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Designed as Designer

            Richard P. Gabriel
               IBM Research
Conceptual integrity is the key to good design
Fred Brooks says:


               Conceptual integrity is the key to good design
The central problem…is to get conceptual integrity in
the design itself…           –Fred Brooks, ooPSLA 2007 Keynote
In the past, good designs were typically made by
single minds or two minds
Fred Brooks says:

            In the past, good designs were typically made by
            single minds or two minds
If we look back then at the 19th century and the things
that happened—the cartwright and the textile
machinery, Stephenson (the train), Brunel’s bridges
and railway, Edison, Ford, the Wright brothers, etc—
these were very largely the designs of single designers
or, in the case of the Wright brothers, pairs.
                                 –Fred Brooks, ooPSLA 2007 Keynote
Works of art are not made by teams, but by individuals alone
Fred Brooks says:

 Works of art are not made by teams, but by individuals alone
Now if we look back at the history of human production and
culture, most works of art have not been made [by teams].
And that’s true whether we look at literature, whether we look
at music—although we have Gilbert and Sullivan, notice
that one did the words and one did the music—
Brunelleschi’s dome, Michelangelo’s tremendous works, the
paintings—there are some paintings by two painters; one did
the creatures and one did the landscape kinda thing, this
careful division of labor—and the exceptions to the notion
that most of the great works we know of were done by one
mind are in fact done by two minds and not by teams.
                                        –Fred Brooks, ooPSLA 2007 Keynote
Brunelleschi’s dome is a perfect example
Fred Brooks says:

                Brunelleschi’s dome is a perfect example
…modern scholars now recognize that the works of Homer…are…the works of
one mind.…[T]he important poem Beowulf is…a literary work…of one mind.
As I say the exceptions are two, and two is a magic number. There are many,
many jobs in the world that are designed for two people: the carpenter and the
carpenter’s helper, the electrician and the electrician’s helper. And I think our Lord
knew what He was doing when He made marriage work for two.

But now let’s look at some of these magnificent works.

Brunelleschi’s dome—and many of you have read the book—was a tremendous
creation, technically beyond what people believed possible. He had to produce a
working scale model before the people buying the project would even believe that it
could be built. And notice the scale of this building in comparison with the
surrounding buildings.
                                                      –Fred Brooks, ooPSLA 2007 Keynote
Designed as Designer
Designed as Designer
But Fred Brooks is not always right
Now, the second major reason why we do things in teams is
hurry to get to market. We all know the rule that the first
person to market with a totally new innovation tends to
stabilize out with 40 or 45 percent of the share, and the rest
is divided up among the come latelys.
                                        –Fred Brooks, ooPSLA 2007 Keynote
Total                                6%


       Pre-1940                              6%
      1940–1974                             10%
      Post-1974                              4%


     Traditional                             3%
  Digital / high-tech                        8%

        –Gerard J. Tellis & Peter N. Golder, Will and Vision


Market share of pioneers (as of 2000)
Total               9%


          Pre-1940              8%
         1940–1974             14%
         Post-1974              6%


        Traditional             7%
     Digital / high-tech       13%



Pioneers who are current leaders (as of 2000)
Total            19 yrs


                   Pre-1940           30 yrs
                  1940–1974           17 yrs
                  Post-1974            5 yrs


                 Traditional          29 yrs
              Digital / high-tech      7 yrs



Years between entry of pioneer and current leader (as of 2000)
First-to-Market Study Errors

 investigators usually ignored pioneers who failed completely or left
 the market

 many studies suffer from self-report bias

 there are definitional problems with some surveys trying to
 determine first-to-market advantage
Total              64%


      Pre-1940             72%
     1940–1974             50%
     Post-1974             56%


    Traditional            71%
 Digital / high-tech       50%




Failure Rate of Pioneers (as of 2000)
Current
       Category                 Pioneer           Interim Leader          Leader (2000)
                            water, alkali and
         Soap              cassia oil (Babylon,        Ivory, Dial              Dove
                                2800 BC,)

      Detergent                 Liquid Lux             Joy, Ivory               Dawn

                                                   Rheingold, Meister
      Light Beer           Trommer’s Red Letter          Brau                Bud LIght
                                                      Miller Light

      Video Games           Magnavox Odyssey      Atari, Nintendo, Sega         Sony


                                                   Tandy, Apple, IBM,
          PCs                     MITS                  Compaq                  Dell

                                                  Wang, Easy Writer,
   Word Processors          IBM Memory Writer      Wordstar, Word               Word
                                                       Perfect

Online Service Providers       CompuServe               Prodigy                 AOL


       Browsers              WorldWideWeb           Mosaic, Netscape      Internet Explorer


                                                  Lombard, Ameritrade,
 Online Stock Trading         K. Aufhauser              E*Trade           Charles Schwartz


 PC Operating Systems             CP/M               APPLE ][, DOS            Windows
Designed as Designer
Designed as Designer
Designed as Designer
The seed was planted—the seed of doubt. Maybe Fred Brooks could be
wrong.
The seed was planted—the seed of doubt. Maybe Fred Brooks could be
wrong.

               Not wrong, really, but incomplete.
The seed was planted—the seed of doubt. Maybe Fred Brooks could be
wrong.

                Not wrong, really, but incomplete.

        Incomplete in his scholarship or depth of analysis.
The seed was planted—the seed of doubt. Maybe Fred Brooks could be
wrong.

