Attualità e leggende
Parte II
I Paesi “virtuosi”

Il principio secondo cui uno Stato deve risparmiare per poter
spendere in futuro, principio divenuto legge con i trattati stipulati,
inizia a scricchiolare.

A (parziale) smentita di questa famiglia di principi di “salute della
finanza pubblica” universalmente riconosciuti, passiamo in rassegna i
rapporti deficit/PIL dei principali paesi europei.
MMT Falsi Miti 1
MMT Falsi Miti 1
MMT Falsi Miti 1
MMT Falsi Miti 1
MMT Falsi Miti 1
I “PAESI VIRTUOSI” IN RELAZIONE
ALL'ENTRATA NELL'EURO.
Current Account 1996


                 4.0%




                 3.0%




                 2.0%




                 1.0%
Percent of GDP




                 0.0%




                 -1.0%




                 -2.0%




                 -3.0%




                 -4.0%
                         Portugal   Italy    Ireland    Greece     Spain   Germany   France
Current Account 1997


                 4.0%




                 2.0%




                 0.0%
Percent of GDP




                 -2.0%




                 -4.0%




                 -6.0%




                 -8.0%
                         Portugal   Italy    Ireland    Greece     Spain   Germany   France
Current Account 1998


                 4.0%




                 2.0%




                 0.0%
Percent of GDP




                 -2.0%




                 -4.0%




                 -6.0%




                 -8.0%
                         Portugal   Italy    Ireland    Greece     Spain   Germany   France
Current Account 1999


                  4.0%




                  2.0%




                  0.0%




                  -2.0%
Percent of GDP




                  -4.0%




                  -6.0%




                  -8.0%




                 -10.0%
                          Portugal   Italy    Ireland    Greece     Spain   Germany   France
Current Account 2000


                  4.0%




                  2.0%




                  0.0%




                  -2.0%
Percent of GDP




                  -4.0%




                  -6.0%




                  -8.0%




                 -10.0%




                 -12.0%
                          Portugal   Italy    Ireland    Greece     Spain   Germany   France
Current Account 2001


                  4.0%




                  2.0%




                  0.0%




                  -2.0%
Percent of GDP




                  -4.0%




                  -6.0%




                  -8.0%




                 -10.0%




                 -12.0%
                          Portugal   Italy    Ireland    Greece     Spain   Germany   France
Current Account 2002


                  4.0%




                  2.0%




                  0.0%




                  -2.0%
Percent of GDP




                  -4.0%




                  -6.0%




                  -8.0%




                 -10.0%
                          Portugal   Italy    Ireland    Greece     Spain   Germany   France
Current Account 2003


                 3.0%



                 2.0%



                 1.0%



                 0.0%



                 -1.0%
Percent of GDP




                 -2.0%



                 -3.0%



                 -4.0%



                 -5.0%



                 -6.0%



                 -7.0%
                         Portugal   Italy    Ireland    Greece     Spain   Germany   France
Current Account 2004


                  6.0%




                  4.0%




                  2.0%




                  0.0%
Percent of GDP




                  -2.0%




                  -4.0%




                  -6.0%




                  -8.0%




                 -10.0%
                          Portugal   Italy    Ireland    Greece     Spain   Germany   France
Current Account 2005


                  6.0%




                  4.0%




                  2.0%




                  0.0%




                  -2.0%
Percent of GDP




                  -4.0%




                  -6.0%




                  -8.0%




                 -10.0%




                 -12.0%
                          Portugal   Italy    Ireland    Greece     Spain   Germany   France
Current Account 2006


                 10.0%




                  5.0%




                  0.0%
Percent of GDP




                  -5.0%




                 -10.0%




                 -15.0%
                          Portugal   Italy    Ireland    Greece     Spain   Germany   France
Current Account 2007


                 10.0%




                  5.0%




                  0.0%
Percent of GDP




                  -5.0%




                 -10.0%




                 -15.0%




                 -20.0%
                          Portugal   Italy    Ireland    Greece     Spain   Germany   France
Current Account 2008


                 10.0%




                  5.0%




                  0.0%
Percent of GDP




                  -5.0%




                 -10.0%




                 -15.0%




                 -20.0%
                          Portugal   Italy    Ireland    Greece     Spain   Germany   France
Current Account 2009


                  6.0%



                  4.0%



                  2.0%



                  0.0%



                  -2.0%
Percent of GDP




                  -4.0%



                  -6.0%



                  -8.0%



                 -10.0%



                 -12.0%



                 -14.0%
                          Portugal   Italy    Ireland    Greece     Spain   Germany   France
Current Account 2010


                  8.0%



                  6.0%



                  4.0%



                  2.0%



                  0.0%
Percent of GDP




                  -2.0%



                  -4.0%



                  -6.0%



                  -8.0%



                 -10.0%



                 -12.0%
                          Portugal   Italy    Ireland    Greece     Spain   Germany   France
Current Account 2011


