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Developing conceptual understanding of probability
 Conceptual Understanding
 Activities and Problems Solving that
  Promote Conceptual Understanding
 Significance of Teaching through
  Problem Solving in Developing
  Conceptual Understanding
WORKSHOP




• Describe a typical mathematics
  class in your school.
• What do you like best in those
  classes? List at least 3.
• What are your wishes for those
  classes?
Introduction
When children learned elementary
mathematics, they learned to perform
mathematical procedures.

The essence of mathematics is not for a
child to able to follow a recipe to quickly and
efficiently obtain a certain kind of answer to
a certain kind of problem.
What are some of the realities that are happening in
               our mathematics classroom today?
Many of our students tend
to apply algorithms
without significant
conceptual understanding
that must be developed for
them to be successful
problem-solvers.
Why do teachers spend more time on computation & less
                        time on developing concepts?
 Teachers believe it’s easier
  to teach computation than to
  develop understanding of
  concepts.
 Teachers value computation
  over conceptual
  understanding.
 Teachers assume developing
  concepts is a
  straightforward process.
In mathematics, interpretations of data and
the predictions made from data inherently
lack certainty. Events and experiments
generate statistical data that can be used to
make predictions. It is important that
students recognize that these predictions
(interpolations and extrapolations) are based
upon patterns that have a degree of
uncertainty.
Conceptual Understanding
   • What does conceptual understanding
     mean?
   • How do teachers recognize its presence or
     absence?
   • How do teachers encourage its
     development?
   • How do teachers assess whether students
     have developed conceptual understanding?
Activity 1:
 Content Domain: Statistics and Probability
 Grade Level: Grades 2 - 4

       Competencies
         ◦ Gather and record favorable outcomes for an activity
           with different results.
         ◦ Analyze chance of an outcome using spinners, tossing
           coins, etc.
         ◦ Tell whether an event is likely to happen, equally
           likely to happen, or unlikely to happen based on facts

       Tasks
         ◦ Develop an activity for pupils that addresses the
           competencies required in grade 4.
         ◦ Material: A pack of NIPS candy
Activity
    1.    Estimate the number of candies in
          a pack of NIPS.
    2.    Open the pack and make a
          pictograph showing each color of
          candies.


Questions
  Suppose you put back all the candies in the pack and
  you pick a candy without looking at it.
  a.    What color is more likely to be picked? Why?
  b.    What color is less likely to be picked?
  c.    Is it likely to pick a white candy? Why do you
        think so?
Some of the Pupils’ Answers
Activity 2:

Developing Connections of
 Algebra, Geometry and
        Probability
Problem 1:
  Rommel’s house is 5 minutes away from the nearest
  bust station where he takes the school bus for school.
  Suppose that a school arrives at the station anytime
  between 6:30 to 7:15 in the morning. However, exactly
  15 minutes after its arrival at the station, it leaves for
  school already. One morning, while on his way to the
  station to take the bus, Rommel estimated that he
  would be arriving at the station a minute or two after
  7:15. What is the probability that he could still ride on
  the school bus?
Successful event




      6:45          7:00       7:15       7:30


              𝑙𝑒𝑛𝑔𝑡ℎ 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑢𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑠𝑠𝑓𝑢𝑙 𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡 15 𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑢𝑡𝑒𝑠 1
𝑃 𝑠𝑢𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑠𝑠 =                             =           =
               𝑙𝑒𝑛𝑔𝑡ℎ 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑠𝑒𝑔𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡    45 𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑢𝑡𝑒𝑠 3
Problem 2:
  It has been raining for the past three
  weeks. Suppose that the probability that it
  rains next Tuesday in Manila is thrice the
  probability that it doesn’t, what is the
  probability that it rains next Tuesday in
  Manila?
Let x be the probability that it rains next Tuesday. We can
now translate this word problem into a math problem in
terms of x. Since it either will rain or won’t rain next
Tuesday in Manila, the probability that it won’t rain must
be 1 - x. We are given that x = 3(1 - x).