                Not wrong, really, but incomplete.

        Incomplete in his scholarship or depth of analysis.

Or maybe he—as many of us do—looks a little too optimistically for
the real world to confirm his ideas.
The seed was planted—the seed of doubt. Maybe Fred Brooks could be
wrong.

                Not wrong, really, but incomplete.

        Incomplete in his scholarship or depth of analysis.

Or maybe he—as many of us do—looks a little too optimistically for
the real world to confirm his ideas.

 Or he is not wrong but in situ examples are too messy to be perfect.
 As G. B. Shaw could have said, they are too true to be good.
Designed as Designer
Designed as Designer
Ian Randall Wilson
Ian Randall Wilson

 Poet
 Short story writer
 Novelist
 Executive in the film industry(MGM, Sony Pictures)
 Founder of 88: A Journal of Contemporary American Poetry
 Founder and editor-in-chief of Hollyridge Press
Ian Randall Wilson

 Poet
 Short story writer
 Novelist
 Executive in the film industry(MGM, Sony Pictures)
 Founder of 88: A Journal of Contemporary American Poetry
 Founder and editor-in-chief of Hollyridge Press
T. S. Eliot
Ezra Pound
Designed as Designer
First we had a couple of feelers down at Tom’s place,
There was old Tom, boiled to the eyes, blind,
(Don’t you remember that time after a dance,
Top hats and all, we and Silk Hat Harry,
And old Tom took us behind, brought out a bottle of fizz,
With old Jane, Tom’s wife; and we got Joe to sing
“I’m proud of all the Irish blood that’s in me,
There’s not a man can say a word agin me”).


                                 –T. S. Eliot, The Waste Land (deleted material)
April is the cruellest month, breeding
Lilacs out of the dead land, mixing
Memory and desire, stirring
Dull roots with spring rain.
Winter kept us warm, covering
Earth in forgetful snow, feeding
A little life with dried tubers.



                                         –T. S. Eliot, The Waste Land
Designed as Designer
Designed as Designer
Designed as Designer
Here only flame upon flame
and black among the red sparks,
streaks of black and light
grown colorless

why did you turn back,
that hell should be reinhabited
of myself thus
swept into nothingness?

why did you turn back?
why did you glance back?
why did you hesitate for that moment?
why did you bend your face
caught with the flame of the upper earth,
above my face?
                                           H. D.
Designed as Designer
(Now the cypress are swaying) (Now the lake in the distance)
(Now the view-from-above, the aerial attack of do you
remember?)—

now the glance reaching her shoreline wanting only to be recalled,
now the glance reaching her shoreline wanting only to be taken in,

(somewhere the castle above the river)

(somewhere you holding this piece of paper)

                                                         Jorie Graham.
Designed as Designer
Designed as Designer
Designed as Designer
Lucille Clifton
Lucille Clifton
 Charity Randall prize
 Jerome J. Shestack Prize
 an Emmy
 1984 Coretta Scott King Award.
 First author with two books of poetry as finalists for the Pulitzer Prize in
 the same year (1988)
 Shelley Memorial Award
 Lannan Literary Award for Poetry
 National Book Award for Poetry
 Ruth Lilly Poetry Prize; the $100,000 prize honors a living U.S. poet
 whose “lifetime accomplishments warrant extraordinary recognition.”
Lucille Clifton
 Charity Randall prize
 Jerome J. Shestack Prize
 an Emmy
 1984 Coretta Scott King Award.
 First author with two books of poetry as finalists for the Pulitzer Prize in
 the same year (1988)
 Shelley Memorial Award
 Lannan Literary Award for Poetry
 National Book Award for Poetry
 Ruth Lilly Poetry Prize; the $100,000 prize honors a living U.S. poet
 whose “lifetime accomplishments warrant extraordinary recognition.”
Designed as Designer
Designed as Designer
I have grown to understand narrative as a form of contemplation, a
complex and seemingly incongruous way of thinking. I come to know
my stories by writing my way into them. I focus on the characters
without trying to attach significance to their actions. I do not look for
symbols. For as long as I can, I remain purposefully blind to the
machinery of the story and only partially cognizant of the world my
story creates. I work from a kind of half-knowledge.
                                             –Robert Boswell, The Half-Known World
In the drafts that follow, I listen to what has made it to the page.
Invariably, things have arrived that I did not invite, and they are
often the most interesting things in the story. By refusing to fully
know the world, I hope to discover unusual formations in the
landscape, and strange desires in the characters. By declining to
analyze the story, I hope to keep it open to surprise. Each new draft
revises the world but does not explain or define it. I work through
many drafts, progressively abandoning the familiar. What I can see
is always dwarfed by what I cannot know. What the characters come
to understand never surpasses that which they cannot grasp. The
world remains half-known.                      –Robert Boswell, The Half-Known World
There can be no discovery in a world where everything is known. A
crucial part of the writing endeavor is to practice remaining in the
dark.                                         –Robert Boswell, The Half-Known World
You may wonder where plot is in all this. The answer… is
nowhere…. I believe plotting and the spontaneity of real creation
aren’t compatible…. I want you to understand that my basic belief
about the making of stories is that they pretty much make themselves.
The job of the writer is to give them a place to grow.
                                                  –Stephen King, On Writing
anyone can recognize conceptual integrity in a series of things
anyone can recognize conceptual integrity in a series of things

