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Bridging the Gap in Long-Term Resource Planning for Utilities and Grid Operators
1
2
3
4
The generation fleet in the MISO region has
shifted significantly with the pace accelerating
toward more renewables
1
Accelerated
Fleet Change
2005
Potential 2032 FutureScenarios
76%
7%
13%
4%
Distributed& Emerging
Tech
10%
39%
27%
13%
7%
3%
12%
33%
20%
25%
4%
3% 3%
48%
24%
16%
4%
8%
2017
Nuclear
Coal
Gas
Wind
Solar
Other
DSM
2
MISO Active Queue by Study Area
South
Central
East (ITC)
West
East (ATC/UP)
Wind Gas Solar Other
Fuel Type Legend
14.1 GW
92 requests
20.5 GW
108 requests
28.5 GW
177 requests
12.7 GW
67 requests
6.7 GW
46 requests
3.3
11.8
16.6
14.7
1.7
12.7 22.3
6.0
17.3
34.2
40.4
0
10
20
30
40
2015 2016 2017 2018
Active/Completed Projects by Year (GW)
Current generator interconnection requests portend these
changes (490 projects totaling over 80 GW)
Gas
As of 10/24/18
3
Digitalization
Decentralization
De-marginalization
Forces of Change
Decentralization
Migration from large stations to
smaller distributed resources
• DER (storage, solar, EVs,
DR)
• Loss of visibility and
predictability
• Closer coordination needed
between distribution and
transmission operators
Digitalization
New classes of and controls for
electric consuming devices
• Internet of Things (“smart
homes”)
• Virtual power plants
• Opportunity to increase
demand-side flexibility
De-marginalization (low / no marginal costs)
Substantial growth of renewables and non-price sensitive DERs
• Reduced flexibility and potential shortages of currently free
ancillaries (e.g., voltage, frequency)
Rapid industry change presents challenges and
opportunities for creating value for consumers

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Bridging the Gap in Long-Term Resource Planning for Utilities and Grid Operators

  • 2. 1
  • 3. 2
  • 4. 3
  • 5. 4
  • 6. The generation fleet in the MISO region has shifted significantly with the pace accelerating toward more renewables 1 Accelerated Fleet Change 2005 Potential 2032 FutureScenarios 76% 7% 13% 4% Distributed& Emerging Tech 10% 39% 27% 13% 7% 3% 12% 33% 20% 25% 4% 3% 3% 48% 24% 16% 4% 8% 2017 Nuclear Coal Gas Wind Solar Other DSM
  • 7. 2 MISO Active Queue by Study Area South Central East (ITC) West East (ATC/UP) Wind Gas Solar Other Fuel Type Legend 14.1 GW 92 requests 20.5 GW 108 requests 28.5 GW 177 requests 12.7 GW 67 requests 6.7 GW 46 requests 3.3 11.8 16.6 14.7 1.7 12.7 22.3 6.0 17.3 34.2 40.4 0 10 20 30 40 2015 2016 2017 2018 Active/Completed Projects by Year (GW) Current generator interconnection requests portend these changes (490 projects totaling over 80 GW) Gas As of 10/24/18
  • 8. 3 Digitalization Decentralization De-marginalization Forces of Change Decentralization Migration from large stations to smaller distributed resources • DER (storage, solar, EVs, DR) • Loss of visibility and predictability • Closer coordination needed between distribution and transmission operators Digitalization New classes of and controls for electric consuming devices • Internet of Things (“smart homes”) • Virtual power plants • Opportunity to increase demand-side flexibility De-marginalization (low / no marginal costs) Substantial growth of renewables and non-price sensitive DERs • Reduced flexibility and potential shortages of currently free ancillaries (e.g., voltage, frequency) Rapid industry change presents challenges and opportunities for creating value for consumers

Editor's Notes

  • #8: Cost/MW of requests increasing (stats) Today, challenges again posed by processing a large queue with an incremental number of small transmission projects to serve small groups of interconnection requests at a time