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James
Sticky Note
This is an introduction to a volume of the Journal of Education
devoted to my papers. This piece is quite close to my paper
"What is Literacy?".
1
Chapter 8
Design for Six Sigma
1
Design for Six Sigma
Design for Six Sigma (DFSS) represents a set of tools and
methodologies used in product development for ensuring that
goods and services will meet customer needs and achieve
performance objectives and that the processes used to make and
deliver them achieve six sigma capability.
2
2
DFSS Methodology: DMADV
Define – establish goals
Measure – identify voice of the customer and define CTQ
measures
Analyze – propose and evaluate high-level design concepts
Design – design the details of the product and processes used to
produce it
Verify – ensure that the product performs as expected and meets
customer requirements
3
Features of DFSS
A high-level architectural view of the design
Use of CTQs with well-defined technical requirements
Application of statistical modeling and simulation approaches
Predicting defects, avoiding defects, and performance
prediction using analysis methods
Examining the full range of product performance using variation
analysis of subsystems and components
4
Concept Development
Concept development – the process of applying scientific,
engineering, and business knowledge to produce a basic
functional design that meets both customer needs and
manufacturing or service delivery requirements.
5
Innovation
Innovation involves the adoption of an idea, process,
technology, product, or business model that is either new or
new to its proposed application.
The outcome of innovation is a discontinuous or breakthrough
change that results in new and unique goods and services that
delight customers and create competitive advantage.
6
Types of Innovation
1. An entirely new category of product (for example, Twitter)
2. First of its type on the market in a product category already
in existence (for
example, the DVD player)
3. A significant improvement in existing technology (for
example, the Blu-ray
disc technology)
4. A modest improvement to an existing product (for example,
the latest iPad)
7
Creativity
Creativity is seeing things in new or novel ways.
Creativity tools, such as brainstorming and “brainwriting,” are
designed to help change the context in which one views a
problem or opportunity, thereby leading to fresh perspectives.
8
Understanding the Voice of the Customer
What is the product (good or service) intended to do?
Technical requirements, sometimes called design
characteristics, translate the voice of the customer into
technical language, specifically into measures of product
performance.
9
Design Development
Design development - the process of applying scientific,
engineering, and business knowledge to produce a basic
functional design that meets all CTQs – both customer needs
and manufacturing or service delivery requirements.
Design development usually starts with a high-level design and
then moves toward more detail design of components or
subsystems.
10
Axiomatic Design
Axiomatic design (developed by Dr. Nam Suh at MIT) is based
on the premise that good design is governed by laws similar to
those in natural science.
1. Independence Axiom: good design occurs when the
functional requirements of the design are independent of one
another.
2. Information Axiom: good design corresponds to minimum
complexity.
11
Quality Function Deployment (QFD)
QFD is a planning process to guide the design, manufacturing,
and marketing of goods by integrating the voice of the customer
throughout the organization.
Through QFD, every design, manufacturing, and control
decision is made to meet the expressed needs of customers.
12
The House of Quality
13
Building the House of Quality
Identify customer requirements.
Identify technical requirements.
Relate the customer requirements to the technical requirements.
Conduct an evaluation of competing products or services.
Evaluate technical requirements and develop targets.
Determine which technical requirements to deploy in the
remainder of the production/delivery process.
14
Example: Designing a Fitness Center
Identify customer requirements
15
Example
Identify technical requirements
16
Example
Relate customer requirements to technical requirements
17
Example
Conduct competitive evaluation
18
Example
Develop deployment targets
19
The Four Linked Houses of Quality
20
20
Detailed Design and Analysis
Manufacturing specifications consist of nominal dimensions and
tolerances.
Nominal refers to the ideal dimension or the target value that
manufacturing seeks to meet.
Tolerance is the permissible variation, recognizing the
difficulty of meeting a target consistently.
21
Tolerance Design
Tolerance design involves determining the permissible variation
in a dimension.
