Virtual Community Modeling
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The document discusses virtual community modeling, which uses virtual simulations and gaming to model and test interventions for real communities. It provides examples of players' ideas like using agent-based modeling or virtual legos to simulate communities and evaluate solutions. The document also highlights current examples like Block by Block, which uses Minecraft to plan urban development with local residents, and SimCity 2013 which models sustainable urban planning. The goal is to virtually test ideas before implementing them in real communities.
Virtual Community Modeling
- 1. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B © 2013 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-1563B March 2013 Foresight Engine Game Analysis: 25 Zones of Future Innovation © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B A project by Institute for the Future and The Rockefeller Foundation www.iftf.org/our-work/global-landscape/catalysts-for-change/catalysts-zones-of-innovation Contact: Tessa Finlev, tfinlev@iftf.org
- 2. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 21 | Virtual Community Modeling 2
- 3. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B New modeling and sensing capabilities will allow communities and organizations alike to share strategic information and to pre- test interventions. Virtual communities provide a similar test bed for tracking resource use and trying out innovative social solutions. Coupled with real data, virtual modeling can be used by students, development experts, and community members to allow for greater evidence-driven experimentation in building growth with equity and resilience. 3 21 | Virtual Community Modeling | Future Innovation © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
- 4. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B When we combine player ideas to virtually map a community’s resources within platforms like Second Life with robust databases, we have a potentially powerful tool to test and perfect new models for poverty alleviation. Adding emotion-sensing technologies like electroencephalography to these models will take virtual community modeling to a new level, allowing us to build community reactions directly into virtual spaces. 4 21 | Virtual Community Modeling | From the Players © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
- 5. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 5 21 | Virtual Community Modeling | Micro-forecasts from the Game Might be cool if we could make a web site with virtual legos (cards) and just move them around to answer different questions?* Taiwan** *Cards have been lightly edited for readability. **Player location was self selected.
- 6. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 6 21 | Virtual Community Modeling | Micro-forecasts from the Game Use agent-based modeling, create virtual environment by mapping village's resources (see thehdmt.org for ex.), then design agents (the people) USA Might be cool if we could make a web site with virtual legos (cards) and just move them around to answer different questions? Taiwan
- 7. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 7 21 | Virtual Community Modeling | Micro-forecasts from the Game While raising money for different causes is a method, virtual worlds (like this one too!) can help map future paths because of new policies. India Might be cool if we could make a web site with virtual legos (cards) and just move them around to answer different questions? Taiwan Use agent-based modeling, create virtual environment by mapping village's resources (see thehdmt.org for ex.), then design agents (the people) USA
- 8. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 8 21 | Virtual Community Modeling | Micro-forecasts from the Game Build agent-based models of poor communities to conduct “prospective impact assessments" in virtual space for proposed interventions. USA Might be cool if we could make a web site with virtual legos (cards) and just move them around to answer different questions? Taiwan Use agent-based modeling, create virtual environment by mapping village's resources (see thehdmt.org for ex.), then design agents (the people) USA While raising money for different causes is a method, virtual worlds (like this one too!) can help map future paths because of new policies. India
- 9. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 9 21 | Virtual Community Modeling | Micro-forecasts from the Game YES local evidence then SCALE UP. But "coordination" must include intent, models / knowhow, resources, evaluation, learning... South Africa Might be cool if we could make a web site with virtual legos (cards) and just move them around to answer different questions? Taiwan Use agent-based modeling, create virtual environment by mapping village's resources (see thehdmt.org for ex.), then design agents (the people) USA While raising money for different causes is a method, virtual worlds (like this one too!) can help map future paths because of new policies. India Build agent-based models of poor communities to conduct “prospective impact assessments" in virtual space for proposed interventions. USA
- 10. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 10 21 | Virtual Community Modeling | Micro-forecasts from the Game Yes, I have very much had my eye on SecondLife and will read that. SimCity or ?? adding climate to game. I want to link real data to games. Australia Might be cool if we could make a web site with virtual legos (cards) and just move them around to answer different questions? Taiwan Use agent-based modeling, create virtual environment by mapping village's resources (see thehdmt.org for ex.), then design agents (the people) USA While raising money for different causes is a method, virtual worlds (like this one too!) can help map future paths because of new policies. India Build agent-based models of poor communities to conduct “prospective impact assessments" in virtual space for proposed interventions. USA YES local evidence then SCALE UP. But "coordination" must include intent, models / knowhow, resources, evaluation, learning... South Africa
- 11. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 11 21 | Virtual Community Modeling | Micro-forecasts from the Game Adapting or developing systems that employ Electroencephalography USA Might be cool if we could make a web site with virtual legos (cards) and just move them around to answer different questions? Taiwan Use agent-based modeling, create virtual environment by mapping village's resources (see thehdmt.org for ex.), then design agents (the people) USA While raising money for different causes is a method, virtual worlds (like this one too!) can help map future paths because of new policies. India Build agent-based models of poor communities to conduct “prospective impact assessments" in virtual space for proposed interventions. USA YES local evidence then SCALE UP. But "coordination" must include intent, models / knowhow, resources, evaluation, learning... South Africa Yes, I have very much had my eye on SecondLife and will read that. SimCity or ?? adding climate to game. I want to link real data to games. Australia
- 12. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 12 21 | Virtual Community Modeling | Micro-forecasts from the Game Might be cool if we could make a web site with virtual legos (cards) and just move them around to answer different questions? Taiwan Use agent-based modeling, create virtual environment by mapping village's resources (see thehdmt.org for ex.), then design agents (the people) USA While raising money for different causes is a method, virtual worlds (like this one too!) can help map future paths because of new policies. India Build agent-based models of poor communities to conduct “prospective impact assessments" in virtual space for proposed interventions. USA YES local evidence then SCALE UP. But "coordination" must include intent, models / knowhow, resources, evaluation, learning... South Africa Yes, I have very much had my eye on SecondLife and will read that. SimCity or ?? adding climate to game. I want to link real data to games. Australia Adapting or developing systems that employ Electroencephalography USA
- 13. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B Signals from the Present 13 21 | Virtual Community Modeling
- 14. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 14 Block by Block, a partnership of Mojang and UN-Habitat, uses the game Minecraft to virtually plan urban centers collaboratively with local residents. The pilot project, Undugu Playground, aims to rebuild a playground in Kibera, Kenya. SimCity 2013 SimCity 2013 includes a new level of complexity and reality that forces players to make tough choices and trade-offs on energy, environment, and urban growth, making it a great tool for modeling sustainable urban planning. 21 | Virtual Community Modeling | Signals from the Present Block by Block Image Source: www.simcity.com/en_US/media/screenshot/SimCity_Concept_Art_Casino_City Image Source: www.mojang.com/2012/09/mojang-and-un-presents-block-by-block
- 15. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 15 ReactionGrid builds customizable, multiuser 3D worlds that can be used for anything from urban planning to military training and scientific visualization. 21 | Virtual Community Modeling | Signals from the Present ReactionGrid Image Source: www.reactiongrid.com
- 16. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B © 2013 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-1563B March 2013 Foresight Engine Game Analysis: 25 Zones of Future Innovation © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B A project by Institute for the Future and The Rockefeller Foundation www.iftf.org/our-work/global-landscape/catalysts-for-change/catalysts-zones-of-innovation Contact: Tessa Finlev, tfinlev@iftf.org