  Hiding Place
anyone can recognize conceptual integrity in a series of things

  Hiding Place

Third Dimension
anyone can recognize conceptual integrity in a series of things

  Hiding Place

Third Dimension

    s. e. k. s.
anyone can recognize conceptual integrity in a series of things

  Hiding Place            Liquefaction

Third Dimension

    s. e. k. s.
anyone can recognize conceptual integrity in a series of things

  Hiding Place            Liquefaction

Third Dimension          Jerry Chapman

     s. e. k. s.
anyone can recognize conceptual integrity in a series of things

  Hiding Place            Liquefaction

Third Dimension          Jerry Chapman

     s. e. k. s.          Retromotive
conceptual integrity = the identity of the song

  Hiding Place           Liquefaction

Third Dimension         Jerry Chapman         Blue Öyster Cult

   s. e. k. s.           Retromotive
If you can recognize conceptual integrity in comparisons,
you can learn to recognize it alone
Designed as Designer
Designed as Designer
Center: A center is any place in a poem that attracts attention; centers can
arise from the action/interaction of these craft elements: stress/unstress;
sound; unit of syntax; rhyme; repeated words and sounds; line; first word in
a line; last word in a line; stanza; image; metaphor and other figures; title; the
poem itself; historical or political elements; revealed metaphysics; meaning
Levels of Scale: centers at all levels of scale
Strong Center: a center related to many other centers
Boundaries: separates a center from other centers, focuses attention on the
separated center, is itself made of centers
Alternating Repetition: strong centers repeated with alternating centers; not
simple repeating; pattern with variation
Positive Space: a center that moves outward from itself, seemingly oozing
life rather than collapsing on itself
Good Shape: a center that is beautiful by itself
Local Symmetries: a center with another nearby which is somehow an echo
Deep Interlock and Ambiguity: centers that are hard to pull apart; centers
that derive power from surrounding centers; centers that cannot be removed
without diminishment; centers that are part of several others
Contrast: differentiation, distinctness, discernible opposites
Gradients: softness; qualities vary subtly, gradually, slowly
Roughness: a certain ease; the inessential is left messy
Echoes: family resemblance not exact replication
The Void: stillness or literally a quiet point
Simplicity and Inner Calm: all irrelevant parts are gone; it is as simple and
spare as it can be and still retain its life; nothing more can be removed; each
part seems simple and simply made
Not-Separateness: at one with the world, and not separate from it
Lourdes
                                        Alternating Repetition & Echoes (”miracles”)
                                                                                                       Strong Center
                              There are miracles that nobody survives
                     sense?   Observers of to remember where or when
                              And these are the only true miracles                                                    miracles
                                                                                                                      are hopeful
           sing-song          Since we never hear about them
           not Rough
                                                                                       weak centers                   Contrast
        Boundary &                                                                                                    (miracles/common)
                              Since we never hear about them
                                                                                       (”them”)
        Deep Interlock
        and Ambiguity         It increases their chance of being common                                    Local Symmetry
          Echoes
          (”...of(f )”)
                              Everyday things without witness without                                      (”without”...”without”)

                                                                                                           Alternating
                              Us even how absently close we brush




                                                                                                                                       Gradient &
     weak/ambiguity                                                                                        Repetition (”wit”)
                                                                                                    enjambment
       Strong Center          Teeth sneeze cook supper mail post                                    Boundary (”without/us”)
                                                                                                    confusing enjambment
                              Cards in contrast o cial miracles take                                Boundary (”post/cards”)




                                                                                                                                       Contrast (hopeful—hopeless)
                              A far o locale veri able visitable                                   Echoes (v and “able”)

                              Some backwater never heard before of since
    Strong Center                                                                                                 Roughness
Alternating                                                                                                       (”head before of”)

Repetition &                  Not pop the map but part the pilgrim’s lips it                                             noise
                                                                                                                         (line)
Local Symmetries
([tpp] [ptp] [tpp])           Springs up hospitals hotdog stands pour in
                                                                                                                       boring
  Echoes (stresses)           Testeroniacs pimple victims even                                                         Alternating
  Contrast
   (”springs up”              For credentials cripples pour in                                                         Repetition
   “pours in”)                                                                                                         (”pour in”)
  not a word                                                                                       Echoes

   Echoes
                              Their limbs hung all whichway on them
   (sounds of “pimple”
   and ”cripples”)
                              Signslats nailed on a slanting                                      Local Symmetry & Echoes
                                                                                                  (”Signslats” “slanting”)

             Roughness
                              Direction-post at a muddy crossroads
                                                                                                           Echoes (D t p t dd d)
                              In the boondocks of a forgotten place

   weaker center than previous stanza                                                    Echoes (”crossroads”“boondocks”)
                                        image of hopelessness

                                                                                                                                                                     Bill Knott
Lourdes


                        There are miracles that nobody survives
        sense?          Observers of to remember where or when
                        And these are the only true miracles
    sing-song           Since we never hear about them
    not Rough
                                                                weak centers
                        Since we never hear about them
                                                                (”them”)


                        It increases their chance of being common
                        Everyday things without witness without
 weak/ambiguity         Us even how absently close we brush

                        Teeth sneeze cook supper mail post
                                                                 confusing enjambment
                        Cards in contrast o cial miracles take   Boundary (”post/cards”)
                        A far o locale veri able visitable
                        Some backwater never heard before of since