Narrow tolerances tend to raise manufacturing costs but they
also increase the interchangeability of parts within the plant and
in the field, product performance, durability, and appearance.
Wide tolerances increase material utilization, machine
throughput, and labor productivity, but have a negative impact
on product characteristics
22
Traditional Economic View of Conformance to Specifications
23
The Taguchi Loss Function
Taguchi measured quality as the variation from the target value
of a design specification, and then translated that variation into
an economic “loss function” that expresses the cost of variation
in monetary terms.
Taguchi assumes that losses can be approximated by a quadratic
function so that larger deviations from target correspond to
increasingly larger losses.
24
Nominal-Is-Best Loss Function
25
Expected Loss
A measure of variation that is independent of specification
limits, showing the average loss over the distribution of output
the target.
26
Design for Manufacturability (DFM)
Design for manufacturability (DFM) is the process of designing
a product for efficient production at the highest level of quality.
DFM is intended to prevent
product designs that simplify assembly operations but require
more complex and expensive components,
designs that simplify component manufacture while
complicating the assembly process, and
designs that are simple and inexpensive to produce but difficult
or expensive to service or support
27
Design Reviews
Design review – a structured review of design progress intended
to stimulate discussion, raise questions, and generate new ideas
and solutions to help designers anticipate problems before they
occur
28
DFMEA
Design failure mode and effects analysis (DFMEA) –
identification of all the ways in which a failure can occur, to
estimate the effect and seriousness of the failure, and to
recommend corrective design actions.
29
DFMEA Elements
Failure modes
Effect of failures on customers
Severity, likelihood of occurrence, and detection rating (risk
priority)
Potential causes of failure
Corrective actions or controls
30
Scoring Rubric for DFMEA
31
32
Reliability Prediction
Reliability - the ability of a product to perform as expected over
time
Formally defined as the probability that a product, piece of
equipment, or system performs its intended function for a stated
period of time under specified operating conditions
32
Types of Failures
Functional failure – failure that occurs at the start of product
life due to manufacturing or material detects
Reliability failure – failure after some period of use
33
Types of Reliability
Inherent reliability – determined by product design
Achieved reliability – observed during use
34
Mathematics of Reliability
Reliability is determined by the number of failures per unit time
during the duration under consideration (called the failure
rate,λ).
For items that must be replaced when a failure occurs, the
reciprocal of the failure rate (having dimensions of time units
per failure) is called the mean time to failure (MTTF).
For repairable items, the mean time between failures (MTBF) is
used.
35
Computing the Failure Rate
36
Product Life Characteristics Curve
Many electronic components commonly exhibit a high, but
decreasing, failure rate early in their lives, followed by a period
of a relatively constant failure rate, and ending with an
increasing failure rate.
37
Reliability Function
The reliability function, R(T), characterizes the probability of
survival to time T.
Properties:
1. R(0) = 1
2. As T becomes larger, R(T) is non-increasing
3. R(T) = 1 - F(T), where F(T) is the cumulative probability
distribution of failures
38
Exponential Reliability
Exponential probability density function of failures
f(t) = le-lt for t ≥ 0
Probability of failure from (0, T)
F(t) = 1 – e-lT
Probability of failure during the interval (t1 , t2)
F(t2) - F(t1) = e-λ(t2 –t1)
Reliability function (probability of survival)
R(T) = 1 – F(T) = e-lT
39
Hazard Function
The hazard function is the probability that an item that has not
failed up to time t will fail immediately after time t .
For the exponential distribution, the hazard function is
40
System Reliability
Series system: all components must function or the system will
fail.
the reliability of the system is the product of the individual
reliabilities
41
Series Systems with Exponential Reliability
42
System Reliability
Parallel system: uses redundancy.
The system will successfully operate
as long as one component functions.
The reliability is calculated as
If all components have identical reliabilities R, then
43
Series-Parallel Systems
To compute the reliability of systems with both series and
parallel components, decompose the system into smaller series
and/or parallel subsets of component, compute the reliabilities
of these subsets, and continue until you are left with a simple
series or parallel system.
