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Advancing Return on Investment
    Analysis for Government IT
                                                A Public Value Framework



                                                                                       Anthony M. Cresswell
                                                                                             G. Brian Burke
                                                                                           Theresa A. Pardo




                                                                   Center for Technology in Government
                                                                              University at Albany, SUNY
                                                                                187 Wolf Road, Suite 301
                                                                                        Albany, NY 12205
                                                                                   Phone: (518) 442-3892
                                                                                      Fax: (518) 442-3886
                                                                            E-mail: info@ctg.albany.edu
                                                                                     www.ctg.albany.edu




                                                                                               September 2006




This material is based upon work supported by SAP Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations
                                                    .
      expressed in this material are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of SAP.

                               ©2006 Center for Technology in Government
         The Center grants permission to reprint this document provided this cover page is included.
CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
Acknowledgments
T   his paper and the project it is based on—”Public ROI: Advancing Return on Investment
    Analysis for Government IT”—was made possible with funding and guidance from SAP a        ,
provider of enterprise software for the public sector. In particular, we would like to thank Russ
LeFevre and Peg Kates, who have been partners from the very beginning of this work, and
special thanks to Tom Shirk, Ingo Hoffman, Rod Massey, Ian Swann, Mor Sagmon, Carsten
Friedland, Alex Bratzler, and Bonnie Rothenstein.

Several members of the Center for Technology in Government staff made many important
contributions to this white paper and the overall project: Sharon Dawes, Jane Krumm-
Schwan, Alison Heaphy, Paula Hauser, and Lucy Dadayan.

Finally, this white paper and the case study reports depended on the enthusiastic
participation of many government officials from the five case study sites. In particular, we
would like to thank Christian Ihle from the Ministry of Finance in Austria, Adam Jansen from
the Washington State Digital Archives, Ronny Jacobowitz and Yitshak Cohen from the
Merkava Project in Israel, Andy McIntyre from the Integrated Enterprise System in the
Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, and Darrell Fowler from Service New Brunswick in Canada.
We thank them for their generous hospitality and commitment in helping us conduct our site
visits and creating this resource for improving government IT investments.




CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
Table of Contents
Executive summary         1

Introduction              4

Section I                 5 Why Assess Public ROI for Government IT


Section II                6 Research Summary of Public Value Case Studies


Section III               8 A Public Value Framework for Government IT Assessment
                         10 A. The Framework Strategy.
                         11 B. How Does Government IT Investment Link to the Public?
                         13 C. What Kinds of Impacts Matter for Public Value.
                         14 D. What is the Investment? Linking IT to Goals and Business Processes.
                         16 E. What Kinds of Public Value are Produced?
                         18 F. Who Receives Value? The Stakeholder Analysis.
                         20 G. How to Demonstrate the Value? Identifying Variables and Methods.
                         26 H. What Can Interfere With or Prevent Public Returns? The Risk Analysis.
                         28 I. Overview of Using the Framework.
                         32 J. How to Summarize and Present Results?

Section IV               37 Reflections on the Framework and the Value of Public Value

Appendix                 38 The Research Basis for the New Framework

                         38 A. Consultative Workshop
                         40 B. Case Study Summaries

Endnotes                43




CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
Executive Summary
T   he range and complexity of government
    information technology (IT) investments
makes assessing their returns a daunting
                                                                  Weak or absent methods for tailoring a
                                                                  public ROI assessment to the specific
                                                                  context and goals of a government IT
prospect. Projects can range from                                 investment.
systemwide transformations, to improving
financial transparency, to more efficient dog                 Existing methods also deal with risks to
licensing. The returns may be large or small,                 government IT investment, but primarily from
obvious or obscure, and can run from a few                    the point of view of technology development
minutes saved in a routine transaction to                     and implementation. The risks that involve
improving the trust and legitimacy of an                      the public beneficiaries of the investments
entire government. In spite of the difficulty in              merit more attention.
assessment, however, knowledge about
public returns can be vital to fully informed                 This white paper presents a public ROI
and justified IT investment decisions.                        assessment framework that addresses these
                                                              shortcomings. We call it a public value
Assessing these returns remains a core                        framework to emphasize the point of view of
problem in IT planning and decision making.                   the public, not the government, as the basis
That problem results from shortcomings in                     for the assessment. The framework
the available methods and models for                          describes how to identify and assess public
assessing public returns, what we call                        value through the kinds of activities shown
public return on investment (ROI). In looking                 below in Figure 1.
over these existing methods and models we
saw three significant shortcomings:                           The framework’s strategy is simple in
                                                              concept, but complex in application: connect
    Incomplete analysis of public value,                      what happens in the government (on the
    resulting in too narrow a scope of what                   left) with the impacts on stakeholders in the
    can be considered returns to the public.                  public domain (to the right), then report and
                                                              apply the results. The activities on the left
    Lack of systematic attention to how                       identify the potential value mechanisms and
    government IT investments generate                        outcome goals. Those are linked to
    results of value from the point of view of                stakeholder interests, impacts, and risks to
    the public.                                               the right. The curved arrows indicate that in




   Figure 1. Public Value Framework




CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
                                                                                                                          1
practice the process would seldom be linear,                       Ideological – impacts on beliefs, moral
    requiring reflection and backtracking to                           or ethical commitments, alignment of
    adjust for learning and new information. The                       government actions or policies or social
    full paper presents a detailed version of this                     outcomes with beliefs, or moral or
    schematic, showing the links among these                           ethical positions.
    activities.
                                                                       Stewardship – impacts on the public’s
    The public value proposition takes center                          view of government officials as faithful
    stage. This value proposition must be                              stewards or guardians of the value of
    broadly conceived to do justice to the scope                       the government itself in terms of public
    of government and how it affects                                   trust, integrity, and legitimacy.
    individuals, groups, and both public and
    private organizations. This framework                          Expanding the view of stakeholder interests
    presents a new and more comprehensive                          in this way brings into focus two distinct but
    way of describing public value, based on six                   equally impor tant types of public value: the
    kinds of impacts government IT can have on                     delivery of benefits directly to citizens and
    the interests of public stakeholders:                          enhancing the value of government itself as
                                                                   a public asset. An IT investment that makes
        Financial – impacts on current or
                                                                   government more transparent, more just,
        anticipated income, asset values,                          and a better steward has added public
        liabilities, entitlements, and other                       value, a non-financial but nonetheless
        aspects of wealth or risks to any of the                   important return. This framework describes
        above.                                                     how to include both in public value
                                                                   assessments.
        Political – impacts on personal or
        corporate influence on government                          The framework also identifies the basic
        actions or policy, role in political affairs,              ways government IT investments link to
        or influence in political parties or                       public value. The simplest link results from
        prospects for current of future public                     an IT investment embedded directly in a
        office.                                                    service delivery process (Figure 2:A) in a
                                                                   way that enhances its value to citizens or
        Social – impacts on family or community
                                                                   officials. The total value may be a composite
        relationships, social mobility, status, and                of several separate measures: cost savings,
        identity.                                                  quality, enhanced trust. An indirect link
                                                                   (Figure 2:B) can result from infrastructure
        Strategic – impacts on economic or
                                                                   improvements to business processes.
        political advantage or opportunities,
        goals, resources for innovation or                         This link may be more difficult to trace and
        planning.                                                  can involve more risk. Enterprise Resource


      Figure 2. Direct and Indirect Links to Public Value


                                 government                                      old government            old IT
                      V1         with old IT                           V1        business process      infrastructure
        Citizen/                                        Citizen/
        Official                                        Official
                      V2         government                            V2        new government           new IT
                                 with new IT                                     business process      infrastructure
      Return = V2 – V1                                   Return = V2 – V1

                     A - Direct                                                B - Indirect



    CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
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Figure 3. Mix of Direct and Indirect Links to Public Value


                                   environment
                    Citizen/                            Citizen/                       government
                                          Vi                                 Vd
                    Official                            Official                       with new IT

                                                                              Return = Vd + Vi
                  Vi = indirect value               Vd = direct value



Planning (ERP) software implementations in                          State Digital Archives case study, for
our case studies are excellent examples of                          example, putting birth and marriage
this kind of investment. Value can also result                      records online enabled research by
from a mix of direct and indirect links (Figure                     local historians and genealogists.
3) when new IT changes the environment.
                                                                    Intrinsic enhancements – changing the
Identifying these links is just part of the story.                  environment or circumstances of a
Each link can involve several value-                                stakeholder in ways that are valued for
generating mechanisms. The framework                                their own sake. For example, our Israel
describes how to trace these mechanisms                             case showed how enhanced financial
working through specific business                                   accounting and reporting in the
processes to produce different kinds of                             Merkava ERP system opened
value. The value-generating mechanisms                              government financial decision making
are:                                                                to greater transparency.

     Increases in efficiency – obtaining                      An IT investment project can deliver public
     increased outputs or goal attainment                     value through any or all of these
     with the same resources, or obtaining                    mechanisms.
     the same outputs or goals with lower
     resource consumption. In our Austrian                    The framework is deliberately presented at a
     and Pennsylvania case studies, for                       moderate level of generality to make it most
     example, new ERP systems helped                          widely useful. Every government IT project
     achieve substantial efficiencies in                      will have its own unique goals, value
     financial management.                                    propositions, and stakeholders. So this
                                                              framework can be used to plan and guide a
     Increases in effectiveness –                             public value assessment, in combination
     increasing the quality and/or quantity of                with measurements, analysis tools, and
     the desirable thing. Our case study of                   repor ting techniques chosen for the specific
     Service New Brunswick, for example,                      situation. To aid in this regard, the paper
     repor ts how an online registry for land                 presents an overview of more detailed and
     data can contribute to improvements in                   highly specified assessment methods that
     proper ty tax administration.                            can be used in conjunction with this
                                                              framework. This includes a more detailed
     Enablement – providing means or                          flow char t for the assessment process, a
     allowing otherwise infeasible or                         summary of several ROI models and
     prohibited desirable activity, or                        methods, and suggestions for analysis and
     preventing or reducing undesirable                       repor ting of results.
     events or outcomes. In our Washington



CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
                                                                                                                          3
Introduction
    E    very investment decision requires a
         leap of faith—sometimes a large one—
    into an uncer tain future. When much of that
                                                                 The approach we take to answering that
                                                                 question takes a point of view based on our
                                                                 experience, analysis, and the background
    uncertainty involves the value of the                        research for this paper. From this point of
    expected returns, risk increases and the                     view we see two sources of public returns:
    investment decision is all the more difficult.               (1) value to the public that results from
    This is an even bigger problem for                           improving the government itself, and (2)
    government IT projects, which are                            value that results from delivering specific
    notoriously risky and aimed at public value                  benefits directly to persons or groups. We
    returns that are often very difficult to define              also see potential value creation that goes
    and even harder to measure. This white                       far beyond the traditional financial and
    paper takes on one important part of that                    service evaluation data. Value creation can
    problem: the question of describing and                      come as much from increasing the integrity
    measuring public value.                                      and transparency of government as from
                                                                 reducing costs through online tax payments.
    We chose to focus on public value because                    This expanded scope of value includes an
    it is both the most poorly understood and the                often wide range of stakeholders, each with
    most complex par t of the overall problem.                   their special interests and expectations from
    We can divide the overall analysis of return                 government. This point of view dictates an
    on investment (ROI) in government IT                         expansive way of seeking public value. We
    expenditure into four parts: costs, internal                 call this a public value framework, meaning
    returns (agency efficiencies, cost avoidance,                that it is less a specific measurement tool
    etc.), public returns, and risks. Of these, the              and more a way of identifying and as
    public returns element receives the least                    sessing as wide a range of public value as
    amount of attention, though interest in this                 possible. This is not a small task, and
    topic is growing. The key question about                     cannot be completed in one such effor t. But
    public returns, of course, is what do we                     this approach can advance the search for a
    mean by public value and how can we                          way to effectively measure public value.
    observe, measure, and document its
    creation. The goal of this white paper is to
    help answer that question.




    CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
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Section I: Why Assess Public ROI
for Government IT?
T   he scope of government investment in IT
    and the associated problems certainly
deserve serious attention. Both the levels
                                                              on the public sector: “If governments do not
                                                              accurately measure the full value of their IT
                                                              investments, they risk a serious political
and growth rates in government IT spending                    backlash. They will be accused of wasting
are substantial. The most recent data                         billions of pounds of taxpayers’ money on
available shows that the level of this                        unnecessary technology.” This sentiment
investment in both the industrialized                         has reached the US Congress. In July of this
countries and the developing world has                        year the Senate Appropriations Committee
grown to a ver y large scale.                                 recommended no funding for the
                                                              administration’s 2007 e-government
     European government IT spending is                       initiatives, reporting that “… the committee
     expected to increase from US$110                         has no confidence that the amounts being
     billion in 2005 to US$119 billion by                     assessed have any relationship to the
     2007, with US$26 billion in the UK                       benefits anticipated to be returned.” And in
     alone, which is about 40% above                          the House of Representatives, the current
     Germany or France.                                       appropriations bill calls for a cost-benefit
                                                              analysis of all e-government initiatives.
                                                              According to Mike Hettinger, staff director at
     IT spending by Asia-Pacific region
                                                              the House Government Reform Committee’s
     governments, excluding Japan, is                         Government Management, Finance and
     expected to reach US$31.7 billion by                     Accountability Subcommittee, “the language
     2010, from US$22.7 billion in 2006.                      speaks for itself and reiterates what the
                                                              subcommittee has been saying for the past
     The Chinese government expenditures                      year, that in order for this initiative to be
     of USD$5 billion in 2004 are expected                    successful, we need to have a better
     to grow 16% in the following five years.                 understanding of the costs and benefits and
                                                              clearer guidance for the agencies to follow.” 2
     India spent US$943 million on                            Certainly this enhanced attention to ROI for
     e-government in 2002, and this figure is                 IT must include a comprehensive and
     predicted to increase by 15% a year to                   effective way to deal with the public value
     US$3.3 billion by 2009.                                  side of the problem.


     The U.S. federal budget for fiscal year
     2007 provides $64 billion in funding for
     IT investments, approximately a 3%
     increase from the 2006 enacted level of
     $62 billion. Total state and local
     government IT spending was about $55
     billion in FY2004 and is expected to
     grow to $62.4 billion by FY2009.

Though what is included in the IT category
may vary across these examples, the overall
scale of expenditure remains substantial.1

This level of expenditure is receiving
increasing scrutiny. The reason for this
scrutiny is clear, according to Andrea
DiMaio, a Gartner Vice President focusing




CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
                                                                                                                          5
Section II: Research Summary of
    Public Value Case Studies
    T   his framework is based in part on the
        results of five case studies that exam-
    ined how government IT investment projects
                                                                  These general understandings of public
                                                                  value guided the data collection and
                                                                  presentation of the case results.
    came to deliver value to the public.3 The
    projects were the Integrated Enterprise                       The case studies examined public returns to
    System in the Commonwealth of                                 the overall IT investment, including returns
    Pennsylvania and the Washington State                         generated by a government IT investment
    Digital Archives in the US, the Merkava                       and the possible mechanisms to produce
    Project in Israel, the Austrian Federal                       them. We did this by considering the links
    Budgeting and Bookkeeping System in                           between goals, implemented systems,
    Austria, and Service New Brunswick in                         government performance, and public returns
    Canada. All five case study reports and the                   in terms of where they represent value in
    white paper are available on CTG’s Web                        the chain shown in Figure 4 (next page).
    site.2 In the case studies we examined how
    the IT investments were conceived and                         The public returns from the investment can
    developed, with particular attention to the                   flow from the internal improvements in the
    role of public value in the process. We took                  agency resulting in returns to individual
    the view that government IT investment                        citizens and the public at large (the main
    generates public value in two ways:                           flow through the center). Other returns can
                                                                  flow to the political system and the economic
         By improving the value of the                            environment (below the center), or through
         government itself from the perspective                   effects on other agencies (secondary
         of the citizens, and                                     performance gains). This general view of
                                                                  public returns informed the case studies and
         By delivering specific benefits directly to              helped summarize the results.
         persons, groups, or the public at large.

    The first is based on the idea that, assuming
    a benign government, the better it functions
    overall, the better off its citizens will be. The
    government is an asset to the community or
    nation that delivers a wide range of values.
    Internal improvements make it a more
    valuable asset to the public. The second
    way of generating value has three forms:
    financial, political, and social. Financial
    value results from lowering the cost or
    increasing the efficiency of government or
    delivering direct financial benefits to the
    citizens. Political value consists of
    increasing participation, fairness,
    transparency, legitimacy, or conferring
    political capital to elected officials or
    citizens. Social returns include increased
    social status, stronger relationships, or
    opportunities; increased safety, trust in
    government, and economic advantage.




     CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
6
Figure 4. Public ROI Value Propositions


                                                                                Secondary
                                                                               Performance
                 Public                                                            Gain
                  Cost                                                     *
                                                                                      *                *
  Business Goal                                        Internal                   Direct             Public-at-
                                   IT
   or Problem                  Investment
                                               *       Agency          *          Citizen    *        Large
                                                       Returns                    Benefit             Benefit

                Private                                    *
                Cost (?)
                                                      Policy/
                                                                                      *
                                Vendor/
                                                                                                 *
                                                     Electoral
                                Industry              Benefit
                                 Benefit       *
                                                           *       *
                                                                                                 Development Risk
                                              *      General
                                                    Economic                                 *   Benefit Risk

                                                   Development                                   Direct Benefit Flow
                                                                                                 Indirect Benefit Flow
                                                                                                 Direct Benefit
                                                                                                 Accumulation
                                                                                                 Indirect Benefit
                                                                                                 Accumulation




CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
                                                                                                                          7
Section III: A Public Value
    Framework for Government IT
    Assessment

    T   his framework is designed to assist
        government IT executives and analysts
    in understanding and measuring the value to
                                                                 In this way, the framework offers both a
                                                                 systematic way of thinking about public
                                                                 value and a way to apply that thinking to
    the public of government IT investments. The                 par ticular IT investment decisions. The
    main goal is to produce an assessment of                     drilling down process is necessary to tailor a
    public returns that is credible, persuasive,                 specific public value assessment to the
    and highly relevant to the investment                        nature of a par ticular investment decision.
    decisions faced by the government. We use                    The framework shows how to take into
    value here, rather than return to emphasize                  account how public value can change
    the broad scope of the framework. Most                       across the many interests of citizens and
    methods for assessing return on investment                   groups in interacting with governments. In
    focus on financial or economic metrics; this                 the morning, for example, an executive
    approach includes a much broader view of                     doing business with the government may
    how IT investments can produce results of                    think about how IT speeds payments on her
    value to citizens or to the society as a                     government contracts, in the evening while
    whole.4 This concept of value includes more                  helping with homework she may observe
    than the usual financial or economic metrics                 how computers improve the quality of
    common in ROI analysis. It is a new and                      schools, and while watching the news on TV
    expanded way of understanding the results                    at night she might learn how a new crime
    of government IT expenditures.                               mapping system makes the neighborhood
                                                                 safer. These ways of thinking about public
    We call this set of ideas a framework to                     returns include both easily measured value,
    indicate that it is more than a particular                   like improved financial flows, as well as
    method for public value assessment. It is                    highly subjective ones like public safety,
    broad in scope so that it can be applied to                  service quality, or government integrity. A
    virtually any government IT investment, from                 framework for public value assessment must
    simple Web sites to governmentwide                           provide a way to deal with these many
    information systems and architectures. It is                 perspectives and possible measures of
    broad in scope because this range of                         public value.
    investments requires a comparable range of
    assessment methods. Our framework,                           Not every aspect of public value is relevant
    therefore is a way of thinking about and                     for a par ticular IT investment. The
    organizing the analysis of a family of                       Washington State Digital Archives project,
    problems that can encompass many meth-                       for example, had no particular public safety
    ods. A spreadsheet, for example, is a                        related goals, but is of considerable value to
    framework for working on a broad class of                    genealogists and local historians. Our
    problems or analytical tasks. Any par ticular                framework begins the process of narrowing
    spreadsheet may include specific methods,                    and focusing by starting with the three basic
    such as scenario analysis or a net present                   elements of analyzing public value: the
    value calculation. Instead of guiding the                    investment, the government operations
    assessment process in terms of calculations                  affected, and the stakeholders. At the
    in a matrix, however, this framework provides                beginning of a public value assessment, an
    an analysis process that starts with a high                  analyst often knows that there are many
    level view of the IT investment and then                     connections among theses three elements,
    drills down through successive steps to                      but those connections are poorly specified
    identify the specific measures and methods                   and understood. The situation might be
    that will reveal and document public value.                  described by the overlapping parts of



    CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
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Figure 5 below. The public value is to be                     Analyzing those connections can, in
found by unpacking, so to speak, the area of                  principle, start in any part of the problem.
overlap. The task of the assessment,                          Ultimately, of course, these three elements
therefore, is to identify the connections and                 must be considered together in order to
gather data about how the IT investment                       ensure that the value assessment for any
produces value for the relevant                               par ticular investment project or system is
stakeholders.                                                 tailored to the specific value context,
                                                              investment situation, and the beneficiaries
Close attention to all three elements is                      involved. In practice, however, the
essential. The connections among these                        assessment must begin somewhere. The
elements are the keys to a fully informed                     framework presented below describes the
public value assessment. The framework                        logic and methods that guide the
provides a way of describing these                            assessment process.
connections to show how public value is
generated and the risks involved therein.                     The sequence of activities shown for an
Focusing on one or two elements alone                         assessment is not designed or intended,
cannot reveal the necessary scope of                          however, to suggest how IT investment
public values involved in an IT investment                    decisions should be made.
or how they can be assessed. The risks of
slighting one or another of these elements
in an assessment can be substantial. In
addition to missing significant public
returns, such limited thinking can lead to
stakeholder resistance, flawed technology
decisions, or poor integration with or
disruption of business processes.



