A review of current worldwide IPv6 deployment - SANOG Edition
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This document provides an overview of global IPv6 deployment as of 2016, with a focus on the Asia Pacific region and SANOG economies. It finds that while global IPv6 capability is around 6.5%, some countries have much higher rates, like Belgium at 53%. In Asia Pacific, Japan, Australia, Malaysia, and Singapore show leading deployment. However, few economies in the region are above the global average. The document also analyzes IPv6 deployment data for ISPs and economies in the US, Belgium, Germany, Brazil, Ecuador, and Afghanistan and Bangladesh to understand trends. It concludes that IPv6 and IPv4 networks may increasingly diverge, with some networks investing in IPv6 and others relying more on IPv4 transition technologies
A review of current worldwide IPv6 deployment - SANOG Edition
- 1. Issue Date: Revision: A review of current worldwide IPv6 deployment (SANOG edition) APNIC Labs 2016-06-28 02
- 2. Outline • IPv6 around the world • The story for SANOG • Distribution and allocation • Observations
- 3. IPv6 around the world
- 4. IPv6 capability, worldwide (weighted) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 %IPv6Capable
- 5. 6.5%? Google says 10+? • APNIC applies a weighting function – Based on ITU Internet population figures • APNIC’s measurement is conservative • The real IPv6 count is probably somewhere in between!
- 6. IPv6 capability, worldwide (weighted) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 %IPv6Capable
- 7. CC IPv6 % CC IPv6 % CC IPv6 % CC IPv6 % CC IPv6 % CC IPv6 % BE 53.35% CH 29.49% US 29.02% DE 28.44% PT 28.33% GR 26.77% EE 19.34% PE 18.97% LU 17.63% JP 16.79% FI 16.76% MY 13.81% EU 12.94% FR 12.54% BR 10.86% GB 10.78% CA 10.35% NO 9.65% HT 9.50% NL 8.27% SG 8.23% RO 8.13% AT 7.26% CZ 6.21% CC IPv6 % CC IPv6 % CC IPv6 % CC IPv6 % CC IPv6 % CC IPv6% IE 5.36% AU 4.82% HU 4.56% BO 4.35% SE 4.28% AX 4.05% SA 3.97% BA 3.71% NZ 3.03% PL 2.86% TR 2.30% HK 1.53% SI 1.51% LK 1.41% MT 1.34% RU 1.33% IN 1.30% KR 1.20% TT 0.96% BT 0.86% CW 0.77% BG 0.68% CN 0.51% VN 0.50% IT 0.49% UA 0.43% MD 0.40% DK 0.39% IL 0.36% TH 0.33% SD 0.27% BQ 0.23% SK 0.21% LV 0.21% ZA 0.21% LT 0.21% BW 0.17% GF 0.16% MK 0.12% TW 0.12% CL 0.12% ES 0.11% IS 0.11% ID 0.10% TZ 0.10% GT 0.10% PA 0.10%
- 8. Emerging problem in AP region • Few economies in the AP region are above world-grade IPv6 capability • Of the economies below the line, many are stagnant, some are moving upward • Hard to quantify what quality determines ranking: – Its not just about economic size, diversity of ISP – Is it about capital investment?
- 9. Two kinds of Internet? • IPv4 and IPv6 can’t directly inter-operate as protocols – You can tunnel, and you can gateway but you can’t send IP packets directly from • 2000::/3 to 10.0.0.0/8 – The decision to proceed with IPv6 deployment implies dual-stack operations, short or long term – The decision to remain in IPv4 implies increasing use of CGN and other techniques to maximise address re-use • There is no avoidance of extra technology cost to continue to grow the Internet.