44
Series-Parallel Example
45
Design Optimization
Robust design refers to designing goods and services that are
insensitive to variation in manufacturing processes and when
consumers use them.
Robust design is facilitated by design of experiments and
alternative Taguchi methods
Design for Reliability
Reliability requirements are determined during the product
design phase.
Techniques used to improve designs and optimize reliability
include:
Standardization
Redundancy
Physics of failure
Design Verification
Design verification is necessary to ensure that designs meet
customer requirements and can be produced to specifications.
The purpose of verification is to validate product and process
designs and to prepare procedures and documentation for full-
scale production rollout.
48
Reliability Evaluation
Life testing – running devices until they fail, is designed to
measure the distribution of failures to better understand and
eliminate their causes.
Accelerated life testing involves overstressing components to
reduce the time to failure and find weaknesses.
Environmental testing involves testing products for temperature,
shock-resistance, and other environmental conditions.
Burn-in, (component stress testing), involves exposing
integrated circuits to elevated temperatures in order to force
latent defects to occur.
49
Simulation
Simulation is an approach to building a logical model of a real
business system and experimenting with it to obtain insight
about the behavior of the system or to evaluate the impact of
changes in assumptions or potential improvements to it.
Process simulation models the dynamics and behavior over time
of interacting elements in a system such as a manufacturing
facility or a call center.
Monte-Carlo simulation is based on repeated sampling from
probability distributions of model inputs to characterize the
distributions of model outputs, usually in a spreadsheet
environment.
50
13 Statistical Thinking and Applications
MGMT 434/534: Quality Management
Chapter 8 Assignment; 10 points
Due: Monday, April 30, 6:15 pm
DIRECTIONS: Answer the following questions, TYPED, on
separate paper.
In order to receive full credit, you must show or explain how
you got your answers. Use complete sentences when
appropriate. Summarizing extensive results in lists or tables
may also be useful. All graphics/characters are to be computer
generated.
You may include the assignment questions along with your
answers, but this is not required. You may work alone or with
up to two classmates (but turn in one set of answers).
1) (2 points) An electronic component at Eltcomp has a
specification of 250.0 ± 7.5 ohms. Scrapping a defective
component results in a $135 loss.
a) Determine the Taguchi loss function.
b) If the process is centered at 248.6 ohms with a standard
deviation of 1.7 ohms, what is the expected loss per unit?
2) (2 points) At Elektroparts Manufacturers’ integrated
circuit business, it was found that any output voltage that
exceeds 255.0 ± 0.5 volts was unacceptable to the customer.
Exceeding these limits results in an estimated loss of $30.
a) Determine the Taguchi loss function.
b) The voltage of the integrated circuit can be corrected in
the plant by changing a resistor that costs $2.00. At what
tolerance should the integrated circuit be manufactured?
3) (2 points) Ten transformers were each tested for 720 hours,
four of which failed; at 297, 401, 422, and 457 hours. Once a
transformer fails, it cannot be restarted.
a) What is the failure rate for these transformers?
b) What is the MTTF?
4) (2 points) A particular type of light bulb has a mean life of
only 40 hours. Use the exponential distribution to answer the
following questions.
a) What percentage of light bulbs will fail within 50 hours?
b) When is it expected that 50% of the light bulbs will have
failed?
c) When is it expected that 95% of the light bulbs will have
failed?
5) (2 points) In a complex manufacturing process, three
operations are performed in series. Because of the nature of the
process, machines frequently fall out of adjustment and must be
repaired. To keep the system going, two identical machines are
used at each stage; thus, if one fails, the other can be used while
the first is repaired (see accompanying figure).
The reliabilities of the machines are as follows:
Machine Reliability
A 0.975
B 0.999
C 0.825
a) What is the system reliability, assuming only one machine
at each stage?
b) What is the system reliability when there are two machines
at each stage?

