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Avoiding Extinction
Graciela Chichilnisky
Columbia University New York
Global Thermostat LLC
Green Economics Institute Oxford University UK July 2013
TEDx
Buenos Aires - UTN May 4 2013
Human Dominated World
Human Beings are today the largest geological
force in the planet
We are changing the planet’s atmosphere, its
body of waters, and the complex web of species
that makes life on earth
Climate Change
Global Risks
• Climate Change
• Biodiversity Extinction
• Clean Water scarcity
• Life in the Seas going extinct
Avoiding Extinction
URGENCY
Why are we being called to respond to
The Climate Question
Catastrophic Risks
• Global sea level raise threatens the survival of 43 island
nations
• Polar Caps melt - accelerating warming trend
• Record breaking tornadoes, floods, droughts and
devastating fires
• 30 million climate migration in 2011
• National Security at Risk US Pentagon 2009
Oceans - the origin of life – going extinct
Are Humans Next?
• Need Action Now
• Waited too long
• Industrial economies 20% of world population
cause most of world’s C02 emissions
Energy from fossil fuels
45% of global emissions
89% power plants fossil – $55Trillion infrastructure
Clean Energy is the Only Solution
So far Western economics
• Lacks connections between people
• Lacks connections between economy and
environment
• Lacks connections across generations
Sustainable Development
requires building connections
WHY?
Because humans
dominate the planet
• For the first time in recorded history
• Following an era of rapid globalization
Humans dominate Planet Earth
• We are connecting and changing the
planet’s atmosphere, its bodies of water, and the
complex web of species that makes life on Earth
This means natural resource limits
• As we reach natural resource and environmental limits
The survival of humankind is at stake
• Need connections with the ecology, between people
and with the future of our species
Can Western Economics adjust?
Can Markets become Sustainable?
Sustainable Economics
How to do it
The Missing Signal
• If we destroy all trees & make toilet paper our economy improves – why?
• Because Toilet Paper has Market Value & Trees do not.
We lack Market Prices
New Market prices = New Values
New costs and New benefits
The Carbon Market
Provides the Missing Signal
Emission Limits
are the basis of Carbon Market
How does it Work
CHANGES THE
ENTIRE
GLOBAL
ECONOMY
$25/TON
EMITTED
CARBON
PRICES ARE
THE Missing
Signal
Carbon Makes
Clean Energy
profitable
Dirty Energy
expensive and
Undesirable
Dirty pays
clean – ZERO
overall costs
Carbon Market
Links to Global Economy
Everything is made with energy
Economic growth = Energy Use
Link to Energy
Carbon Market provides Missing Signal
New Market Prices = New Values
All clean products more valuable
Where are We?
What comes Next?
Economy, the Earth and our Species
• Need to develop connections with the earth’s
resources, between people and with the future of
our species
Basic needs
• The Basic Needs of 80% of Humankind who live in developing
nations – over 1Bn people below Basic needs living with <$2 /day
• Undermined by resource intensive economics: over-extraction of
raw materials from the poorest nations in Africa and Latin America
• Resources exported and over-consumed by 20% of world
population in the industrial world
What to do?
• Changing International Law
• Changing Economics
We just have to do it
• For the survival of our Species
Changing Economics is Key
HOW?