Solving for x:
                  x = 3 – 3x
                 4x = 3
                      3
                  x=
                      4

                                                      3
The probability that it will next Tuesday in Manila is .
                                                      4
Problem 3:
 The surface of an cube is
 painted blue after which
 the block is cut up into
 smaller 1 × 1 × 1 cubes.
 If one of the smaller
 cubes is selected at
 random, what is the
 probability that it has
 blue paint on at least
 one of its faces?
Cube with edge n
     units         n=1   n=2   n=3   n=4   n=5   n=6   n=7

Number of cubes                                              for n > 3
    with

No face painted     0     0     1     8    27    64    125    (n - 2)3


1 face painted      0     0     6    24    54    96    150   6(n - 2)2


2 faces painted     0     0    12    24    36    48    60     12(n-2)


3 faces painted     0     8     8     8     8     8     8        8


No. of cubes        1     8    27    64    125   216   343      n3
Extension                              Task
  Many companies are doing a lot        Write possible questions
  of promotions to try to get            that you may ask about
  customers to buy more of their
  products. The company that             the situation.
  produce certain brand of milk         Device a plan on how to
  thinks this might be a good way        solve this problem.
  to get families to buy more boxes
  of milk. They put a children’s        Solve your problem.
  story booklet in each box of milk.
  That way kids will want their
  parents to keep buying a box of
  Milk until they have all six
  different story booklets.
DISCUSSION
Use of
Communication
                           Technology

             Connections
                            Estimation
Problem Solving


                           Visualization
    Reasoning
   Communication
    ◦ The students can communicate mathematical ideas in a variety of ways and contexts.



   Connections
    ◦ Through connections, students can view mathematics as useful and relevant.



   Estimation
    ◦ Students can do estimation which is a combination of cognitive strategies that enhance flexible
      thinking and number sense.


   Problem Solving
    ◦ Trough problem solving students can develop a true understanding of mathematical concepts
      and procedures when they solve problems in meaningful contexts.
    Reasoning
         ◦ Mathematical reasoning can help students think logically and make sense of mathematics. This
           can also develop confidence in their abilities to reason and justify their mathematical thinking.



        Use of Technology
         ◦ Technology can be used effectively to contribute to and support the learning of a wide range of
           mathematical outcomes. Technology enables students to explore and create patterns, examine
           relationships, test conjectures, and solve problems.


       Visualization
        ◦ Visualization “involves thinking in pictures and images, and the ability to perceive, transform
          and recreate different aspects of the visual-spatial world” (Armstrong, 1993, p. 10). The use of
          visualization in the study of mathematics provides students with opportunities to understand
          mathematical concepts and make connections among them.
Questions

 ◦ Can procedures be learned by
   rote?
 ◦ Is it possible to have
   procedural knowledge about
   conceptual knowledge?
Is it possible to have conceptual
knowledge/understanding about something
      without procedural knowledge?
What is Procedural Knowledge?

◦ Knowledge of formal language
  or symbolic representations

◦ Knowledge of rules,
  algorithms, and procedures
What is Conceptual Knowledge?
◦ Knowledge rich in relationships and
  understanding.
◦ It is a connected web of knowledge, a network
  in which the linking relationships are as
  prominent as the discrete bits of information.

◦ Examples of concepts – square, square
  root, function, area, division, linear
  equation, derivative, polyhedron, chance
By definition, conceptual
knowledge cannot be learned
by rote. It must be learned
by thoughtful, reflective
learning.
What is conceptual knowledge of Probability?
 “Knowledge of those facts
 and       properties     of
 mathematics      that   are
 recognized      as    being
 related in some way.
 Conceptual knowledge is
 distinguished primarily by
 relationships      between
 pieces of information.”
Building Conceptual Understanding
 We cannot simply concentrate on teaching the mathematical
 techniques that the students need. It is as least as important
 to stress conceptual understanding and the meaning of the
 mathematics.