                        Not pop the map but part the pilgrim’s lips it
                        Springs up hospitals hotdog stands pour in
                                                                               boring
                        Testeroniacs pimple victims even                       Alternating
                        For credentials cripples pour in                       Repetition
                                                                               (”pour in”)
not a word
                        Their limbs hung all whichway on them
                        Signslats nailed on a slanting
                        Direction-post at a muddy crossroads
                        In the boondocks of a forgotten place

weaker center than previous stanza
Lourdes


 sense fixed             There are miracles that nobody survives
        sense?          No one comes screaming of where what when
  sing-song fixed        And these are the only true miracles
     sing-song          Since we never hear tell about them—    weak end words
     not Rough
                                                                 weak centers remain (”—” added)
                                                                 (”them”)
                        Since we never hear tell about them
                        It increases their chance of being common
                        Everyday events without witness without
  sense fixed
 weak/ambiguity         Us even—how absently close we brush
                                                                            confusing enjambment
                                                                            Boundary fixed
                        Teeth sneeze cook supper mail postcards


                                                                            }
                                                                            confusing enjambment
                                                                              weak end word now
                        In contrast o cial miracles take a far              Boundary (”post/cards”)
                                                                              embedded
                        O locale some backwater—or podunk
                                                                                  Echoes retained,
                        Which although unveri able is visitable                   better end words,
                                                                                  better sense

 weak end word
                        Not pop the map but part the pilgrim’s                    weak end words
                                                                                  gone
 wrapped                Lips it springs up hospitals hot dog
                                                                                       boring
                                                                                  closer to real word
                        Stands pour in testosteroniacs pimple                          Alternating
                        Victims but most of all cripples—their                  better weak
                                                                                       Repetition
                                                                                end word in”)
                                                                                       (”pour
not a word
                        Limbs misled and skewed and crisscross
                        Like—roadsigns that point everywhere
                        On a signpost bent over a weedy crossroads
                        In the boondocks of a forgotten place

weaker center than previous stanza
                                                   many Echoes, better noise, Strong Center, Void?
Designed as Designer
Robert Hass
Robert Hass
 Yale Series of Younger Poets Award
 William Carlos Williams Award
 National Book Critics Circle Award
 MacArthur Fellowship
 National Book Critics Circle Award for poetry
 National Book Award Winner, Poetry
 Pulitzer Prize co-winner, Poetry
 Two-term US Poet Laureate
Robert Hass
 Yale Series of Younger Poets Award
 William Carlos Williams Award
 National Book Critics Circle Award
 MacArthur Fellowship
 National Book Critics Circle Award for poetry
 National Book Award Winner, Poetry
 Pulitzer Prize co-winner, Poetry
 Two-term US Poet Laureate
Robert Hass
 Yale Series of Younger Poets Award
 William Carlos Williams Award
 National Book Critics Circle Award
 MacArthur Fellowship
 National Book Critics Circle Award for poetry
 National Book Award Winner, Poetry
 Pulitzer Prize co-winner, Poetry
 Two-term US Poet Laureate
The history of architecture, especially in the period from 1600 to the
present, and culminating in the thought of the 20th century, has been
based on the idea that the architect’s vision arises, almost spontaneously,
and at all events suddenly in the breast of the architect—a vision
obtained from inspiration that arrives fully fledged from “thin air”—
and that the quality, depth, and importance of the architect’s vision comes
from this mysterious moment. Contemporary students tremble as they
try to attain this mystery.
                                            –Christopher Alexander, The Nature of Order
Yet if [my] observations…are held to be true about the
production of living structure, and if, as I have suggested, living
structure always arises slowly, by successive transformations of
what exists, gradually, gradually, and then decisively changes
slowly until a new thing is born, then the view of the unfettered
architect-creator that has been fostered in the last 400 years
must be completely wrong.
                                    –Christopher Alexander, The Nature of Order
Designed as Designer
Designed as Designer
It is interesting that Brunelleschi receives much credit for coming up
with the tension ring concept, although he only oversaw their
construction. The tension rings were proposed by Neri before Filippo
got involved. It affirms the benefits of good public relations and
benevolent historians.                        –Jim Atkins, Il Duomo: Brunelleschi and the
                                                                Dome of Santa Maria del Fiore
Designed as Designer
Designed as Designer
randomness




             stories
randomness

  stories
1914   0
              1915   4
              1916   3
              1917   2
              1918   11
              1919   29
              1920   54
              1921   59
              1922   35
1957    14    1923   41
1958    28    1924   46
1959    16    1925   25
1960    39    1926   47
1961    61    1927   60
1962    33    1928   54
1963    23    1929   46
1964    26    1930   49
1965    8     1931   46
1966    13    1932   41
1967    9     1933   34
1968    5     1934   22
              1935   6

Roger Maris   Babe Ruth
Designed as Designer
Designed as Designer
Subjects told: because of a budget
  problem, only one of the two
 anagram solvers was being paid,
and that one by random selection
Designed as Designer
Tom was
 randomly
chosen to be
    paid
Tom was        Bill was
 randomly       randomly
chosen to be   chosen to be
    paid           paid
Tom is         Bill is
  better!        better!