New Types of Markets
New Economics over Time
• Provide Missing Connections
• Between People, with the Environment,
• Between the Present & the Future
New GDP
• Carbon market changes notion of
economic progress
• Of two identical nations
• The one using clean energy has a
larger GDP
New Markets to Value Global Commons
• Carbon Markets - value the atmosphere
• Water markets – value oceans and clean water globally
• Biodiversity markets– the value of forests & life
Create new GDP
Must be adopted NOW as required by G20
Chichilnisky: UNESCAP 2010
The Oscar Wilde Moment
The Global Commons
New Economics
From maximizing profits to
economic progress
that ensures survival of our species
Technology Urgently Needed
to put all this in practice
• To Reduce Carbon from the Atmosphere
• In a Profitable Way
• To support and Create Political Will
The Word needs Energy
CLEAN ENERGY FOR DEVELOPING NATIONS
Global Thermostat Pilot Plant, SRI International - Menlo Park California
February 2011
What is a Carbon Negative Solution
Global Thermostat Company Confidential Page 23
Carbon Neutral is not enough
• Neutralizing emissions does not prevent
further increases in atmospheric CO2
• Even the most aggressive efficiency
improvements and renewables adoption
are unlikely to keep CO2 concentration at
the generally agreed 450ppm to avoid
catastrophic climate risk
Negative Carbon is the solution1
• Air capture enables direct and rapid
reduction of CO2 concentration
• GT allows for the capture of even more CO2
than we are loading into the atmosphere or
that the earth’s systems can absorb –
Negative Carbon
GT’s technology directly reduces
carbon concentration in the air,
making carbon negative possible
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
CO2PartsperMillion(PPM)
Reducing CO2 Concentrations in
the Atmosphere
Business as Usual
Constant Growth
Wedges
Approach /
Stabilization
Global
Thermostat
Hazardous Level
450 ppm
1 United Nations Headquarters, New York, November 12, 2009. Presentation by G.
Chichilnisky on"The Rising Tide at Copenhagen:
A Win-Win Solution for Industrialized and Developing Nations"
Closing the Carbon Cycle
• GT Technology Captures Carbon from Air
• Inexpensive: Uses Low Process Heat
• Cogenerates Power Production withCarbon
Capture
• The More Power is Produced – the More Carbon
is reduced
• Makes Coal Plants Carbon Negative
• Makes Solar Power Plants even more Carbon
Negative
GT’s Air Capture Technology
Three-Step Process Produces Concentrated CO 2 Stream
Step 1
Air Input
Transport and
Injection
Compression Other
Applications
Key to GT’s
technology is
cogeneration using
low temperature
process heat to
capture CO 2 Subsequent steps are shared by all CO 2 capture methods
though pipelining costs can be reduced by co-locating
where CO 2 is stored or used
Step 2
CO 2 Capture
Step 3
CO 2
Regeneration
Absorbing CO2
Pipes to oil well or algae
UP
Releasing CO2
Pipes to oil well or algae ponds
DOWN
Applications & Markets for Captured CO2
Global Thermostat Company Confidential Page 28
Storage Enhanced Oil
Recovery*
Algae-Based
Biofuels*
Hydrogen-
Based Fuels
Products
cement, fertilizer, plastic
s, greenhouses
*EOR and Algae-based
biofuels represent most
significant opportunities
for commercial applications
of CO2 captured using
GT’s technology
Unique Advantages of GT’s Technology
Measurable advantages over other forms of carbon
capture
Low-Cost Provider
•Powered by low cost & widely
available process heat
Scalable Design
•Modular design adapts to
different sized applications
Carbon Negative Solution
•An energy or industrial plant can
capture even more CO2 than is
emitted – a carbon negative
solution
Flexible Integration
• Fossil, renewable, nuclear
plants, industrial
plants, (cement, steel) –