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JamesSticky NoteThis is an introduction to a volume of t.docx

  • 1. James Sticky Note This is an introduction to a volume of the Journal of Education devoted to my papers. This piece is quite close to my paper "What is Literacy?".
  • 2. 1 Chapter 8 Design for Six Sigma 1 Design for Six Sigma Design for Six Sigma (DFSS) represents a set of tools and methodologies used in product development for ensuring that goods and services will meet customer needs and achieve performance objectives and that the processes used to make and
  • 3. deliver them achieve six sigma capability. 2 2 DFSS Methodology: DMADV Define – establish goals Measure – identify voice of the customer and define CTQ measures Analyze – propose and evaluate high-level design concepts Design – design the details of the product and processes used to produce it Verify – ensure that the product performs as expected and meets customer requirements 3
  • 4. Features of DFSS A high-level architectural view of the design Use of CTQs with well-defined technical requirements Application of statistical modeling and simulation approaches Predicting defects, avoiding defects, and performance prediction using analysis methods Examining the full range of product performance using variation analysis of subsystems and components 4 Concept Development Concept development – the process of applying scientific, engineering, and business knowledge to produce a basic functional design that meets both customer needs and manufacturing or service delivery requirements. 5
  • 5. Innovation Innovation involves the adoption of an idea, process, technology, product, or business model that is either new or new to its proposed application. The outcome of innovation is a discontinuous or breakthrough change that results in new and unique goods and services that delight customers and create competitive advantage. 6 Types of Innovation 1. An entirely new category of product (for example, Twitter) 2. First of its type on the market in a product category already in existence (for example, the DVD player) 3. A significant improvement in existing technology (for example, the Blu-ray
  • 6. disc technology) 4. A modest improvement to an existing product (for example, the latest iPad) 7 Creativity Creativity is seeing things in new or novel ways. Creativity tools, such as brainstorming and “brainwriting,” are designed to help change the context in which one views a problem or opportunity, thereby leading to fresh perspectives. 8
  • 7. Understanding the Voice of the Customer What is the product (good or service) intended to do? Technical requirements, sometimes called design characteristics, translate the voice of the customer into technical language, specifically into measures of product performance. 9 Design Development Design development - the process of applying scientific, engineering, and business knowledge to produce a basic functional design that meets all CTQs – both customer needs and manufacturing or service delivery requirements. Design development usually starts with a high-level design and then moves toward more detail design of components or subsystems. 10
  • 8. Axiomatic Design Axiomatic design (developed by Dr. Nam Suh at MIT) is based on the premise that good design is governed by laws similar to those in natural science. 1. Independence Axiom: good design occurs when the functional requirements of the design are independent of one another. 2. Information Axiom: good design corresponds to minimum complexity. 11 Quality Function Deployment (QFD) QFD is a planning process to guide the design, manufacturing, and marketing of goods by integrating the voice of the customer throughout the organization. Through QFD, every design, manufacturing, and control decision is made to meet the expressed needs of customers. 12
  • 9. The House of Quality 13 Building the House of Quality Identify customer requirements. Identify technical requirements. Relate the customer requirements to the technical requirements. Conduct an evaluation of competing products or services. Evaluate technical requirements and develop targets. Determine which technical requirements to deploy in the
  • 10. remainder of the production/delivery process. 14 Example: Designing a Fitness Center Identify customer requirements 15 Example Identify technical requirements 16
  • 11. Example Relate customer requirements to technical requirements 17 Example Conduct competitive evaluation 18
  • 12. Example Develop deployment targets 19 The Four Linked Houses of Quality 20
  • 13. 20 Detailed Design and Analysis Manufacturing specifications consist of nominal dimensions and tolerances. Nominal refers to the ideal dimension or the target value that manufacturing seeks to meet. Tolerance is the permissible variation, recognizing the difficulty of meeting a target consistently. 21 Tolerance Design Tolerance design involves determining the permissible variation in a dimension.
