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31/05/2018
1
Are transfer values at the right level?
The IFoA’s Current Pensions Review Working Party
Pensions Conference – 5 June 2018
Robert Inglis and Helen Nicholas
5 June 2018
esentations
Agenda
The purpose of today’s session is to provide some background to the working
party and then gather your thoughts and views on the appropriate level of
transfer values and how these should be calculated. We will cover:
• Background to transfer values
• Current transfer activity and levels
• Discussion questions
5 June 2018 2
31/05/2018
2
esentations
Background to private sector transfer values in the UK
5 June 2018 3
1986: Statutory right
to transfer from
occupational
pension scheme
1996: The
Occupational
Pension Schemes
(Transfer Values)
Regulations 1996
2008: The Occupational
Pension Schemes
(Transfer Values)
(Amendment)
Regulations 2008
2008: Regulatory
guidance from the
Pensions Regulator
2005: EXD 54
2014: Budget
introduces “Pensions
Freedoms” for DC
members
esentations
How do public sector transfers compare?
• Public sector transfer values operate under the same fundamental principles
as private sector transfer values, although with a number of differences in the
implementation
• These differences include:
– Consistent financial assumptions used across the public sector (different from those used
in private sector)
– Existence of “transfer club” between public sector schemes, where CETV amount doesn’t
determine the benefit provided
– No statutory right to transfer out of unfunded public sector schemes
– Accept DB transfers in – unlike many private sector schemes
5 June 2018 4
31/05/2018
3
esentations
Current transfer activity (1)
• Since pensions freedoms were introduced, transfer activity from occupational
DB schemes has increased – see figure below
5 June 2018 5
Source: Willis Towers Watson, “Perspectives: the impact of defined benefit transfers on the pensions industry”
esentations
Current transfer activity (2)
• In particular, the number of members over age 55 who are transferring has
increased significantly
5 June 2018 6
Source: Willis Towers Watson, “DB member choice survey 2018 – The continued rise of pension flexibility”
31/05/2018
4
esentations
CETV amounts versus technical provisions
• The charts below compare CETVs with the technical provisions reserve at
various ages for a hypothetical scheme. In the chart on the left, the technical
provisions reserve includes an allowance for cash commutation; there is no
allowance for commutation in the chart on the right.
5 June 2018 7
esentations
Why have CETV amounts increased?
• There are several factors that may have contributed to the increase in CETV
amounts, including:
– Falls in gilt yields
– Investment de-risking
– Improvements in life expectancy
– Larger pensions being valued
• More service and higher salaries
– Larger proportion of pension receiving guaranteed increases
– Shift in views on best estimate
– Attitudes to transferring
5 June 2018 8
31/05/2018
5
esentations
Our deliberations
• This has all led us to consider the question “are transfer values at the right
level?”
– Activity has increased – does this mean transfer values are too high?
• Does it matter if transfer values are “too high”?
– Members are transferring even where they would not be able to replicate their scheme
benefits – does this mean transfer values are too low?
• Does it matter if transfer values are “too low”?
– The pensions landscape has changed and most members will receive advice before
transferring – does this mean that transfer values are at the right level for those who are
advised to transfer but too low for those who aren’t?
5 June 2018 9
esentations
The questions we would like to ask
• What is the purpose of a transfer value?
• What should a transfer value represent?
• Is the increased level of transfer activity a cause for concern?
• What are relevant factors to take into account when setting transfer values?
• What are appropriate assumptions for calculating transfer values?
• What adjustments could/should be made from the best estimate transfer
value?
5 June 2018 10
31/05/2018
6
esentations
Q1 – what is the purpose of a transfer value?
• Purpose could be
– To provide the member with “fair value” for their pension benefits
– To enable the member to replicate their benefits in another scheme
– To provide members with access to a wider range of options and flexibilities than are
available in a DB scheme
• Transfer values are also used for divorce calculations and scheme
modifications
5 June 2018 11
esentations
Q2 – what should a transfer value represent?
• Legislation defines the minimum transfer value
– “the amount at the guarantee date which is required to make provision within the scheme
for a member’s accrued benefits, options and discretionary benefits” – legislation
– “the expected cost of providing the member's benefits within the scheme” – tPR guidance
• Is expected cost within the scheme an appropriate minimum and starting
point?