anywhere heat is available
First GT Pilot Plant at SRI - October
1, 2010
Global Thermostat Company Confidential Page 30
Second GT Commercial Demo
at SRI
March 1, 2013
In Daphne Alabama USA 2013
Third GT plant
Commercial Demo Algae Systems IHI
Global Thermostat Company Confidential Page 32
Desalination
CO2
Waste
water
Algae
Production
Dewatering
Fuel
Production
Fuels,
Electricity &
Biochar
Treated
Wastewater
Drinking
Water
• Produces carbon negative transportation fuels (jet fuel)
• Treats municipal wastewater and produces drinking water
• Generates green electricity and Biochar fertilizers
Provides critical municipal services while producing energy
As Green As It Gets
Solar
Energy
A Vision of a New Economy
• Very conservative about Natural Resources
• Very innovative about Knowledge
Knowledge Based

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Avoiding Extinction

  • 1. Avoiding Extinction Graciela Chichilnisky Columbia University New York Global Thermostat LLC Green Economics Institute Oxford University UK July 2013 TEDx Buenos Aires - UTN May 4 2013
  • 2. Human Dominated World Human Beings are today the largest geological force in the planet We are changing the planet’s atmosphere, its body of waters, and the complex web of species that makes life on earth Climate Change
  • 3. Global Risks • Climate Change • Biodiversity Extinction • Clean Water scarcity • Life in the Seas going extinct Avoiding Extinction
  • 4. URGENCY Why are we being called to respond to The Climate Question
  • 5. Catastrophic Risks • Global sea level raise threatens the survival of 43 island nations • Polar Caps melt - accelerating warming trend • Record breaking tornadoes, floods, droughts and devastating fires • 30 million climate migration in 2011 • National Security at Risk US Pentagon 2009 Oceans - the origin of life – going extinct
  • 6. Are Humans Next? • Need Action Now • Waited too long • Industrial economies 20% of world population cause most of world’s C02 emissions Energy from fossil fuels 45% of global emissions 89% power plants fossil – $55Trillion infrastructure Clean Energy is the Only Solution
  • 7. So far Western economics • Lacks connections between people • Lacks connections between economy and environment • Lacks connections across generations Sustainable Development requires building connections WHY?
  • 8. Because humans dominate the planet • For the first time in recorded history • Following an era of rapid globalization Humans dominate Planet Earth • We are connecting and changing the planet’s atmosphere, its bodies of water, and the complex web of species that makes life on Earth
  • 9. This means natural resource limits • As we reach natural resource and environmental limits The survival of humankind is at stake • Need connections with the ecology, between people and with the future of our species Can Western Economics adjust? Can Markets become Sustainable?
  • 11. The Missing Signal • If we destroy all trees & make toilet paper our economy improves – why? • Because Toilet Paper has Market Value & Trees do not. We lack Market Prices New Market prices = New Values New costs and New benefits The Carbon Market Provides the Missing Signal
  • 12. Emission Limits are the basis of Carbon Market How does it Work CHANGES THE ENTIRE GLOBAL ECONOMY $25/TON EMITTED CARBON PRICES ARE THE Missing Signal Carbon Makes Clean Energy profitable Dirty Energy expensive and Undesirable Dirty pays clean – ZERO overall costs
  • 13. Carbon Market Links to Global Economy Everything is made with energy Economic growth = Energy Use Link to Energy Carbon Market provides Missing Signal New Market Prices = New Values All clean products more valuable
  • 14. Where are We? What comes Next?
