Seeing the Urban Forest
for the Trees
David J. Nowak
US Forest Service
Syracuse, NY
Early Morning Test – What is this?
Seeing the Urban Forest for the Trees
Seeing the Urban Forest for the Trees
Perception of Value
We take care of things we value
New red car – What are you willing to pay?
Ferrari 488 GTB - Features:
Twin-turbocharged 3.9-liter
V8, 660 horsepower
Yugo - Features: Rear-window
defogger so owner can keep
hands warm while pushing
vehicle
Five General Messages about Urban Forests
There are global problems
Urbanization
World = 54% urban (3.9 billion urban inhabitants)
By 2050 = 66% urban (6.4 billion urban inhabitants)
www.globalchange.umich.edu
Projected urban land increase (2010-2060):
+2 million acres/year
Urban land (conterminous U.S.)
2010 = 67.8 million acres (3.6%)
2060 = 163.1 million acres (8.7%)
Increase greater than size of Montana
Urban population increase
Approximately 90% urban population (2060)
Delaware land area = 1.2 million acres
Growth in Percent Urban (2010 – 2060)
Urbanization Issues – Energy Use
One trillion BTU =~ 250,000 tonnes of TNT
Daily world energy use = 60 million tons of coal
= pile of coal: 10 ft x 1 mile x 4.4 miles
theenergyharginger.com
Urbanization Issues – Air Pollution
3.7 million deaths from outdoor air pollution (2012)
World’s largest single environmental health risk
Air pollution mortality (2010) – Nature, 2015
Urbanization Issues - Others
Increased air temperatures
Water flow / quality issues
Crowding
Stress…
Source: NASA: Bright red = 65oC; Dark green / blue ~ 25oC
Five General Messages about Urban Forests
There are global problems
Trees can help
Tree Benefits - Tangible
Shade / Cool Air
Aesthetics
Wildlife
Tree Benefits – Less Tangible
Pocket book ($)
Altered building energy use / altered emissions
Products (26M t wastewood/yr), jobs
Human Health
Water quality
Air quality, UV radiation
Physiological changes
Environmental Quality / Regulations
Air quality, water quality, carbon, air temperature
Other
Biodiversity, neighborhoods, crime…
Tree Costs
Maintenance / planting / removal
Leaf clean-up
Damaged sidewalks
Blocked views
Branch drop
Crime perception
Pollen
Increased energy use
VOC emissions
Maintenance emissions, pesticides, excess fertilization
Annual U.S. Urban Forest Values > $18 billion/yr
Avoided energy use = $7.8 billion*
39 million Mwh/year; 246 million MMBTU /year
Air pollution removal = $4.7 billion
717,000 tons/year; ~580 avoided deaths / year
Carbon sequestration = $3.7 billion
29.4 million tons / year
Avoided emissions = $2.2 billion*
21.5 million t CO2; 93,000 t pollutants /year
Oxygen production = $0
75 million tons per year
Total = $18.4 billion
$770 per acre of tree cover *preliminary results
Five General Messages about Urban Forests
There are global problems
Trees can help
Nature and people interact
Tree Cover Urban / Community Land
~80% of U.S. urban land is within forested areas
Nature and Humans
What percent of trees in cities are planted?
Nowak, D.J. 2012. Contrasting natural regeneration and tree planting in 14 North American cities. Urban
Forestry and Urban Greening. 11: 374 – 382
Planting varies by city population density
and region
Nowak, D.J. 2012. Contrasting natural regeneration and tree planting in 14 North American cities. Urban Forestry and
Urban Greening. 11: 374 – 382
Percent planting varies by land use
Nowak, D.J. 2012. Contrasting natural regeneration and tree planting in 14 North American cities. Urban Forestry and
Urban Greening. 11: 374 – 382
Percent of Total Tree Cover in Cities by Land Use
Forest
(40% TC)
Grass
(20% TC)
Desert
(10% TC)
Why Don’t We Have More Urban Trees?
Why Don’t We Have More Urban Trees?
It is expensive to keep trees out
US mowing ~$49-134 billion / year
Why Don’t We Have More Urban Trees?
It is expensive to keep trees out
Five General Messages about Urban Forests
There are global problems
Trees can help
Nature and people interact
Costs are unavoidable
Costs are Unavoidable
People in association with trees = costs
Goal = reduce costs; increase values
No trees ≠ no costs
Costs of gray infrastructure and mowing
What if we didn’t maintain gray infrastructure?
What if we didn’t maintain gray infrastructure?
Five General Messages about Urban Forests
There are global problems
Trees can help
Nature and people interact
Costs are unavoidable
Change is coming
Major Drivers of Change in the Future
Development
Major Driver of Change in the Future
Development
Climate Change
Major Driver of Change in the Future
Development
Climate Change
Insects and Diseases
Emerald ash borer range (2013)
Ash dieback
(Hymenoscyphus
fraxineus)
Major Driver of Change in the Future
Development
Climate Change
Insects and Diseases
Invasive species
Tree Cover Change
In the U.S., urban tree cover dropping:
20,000 acres per year
4.0 million trees per year
Steps to Sustainability
Assess resource – what do you have?
Understand resource – what can it do?
Plan – what do you want?
Right location, right tree, right time; across scales
Implement Plan
Monitor – did you get there?
Demonstrating Tree Value
Summary
dnowak@fs.fed.us nrs.fs.fed.us/units/urban
Trees and forests provide significant value
to society
Understanding and communicating the
resource value is essential to improve
management and community well-being

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Seeing the Urban Forest for the Trees

  • 1. Seeing the Urban Forest for the Trees David J. Nowak US Forest Service Syracuse, NY
  • 2. Early Morning Test – What is this?