  Tom was        Bill was
 randomly       randomly
chosen to be   chosen to be
    paid           paid
Test subjects told only 1 puzzle solver
             was being paid, and that by random
                           selection
                  Subjects broken in 2 groups

    This group told that              This group told that
    Tom was randomly                   Bill was randomly
     chosen to be paid                 chosen to be paid
                 Both groups watch the same
             scripted performance that shows no
                    difference in skill level
  This group                                      This group
chooses Tom as                                   chooses Bill as
 more skilled                                     more skilled
Designed as Designer
Designed as Designer
Designed as Designer
(define factorial
 (lambda (n)
  (if (= n 0) 1 (* n (factorial (- n 1))))))
(define factorial
 (lambda (n)
  (if (= n 0) 1 (* n (factorial (- n 1))))))




(define actorial
 (alpha (n c)
  (if (= n 0) (c 1) (actorial
                     (- n 1)
                     (alpha (f) (c (* f n)))))))
Then came a crucial discovery—one that, to us, illustrates the value
of experimentation in language design. On inspecting the code for
apply, once they got it working correctly, Sussman and Steele were
astonished to discover that the codes in apply for function application
and for actor invocation were identical! Further inspection of other
parts of the interpreter, such as the code for creating functions and
actors, confirmed this insight: the fact that functions were intended to
return values and actors were not made no difference anywhere in
their implementation.…But the lambda and alpha mechanisms
were themselves identical, and from this Sussman and Steele
concluded that actors and closures were the same concept.
.
.
Designed as Designer
Designed as Designer
            Richard P. Gabriel