  • 15. Economy, the Earth and our Species • Need to develop connections with the earth’s resources, between people and with the future of our species Basic needs • The Basic Needs of 80% of Humankind who live in developing nations – over 1Bn people below Basic needs living with <$2 /day • Undermined by resource intensive economics: over-extraction of raw materials from the poorest nations in Africa and Latin America • Resources exported and over-consumed by 20% of world population in the industrial world
  • 16. What to do? • Changing International Law • Changing Economics We just have to do it • For the survival of our Species
  • 17. Changing Economics is Key HOW? New Types of Markets New Economics over Time • Provide Missing Connections • Between People, with the Environment, • Between the Present & the Future
  • 18. New GDP • Carbon market changes notion of economic progress • Of two identical nations • The one using clean energy has a larger GDP
  • 19. New Markets to Value Global Commons • Carbon Markets - value the atmosphere • Water markets – value oceans and clean water globally • Biodiversity markets– the value of forests & life Create new GDP Must be adopted NOW as required by G20 Chichilnisky: UNESCAP 2010 The Oscar Wilde Moment
  • 20. The Global Commons New Economics From maximizing profits to economic progress that ensures survival of our species
  • 21. Technology Urgently Needed to put all this in practice • To Reduce Carbon from the Atmosphere • In a Profitable Way • To support and Create Political Will The Word needs Energy CLEAN ENERGY FOR DEVELOPING NATIONS
  • 22. Global Thermostat Pilot Plant, SRI International - Menlo Park California February 2011
  • 23. What is a Carbon Negative Solution Global Thermostat Company Confidential Page 23 Carbon Neutral is not enough • Neutralizing emissions does not prevent further increases in atmospheric CO2 • Even the most aggressive efficiency improvements and renewables adoption are unlikely to keep CO2 concentration at the generally agreed 450ppm to avoid catastrophic climate risk Negative Carbon is the solution1 • Air capture enables direct and rapid reduction of CO2 concentration • GT allows for the capture of even more CO2 than we are loading into the atmosphere or that the earth’s systems can absorb – Negative Carbon GT’s technology directly reduces carbon concentration in the air, making carbon negative possible 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 CO2PartsperMillion(PPM) Reducing CO2 Concentrations in the Atmosphere Business as Usual Constant Growth Wedges Approach / Stabilization Global Thermostat Hazardous Level 450 ppm 1 United Nations Headquarters, New York, November 12, 2009. Presentation by G. Chichilnisky on"The Rising Tide at Copenhagen: A Win-Win Solution for Industrialized and Developing Nations"
  • 24. Closing the Carbon Cycle • GT Technology Captures Carbon from Air • Inexpensive: Uses Low Process Heat • Cogenerates Power Production withCarbon Capture • The More Power is Produced – the More Carbon is reduced • Makes Coal Plants Carbon Negative • Makes Solar Power Plants even more Carbon Negative
  • 25. GT’s Air Capture Technology Three-Step Process Produces Concentrated CO 2 Stream Step 1 Air Input Transport and Injection Compression Other Applications Key to GT’s technology is cogeneration using low temperature process heat to capture CO 2 Subsequent steps are shared by all CO 2 capture methods though pipelining costs can be reduced by co-locating where CO 2 is stored or used Step 2 CO 2 Capture Step 3 CO 2 Regeneration
  • 26. Absorbing CO2 Pipes to oil well or algae UP
  • 27. Releasing CO2 Pipes to oil well or algae ponds DOWN
  • 28. Applications & Markets for Captured CO2 Global Thermostat Company Confidential Page 28 Storage Enhanced Oil Recovery* Algae-Based Biofuels* Hydrogen- Based Fuels Products cement, fertilizer, plastic s, greenhouses *EOR and Algae-based biofuels represent most significant opportunities for commercial applications of CO2 captured using GT’s technology
  • 29. Unique Advantages of GT’s Technology Measurable advantages over other forms of carbon capture Low-Cost Provider •Powered by low cost & widely available process heat Scalable Design •Modular design adapts to different sized applications Carbon Negative Solution •An energy or industrial plant can capture even more CO2 than is emitted – a carbon negative solution Flexible Integration • Fossil, renewable, nuclear plants, industrial plants, (cement, steel) – anywhere heat is available
  • 30. First GT Pilot Plant at SRI - October 1, 2010 Global Thermostat Company Confidential Page 30
  • 31. Second GT Commercial Demo at SRI March 1, 2013
  • 32. In Daphne Alabama USA 2013 Third GT plant Commercial Demo Algae Systems IHI Global Thermostat Company Confidential Page 32 Desalination CO2 Waste water Algae Production Dewatering Fuel Production Fuels, Electricity & Biochar Treated Wastewater Drinking Water • Produces carbon negative transportation fuels (jet fuel) • Treats municipal wastewater and produces drinking water • Generates green electricity and Biochar fertilizers Provides critical municipal services while producing energy As Green As It Gets Solar Energy
  • 33. A Vision of a New Economy • Very conservative about Natural Resources • Very innovative about Knowledge Knowledge Based