• What about other approaches, eg
– Mark to market
– Technical provisions reserve as starting point
5 June 2018 12
31/05/2018
7
esentations
Q3 – is the increased level of transfer activity a cause
for concern?
• Pensions freedoms were not brought in with DB pensions in mind – is increased
activity an unforeseen consequence?
• What about the impact of ETV exercises on levels of activity?
– Has this become less significant following the introduction of pensions freedoms?
• Is the current level of transfer values driving the current levels of activity?
– If transfer values halved, would activity drop? If so, why?
• Is greater flexibility a good thing for members?
• But are members able to make the “right” decisions?
– Advice requirement for transfers above £30,000 may alleviate these concerns
– Who should decide what the “right” decision is?
5 June 2018 13
esentations
Q4 – what are relevant factors to take into account when
setting transfer values?
• Is it legitimate to take account of market forces?
• Does the legislative context influence the appropriate level?
• Should member options be taken into account?
• Should the cost of providing the benefits elsewhere be taken into account?
• Should individual member circumstances and/or selection be taken into
account?
• Should partial transfer values become more common?
5 June 2018 14
31/05/2018
8
esentations
Q5 – what are appropriate assumptions for calculating
transfer values?
• Should the value of a member’s benefits depend on the scheme they are in?
• Should mortality assumptions take account of national mortality, the scheme
as a whole or individual mortality assumptions?
• To what extent should investment de-risking be allowed for when setting the
discount rate?
5 June 2018 15
esentations
Q6 – what adjustments could/should be made from the
best estimate transfer value?
• Legislation allows for transfer values to be reduced if the Scheme Actuary
produces an insufficiency report. Although many schemes are underfunded,
relatively few reduce transfer values in this way.
• Legislation also allows for transfer values to be paid at more than the
minimum level if there are legitimate reasons for doing so.
5 June 2018 16
31/05/2018
9
esentations
Q7 – do you have any further comments on CETVs?
5 June 2018 17
esentations
Getting in touch with the Working Party
• Contact today’s speakers:
– Robert Inglis, robert.inglis@btinternet.com
– Helen Nicholas, helen.nicholas@willistowerswatson.com
• Coming soon – take part in our survey
5 June 2018 18

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Are transfer values at the right level?

  • 1. 31/05/2018 1 Are transfer values at the right level? The IFoA’s Current Pensions Review Working Party Pensions Conference – 5 June 2018 Robert Inglis and Helen Nicholas 5 June 2018 esentations Agenda The purpose of today’s session is to provide some background to the working party and then gather your thoughts and views on the appropriate level of transfer values and how these should be calculated. We will cover: • Background to transfer values • Current transfer activity and levels • Discussion questions 5 June 2018 2
  • 2. 31/05/2018 2 esentations Background to private sector transfer values in the UK 5 June 2018 3 1986: Statutory right to transfer from occupational pension scheme 1996: The Occupational Pension Schemes (Transfer Values) Regulations 1996 2008: The Occupational Pension Schemes (Transfer Values) (Amendment) Regulations 2008 2008: Regulatory guidance from the Pensions Regulator 2005: EXD 54 2014: Budget introduces “Pensions Freedoms” for DC members esentations How do public sector transfers compare? • Public sector transfer values operate under the same fundamental principles as private sector transfer values, although with a number of differences in the implementation • These differences include: – Consistent financial assumptions used across the public sector (different from those used in private sector) – Existence of “transfer club” between public sector schemes, where CETV amount doesn’t determine the benefit provided – No statutory right to transfer out of unfunded public sector schemes – Accept DB transfers in – unlike many private sector schemes 5 June 2018 4
  • 3. 31/05/2018 3 esentations Current transfer activity (1) • Since pensions freedoms were introduced, transfer activity from occupational DB schemes has increased – see figure below 5 June 2018 5 Source: Willis Towers Watson, “Perspectives: the impact of defined benefit transfers on the pensions industry” esentations Current transfer activity (2) • In particular, the number of members over age 55 who are transferring has increased significantly 5 June 2018 6 Source: Willis Towers Watson, “DB member choice survey 2018 – The continued rise of pension flexibility”