 To accomplish this, we need to stress a combination of
 realistic and conceptual examples that link the mathematical
 ideas to concrete applications that make sense to today’s
 students.

 This will also allow them to make the connections to the use
 of mathematics in other disciplines.
This emphasis on developing conceptual understanding needs
to be done in classroom examples, in all homework problem
assignments, and in test problems that force students to think
and explain, not just manipulate symbols.

If we fail to do this, we are not adequately preparing our
students for successive mathematics courses, for courses in
other disciplines, and for using mathematics on the job and
throughout their lives.
What we value most about great mathematicians
is their deep levels of conceptual understanding which led
to the development of new ideas and methods.

We should similarly value the development of deep levels of
conceptual understanding in our students.

It’s not just the first person who comes upon a great idea
who is brilliant; anyone who creates the same idea
independently is equally talented.
Conclusion:
One of the benefits to emphasizing
conceptual understanding is that a
person is less likely to forget
concepts than procedures.

If conceptual understanding is
gained, then a person can reconstruct
a procedure that may have been
forgotten.
On the other hand, if procedural
knowledge is the limit of a
person's learning, there is no
way to reconstruct a forgotten
procedure.

Conceptual understanding in
mathematics,       along  with
procedural skill, is much more
powerful than procedural skill
alone.
Procedures are learned too, but not without a
conceptual understanding.
"It is strange
 that we expect
   students to
    learn, yet
  seldom teach
 them anything
about learning."
 Donald Norman, 1980, "Cognitive
engineering and education," in Problem
   Solving and Education: Issues in
Teaching and Research, edited by D.T.
 Tuna and F. Reif, Erlbaum Publishers.
"We should be
    teaching
  students how
     to think.
Instead, we are
 teaching them
what to think.“
Clement and Lochhead, 1980,
     Cognitive Process
         Instruction.
If we have achieved these moments of
success and energy in the past then we
know how to do it – we just need to do
            it more often.
References:

Carpenter, T. P., Corbitt, M. K., Kepner, H. S., Lindquist, M.
M., & Reys, R. E. (1981). What are the chances of your
students knowing probability? Mathematics Teacher, 73, 342-
344.

Castro, C. S. (1998). Teaching probability for conceptual
change. Educational Studies in Mathematics, 35, 233-254.

MacGregor, J. (1990). Collaborative learning: Shared inquiry
as a process of reform. New Directions for Teaching and
Learning, 42, 19-30.

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Developing conceptual understanding of probability