  Figure 5. The Basic Elements in the Public Value Framework




                                                The
                                            Stakeholders

                                         Public Value
                                 The
                              Technology         Government
                              Investment          Programs &
                                                                  Operations




CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
                                                                                                                          9
A. The Framework                                             general, however, the sequence follows the
                                                                  path shown in Figure 6 below.
     Strategy
                                                                  The steps illustrate how the process of
     The framework describes public value                         value identification and measurement
     assessment as a series of steps to gather                    carries through from the goals of an IT
     specific data and use it to answer questions                 investment, through the value generating
     that lead to public ROI results. The results                 mechanisms of the business processes,
     can include measures and documentation                       connection with stakeholders, to specific
     of public returns, risk analysis of the threats              data and reporting. These are the main
     to achieving those results, and suggestions                  components of the framework.
     for presenting results to decision makers.
     Each component of the framework deals                        By starting with a deliberately broad scope,
     with a different set of questions and                        then narrowing to specific questions for
     possible data to use in subsequent steps,                    each project, this approach addresses one
     and so for th. By working with the ideas and                 of the shortcomings of previous work on
     methods presented in the framework, the                      ROI for government IT, namely the narrow
     analysis can produce a public ROI                            scope of possible value questions
     assessment that is broad in scope, yet                       considered. By expanding the initial scope
     tailored to the par ticular investment of                    of analysis to include a broad view of public
     interest.                                                    returns, the framework can lead to a more
                                                                  comprehensive result. The framework thus
                                                                  does not replace or supersede the existing
     The steps are not intended to be used in a
                                                                  methods developed by others for assessing
     lock-step manner. The questions and
                                                                  returns to government IT investments.
     inquiry involved in one part of the frame-
                                                                  Rather the framework shows how these
     work may be obvious and easily answered
                                                                  methods can be used in assessment, what
     in some cases and quite complex and
                                                                  additional value issues should be
     difficult in others. It may be necessary to
                                                                  addressed, and how additional assessment
     explore later steps before preceding ones
                                                                  methods may be used.
     are finished, and then cycle back. In



        Figure 6. Steps in Applying the Public Value Framework




     CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
10
B. How Does Government                                          Figure 7. Type 1: Direct Service
IT Investment Link to the                                       Impact
Public?                                                                                            government
                                                                                      V1           with old IT
The question of how an IT investment can                             Citizen/
impact public value can be answered                                  Official
                                                                                      V2           government
initially in terms of three impact
                                                                                                   with new IT
mechanisms. These three, alone or in
combination, describe the general ways IT                          Return = V2 – V1
investments can connect with the public, as
revealed in our research. Identifying these
linking mechanisms is an important step in
the analysis process because it leads to a                    these investments go beyond the important
more detailed examination of impact                           but obvious cost and time savings to include
pathways than might otherwise occur. IT                       attention to service quality, access, equity,
investment can enhance public value in                        and the full range of values described
many ways, some of which are only                             below.
indirectly related to the performance of a
particular IT system. Attention to these                      2. Indirect Service Impacts
indirect and more complex mechanisms can
help ensure a full picture of public value
results is developed.                                         Indirect service impacts (Figure 8) occur
                                                              when back office or infrastructure invest-
                                                              ments produces changes in a government
1. Direct Service Impacts                                     business process. As in Type 1 mechanisms,
                                                              the value to the public is reflected in the
Direct service impacts (Figure 7) occur when                  changed interaction or transaction with a
IT is embedded directly in a service delivery                 government business process. However, the
process, generating service changes that                      process change results from an IT
enhance value to the citizen or official                      investment at least one step removed from
involved in the service process. The net                      interaction with the public. Because of this
public value is just the difference between                   indirect route, it may be more difficult in
the value of the new and the old. Value in                    Type 2 cases to trace the links from the IT
this sense, and in the other mechanisms as                    investment clearly and unambiguously to
well, is assessed from the point of view of                   the public. Risks to the effectiveness of the
the public participant in the transaction, not                investment are higher as well, due to
the government. The total value may be a                      dependence on business process changes
composite of several separate measures,                       that are independent of the IT itself. The IT
such as lower cost to the citizen, plus                       investment may have potential results
increased satisfaction with quality of                        spread over many business process and
service, plus enhanced trust in government.                   may interact with other technologies, further
The specific kinds of value involved are                      obscuring the impact linkages.
described in more detail in a later section.
                                                              The ERP system implementations in Austria,
The e-government investments in our case                      Israel, and Pennsylvania that were
studies and much of the literature on e-                      examined in our case studies are excellent
government provide many examples of this                      examples of this kind of investment. The
kind of investment. These include systems                     primary impact of these systems is on the
for fee and tax payments, license application                 internal, back office operations of the
and renewals, obtaining information, filing                   government. How to identify and describe
forms, etc. The public value propositions for                 these linked back office operations is



CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
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Figure 8. Type 2: Indirect Service or Impact



                                                         old government                      old IT
                                         V1              business process                infrastructure
                    Citizen/
                    Official
                                         V2              new government                      new IT
                                                         business process                infrastructure
                    Return = V2 – V1


     discussed in a later section of the                          are more complex. The direct value
     framework in terms of business reference                     mechanism shown here as Vd, is the same
     models (see Figure 10 on page 15). The                       as a Type 1 or Type 2 mechanism,
     impacts on these internal operations may be                  producing a value increment for a citizen,
     very positive and extensive, and still remain                official, or group (shown in a simplified way).
     hard to trace to many kinds of value gains                   In this type of system, the new IT is also
     for individual citizens or organizations. This               linked to changes in the environment and
     is an impor tant part of the public value                    relationships between the direct beneficiary
     problem dealt with in detail in the value                    and other entities (persons, groups,
     types discussion to follow. ERP systems also                 organizations) in the public arena. This
     contribute to public value generation                        indirect mechanism can result in additional
     through the Type 3 mechanism discussed                       public value flowing from interactions
     below.                                                       outside the government, between other
                                                                  persons or organizations. The changes in
                                                                  the environment may also produce direct
     3. Mixed Service & Environmental                             value beyond the direct transactions.
     Value Impact
                                                                  There are many examples of this type of
                                                                  value mechanism in our cases and in other
     In this third type of impact mechanism                       settings. In the Washington State Digital
     (Figure 9 below), the links to public value                  Archives case at least two such impacts



      Figure 9. Type 3: Mixed Direct, Indirect Service & Environmental Impact


                                     environment
                     Citizen/                               Citizen/                         government
                                            Vi                                    Vd
                     Official                               Official                         with new IT

                                                                                   Return = Vd + Vi
                   Vi = indirect value                 Vd = direct value



     CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
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occurred. The ability of the county auditors                        the same outputs or goals with lower
to shift responsibility for preserving digital                      resource consumption. In our Austria
records to the state archive produced                               and Pennsylvania case studies, for
savings in cost and workload at the county                          example, new ERP systems helped
level (Vd). This allowed county auditors to                         achieve substantial efficiencies in
improve services to their citizens in other                         financial management and other core
areas (Vi). In addition, the accessibility of                       administrative functions of government.
the government records online increases
the overall environment of transparency for                         Increases in effectiveness –
the government, benefiting all citizens. In                         increasing the quality and/or quantity of
the Service New Brunswick case, Web                                 the desirable thing. Our case study of
access to company registrations provided                            Service New Brunswick, for example,
direct value to citizens such as accountants,                       repor ts how an online registry for land
lawyers, financial institutions, and the                            data can contribute to improvements in
general public searching for such business                          proper ty tax administration.
information (Vd). In addition, the decision by
CGI to locate its Global E-Government
                                                                    Enablement – providing means or
Headquarters in Fredericton, New
Brunswick, due in large part to its strong                          allowing otherwise infeasible or
partnership with Service New Brunswick,                             prohibited desirable activity, or
benefits the economic development of the                            preventing or reducing undesirable
city of Fredericton and surrounding areas in                        events or outcomes. In our Washington
the province (Vi). In a different way, putting                      State Digital Archives case study, for
some forms of information online, such as                           example, putting birth and marriage
the Toxic Release Inventory in the US,                              records online enabled research by
enable citizens to obtain benefits from other                       local historians and genealogists.
transactions, such as lawsuits against
polluters (Vi).5                                                    Intrinsic enhancements – changing the
                                                                    environment or circumstances of a
                                                                    stakeholder in ways that are valued for
C. What Kinds of Impacts                                            their own sake. For example, our Israel
Matter for Public Value?                                            case showed how enhanced financial
                                                                    accounting and reporting in the
                                                                    Merkava ERP opened government
Just identifying these operational                                  financial decision making to greater
mechanisms in general terms, however,                               transparency.
does not tell the full value story. Each
mechanism can involve more than one kind                      The examples above illustrate public returns
of value generator. These mechanisms show                     that accrue in addition to, and largely
how IT investments can link to increased                      independently of, internal efficiency gains
public value, but not how that increase is                    that may accompany the IT investment.
produced. Each mechanism has the                              These value generators can also operate
potential to generate more than one kind of                   together, increasing the overall return.
public value increase, depending on the                       Research by the local historians mentioned
details of the situation. The framework                       above was enabled by access to previously
recognizes four basic kinds of public value                   inaccessible records; online access to these
generators, listed below, each with a                         records also made research much more
different range of measurements and                           efficient compared to paper records. Access
implications for assessment:                                  to crime mapping information by citizens
                                                              could also improve the efficiency of
     Increases in efficiency – obtaining                      choosing a place to live or locate a
     increased outputs or goal attainment                     business.
     with the same resources, or obtaining



CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
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D. What is the Investment?                                   The first part of the linking takes advantage
     Linking IT to Goals and                                      of the comprehensive integrated
                                                                  descriptions of government goals and
     Business Processes.                                          processes that are found in the enterprise
                                                                  architecture work currently underway for US
                                                                  and other governments. For our purposes
     1. Links to the Business of
                                                                  here, the most useful comprehensive
     Government                                                   description of government processes is in
                                                                  the US Federal Enterprise Architecture
     This analysis of public value generation                     (FEA) Business Reference Model (seen in
     requires identifying how the IT investment                   Figure 10).6 With some minor modifications,
     project links to government goals and                        the components in this FEA model can be
     activities. IT investments generate value in                 used to identify the business operations and
     relation to the policy and administrative                    general goals of an IT investment in most
     setting in which they operate. The goals and                 government agencies. Local governments,
     business processes provide links between                     for example, do not typically have defense
     how the technology operates and the                          and national security operations. The
     interactions with stakeholders that generate                 supporting documents that form part of the
     value. The analysis, therefore, includes                     Business Reference Model contain
     linking the investment to the relevant                       descriptions of each of the components.
     government goals, operations, and business                   These descriptions can be used to clarify
     processes.                                                   meaning and help identify which compo-
                                                                  nents are linked to a particular IT invest-
     This linking process is more complex than it                 ment.
     may appear, requiring a comprehensive and
     reasonably detailed picture of government                    While comprehensive, this FEA model is not
     goals and operations. Such a picture will                    the only enterprise architecture model that
     ensure that all the relevant links between                   may be used. There are a number of
     the technology and business processes will                   comparable models or business process
     be identified. Many government IT                            frameworks that could work as well, such as
     investments have potential links across                      those developed for the EU, the UK, Hong
     many agencies and processes. The                             Kong, and Malaysia.7 The National
     Washington State Digital Archives, for                       Association of State Chief Information
     example, collects records from hundreds of                   Officers (NASCIO) has an enterprise
     state and local agencies. The Merkava                        architecture model, adapted for US state
     project in Israel will eventually involve all                governments, that may also be used. The
     government agencies. The Pennsylvania IES                    European Commission also suppor ts
     supports human resources management,                         additional framework activity through the
     budgeting, and other administrative                          Athena Project, which has published similar
     functions for all executive agencies in the                  documents.8
     Commonwealth. The relevant business
     process setting of an IT investment,                         Using this model, the analysis proceedsby
     therefore, can be quite extensive. To deal                   identifying where the IT investment links to
     with this contingency, this part of the                      government business. This linking can be
     framework is based on just such a                            based on the new technology’s stated
     comprehensive picture. This is a useful                      goals, organizational location, and intended
     analysis strategy because it helps draw                      operational profile. The detailed
     attention to value generating aspects of the                 descriptions of each Business Reference
     investment that might be missed because                      Model component are useful in identifying
     they result from indirect effects or complex                 these links. If needed, those responsible for
     interactions across many agencies or                         the analysis can enlist a team of IT and
     processes.



     CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
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Figure 10. Elements in the FEA Business Reference Model

                                  Services for Citizens
                                  Community and social services                Correctional activities
                                  Defense and national security                Disaster management
                                  Economic development                         Education
                                  Energy                                       Environmental management
          Purpose of              Science and innovation                       Health
          Government              Income security                              International affairs & commerce
                                  Law enforcement                              Judicial activities
                                  Natural resources                            Transportation
                                  Workforce management                         Financial management   *
                                  Information& technology management       *
                                   Mode of Delivery
                                     Government Service Delivery                 Financial Vehicles
     Mechanisms used
           to achieve
                                   Direct Services to Clients*                 Financial assistance
                                   Knowledge creation & Management             Credit & insurance
             purpose               Public Goods Creation                       Transfers to local governments
                                   Regulatory compliance & enforcement


                                  Support Service Delivery
                                  Legislative relations                        Public affairs
           Government
                                  Regulatory development                       Controls & oversight
            Operations
      Support Functions
                                  Planning & resource allocation     *         Revenue collection
                                  Internal risk management & mitigation        General government

                                   Management of Government Resources
            Resource
          Management
                                   Supply chain management       *    Human resource management
                                   Administrative management          Financial management            *
            Functions              Information& technology management      *


operational experts to help ensure all                         bidding continues until the low bid remains
relevant links are identified.                                 unchanged for a predetermined time (e.g.,
                                                               five minutes), closing the auction. The low
To illustrate how to use the model, we                         price bidder wins the contract. The entire
marked several of the components in Figure                     auction takes place in public view and is
10 with asterisks. The asterisks mark an                       recorded in detail.
example of the business links we identified
for an IT investment project in the Merkava                    For an illustrative example, consider the
case study used for this framework: an                         procurement of new police radios for a law
online reverse auction system for                              enforcement agency. Based on the nature of
procurement. The agency conducting the                         the e-procurement system and the
 online auction sets the terms of a procure-                   component descriptions, we see it as linked
ment, publishes them, and qualifies vendors                    to the five marked components in Figure 10:
as potential bidders. At a predetermined                       law enforcement, financial management,
time, a Web site is opened for bidding. All                    supply chain management, direct service to
qualified vendors can then submit                              clients (vendors), and planning and re-
authenticated price bids to a public space                     source allocation.
on the site, visible to all other vendors. The



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2. Links to Business Processes                               The list could be extended for fur ther
                                                                  analysis by adding deployment of the
                                                                  radios, training for users (human resource
     Making further links to business processes                   management), and evaluation of the
     means connecting the larger goal or                          impacts of the new radios use in the
     function from the Business Reference                         agencies and business processes where
     Model to specific activities identifiable as                 installed. To keep this example
     business processes. For this step, picking                   manageable, however, we are limiting the
     the appropriate level of detail is important.                analysis to the processes listed below. The
     Choosing too general or too fine-grained a                   components identified from Figure 10 are
     process analysis will tend to obscure                        linked to the business processes in the rows
     stakeholder interactions that are necessary                  of Table 1 below.
     to identify public value. For this step in the
     analysis, we recommend another enterprise                    Identifying the business processes leads to
     architecture tool: the Zachman Framework. 9                  two key questions: (1) How does a business
     The descriptions in the first two rows of the                process generate increased public value?
     Zachman Framework (Scope and Business                        and (2) For whom? A way of answering the
     Model) are a good guide for the most useful                  first question is recorded in the third column
     level of detail.                                             of Table 1. Our analysis of public value
                                                                  generating mechanisms is shown in the
     This method identifies several business                      discussion of value impact mechanisms
     processes for the e-procurement example.                     below.
     They include:

         determining communication needs for                      E. What Kinds of Public
         the law enforcement agencies                             Value are Produced?
         budgeting for the procurement
                                                                  Identifying the linkages between business
         recruiting and qualifying vendors                        processes and public value generators
                                                                  described above carries the analysis a
         conducting the auction                                   critical step farther: from how the IT changes
                                                                  a business process to the impact of those
         paying the vendors
                                                                  changes for a par ticular public or




                   Table 1. Business Component, Process, and Value Mechanism

           Business Component                        Business Process                    Public Value Mechanism

      Law enforcement                        conduct auction                          citizen - type 3

     Financial management                    budget for procurement                   citizen - type 3

                                                                                      citizen - type 3
      Supply chain management                qualify vendors for auction
                                                                                      vendor - type 1

                                                                                      citizen - type 3
      Planning & resource allocation         deter mine communication needs
                                                                                      gov't staf f - type 1

     Direct ser vice to clients              conduct auction                          vendor - type 1

     Financial management                    pay vendors                              vendor - type 1




     CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
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stakeholders. That step is accomplished by                    a corporation’s integrity and assets on
looking to the value of the impact in terms of                behalf of stockholders, public managers
the interests of one or another stakeholder.                  and elected officials have a parallel
So the framework includes an analysis                         responsibility for government on behalf of
scheme for taking into account interests that                 the public. Recent financial scandals in the
can apply to the full range of stakeholders.                  US have demonstrated how lack of
The framework employs these six basic                         stewardship in major corporations (e.g.,
kinds of interests:                                           Enron, WorldCom) can destroy their
                                                              financial value. The government officials in
     Financial – impacts on current or                        our cases expressed a similar stewardship
     anticipated income, asset values,                        responsibility in terms of, for example, using
     liabilities, entitlements, and other                     IT to increase transparency and
     aspects of wealth or risks to any of the                 accountability. Public surveys of trust in
     above                                                    government show that citizens have similar
                                                              stewardship expectations of government.10
     Political – impacts on personal or
                                                              Clearly this list goes well beyond the internal
     corporate influence on government                        efficiency or service quality impacts of an IT
     actions or policy, role in political affairs,            investment. Of course, attending to this
     or influence in political parties or                     expanded concept of value raises many
     prospects for current or future public                   problems of definition and measurement.
     office                                                   However, our case research and results from
                                                              many other kinds of inquiry show the
     Social – impacts on family or community                  importance of this more comprehensive
     relationships, social mobility, status, and              treatment of value and interests. Many of the
     identity.                                                measurements and data implied by these
                                                              interest types are found in existing ROI
     Strategic – impacts on economic or                       methods as well. However, none of the
     political advantage or oppor tunities,                   methods we reviewed for this white paper
     goals, and resources for innovation or                   cover the full range represented here.
     planning                                                 Working with this expanded range of value
                                                              types represents one impor tant contribution
                                                              of this framework.
     Ideological – impacts on beliefs, moral
     or ethical commitments, alignment of                     It is also clear from this way of describing
     government actions or policies or social                 public value that it supplements rather than
     outcomes with beliefs, or moral or                       replaces methods that assess the efficiency
     ethical positions                                        gains or savings returns captured by
                                                              government agencies internally. For ex-
     Stewardship – impacts on the public’s                    ample, it seems safe to say that a
     view of government officials as faithful                 Department of Motor Vehicle’s internal cost
     stewards or guardians of the value of                    savings from putting license renewals online
     the government itself in terms of public                 are invisible and largely irrelevant to
     trust, integrity, and legitimacy                         drivers. These savings would have no
                                                              detectable impact on overall tax burdens or
This last interest—stewardship—is                             benefits resulting from a shift of government
deliberately not included in the ideology                     resources to some other service. The
categor y, though it could logically fit there.               information about the savings, however, is
Setting it off separately emphasizes its                      another matter. If government officials make
importance in the overall public value                        some political use of the cost savings
framework. Just as corporate managers and                     information, that would represent strategic
directors are responsible for stewardship of                  value to those officials or to their political




CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
                                                                                                                          17
allies. The public learning about the savings                      thinking and include multiple opinions
     might also improve their opinion of the                            and information sources
     government’s stewardship, fairness, or other
     ideological value.                                                 Identifying multiple stakeholder roles,
                                                                        internal and external to the organization
                                                                        setting (e.g., internal user, customer,
     F. Who Receives Value?                                             vendor, developer, manager, oversight,
                                                                        politician, taxpayer, analyst, advocate,
     The Stakeholder Analysis.                                          etc.)

                                                                        Identifying stakeholder expectations,
     Completing the analysis of value impacts
     requires identifying those with an interest in                     influence potential, past and future
     the value generating process: i.e., the                            par ticipation possibilities, and level of
     stakeholders. The kind of stakeholder                              interest
     analysis required for this task has three
     main parts: (1) identifying the persons or                   In this kind of analysis, continuing reference
     groups (including organizations) whose                       to the nature of the investment and impact
     interests are potentially affected,                          mechanisms will help produce the needed
     (2) identifying what their specific interests                focus and detail.11
     may be, and (3) assessing their role and
     potential influence in the deliver y of public               The results of a stakeholder analysis have
     value. The first two par ts are necessary for                implications for value assessment and for
     the analysis of value impacts and possible                   understanding their potential to influence
     assessment strategies and so are discussed                   the investment project. These results can be
     here. The third part is more relevant to the                 presented in ways that show the multiple
     risk analysis discussed in more detail in                    dimensions used in the analysis. An
     section III.H below.                                         example of results from a hypothetical
                                                                  stakeholder analysis is shown in Figure 11.
     Identifying stakeholders for the framework
     will depend on in-depth knowledge of the                     This figure combines data for 14
     context of the investment and the agencies                   stakeholders’ roles (SA = Stakeholder A,
     involved in its development and use.                         etc.) and times of possible influence in a
     Typically, stakeholder analysis engages a                    project’s lifecycle. This kind of display
     group of participants with extensive                         illustrates some of the complexities of
     knowledge of the political and                               stakeholder analysis and the possibilities for
     organizational setting of the investment                     interactions among different stakeholder
     and, hopefully, with experience in this kind                 groups. A more complete analysis would
     of analysis. Because the analysis is so                      include estimates of the stakeholder’s
     context-dependent, there are no standard                     influence capabilities and specific interests
     processes to follow. There are                               in the project development and outcomes.
     consistencies, however, among the many                       These issues are discussed in more detail in
     versions of stakeholder analysis methods                     the section on risk analysis (section III.H).
     found in the management, planning, and
     assessment literature. These include:                        To focus on stakeholder interests, the
                                                                  illustration in Table 2 below shows how the
         Involving multiple participants with wide                results of a simple stakeholder analysis can
         knowledge of the stakeholder                             be linked to the business process, value
         environment                                              types, and mechanisms.