  • 14. Narrow tolerances tend to raise manufacturing costs but they also increase the interchangeability of parts within the plant and in the field, product performance, durability, and appearance. Wide tolerances increase material utilization, machine throughput, and labor productivity, but have a negative impact on product characteristics 22 Traditional Economic View of Conformance to Specifications 23
  • 15. The Taguchi Loss Function Taguchi measured quality as the variation from the target value of a design specification, and then translated that variation into an economic “loss function” that expresses the cost of variation in monetary terms. Taguchi assumes that losses can be approximated by a quadratic function so that larger deviations from target correspond to increasingly larger losses. 24 Nominal-Is-Best Loss Function 25
  • 16. Expected Loss A measure of variation that is independent of specification limits, showing the average loss over the distribution of output the target. 26 Design for Manufacturability (DFM) Design for manufacturability (DFM) is the process of designing a product for efficient production at the highest level of quality. DFM is intended to prevent product designs that simplify assembly operations but require more complex and expensive components, designs that simplify component manufacture while complicating the assembly process, and designs that are simple and inexpensive to produce but difficult or expensive to service or support
  • 17. 27 Design Reviews Design review – a structured review of design progress intended to stimulate discussion, raise questions, and generate new ideas and solutions to help designers anticipate problems before they occur 28 DFMEA Design failure mode and effects analysis (DFMEA) – identification of all the ways in which a failure can occur, to
  • 18. estimate the effect and seriousness of the failure, and to recommend corrective design actions. 29 DFMEA Elements Failure modes Effect of failures on customers Severity, likelihood of occurrence, and detection rating (risk priority) Potential causes of failure Corrective actions or controls 30
  • 19. Scoring Rubric for DFMEA 31 32 Reliability Prediction Reliability - the ability of a product to perform as expected over time Formally defined as the probability that a product, piece of equipment, or system performs its intended function for a stated period of time under specified operating conditions
  • 20. 32 Types of Failures Functional failure – failure that occurs at the start of product life due to manufacturing or material detects Reliability failure – failure after some period of use 33 Types of Reliability Inherent reliability – determined by product design Achieved reliability – observed during use 34
  • 21. Mathematics of Reliability Reliability is determined by the number of failures per unit time during the duration under consideration (called the failure rate,λ). For items that must be replaced when a failure occurs, the reciprocal of the failure rate (having dimensions of time units per failure) is called the mean time to failure (MTTF). For repairable items, the mean time between failures (MTBF) is used. 35 Computing the Failure Rate 36
  • 22. Product Life Characteristics Curve Many electronic components commonly exhibit a high, but decreasing, failure rate early in their lives, followed by a period of a relatively constant failure rate, and ending with an increasing failure rate. 37 Reliability Function The reliability function, R(T), characterizes the probability of survival to time T. Properties: 1. R(0) = 1 2. As T becomes larger, R(T) is non-increasing 3. R(T) = 1 - F(T), where F(T) is the cumulative probability distribution of failures 38
  • 23. Exponential Reliability Exponential probability density function of failures f(t) = le-lt for t ≥ 0 Probability of failure from (0, T) F(t) = 1 – e-lT Probability of failure during the interval (t1 , t2) F(t2) - F(t1) = e-λ(t2 –t1) Reliability function (probability of survival) R(T) = 1 – F(T) = e-lT 39
  • 24. Hazard Function The hazard function is the probability that an item that has not failed up to time t will fail immediately after time t . For the exponential distribution, the hazard function is 40 System Reliability Series system: all components must function or the system will fail. the reliability of the system is the product of the individual reliabilities 41
  • 25. Series Systems with Exponential Reliability 42 System Reliability Parallel system: uses redundancy. The system will successfully operate as long as one component functions. The reliability is calculated as If all components have identical reliabilities R, then
