0 software - simplified, flexible, user-friendly
   Knowledge hub for sustainability



                                                                8
HAPSAT 2.0 Workflow

               Understanding need for HIV services in the country

                            Defining HIV interventions

Quantifying unit costs and human resources unit cost of HIV interventions

                       Defining policy scenarios (target setting)

             Quantifying financial and human resources policy scenarios

          Gap analysis: Comparing resources required to resources available



  Resource Mobilization              Efficiency                Prioritization
HAPSAT Experience


                                                   Prioritization
                                                   of services




HRH solutions

                                               Domestic resource
                                               mobilization


       •    Benin           •   Guyana    •   Sierra Leone
       •    Cote d’Ivoire   •   Haiti     •   South Sudan
       •    DR Congo        •   Kenya     •   Vietnam
       •    Ethiopia        •   Nigeria   •   Zambia
Lesson Learned 1: Efficient Use
  of Existing Resources

 Guyana:

   Interim, efficient solution for data flow


   Revisiting belief of shortage in health workers


 South Sudan: Avoiding costly HIV-prevention

  facilities

                                                      11
Lesson Learned 2: Integration,
Integration, Integration

 Extent of integration of HIV services varies by
  country, yet need to examine:
   Integration into the wider health services

   Integration into social services

   Integration for resource mobilization




                                                    12
Unit Cost of ART


                             Drugs
             8%
        8%                   Supply Chain Logistics
                   36%
                             Training

21%                          Laboratory Tests

                             Labor

                        4%   Facility Overhead
                   2%
                             Central-Level Overhead
             22%
                                                      13
Lesson learned 3: Prioritize and Set
Realistic Targets

 Need to prioritize interventions




                                       14
Billboard vs. Radio for HIV
    Awareness in South Sudan


             Cost per
                                    Context                   Priority
             exposure
Radio ads
                          Major information source for
and talk-    US$ 0.003                                         High
                              Southern Sudanese
 shows

                         Low literacy levels limit its use,
Billboards   US$ 0.05                                           Low
                         potentially useful in urban areas
Lesson Learned 3: Prioritize and Set
Realistic Targets

 Need to prioritize interventions

 Frequently unrealistic targets are formulated:
    Commitment to reach international targets

    Mobilizing more resources:

       • Over-ambitious targets to justify more resources

       • Under-ambitious targets to ensure achieving targets in

         performance-based mechanisms

    Lack of data prevents setting ambitious, yet feasible, targets


                                                                      16
Target Setting

80%          Number of people on ART: past                                 80%
             performance
             Projected scale-up based on past
60%                                                             Reaching universal
             performance (proxy to capacity)
                                                                coverage requires
             Scale-up towards universal access                  efforts beyond
                                                                apparent capacity
40%
                                                                           35%
                               20%
20%
       11%                                                   Both are costed for
                                                           stakeholders to decide
                                                              on their scale-up
0%
      2007     2008     2009    2010    2011     2012   2013   2014    2015
Target Setting in HAPSAT 2.0
Software




                               18
Target Setting in HAPSAT 2.0
Software




                               19
Capacity Building


 Country level:
   Engaging implementers in sustainability approach

   Training on the HAPSAT 2.0 software

 Regional level: Training two regional research
  institutions



                                                       20
Capacity Building of Regional
   Institutions

 Advantages                    Challenges
   Regional capacity             Teaching a flexible
    building                       approach
   Increased scalability of      Ensuring standardization
    HAPSAT                        Building capacity:
   Potential cost reduction        • Technical
                                    • Managerial




                                                          21
HAPSAT Take-aways


 Targets need to be realistic
 Resource mobilization strategy needs to be
  aligned to targets
 Participatory approach promotes country
  ownership
 Helps policymakers to think through
  sustainability issues



                                               22
Country-level Results


 Kenya: Developing an innovative financing
  mechanism
 South Sudan: Avoiding expensive ineffective
  prevention activities
 Guyana: Changing thinking on shortage of health
  workers




                                                    23
Thank you

For more information…

hapsat@abtassoc.com



www.healthsystems2020.org/hapsat




                                   24

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Tackling the Decline in HIV Resources: Lessons Learned from HAPSAT

