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GREEN INFRASTRUCTURE’S CONTRIBUTION
TO ECONOMIC GROWTH
2014 Sustainable Green Infrastructure Conference
Walter Distaso
Imperial College Business School
w.distaso@imperial.ac.uk
23 October 2014
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Outline
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 2 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Motivation
Investment in Green Infrastructure is in the public debate
Need for a theoretical framework
Displacement vs additionality
Green Infrastructure may promote smooth and robust (resilient)
growth
Local vs national growth
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 3 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Motivation
Investment in Green Infrastructure is in the public debate
Need for a theoretical framework
Displacement vs additionality
Green Infrastructure may promote smooth and robust (resilient)
growth
Local vs national growth
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 3 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Motivation
Investment in Green Infrastructure is in the public debate
Need for a theoretical framework
Displacement vs additionality
Green Infrastructure may promote smooth and robust (resilient)
growth
Local vs national growth
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 3 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Motivation
Investment in Green Infrastructure is in the public debate
Need for a theoretical framework
Displacement vs additionality
Green Infrastructure may promote smooth and robust (resilient)
growth
Local vs national growth
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 3 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Motivation
Investment in Green Infrastructure is in the public debate
Need for a theoretical framework
Displacement vs additionality
Green Infrastructure may promote smooth and robust (resilient)
growth
Local vs national growth
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 3 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Issues
Multidimensional problem
Difficult to estimate a counterfactual
Definition not entirely precise
Does it have to be confined to cities?
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 4 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Issues
Multidimensional problem
Difficult to estimate a counterfactual
Definition not entirely precise
Does it have to be confined to cities?
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 4 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Issues
Multidimensional problem
Difficult to estimate a counterfactual
Definition not entirely precise
Does it have to be confined to cities?
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 4 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Issues
Multidimensional problem
Difficult to estimate a counterfactual
Definition not entirely precise
Does it have to be confined to cities?
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 4 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Definition
“a planned approach to the delivery of nature in
the city in order to provide benefits to residents”
(Eftec, 2013)
“a term used to refer to the living network of green
spaces, water and other environmental features in both
urban and rural areas. It is often used in an urban
context to cover benefits provided by trees, parks,
gardens, road verges, allotments, cemeteries,
woodlands, rivers and wetlands” (Defra, 2011)
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 5 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Definition
“a planned approach to the delivery of nature in
the city in order to provide benefits to residents”
(Eftec, 2013)
“a term used to refer to the living network of green
spaces, water and other environmental features in both
urban and rural areas. It is often used in an urban
context to cover benefits provided by trees, parks,
gardens, road verges, allotments, cemeteries,
woodlands, rivers and wetlands” (Defra, 2011)
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 5 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Definition
“a planned approach to the delivery of nature in
the city in order to provide benefits to residents”
(Eftec, 2013)
“a term used to refer to the living network of green
spaces, water and other environmental features in both
urban and rural areas. It is often used in an urban
context to cover benefits provided by trees, parks,
gardens, road verges, allotments, cemeteries,
woodlands, rivers and wetlands” (Defra, 2011)
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 5 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Definition
“a planned approach to the delivery of nature in
the city in order to provide benefits to residents”
(Eftec, 2013)
“a term used to refer to the living network of green
spaces, water and other environmental features in both
urban and rural areas. It is often used in an urban
context to cover benefits provided by trees, parks,
gardens, road verges, allotments, cemeteries,
woodlands, rivers and wetlands” (Defra, 2011)
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 5 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Logic chainGreen Infrastructure’s contribution to economic growth: a review Final Report
eftec 7 July 2013
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 6 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Case Studies
Glasgow Green renewal
Birmingham Canalside
Philadelphia Land Care
Stream restoration, Seoul
Highline Linear Park, New York
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 7 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Case Studies
Glasgow Green renewal
Birmingham Canalside
Philadelphia Land Care
Stream restoration, Seoul
Highline Linear Park, New York
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 7 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Case Studies
Glasgow Green renewal
Birmingham Canalside
Philadelphia Land Care
Stream restoration, Seoul
Highline Linear Park, New York
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 7 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Case Studies
Glasgow Green renewal
Birmingham Canalside
Philadelphia Land Care
Stream restoration, Seoul
Highline Linear Park, New York
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 7 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Case Studies
Glasgow Green renewal
Birmingham Canalside
Philadelphia Land Care
Stream restoration, Seoul
Highline Linear Park, New York
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 7 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Summary
Green Infrastructure’s contribution to economic growth: a review Final Report
Case studies
Glasgow Green
Renewal
Birmingham
Canalside
Philadelphia Land
Care
Stream Restoration,
Seoul
Highline Linear
Park, NYC
Change Park Improvement Canal and canal-side
improvement
Greening of vacant
residential lots
Restoration of stream
with footpath, man-
made wetland and
forest
New elevated urban
public park
Investment £15.5 million Not quantified Small – not
quantified
Not quantified $153 million
Anticipated
outcome
• Job creation;
• tax revenue;
• land values;
• Visitor spending.