  • 4. 31/05/2018 4 esentations CETV amounts versus technical provisions • The charts below compare CETVs with the technical provisions reserve at various ages for a hypothetical scheme. In the chart on the left, the technical provisions reserve includes an allowance for cash commutation; there is no allowance for commutation in the chart on the right. 5 June 2018 7 esentations Why have CETV amounts increased? • There are several factors that may have contributed to the increase in CETV amounts, including: – Falls in gilt yields – Investment de-risking – Improvements in life expectancy – Larger pensions being valued • More service and higher salaries – Larger proportion of pension receiving guaranteed increases – Shift in views on best estimate – Attitudes to transferring 5 June 2018 8
  • 5. 31/05/2018 5 esentations Our deliberations • This has all led us to consider the question “are transfer values at the right level?” – Activity has increased – does this mean transfer values are too high? • Does it matter if transfer values are “too high”? – Members are transferring even where they would not be able to replicate their scheme benefits – does this mean transfer values are too low? • Does it matter if transfer values are “too low”? – The pensions landscape has changed and most members will receive advice before transferring – does this mean that transfer values are at the right level for those who are advised to transfer but too low for those who aren’t? 5 June 2018 9 esentations The questions we would like to ask • What is the purpose of a transfer value? • What should a transfer value represent? • Is the increased level of transfer activity a cause for concern? • What are relevant factors to take into account when setting transfer values? • What are appropriate assumptions for calculating transfer values? • What adjustments could/should be made from the best estimate transfer value? 5 June 2018 10
  • 6. 31/05/2018 6 esentations Q1 – what is the purpose of a transfer value? • Purpose could be – To provide the member with “fair value” for their pension benefits – To enable the member to replicate their benefits in another scheme – To provide members with access to a wider range of options and flexibilities than are available in a DB scheme • Transfer values are also used for divorce calculations and scheme modifications 5 June 2018 11 esentations Q2 – what should a transfer value represent? • Legislation defines the minimum transfer value – “the amount at the guarantee date which is required to make provision within the scheme for a member’s accrued benefits, options and discretionary benefits” – legislation – “the expected cost of providing the member's benefits within the scheme” – tPR guidance • Is expected cost within the scheme an appropriate minimum and starting point? • What about other approaches, eg – Mark to market – Technical provisions reserve as starting point 5 June 2018 12
  • 7. 31/05/2018 7 esentations Q3 – is the increased level of transfer activity a cause for concern? • Pensions freedoms were not brought in with DB pensions in mind – is increased activity an unforeseen consequence? • What about the impact of ETV exercises on levels of activity? – Has this become less significant following the introduction of pensions freedoms? • Is the current level of transfer values driving the current levels of activity? – If transfer values halved, would activity drop? If so, why? • Is greater flexibility a good thing for members? • But are members able to make the “right” decisions? – Advice requirement for transfers above £30,000 may alleviate these concerns – Who should decide what the “right” decision is? 5 June 2018 13 esentations Q4 – what are relevant factors to take into account when setting transfer values? • Is it legitimate to take account of market forces? • Does the legislative context influence the appropriate level? • Should member options be taken into account? • Should the cost of providing the benefits elsewhere be taken into account? • Should individual member circumstances and/or selection be taken into account? • Should partial transfer values become more common? 5 June 2018 14
  • 8. 31/05/2018 8 esentations Q5 – what are appropriate assumptions for calculating transfer values? • Should the value of a member’s benefits depend on the scheme they are in? • Should mortality assumptions take account of national mortality, the scheme as a whole or individual mortality assumptions? • To what extent should investment de-risking be allowed for when setting the discount rate? 5 June 2018 15 esentations Q6 – what adjustments could/should be made from the best estimate transfer value? • Legislation allows for transfer values to be reduced if the Scheme Actuary produces an insufficiency report. Although many schemes are underfunded, relatively few reduce transfer values in this way. • Legislation also allows for transfer values to be paid at more than the minimum level if there are legitimate reasons for doing so. 5 June 2018 16
  • 9. 31/05/2018 9 esentations Q7 – do you have any further comments on CETVs? 5 June 2018 17 esentations Getting in touch with the Working Party • Contact today’s speakers: – Robert Inglis, robert.inglis@btinternet.com – Helen Nicholas, helen.nicholas@willistowerswatson.com • Coming soon – take part in our survey 5 June 2018 18