- 10. It looks like it on macro scale • There are signs that at a high-level view, the economies investing in IPv6 are now diverging from the ones who are staying in IPv4 – Its not just about size, or economic capacity • Lets review some of the players in each ‘camp’ – Some economies with signs of significant IPv6 deployment – Some economies with little or no sign of significant IPv6 deployment
- 11. IPv6 capability, worldwide (weighted) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 %IPv6Capable
- 12. Higher IPv6 capability in Asia-Pacific 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-01 2012-04 2012-07 2012-10 2013-01 2013-04 2013-07 2013-10 2014-01 2014-04 2014-07 2014-10 2015-01 2015-04 2015-07 2015-10 2016-01 2016-04 %IPv6Capable JP AU MY SG
- 18. High IPv6 capability, selected economies Worldwide 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-01 2012-04 2012-07 2012-10 2013-01 2013-04 2013-07 2013-10 2014-01 2014-04 2014-07 2014-10 2015-01 2015-04 2015-07 2015-10 2016-01 2016-04 %IPv6Capable US GB DE BE EC BR
- 19. Top 10 by sample, US ASN AS Name IPv6 Capable IPv6 Preferred # Samples AS7922 Comcast Cable Communications 61.75% 57.28% 14304843 AS7018 ATT-INTERNET4 - ATT Services 80.57% 73.20% 8526953 AS8075 Microsoft Corporation 0.00% 0.00% 5325116 AS701 Verizon Business 0.14% 0.01% 4728691 AS20115 Charter Communications 0.10% 0.02% 3463344 AS22773 Cox Communications Inc. 17.46% 16.15% 3164061 AS22394 Verizon Wireless 89.70% 80.89% 2621733 AS209 Qwest Communications Company 0.17% 0.10% 2432793 AS20057 ATT Mobility 9.50% 9.32% 2410034 AS10796 Time Warner Cable Internet 23.30% 21.79% 1999827
- 20. Top 10 by sample, BE ASN AS Name IPv6 Capable IPv6 Preferred # Samples AS5432 BELGACOM-SKYNET Proximus 44.06% 42.09% 958021 AS6848 TELENET-AS Telenet N.V. 71.09% 67.94% 879004 AS12392 ASBRUTELE Brutele SC 72.96% 70.51% 237980 AS47377 MES Mobistar SA 0.20% 0.05% 56730 AS21502 Numericable S.A. 0.01% 0.01% 48287 AS2611 BELNET BELNET 13.39% 12.44% 25361 AS44944 BASE-AS BASE Company NVSA 0.45% 0.16% 22518 AS29587 SCHEDOM-AS schedom vof 0.00% 0.00% 9654 AS41756 Orascom Telecom Algeria Spa 0.00% 0.00% 8245 AS51964 ORANGE-BUSINESS-SERVICES-IPSN 0.00% 0.00% 7811
- 21. Top 10 by sample, GB ASN AS Name IPv6 Capable IPv6 Preferred # Samples AS5607 Sky UK Limited 51.06% 49.36% 798472 AS5089 NTL Virgin Media Limited 0.01% 0.01% 739599 AS43766 MTC-KSA-AS MTC KSA 0.00% 0.00% 676236 AS2856 British Telecommunications PLC 0.26% 0.24% 658706 AS13285 TalkTalk Communications Limited 0.00% 0.00% 173033 AS12576 ORANGE-PCS EE Limited 0.10% 0.05% 154985 AS9105 TISCALI-UK Tiscali UK Limited 0.00% 0.00% 153678 AS9009 M247 M247 Ltd 0.06% 0.02% 142583 AS60339 H3GUK Hutchison 3G UK Limited 0.09% 0.03% 97854 AS34825 ONAVO Onavo Mobile Ltd 0.01% 0.00% 90392
- 22. Top 10 by Samples, DE ASN AS Name IPv6 Capable IPv6 Preferred # Samples AS3320 DTAG Deutsche Telekom AG 50.24% 48.39% 256677 AS200185 XANDMAIL-ASN X AND MAIL SA 0.00% 0.00% 115142 AS3209 VODANET Vodafone GmbH 0.15% 0.07% 81574 AS24940 HETZNER-AS Hetzner Online 5.86% 4.78% 65769 AS28753 Leaseweb Deutschland GmbH 39.91% 0.71% 61988 AS31334 Vodafone Kabel Deutschland 69.06% 65.82% 59817 AS6805 Telefonica Germany GmbH 0.41% 0.33% 52396 AS6830 Liberty Global Operations B.V. 58.68% 55.50% 40648 AS8972 PLUSSERVER-AS PlusServer AG 0.81% 0.05% 25969 AS29562 KABELBW-ASN Kabel BW GmbH 56.36% 53.48% 23299
- 23. Top 10 by Samples BR ASN AS Name IPv6 Capable IPv6 Preferred # Samples AS28573 CLARO S.A. 22.60% 20.60% 1354868 AS18881 Global Village Telecom 21.89% 20.73% 892808 AS7738 Telemar Norte Leste S.A. 3.84% 3.68% 575631 AS27699 TELEFNICA BRASIL S.A 2.26% 2.10% 419031 AS8167 Brasil Telecom SA - 2.46% 2.39% 339728 AS26615 Tim Celular S.A. 4.71% 4.60% 104354 AS26599 TELEFNICA BRASIL S.A 13.51% 13.12% 102621 AS53006 ALGAR TELECOM SA 0.05% 0.05% 62938 AS14868 COPEL Telecom S.A. 22.30% 21.73% 44573 AS22085 Claro SA 0.19% 0.04% 40324
- 24. Top 10 by Samples, EC ASN AS Name IPv6 Capable IPv6 Preferred # Samples AS14420 CNT EP 45.13% 43.66% 1582536 AS14522 Satnet 0.00% 0.00% 438480 AS27947 Telconet S.A 0.03% 0.03% 424395 AS27738 Ecuadortelecom S.A. 0.00% 0.00% 278140 AS23487 CONECEL 0.02% 0.01% 157551 AS19114 Otecel S.A. 0.03% 0.01% 155074 AS52257 Telconet S.A 0.01% 0.00% 135138 AS27668 ETAPA EP 0.00% 0.00% 126933 AS22724 PUNTONET S.A. 0.01% 0.01% 110372 AS28006 CNT EP 0.02% 0.01% 42226
- 25. Comcast, AT&T, Verizon, T-Mobile 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-01 2012-04 2012-07 2012-10 2013-01 2013-04 2013-07 2013-10 2014-01 2014-04 2014-07 2014-10 2015-01 2015-04 2015-07 2015-10 2016-01 2016-04 %IPv6Capable 7922 22394 7018 21928