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Designed as Designer

  • 1. Designed as Designer Richard P. Gabriel IBM Research
  • 2. Conceptual integrity is the key to good design
  • 3. Fred Brooks says: Conceptual integrity is the key to good design
  • 4. The central problem…is to get conceptual integrity in the design itself… –Fred Brooks, ooPSLA 2007 Keynote
  • 5. In the past, good designs were typically made by single minds or two minds
  • 6. Fred Brooks says: In the past, good designs were typically made by single minds or two minds
  • 7. If we look back then at the 19th century and the things that happened—the cartwright and the textile machinery, Stephenson (the train), Brunel’s bridges and railway, Edison, Ford, the Wright brothers, etc— these were very largely the designs of single designers or, in the case of the Wright brothers, pairs. –Fred Brooks, ooPSLA 2007 Keynote
  • 8. Works of art are not made by teams, but by individuals alone
  • 9. Fred Brooks says: Works of art are not made by teams, but by individuals alone
  • 10. Now if we look back at the history of human production and culture, most works of art have not been made [by teams]. And that’s true whether we look at literature, whether we look at music—although we have Gilbert and Sullivan, notice that one did the words and one did the music— Brunelleschi’s dome, Michelangelo’s tremendous works, the paintings—there are some paintings by two painters; one did the creatures and one did the landscape kinda thing, this careful division of labor—and the exceptions to the notion that most of the great works we know of were done by one mind are in fact done by two minds and not by teams. –Fred Brooks, ooPSLA 2007 Keynote
  • 11. Brunelleschi’s dome is a perfect example
  • 12. Fred Brooks says: Brunelleschi’s dome is a perfect example
  • 13. …modern scholars now recognize that the works of Homer…are…the works of one mind.…[T]he important poem Beowulf is…a literary work…of one mind. As I say the exceptions are two, and two is a magic number. There are many, many jobs in the world that are designed for two people: the carpenter and the carpenter’s helper, the electrician and the electrician’s helper. And I think our Lord knew what He was doing when He made marriage work for two. But now let’s look at some of these magnificent works. Brunelleschi’s dome—and many of you have read the book—was a tremendous creation, technically beyond what people believed possible. He had to produce a working scale model before the people buying the project would even believe that it could be built. And notice the scale of this building in comparison with the surrounding buildings. –Fred Brooks, ooPSLA 2007 Keynote
  • 16. But Fred Brooks is not always right
  • 17. Now, the second major reason why we do things in teams is hurry to get to market. We all know the rule that the first person to market with a totally new innovation tends to stabilize out with 40 or 45 percent of the share, and the rest is divided up among the come latelys. –Fred Brooks, ooPSLA 2007 Keynote
  • 18. Total 6% Pre-1940 6% 1940–1974 10% Post-1974 4% Traditional 3% Digital / high-tech 8% –Gerard J. Tellis & Peter N. Golder, Will and Vision Market share of pioneers (as of 2000)
  • 19. Total 9% Pre-1940 8% 1940–1974 14% Post-1974 6% Traditional 7% Digital / high-tech 13% Pioneers who are current leaders (as of 2000)
  • 20. Total 19 yrs Pre-1940 30 yrs 1940–1974 17 yrs Post-1974 5 yrs Traditional 29 yrs Digital / high-tech 7 yrs Years between entry of pioneer and current leader (as of 2000)
  • 21. First-to-Market Study Errors investigators usually ignored pioneers who failed completely or left the market many studies suffer from self-report bias there are definitional problems with some surveys trying to determine first-to-market advantage
  • 22. Total 64% Pre-1940 72% 1940–1974 50% Post-1974 56% Traditional 71% Digital / high-tech 50% Failure Rate of Pioneers (as of 2000)
  • 23. Current Category Pioneer Interim Leader Leader (2000) water, alkali and Soap cassia oil (Babylon, Ivory, Dial Dove 2800 BC,) Detergent Liquid Lux Joy, Ivory Dawn Rheingold, Meister Light Beer Trommer’s Red Letter Brau Bud LIght Miller Light Video Games Magnavox Odyssey Atari, Nintendo, Sega Sony Tandy, Apple, IBM, PCs MITS Compaq Dell Wang, Easy Writer, Word Processors IBM Memory Writer Wordstar, Word Word Perfect Online Service Providers CompuServe Prodigy AOL Browsers WorldWideWeb Mosaic, Netscape Internet Explorer Lombard, Ameritrade, Online Stock Trading K. Aufhauser E*Trade Charles Schwartz PC Operating Systems CP/M APPLE ][, DOS Windows
  • 27. The seed was planted—the seed of doubt. Maybe Fred Brooks could be wrong.
  • 28. The seed was planted—the seed of doubt. Maybe Fred Brooks could be wrong. Not wrong, really, but incomplete.
  • 29. The seed was planted—the seed of doubt. Maybe Fred Brooks could be wrong. Not wrong, really, but incomplete. Incomplete in his scholarship or depth of analysis.
  • 30. The seed was planted—the seed of doubt. Maybe Fred Brooks could be wrong. Not wrong, really, but incomplete. Incomplete in his scholarship or depth of analysis. Or maybe he—as many of us do—looks a little too optimistically for the real world to confirm his ideas.
  • 31. The seed was planted—the seed of doubt. Maybe Fred Brooks could be wrong. Not wrong, really, but incomplete. Incomplete in his scholarship or depth of analysis. Or maybe he—as many of us do—looks a little too optimistically for the real world to confirm his ideas. Or he is not wrong but in situ examples are too messy to be perfect. As G. B. Shaw could have said, they are too true to be good.
  • 35. Ian Randall Wilson Poet Short story writer Novelist Executive in the film industry(MGM, Sony Pictures) Founder of 88: A Journal of Contemporary American Poetry Founder and editor-in-chief of Hollyridge Press
  • 36. Ian Randall Wilson Poet Short story writer Novelist Executive in the film industry(MGM, Sony Pictures) Founder of 88: A Journal of Contemporary American Poetry Founder and editor-in-chief of Hollyridge Press
  • 40. First we had a couple of feelers down at Tom’s place, There was old Tom, boiled to the eyes, blind, (Don’t you remember that time after a dance, Top hats and all, we and Silk Hat Harry, And old Tom took us behind, brought out a bottle of fizz, With old Jane, Tom’s wife; and we got Joe to sing “I’m proud of all the Irish blood that’s in me, There’s not a man can say a word agin me”). –T. S. Eliot, The Waste Land (deleted material)
  • 41. April is the cruellest month, breeding Lilacs out of the dead land, mixing Memory and desire, stirring Dull roots with spring rain. Winter kept us warm, covering Earth in forgetful snow, feeding A little life with dried tubers. –T. S. Eliot, The Waste Land
  • 45. Here only flame upon flame and black among the red sparks, streaks of black and light grown colorless why did you turn back, that hell should be reinhabited of myself thus swept into nothingness? why did you turn back? why did you glance back? why did you hesitate for that moment? why did you bend your face caught with the flame of the upper earth, above my face? H. D.