         Looking widely to identify all relevant                  The business processes identified in Table 2
         stakeholders through brainstorming and                   on page 20 link to a partial list of
         related methods to stimulate divergent                   stakeholder types in the columns: citizens at




     CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
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Figure 11. Stakeholder Analysis Matrix12

                                                                Type of Participation

                                             Inform        Consult            Partnership            Control


                             Initiation
                           Identification   SA             SC                  SI           SE
                                                 SH                                                    SD
                            Planning              SK               SB               SJ
     Stage in Lifecycle




                                                           SF            SN
                            Execution
                          Implementation              SM                                               SG
                           Controlling                                              SL
                          Monitoring and
                            Evolution                                                                     SO

                             Closing                               SD                             SA

                                                                                         Sx = Stakeholder X




large, vendors, and elected officials. An                          assumptions about what advances the
actual assessment would include a more                             interests of those staff members. A success-
detailed list of stakeholders. The value                           ful procurement system would provide
types most likely to map onto each stake-                          political value and some strategic advan-
holder type are entered in the cells. The                          tage to elected officials, as well as enhance
basis for this mapping is linking the nature                       their reputation as good stewards of public
of the value as understood in that context                         resources.
with detailed knowledge of the stakeholder
groups. This part of the assessment can
include data collection about the interests                        G. How to Demonstrate the
and expectations of stakeholders through                           Value? Identifying Variables
interviews, surveys, or focus groups if
needed. The entries in the column for the                          and Methods.
citizens at large, for example, are based on
the assumption that their interests in                             Using the framework up to this point has
government stewardship would be served                             identified many kinds of data relevant to
by the e-procurement system. While a                               assessing public value. The next step is to
reasonable assumption, this could be                               choose the specific variables or points of
confirmed by collecting opinion data from a                        observation for collecting the assessment
sample of citizens, or relying on previous                         data. This is as much a practical problem as
opinion research. Similarly, the entries in the                    an analytical one. Many variables may be
column for government IT staff are based on



CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
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Table 2. Stakeholder Value Matrix

                                                                                      Stakeholders


        Business              Value               Impact            Citizens at                              Elected
                                                                                         Vendors
        Process             Generator              Type                Large                                 Officials


      Budget for
                         intrinsic                   3           stewardship
      procurement


      Deter mine         intrinsic,                              ideology,                               political,
                                                     3
      needs              ef fectiveness                          stewardship                             strategic


      Qualify            ef ficiency,                            ideology,           financial,          political,
                                                    1,3
      vendors            intrinsic                               stewardship         strategic           strategic


                         ef ficiency,                                                                    political,
      Conduct                                                    ideology,           financial,
                         intrinsic,                 1,3                                                  strategic,
      auction                                                    stewardship         strategic
                         ef fectiveness                                                                  stewardship


                         ef ficiency,                                                financial,          political,
      Pay vendors                                   1,3          stewardship
                         intrinsic                                                   strategic           stewardship



     relevant for each combination of                             ROI methods described below include many
     stakeholder and value type. A few variables                  variables and additional methods that can
     that would be relevant to this example are                   be helpful in that task. However, the more
     shown in Table 3.                                            the choice of variables can be tailored to the
                                                                  specific public value context, the more valid
     This table illustrates two important aspects                 and persuasive the assessment is likely to
     of its role in the framework and assessment                  be.
     process. First, it is highly unlikely that
     applying the framework to any IT investment                  An actual public value assessment should
     would lead to variables in all, or even most                 be based, of course, on the best available
     of the cells of this matrix. This matrix can be              information. But actual assessments take
     thought of as an heuristic device, prompting                 place in practical settings of limited
     questions about what might be useful and                     resources and access to data, plus being
     available variables for each row and column                  par t of the additional work needed for
     without expecting to fill them. The second is                internal returns and costs. The priority
     that identifying a specific variable relies on               setting described in the risk analysis section
     combining information about stakeholder                      can narrow the field to only the most
     interests, the value type, the impact                        important public value outcomes. The
     mechanisms, and the context. This is a                       section below describes additional
     complex and demanding process. This                          strategies for choosing the appropriate
     section offers additional guidance on                        variables and analysis methods.
     choosing the best public return variables for
     a given assessment. In addition, the other




     CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
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Table 3. Stakeholder Variables by Type


                                                         Stakeholder Impact Variables


        Value Type                 Citizens at Large                  Vendors                  Elected Officials


 Financial                     local economic                increased revenue
                               development

 Political                                                                                 suppor t from vendors


                                                                                           positive media
                                                                                           coverage

 Social                                                      enhanced reputation in
                                                             agencies receiving
                                                             radios

 Ideological                   increase level of market                                    enhanced reputation
                               competition                                                 for promoting market
                                                                                           competition

                               increase in citizen
                               access to infor mation
                               about procurement:
                               greater transparency

 Strategic                                                   increased market share        enhanced reputation
                                                                                           for being moder n &
                                                                                           progressive

                                                             increased knowledge
                                                             about competition

 Stewardship                   increased trust in                                          reputation for frugality
                               gover nment                                                 & good management



1. Variables and Analysis                                     The scope of this framework, as applied to a
                                                              particular IT project, could encompass a
Methods                                                       very wide range of data types. Many kinds
                                                              of quantitative data from financial sources,
The choices of variables and analysis                         operations research, and surveys are
methods for the empirical par ts of a public                  appropriate for statistical analysis,
value assessment should be considered                         modeling, and simulations. Many of the
together. In terms of basic measurement and                   social, political, and intrinsic value returns
analytical methodology, what constitutes an                   can be expressed in normalized scales, or
appropriate analysis depends, in part, on                     may best be revealed in qualitative terms or
the types of data and variables involved.                     in simple dimensions that are not suitable




CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
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for much quantitative manipulation. To help                  requires an inference, since value does not
     guide the assessment, given the very large                   stalk about wearing a label. Valid inferences
     number of possible public return data types                  about value can be formed from qualitative
     and variables, the framework provides two                    as well as quantitative data, content
     kinds of resources. The first is a general                   analysis as well as statistics. Taking these
     scheme suggesting variable types and                         four principles into account, choices made
     sources for different value types (see Table                 about how a specific analysis proceeds
     4). The second consists of summaries of the                  should be based on three criteria: 1) What
     approaches and variables available in a                      constitutes the best data? 2) What kind of
     range of existing ROI methods that can be                    analysis is appropriate to that type? 3) Who
     of value in completing an assessment (see                    will be the audience for the conclusions
     Table 5).                                                    reached? The best kind of data available
                                                                  will be specific to the operational and
     A wide range of possible public value data                   stakeholder context. The kinds of analysis
     can be identified by the methods presented                   appropriate to various data types are shown
     here. The framework approach is based on                     in summary form in Table 4.13
     the assumption that virtually any kind of
     data can be useful in describing public                      Beyond these general considerations, the
     value creation, from the most precise                        choice of variables and analyses for an
     quantitative figures available from financial                assessment can draw on a volume of
     or physical measurements, to material as                     existing work on ROI methods for guidance.
     diverse as the content of blogs or                           These methods, summarized in Table 5, vary
     observation of user or customer behavior. A                  widely in the number and type of variables
     conclusion about public value creation                       used, the scope of public value co nsidered,




                                Table 4. Variable Type for Public Value Data

               Variable Type                              Examples                           Analysis Methods

                                                                                     averages, totals, dif ferences,
                                                                                     percents, parametric &
                                             financial data, time, age,
                                                                                     nonparametric statistics
     ratio scale                             distance, frequency, transaction
                                                                                     (cor relation, regression, etc.),
                                             volume
                                                                                     simulation, time series,
                                                                                     optimization

                                                                                     averages (with assumptions),
                                             opinion scales, rating scales,          frequencies, scale analysis,
     inter val scale
                                             grades, Liker t scales                  nonparametric statistics (x2,
                                                                                     etc.), cluster analysis

                                                                                     cor relation, frequencies, scaling
     ordinal scales                          rankings, rating scales
                                                                                     analysis

                                             gender, ethnicity, location,            frequencies, clustering, network
     nominal variables
                                             relationships, user behaviors           analysis

                                                                                     content analysis, word
     text/discourse data                     inter views, blogs, news repor ts
                                                                                     frequency, semantic analysis

                                             user studies, field obser vation        process maps, network
     obser vational data
                                             notes, photos, film/video               analysis, behavior patter ns




     CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
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Table 5. Summary of Selected ROI Methods and Models
                                                            Methods/Models

                         Value Measuring                                  Best Value               Gar tner
                                                 Social Retur n on
      Method             Methodology, US                                 Perfor mance           Gover nment
                                                   Investment,
    Descriptors            Federal CIO                                    Indicators            Perfor mance
                                                   REDF (US)
                             Council                                     (ODPM, UK)              Framework

 Time Orientation       prospective             retrospective         retrospective          retrospective

 Time Frame             cross sectional         longitudinal          mixed                  cross sectional*

 Institutional
                        public                  private               public                 public
 Focus

 Gover nment
                        national/federal        n /a                  local UK               general
 Level

                                                                                             general
 Project                                                              local gover nment
                        IT                      social ser vices                             perfor mance
 Orientation                                                          programs
                                                                                             orientation

                        mixed,                                        predominantly          predominantly
                                                predominantly
 Variable Types         predominantly                                 quantitative           quantitative
                                                quantitative
                        quantitative                                  +qualitative           +qualitative

                                                                                             highy
                        general categories
 Variable                                                                                    quantitative,
                        + examples &            highly specific       highly specific
 Specification                                                                               employing
                        suggestions
                                                                                             indexes

                                                mixed                 mixed; many
                                                                                             mixed inter nal &
                        primarily inter nal,    inter nal/exter nal   inter nal and
 PROI Orientation                                                                            exter nal
                        some public             with exter nal        exter nal
                                                emphasis              variables

 PROI Variable                                                                               limited
                        nar row, limited        broad                 large & diverse
 Set

                                                                      limited to
 Analytical             some method             method fully                                 method specified
                                                                      variable
 Methods                suppor t                specified
                                                                      definition

 Analytical                                                                                  unknown
                        modest suppor t         par tial suppor t     not included
 Process Suppor t

 Risk Analysis          included                not included          not included           limited inclusion

                        decision tool           suppor t                                     suppor t materials
 Decision Suppor t                                                    none
                        included                materials

 Presentation                                   examples                                     results matrices
                        minor suggestions                             none
 Tools                                          provided

                                                                        *Includes some longitudinal variables




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Table 5. Summary of Selected ROI Methods and Models (continued)

                                                                Methods/Models

                                                                             Perfor mance
                                                                                                     MAREVA
                              Demand and              Public Ser vice      Reference Model
          Method                                                                                  (Gover nment of
                            Value Assessment          Value Method,          (US Federal
        Descriptors                                                                                   France)
                             Model (Australia)         Accenture              Enter prise
                                                                            Architecture)

                                                                                                 retrospective
     Time Orientation       prospective             combined              retrospective

                                                                                                 cross sectional*
     Time Frame             cross sectional         longitudinal          mixed

     Institutional                                                                               public
                            public                  public                public
     Focus

     Gover nment                                                                                 national-France
                            national/general        general               national-US
     Level

     Project                                                              program                IT
                            general                 general
     Orientation                                                          perfor mance

                                                                                                 mixed, largely
                            mixed, largely          predominantly
     Variable Types                                                       mixed                  quantitative
                            quantitative            quantitative

                            mixed categories        mostly specific       predominantly
     Variable                                                                                    largely specified
                            and some                perfor mance &        variable
     Specification
                            specified               cost metrics          categories

                            mixed inter nal and     primarily                                    mixed, largely
     PROI Orientation       exter nal; few          inter nal, some       mixed                  inter nal
                            political               public

     PROI Variable                                                        ver y large &          limited
                            large, diverse          nar row, limited
     Set                                                                  diverse

     Analytical             highly specified &      analysis method                              included
                                                                          not included
     Methods                detailed                specified

     Analytical             highly specified &                                                   included
                                                    included              not included
     Process Suppor t       detailed

                                                                                                 included
     Risk Analysis          included                not included          n/a

                            suppor t materials      suppor t                                     material included
     Decision Suppor t                                                    material included
                            and guidelines          materials

     Presentation                                   standard                                     par tial
                            included                                      par tial
     Tools                                          displays

                                                                            *Includes some longitudinal variables


     CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
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and the level of analytical detail and
technique included. Some are intended for
use prospectively, in planning for and
justifying an investment. Others are aimed
primarily at showing impacts of investments
after the fact. They also vary in terms of the
degree to which they deal with both internal
and public value results of the investment,
and whether they are designed specifically
for IT or government investments generally.
The summary of these methods or models in
Table 5 can help in the selection of variables
and analysis to fit the IT project.

The SROI (Social Return on Investment)
model, the only private sector oriented one
in the summary, is included for its special
features. Its private orientation refers not to
the commercial sector but to a private
philanthropic orientation. The method was
developed by a San Francisco foundation to
assess its social and economic development
programs. It illustrates not so much how to
assess an IT investment but rather how to
deal with personal and community impacts
in a systematic and comprehensive way.




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H. What Can Interfere With                                      mitigation strategy. To identify and evaluate
                                                                     threats, we return to the overall value
     or Prevent Public Returns?                                      proposition schematic presented earlier
                                                                     (Figure 12).
     The Risk Analysis.
                                                                     In this figure, we identified two kinds of risk:
     Government IT innovation is risky business.                     1) development risk and 2) benefit risk.
     Evidence from many surveys and cases                            Development risk, simply put, is risk that the
     suggests that the threats and other                             development and implementation of the IT
     challenges of IT projects often overwhelm                       will fail outright or will not perform as
     the capabilities of the developers and                          designed and intended. Benefit risk applies
     implementers. Data from the private sector                      to whether the IT investment will fail to
     tells a similar story. For this paper, we focus                 produce the envisioned benefits in spite of
     our attention not on the full range of risks to                 being successfully developed and
     government IT project success, but                              implemented. For the public value
     concentrate on the public return aspects of                     framework we focus on benefit risk. Of
     that problem.                                                   course any threat to the development of the
                                                                     IT is an indirect threat to public returns.
     The distinction between the public return                       However, several of the ROI methods
     and more generic aspects of risk analysis is                    described below include adequate analysis
     not, however, a simple one. The approach is                     methods for development risk. These
     the same: identify and evaluate threats,                        methods do not deal adequately, however,
     develop and evaluate response methods,                          with the additional threats and issues in
     and produce a summary analysis and                              benefit risk.



        Figure 12. Public Return on Investment Value Chain

                                                                                     Secondary
                                                                                    Performance
                    Public                                                              Gain
                     Cost                                                       *
                                                                                           *                *
       Business Goal                                       Internal                    Direct             Public-at-
                                      IT
        or Problem                Investment
                                                   *       Agency           *          Citizen    *        Large
                                                           Returns                     Benefit             Benefit

                   Private                                    *
                   Cost (?)
                                                          Policy/
                                                                                           *
                                    Vendor/
                                                                                                      *
                                                         Electoral
                                    Industry              Benefit
                                     Benefit       *
                                                               *        *
                                                                                                      Development Risk
                                                  *      General
                                                        Economic                                  *   Benefit Risk

                                                       Development                                    Direct Benefit Flow
                                                                                                      Indirect Benefit Flow
                                                                                                      Direct Benefit
                                                                                                      Accumulation
                                                                                                      Indirect Benefit
                                                                                                      Accumulation




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Table 6. Examples of Threats to Public Value

                                                                    Sources of Threats

             Threat Type                           Theory Failure                       Exogenous Factors

                                         overestimate of public demand           confounding or cancelling
                                         leads to non-use of ser vice;           ef fects: down-tur n in economy
                                         flawed understanding of impact          cancels financial advantages;
 To creation of retur ns                 mechanisms; misunderstanding            changes in gover nment counter
                                         of stakeholder interests                stewardship outcomes; political
                                                                                 scandal cancels positive media
                                                                                 repor ts

                                         lack of or er roneous baseline          indirect and second-order
                                         data; mis-specification of              ef fects undetectable; data
                                         outcome variables; inappropriate        inaccessible due to privacy or
 To detection of retur ns                analysis methods or models;             sensitivity
                                         accounting systems based on
                                         inappropriate data definitions
                                         and models




The benefit risks associated with the                         managers, and policy makers. This will
creation and assessment of public returns                     provide a basis for accurate estimates and
come from threats to the creation of the                      concentrating attention on the threats with
returns and to their detection. And there                     the highest combined loss-likelihood
appear to be two main sources of those                        estimates. In some cases, the value, cost,
threats: one is what we will call “theory                     and loss-likelihood estimates can be
failure” and the other is “exogenous factors.”                quantified to yield decision tools for moving
In theory failure, the underlying assumptions                 ahead with an investment. The displays in
or theory on which the project is based are                   Figure 13 and Figure 14 on the next page,
flawed or simply wrong. One such theory                       show such a result from the US Federal CIO
failure caused the US Department of                           Council’s Value Measurement Method,
Education to abandon a multi-million dollar                   which employs voting and other methods to
pilot project for online college student                      prioritize and estimate quantitative values
financial aid administration. Developed                       for cost and their related risks. The decision
without significant par ticipation from college               boundaries shown in the figures come from
financial aid officers, the system did not                    management decisions or some other
attract supporters and generated much                         deliberative process.15
stakeholder resistance. 14 It is important to
use both sources and types of benefits                        The threats due to difficulty in detecting
threats in a full risk analysis, as suggested                 indirect or second-order effects deserve
by the two-by-two array in Table 6.                           some added discussion. Public value
                                                              outcomes can extend beyond those involved
The risk analysis process can then use the                    in the direct interaction with government. For
threats identified in this way to estimate the                example, drivers are the direct beneficiaries
potential loss or cost that each threat                       of an online license renewal system.
represents and the likelihood of the threat                   However, the scope of possible indirect
materializing. These estimates should be                      value outcomes and beneficiaries can be
based to the extent possible on input from                    very broad. Residents in the neighborhoods
stakeholders, analysts, users, developers,                    of the license renewal agencies will benefit



CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
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Figure 13. Example of a Value-Risk Boundary Analysis




        Figure 14. Example of a Cost-Risk Boundary Analysis




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to some degree from reduced traffic                           one step can easily lead to revisions in
congestion and pollution. Shopkeepers in                      conclusions or data collected at preceding
that neighborhood may lose business for the                   steps. This is par ticularly so for the risk
same reasons. Second order effects may be                     analysis steps in the process. It is not
even more diffused and difficult to detect.                   feasible to complete the risk analysis for
Learning to trust the online process for                      achieving any particular public value return
license renewal, for example, can result in                   until the details about that return and how to
more use and greater benefits from using                      assess it are known. Loops can occur in the
other online services.                                        process when a step produces unexpected
                                                              or challenging results. For example,
Since risks are tied both to stakeholders and                 identifying all related business processes
possible value outcome variables, pursuing                    for a large, complex project may produce too
this line of reasoning can lead to a very                     many results to carry forward in the
large, and likely infeasible, list of risk                    analysis. That would require looping back to
analysis factors and tasks. To work within                    reduce the scope. So the potential user
resource constraints will require limiting the                should view this process summary as a
risk analysis to the most important value                     rough guide rather than a lock-step proce-
variables and stakeholders. Setting priorities                dure.
for this kind of analysis will therefore be
essential, and must be based on the goals of                  The process also represents a
the project and stakeholder value estimates.                  comprehensive approach to public value
                                                              assessment. We argue that all the steps are
                                                              needed to ensure that the full range of
I. Overview of Using the                                      public value returns will be included in any
                                                              assessment and report. Some small or very
Framework.                                                    narrow projects, of course, may have limited
                                                              public value potential and not require such
The framework is a combination of individual                  an extensive review. But the research and
analysis steps combined into an overall                       analysis leading to this framework have
process or plan for public ROI assessment. A                  clearly demonstrated that the scope of
summary of that overall process is shown in                   public value possible from government IT
Figure 15 on pages 30-31. As shown there,                     investments can far exceed what an
the process follows the arrows, starting with                 internally focused, financial assessment will
a clear understanding of the larger context                   reveal. Unless assessments use a much
of public value generation. The investment                    broader view, as represented in this
goals that emerge from the investment plans                   framework and other models cited above,
and understanding of the context link to the                  the full value of government IT investments
business processes and public value impact                    will not come to light. It also seems likely
mechanisms. Analysis of the impact                            that this same kind of analytical framework
mechanisms and public return types leads                      would be useful for other forms of
to specific impacts listed in the stakeholder                 government investments. We did not,
interest analysis. Identifying the interests                  however, explore that possibility for this
and impacts will then guide choosing public                   report.
value variables, analysis methods, risk
analysis, and ultimately, reporting tools and
techniques.

