Steven Rattner
July 1, 2014
Understanding and Addressing
Income Inequality
2
3
Piketty’s Important New Book
4
Instant Bestseller
Source: NY Times bestsellers list May 11, 2014
5
But Weighty and Complex
Trends in Income and Wealthy Inequality
6
19.3%
4.1%
18.0%
2.8%
%
Note: Excludes capital gains
Source: Emmanuel Saez, Thomas Piketty
Record Income Inequality in the US
7
Wealth Is More Unequal Than Income
Source: Thomas Piketty
33.8%
17.4%
8
Source: Thomas Piketty
The Super Rich Have Gained the Most
Decomposing the Top 1%
1%-0.5% 0.5%-0.1% 0.1%-0.01%
0.01%
9
US Leads in Income Inequality
Note: As of 2010
Source: Thomas Piketty
10
Income Inequality: US vs. Europe
Source: Thomas Piketty
14.7%
17.4%
8.8%
6.9%
11
Wealth Inequality: US vs. Europe
Source: Thomas Piketty
33.8%
28.0%
24.4%
20.7%
12
State of the Middle Class
13
US Middle Class Is Losing Its Lead…
Note: As of 2010
Source: NY Times, Luxembourg Income Study Analysis
14
…And Is No Longer World’s Richest
Note: As of 2010
Source: NY Times, Luxembourg Income Study Analysis
15
Causes and Consequences
16
A Plethora of Causes
 Principal causes:
 Technology
 Globalization
 Secondary causes:
 Tax policy
 Declining unionization
 “Winners-take-all” labor markets
17
Skills Matter
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
18
How Globalization Hurts Wages
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Change in Wages by Sector (Jun-09 to May-14)
19
Lower Tax Rates, Higher Inequality
Note: Change in top income shares and top marginal tax rates since 1960
Source: Emmanuel Saez, Thomas Piketty
20
Government Transfers Reduce Inequality
Note: As of 2010
Source: CBO, Gary Burtless
21
But US Does Less to Redistribute Income
22
Note: As of 2011
Source: OECD
Inequality Associated with Immobility
Source: Alan Krueger’s Great Gatsby Curve, Corak (2011), CEA estimates
23
But Mobility Has Not Changed Over Time
24
Source: “Equality of Opportunity Project” by Raj Chetty , Nathaniel Hendren, Patrick Kline,
Emmanuel Saez and Nicholas Turner
Source: Andrew Berg and Jonathan D. Ostry, IMF
More Inequality May Mean Less Growth
25
Source: OECD Income Distribution and Poverty Database and OECD Economic Outlook Database
Or It May Not
26
Solutions
27
No Silver Bullets
 Education / retraining / vocational training
 More progressive tax policies
 Enhanced social welfare programs
 Increased Federal investment spending (R&D,
infrastructure etc.)
 Fair (but free) trade
28
19.3%
4.1%
18.0%
2.8%
%
Note: Excludes capital gains
Source: Emmanuel Saez, Thomas Piketty
In Conclusion
29

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