  • 47. (Now the cypress are swaying) (Now the lake in the distance) (Now the view-from-above, the aerial attack of do you remember?)— now the glance reaching her shoreline wanting only to be recalled, now the glance reaching her shoreline wanting only to be taken in, (somewhere the castle above the river) (somewhere you holding this piece of paper) Jorie Graham.
  • 52. Lucille Clifton Charity Randall prize Jerome J. Shestack Prize an Emmy 1984 Coretta Scott King Award. First author with two books of poetry as finalists for the Pulitzer Prize in the same year (1988) Shelley Memorial Award Lannan Literary Award for Poetry National Book Award for Poetry Ruth Lilly Poetry Prize; the $100,000 prize honors a living U.S. poet whose “lifetime accomplishments warrant extraordinary recognition.”
  • 53. Lucille Clifton Charity Randall prize Jerome J. Shestack Prize an Emmy 1984 Coretta Scott King Award. First author with two books of poetry as finalists for the Pulitzer Prize in the same year (1988) Shelley Memorial Award Lannan Literary Award for Poetry National Book Award for Poetry Ruth Lilly Poetry Prize; the $100,000 prize honors a living U.S. poet whose “lifetime accomplishments warrant extraordinary recognition.”
  • 56. I have grown to understand narrative as a form of contemplation, a complex and seemingly incongruous way of thinking. I come to know my stories by writing my way into them. I focus on the characters without trying to attach significance to their actions. I do not look for symbols. For as long as I can, I remain purposefully blind to the machinery of the story and only partially cognizant of the world my story creates. I work from a kind of half-knowledge. –Robert Boswell, The Half-Known World
  • 57. In the drafts that follow, I listen to what has made it to the page. Invariably, things have arrived that I did not invite, and they are often the most interesting things in the story. By refusing to fully know the world, I hope to discover unusual formations in the landscape, and strange desires in the characters. By declining to analyze the story, I hope to keep it open to surprise. Each new draft revises the world but does not explain or define it. I work through many drafts, progressively abandoning the familiar. What I can see is always dwarfed by what I cannot know. What the characters come to understand never surpasses that which they cannot grasp. The world remains half-known. –Robert Boswell, The Half-Known World
  • 58. There can be no discovery in a world where everything is known. A crucial part of the writing endeavor is to practice remaining in the dark. –Robert Boswell, The Half-Known World
  • 59. You may wonder where plot is in all this. The answer… is nowhere…. I believe plotting and the spontaneity of real creation aren’t compatible…. I want you to understand that my basic belief about the making of stories is that they pretty much make themselves. The job of the writer is to give them a place to grow. –Stephen King, On Writing
  • 60. anyone can recognize conceptual integrity in a series of things
  • 61. anyone can recognize conceptual integrity in a series of things Hiding Place
  • 62. anyone can recognize conceptual integrity in a series of things Hiding Place Third Dimension
  • 63. anyone can recognize conceptual integrity in a series of things Hiding Place Third Dimension s. e. k. s.
  • 64. anyone can recognize conceptual integrity in a series of things Hiding Place Liquefaction Third Dimension s. e. k. s.
  • 65. anyone can recognize conceptual integrity in a series of things Hiding Place Liquefaction Third Dimension Jerry Chapman s. e. k. s.
  • 66. anyone can recognize conceptual integrity in a series of things Hiding Place Liquefaction Third Dimension Jerry Chapman s. e. k. s. Retromotive
  • 67. conceptual integrity = the identity of the song Hiding Place Liquefaction Third Dimension Jerry Chapman Blue Öyster Cult s. e. k. s. Retromotive
  • 68. If you can recognize conceptual integrity in comparisons, you can learn to recognize it alone
  • 71. Center: A center is any place in a poem that attracts attention; centers can arise from the action/interaction of these craft elements: stress/unstress; sound; unit of syntax; rhyme; repeated words and sounds; line; first word in a line; last word in a line; stanza; image; metaphor and other figures; title; the poem itself; historical or political elements; revealed metaphysics; meaning Levels of Scale: centers at all levels of scale Strong Center: a center related to many other centers Boundaries: separates a center from other centers, focuses attention on the separated center, is itself made of centers Alternating Repetition: strong centers repeated with alternating centers; not simple repeating; pattern with variation Positive Space: a center that moves outward from itself, seemingly oozing life rather than collapsing on itself Good Shape: a center that is beautiful by itself
  • 72. Local Symmetries: a center with another nearby which is somehow an echo Deep Interlock and Ambiguity: centers that are hard to pull apart; centers that derive power from surrounding centers; centers that cannot be removed without diminishment; centers that are part of several others Contrast: differentiation, distinctness, discernible opposites Gradients: softness; qualities vary subtly, gradually, slowly Roughness: a certain ease; the inessential is left messy Echoes: family resemblance not exact replication The Void: stillness or literally a quiet point Simplicity and Inner Calm: all irrelevant parts are gone; it is as simple and spare as it can be and still retain its life; nothing more can be removed; each part seems simple and simply made Not-Separateness: at one with the world, and not separate from it
  • 73. Lourdes Alternating Repetition & Echoes (”miracles”) Strong Center There are miracles that nobody survives sense? Observers of to remember where or when And these are the only true miracles miracles are hopeful sing-song Since we never hear about them not Rough weak centers Contrast Boundary & (miracles/common) Since we never hear about them (”them”) Deep Interlock and Ambiguity It increases their chance of being common Local Symmetry Echoes (”...of(f )”) Everyday things without witness without (”without”...”without”) Alternating Us even how absently close we brush Gradient & weak/ambiguity Repetition (”wit”) enjambment Strong Center Teeth sneeze cook supper mail post Boundary (”without/us”) confusing enjambment Cards in contrast o cial miracles take Boundary (”post/cards”) Contrast (hopeful—hopeless) A far o locale veri able visitable Echoes (v and “able”) Some backwater never heard before of since Strong Center Roughness Alternating (”head before of”) Repetition & Not pop the map but part the pilgrim’s lips it noise (line) Local Symmetries ([tpp] [ptp] [tpp]) Springs up hospitals hotdog stands pour in boring Echoes (stresses) Testeroniacs pimple victims even Alternating Contrast (”springs up” For credentials cripples pour in Repetition “pours in”) (”pour in”) not a word Echoes Echoes Their limbs hung all whichway on them (sounds of “pimple” and ”cripples”) Signslats nailed on a slanting Local Symmetry & Echoes (”Signslats” “slanting”) Roughness Direction-post at a muddy crossroads Echoes (D t p t dd d) In the boondocks of a forgotten place weaker center than previous stanza Echoes (”crossroads”“boondocks”) image of hopelessness Bill Knott