For simplicity, this process diagram is
somewhat idealized. It shows only the basic
linear path through the various steps. In
practice, the actual path is rather more likely
to have backtracking and loops. Learning at



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Figure 15. The Public Value Framework Overview


                                                                                                       Secondary
                                                                                                      Performance
                                   Public                                                                 Gain
                                   Cost                                                           *
                                                                                                             *                *
               Business Goal                                                  Internal                   Direct             Public-at-
                                                           IT
                or Problem                             Investment
                                                                       *      Agency          *          Citizen    *        Large
                                                                              Returns                    Benefit             Benefit

                                 Private                                         *
                                 Cost (?)
                                                                             Policy/
                                                                                                             *
                                                        Vendor/
                                                                                                                        *
                                                                            Electoral
                                                        Industry             Benefit
                                                         Benefit       *
                                                                                  *       *
                                                                                                                        Development Risk
                                                                      *      General
                                                                                                                    *   Benefit Risk
                                                                            Economic
                                                                           Development                                  Direct Benefit Flow
                                                                                                                        Indirect Benefit Flow
                                                                                                                        Direct Benefit
                                                                                                                        Accumulation
                                                                                                                        Indirect Benefit
                                                                                                                        Accumulation




                              Business Reference Model                                                Value Impact Types




             Business Component                                         Business Process                      Public Value Mechanism
          Law enforcement                                           conduct auction                           citizen - type 3
          Financial management                                      budget for procurement                    citizen - type 3
                                                                                                              citizen - type 3
          Supply chain management                                   qualify vendors for auction
                                                                                                              vendor- type 1
          Planning & resource                                       deter mine communication                  citizen - type 3
          a l l o c a ti o n                                        needs                                     gov't staf f - type 1
          D i r e c t s e r v i c e t o c l i e n ts                conduct auction                           vendor - type 1
          Financial management                                      pay vendors                               vendor - type 1



                                                                                         Public Return Types
                                                                                         F = Financial
                                                                                         P = Political
                                                                                         So = Social
                                                                                         I = Ideological
                                                                                         St = Strategic                                       (Continued on
                                                                                                                                              next page)
                                                                                         Sw = Stewardship




     CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
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Figure 15. The Public Value Framework Overview (continued)

                                          Identify Risk                                 Risk
                                      Mitigation Strategies                            Analysis

       Results &
       Reporting

                                               Value                           Variable and Analysis
                                              Analysis                               Selection



                                                 Stakeholder Impact Variables
        Value Type            Citizens at Large              Vendors                 Elected Officials
   Financial               local economic             increased revenue
                           development
   Political                                                                      suppor t from vendors
                                                                                  positive media
                                                                                  coverage
   Social                                             enhanced reputation
                                                      in agencies receiving
                                                      fur niture
   Ideological             increase level of                                      enhanced reputation
                           market competition                                     for promoting market
                                                                                  competition
                           increase in citizen
                           access to infor mation
                           about procurement:
                           greater transparency
   Strategic                                          increased market            enhanced reputation
                                                      share                       being moder n &
                                                                                  progressive
                                                      increased knowledge
                                                      about competition
   Stewardship             increased trust in                                     reputation for frugality
                           gover nment                                            & good management




                                                                                Stakeholders
                   Business        Value           Impact         Citizens at        Vendors         Elected
                   Process       Generator          Type             Large                           Officials
                 Budget for
                 procurement   intrinsic              3         stewardship
 (Continued
 from previous
 page)
                 Deter mine    intrinsic,             3        ideology,                           political,
                 needs         ef fectiveness                  stewardship                         strategic
                 Qualify       ef ficiency,                    ideology,            financial,     political,
                 vendors       intrinsic             1,3       stewardship          strategic      strategic
                 Conduct       ef ficiency,                    ideology,            financial,     political,
                 auction       intrinsic,            1,3       stewardship          strategic      strategic,
                               ef fectiveness                                                      stewardship
                               ef ficiency,                                         financial,     political,
                 Pay vendors                         1,3        stewardship
                               intrinsic                                            strategic      stewardship




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                                                                                                                          31
J. How to Summarize and                                      results, with the estimated relative
                                                                  magnitudes as well. The down arrow in the
     Present Results?                                             stewardship row for vendors indicates a
                                                                  potential loss to vendors due to
     This framework for public value assessment                   transparency increases that diminish
     presents both problems and opportunities                     opportunities for some forms of influencing
     for summarizing and repor ting. The                          procurement. Whether this is a positive or
     problems arise from the large number and                     negative result overall may not be clear.
     types of results that the assessment can
     produce. For presentation to policy makers                   For the more quantitative results, where the
     and non-technical audiences, the results                     public value variables lend themselves to
     should be as simple and accessible as                        calculation and statistical analysis, many
     possible. Simple char ts and summary tables                  presentation and summary methods are
     are best for this purpose. For multiple                      available. Clear and simple visuals are
     stakeholders and value variables, the                        generally preferable to tables of quantitative
     number and complexity of charts may                          data for non-technical audiences. For cross
     become a problem. This section discusses                     sectional data, a column char t, such as in
     some of the specific issues and alternative                  Figure 16, can be used to present the same
     methods available.                                           comparative public value data converted to
                                                                  a ten-point index or scale.
     For qualitative variables, the presentation of
     results can show the presence of a value                     Such a multidimensional chart can be
     result, and information about magnitude and                  difficult to interpret, however, and some ROI
     direction, if relevant and available. Using                  methods use the so-called radar char t for
     the information in Table 3 (page 21), a                      the same data, shown in Figure 17. This
     summary display similar to Table 7 below                     kind of char t provides a clearer image of the
     can present the types and direction of                       pattern of results for each stakeholder type
                                                                  and value dimension. However, this kind of




                           Table 7. Qualitative Display of Stakeholder Impacts

                                                             Stakeholder Impact Variables

            Value Type                 Citizens at Large                  Vendors                  Elected Officials

      Financial

      Political

      Social

      Ideological

      Strategic

      Stewardship




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Figure 16. Stakeholder Impact Column Chart


                                          Public Value Index by Stakeholder Groups

                                  10
                                   9
                                   8
             Public Value Index




                                                                                                          Financial
                                   7
                                   6                                                                      Political
                                   5                                                                      Social
                                   4                                                                      Ideological
                                   3                                                                      Strategic
                                   2
                                                                                                          Stewardship
                                   1
                                   0
                                       citizens at large    vendors             elected officials




                                          Figure 17. Stakeholder Impact Radar Chart

                                                                    Financial
                                                                    10



                                       Stew ardship                  5                        Political



                                                                     0




                                           Strategic                                          Social




                                                                Ideological

                                                Citizens at Large         Vendors             Elected Officials




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Figure 18. Portfolio Risk and Value Comparisons - DVAM




                                                                                                              Financial and Social Worth
     display becomes much more difficult to                       example of this form of results presentation
     interpret if the number of axes or                           is shown in Figure 19 for the Arizona
     stakeholders is large.                                       Depar tment of Revenue. Overall, the
                                                                  performance shown is improving from 1999
     The use of indexes can also be used to                       to 2001 and 2002 to 2003 when the
     compare the relative risk and value of                       organization is creating increased outcomes
     alternative investments on a value scale if                  and doing so more cost effectively.
     the variables can be combined into a single
     index. The Demand and Value Assessment                       Documentation of results through this kind
     Model (Australia) provides guidance on how                   of chart or visual device should include
     to produce such a public value index and                     background material about methods and
     use it for comparison purposes. An example                   measurement issues. This framework
     of that kind of result is shown in Figure 18                 advocates the use of a wide range of data
     above.                                                       and analytical styles, many of which are
                                                                  considered controversial or suspect in some
     For cross sectional assessments, more                        environments. Decision makers and analysts
     elaborate presentations are available,                       often have deep-seated biases about the
     par ticularly if the value variables are                     validity of qualitative data or social statistics,
     indexed or based on quantitative data. The                   or other non-traditional material for ROI
     Accenture Public Service Value Model (PSV)                   analysis. Those performing a public value
     can use historical data about government                     assessment must, therefore, be thorough in
     program effectiveness and costs to show                      providing rationale and supporting material
     changes in performance over time. 16 The                     for all results. They must be attentive to the
     model is based on the principle that public                  issues of interpretation and validity that may
     value is created when both outcome results                   affect how key members of their audience
     and cost effectiveness increases. An                         respond to the assessment results.



     CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
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Figure 19. Historical Performance Change Model (PSV - Accenture)
                        PSV Agency Performance Matrix (FY 1996 – FY 2003)
                                                         10%
             Higher




                                                          8%

                                                          6%
                                                            1997
                                                          4%
                                             1996
             Outcomes




                                                          2%            2001
                                                         AVERAGE
                                                          0%
                                                                                                2003
                                                           SCORE
               -20%          -15%    -10%         1998
                                                -5%          0%        5%2002     10%        15%        20%
                                                         -2%

                                               2000      -4%
                                     1999
                                                         -6%
             Lower




                                                         -8%

                                                         -10%
                        Lower                   Cost Effectiveness                            Higher




The principles for SROI analysis used by the                    4.   Replicable - The framework should
REDF organization provide valuable                                   result in similar conclusions when
guidance for the conduct of the kind of                              applied by different practitioners who
assessment described here. These                                     use similar parameters (such as the
principles can be applied to traditional ROI                         scope and options). Thus, results
analysis as well, but seem particularly well                         should also be comparable over time
suited to the public value issues involved                           and among organizations, at least
with this framework and related methods.                             among analyses that use similar options
The principles make an appropriate bridge                            and where the options are clearly noted.
from the general ideas and methods
presented here to the difficult work of                         5.   Transparent - The process by which the
carrying out public value and ROI                                    analysis was prepared, and the context
 assessment in practice.                                             in which results should be seen, should
                                                                     be transparent.
SROI Design Principles: 17
                                                                6.   Credible - The results should be
1.   Feasible - A basic SROI Analysis should                         credible to investors, purchasers,
     be something any organization can                               mangers, and other users.
     afford to prepare itself.
                                                                7.   Integrative - The framework should
2.   Accessible - The process should be                              relate to, and where possible integrate
     understandable and relevant to                                  with, other approaches to understand
     organizations at various stages of                              social value.
     development.
                                                                8.   Avoids misuse - Proper application of
3.   Rigorous - The method should be                                 the framework should reduce the risk of
     substantive and well-executed, and                              misuse of, or misleading, SROI numbers
     based upon premises that are validated                          or analyses.
     by informed practitioners.



CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
                                                                                                                          35
9.   Open source - The framework should
          continuously be informed and improved
          by the collective wisdom of practitioners
          in an inclusive, iterative process.

     10. Useful - Applying the framework should
         result in information that enables users
         to make decisions or take actions that
         further their goals.




      CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
36
IV. Reflections on the Framework
and the Value of Public Value

T   his framework grows from the rather
    simple principle: that the value of a
government’s investment in IT should be
                                                              of assessing public value that matches their
                                                              greater scope and complexity, a way that can
                                                              build the needed public support and guide
assessed from the point of view of the                        development. In this light, the cost of using a
public it serves. That principle leads us to                  framework such as this should be easily
identify two distinct but equally important                   justified. Moreover, the new knowledge
types of public value: delivering benefits                    about public value possible from such an
directly to citizens and enhancing the value                  assessment can help guide other forms of
of government itself as a public asset.                       investment and contribute to long-term
From this seemingly simple beginning                          government improvement.
grows the rather high level of complexity
involved in working through this framework
and its potential application. That
complexity derives in part from the way
these ideas radically expand the possible
scope of inquiry needed to identify and
document public value creation. That
expanded scope brings with it a host of
measurement problems that emerge when
the many social and political outcomes
come into play. The cost of this expanded
and more complex assessment can be quite
high.

So government executives and IT planners
can rightly question whether assessing
public value is wor th the effort. Part of the
answer may be that they will have no
choice. As we noted earlier, elected officials
have begun insisting on more
comprehensive cost and return analyses for
IT investment proposals. Conventional
approaches to ROI analysis may simply be
inadequate for these increased demands.

More importantly, however, the desire for a
more comprehensive and robust
justification for new IT investments reflects
their greater complexity and ambition. The
low-hanging fruit available from earlier IT
investments, such as establishing Web
presence and automating simple service
transactions, has typically been harvested.
More substantial improvements in
government are now possible by exploiting
the integrative and transformative potential
of IT, but they require much larger
investments. These projects require a way


CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
                                                                                                                          37
V. Appendix: The Research Basis
     for the Public Value Framework

     A. Consultative Workshop                                           what should be done, but not on what
                                                                        has already been done.

     On July 13, 2005, the Center for Technology                        Governments have trouble harvesting
     in Government, in collaboration with SAP  ,                        savings, which often get moved around
     hosted a consultative workshop on                                  the budget.
     assessing public return on government
     investments in IT. A select international                          There is no straightforward quantitative
     group of 22 experts from government,                               bottom line value measure for ROI in
     academia, and the private sector were                              public sector.
     invited to meet with researchers from CTG to
     discuss the core issues and themes that                            Government is multidimensional. Non-
     make assessing public ROI for IT                                   linear, complex interactions among
     investments such a complex and difficult                           benefits—hard to measure results and
     problem. The workshop results were used to                         link to specific programs or
     inform CTG’s next steps for the project. The                       technologies, i.e., proving the causal
     workshop results were used to help develop                         relationship between the two.
     a preliminary framework for conducting ROI
     analysis in the government sector and                              ROI requires advanced project
     design the case studies research approach.                         management and portfolio management
     This approach was employed to identify and                         skills that are often lacking.
     select the five case studies, which were
     used to refine the preliminary framework                           Comprehensive ROI analysis can
     and develop the white paper. The lists below                       greatly increase transparency of
     summarize the key issues that emerged                              government decisions and investment
     from the workshop that characterize the                            results. This level of transparency is a
     complexity of the issue. Workshop                                  “risk” in and of itself, increasing the
     par ticipants provided their recommenda-                           probability for embarrassment and
     tions in the form of key themes for CTG to                         criticism leading to loss of support.
     explore in the follow-on research.
                                                                        ROI is done in a vacuum. Not focused
                                                                        on the strategic investment.
     1. Key Issues Characterizing
        the Complexity of Assessing                                     Lack of longer-term tracking and
        Public ROI for Government IT                                    assessment makes it difficult to build a
                                                                        measurement model.
        Investments
                                                                        It is hard to evaluate IT ROI elsewhere in
         Lack of incentives to assess public ROI.                       the government enterprise because the
         There may be no consequences for                               outcome frameworks (intersectors)
         absence of ROI or other demonstration                          aren’t established.
         of results.

         Lack of historical perspective and data.
         Government tends to be prospective (not
         retrospective), so it tends to focus on




     CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
38
2. Themes to Explore in the                                         Por tfolio management is a big theme in
Research                                                            current discussion of IT management.
                                                                    As applied to public ROI, implies looking
                                                                    at the overall picture, not just a slice of
     Value and impact measurements should
                                                                    the project.
     take into consideration the cost impacts
     on other business processes, by                                ROI methods must accommodate or
     elimination or changes in the way we                           provide for shared outcomes that cross
     work together.                                                 over existing stovepipes.
     Look for efficiency and cost-reduction in                      While benefits are measured in terms of
     non-IT areas. IT is an enabler, and the                        traditional (financial), political and social
     purpose of IT is to enable other things,                       factors, risks are measured based on
     including changing the culture of                              other factors: (1) technical,
     organization, strategies, etc. Thus, it is                     (2) organizational, (3) time, and (4)
     important to see how IT is enabling                            political.
     returns in other areas.
                                                                    Find relationships between inputs and
     Assessment should include attention to
                                                                    outcomes. Once indicators are devel-
     how particular IT investment enables IT                        oped cause and effect relationships can
     elsewhere. ROI analysis must get                               be explored using econometric
     beyond evaluating things on a more                             methods.
     traditional basis to include questions of
     outcomes for broader range of                                  Value of IT investment may be enabling
     beneficiaries or stakeholders.                                 change
     Social cost-benefit analysis and political                     Find ways to ensure follow-through in
     considerations involve different people                        delivery and assessment of government
     making different decisions. It is                              programs.
     important to understand how this may
     impact the IT aspect of ROI calculations.                      Explore what are the attributes of a
                                                                    good public ROI model: measurable in
     Need more attention to risks as well as
                                                                    different ways, creates expectations of
     benefits. Assessment should include                            performance and assessment at both IT
     attention to par ticular government                            and program levels, is integrated with
     sensitivity to risk factors.                                   the budget process, and is included in a
                                                                    yearly review.
     Method development should include
     system analysis that engages a broad
     scope of operations. Analysis should
     include questions about leadership,
     feasibility, political support as well as
     results/outcomes, how constituents and
     opponents will react.

     Focus assessment on question of
     getting ROI on the programs, not the IT;
     IT doesn’t deliver the outcomes.




CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
                                                                                                                          39
B. Case Study Summaries18                                    implementation. The integration provided by
                                                                  the Merkava ERP provides an important
                                                                  par t of the infrastructure for operations in
                                                                  the three upper layers of the initiative and
     1. The Government of Israel’s                                contributes to the returns that they deliver as
     Merkava Project                                              well. The success of implementation effor ts
                                                                  to date and the growing record of returns,
                                                                  both internal to the government and the
     Some government IT initiatives focus                         public, suggest that the remaining roll-out
     narrowly on a specific technical problem,                    will continue as planned and the
     like enabling mobile data communication or                   accumulation of returns will continue to
     Web-based transactions. Others are driven                    grow.
     by a broader, more ambitious goal, to use IT
     as a tool to transform government. The
     Merkava Project in the Government of Israel                  2. The Austrian Federal Budgeting
     (GOI) is most cer tainly one of these
     transformative effor ts. It is transformative in
                                                                  and Bookkeeping System
     its own right, as an effort to restructure the
     financial, logistics, and human resource                     How a government obtains value from its
     components of governmentwide administra-                     citizens and external public environment
     tion into an integrated ERP system. Merkava                  and how it returns value to them are linked
     is also par t of a comprehensive e-govern-                   directly to its financial management systems.
     ment initiative that includes the ERP system                 These systems are crucial links in the flows
     as one of five layers of new technologies                    of revenues to the government and the flow
     and operational systems for enhanced                         of expenditures and services back to the
     internal operations and improved benefits                    public. Improving financial management,
     and services to citizens. These layers are                   therefore, has the potential to produce
     par t of a multi-year strategic plan, described              significant returns in terms of both greater
     in 2002 by Prime Minister Sharon: “The e-                    internal efficiencies and enhanced public
     government project is an expression of the                   returns. These were the goals of the
     government goal to provide state-of-the-ar t                 Austrian Federal Budgeting and
     strategic systems, while affecting social and                Bookkeeping System project initiated in
     economic national targets. We believe that                   1997 by the Minister of Finance and
     this infrastructure constitutes a better                     supported by the Chancellor (Prime Minis-
     tomorrow and that tomorrow is already                        ter). The goal of the project was to redesign
     here.”                                                       and integrate the electronic workflow of the
                                                                  federal government’s budget and
     From its beginnings in 1999 to the present,                  bookkeeping processes. The strategy they
     the Merkava ERP project has been a very                      chose was to implement a single ERP
     large undertaking. It is described by the                    software standard throughout the federal
     Ministry of Finance as the largest single IT                 government, along with the adoption of
     project in Israeli history. It has been                      necessary legal authority. The result was
     implemented or is in the roll-out process in                 that, by 2005, the Ministry of Finance
     30 government units (out of 100), and                        successfully consolidated 85 bookkeeping
     currently supports approximately 2,300                       units across the federal government into one
     users. The 2005-2007 IT master plan calls                    federally owned, but privately operated,
     for the Merkava system to be implemented                     agency.
     in 90% of the government’s offices during
     the planning period. Work on the other four                  The consolidation and integration produced
     layers in the overall eGov initiative has been               immediate and tangible benefits in terms of
     progressing in parallel with the Merkava                     internal efficiencies. These resulted from the




     CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
40
implementation of a new standardized work                     is also the foundation of the public value
process for accounting and budgeting                          proposition guiding the Digital Archives
throughout the federal government, with                       program: that the state has the constitutional
reduced work process steps and processing                     and statutory mandate to preserve and
time. As of 2005, the legal consolidation of                  provide access to records of enduring legal
the numerous bookkeeping depar tments                         and historical significance.
into one agency, along with the technical
and organizational implementation of the                      The growth of electronic records in
ERP has resulted in annual savings of
     ,                                                        government agencies in the 1990’s pre-
approximately €30 million. In terms of these                  sented a challenge to the State Archives’
returns to the government itself, the project                 ability to fulfill its mission, since it lacked an
is clearly a resounding success.                              effective program and technology to deal
                                                              with records in these new formats. The
In terms of broader public returns, the                       Washington State Digital Archives (WSDA),
project goals went beyond internal financial                  a program within the Office of Secretary of
management efficiencies. The aim of                           State, is the response to that challenge. It
restructuring the Austrian Federal                            was initiated by the Office of the Secretary
Accounting and Bookkeeping system was                         of State, with initial planning begun by the
much more than simply an “IT investment”                      then State Archivist in March of 2000. The
from the very beginning. The bookkeeping                      initiative was taken up in 2001 as a priority
system was part of a larger effort to imple-                  by the newly elected Secretary of State Sam
ment the SAP ERP technology throughout                        Reed, and included in the Secretary of
the Austrian Federal Government as part of                    State’s 2001-2007 Strategic Plan. The
a governmentwide public management                            project was subsequently supported by the
reform effort. The ERP technology was one                     state legislature and included in the State of
part of a comprehensive strategy that                         Washington’s 2001-2003 Capital Budget.
included legislative reform, governmentwide                   Construction of the physical hub of the
reorganization and consolidation, and                         WSDA in Cheney, Washington, began in
implementing a modern accounting and                          January 2003.
budgeting standard across the government.
Though the specific ERP technology was                        Beginning in mid-2001, the WSDA team
just one element of a larger approach,                        began exploring a wide range of
involving legal and organizational                            technologies and techniques for collection,
strategies, the ERP technology played a                       access, and preservation. The results led to
very important enabling role vis-à-vis the                    the custom development of a Web interface
legal and organizational strategies.                          and database design that blended the latest
                                                              technologies with traditional archival theory
                                                              to create a first-of-its-kind digital records
3. The Washington State Digital                               repository for state government. The goal of
Archives                                                      the program was to make the historical
                                                              electronic records of Washington’s state and
Washington State’s investment in digital                      local governments easily accessible, from
archiving for government records provides a                   anywhere, at anytime. The initial vision and
highly focused and successful example of                      value proposition were carried through a
pursuing public value through information                     complex political and technical process to a
technology. The job of collecting,                            functioning digital archiving program and
preserving, and providing access to the                       facility delivering the promised public value.
records of government is central to the                       The WSDA project team began with a clear
mission of Washington’s Office of Secretary                   vision of the expected value of the Digital
of State. That mission recognizes the                         Archives to both the government and
fundamental importance of government                          citizens. In addition, it successfully identified
record keeping in a democratic society. That                  the benefits that it needed to communicate



CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
                                                                                                                          41
to the state and local government agencies                   by implementing the necessary institutional
     that were keepers of public recorders in                     structures and policies to take fuller
     order to mobilize their support and                          advantage of this enterprise-level asset.
     par ticipation. The WSDA project
     demonstrates a strong connection between
     the initial high-level public value proposition              5. Service New Brunswick
     that motivated the project and its realization
     in the performance of WSDA itself.
                                                                  Service New Brunswick (SNB) is well-known
                                                                  internationally for its expertise in providing
     4. The Commonwealth of                                       multi-channel “single window” citizen
                                                                  access to government services as well as for
     Pennsylvania’s Integrated                                    developing and maintaining geographic
     Enterprise System                                            information databases. SNB’s award-
                                                                  winning approach provides one-stop-
                                                                  shopping for different government services
     From the beginning, the Commonwealth of                      on behalf of provincial and municipal
     Pennsylvania’s Integrated Enterprise                         government agencies, but also provides a
     System was much more than a technology                       linkage to the Canadian Federal
     project. The ERP implementation continued                    Government in a “joined up” government
     through three gubernatorial administrations                  model. SNB was launched in a time of high
     with consistent top level executive support;                 pressure from citizens for improved service
     eventually putting in place the technical                    delivery; today it serves the province
     infrastructure and enterprise standards for                  through its award winning service deliver y
     core administrative functions with improved                  model, and also and maybe more
     public value. Between early 2001 and                         importantly in the long run, through its
     mid-2004, the ERP implementation for the                     innovations in economic development.
     five business functions was completed for
     53 Commonwealth agencies including all 49                    The numbers behind SNB speak for
     of the agencies under the governor’s                         themselves; customer satisfaction numbers
     jurisdiction.                                                are the highest in Canada going from about
                                                                  50% in late 1980’s to 92% in 2005. These
     Immediate returns in the form of improved                    numbers require that responsible
     government operations were realized soon                     examinations of public value include SNB.
     after implementation and continue today.                     But there is more to this story than customer
     However, this infrastructure also provides                   satisfaction ratings. The essential par t of the
     the Commonwealth with capability that can                    public value story in this case is Service
     be fur ther leveraged to support additional                  New Brunswick (SNB) as a quasi-
     improvements in government operations                        governmental organization and its evolution
     that go well beyond direct improvements in                   as an integrated service provider and
     core administrative functions.                               economic development innovation. SNB is a
                                                                  public corporation with a single shareholder
     The Commonwealth has begun such efforts.                     - the government of New Brunswick. This
     The IES infrastructure provides public                       shareholder has guided SNB with this
     returns in the form of direct improvements in                model throughout its existence: make public
     the efficiency and effectiveness of core                     service good business.
     administrative functions. This infrastructure
     also provides the basis for improvements in
     the back office operations of other service
     areas which, in turn, offer improved services
     to the public. The Commonwealth has
     recently taken steps to move in this direction




     CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
42
Endnotes
1
  Expenditure data from: DG Information Society, European Commission; http://ec.europa.eu/idabc/en/
document/4336/5860; China: CCID Advisory (2005, May) http://www.ccidadvisory.com/
report_details.php?r_serial=229; India: Public Sector Technology and Management (2004, Jul 12) http://
www.pstm.net/ar ticle/index.php?articleid=236; U.S. Office of Management and Budget Web site: http://
www.whitehouse.gov/omb/egov/g-9-budget_highglights.html; Datamonitor. (2005, Jun). IT opportunities in
state and local government: Five-year outlook for vendors. New York: Datamonitor.
http://www.datamonitor.com/~3d016a3bb9db4c6cb608be617baf36f5~/Products/Free/Report/DMTC1150/
010DMTC1150.pdf; also http://zdnetasia.com/news/business/0,39044229,39371070,00.htm
http://www.publictechnology.net/modules.php?op=modload&name=News&file=ar ticle&sid=1920
2
  Matthew Weigelt, “Senate committee questions e-gov ROI.” FCW (July 17, 2006), http://www.fcw.com/
ar ticle95291-07-17-06-Web&newsletter%3Dyes
3
     View and download copies of the white paper and case study reports at www.ctg.albany.edu/projects/proi.
4
 This terminology is consistent with recent work on assessing government IT investment. See for example:
Center for Digital Government, Prove IT: The Disciplines of Harvesting Value from Public Sector Information
Technology, 2006. (www.centerdigitalgovernment.com); and eGovernment Economics Project (eGEP):
Measurement Framework Final Version. Prepared for the eGovernment Unit, DG Information Society and
Media, European Commission, by Christiano Codagnone (RSO SPA) and Paulo Boccardelli (Luiss Manage-
ment), May, 2006.
5
  The Toxic Release Inventory is a publicly available data base maintained by the US Environmental
Protection Agency that contains information on toxic chemical releases and other waste management
activities reported annually by certain covered industry groups as well as federal facilities (http://
www.epa.gov/tri/).
6
 These are taken from the Business Reference Model document, which contains considerable detail on the
definitions and details of these components (http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/egov/documents/CRM.PDF).
7
 See the European Interoperability Framework for Pan-European eGovernment Services, http://
europa.eu.int/scadplus/leg/en/lvb/l24226b.htm; The UK eGovernment Interoperability Framework, http://
www.govtalk.gov.uk/documents/eGIF%20v6_1(1).pdf; Malaysian Government Interoperability Framework
(MyGIF), http://unpan1.un.org/intradoc/groups/public/documents/APCITY/UNPAN016393.pdf;
Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSARG) Interoperability Framework, http://
www.bilgitoplumu.gov.tr/kdep/34/hongkongif_v1_0.pdf.
8
  The NASCIO Enterprise Architecture materials are listed at http://www.nascio.org/publications/index.cfm.
The Athena Project repor ts are available at http://www.athena-ip.org.
9
     The Zachman Institute for Framework Advancement. http://www.zifa.com/
10
  See, for example, polling results at Zogby International (http://www.zogby.com/index.cfm), or The Pew
Research Center for People and the Press (http://people-press.org/).
11
  Additional information and suggestions for conducting stakeholder analyses can be found in these
sources:
http://www.ittoolkit.com/workbooks/qt_stake.pdf; http://www.stsc.hill.af.mil/crosstalk/2000/12/smith.html;
http://www.boxesandarrows.com/view/understanding_organizational_stakeholders_for_design_success;
http://www.ctg.albany.edu/publications/guides/smar tit2?chapter=11&section=5; http://www.ctg.albany.edu/
publications/guides/and_justice_for_all?chapter=8&section=2
12
  Overseas Development Administration, Guidance Note on How to Do Stakeholder Analysis of Aid Projects
and Programmes, Social Development Department, July 1995.
 More information on these data types and analysis methods can be found in social science research
13

method texts. See, for example, Earl Babbie, The Practice of Social Research, Tenth Ed. Belmont, CA:
Wadswor th, 2004.
14
  Stephen Burd. “Education Department Pulls the Plug on Novel Way to Deliver Financial Aid. Chronicle of
Higher Education. Vol 46, No. 29 (March 24, 2000).
 See US Federal CIO Council Best Practices Committee. VMM How-To-Guide. http://www.cio.gov/docu-
15

ments/ValueMeasuring_Methodology_HowToGuide_Oct_2002.pdf
16
  Accenture Public Service Value (PSV) Model, http://www.accenture.com/Global/Services/By_Industry/
Government/PublicGovernment.htm
17
     A Framework for Approaches to SROI Analysis. http://www.redf.org/
18
     View and download copies of the white paper and case study reports at www.ctg.albany.edu/projects/proi.




CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
                                                                                                                          43
Center for Technology in Government
      187 Wolf Road, Suite 301
           Albany, NY 12205
        Phone: (518) 442-3892
         Fax: (518) 442-3886
     E-mail: info@ctg.albany.edu
          www.ctg.albany.edu

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Advancing Return on Investment Analysis for Government IT: A Public Value Framework

