Cied overview launch event 12th june
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This document discusses the potential for the UK to achieve an "energy efficiency revolution" through innovations that improve energy efficiency. It notes that innovations emerge first in niche applications and are driven to wider diffusion through factors like economies of scale, learning effects, and the development of supportive policies, regulations, and infrastructure. The document also presents frameworks for analyzing socio-technical systems and their transitions over time under different trends and innovations. It raises questions about whether efficiency gains may be offset by increased energy usage in other areas in a phenomenon known as the "rebound effect."
Cied overview launch event 12th june
- 1. Can the UK achieve an ‘energy efficiency revolution’? All Party Parliamentary Climate Change Group London, 12th June 2014
- 2. Centre on Innovation and Energy Demand (CIED) Steve Sorrell All Party Parliamentary Climate Change Group London, 12th June 2014
- 3. CIED • One of six RCUK Centres on End Use Energy Demand (EUED) • 5-year, £3.5m programme involving 12 researchers & 5 PhDs from Sussex, Manchester & Oxford • Themes: emergence, diffusion and impact of low energy innovations • Multiple projects on specific topics – urban transport, non-domestic buildings, ESCOs, rebounds, district heating, policy mix, • Interdisciplinary and policy relevant
- 4. Engineering - techno- economic potential Social psychology – behavioural determinants, sustainable consumption Economics – barriers, incentives, information Different approaches to improving energy efficiency Adoption versus innovation Incremental versus radical Technology versus system Short term versus long term Local versus global
- 5. Innovations Emerge in niche applications that facilitate improvements and cost reductions. Diffusion is driven by positive feedbacks (scale/learning economies, decreasing uncertainty, network effects), reinforced by co-evolving skills, institutions, interests, infrastructures, regulations, norms etc. Emergence and diffusion Government Business Consumers Policy Interventions Investors Investments Commer- cial Supported commer- cial - Pre com- mercial Demon- stration R&D Product/ Technology Push Market Pull Academia
- 6. Socio-technicalsystem fortransportation Cultureandsymbolic meaning(e.g. Freedom,individuality) Regulationsandpolicies (e.g.trafficrules,parkingfees, emissionstandards,cartax) Roadinfrastructure andtrafficsystem (e.g.lights,signs) Vehicle(artefact) Marketsanduserpractices (mobilitypatterns,driver preferences) Industrystructure (e.g.carmanufacturers, suppliers) Maintenanceand distributionnetwork (e.g.repairshops,dealers) Fuelinfrastructure (oilcompanies, petrolstations) Socio-technical system for transportation Culture and symbolic meaning (e.g. Freedom, individuality) Regulations and policies (e.g. traffic rules,parking fees, emission standards, car tax) Road infrastructure and traffic system (e.g. lights, signs) Vehicle (artefact) Markets and user practices (mobility patterns, driver preferences) Industry structure (e.g. car manufacturers, suppliers) Maintenance and distribution network (e.g. repair shops, dealers) Fuel infrastructure (oil companies, petrol stations) Socio-technical systems
- 7. Innovations Future transport system Trends and events Current transport system Oil depletion ICT and smart grids Urban mass transit Lithium ion batteries Hybrid drivetrains Battery electric vehicles Car dependent Oil intensive Congested Climate change (Sustainable) Low energy Low carbon Integrated Shared System transitions Adapted from Geels
- 8. Lower running costs Driver further and more often Lower gasoline bills Holiday in Spain Less energy More energy Infrastructural investment Changed living and working arrangements Direct Indirect Transformational More energy Embodied Savings (in bigger & more powerful cars) System impacts
- 9. IPCC 5th AR 2014 An energy efficiency revolution?