- 27. Afghanistan (.AF) 33,358,997 people 4,103,156 users 12% penetration 44 ASes 20.02B GDP IPv4 32 in BGP 165,120 addresses 0.00 per head 62% visible IPv6 3 in BGP 51,539 M addresses 1,544 per head 17% visible 0% capability 0 5 10 15 20 25 %IPv6Capable
- 28. Bangladesh (.BD) 162,884,606 people 51,960,189 users 32% penetration 382 ASes 172.82B GDP IPv4 308 in BGP 1,255,680 addresses 0.01 per head 86% visible IPv6 29 in BGP 536,872 M addresses 3,296 per head 8% visible 0% capability 0 5 10 15 20 25 %IPv6Capable
- 29. Bhutan (.BT) 783,983 people 269,690 users 34% penetration 6 ASes 1.96B GDP IPv4 4 in BGP 27,904 addresses 0.04 per head 92% visible IPv6 2 in BGP 17,179 M addresses 21,913 per head 0% visible 0% capability 0 5 10 15 20 25 %IPv6Capable
- 30. India (.IN) 1,326,586,355 people 375,423,938 users 28% penetration 1,628 ASes 2.05T GDP IPv4 1055 in BGP 39,426,816 addresses 0.03 per head 80% visible IPv6 153 in BGP 1,606,331 M addresses 1,210 per head 8% visible 2% capability 0 5 10 15 20 25 %IPv6Capable
- 31. Maldives (.MV) 369,729 people 182,276 users 49% penetration 6 ASes 3.06B GDP IPv4 4 in BGP 60,160 addresses 0.16 per head 97% visible IPv6 2 in BGP 17,179 M addresses 46,466 per head 0% visible 0% capability 0 5 10 15 20 25 %IPv6Capable
- 32. Nepal (.NP) 28,846,110 people 4,442,300 users 15% penetration 56 ASes 19.76B GDP IPv4 42 in BGP 509,440 addresses 0.02 per head 99% visible IPv6 11 in BGP 111,670 M addresses 3,871 per head 19% visible 0% capability 0 5 10 15 20 25 %IPv6Capable
- 33. Pakistan (.PK) 192,772,832 people 28,530,379 users 15% penetration 116 ASes 243.47B GDP IPv4 84 in BGP 5,299,712 addresses 0.03 per head 98% visible IPv6 15 in BGP 223,338 M addresses 1,158 per head 10% visible 0% capability 0 5 10 15 20 25 %IPv6Capable
- 34. Sri Lanka (.LK) 20,809,521 people 5,368,856 users 26% penetration 22 ASes 78.81B GDP IPv4 17 in BGP 540,672 addresses 0.03 per head 100% visible IPv6 8 in BGP 60,129 M addresses 2,889 per head 21% visible 2% capability 0 5 10 15 20 25 %IPv6Capable
- 36. IPv4 by economy by holder - world
- 37. IPv4 by economy by holder - SANOG
- 38. IPv4 by economy by holder - SANOG SANOG is below average
- 39. IPv6 by economy by holder - world
- 40. IPv6 by economy by holder - SANOG
- 41. It’s partly an allocation problem • APNIC IPv4/v6 distribution is close to world average • SANOG economies are below APNIC average • Is there a deployment problem?
- 42. What kinds of deployment are working worldwide? • Drill down into the APNIC data, by ASN and Economy • Within the ASN or Economy, what kinds of devices are using IPv6? • Plot the IPv6 capability by device category – Mobile vs ‘Desktop’ – Android vs iOS • Note: we don’t control the presentation ratio by device type: this is outside our control – So the absolute numbers don’t mean very much – There is undoubtedly a lot of internet on mobile devices • Note: mobile device doesn’t necessarily mean on cellular carrier – But we know many ISPs are cellular ISPs
- 43. IPv6 by Device: AU
- 44. AS1221
- 45. IPv6 by Device, US
- 46. AS7018
- 47. AS21928
- 48. Observations
- 49. Observations • Successful deployments now exist worldwide in commercial, large-scale networks
- 50. Observations • Successful deployments now exist worldwide in commercial, large-scale networks • There is unlikely to be a significant avoidance of cost by delaying IPv6 deployment
- 51. Observations • Successful deployments now exist worldwide in commercial, large-scale networks • There is unlikely to be a significant avoidance of cost by delaying IPv6 deployment • Momentum is now with ISPs, carriers and content providers who are deploying dual-stack
- 52. Observations • Successful deployments now exist worldwide in commercial, large-scale networks • There is unlikely to be a significant avoidance of cost by delaying IPv6 deployment • Momentum is now with ISPs, carriers and content providers who are deploying dual-stack • There is probably a capital investment and logistical problem
- 53. Observations • Successful deployments now exist worldwide in commercial, large-scale networks • There is unlikely to be a significant avoidance of cost by delaying IPv6 deployment • Momentum is now with ISPs, carriers and content providers who are deploying dual-stack • There is probably a capital investment and logistical problem • Not deploying IPv6 carries the risk of falling behind in international competitiveness
- 54. Questions!