  • 1. Advancing Return on Investment Analysis for Government IT A Public Value Framework Anthony M. Cresswell G. Brian Burke Theresa A. Pardo Center for Technology in Government University at Albany, SUNY 187 Wolf Road, Suite 301 Albany, NY 12205 Phone: (518) 442-3892 Fax: (518) 442-3886 E-mail: info@ctg.albany.edu www.ctg.albany.edu September 2006 This material is based upon work supported by SAP Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations . expressed in this material are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of SAP. ©2006 Center for Technology in Government The Center grants permission to reprint this document provided this cover page is included.
  • 2. CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
  • 3. Acknowledgments T his paper and the project it is based on—”Public ROI: Advancing Return on Investment Analysis for Government IT”—was made possible with funding and guidance from SAP a , provider of enterprise software for the public sector. In particular, we would like to thank Russ LeFevre and Peg Kates, who have been partners from the very beginning of this work, and special thanks to Tom Shirk, Ingo Hoffman, Rod Massey, Ian Swann, Mor Sagmon, Carsten Friedland, Alex Bratzler, and Bonnie Rothenstein. Several members of the Center for Technology in Government staff made many important contributions to this white paper and the overall project: Sharon Dawes, Jane Krumm- Schwan, Alison Heaphy, Paula Hauser, and Lucy Dadayan. Finally, this white paper and the case study reports depended on the enthusiastic participation of many government officials from the five case study sites. In particular, we would like to thank Christian Ihle from the Ministry of Finance in Austria, Adam Jansen from the Washington State Digital Archives, Ronny Jacobowitz and Yitshak Cohen from the Merkava Project in Israel, Andy McIntyre from the Integrated Enterprise System in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, and Darrell Fowler from Service New Brunswick in Canada. We thank them for their generous hospitality and commitment in helping us conduct our site visits and creating this resource for improving government IT investments. CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
  • 4. CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
  • 5. Table of Contents Executive summary 1 Introduction 4 Section I 5 Why Assess Public ROI for Government IT Section II 6 Research Summary of Public Value Case Studies Section III 8 A Public Value Framework for Government IT Assessment 10 A. The Framework Strategy. 11 B. How Does Government IT Investment Link to the Public? 13 C. What Kinds of Impacts Matter for Public Value. 14 D. What is the Investment? Linking IT to Goals and Business Processes. 16 E. What Kinds of Public Value are Produced? 18 F. Who Receives Value? The Stakeholder Analysis. 20 G. How to Demonstrate the Value? Identifying Variables and Methods. 26 H. What Can Interfere With or Prevent Public Returns? The Risk Analysis. 28 I. Overview of Using the Framework. 32 J. How to Summarize and Present Results? Section IV 37 Reflections on the Framework and the Value of Public Value Appendix 38 The Research Basis for the New Framework 38 A. Consultative Workshop 40 B. Case Study Summaries Endnotes 43 CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
  • 6. CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK
  • 7. Executive Summary T he range and complexity of government information technology (IT) investments makes assessing their returns a daunting Weak or absent methods for tailoring a public ROI assessment to the specific context and goals of a government IT prospect. Projects can range from investment. systemwide transformations, to improving financial transparency, to more efficient dog Existing methods also deal with risks to licensing. The returns may be large or small, government IT investment, but primarily from obvious or obscure, and can run from a few the point of view of technology development minutes saved in a routine transaction to and implementation. The risks that involve improving the trust and legitimacy of an the public beneficiaries of the investments entire government. In spite of the difficulty in merit more attention. assessment, however, knowledge about public returns can be vital to fully informed This white paper presents a public ROI and justified IT investment decisions. assessment framework that addresses these shortcomings. We call it a public value Assessing these returns remains a core framework to emphasize the point of view of problem in IT planning and decision making. the public, not the government, as the basis That problem results from shortcomings in for the assessment. The framework the available methods and models for describes how to identify and assess public assessing public returns, what we call value through the kinds of activities shown public return on investment (ROI). In looking below in Figure 1. over these existing methods and models we saw three significant shortcomings: The framework’s strategy is simple in concept, but complex in application: connect Incomplete analysis of public value, what happens in the government (on the resulting in too narrow a scope of what left) with the impacts on stakeholders in the can be considered returns to the public. public domain (to the right), then report and apply the results. The activities on the left Lack of systematic attention to how identify the potential value mechanisms and government IT investments generate outcome goals. Those are linked to results of value from the point of view of stakeholder interests, impacts, and risks to the public. the right. The curved arrows indicate that in Figure 1. Public Value Framework CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 1
  • 8. practice the process would seldom be linear, Ideological – impacts on beliefs, moral requiring reflection and backtracking to or ethical commitments, alignment of adjust for learning and new information. The government actions or policies or social full paper presents a detailed version of this outcomes with beliefs, or moral or schematic, showing the links among these ethical positions. activities. Stewardship – impacts on the public’s The public value proposition takes center view of government officials as faithful stage. This value proposition must be stewards or guardians of the value of broadly conceived to do justice to the scope the government itself in terms of public of government and how it affects trust, integrity, and legitimacy. individuals, groups, and both public and private organizations. This framework Expanding the view of stakeholder interests presents a new and more comprehensive in this way brings into focus two distinct but way of describing public value, based on six equally impor tant types of public value: the kinds of impacts government IT can have on delivery of benefits directly to citizens and the interests of public stakeholders: enhancing the value of government itself as a public asset. An IT investment that makes Financial – impacts on current or government more transparent, more just, anticipated income, asset values, and a better steward has added public liabilities, entitlements, and other value, a non-financial but nonetheless aspects of wealth or risks to any of the important return. This framework describes above. how to include both in public value assessments. Political – impacts on personal or corporate influence on government The framework also identifies the basic actions or policy, role in political affairs, ways government IT investments link to or influence in political parties or public value. The simplest link results from prospects for current of future public an IT investment embedded directly in a office. service delivery process (Figure 2:A) in a way that enhances its value to citizens or Social – impacts on family or community officials. The total value may be a composite relationships, social mobility, status, and of several separate measures: cost savings, identity. quality, enhanced trust. An indirect link (Figure 2:B) can result from infrastructure Strategic – impacts on economic or improvements to business processes. political advantage or opportunities, goals, resources for innovation or This link may be more difficult to trace and planning. can involve more risk. Enterprise Resource Figure 2. Direct and Indirect Links to Public Value government old government old IT V1 with old IT V1 business process infrastructure Citizen/ Citizen/ Official Official V2 government V2 new government new IT with new IT business process infrastructure Return = V2 – V1 Return = V2 – V1 A - Direct B - Indirect CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 2
  • 9. Figure 3. Mix of Direct and Indirect Links to Public Value environment Citizen/ Citizen/ government Vi Vd Official Official with new IT Return = Vd + Vi Vi = indirect value Vd = direct value Planning (ERP) software implementations in State Digital Archives case study, for our case studies are excellent examples of example, putting birth and marriage this kind of investment. Value can also result records online enabled research by from a mix of direct and indirect links (Figure local historians and genealogists. 3) when new IT changes the environment. Intrinsic enhancements – changing the Identifying these links is just part of the story. environment or circumstances of a Each link can involve several value- stakeholder in ways that are valued for generating mechanisms. The framework their own sake. For example, our Israel describes how to trace these mechanisms case showed how enhanced financial working through specific business accounting and reporting in the processes to produce different kinds of Merkava ERP system opened value. The value-generating mechanisms government financial decision making are: to greater transparency. Increases in efficiency – obtaining An IT investment project can deliver public increased outputs or goal attainment value through any or all of these with the same resources, or obtaining mechanisms. the same outputs or goals with lower resource consumption. In our Austrian The framework is deliberately presented at a and Pennsylvania case studies, for moderate level of generality to make it most example, new ERP systems helped widely useful. Every government IT project achieve substantial efficiencies in will have its own unique goals, value financial management. propositions, and stakeholders. So this framework can be used to plan and guide a Increases in effectiveness – public value assessment, in combination increasing the quality and/or quantity of with measurements, analysis tools, and the desirable thing. Our case study of repor ting techniques chosen for the specific Service New Brunswick, for example, situation. To aid in this regard, the paper repor ts how an online registry for land presents an overview of more detailed and data can contribute to improvements in highly specified assessment methods that proper ty tax administration. can be used in conjunction with this framework. This includes a more detailed Enablement – providing means or flow char t for the assessment process, a allowing otherwise infeasible or summary of several ROI models and prohibited desirable activity, or methods, and suggestions for analysis and preventing or reducing undesirable repor ting of results. events or outcomes. In our Washington CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 3
  • 10. Introduction E very investment decision requires a leap of faith—sometimes a large one— into an uncer tain future. When much of that The approach we take to answering that question takes a point of view based on our experience, analysis, and the background uncertainty involves the value of the research for this paper. From this point of expected returns, risk increases and the view we see two sources of public returns: investment decision is all the more difficult. (1) value to the public that results from This is an even bigger problem for improving the government itself, and (2) government IT projects, which are value that results from delivering specific notoriously risky and aimed at public value benefits directly to persons or groups. We returns that are often very difficult to define also see potential value creation that goes and even harder to measure. This white far beyond the traditional financial and paper takes on one important part of that service evaluation data. Value creation can problem: the question of describing and come as much from increasing the integrity measuring public value. and transparency of government as from reducing costs through online tax payments. We chose to focus on public value because This expanded scope of value includes an it is both the most poorly understood and the often wide range of stakeholders, each with most complex par t of the overall problem. their special interests and expectations from We can divide the overall analysis of return government. This point of view dictates an on investment (ROI) in government IT expansive way of seeking public value. We expenditure into four parts: costs, internal call this a public value framework, meaning returns (agency efficiencies, cost avoidance, that it is less a specific measurement tool etc.), public returns, and risks. Of these, the and more a way of identifying and as public returns element receives the least sessing as wide a range of public value as amount of attention, though interest in this possible. This is not a small task, and topic is growing. The key question about cannot be completed in one such effor t. But public returns, of course, is what do we this approach can advance the search for a mean by public value and how can we way to effectively measure public value. observe, measure, and document its creation. The goal of this white paper is to help answer that question. CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 4
  • 11. Section I: Why Assess Public ROI for Government IT? T he scope of government investment in IT and the associated problems certainly deserve serious attention. Both the levels on the public sector: “If governments do not accurately measure the full value of their IT investments, they risk a serious political and growth rates in government IT spending backlash. They will be accused of wasting are substantial. The most recent data billions of pounds of taxpayers’ money on available shows that the level of this unnecessary technology.” This sentiment investment in both the industrialized has reached the US Congress. In July of this countries and the developing world has year the Senate Appropriations Committee grown to a ver y large scale. recommended no funding for the administration’s 2007 e-government European government IT spending is initiatives, reporting that “… the committee expected to increase from US$110 has no confidence that the amounts being billion in 2005 to US$119 billion by assessed have any relationship to the 2007, with US$26 billion in the UK benefits anticipated to be returned.” And in alone, which is about 40% above the House of Representatives, the current Germany or France. appropriations bill calls for a cost-benefit analysis of all e-government initiatives. According to Mike Hettinger, staff director at IT spending by Asia-Pacific region the House Government Reform Committee’s governments, excluding Japan, is Government Management, Finance and expected to reach US$31.7 billion by Accountability Subcommittee, “the language 2010, from US$22.7 billion in 2006. speaks for itself and reiterates what the subcommittee has been saying for the past The Chinese government expenditures year, that in order for this initiative to be of USD$5 billion in 2004 are expected successful, we need to have a better to grow 16% in the following five years. understanding of the costs and benefits and clearer guidance for the agencies to follow.” 2 India spent US$943 million on Certainly this enhanced attention to ROI for e-government in 2002, and this figure is IT must include a comprehensive and predicted to increase by 15% a year to effective way to deal with the public value US$3.3 billion by 2009. side of the problem. The U.S. federal budget for fiscal year 2007 provides $64 billion in funding for IT investments, approximately a 3% increase from the 2006 enacted level of $62 billion. Total state and local government IT spending was about $55 billion in FY2004 and is expected to grow to $62.4 billion by FY2009. Though what is included in the IT category may vary across these examples, the overall scale of expenditure remains substantial.1 This level of expenditure is receiving increasing scrutiny. The reason for this scrutiny is clear, according to Andrea DiMaio, a Gartner Vice President focusing CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 5
  • 12. Section II: Research Summary of Public Value Case Studies T his framework is based in part on the results of five case studies that exam- ined how government IT investment projects These general understandings of public value guided the data collection and presentation of the case results. came to deliver value to the public.3 The projects were the Integrated Enterprise The case studies examined public returns to System in the Commonwealth of the overall IT investment, including returns Pennsylvania and the Washington State generated by a government IT investment Digital Archives in the US, the Merkava and the possible mechanisms to produce Project in Israel, the Austrian Federal them. We did this by considering the links Budgeting and Bookkeeping System in between goals, implemented systems, Austria, and Service New Brunswick in government performance, and public returns Canada. All five case study reports and the in terms of where they represent value in white paper are available on CTG’s Web the chain shown in Figure 4 (next page). site.2 In the case studies we examined how the IT investments were conceived and The public returns from the investment can developed, with particular attention to the flow from the internal improvements in the role of public value in the process. We took agency resulting in returns to individual the view that government IT investment citizens and the public at large (the main generates public value in two ways: flow through the center). Other returns can flow to the political system and the economic By improving the value of the environment (below the center), or through government itself from the perspective effects on other agencies (secondary of the citizens, and performance gains). This general view of public returns informed the case studies and By delivering specific benefits directly to helped summarize the results. persons, groups, or the public at large. The first is based on the idea that, assuming a benign government, the better it functions overall, the better off its citizens will be. The government is an asset to the community or nation that delivers a wide range of values. Internal improvements make it a more valuable asset to the public. The second way of generating value has three forms: financial, political, and social. Financial value results from lowering the cost or increasing the efficiency of government or delivering direct financial benefits to the citizens. Political value consists of increasing participation, fairness, transparency, legitimacy, or conferring political capital to elected officials or citizens. Social returns include increased social status, stronger relationships, or opportunities; increased safety, trust in government, and economic advantage. CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 6
  • 13. Figure 4. Public ROI Value Propositions Secondary Performance Public Gain Cost * * * Business Goal Internal Direct Public-at- IT or Problem Investment * Agency * Citizen * Large Returns Benefit Benefit Private * Cost (?) Policy/ * Vendor/ * Electoral Industry Benefit Benefit * * * Development Risk * General Economic * Benefit Risk Development Direct Benefit Flow Indirect Benefit Flow Direct Benefit Accumulation Indirect Benefit Accumulation CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 7
  • 14. Section III: A Public Value Framework for Government IT Assessment T his framework is designed to assist government IT executives and analysts in understanding and measuring the value to In this way, the framework offers both a systematic way of thinking about public value and a way to apply that thinking to the public of government IT investments. The par ticular IT investment decisions. The main goal is to produce an assessment of drilling down process is necessary to tailor a public returns that is credible, persuasive, specific public value assessment to the and highly relevant to the investment nature of a par ticular investment decision. decisions faced by the government. We use The framework shows how to take into value here, rather than return to emphasize account how public value can change the broad scope of the framework. Most across the many interests of citizens and methods for assessing return on investment groups in interacting with governments. In focus on financial or economic metrics; this the morning, for example, an executive approach includes a much broader view of doing business with the government may how IT investments can produce results of think about how IT speeds payments on her value to citizens or to the society as a government contracts, in the evening while whole.4 This concept of value includes more helping with homework she may observe than the usual financial or economic metrics how computers improve the quality of common in ROI analysis. It is a new and schools, and while watching the news on TV expanded way of understanding the results at night she might learn how a new crime of government IT expenditures. mapping system makes the neighborhood safer. These ways of thinking about public We call this set of ideas a framework to returns include both easily measured value, indicate that it is more than a particular like improved financial flows, as well as method for public value assessment. It is highly subjective ones like public safety, broad in scope so that it can be applied to service quality, or government integrity. A virtually any government IT investment, from framework for public value assessment must simple Web sites to governmentwide provide a way to deal with these many information systems and architectures. It is perspectives and possible measures of broad in scope because this range of public value. investments requires a comparable range of assessment methods. Our framework, Not every aspect of public value is relevant therefore is a way of thinking about and for a par ticular IT investment. The organizing the analysis of a family of Washington State Digital Archives project, problems that can encompass many meth- for example, had no particular public safety ods. A spreadsheet, for example, is a related goals, but is of considerable value to framework for working on a broad class of genealogists and local historians. Our problems or analytical tasks. Any par ticular framework begins the process of narrowing spreadsheet may include specific methods, and focusing by starting with the three basic such as scenario analysis or a net present elements of analyzing public value: the value calculation. Instead of guiding the investment, the government operations assessment process in terms of calculations affected, and the stakeholders. At the in a matrix, however, this framework provides beginning of a public value assessment, an an analysis process that starts with a high analyst often knows that there are many level view of the IT investment and then connections among theses three elements, drills down through successive steps to but those connections are poorly specified identify the specific measures and methods and understood. The situation might be that will reveal and document public value. described by the overlapping parts of CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 8
  • 15. Figure 5 below. The public value is to be Analyzing those connections can, in found by unpacking, so to speak, the area of principle, start in any part of the problem. overlap. The task of the assessment, Ultimately, of course, these three elements therefore, is to identify the connections and must be considered together in order to gather data about how the IT investment ensure that the value assessment for any produces value for the relevant par ticular investment project or system is stakeholders. tailored to the specific value context, investment situation, and the beneficiaries Close attention to all three elements is involved. In practice, however, the essential. The connections among these assessment must begin somewhere. The elements are the keys to a fully informed framework presented below describes the public value assessment. The framework logic and methods that guide the provides a way of describing these assessment process. connections to show how public value is generated and the risks involved therein. The sequence of activities shown for an Focusing on one or two elements alone assessment is not designed or intended, cannot reveal the necessary scope of however, to suggest how IT investment public values involved in an IT investment decisions should be made. or how they can be assessed. The risks of slighting one or another of these elements in an assessment can be substantial. In addition to missing significant public returns, such limited thinking can lead to stakeholder resistance, flawed technology decisions, or poor integration with or disruption of business processes. Figure 5. The Basic Elements in the Public Value Framework The Stakeholders Public Value The Technology Government Investment Programs & Operations CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 9
  • 16. A. The Framework general, however, the sequence follows the path shown in Figure 6 below. Strategy The steps illustrate how the process of The framework describes public value value identification and measurement assessment as a series of steps to gather carries through from the goals of an IT specific data and use it to answer questions investment, through the value generating that lead to public ROI results. The results mechanisms of the business processes, can include measures and documentation connection with stakeholders, to specific of public returns, risk analysis of the threats data and reporting. These are the main to achieving those results, and suggestions components of the framework. for presenting results to decision makers. Each component of the framework deals By starting with a deliberately broad scope, with a different set of questions and then narrowing to specific questions for possible data to use in subsequent steps, each project, this approach addresses one and so for th. By working with the ideas and of the shortcomings of previous work on methods presented in the framework, the ROI for government IT, namely the narrow analysis can produce a public ROI scope of possible value questions assessment that is broad in scope, yet considered. By expanding the initial scope tailored to the par ticular investment of of analysis to include a broad view of public interest. returns, the framework can lead to a more comprehensive result. The framework thus does not replace or supersede the existing The steps are not intended to be used in a methods developed by others for assessing lock-step manner. The questions and returns to government IT investments. inquiry involved in one part of the frame- Rather the framework shows how these work may be obvious and easily answered methods can be used in assessment, what in some cases and quite complex and additional value issues should be difficult in others. It may be necessary to addressed, and how additional assessment explore later steps before preceding ones methods may be used. are finished, and then cycle back. In Figure 6. Steps in Applying the Public Value Framework CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 10
  • 17. B. How Does Government Figure 7. Type 1: Direct Service IT Investment Link to the Impact Public? government V1 with old IT The question of how an IT investment can Citizen/ impact public value can be answered Official V2 government initially in terms of three impact with new IT mechanisms. These three, alone or in combination, describe the general ways IT Return = V2 – V1 investments can connect with the public, as revealed in our research. Identifying these linking mechanisms is an important step in the analysis process because it leads to a these investments go beyond the important more detailed examination of impact but obvious cost and time savings to include pathways than might otherwise occur. IT attention to service quality, access, equity, investment can enhance public value in and the full range of values described many ways, some of which are only below. indirectly related to the performance of a particular IT system. Attention to these 2. Indirect Service Impacts indirect and more complex mechanisms can help ensure a full picture of public value results is developed. Indirect service impacts (Figure 8) occur when back office or infrastructure invest- ments produces changes in a government 1. Direct Service Impacts business process. As in Type 1 mechanisms, the value to the public is reflected in the Direct service impacts (Figure 7) occur when changed interaction or transaction with a IT is embedded directly in a service delivery government business process. However, the process, generating service changes that process change results from an IT enhance value to the citizen or official investment at least one step removed from involved in the service process. The net interaction with the public. Because of this public value is just the difference between indirect route, it may be more difficult in the value of the new and the old. Value in Type 2 cases to trace the links from the IT this sense, and in the other mechanisms as investment clearly and unambiguously to well, is assessed from the point of view of the public. Risks to the effectiveness of the the public participant in the transaction, not investment are higher as well, due to the government. The total value may be a dependence on business process changes composite of several separate measures, that are independent of the IT itself. The IT such as lower cost to the citizen, plus investment may have potential results increased satisfaction with quality of spread over many business process and service, plus enhanced trust in government. may interact with other technologies, further The specific kinds of value involved are obscuring the impact linkages. described in more detail in a later section. The ERP system implementations in Austria, The e-government investments in our case Israel, and Pennsylvania that were studies and much of the literature on e- examined in our case studies are excellent government provide many examples of this examples of this kind of investment. The kind of investment. These include systems primary impact of these systems is on the for fee and tax payments, license application internal, back office operations of the and renewals, obtaining information, filing government. How to identify and describe forms, etc. The public value propositions for these linked back office operations is CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 11
  • 18. Figure 8. Type 2: Indirect Service or Impact old government old IT V1 business process infrastructure Citizen/ Official V2 new government new IT business process infrastructure Return = V2 – V1 discussed in a later section of the are more complex. The direct value framework in terms of business reference mechanism shown here as Vd, is the same models (see Figure 10 on page 15). The as a Type 1 or Type 2 mechanism, impacts on these internal operations may be producing a value increment for a citizen, very positive and extensive, and still remain official, or group (shown in a simplified way). hard to trace to many kinds of value gains In this type of system, the new IT is also for individual citizens or organizations. This linked to changes in the environment and is an impor tant part of the public value relationships between the direct beneficiary problem dealt with in detail in the value and other entities (persons, groups, types discussion to follow. ERP systems also organizations) in the public arena. This contribute to public value generation indirect mechanism can result in additional through the Type 3 mechanism discussed public value flowing from interactions below. outside the government, between other persons or organizations. The changes in the environment may also produce direct 3. Mixed Service & Environmental value beyond the direct transactions. Value Impact There are many examples of this type of value mechanism in our cases and in other In this third type of impact mechanism settings. In the Washington State Digital (Figure 9 below), the links to public value Archives case at least two such impacts Figure 9. Type 3: Mixed Direct, Indirect Service & Environmental Impact environment Citizen/ Citizen/ government Vi Vd Official Official with new IT Return = Vd + Vi Vi = indirect value Vd = direct value CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 12
  • 19. occurred. The ability of the county auditors the same outputs or goals with lower to shift responsibility for preserving digital resource consumption. In our Austria records to the state archive produced and Pennsylvania case studies, for savings in cost and workload at the county example, new ERP systems helped level (Vd). This allowed county auditors to achieve substantial efficiencies in improve services to their citizens in other financial management and other core areas (Vi). In addition, the accessibility of administrative functions of government. the government records online increases the overall environment of transparency for Increases in effectiveness – the government, benefiting all citizens. In increasing the quality and/or quantity of the Service New Brunswick case, Web the desirable thing. Our case study of access to company registrations provided Service New Brunswick, for example, direct value to citizens such as accountants, repor ts how an online registry for land lawyers, financial institutions, and the data can contribute to improvements in general public searching for such business proper ty tax administration. information (Vd). In addition, the decision by CGI to locate its Global E-Government Enablement – providing means or Headquarters in Fredericton, New Brunswick, due in large part to its strong allowing otherwise infeasible or partnership with Service New Brunswick, prohibited desirable activity, or benefits the economic development of the preventing or reducing undesirable city of Fredericton and surrounding areas in events or outcomes. In our Washington the province (Vi). In a different way, putting State Digital Archives case study, for some forms of information online, such as example, putting birth and marriage the Toxic Release Inventory in the US, records online enabled research by enable citizens to obtain benefits from other local historians and genealogists. transactions, such as lawsuits against polluters (Vi).5 Intrinsic enhancements – changing the environment or circumstances of a stakeholder in ways that are valued for C. What Kinds of Impacts their own sake. For example, our Israel Matter for Public Value? case showed how enhanced financial accounting and reporting in the Merkava ERP opened government Just identifying these operational financial decision making to greater mechanisms in general terms, however, transparency. does not tell the full value story. Each mechanism can involve more than one kind The examples above illustrate public returns of value generator. These mechanisms show that accrue in addition to, and largely how IT investments can link to increased independently of, internal efficiency gains public value, but not how that increase is that may accompany the IT investment. produced. Each mechanism has the These value generators can also operate potential to generate more than one kind of together, increasing the overall return. public value increase, depending on the Research by the local historians mentioned details of the situation. The framework above was enabled by access to previously recognizes four basic kinds of public value inaccessible records; online access to these generators, listed below, each with a records also made research much more different range of measurements and efficient compared to paper records. Access implications for assessment: to crime mapping information by citizens could also improve the efficiency of Increases in efficiency – obtaining choosing a place to live or locate a increased outputs or goal attainment business. with the same resources, or obtaining CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 13