• Job creation;
• Land values;
• Visitor spending.
• Property value
increase.
• Businesses
relocate to area;
• Tourism spend;
• Health benefits.
• Businesses
relocate to area;
• Jobs created;
• Health benefits.
Outcome • 47% increase in
Council Tax
receipts;
• 28% increase in the
number of
employees in area;
• 230 jobs
supported;
• 15% increase in
rateable value
from business.
• 30 FTE jobs
created plus 77-96
jobs supported
through visitor
expenditure;
• 25.7 – 57.1 million
property value
uplift.
• Significant
increase in
property value in
some areas.
• Number of
workers increased
by 0.8% against a
decrease of 2.6%
in other areas of
central Seoul;
• £1.3 million
contributed to
economy by
foreign tourists.
• 103% increase in
property values
near the park
between 2003 –
2011;
• 4 million visitors.
Other causal factors
considered?
Impact of wider
regeneration of the
East End of Glasgow
not considered.
Impact of the wider
regeneration of the
area, the state of
property market and
some additional
public funding all
relevant and not
considered.
Other causes of
changes to property
prices were
considered and the
model controlled for
these.
Before and after
comparison does not
allow for
displacement or
other factors.
Before and after
comparison does not
allow for
displacement or
other factors, such as
macro-economic
conditions.
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 8 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Main Conclusions
Clear link between local economy and investment in Green
Infrastructure
Difficult to estimate contribution to national growth
But
More work needed to assess and monetize some benefits
Role of growth smoother important and often neglected
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 9 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Main Conclusions
Clear link between local economy and investment in Green
Infrastructure
Difficult to estimate contribution to national growth
But
More work needed to assess and monetize some benefits
Role of growth smoother important and often neglected
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 9 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Main Conclusions
Clear link between local economy and investment in Green
Infrastructure
Difficult to estimate contribution to national growth
But
More work needed to assess and monetize some benefits
Role of growth smoother important and often neglected
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 9 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Main Conclusions
Clear link between local economy and investment in Green
Infrastructure
Difficult to estimate contribution to national growth
But
More work needed to assess and monetize some benefits
Role of growth smoother important and often neglected
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 9 / 9
Motivation
Main Issues
Evidence
Conclusions
Main Conclusions
Clear link between local economy and investment in Green
Infrastructure
Difficult to estimate contribution to national growth
But
More work needed to assess and monetize some benefits
Role of growth smoother important and often neglected
Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 9 / 9

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Professor Walter Distaso - Green Infrastructure's Contribution to Economic Growth - Presentation at The Sustainable Green Infrastructure Conference 2014

  • 1. GREEN INFRASTRUCTURE’S CONTRIBUTION TO ECONOMIC GROWTH 2014 Sustainable Green Infrastructure Conference Walter Distaso Imperial College Business School w.distaso@imperial.ac.uk 23 October 2014
  • 3. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Motivation Investment in Green Infrastructure is in the public debate Need for a theoretical framework Displacement vs additionality Green Infrastructure may promote smooth and robust (resilient) growth Local vs national growth Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 3 / 9
  • 4. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Motivation Investment in Green Infrastructure is in the public debate Need for a theoretical framework Displacement vs additionality Green Infrastructure may promote smooth and robust (resilient) growth Local vs national growth Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 3 / 9
  • 5. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Motivation Investment in Green Infrastructure is in the public debate Need for a theoretical framework Displacement vs additionality Green Infrastructure may promote smooth and robust (resilient) growth Local vs national growth Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 3 / 9
  • 6. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Motivation Investment in Green Infrastructure is in the public debate Need for a theoretical framework Displacement vs additionality Green Infrastructure may promote smooth and robust (resilient) growth Local vs national growth Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 3 / 9
  • 7. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Motivation Investment in Green Infrastructure is in the public debate Need for a theoretical framework Displacement vs additionality Green Infrastructure may promote smooth and robust (resilient) growth Local vs national growth Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 3 / 9
  • 8. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Issues Multidimensional problem Difficult to estimate a counterfactual Definition not entirely precise Does it have to be confined to cities? Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 4 / 9
  • 9. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Issues Multidimensional problem Difficult to estimate a counterfactual Definition not entirely precise Does it have to be confined to cities? Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 4 / 9
  • 10. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Issues Multidimensional problem Difficult to estimate a counterfactual Definition not entirely precise Does it have to be confined to cities? Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 4 / 9
  • 11. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Issues Multidimensional problem Difficult to estimate a counterfactual Definition not entirely precise Does it have to be confined to cities? Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 4 / 9
  • 12. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Definition “a planned approach to the delivery of nature in the city in order to provide benefits to residents” (Eftec, 2013) “a term used to refer to the living network of green spaces, water and other environmental features in both urban and rural areas. It is often used in an urban context to cover benefits provided by trees, parks, gardens, road verges, allotments, cemeteries, woodlands, rivers and wetlands” (Defra, 2011) Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 5 / 9