  • 74. Lourdes There are miracles that nobody survives sense? Observers of to remember where or when And these are the only true miracles sing-song Since we never hear about them not Rough weak centers Since we never hear about them (”them”) It increases their chance of being common Everyday things without witness without weak/ambiguity Us even how absently close we brush Teeth sneeze cook supper mail post confusing enjambment Cards in contrast o cial miracles take Boundary (”post/cards”) A far o locale veri able visitable Some backwater never heard before of since Not pop the map but part the pilgrim’s lips it Springs up hospitals hotdog stands pour in boring Testeroniacs pimple victims even Alternating For credentials cripples pour in Repetition (”pour in”) not a word Their limbs hung all whichway on them Signslats nailed on a slanting Direction-post at a muddy crossroads In the boondocks of a forgotten place weaker center than previous stanza
  • 75. Lourdes sense fixed There are miracles that nobody survives sense? No one comes screaming of where what when sing-song fixed And these are the only true miracles sing-song Since we never hear tell about them— weak end words not Rough weak centers remain (”—” added) (”them”) Since we never hear tell about them It increases their chance of being common Everyday events without witness without sense fixed weak/ambiguity Us even—how absently close we brush confusing enjambment Boundary fixed Teeth sneeze cook supper mail postcards } confusing enjambment weak end word now In contrast o cial miracles take a far Boundary (”post/cards”) embedded O locale some backwater—or podunk Echoes retained, Which although unveri able is visitable better end words, better sense weak end word Not pop the map but part the pilgrim’s weak end words gone wrapped Lips it springs up hospitals hot dog boring closer to real word Stands pour in testosteroniacs pimple Alternating Victims but most of all cripples—their better weak Repetition end word in”) (”pour not a word Limbs misled and skewed and crisscross Like—roadsigns that point everywhere On a signpost bent over a weedy crossroads In the boondocks of a forgotten place weaker center than previous stanza many Echoes, better noise, Strong Center, Void?
  • 78. Robert Hass Yale Series of Younger Poets Award William Carlos Williams Award National Book Critics Circle Award MacArthur Fellowship National Book Critics Circle Award for poetry National Book Award Winner, Poetry Pulitzer Prize co-winner, Poetry Two-term US Poet Laureate
  • 79. Robert Hass Yale Series of Younger Poets Award William Carlos Williams Award National Book Critics Circle Award MacArthur Fellowship National Book Critics Circle Award for poetry National Book Award Winner, Poetry Pulitzer Prize co-winner, Poetry Two-term US Poet Laureate
  • 80. Robert Hass Yale Series of Younger Poets Award William Carlos Williams Award National Book Critics Circle Award MacArthur Fellowship National Book Critics Circle Award for poetry National Book Award Winner, Poetry Pulitzer Prize co-winner, Poetry Two-term US Poet Laureate
  • 81. The history of architecture, especially in the period from 1600 to the present, and culminating in the thought of the 20th century, has been based on the idea that the architect’s vision arises, almost spontaneously, and at all events suddenly in the breast of the architect—a vision obtained from inspiration that arrives fully fledged from “thin air”— and that the quality, depth, and importance of the architect’s vision comes from this mysterious moment. Contemporary students tremble as they try to attain this mystery. –Christopher Alexander, The Nature of Order
  • 82. Yet if [my] observations…are held to be true about the production of living structure, and if, as I have suggested, living structure always arises slowly, by successive transformations of what exists, gradually, gradually, and then decisively changes slowly until a new thing is born, then the view of the unfettered architect-creator that has been fostered in the last 400 years must be completely wrong. –Christopher Alexander, The Nature of Order
  • 85. It is interesting that Brunelleschi receives much credit for coming up with the tension ring concept, although he only oversaw their construction. The tension rings were proposed by Neri before Filippo got involved. It affirms the benefits of good public relations and benevolent historians. –Jim Atkins, Il Duomo: Brunelleschi and the Dome of Santa Maria del Fiore
  • 88. randomness stories
  • 90. 1914 0 1915 4 1916 3 1917 2 1918 11 1919 29 1920 54 1921 59 1922 35 1957 14 1923 41 1958 28 1924 46 1959 16 1925 25 1960 39 1926 47 1961 61 1927 60 1962 33 1928 54 1963 23 1929 46 1964 26 1930 49 1965 8 1931 46 1966 13 1932 41 1967 9 1933 34 1968 5 1934 22 1935 6 Roger Maris Babe Ruth
  • 93. Subjects told: because of a budget problem, only one of the two anagram solvers was being paid, and that one by random selection
  • 96. Tom was Bill was randomly randomly chosen to be chosen to be paid paid
  • 97. Tom is Bill is better! better! Tom was Bill was randomly randomly chosen to be chosen to be paid paid
  • 98. Test subjects told only 1 puzzle solver was being paid, and that by random selection Subjects broken in 2 groups This group told that This group told that Tom was randomly Bill was randomly chosen to be paid chosen to be paid Both groups watch the same scripted performance that shows no difference in skill level This group This group chooses Tom as chooses Bill as more skilled more skilled
  • 102. (define factorial (lambda (n) (if (= n 0) 1 (* n (factorial (- n 1))))))
  • 103. (define factorial (lambda (n) (if (= n 0) 1 (* n (factorial (- n 1)))))) (define actorial (alpha (n c) (if (= n 0) (c 1) (actorial (- n 1) (alpha (f) (c (* f n)))))))
  • 104. Then came a crucial discovery—one that, to us, illustrates the value of experimentation in language design. On inspecting the code for apply, once they got it working correctly, Sussman and Steele were astonished to discover that the codes in apply for function application and for actor invocation were identical! Further inspection of other parts of the interpreter, such as the code for creating functions and actors, confirmed this insight: the fact that functions were intended to return values and actors were not made no difference anywhere in their implementation.…But the lambda and alpha mechanisms were themselves identical, and from this Sussman and Steele concluded that actors and closures were the same concept.
  • 105. .
  • 106. .
  • 108. Designed as Designer Richard P. Gabriel