  • 20. D. What is the Investment? The first part of the linking takes advantage Linking IT to Goals and of the comprehensive integrated descriptions of government goals and Business Processes. processes that are found in the enterprise architecture work currently underway for US and other governments. For our purposes 1. Links to the Business of here, the most useful comprehensive Government description of government processes is in the US Federal Enterprise Architecture This analysis of public value generation (FEA) Business Reference Model (seen in requires identifying how the IT investment Figure 10).6 With some minor modifications, project links to government goals and the components in this FEA model can be activities. IT investments generate value in used to identify the business operations and relation to the policy and administrative general goals of an IT investment in most setting in which they operate. The goals and government agencies. Local governments, business processes provide links between for example, do not typically have defense how the technology operates and the and national security operations. The interactions with stakeholders that generate supporting documents that form part of the value. The analysis, therefore, includes Business Reference Model contain linking the investment to the relevant descriptions of each of the components. government goals, operations, and business These descriptions can be used to clarify processes. meaning and help identify which compo- nents are linked to a particular IT invest- This linking process is more complex than it ment. may appear, requiring a comprehensive and reasonably detailed picture of government While comprehensive, this FEA model is not goals and operations. Such a picture will the only enterprise architecture model that ensure that all the relevant links between may be used. There are a number of the technology and business processes will comparable models or business process be identified. Many government IT frameworks that could work as well, such as investments have potential links across those developed for the EU, the UK, Hong many agencies and processes. The Kong, and Malaysia.7 The National Washington State Digital Archives, for Association of State Chief Information example, collects records from hundreds of Officers (NASCIO) has an enterprise state and local agencies. The Merkava architecture model, adapted for US state project in Israel will eventually involve all governments, that may also be used. The government agencies. The Pennsylvania IES European Commission also suppor ts supports human resources management, additional framework activity through the budgeting, and other administrative Athena Project, which has published similar functions for all executive agencies in the documents.8 Commonwealth. The relevant business process setting of an IT investment, Using this model, the analysis proceedsby therefore, can be quite extensive. To deal identifying where the IT investment links to with this contingency, this part of the government business. This linking can be framework is based on just such a based on the new technology’s stated comprehensive picture. This is a useful goals, organizational location, and intended analysis strategy because it helps draw operational profile. The detailed attention to value generating aspects of the descriptions of each Business Reference investment that might be missed because Model component are useful in identifying they result from indirect effects or complex these links. If needed, those responsible for interactions across many agencies or the analysis can enlist a team of IT and processes. CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 14
  • 21. Figure 10. Elements in the FEA Business Reference Model Services for Citizens Community and social services Correctional activities Defense and national security Disaster management Economic development Education Energy Environmental management Purpose of Science and innovation Health Government Income security International affairs & commerce Law enforcement Judicial activities Natural resources Transportation Workforce management Financial management * Information& technology management * Mode of Delivery Government Service Delivery Financial Vehicles Mechanisms used to achieve Direct Services to Clients* Financial assistance Knowledge creation & Management Credit & insurance purpose Public Goods Creation Transfers to local governments Regulatory compliance & enforcement Support Service Delivery Legislative relations Public affairs Government Regulatory development Controls & oversight Operations Support Functions Planning & resource allocation * Revenue collection Internal risk management & mitigation General government Management of Government Resources Resource Management Supply chain management * Human resource management Administrative management Financial management * Functions Information& technology management * operational experts to help ensure all bidding continues until the low bid remains relevant links are identified. unchanged for a predetermined time (e.g., five minutes), closing the auction. The low To illustrate how to use the model, we price bidder wins the contract. The entire marked several of the components in Figure auction takes place in public view and is 10 with asterisks. The asterisks mark an recorded in detail. example of the business links we identified for an IT investment project in the Merkava For an illustrative example, consider the case study used for this framework: an procurement of new police radios for a law online reverse auction system for enforcement agency. Based on the nature of procurement. The agency conducting the the e-procurement system and the online auction sets the terms of a procure- component descriptions, we see it as linked ment, publishes them, and qualifies vendors to the five marked components in Figure 10: as potential bidders. At a predetermined law enforcement, financial management, time, a Web site is opened for bidding. All supply chain management, direct service to qualified vendors can then submit clients (vendors), and planning and re- authenticated price bids to a public space source allocation. on the site, visible to all other vendors. The CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 15
  • 22. 2. Links to Business Processes The list could be extended for fur ther analysis by adding deployment of the radios, training for users (human resource Making further links to business processes management), and evaluation of the means connecting the larger goal or impacts of the new radios use in the function from the Business Reference agencies and business processes where Model to specific activities identifiable as installed. To keep this example business processes. For this step, picking manageable, however, we are limiting the the appropriate level of detail is important. analysis to the processes listed below. The Choosing too general or too fine-grained a components identified from Figure 10 are process analysis will tend to obscure linked to the business processes in the rows stakeholder interactions that are necessary of Table 1 below. to identify public value. For this step in the analysis, we recommend another enterprise Identifying the business processes leads to architecture tool: the Zachman Framework. 9 two key questions: (1) How does a business The descriptions in the first two rows of the process generate increased public value? Zachman Framework (Scope and Business and (2) For whom? A way of answering the Model) are a good guide for the most useful first question is recorded in the third column level of detail. of Table 1. Our analysis of public value generating mechanisms is shown in the This method identifies several business discussion of value impact mechanisms processes for the e-procurement example. below. They include: determining communication needs for E. What Kinds of Public the law enforcement agencies Value are Produced? budgeting for the procurement Identifying the linkages between business recruiting and qualifying vendors processes and public value generators described above carries the analysis a conducting the auction critical step farther: from how the IT changes a business process to the impact of those paying the vendors changes for a par ticular public or Table 1. Business Component, Process, and Value Mechanism Business Component Business Process Public Value Mechanism Law enforcement conduct auction citizen - type 3 Financial management budget for procurement citizen - type 3 citizen - type 3 Supply chain management qualify vendors for auction vendor - type 1 citizen - type 3 Planning & resource allocation deter mine communication needs gov't staf f - type 1 Direct ser vice to clients conduct auction vendor - type 1 Financial management pay vendors vendor - type 1 CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 16
  • 23. stakeholders. That step is accomplished by a corporation’s integrity and assets on looking to the value of the impact in terms of behalf of stockholders, public managers the interests of one or another stakeholder. and elected officials have a parallel So the framework includes an analysis responsibility for government on behalf of scheme for taking into account interests that the public. Recent financial scandals in the can apply to the full range of stakeholders. US have demonstrated how lack of The framework employs these six basic stewardship in major corporations (e.g., kinds of interests: Enron, WorldCom) can destroy their financial value. The government officials in Financial – impacts on current or our cases expressed a similar stewardship anticipated income, asset values, responsibility in terms of, for example, using liabilities, entitlements, and other IT to increase transparency and aspects of wealth or risks to any of the accountability. Public surveys of trust in above government show that citizens have similar stewardship expectations of government.10 Political – impacts on personal or Clearly this list goes well beyond the internal corporate influence on government efficiency or service quality impacts of an IT actions or policy, role in political affairs, investment. Of course, attending to this or influence in political parties or expanded concept of value raises many prospects for current or future public problems of definition and measurement. office However, our case research and results from many other kinds of inquiry show the Social – impacts on family or community importance of this more comprehensive relationships, social mobility, status, and treatment of value and interests. Many of the identity. measurements and data implied by these interest types are found in existing ROI Strategic – impacts on economic or methods as well. However, none of the political advantage or oppor tunities, methods we reviewed for this white paper goals, and resources for innovation or cover the full range represented here. planning Working with this expanded range of value types represents one impor tant contribution of this framework. Ideological – impacts on beliefs, moral or ethical commitments, alignment of It is also clear from this way of describing government actions or policies or social public value that it supplements rather than outcomes with beliefs, or moral or replaces methods that assess the efficiency ethical positions gains or savings returns captured by government agencies internally. For ex- Stewardship – impacts on the public’s ample, it seems safe to say that a view of government officials as faithful Department of Motor Vehicle’s internal cost stewards or guardians of the value of savings from putting license renewals online the government itself in terms of public are invisible and largely irrelevant to trust, integrity, and legitimacy drivers. These savings would have no detectable impact on overall tax burdens or This last interest—stewardship—is benefits resulting from a shift of government deliberately not included in the ideology resources to some other service. The categor y, though it could logically fit there. information about the savings, however, is Setting it off separately emphasizes its another matter. If government officials make importance in the overall public value some political use of the cost savings framework. Just as corporate managers and information, that would represent strategic directors are responsible for stewardship of value to those officials or to their political CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 17
  • 24. allies. The public learning about the savings thinking and include multiple opinions might also improve their opinion of the and information sources government’s stewardship, fairness, or other ideological value. Identifying multiple stakeholder roles, internal and external to the organization setting (e.g., internal user, customer, F. Who Receives Value? vendor, developer, manager, oversight, politician, taxpayer, analyst, advocate, The Stakeholder Analysis. etc.) Identifying stakeholder expectations, Completing the analysis of value impacts requires identifying those with an interest in influence potential, past and future the value generating process: i.e., the par ticipation possibilities, and level of stakeholders. The kind of stakeholder interest analysis required for this task has three main parts: (1) identifying the persons or In this kind of analysis, continuing reference groups (including organizations) whose to the nature of the investment and impact interests are potentially affected, mechanisms will help produce the needed (2) identifying what their specific interests focus and detail.11 may be, and (3) assessing their role and potential influence in the deliver y of public The results of a stakeholder analysis have value. The first two par ts are necessary for implications for value assessment and for the analysis of value impacts and possible understanding their potential to influence assessment strategies and so are discussed the investment project. These results can be here. The third part is more relevant to the presented in ways that show the multiple risk analysis discussed in more detail in dimensions used in the analysis. An section III.H below. example of results from a hypothetical stakeholder analysis is shown in Figure 11. Identifying stakeholders for the framework will depend on in-depth knowledge of the This figure combines data for 14 context of the investment and the agencies stakeholders’ roles (SA = Stakeholder A, involved in its development and use. etc.) and times of possible influence in a Typically, stakeholder analysis engages a project’s lifecycle. This kind of display group of participants with extensive illustrates some of the complexities of knowledge of the political and stakeholder analysis and the possibilities for organizational setting of the investment interactions among different stakeholder and, hopefully, with experience in this kind groups. A more complete analysis would of analysis. Because the analysis is so include estimates of the stakeholder’s context-dependent, there are no standard influence capabilities and specific interests processes to follow. There are in the project development and outcomes. consistencies, however, among the many These issues are discussed in more detail in versions of stakeholder analysis methods the section on risk analysis (section III.H). found in the management, planning, and assessment literature. These include: To focus on stakeholder interests, the illustration in Table 2 below shows how the Involving multiple participants with wide results of a simple stakeholder analysis can knowledge of the stakeholder be linked to the business process, value environment types, and mechanisms. Looking widely to identify all relevant The business processes identified in Table 2 stakeholders through brainstorming and on page 20 link to a partial list of related methods to stimulate divergent stakeholder types in the columns: citizens at CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 18
  • 25. Figure 11. Stakeholder Analysis Matrix12 Type of Participation Inform Consult Partnership Control Initiation Identification SA SC SI SE SH SD Planning SK SB SJ Stage in Lifecycle SF SN Execution Implementation SM SG Controlling SL Monitoring and Evolution SO Closing SD SA Sx = Stakeholder X large, vendors, and elected officials. An assumptions about what advances the actual assessment would include a more interests of those staff members. A success- detailed list of stakeholders. The value ful procurement system would provide types most likely to map onto each stake- political value and some strategic advan- holder type are entered in the cells. The tage to elected officials, as well as enhance basis for this mapping is linking the nature their reputation as good stewards of public of the value as understood in that context resources. with detailed knowledge of the stakeholder groups. This part of the assessment can include data collection about the interests G. How to Demonstrate the and expectations of stakeholders through Value? Identifying Variables interviews, surveys, or focus groups if needed. The entries in the column for the and Methods. citizens at large, for example, are based on the assumption that their interests in Using the framework up to this point has government stewardship would be served identified many kinds of data relevant to by the e-procurement system. While a assessing public value. The next step is to reasonable assumption, this could be choose the specific variables or points of confirmed by collecting opinion data from a observation for collecting the assessment sample of citizens, or relying on previous data. This is as much a practical problem as opinion research. Similarly, the entries in the an analytical one. Many variables may be column for government IT staff are based on CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 19
  • 26. Table 2. Stakeholder Value Matrix Stakeholders Business Value Impact Citizens at Elected Vendors Process Generator Type Large Officials Budget for intrinsic 3 stewardship procurement Deter mine intrinsic, ideology, political, 3 needs ef fectiveness stewardship strategic Qualify ef ficiency, ideology, financial, political, 1,3 vendors intrinsic stewardship strategic strategic ef ficiency, political, Conduct ideology, financial, intrinsic, 1,3 strategic, auction stewardship strategic ef fectiveness stewardship ef ficiency, financial, political, Pay vendors 1,3 stewardship intrinsic strategic stewardship relevant for each combination of ROI methods described below include many stakeholder and value type. A few variables variables and additional methods that can that would be relevant to this example are be helpful in that task. However, the more shown in Table 3. the choice of variables can be tailored to the specific public value context, the more valid This table illustrates two important aspects and persuasive the assessment is likely to of its role in the framework and assessment be. process. First, it is highly unlikely that applying the framework to any IT investment An actual public value assessment should would lead to variables in all, or even most be based, of course, on the best available of the cells of this matrix. This matrix can be information. But actual assessments take thought of as an heuristic device, prompting place in practical settings of limited questions about what might be useful and resources and access to data, plus being available variables for each row and column par t of the additional work needed for without expecting to fill them. The second is internal returns and costs. The priority that identifying a specific variable relies on setting described in the risk analysis section combining information about stakeholder can narrow the field to only the most interests, the value type, the impact important public value outcomes. The mechanisms, and the context. This is a section below describes additional complex and demanding process. This strategies for choosing the appropriate section offers additional guidance on variables and analysis methods. choosing the best public return variables for a given assessment. In addition, the other CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 20
  • 27. Table 3. Stakeholder Variables by Type Stakeholder Impact Variables Value Type Citizens at Large Vendors Elected Officials Financial local economic increased revenue development Political suppor t from vendors positive media coverage Social enhanced reputation in agencies receiving radios Ideological increase level of market enhanced reputation competition for promoting market competition increase in citizen access to infor mation about procurement: greater transparency Strategic increased market share enhanced reputation for being moder n & progressive increased knowledge about competition Stewardship increased trust in reputation for frugality gover nment & good management 1. Variables and Analysis The scope of this framework, as applied to a particular IT project, could encompass a Methods very wide range of data types. Many kinds of quantitative data from financial sources, The choices of variables and analysis operations research, and surveys are methods for the empirical par ts of a public appropriate for statistical analysis, value assessment should be considered modeling, and simulations. Many of the together. In terms of basic measurement and social, political, and intrinsic value returns analytical methodology, what constitutes an can be expressed in normalized scales, or appropriate analysis depends, in part, on may best be revealed in qualitative terms or the types of data and variables involved. in simple dimensions that are not suitable CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 21
  • 28. for much quantitative manipulation. To help requires an inference, since value does not guide the assessment, given the very large stalk about wearing a label. Valid inferences number of possible public return data types about value can be formed from qualitative and variables, the framework provides two as well as quantitative data, content kinds of resources. The first is a general analysis as well as statistics. Taking these scheme suggesting variable types and four principles into account, choices made sources for different value types (see Table about how a specific analysis proceeds 4). The second consists of summaries of the should be based on three criteria: 1) What approaches and variables available in a constitutes the best data? 2) What kind of range of existing ROI methods that can be analysis is appropriate to that type? 3) Who of value in completing an assessment (see will be the audience for the conclusions Table 5). reached? The best kind of data available will be specific to the operational and A wide range of possible public value data stakeholder context. The kinds of analysis can be identified by the methods presented appropriate to various data types are shown here. The framework approach is based on in summary form in Table 4.13 the assumption that virtually any kind of data can be useful in describing public Beyond these general considerations, the value creation, from the most precise choice of variables and analyses for an quantitative figures available from financial assessment can draw on a volume of or physical measurements, to material as existing work on ROI methods for guidance. diverse as the content of blogs or These methods, summarized in Table 5, vary observation of user or customer behavior. A widely in the number and type of variables conclusion about public value creation used, the scope of public value co nsidered, Table 4. Variable Type for Public Value Data Variable Type Examples Analysis Methods averages, totals, dif ferences, percents, parametric & financial data, time, age, nonparametric statistics ratio scale distance, frequency, transaction (cor relation, regression, etc.), volume simulation, time series, optimization averages (with assumptions), opinion scales, rating scales, frequencies, scale analysis, inter val scale grades, Liker t scales nonparametric statistics (x2, etc.), cluster analysis cor relation, frequencies, scaling ordinal scales rankings, rating scales analysis gender, ethnicity, location, frequencies, clustering, network nominal variables relationships, user behaviors analysis content analysis, word text/discourse data inter views, blogs, news repor ts frequency, semantic analysis user studies, field obser vation process maps, network obser vational data notes, photos, film/video analysis, behavior patter ns CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 22
  • 29. Table 5. Summary of Selected ROI Methods and Models Methods/Models Value Measuring Best Value Gar tner Social Retur n on Method Methodology, US Perfor mance Gover nment Investment, Descriptors Federal CIO Indicators Perfor mance REDF (US) Council (ODPM, UK) Framework Time Orientation prospective retrospective retrospective retrospective Time Frame cross sectional longitudinal mixed cross sectional* Institutional public private public public Focus Gover nment national/federal n /a local UK general Level general Project local gover nment IT social ser vices perfor mance Orientation programs orientation mixed, predominantly predominantly predominantly Variable Types predominantly quantitative quantitative quantitative quantitative +qualitative +qualitative highy general categories Variable quantitative, + examples & highly specific highly specific Specification employing suggestions indexes mixed mixed; many mixed inter nal & primarily inter nal, inter nal/exter nal inter nal and PROI Orientation exter nal some public with exter nal exter nal emphasis variables PROI Variable limited nar row, limited broad large & diverse Set limited to Analytical some method method fully method specified variable Methods suppor t specified definition Analytical unknown modest suppor t par tial suppor t not included Process Suppor t Risk Analysis included not included not included limited inclusion decision tool suppor t suppor t materials Decision Suppor t none included materials Presentation examples results matrices minor suggestions none Tools provided *Includes some longitudinal variables CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 23
  • 30. Table 5. Summary of Selected ROI Methods and Models (continued) Methods/Models Perfor mance MAREVA Demand and Public Ser vice Reference Model Method (Gover nment of Value Assessment Value Method, (US Federal Descriptors France) Model (Australia) Accenture Enter prise Architecture) retrospective Time Orientation prospective combined retrospective cross sectional* Time Frame cross sectional longitudinal mixed Institutional public public public public Focus Gover nment national-France national/general general national-US Level Project program IT general general Orientation perfor mance mixed, largely mixed, largely predominantly Variable Types mixed quantitative quantitative quantitative mixed categories mostly specific predominantly Variable largely specified and some perfor mance & variable Specification specified cost metrics categories mixed inter nal and primarily mixed, largely PROI Orientation exter nal; few inter nal, some mixed inter nal political public PROI Variable ver y large & limited large, diverse nar row, limited Set diverse Analytical highly specified & analysis method included not included Methods detailed specified Analytical highly specified & included included not included Process Suppor t detailed included Risk Analysis included not included n/a suppor t materials suppor t material included Decision Suppor t material included and guidelines materials Presentation standard par tial included par tial Tools displays *Includes some longitudinal variables CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 24
  • 31. and the level of analytical detail and technique included. Some are intended for use prospectively, in planning for and justifying an investment. Others are aimed primarily at showing impacts of investments after the fact. They also vary in terms of the degree to which they deal with both internal and public value results of the investment, and whether they are designed specifically for IT or government investments generally. The summary of these methods or models in Table 5 can help in the selection of variables and analysis to fit the IT project. The SROI (Social Return on Investment) model, the only private sector oriented one in the summary, is included for its special features. Its private orientation refers not to the commercial sector but to a private philanthropic orientation. The method was developed by a San Francisco foundation to assess its social and economic development programs. It illustrates not so much how to assess an IT investment but rather how to deal with personal and community impacts in a systematic and comprehensive way. CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 25
  • 32. H. What Can Interfere With mitigation strategy. To identify and evaluate threats, we return to the overall value or Prevent Public Returns? proposition schematic presented earlier (Figure 12). The Risk Analysis. In this figure, we identified two kinds of risk: Government IT innovation is risky business. 1) development risk and 2) benefit risk. Evidence from many surveys and cases Development risk, simply put, is risk that the suggests that the threats and other development and implementation of the IT challenges of IT projects often overwhelm will fail outright or will not perform as the capabilities of the developers and designed and intended. Benefit risk applies implementers. Data from the private sector to whether the IT investment will fail to tells a similar story. For this paper, we focus produce the envisioned benefits in spite of our attention not on the full range of risks to being successfully developed and government IT project success, but implemented. For the public value concentrate on the public return aspects of framework we focus on benefit risk. Of that problem. course any threat to the development of the IT is an indirect threat to public returns. The distinction between the public return However, several of the ROI methods and more generic aspects of risk analysis is described below include adequate analysis not, however, a simple one. The approach is methods for development risk. These the same: identify and evaluate threats, methods do not deal adequately, however, develop and evaluate response methods, with the additional threats and issues in and produce a summary analysis and benefit risk. Figure 12. Public Return on Investment Value Chain Secondary Performance Public Gain Cost * * * Business Goal Internal Direct Public-at- IT or Problem Investment * Agency * Citizen * Large Returns Benefit Benefit Private * Cost (?) Policy/ * Vendor/ * Electoral Industry Benefit Benefit * * * Development Risk * General Economic * Benefit Risk Development Direct Benefit Flow Indirect Benefit Flow Direct Benefit Accumulation Indirect Benefit Accumulation CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 26
  • 33. Table 6. Examples of Threats to Public Value Sources of Threats Threat Type Theory Failure Exogenous Factors overestimate of public demand confounding or cancelling leads to non-use of ser vice; ef fects: down-tur n in economy flawed understanding of impact cancels financial advantages; To creation of retur ns mechanisms; misunderstanding changes in gover nment counter of stakeholder interests stewardship outcomes; political scandal cancels positive media repor ts lack of or er roneous baseline indirect and second-order data; mis-specification of ef fects undetectable; data outcome variables; inappropriate inaccessible due to privacy or To detection of retur ns analysis methods or models; sensitivity accounting systems based on inappropriate data definitions and models The benefit risks associated with the managers, and policy makers. This will creation and assessment of public returns provide a basis for accurate estimates and come from threats to the creation of the concentrating attention on the threats with returns and to their detection. And there the highest combined loss-likelihood appear to be two main sources of those estimates. In some cases, the value, cost, threats: one is what we will call “theory and loss-likelihood estimates can be failure” and the other is “exogenous factors.” quantified to yield decision tools for moving In theory failure, the underlying assumptions ahead with an investment. The displays in or theory on which the project is based are Figure 13 and Figure 14 on the next page, flawed or simply wrong. One such theory show such a result from the US Federal CIO failure caused the US Department of Council’s Value Measurement Method, Education to abandon a multi-million dollar which employs voting and other methods to pilot project for online college student prioritize and estimate quantitative values financial aid administration. Developed for cost and their related risks. The decision without significant par ticipation from college boundaries shown in the figures come from financial aid officers, the system did not management decisions or some other attract supporters and generated much deliberative process.15 stakeholder resistance. 14 It is important to use both sources and types of benefits The threats due to difficulty in detecting threats in a full risk analysis, as suggested indirect or second-order effects deserve by the two-by-two array in Table 6. some added discussion. Public value outcomes can extend beyond those involved The risk analysis process can then use the in the direct interaction with government. For threats identified in this way to estimate the example, drivers are the direct beneficiaries potential loss or cost that each threat of an online license renewal system. represents and the likelihood of the threat However, the scope of possible indirect materializing. These estimates should be value outcomes and beneficiaries can be based to the extent possible on input from very broad. Residents in the neighborhoods stakeholders, analysts, users, developers, of the license renewal agencies will benefit CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 27
  • 34. Figure 13. Example of a Value-Risk Boundary Analysis Figure 14. Example of a Cost-Risk Boundary Analysis CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 28