  • 2.  Conceptual Understanding  Activities and Problems Solving that Promote Conceptual Understanding  Significance of Teaching through Problem Solving in Developing Conceptual Understanding
  • 3. WORKSHOP • Describe a typical mathematics class in your school. • What do you like best in those classes? List at least 3. • What are your wishes for those classes?
  • 4. Introduction When children learned elementary mathematics, they learned to perform mathematical procedures. The essence of mathematics is not for a child to able to follow a recipe to quickly and efficiently obtain a certain kind of answer to a certain kind of problem.
  • 5. What are some of the realities that are happening in our mathematics classroom today? Many of our students tend to apply algorithms without significant conceptual understanding that must be developed for them to be successful problem-solvers.
  • 6. Why do teachers spend more time on computation & less time on developing concepts?  Teachers believe it’s easier to teach computation than to develop understanding of concepts.  Teachers value computation over conceptual understanding.  Teachers assume developing concepts is a straightforward process.
  • 7. In mathematics, interpretations of data and the predictions made from data inherently lack certainty. Events and experiments generate statistical data that can be used to make predictions. It is important that students recognize that these predictions (interpolations and extrapolations) are based upon patterns that have a degree of uncertainty.
  • 8. Conceptual Understanding • What does conceptual understanding mean? • How do teachers recognize its presence or absence? • How do teachers encourage its development? • How do teachers assess whether students have developed conceptual understanding?
  • 10.  Content Domain: Statistics and Probability  Grade Level: Grades 2 - 4  Competencies ◦ Gather and record favorable outcomes for an activity with different results. ◦ Analyze chance of an outcome using spinners, tossing coins, etc. ◦ Tell whether an event is likely to happen, equally likely to happen, or unlikely to happen based on facts  Tasks ◦ Develop an activity for pupils that addresses the competencies required in grade 4. ◦ Material: A pack of NIPS candy
  • 11. Activity 1. Estimate the number of candies in a pack of NIPS. 2. Open the pack and make a pictograph showing each color of candies. Questions Suppose you put back all the candies in the pack and you pick a candy without looking at it. a. What color is more likely to be picked? Why? b. What color is less likely to be picked? c. Is it likely to pick a white candy? Why do you think so?
  • 12. Some of the Pupils’ Answers
  • 13. Activity 2: Developing Connections of Algebra, Geometry and Probability
  • 14. Problem 1: Rommel’s house is 5 minutes away from the nearest bust station where he takes the school bus for school. Suppose that a school arrives at the station anytime between 6:30 to 7:15 in the morning. However, exactly 15 minutes after its arrival at the station, it leaves for school already. One morning, while on his way to the station to take the bus, Rommel estimated that he would be arriving at the station a minute or two after 7:15. What is the probability that he could still ride on the school bus?
  • 15. Successful event 6:45 7:00 7:15 7:30 𝑙𝑒𝑛𝑔𝑡ℎ 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑢𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑠𝑠𝑓𝑢𝑙 𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡 15 𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑢𝑡𝑒𝑠 1 𝑃 𝑠𝑢𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑠𝑠 = = = 𝑙𝑒𝑛𝑔𝑡ℎ 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑠𝑒𝑔𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 45 𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑢𝑡𝑒𝑠 3
  • 16. Problem 2: It has been raining for the past three weeks. Suppose that the probability that it rains next Tuesday in Manila is thrice the probability that it doesn’t, what is the probability that it rains next Tuesday in Manila?
  • 17. Let x be the probability that it rains next Tuesday. We can now translate this word problem into a math problem in terms of x. Since it either will rain or won’t rain next Tuesday in Manila, the probability that it won’t rain must be 1 - x. We are given that x = 3(1 - x). Solving for x: x = 3 – 3x 4x = 3 3 x= 4 3 The probability that it will next Tuesday in Manila is . 4
  • 18. Problem 3: The surface of an cube is painted blue after which the block is cut up into smaller 1 × 1 × 1 cubes. If one of the smaller cubes is selected at random, what is the probability that it has blue paint on at least one of its faces?
  • 19. Cube with edge n units n=1 n=2 n=3 n=4 n=5 n=6 n=7 Number of cubes for n > 3 with No face painted 0 0 1 8 27 64 125 (n - 2)3 1 face painted 0 0 6 24 54 96 150 6(n - 2)2 2 faces painted 0 0 12 24 36 48 60 12(n-2) 3 faces painted 0 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 No. of cubes 1 8 27 64 125 216 343 n3
  • 20. Extension Task Many companies are doing a lot  Write possible questions of promotions to try to get that you may ask about customers to buy more of their products. The company that the situation. produce certain brand of milk  Device a plan on how to thinks this might be a good way solve this problem. to get families to buy more boxes of milk. They put a children’s  Solve your problem. story booklet in each box of milk. That way kids will want their parents to keep buying a box of Milk until they have all six different story booklets.
