HPC Market Update from Hyperion Research
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This document provides an overview and update from Hyperion Research Holdings on their HPC market tracking activities and models. The key points are: 1) In 2017, the worldwide HPC server market reached $12.3 billion in revenues, a record level. 2) Hyperion Research tracks HPC servers sold each quarter and publishes over 85 research reports per year on the HPC market, sites, buyers/users, vendors, and forecasts. 3) Their models measure the financial ROI and return on research from HPC investments, finding substantial average returns of $463 per dollar invested for revenue ROI and $44 per dollar invested for profit/cost savings ROI.
HPC Market Update from Hyperion Research
- 2. Visit Our Website: www.HyperionResearch.com Twitter: HPC_Hyperion@HPC_Hyperion Hyperion Research Holdings, LLC: § Owns 100% of the IDC HPC assets § Tracking the HPC market since 1986 § Headquarters: 365 Summit Ave., St. Paul, MN 55102
- 3. The Hyperion Research Team Lloyd Coen Research studies & strategic consulting Strategic consulting, HPC UF, Big Data, AI Special studies, new data analysis, surveys Meetings and events planning 3 Earl Joseph Steve Conway Bob Sorensen Alex Norton Mike Thorp Kurt Gantrish Mary Rolph Jean Sorensen Kirsten Chapman Nishi Katsuya Jie Wu Office manager Data collection and surveys Japan research and studies China studies and award program Global sales management Global sales management Strategic research, government studies, QC 3© Hyperion Research
- 4. Hyperion Research HPC Activities • Track all HPC servers sold each quarter • 4 HPC User Forum meetings each year • Publish 85 plus research reports each year • Visit all major supercomputer sites & write reports • Assist in collaborations between buyers/users and vendors • Assist governments in HPC plans, strategies and direction • Assist buyers/users in planning and procurements • Maintain 5 year forecasts in many areas/topics • Developing a worldwide ROI measurement system • HPDA program (includes ML/DL/AI) • HPC Cloud usage tracking • Quarterly tracking of GPUs/accelerators • Cyber Security • Quantum Computing
- 5. Top Trends in HPC 2017 was strong – Exceeded $12 billion (US$) in revenues! § 2018 is looking good The top systems has slowed for over 4 years § But the profusion of Exascale announcements is generating a lot of buzz § Governments are investing heavily in exascale systems Big data combined with HPC is creating new solutions § Adding many new users/buyers to the HPC space § AL/ML/DL & HPDA are the hot new areas
- 6. The Worldwide HPC Server Market: $12.3 Billion in 2017 Departmental ($250K - $100K) $3.5B Divisional ($250K - $500K) $2.3B Supercomputers (Over $500K) $4.6B Workgroup (under $100K) $1.9B HPC Servers $12.3B § Record revenues 6
- 7. 2017 HPC Market By Vertical ($ Millions)
- 8. HPC Market By Regions ($K)
- 9. HPC Market By Vendor Shares ($K)
- 10. New HPC Market Forecasts ($ K)
- 11. New Forecast: The Broader HPC Market ($ K) 11
- 12. WW M/L, D/L, & AI Forecasts
- 13. UPDATE: THE ROI AND ROR FROM HPC
- 14. Background: Project Overview A study that describes how HPC investments are related to improved economic success and increased scientific innovation The study includes large scale data collection to populate two unique models: 1. A macroeconomic model which depicts how HPC investments result in economic advancements in the form of ROI, GDP growth and jobs 2. Three Innovation Indexes that measure and compares innovation levels, based on the level of applying HPC computing resources towards scientific and technical advancement
- 15. The Financial ROI Models Used The Financial ROI models: 1. ROI based on revenues/GDP generated, divided by HPC investment 2. ROI based on cost-savings and/or profits generated, divided by HPC investment 3. ROI based on jobs created (and the HPC investment required per job created) The ROI models show variances by: – Industry & sector – Country – Organization size
- 16. The Innovation Models Used (ROR) Three innovations indexes are used to show the Return on Research (ROR): 1. Based on the importance of the innovation 2. How broadly the innovations impact different organizations 3. A combined score to create innovation “Class” levels The innovations are also sorted by the primary area: 1. Better Products 2. Major Scientific Breakthrough 3. Cost Saving 4. Created New Approach 5. Discovered Something New 6. Helped Society 7. Helped Research Program
- 17. What the Models Measure Currently: § A single project or discovery, e.g.: – Design of a new tire – Discovery of a new scientific principle – Discovering a new material – Solving a specific problem In the future, we would like to add: § The ability to measure the value of a whole supercomputer (in both financial and scientific terms) § The ability to predict the value of a future supercomputer (in both financial and scientific terms)
- 18. Financial ROI Results Results continue to indicate very substantial returns for investments in HPC: – $463 dollars on average in revenue per dollar of HPC invested – $44 dollars on average of profits (or cost savings) per dollar of HPC
- 19. Findings: Job Creation Job creation by sector:
- 20. The Mix Of Innovation Types § The study has 356 BASIC innovations and 307 APPLIED research innovations § On average, each innovation required $11 million in HPC § Across these innovations, $4.1 billion was spent on HPC
- 21. INDEX #1: The Innovation IMPORTANCE Index 5. One of the top 2 to 3 innovations in the last decade 4. One of the top 5 innovations in the last decade 3. One of the top 10 innovations in the last decade 2. One of the top 25 innovations in the last decade 1. One of the top 50 innovations in the last decade
- 22. INDEX #2: The Innovation IMPACT Index 6. It is useful to over 50 organizations 5. An innovation that is useful to 10 to 49 organizations 4. An innovation that is useful to 6 to 10 organizations 3. An innovation useful to 2 to 5 organizations 2. An innovation only useful to 1 organization 1. An innovation that is recognized ONLY by experts in the field
- 23. INDEX #3: Innovation “Class” Scale Class 1 innovations – One of the top 2-3 innovations in a field over the last ten years PLUS useful to over 10 organizations Class 2 innovations -- One of the top 5 innovations in a field over the last ten years PLUS useful to over 10 organizations Class 3 innovations – One of the top 5 innovations in a field over the last ten years PLUS useful to at least 5 organizations Class 4 innovations – One of the top 10 innovations in a field over the last ten years PLUS useful to at least 5 organizations Class 5 innovations – One of the top 25 innovations in a field over the last ten years PLUS useful to at over 10 organizations Class 6 innovations – One of the top 25 innovations in a field over the last ten years PLUS useful to at least 2 organizations Class 7 innovations – One of the top 50 innovations in a field over the last ten years PLUS useful to at least 2 organizations Class 8 innovations – The rest of the innovations in the study
- 24. INDEX #3: The INNOVATION CLASS Index
- 25. Example of Results Used In Reports/Studies: Blue Waters Assessment Report
- 26. For A Copy Of The Study And Updates: www.hpcuserforum.com/ROI
- 27. Please email: ejoseph@hyperionres.com Or check out: www.HyperionResearch.com www.hpcuserforum.com Questions?