  • 26. 43 Series-Parallel Systems To compute the reliability of systems with both series and parallel components, decompose the system into smaller series and/or parallel subsets of component, compute the reliabilities of these subsets, and continue until you are left with a simple series or parallel system. 44 Series-Parallel Example
  • 27. 45 Design Optimization Robust design refers to designing goods and services that are insensitive to variation in manufacturing processes and when consumers use them. Robust design is facilitated by design of experiments and alternative Taguchi methods
  • 28. Design for Reliability Reliability requirements are determined during the product design phase. Techniques used to improve designs and optimize reliability include: Standardization Redundancy Physics of failure Design Verification Design verification is necessary to ensure that designs meet customer requirements and can be produced to specifications. The purpose of verification is to validate product and process designs and to prepare procedures and documentation for full- scale production rollout. 48
  • 29. Reliability Evaluation Life testing – running devices until they fail, is designed to measure the distribution of failures to better understand and eliminate their causes. Accelerated life testing involves overstressing components to reduce the time to failure and find weaknesses. Environmental testing involves testing products for temperature, shock-resistance, and other environmental conditions. Burn-in, (component stress testing), involves exposing integrated circuits to elevated temperatures in order to force latent defects to occur. 49 Simulation Simulation is an approach to building a logical model of a real business system and experimenting with it to obtain insight about the behavior of the system or to evaluate the impact of changes in assumptions or potential improvements to it.
  • 30. Process simulation models the dynamics and behavior over time of interacting elements in a system such as a manufacturing facility or a call center. Monte-Carlo simulation is based on repeated sampling from probability distributions of model inputs to characterize the distributions of model outputs, usually in a spreadsheet environment. 50 13 Statistical Thinking and Applications MGMT 434/534: Quality Management Chapter 8 Assignment; 10 points Due: Monday, April 30, 6:15 pm DIRECTIONS: Answer the following questions, TYPED, on separate paper. In order to receive full credit, you must show or explain how you got your answers. Use complete sentences when appropriate. Summarizing extensive results in lists or tables may also be useful. All graphics/characters are to be computer
  • 31. generated. You may include the assignment questions along with your answers, but this is not required. You may work alone or with up to two classmates (but turn in one set of answers). 1) (2 points) An electronic component at Eltcomp has a specification of 250.0 ± 7.5 ohms. Scrapping a defective component results in a $135 loss. a) Determine the Taguchi loss function. b) If the process is centered at 248.6 ohms with a standard deviation of 1.7 ohms, what is the expected loss per unit? 2) (2 points) At Elektroparts Manufacturers’ integrated circuit business, it was found that any output voltage that exceeds 255.0 ± 0.5 volts was unacceptable to the customer. Exceeding these limits results in an estimated loss of $30. a) Determine the Taguchi loss function. b) The voltage of the integrated circuit can be corrected in the plant by changing a resistor that costs $2.00. At what tolerance should the integrated circuit be manufactured? 3) (2 points) Ten transformers were each tested for 720 hours, four of which failed; at 297, 401, 422, and 457 hours. Once a transformer fails, it cannot be restarted. a) What is the failure rate for these transformers? b) What is the MTTF?
  • 32. 4) (2 points) A particular type of light bulb has a mean life of only 40 hours. Use the exponential distribution to answer the following questions. a) What percentage of light bulbs will fail within 50 hours? b) When is it expected that 50% of the light bulbs will have failed? c) When is it expected that 95% of the light bulbs will have failed? 5) (2 points) In a complex manufacturing process, three operations are performed in series. Because of the nature of the process, machines frequently fall out of adjustment and must be repaired. To keep the system going, two identical machines are used at each stage; thus, if one fails, the other can be used while the first is repaired (see accompanying figure). The reliabilities of the machines are as follows: Machine Reliability A 0.975 B 0.999 C 0.825 a) What is the system reliability, assuming only one machine at each stage?
  • 33. b) What is the system reliability when there are two machines at each stage?