  • 35. to some degree from reduced traffic one step can easily lead to revisions in congestion and pollution. Shopkeepers in conclusions or data collected at preceding that neighborhood may lose business for the steps. This is par ticularly so for the risk same reasons. Second order effects may be analysis steps in the process. It is not even more diffused and difficult to detect. feasible to complete the risk analysis for Learning to trust the online process for achieving any particular public value return license renewal, for example, can result in until the details about that return and how to more use and greater benefits from using assess it are known. Loops can occur in the other online services. process when a step produces unexpected or challenging results. For example, Since risks are tied both to stakeholders and identifying all related business processes possible value outcome variables, pursuing for a large, complex project may produce too this line of reasoning can lead to a very many results to carry forward in the large, and likely infeasible, list of risk analysis. That would require looping back to analysis factors and tasks. To work within reduce the scope. So the potential user resource constraints will require limiting the should view this process summary as a risk analysis to the most important value rough guide rather than a lock-step proce- variables and stakeholders. Setting priorities dure. for this kind of analysis will therefore be essential, and must be based on the goals of The process also represents a the project and stakeholder value estimates. comprehensive approach to public value assessment. We argue that all the steps are needed to ensure that the full range of I. Overview of Using the public value returns will be included in any assessment and report. Some small or very Framework. narrow projects, of course, may have limited public value potential and not require such The framework is a combination of individual an extensive review. But the research and analysis steps combined into an overall analysis leading to this framework have process or plan for public ROI assessment. A clearly demonstrated that the scope of summary of that overall process is shown in public value possible from government IT Figure 15 on pages 30-31. As shown there, investments can far exceed what an the process follows the arrows, starting with internally focused, financial assessment will a clear understanding of the larger context reveal. Unless assessments use a much of public value generation. The investment broader view, as represented in this goals that emerge from the investment plans framework and other models cited above, and understanding of the context link to the the full value of government IT investments business processes and public value impact will not come to light. It also seems likely mechanisms. Analysis of the impact that this same kind of analytical framework mechanisms and public return types leads would be useful for other forms of to specific impacts listed in the stakeholder government investments. We did not, interest analysis. Identifying the interests however, explore that possibility for this and impacts will then guide choosing public report. value variables, analysis methods, risk analysis, and ultimately, reporting tools and techniques. For simplicity, this process diagram is somewhat idealized. It shows only the basic linear path through the various steps. In practice, the actual path is rather more likely to have backtracking and loops. Learning at CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 29
  • 36. Figure 15. The Public Value Framework Overview Secondary Performance Public Gain Cost * * * Business Goal Internal Direct Public-at- IT or Problem Investment * Agency * Citizen * Large Returns Benefit Benefit Private * Cost (?) Policy/ * Vendor/ * Electoral Industry Benefit Benefit * * * Development Risk * General * Benefit Risk Economic Development Direct Benefit Flow Indirect Benefit Flow Direct Benefit Accumulation Indirect Benefit Accumulation Business Reference Model Value Impact Types Business Component Business Process Public Value Mechanism Law enforcement conduct auction citizen - type 3 Financial management budget for procurement citizen - type 3 citizen - type 3 Supply chain management qualify vendors for auction vendor- type 1 Planning & resource deter mine communication citizen - type 3 a l l o c a ti o n needs gov't staf f - type 1 D i r e c t s e r v i c e t o c l i e n ts conduct auction vendor - type 1 Financial management pay vendors vendor - type 1 Public Return Types F = Financial P = Political So = Social I = Ideological St = Strategic (Continued on next page) Sw = Stewardship CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 30
  • 37. Figure 15. The Public Value Framework Overview (continued) Identify Risk Risk Mitigation Strategies Analysis Results & Reporting Value Variable and Analysis Analysis Selection Stakeholder Impact Variables Value Type Citizens at Large Vendors Elected Officials Financial local economic increased revenue development Political suppor t from vendors positive media coverage Social enhanced reputation in agencies receiving fur niture Ideological increase level of enhanced reputation market competition for promoting market competition increase in citizen access to infor mation about procurement: greater transparency Strategic increased market enhanced reputation share being moder n & progressive increased knowledge about competition Stewardship increased trust in reputation for frugality gover nment & good management Stakeholders Business Value Impact Citizens at Vendors Elected Process Generator Type Large Officials Budget for procurement intrinsic 3 stewardship (Continued from previous page) Deter mine intrinsic, 3 ideology, political, needs ef fectiveness stewardship strategic Qualify ef ficiency, ideology, financial, political, vendors intrinsic 1,3 stewardship strategic strategic Conduct ef ficiency, ideology, financial, political, auction intrinsic, 1,3 stewardship strategic strategic, ef fectiveness stewardship ef ficiency, financial, political, Pay vendors 1,3 stewardship intrinsic strategic stewardship CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 31
  • 38. J. How to Summarize and results, with the estimated relative magnitudes as well. The down arrow in the Present Results? stewardship row for vendors indicates a potential loss to vendors due to This framework for public value assessment transparency increases that diminish presents both problems and opportunities opportunities for some forms of influencing for summarizing and repor ting. The procurement. Whether this is a positive or problems arise from the large number and negative result overall may not be clear. types of results that the assessment can produce. For presentation to policy makers For the more quantitative results, where the and non-technical audiences, the results public value variables lend themselves to should be as simple and accessible as calculation and statistical analysis, many possible. Simple char ts and summary tables presentation and summary methods are are best for this purpose. For multiple available. Clear and simple visuals are stakeholders and value variables, the generally preferable to tables of quantitative number and complexity of charts may data for non-technical audiences. For cross become a problem. This section discusses sectional data, a column char t, such as in some of the specific issues and alternative Figure 16, can be used to present the same methods available. comparative public value data converted to a ten-point index or scale. For qualitative variables, the presentation of results can show the presence of a value Such a multidimensional chart can be result, and information about magnitude and difficult to interpret, however, and some ROI direction, if relevant and available. Using methods use the so-called radar char t for the information in Table 3 (page 21), a the same data, shown in Figure 17. This summary display similar to Table 7 below kind of char t provides a clearer image of the can present the types and direction of pattern of results for each stakeholder type and value dimension. However, this kind of Table 7. Qualitative Display of Stakeholder Impacts Stakeholder Impact Variables Value Type Citizens at Large Vendors Elected Officials Financial Political Social Ideological Strategic Stewardship CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 32
  • 39. Figure 16. Stakeholder Impact Column Chart Public Value Index by Stakeholder Groups 10 9 8 Public Value Index Financial 7 6 Political 5 Social 4 Ideological 3 Strategic 2 Stewardship 1 0 citizens at large vendors elected officials Figure 17. Stakeholder Impact Radar Chart Financial 10 Stew ardship 5 Political 0 Strategic Social Ideological Citizens at Large Vendors Elected Officials CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 33
  • 40. Figure 18. Portfolio Risk and Value Comparisons - DVAM Financial and Social Worth display becomes much more difficult to example of this form of results presentation interpret if the number of axes or is shown in Figure 19 for the Arizona stakeholders is large. Depar tment of Revenue. Overall, the performance shown is improving from 1999 The use of indexes can also be used to to 2001 and 2002 to 2003 when the compare the relative risk and value of organization is creating increased outcomes alternative investments on a value scale if and doing so more cost effectively. the variables can be combined into a single index. The Demand and Value Assessment Documentation of results through this kind Model (Australia) provides guidance on how of chart or visual device should include to produce such a public value index and background material about methods and use it for comparison purposes. An example measurement issues. This framework of that kind of result is shown in Figure 18 advocates the use of a wide range of data above. and analytical styles, many of which are considered controversial or suspect in some For cross sectional assessments, more environments. Decision makers and analysts elaborate presentations are available, often have deep-seated biases about the par ticularly if the value variables are validity of qualitative data or social statistics, indexed or based on quantitative data. The or other non-traditional material for ROI Accenture Public Service Value Model (PSV) analysis. Those performing a public value can use historical data about government assessment must, therefore, be thorough in program effectiveness and costs to show providing rationale and supporting material changes in performance over time. 16 The for all results. They must be attentive to the model is based on the principle that public issues of interpretation and validity that may value is created when both outcome results affect how key members of their audience and cost effectiveness increases. An respond to the assessment results. CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 34
  • 41. Figure 19. Historical Performance Change Model (PSV - Accenture) PSV Agency Performance Matrix (FY 1996 – FY 2003) 10% Higher 8% 6% 1997 4% 1996 Outcomes 2% 2001 AVERAGE 0% 2003 SCORE -20% -15% -10% 1998 -5% 0% 5%2002 10% 15% 20% -2% 2000 -4% 1999 -6% Lower -8% -10% Lower Cost Effectiveness Higher The principles for SROI analysis used by the 4. Replicable - The framework should REDF organization provide valuable result in similar conclusions when guidance for the conduct of the kind of applied by different practitioners who assessment described here. These use similar parameters (such as the principles can be applied to traditional ROI scope and options). Thus, results analysis as well, but seem particularly well should also be comparable over time suited to the public value issues involved and among organizations, at least with this framework and related methods. among analyses that use similar options The principles make an appropriate bridge and where the options are clearly noted. from the general ideas and methods presented here to the difficult work of 5. Transparent - The process by which the carrying out public value and ROI analysis was prepared, and the context assessment in practice. in which results should be seen, should be transparent. SROI Design Principles: 17 6. Credible - The results should be 1. Feasible - A basic SROI Analysis should credible to investors, purchasers, be something any organization can mangers, and other users. afford to prepare itself. 7. Integrative - The framework should 2. Accessible - The process should be relate to, and where possible integrate understandable and relevant to with, other approaches to understand organizations at various stages of social value. development. 8. Avoids misuse - Proper application of 3. Rigorous - The method should be the framework should reduce the risk of substantive and well-executed, and misuse of, or misleading, SROI numbers based upon premises that are validated or analyses. by informed practitioners. CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 35
  • 42. 9. Open source - The framework should continuously be informed and improved by the collective wisdom of practitioners in an inclusive, iterative process. 10. Useful - Applying the framework should result in information that enables users to make decisions or take actions that further their goals. CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 36
  • 43. IV. Reflections on the Framework and the Value of Public Value T his framework grows from the rather simple principle: that the value of a government’s investment in IT should be of assessing public value that matches their greater scope and complexity, a way that can build the needed public support and guide assessed from the point of view of the development. In this light, the cost of using a public it serves. That principle leads us to framework such as this should be easily identify two distinct but equally important justified. Moreover, the new knowledge types of public value: delivering benefits about public value possible from such an directly to citizens and enhancing the value assessment can help guide other forms of of government itself as a public asset. investment and contribute to long-term From this seemingly simple beginning government improvement. grows the rather high level of complexity involved in working through this framework and its potential application. That complexity derives in part from the way these ideas radically expand the possible scope of inquiry needed to identify and document public value creation. That expanded scope brings with it a host of measurement problems that emerge when the many social and political outcomes come into play. The cost of this expanded and more complex assessment can be quite high. So government executives and IT planners can rightly question whether assessing public value is wor th the effort. Part of the answer may be that they will have no choice. As we noted earlier, elected officials have begun insisting on more comprehensive cost and return analyses for IT investment proposals. Conventional approaches to ROI analysis may simply be inadequate for these increased demands. More importantly, however, the desire for a more comprehensive and robust justification for new IT investments reflects their greater complexity and ambition. The low-hanging fruit available from earlier IT investments, such as establishing Web presence and automating simple service transactions, has typically been harvested. More substantial improvements in government are now possible by exploiting the integrative and transformative potential of IT, but they require much larger investments. These projects require a way CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 37
  • 44. V. Appendix: The Research Basis for the Public Value Framework A. Consultative Workshop what should be done, but not on what has already been done. On July 13, 2005, the Center for Technology Governments have trouble harvesting in Government, in collaboration with SAP , savings, which often get moved around hosted a consultative workshop on the budget. assessing public return on government investments in IT. A select international There is no straightforward quantitative group of 22 experts from government, bottom line value measure for ROI in academia, and the private sector were public sector. invited to meet with researchers from CTG to discuss the core issues and themes that Government is multidimensional. Non- make assessing public ROI for IT linear, complex interactions among investments such a complex and difficult benefits—hard to measure results and problem. The workshop results were used to link to specific programs or inform CTG’s next steps for the project. The technologies, i.e., proving the causal workshop results were used to help develop relationship between the two. a preliminary framework for conducting ROI analysis in the government sector and ROI requires advanced project design the case studies research approach. management and portfolio management This approach was employed to identify and skills that are often lacking. select the five case studies, which were used to refine the preliminary framework Comprehensive ROI analysis can and develop the white paper. The lists below greatly increase transparency of summarize the key issues that emerged government decisions and investment from the workshop that characterize the results. This level of transparency is a complexity of the issue. Workshop “risk” in and of itself, increasing the par ticipants provided their recommenda- probability for embarrassment and tions in the form of key themes for CTG to criticism leading to loss of support. explore in the follow-on research. ROI is done in a vacuum. Not focused on the strategic investment. 1. Key Issues Characterizing the Complexity of Assessing Lack of longer-term tracking and Public ROI for Government IT assessment makes it difficult to build a measurement model. Investments It is hard to evaluate IT ROI elsewhere in Lack of incentives to assess public ROI. the government enterprise because the There may be no consequences for outcome frameworks (intersectors) absence of ROI or other demonstration aren’t established. of results. Lack of historical perspective and data. Government tends to be prospective (not retrospective), so it tends to focus on CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 38
  • 45. 2. Themes to Explore in the Por tfolio management is a big theme in Research current discussion of IT management. As applied to public ROI, implies looking at the overall picture, not just a slice of Value and impact measurements should the project. take into consideration the cost impacts on other business processes, by ROI methods must accommodate or elimination or changes in the way we provide for shared outcomes that cross work together. over existing stovepipes. Look for efficiency and cost-reduction in While benefits are measured in terms of non-IT areas. IT is an enabler, and the traditional (financial), political and social purpose of IT is to enable other things, factors, risks are measured based on including changing the culture of other factors: (1) technical, organization, strategies, etc. Thus, it is (2) organizational, (3) time, and (4) important to see how IT is enabling political. returns in other areas. Find relationships between inputs and Assessment should include attention to outcomes. Once indicators are devel- how particular IT investment enables IT oped cause and effect relationships can elsewhere. ROI analysis must get be explored using econometric beyond evaluating things on a more methods. traditional basis to include questions of outcomes for broader range of Value of IT investment may be enabling beneficiaries or stakeholders. change Social cost-benefit analysis and political Find ways to ensure follow-through in considerations involve different people delivery and assessment of government making different decisions. It is programs. important to understand how this may impact the IT aspect of ROI calculations. Explore what are the attributes of a good public ROI model: measurable in Need more attention to risks as well as different ways, creates expectations of benefits. Assessment should include performance and assessment at both IT attention to par ticular government and program levels, is integrated with sensitivity to risk factors. the budget process, and is included in a yearly review. Method development should include system analysis that engages a broad scope of operations. Analysis should include questions about leadership, feasibility, political support as well as results/outcomes, how constituents and opponents will react. Focus assessment on question of getting ROI on the programs, not the IT; IT doesn’t deliver the outcomes. CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 39
  • 46. B. Case Study Summaries18 implementation. The integration provided by the Merkava ERP provides an important par t of the infrastructure for operations in the three upper layers of the initiative and 1. The Government of Israel’s contributes to the returns that they deliver as Merkava Project well. The success of implementation effor ts to date and the growing record of returns, both internal to the government and the Some government IT initiatives focus public, suggest that the remaining roll-out narrowly on a specific technical problem, will continue as planned and the like enabling mobile data communication or accumulation of returns will continue to Web-based transactions. Others are driven grow. by a broader, more ambitious goal, to use IT as a tool to transform government. The Merkava Project in the Government of Israel 2. The Austrian Federal Budgeting (GOI) is most cer tainly one of these transformative effor ts. It is transformative in and Bookkeeping System its own right, as an effort to restructure the financial, logistics, and human resource How a government obtains value from its components of governmentwide administra- citizens and external public environment tion into an integrated ERP system. Merkava and how it returns value to them are linked is also par t of a comprehensive e-govern- directly to its financial management systems. ment initiative that includes the ERP system These systems are crucial links in the flows as one of five layers of new technologies of revenues to the government and the flow and operational systems for enhanced of expenditures and services back to the internal operations and improved benefits public. Improving financial management, and services to citizens. These layers are therefore, has the potential to produce par t of a multi-year strategic plan, described significant returns in terms of both greater in 2002 by Prime Minister Sharon: “The e- internal efficiencies and enhanced public government project is an expression of the returns. These were the goals of the government goal to provide state-of-the-ar t Austrian Federal Budgeting and strategic systems, while affecting social and Bookkeeping System project initiated in economic national targets. We believe that 1997 by the Minister of Finance and this infrastructure constitutes a better supported by the Chancellor (Prime Minis- tomorrow and that tomorrow is already ter). The goal of the project was to redesign here.” and integrate the electronic workflow of the federal government’s budget and From its beginnings in 1999 to the present, bookkeeping processes. The strategy they the Merkava ERP project has been a very chose was to implement a single ERP large undertaking. It is described by the software standard throughout the federal Ministry of Finance as the largest single IT government, along with the adoption of project in Israeli history. It has been necessary legal authority. The result was implemented or is in the roll-out process in that, by 2005, the Ministry of Finance 30 government units (out of 100), and successfully consolidated 85 bookkeeping currently supports approximately 2,300 units across the federal government into one users. The 2005-2007 IT master plan calls federally owned, but privately operated, for the Merkava system to be implemented agency. in 90% of the government’s offices during the planning period. Work on the other four The consolidation and integration produced layers in the overall eGov initiative has been immediate and tangible benefits in terms of progressing in parallel with the Merkava internal efficiencies. These resulted from the CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 40
  • 47. implementation of a new standardized work is also the foundation of the public value process for accounting and budgeting proposition guiding the Digital Archives throughout the federal government, with program: that the state has the constitutional reduced work process steps and processing and statutory mandate to preserve and time. As of 2005, the legal consolidation of provide access to records of enduring legal the numerous bookkeeping depar tments and historical significance. into one agency, along with the technical and organizational implementation of the The growth of electronic records in ERP has resulted in annual savings of , government agencies in the 1990’s pre- approximately €30 million. In terms of these sented a challenge to the State Archives’ returns to the government itself, the project ability to fulfill its mission, since it lacked an is clearly a resounding success. effective program and technology to deal with records in these new formats. The In terms of broader public returns, the Washington State Digital Archives (WSDA), project goals went beyond internal financial a program within the Office of Secretary of management efficiencies. The aim of State, is the response to that challenge. It restructuring the Austrian Federal was initiated by the Office of the Secretary Accounting and Bookkeeping system was of State, with initial planning begun by the much more than simply an “IT investment” then State Archivist in March of 2000. The from the very beginning. The bookkeeping initiative was taken up in 2001 as a priority system was part of a larger effort to imple- by the newly elected Secretary of State Sam ment the SAP ERP technology throughout Reed, and included in the Secretary of the Austrian Federal Government as part of State’s 2001-2007 Strategic Plan. The a governmentwide public management project was subsequently supported by the reform effort. The ERP technology was one state legislature and included in the State of part of a comprehensive strategy that Washington’s 2001-2003 Capital Budget. included legislative reform, governmentwide Construction of the physical hub of the reorganization and consolidation, and WSDA in Cheney, Washington, began in implementing a modern accounting and January 2003. budgeting standard across the government. Though the specific ERP technology was Beginning in mid-2001, the WSDA team just one element of a larger approach, began exploring a wide range of involving legal and organizational technologies and techniques for collection, strategies, the ERP technology played a access, and preservation. The results led to very important enabling role vis-à-vis the the custom development of a Web interface legal and organizational strategies. and database design that blended the latest technologies with traditional archival theory to create a first-of-its-kind digital records 3. The Washington State Digital repository for state government. The goal of Archives the program was to make the historical electronic records of Washington’s state and Washington State’s investment in digital local governments easily accessible, from archiving for government records provides a anywhere, at anytime. The initial vision and highly focused and successful example of value proposition were carried through a pursuing public value through information complex political and technical process to a technology. The job of collecting, functioning digital archiving program and preserving, and providing access to the facility delivering the promised public value. records of government is central to the The WSDA project team began with a clear mission of Washington’s Office of Secretary vision of the expected value of the Digital of State. That mission recognizes the Archives to both the government and fundamental importance of government citizens. In addition, it successfully identified record keeping in a democratic society. That the benefits that it needed to communicate CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 41
  • 48. to the state and local government agencies by implementing the necessary institutional that were keepers of public recorders in structures and policies to take fuller order to mobilize their support and advantage of this enterprise-level asset. par ticipation. The WSDA project demonstrates a strong connection between the initial high-level public value proposition 5. Service New Brunswick that motivated the project and its realization in the performance of WSDA itself. Service New Brunswick (SNB) is well-known internationally for its expertise in providing 4. The Commonwealth of multi-channel “single window” citizen access to government services as well as for Pennsylvania’s Integrated developing and maintaining geographic Enterprise System information databases. SNB’s award- winning approach provides one-stop- shopping for different government services From the beginning, the Commonwealth of on behalf of provincial and municipal Pennsylvania’s Integrated Enterprise government agencies, but also provides a System was much more than a technology linkage to the Canadian Federal project. The ERP implementation continued Government in a “joined up” government through three gubernatorial administrations model. SNB was launched in a time of high with consistent top level executive support; pressure from citizens for improved service eventually putting in place the technical delivery; today it serves the province infrastructure and enterprise standards for through its award winning service deliver y core administrative functions with improved model, and also and maybe more public value. Between early 2001 and importantly in the long run, through its mid-2004, the ERP implementation for the innovations in economic development. five business functions was completed for 53 Commonwealth agencies including all 49 The numbers behind SNB speak for of the agencies under the governor’s themselves; customer satisfaction numbers jurisdiction. are the highest in Canada going from about 50% in late 1980’s to 92% in 2005. These Immediate returns in the form of improved numbers require that responsible government operations were realized soon examinations of public value include SNB. after implementation and continue today. But there is more to this story than customer However, this infrastructure also provides satisfaction ratings. The essential par t of the the Commonwealth with capability that can public value story in this case is Service be fur ther leveraged to support additional New Brunswick (SNB) as a quasi- improvements in government operations governmental organization and its evolution that go well beyond direct improvements in as an integrated service provider and core administrative functions. economic development innovation. SNB is a public corporation with a single shareholder The Commonwealth has begun such efforts. - the government of New Brunswick. This The IES infrastructure provides public shareholder has guided SNB with this returns in the form of direct improvements in model throughout its existence: make public the efficiency and effectiveness of core service good business. administrative functions. This infrastructure also provides the basis for improvements in the back office operations of other service areas which, in turn, offer improved services to the public. The Commonwealth has recently taken steps to move in this direction CENTER FOR TECHNOLOGY IN GOVERNMENT—ADVANCING RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSIS FOR GOVERNMENT IT: A PUBLIC VALUE FRAMEWORK 42
  • 49. Endnotes 1 Expenditure data from: DG Information Society, European Commission; http://ec.europa.eu/idabc/en/ document/4336/5860; China: CCID Advisory (2005, May) http://www.ccidadvisory.com/ report_details.php?r_serial=229; India: Public Sector Technology and Management (2004, Jul 12) http:// www.pstm.net/ar ticle/index.php?articleid=236; U.S. Office of Management and Budget Web site: http:// www.whitehouse.gov/omb/egov/g-9-budget_highglights.html; Datamonitor. (2005, Jun). IT opportunities in state and local government: Five-year outlook for vendors. New York: Datamonitor. http://www.datamonitor.com/~3d016a3bb9db4c6cb608be617baf36f5~/Products/Free/Report/DMTC1150/ 010DMTC1150.pdf; also http://zdnetasia.com/news/business/0,39044229,39371070,00.htm http://www.publictechnology.net/modules.php?op=modload&name=News&file=ar ticle&sid=1920 2 Matthew Weigelt, “Senate committee questions e-gov ROI.” FCW (July 17, 2006), http://www.fcw.com/ ar ticle95291-07-17-06-Web&newsletter%3Dyes 3 View and download copies of the white paper and case study reports at www.ctg.albany.edu/projects/proi. 4 This terminology is consistent with recent work on assessing government IT investment. See for example: Center for Digital Government, Prove IT: The Disciplines of Harvesting Value from Public Sector Information Technology, 2006. (www.centerdigitalgovernment.com); and eGovernment Economics Project (eGEP): Measurement Framework Final Version. Prepared for the eGovernment Unit, DG Information Society and Media, European Commission, by Christiano Codagnone (RSO SPA) and Paulo Boccardelli (Luiss Manage- ment), May, 2006. 5 The Toxic Release Inventory is a publicly available data base maintained by the US Environmental Protection Agency that contains information on toxic chemical releases and other waste management activities reported annually by certain covered industry groups as well as federal facilities (http:// www.epa.gov/tri/). 6 These are taken from the Business Reference Model document, which contains considerable detail on the definitions and details of these components (http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/egov/documents/CRM.PDF). 7 See the European Interoperability Framework for Pan-European eGovernment Services, http:// europa.eu.int/scadplus/leg/en/lvb/l24226b.htm; The UK eGovernment Interoperability Framework, http:// www.govtalk.gov.uk/documents/eGIF%20v6_1(1).pdf; Malaysian Government Interoperability Framework (MyGIF), http://unpan1.un.org/intradoc/groups/public/documents/APCITY/UNPAN016393.pdf; Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSARG) Interoperability Framework, http:// www.bilgitoplumu.gov.tr/kdep/34/hongkongif_v1_0.pdf. 8 The NASCIO Enterprise Architecture materials are listed at http://www.nascio.org/publications/index.cfm. The Athena Project repor ts are available at http://www.athena-ip.org. 9 The Zachman Institute for Framework Advancement. http://www.zifa.com/ 10 See, for example, polling results at Zogby International (http://www.zogby.com/index.cfm), or The Pew Research Center for People and the Press (http://people-press.org/). 11 Additional information and suggestions for conducting stakeholder analyses can be found in these sources: http://www.ittoolkit.com/workbooks/qt_stake.pdf; http://www.stsc.hill.af.mil/crosstalk/2000/12/smith.html; http://www.boxesandarrows.com/view/understanding_organizational_stakeholders_for_design_success; http://www.ctg.albany.edu/publications/guides/smar tit2?chapter=11&section=5; http://www.ctg.albany.edu/ publications/guides/and_justice_for_all?chapter=8&section=2 12 Overseas Development Administration, Guidance Note on How to Do Stakeholder Analysis of Aid Projects and Programmes, Social Development Department, July 1995. More information on these data types and analysis methods can be found in social science research 13 method texts. See, for example, Earl Babbie, The Practice of Social Research, Tenth Ed. Belmont, CA: Wadswor th, 2004. 14 Stephen Burd. “Education Department Pulls the Plug on Novel Way to Deliver Financial Aid. Chronicle of Higher Education. Vol 46, No. 29 (March 24, 2000). See US Federal CIO Council Best Practices Committee. VMM How-To-Guide. http://www.cio.gov/docu- 15 ments/ValueMeasuring_Methodology_HowToGuide_Oct_2002.pdf 16 Accenture Public Service Value (PSV) Model, http://www.accenture.com/Global/Services/By_Industry/ Government/PublicGovernment.htm 17 A Framework for Approaches to SROI Analysis. http://www.redf.org/ 18 View and download copies of the white paper and case study reports at www.ctg.albany.edu/projects/proi. 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  • 50. Center for Technology in Government 187 Wolf Road, Suite 301 Albany, NY 12205 Phone: (518) 442-3892 Fax: (518) 442-3886 E-mail: info@ctg.albany.edu www.ctg.albany.edu