  • 5. Perception of Value We take care of things we value New red car – What are you willing to pay? Ferrari 488 GTB - Features: Twin-turbocharged 3.9-liter V8, 660 horsepower Yugo - Features: Rear-window defogger so owner can keep hands warm while pushing vehicle
  • 6. Five General Messages about Urban Forests There are global problems
  • 7. Urbanization World = 54% urban (3.9 billion urban inhabitants) By 2050 = 66% urban (6.4 billion urban inhabitants) www.globalchange.umich.edu
  • 8. Projected urban land increase (2010-2060): +2 million acres/year Urban land (conterminous U.S.) 2010 = 67.8 million acres (3.6%) 2060 = 163.1 million acres (8.7%) Increase greater than size of Montana Urban population increase Approximately 90% urban population (2060) Delaware land area = 1.2 million acres
  • 9. Growth in Percent Urban (2010 – 2060)
  • 10. Urbanization Issues – Energy Use One trillion BTU =~ 250,000 tonnes of TNT Daily world energy use = 60 million tons of coal = pile of coal: 10 ft x 1 mile x 4.4 miles theenergyharginger.com
  • 11. Urbanization Issues – Air Pollution 3.7 million deaths from outdoor air pollution (2012) World’s largest single environmental health risk Air pollution mortality (2010) – Nature, 2015
  • 12. Urbanization Issues - Others Increased air temperatures Water flow / quality issues Crowding Stress… Source: NASA: Bright red = 65oC; Dark green / blue ~ 25oC
  • 13. Five General Messages about Urban Forests There are global problems Trees can help
  • 14. Tree Benefits - Tangible Shade / Cool Air Aesthetics Wildlife
  • 15. Tree Benefits – Less Tangible Pocket book ($) Altered building energy use / altered emissions Products (26M t wastewood/yr), jobs Human Health Water quality Air quality, UV radiation Physiological changes Environmental Quality / Regulations Air quality, water quality, carbon, air temperature Other Biodiversity, neighborhoods, crime…
  • 16. Tree Costs Maintenance / planting / removal Leaf clean-up Damaged sidewalks Blocked views Branch drop Crime perception Pollen Increased energy use VOC emissions Maintenance emissions, pesticides, excess fertilization
  • 17. Annual U.S. Urban Forest Values > $18 billion/yr Avoided energy use = $7.8 billion* 39 million Mwh/year; 246 million MMBTU /year Air pollution removal = $4.7 billion 717,000 tons/year; ~580 avoided deaths / year Carbon sequestration = $3.7 billion 29.4 million tons / year Avoided emissions = $2.2 billion* 21.5 million t CO2; 93,000 t pollutants /year Oxygen production = $0 75 million tons per year Total = $18.4 billion $770 per acre of tree cover *preliminary results
  • 18. Five General Messages about Urban Forests There are global problems Trees can help Nature and people interact
  • 19. Tree Cover Urban / Community Land ~80% of U.S. urban land is within forested areas
  • 20. Nature and Humans What percent of trees in cities are planted? Nowak, D.J. 2012. Contrasting natural regeneration and tree planting in 14 North American cities. Urban Forestry and Urban Greening. 11: 374 – 382
  • 21. Planting varies by city population density and region Nowak, D.J. 2012. Contrasting natural regeneration and tree planting in 14 North American cities. Urban Forestry and Urban Greening. 11: 374 – 382
  • 22. Percent planting varies by land use Nowak, D.J. 2012. Contrasting natural regeneration and tree planting in 14 North American cities. Urban Forestry and Urban Greening. 11: 374 – 382
  • 23. Percent of Total Tree Cover in Cities by Land Use Forest (40% TC) Grass (20% TC) Desert (10% TC)
  • 24. Why Don’t We Have More Urban Trees?
  • 25. Why Don’t We Have More Urban Trees? It is expensive to keep trees out US mowing ~$49-134 billion / year
  • 26. Why Don’t We Have More Urban Trees? It is expensive to keep trees out
  • 27. Five General Messages about Urban Forests There are global problems Trees can help Nature and people interact Costs are unavoidable
  • 28. Costs are Unavoidable People in association with trees = costs Goal = reduce costs; increase values No trees ≠ no costs Costs of gray infrastructure and mowing
  • 29. What if we didn’t maintain gray infrastructure?
  • 30. What if we didn’t maintain gray infrastructure?
  • 31. Five General Messages about Urban Forests There are global problems Trees can help Nature and people interact Costs are unavoidable Change is coming
  • 32. Major Drivers of Change in the Future Development
  • 33. Major Driver of Change in the Future Development Climate Change
  • 34. Major Driver of Change in the Future Development Climate Change Insects and Diseases Emerald ash borer range (2013) Ash dieback (Hymenoscyphus fraxineus)
  • 35. Major Driver of Change in the Future Development Climate Change Insects and Diseases Invasive species
  • 36. Tree Cover Change In the U.S., urban tree cover dropping: 20,000 acres per year 4.0 million trees per year
  • 37. Steps to Sustainability Assess resource – what do you have? Understand resource – what can it do? Plan – what do you want? Right location, right tree, right time; across scales Implement Plan Monitor – did you get there?
  • 39. Summary dnowak@fs.fed.us nrs.fs.fed.us/units/urban Trees and forests provide significant value to society Understanding and communicating the resource value is essential to improve management and community well-being