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Energy Efficiency in the EU – what's next?




    Carsten Petersdorff

    Managing Director Ecofys Germany

    Tunis, 26 July, 2010


0
The policy design cycle

                     Analysis of potentials & barriers

                              Define targets
    Policy Cycle




                   Define strategy how to reach targets


                    Design concrete policy measures


                        Enforcement & Monitoring

                       Compliance and Evaluation


1
Example: Recasting of EPBD




2
Climate change abatement costs
           per sector
                  7000                                                  >            50 < 100 €/t
                                                                        >            20 < 50 €/t
                  6000                                                  >            0 < 20 €/t
                                                                        <            0 €/t
                  5000
    Mton CO2-eq




                  4000


                  3000


                  2000


                  1000


                    0
                                              Environment
                                  Transport
                         Energy




                                                                       Agriculture
                                                            Industry
                         Supply




                                                                                        Forestry

                                                                                                   Waste
                                                 Built




                                                                                                           Source: IPCC AR4 WGIII




3
Saving potential in EU 15



                   CO2-Emissions European building stock 2002
             500
             450
             400
             350
             300
             250
             200
             150
             100
              50
               0
                    single family     MFH small     MFH large    non residential non residential
                       house        (200-1000 m²)   (>1000 m²)     <1000 m²        >1000 m²
                    (50-200 m²)




4
Energy performance requirements in
the EPBD

The first version of the EPBD (Energy Performance of Buildings
Directive) from 2002 demanded Member States to have a
scheme to calculate the energy performance of buildings.
However it did not fix an ambition level.


Within the EPBD recast, two topics deal with performance
requirements:


 “cost optimal requirements“ for new buildings and for
renovation
„Nearly zero energy buildings“ for new buildings as from 2019
(new public buildings) respectively 2021 (all new buildings)


5
The (political) vision




Cost optimal requirements   nearly zero energy




6
The comitology process



         Package
                                                                            
                    Cg    CI    Ca ,i  j   Rd i   V f ,  j 
TOTAL        1
COSTS                                         6
€ /m2              2               j 5  i 1                                      ……..
                          3      4                                                  lighting
                                                     CO2 costs                      ventilation
                                                                                    cooling
                                                                                    heating

                                                     Energy costs

                                                    Other energy related
                                                    construction costs
                                                    Maintenance costs
                                                    Installed appliances invest.
                                                    Building envelope investments

                                                     kWh/m2




        Cost optimal requirements                                                                 nearly zero energy




7
Important factors for a suitable definition of
nearly zero energy buildings




8
Development of performance
requirements in Germany




9
Med-Enec Pilot projects




10
Timelines & Reporting




2010                  2020                    20XX



Cost optimal requirements    nearly zero energy      ???




11
Conclusions


 Define your targets
      Climate protection?
      Cost optimum from overall economic point of view?
      Increase income from exporting resources?
      Technology leader?
 Develop suitable policy package to reach target
      sound discussion process with the stakeholders involved
 Implementation
      appropriate structures for administration
      robust system for evaluating policy set


12
Please contact us for more information


Carsten Petersdorff
Managing Director
Ecofys Germany
Am Wassermann 36
D-50829 Köln
Germany


T: +49 (0)221 270 70 – 100
E: c.petersdorff@ecofys.com


W: www.ecofys.com


13

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Day 1 session 1: Energy Efficiency in the EU.. What's Next?

  • 1. Energy Efficiency in the EU – what's next? Carsten Petersdorff Managing Director Ecofys Germany Tunis, 26 July, 2010 0
  • 2. The policy design cycle Analysis of potentials & barriers Define targets Policy Cycle Define strategy how to reach targets Design concrete policy measures Enforcement & Monitoring Compliance and Evaluation 1
  • 4. Climate change abatement costs per sector 7000 > 50 < 100 €/t > 20 < 50 €/t 6000 > 0 < 20 €/t < 0 €/t 5000 Mton CO2-eq 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Environment Transport Energy Agriculture Industry Supply Forestry Waste Built Source: IPCC AR4 WGIII 3
  • 5. Saving potential in EU 15 CO2-Emissions European building stock 2002 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 single family MFH small MFH large non residential non residential house (200-1000 m²) (>1000 m²) <1000 m² >1000 m² (50-200 m²) 4
  • 6. Energy performance requirements in the EPBD The first version of the EPBD (Energy Performance of Buildings Directive) from 2002 demanded Member States to have a scheme to calculate the energy performance of buildings. However it did not fix an ambition level. Within the EPBD recast, two topics deal with performance requirements:  “cost optimal requirements“ for new buildings and for renovation „Nearly zero energy buildings“ for new buildings as from 2019 (new public buildings) respectively 2021 (all new buildings) 5
  • 7. The (political) vision Cost optimal requirements nearly zero energy 6
  • 8. The comitology process Package   Cg    CI    Ca ,i  j   Rd i   V f ,  j  TOTAL 1 COSTS 6 € /m2 2 j 5  i 1  …….. 3 4 lighting CO2 costs ventilation cooling heating Energy costs Other energy related construction costs Maintenance costs Installed appliances invest. Building envelope investments kWh/m2 Cost optimal requirements nearly zero energy 7
  • 9. Important factors for a suitable definition of nearly zero energy buildings 8
  • 12. Timelines & Reporting 2010 2020 20XX Cost optimal requirements nearly zero energy ??? 11
  • 13. Conclusions  Define your targets  Climate protection?  Cost optimum from overall economic point of view?  Increase income from exporting resources?  Technology leader?  Develop suitable policy package to reach target  sound discussion process with the stakeholders involved  Implementation  appropriate structures for administration  robust system for evaluating policy set 12
  • 14. Please contact us for more information Carsten Petersdorff Managing Director Ecofys Germany Am Wassermann 36 D-50829 Köln Germany T: +49 (0)221 270 70 – 100 E: c.petersdorff@ecofys.com W: www.ecofys.com 13