  • 13. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Definition “a planned approach to the delivery of nature in the city in order to provide benefits to residents” (Eftec, 2013) “a term used to refer to the living network of green spaces, water and other environmental features in both urban and rural areas. It is often used in an urban context to cover benefits provided by trees, parks, gardens, road verges, allotments, cemeteries, woodlands, rivers and wetlands” (Defra, 2011) Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 5 / 9
  • 14. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Definition “a planned approach to the delivery of nature in the city in order to provide benefits to residents” (Eftec, 2013) “a term used to refer to the living network of green spaces, water and other environmental features in both urban and rural areas. It is often used in an urban context to cover benefits provided by trees, parks, gardens, road verges, allotments, cemeteries, woodlands, rivers and wetlands” (Defra, 2011) Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 5 / 9
  • 15. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Definition “a planned approach to the delivery of nature in the city in order to provide benefits to residents” (Eftec, 2013) “a term used to refer to the living network of green spaces, water and other environmental features in both urban and rural areas. It is often used in an urban context to cover benefits provided by trees, parks, gardens, road verges, allotments, cemeteries, woodlands, rivers and wetlands” (Defra, 2011) Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 5 / 9
  • 16. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Logic chainGreen Infrastructure’s contribution to economic growth: a review Final Report eftec 7 July 2013 Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 6 / 9
  • 17. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Case Studies Glasgow Green renewal Birmingham Canalside Philadelphia Land Care Stream restoration, Seoul Highline Linear Park, New York Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 7 / 9
  • 18. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Case Studies Glasgow Green renewal Birmingham Canalside Philadelphia Land Care Stream restoration, Seoul Highline Linear Park, New York Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 7 / 9
  • 19. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Case Studies Glasgow Green renewal Birmingham Canalside Philadelphia Land Care Stream restoration, Seoul Highline Linear Park, New York Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 7 / 9
  • 20. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Case Studies Glasgow Green renewal Birmingham Canalside Philadelphia Land Care Stream restoration, Seoul Highline Linear Park, New York Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 7 / 9
  • 21. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Case Studies Glasgow Green renewal Birmingham Canalside Philadelphia Land Care Stream restoration, Seoul Highline Linear Park, New York Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 7 / 9
  • 22. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Summary Green Infrastructure’s contribution to economic growth: a review Final Report Case studies Glasgow Green Renewal Birmingham Canalside Philadelphia Land Care Stream Restoration, Seoul Highline Linear Park, NYC Change Park Improvement Canal and canal-side improvement Greening of vacant residential lots Restoration of stream with footpath, man- made wetland and forest New elevated urban public park Investment £15.5 million Not quantified Small – not quantified Not quantified $153 million Anticipated outcome • Job creation; • tax revenue; • land values; • Visitor spending. • Job creation; • Land values; • Visitor spending. • Property value increase. • Businesses relocate to area; • Tourism spend; • Health benefits. • Businesses relocate to area; • Jobs created; • Health benefits. Outcome • 47% increase in Council Tax receipts; • 28% increase in the number of employees in area; • 230 jobs supported; • 15% increase in rateable value from business. • 30 FTE jobs created plus 77-96 jobs supported through visitor expenditure; • 25.7 – 57.1 million property value uplift. • Significant increase in property value in some areas. • Number of workers increased by 0.8% against a decrease of 2.6% in other areas of central Seoul; • £1.3 million contributed to economy by foreign tourists. • 103% increase in property values near the park between 2003 – 2011; • 4 million visitors. Other causal factors considered? Impact of wider regeneration of the East End of Glasgow not considered. Impact of the wider regeneration of the area, the state of property market and some additional public funding all relevant and not considered. Other causes of changes to property prices were considered and the model controlled for these. Before and after comparison does not allow for displacement or other factors. Before and after comparison does not allow for displacement or other factors, such as macro-economic conditions. Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 8 / 9
  • 23. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Main Conclusions Clear link between local economy and investment in Green Infrastructure Difficult to estimate contribution to national growth But More work needed to assess and monetize some benefits Role of growth smoother important and often neglected Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 9 / 9
  • 24. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Main Conclusions Clear link between local economy and investment in Green Infrastructure Difficult to estimate contribution to national growth But More work needed to assess and monetize some benefits Role of growth smoother important and often neglected Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 9 / 9
  • 25. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Main Conclusions Clear link between local economy and investment in Green Infrastructure Difficult to estimate contribution to national growth But More work needed to assess and monetize some benefits Role of growth smoother important and often neglected Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 9 / 9
  • 26. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Main Conclusions Clear link between local economy and investment in Green Infrastructure Difficult to estimate contribution to national growth But More work needed to assess and monetize some benefits Role of growth smoother important and often neglected Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 9 / 9
  • 27. Motivation Main Issues Evidence Conclusions Main Conclusions Clear link between local economy and investment in Green Infrastructure Difficult to estimate contribution to national growth But More work needed to assess and monetize some benefits Role of growth smoother important and often neglected Walter Distaso Green Infrastructure 9 / 9