  • 1. Tackling the Decline in HIV Resources: Lessons Learned from HAPSAT Itamar Katz, PhD, MPhil Wendy Wong, BS John Osika, MD,MPH,MHMPP,CCST,FFPH December 2011 Abt Associates Inc. In collaboration with: I Aga Khan Foundation I Bitrán y Asociados I BRAC University I Broad Branch Associates I Deloitte Consulting, LLP I Forum One Communications I RTI International I Training Resources Group I Tulane University’s School of Public Health
  • 2. Health Systems 20/20  Health Systems 20/20 is the USAID flagship project for strengthening health systems worldwide  55 countries, US$125 million  Health Systems 20/20 developed the HIV/AIDS Program Sustainability Analysis Tool (HAPSAT) in 2008 2
  • 3. Outline  Decline in financial resources  Sustainability analysis  HAPSAT-Plus  Three lessons learned  Capacity building  Summary
  • 4. HIV Funding: Donor and Estimated Need 25 22 22 Billion US$ Estimated need 21 21 21 20 20 20 19 HIV donor funding 18 17 15 10 8 8 7 5 5 4 4 3 1 2 0 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 Source: UNAIDS and Kaiser Foundation, 2011; Schwartländer, et al, 2011 Figures are rounded 4
  • 5. Sustainability Analysis What goals can be achieved with the current and potential capacity of the program?
  • 6. Sustainability Analysis: Example $250 $200 $200 $150 Million US$ $150 $100 $80 $50 $- Cost of scaling up to Cost of scaling up based Available funding Universal Access on past performance
  • 7. HIV/AIDS Program Sustainability Tool (HAPSAT) is …  Sustainability study/tool  Provides evidence for decision-making and target setting  Comprehensive and flexible costing approach 7
  • 8. Evolution of HAPSAT  Original HAPSAT:  Gap analysis  Recommendations for efficiency  The “plus” in HAPSAT-Plus:  Recommendations also on prioritization  Based on stakeholder priorities  HAPSAT 2.0 software - simplified, flexible, user-friendly  Knowledge hub for sustainability 8
  • 9. HAPSAT 2.0 Workflow Understanding need for HIV services in the country Defining HIV interventions Quantifying unit costs and human resources unit cost of HIV interventions Defining policy scenarios (target setting) Quantifying financial and human resources policy scenarios Gap analysis: Comparing resources required to resources available Resource Mobilization Efficiency Prioritization
  • 10. HAPSAT Experience Prioritization of services HRH solutions Domestic resource mobilization • Benin • Guyana • Sierra Leone • Cote d’Ivoire • Haiti • South Sudan • DR Congo • Kenya • Vietnam • Ethiopia • Nigeria • Zambia
  • 11. Lesson Learned 1: Efficient Use of Existing Resources  Guyana:  Interim, efficient solution for data flow  Revisiting belief of shortage in health workers  South Sudan: Avoiding costly HIV-prevention facilities 11
  • 12. Lesson Learned 2: Integration, Integration, Integration  Extent of integration of HIV services varies by country, yet need to examine:  Integration into the wider health services  Integration into social services  Integration for resource mobilization 12
  • 13. Unit Cost of ART Drugs 8% 8% Supply Chain Logistics 36% Training 21% Laboratory Tests Labor 4% Facility Overhead 2% Central-Level Overhead 22% 13
  • 14. Lesson learned 3: Prioritize and Set Realistic Targets  Need to prioritize interventions 14
  • 15. Billboard vs. Radio for HIV Awareness in South Sudan Cost per Context Priority exposure Radio ads Major information source for and talk- US$ 0.003 High Southern Sudanese shows Low literacy levels limit its use, Billboards US$ 0.05 Low potentially useful in urban areas
  • 16. Lesson Learned 3: Prioritize and Set Realistic Targets  Need to prioritize interventions  Frequently unrealistic targets are formulated:  Commitment to reach international targets  Mobilizing more resources: • Over-ambitious targets to justify more resources • Under-ambitious targets to ensure achieving targets in performance-based mechanisms  Lack of data prevents setting ambitious, yet feasible, targets 16
  • 17. Target Setting 80% Number of people on ART: past 80% performance Projected scale-up based on past 60% Reaching universal performance (proxy to capacity) coverage requires Scale-up towards universal access efforts beyond apparent capacity 40% 35% 20% 20% 11% Both are costed for stakeholders to decide on their scale-up 0% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
  • 18. Target Setting in HAPSAT 2.0 Software 18
  • 19. Target Setting in HAPSAT 2.0 Software 19
  • 20. Capacity Building  Country level:  Engaging implementers in sustainability approach  Training on the HAPSAT 2.0 software  Regional level: Training two regional research institutions 20
  • 21. Capacity Building of Regional Institutions  Advantages  Challenges  Regional capacity  Teaching a flexible building approach  Increased scalability of  Ensuring standardization HAPSAT  Building capacity:  Potential cost reduction • Technical • Managerial 21
  • 22. HAPSAT Take-aways  Targets need to be realistic  Resource mobilization strategy needs to be aligned to targets  Participatory approach promotes country ownership  Helps policymakers to think through sustainability issues 22
  • 23. Country-level Results  Kenya: Developing an innovative financing mechanism  South Sudan: Avoiding expensive ineffective prevention activities  Guyana: Changing thinking on shortage of health workers 23
  • 24. Thank you For more information… hapsat@abtassoc.com www.healthsystems2020.org/hapsat 24

Editor's Notes

  • #5: Resources increased, than decreased; funding increases Round 11
  • #8: Sustainability study/tool Gap analysis  solutions Provides evidence for decision-making and target setting Data based and various scenarios Comprehensive and flexible costing approach
  • #9: Triangulation of costing Does not accept a cost as is Target setting for multiple scenarios
  • #10: Data sources Does not accept a cost as is
  • #11: Change map – do not differentiate Note that the bolded countries were countries in which the HAPSAT-Plus methodology was refined (Kenya, S. Sudan) or applied (S.L., Guyana). Mention that the institutions we are building HAPSAT capacity in were trained on the new tool; ISED (trained in May) will carry out a HAPSAT in Benin under HS20/20 guidance, and HEARD (being trained next week) will carry out a HAPSAT in a yet to be determined Anglophone African country.
  • #12: Here examples encountered in HAPSAT The prevention facility - No always work
  • #13: Do not refer to HAPSAT
  • #16: Do crispy
  • #17: Sierra Leone = strategy and operational plan
  • #18: Formulation of targets: Denominator/need Data for formulating the denominator Data for measuring the coverage
  • #22: Still not enough to meet the demand
  • #23: Short and sweet, easy transfer to last slides Provide examples Reduce BCC from 6m to 2.7m Reduce testing from 10m to3.2m Justify costs – e.g., show ART unit cost is low
  • #32: Do crispy