                  8.0%



                  6.0%



                  4.0%



                  2.0%



                  0.0%
Percent of GDP




                  -2.0%



                  -4.0%



                  -6.0%



                  -8.0%



                 -10.0%



                 -12.0%
                          Portugal   Italy    Ireland    Greece     Spain   Germany   France
Il debito pubblico italiano



Sfatiamo qualche mito circa il debito pubblico italiano, di cui sentiamo
parlare ogni giorno.
MMT Falsi Miti 1
Il debito pubblico italiano
Nel periodo della “spesa allegra”, come viene chiamata oggi, lo Stato
creava ricchezza al netto per i cittadini, creando direttamente ed
indirettamente lavoro.
Questo circolo virtuoso aveva molte conseguenze nell'economia
italiana:

 negli anni '80 la Sip era la prima società di telecomunicazioni al
mondo. Primato nell'innovazione tecnologica e nella copertura
capillare del territorio;

 l'accesso al credito per le aziende ed i privati era abbastanza
semplice e, di fatto, garantito per legge;

 i treni arrivavano sempre in orario e le strade di sera erano sicure.
MMT Falsi Miti 1
Le “confessioni” di Greenspan

- Are US treasury bonds still safe to invest in?

- Very much so. I think this is not an issue of credit rating. The United
States can pay any debt it has because we can always print money to
do that, so there's a zero probability to default.
MMT Falsi Miti 1

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MMT Falsi Miti 1

  • 2. I Paesi “virtuosi” Il principio secondo cui uno Stato deve risparmiare per poter spendere in futuro, principio divenuto legge con i trattati stipulati, inizia a scricchiolare. A (parziale) smentita di questa famiglia di principi di “salute della finanza pubblica” universalmente riconosciuti, passiamo in rassegna i rapporti deficit/PIL dei principali paesi europei.
  • 8. I “PAESI VIRTUOSI” IN RELAZIONE ALL'ENTRATA NELL'EURO.
  • 9. Current Account 1996 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% Percent of GDP 0.0% -1.0% -2.0% -3.0% -4.0% Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain Germany France
  • 10. Current Account 1997 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Percent of GDP -2.0% -4.0% -6.0% -8.0% Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain Germany France
  • 11. Current Account 1998 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Percent of GDP -2.0% -4.0% -6.0% -8.0% Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain Germany France
  • 12. Current Account 1999 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% -2.0% Percent of GDP -4.0% -6.0% -8.0% -10.0% Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain Germany France
  • 13. Current Account 2000 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% -2.0% Percent of GDP -4.0% -6.0% -8.0% -10.0% -12.0% Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain Germany France
  • 14. Current Account 2001 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% -2.0% Percent of GDP -4.0% -6.0% -8.0% -10.0% -12.0% Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain Germany France
  • 15. Current Account 2002 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% -2.0% Percent of GDP -4.0% -6.0% -8.0% -10.0% Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain Germany France
  • 16. Current Account 2003 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% -1.0% Percent of GDP -2.0% -3.0% -4.0% -5.0% -6.0% -7.0% Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain Germany France
  • 17. Current Account 2004 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Percent of GDP -2.0% -4.0% -6.0% -8.0% -10.0% Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain Germany France
  • 18. Current Account 2005 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% -2.0% Percent of GDP -4.0% -6.0% -8.0% -10.0% -12.0% Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain Germany France
  • 19. Current Account 2006 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Percent of GDP -5.0% -10.0% -15.0% Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain Germany France
  • 20. Current Account 2007 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Percent of GDP -5.0% -10.0% -15.0% -20.0% Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain Germany France
  • 21. Current Account 2008 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Percent of GDP -5.0% -10.0% -15.0% -20.0% Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain Germany France
  • 22. Current Account 2009 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% -2.0% Percent of GDP -4.0% -6.0% -8.0% -10.0% -12.0% -14.0% Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain Germany France
  • 23. Current Account 2010 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Percent of GDP -2.0% -4.0% -6.0% -8.0% -10.0% -12.0% Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain Germany France
  • 24. Current Account 2011 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Percent of GDP -2.0% -4.0% -6.0% -8.0% -10.0% -12.0% Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain Germany France
  • 25. Il debito pubblico italiano Sfatiamo qualche mito circa il debito pubblico italiano, di cui sentiamo parlare ogni giorno.
  • 27. Il debito pubblico italiano Nel periodo della “spesa allegra”, come viene chiamata oggi, lo Stato creava ricchezza al netto per i cittadini, creando direttamente ed indirettamente lavoro. Questo circolo virtuoso aveva molte conseguenze nell'economia italiana:  negli anni '80 la Sip era la prima società di telecomunicazioni al mondo. Primato nell'innovazione tecnologica e nella copertura capillare del territorio;  l'accesso al credito per le aziende ed i privati era abbastanza semplice e, di fatto, garantito per legge;  i treni arrivavano sempre in orario e le strade di sera erano sicure.
  • 29. Le “confessioni” di Greenspan - Are US treasury bonds still safe to invest in? - Very much so. I think this is not an issue of credit rating. The United States can pay any debt it has because we can always print money to do that, so there's a zero probability to default.