  • 22. Use of Communication Technology Connections Estimation Problem Solving Visualization Reasoning
  • 23. Communication ◦ The students can communicate mathematical ideas in a variety of ways and contexts.  Connections ◦ Through connections, students can view mathematics as useful and relevant.  Estimation ◦ Students can do estimation which is a combination of cognitive strategies that enhance flexible thinking and number sense.  Problem Solving ◦ Trough problem solving students can develop a true understanding of mathematical concepts and procedures when they solve problems in meaningful contexts.
  • 24. Reasoning ◦ Mathematical reasoning can help students think logically and make sense of mathematics. This can also develop confidence in their abilities to reason and justify their mathematical thinking.  Use of Technology ◦ Technology can be used effectively to contribute to and support the learning of a wide range of mathematical outcomes. Technology enables students to explore and create patterns, examine relationships, test conjectures, and solve problems.  Visualization ◦ Visualization “involves thinking in pictures and images, and the ability to perceive, transform and recreate different aspects of the visual-spatial world” (Armstrong, 1993, p. 10). The use of visualization in the study of mathematics provides students with opportunities to understand mathematical concepts and make connections among them.
  • 25. Questions ◦ Can procedures be learned by rote? ◦ Is it possible to have procedural knowledge about conceptual knowledge?
  • 26. Is it possible to have conceptual knowledge/understanding about something without procedural knowledge?
  • 27. What is Procedural Knowledge? ◦ Knowledge of formal language or symbolic representations ◦ Knowledge of rules, algorithms, and procedures
  • 28. What is Conceptual Knowledge? ◦ Knowledge rich in relationships and understanding. ◦ It is a connected web of knowledge, a network in which the linking relationships are as prominent as the discrete bits of information. ◦ Examples of concepts – square, square root, function, area, division, linear equation, derivative, polyhedron, chance
  • 29. By definition, conceptual knowledge cannot be learned by rote. It must be learned by thoughtful, reflective learning.
  • 30. What is conceptual knowledge of Probability? “Knowledge of those facts and properties of mathematics that are recognized as being related in some way. Conceptual knowledge is distinguished primarily by relationships between pieces of information.”
  • 31. Building Conceptual Understanding We cannot simply concentrate on teaching the mathematical techniques that the students need. It is as least as important to stress conceptual understanding and the meaning of the mathematics. To accomplish this, we need to stress a combination of realistic and conceptual examples that link the mathematical ideas to concrete applications that make sense to today’s students. This will also allow them to make the connections to the use of mathematics in other disciplines.
  • 32. This emphasis on developing conceptual understanding needs to be done in classroom examples, in all homework problem assignments, and in test problems that force students to think and explain, not just manipulate symbols. If we fail to do this, we are not adequately preparing our students for successive mathematics courses, for courses in other disciplines, and for using mathematics on the job and throughout their lives.
  • 33. What we value most about great mathematicians is their deep levels of conceptual understanding which led to the development of new ideas and methods. We should similarly value the development of deep levels of conceptual understanding in our students. It’s not just the first person who comes upon a great idea who is brilliant; anyone who creates the same idea independently is equally talented.
  • 34. Conclusion: One of the benefits to emphasizing conceptual understanding is that a person is less likely to forget concepts than procedures. If conceptual understanding is gained, then a person can reconstruct a procedure that may have been forgotten.
  • 35. On the other hand, if procedural knowledge is the limit of a person's learning, there is no way to reconstruct a forgotten procedure. Conceptual understanding in mathematics, along with procedural skill, is much more powerful than procedural skill alone.
  • 36. Procedures are learned too, but not without a conceptual understanding.
  • 37. "It is strange that we expect students to learn, yet seldom teach them anything about learning." Donald Norman, 1980, "Cognitive engineering and education," in Problem Solving and Education: Issues in Teaching and Research, edited by D.T. Tuna and F. Reif, Erlbaum Publishers.
  • 38. "We should be teaching students how to think. Instead, we are teaching them what to think.“ Clement and Lochhead, 1980, Cognitive Process Instruction.
  • 39. If we have achieved these moments of success and energy in the past then we know how to do it – we just need to do it more often.
  • 40. References: Carpenter, T. P., Corbitt, M. K., Kepner, H. S., Lindquist, M. M., & Reys, R. E. (1981). What are the chances of your students knowing probability? Mathematics Teacher, 73, 342- 344. Castro, C. S. (1998). Teaching probability for conceptual change. Educational Studies in Mathematics, 35, 233-254. MacGregor, J. (1990). Collaborative learning: Shared inquiry as a process of reform. New Directions for Teaching and Learning, 42, 19-30.